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November

25

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College Basketball Free Play: Morehead State Eagles vs. Tennessee State Tigers

03.02.2012     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Morehead State vs. Tennessee State -3.5 O/U 123
Recommendation: Tennessee State


I don't typically like to lay points with these college basketball conference tournaments but I see some value supporting Tennessee State as a small favorite over Morehead State. Morehead somewhat lucked out with its conference schedule this year playing only one game apiece against the top two teams in the league, Murray State and Tennessee State. In five games against teams that finished with above .500 league record, Morehead went 1-4 with the lone win coming over Tennessee Tech who was playing the second leg of the very difficult EKU/Morehead road trip. Just based on the eye test, Morehead has the look of a mediocre OVC squad but because of the scheduled stumbled into the third seed. Tennessee State meanwhile played Murray and Tennessee Tech twice as well as SEMO.  The Tigers have a lot of talent and should have decent fan support with the game being Read more


Tags: College Basketball Morehead State Eagles Tennessee State Tigers Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Gambling: Admist off-the-court drama, UCLA covers three straight

03.02.2012     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

We didn't see much anti-UCLA action heading into last night's game against Washington State despite Sports Illustrated's "groundbreaking" article about players who like to party and a coach who discourages the act. The Bruins appeared to use the incident as motivation and beat the Cougars 78-46. Bottom line is that UCLA’s off-the-court drama shouldn’t come as a shock and probably goes on at a lot of schools. Howland is still in trouble, and the team may very well fizzle out in the postseason, but since losing to St. John's, the Bruins have cashed three straight tickets – not bad for a program currently embroiled in a “massive scandal.”

 





College Basketball Gambling: Rumors circulating of a scandal at UCLA

02.29.2012     06:06 AM     Read more


Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins




Missouri Valley Conference Tournament like Christmas for UNDER bettors

03.01.2012     01:27 PM     Printer Friendly
One of the safer bets with college basketball conference tournaments of late has been playing UNDERS in the Missouri Valley – most notably the first round which is now 1-7 O/U over the last four years. Bettors, obviously aware of this trend, pounded CRIS's openers which greatly decreased the current value of tonight's two games. Southern Illinois-Indiana State opened 129 and is now as low as 123.5. Bradley-Drake opened 129 and is 126.5/126 across the board.

Missouri Valley Tournament Totals Results
2008: First Round 1-1 O/U; Overall 4-5 O/U
2009: First Round 0-2 O/U; Overall 3-6 O/U
2010: First Round 0-2 O/U; Overall 4-5 O/U
2011: First Round 0-2 O/U; Overall 0-9 O/U
Total: First Round 1-7 O/U; Overall 11-25 O/U




Tags: College Basketball




Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Odds: Top seed Wichita State a -170 favorite

03.01.2012     01:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Odds on this year's Missouri Valley Conference Tournament courtesy of 5Dimes. The event takes place in St. Louis. The top two seeds, #1 Wichita State and #2 Creighton, play the winners of tonight's two play-in games.

MVC Tournament Odds to Win
Wichita State -170
Creighton +230
Northern Iowa +1200
Evansville +1500
Missouri State +1600
Illinois State +2000
Indiana State +3500
Drake +4000
Southern Illinois +40000
Bradley +60000

Matchups
Thursday
#7 Drake vs. #10 Bradley
#8 Indiana State vs. #9 Southern Illinois

Friday
#7/10 Winner vs. #2 Creighton
#8/9 Winner vs. #1 Wichita State
#3 Evansville vs. #6 Missouri State
#4 Illinois State vs. #5 Northern Iowa



Tags: College Basketball




MAAC Tournament Odds: Iona Gaels priced as a -160 favorite

03.01.2012     12:55 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Odds on this year's Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament courtesy of 5Dimes. The event takes place in Springfield, Mass. The top two seeds, #1 Iona and #2 Loyola play the winners of tomorrow's two play-in games.

MAAC Tournament Odds to Win
Iona -160
Loyola MD +450
Manhattan +525
Fairfield +575
Siena +4000
Rider +4500
Niagara +6000
Marist +15000
St. Peter's +35000
Canisius +50000

Matchups
Friday
#7 Niagara vs. #10 Canisius
#8 Marist vs. #9 St. Peter's

Saturday
#7/10 Winner vs. #2 Loyola
#8/9 Winner vs. #1 Iona
#3 Manhattan vs. #6 Siena
#4 Fairfield vs. #5 Rider



Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Free Play: Portland Pilots vs. San Francisco Dons

03.01.2012     07:46 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Portland vs. San Francisco -9 O/U 148
Recommendation: San Francisco


San Francisco has done a good job taking care of the bottom-tier of the WCC this season. In games against Portland, Pepperdine, San Diego and Santa Clara, the Dons won by margins of 34, 1, 15, 13, 14, 16 and 11. The lone single-digit game was a one-point road win over Portland but San Fran was playing the second of back-to-back road games; off a hard fought loss at Gonzaga. Portland has been outclassed for much of the year. They've managed to catch a few teams napping but three of their four league wins came against Santa Clara who didn't win a conference game. After starting the year 0-4 in league play, San Fran finished 8-8 with competitive losses to Loyola Marymount, BYU and St. Mary's and a home win over Gonzaga. The Dons are the better team in this matchup across the board and should be able to handle Portland from the opening tip.




Tags: College Basketball Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Gambling: Michigan a perfect 7-0 ATS following a loss

03.01.2012     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan at Illinois -2.5 O/U 121

With Michigan State's loss at Indiana on Tuesday, Michigan still has a shot at owning a share of the Big Ten title. The Wolverines are off a disappointing senior night loss to Purdue and travel to face Illinois. UM has played extremely well after a loss this season with a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS record. Illinois meanwhile snapped a six-game losing streak with a win over Iowa on Sunday.


“We know there’s a chance,” Beilein said. “Given the fact that we’re the No. 1 RPI league, we’re the No. 1 Sagarin league — would you like to win a conference championship outright? Yeah.

“But if you’re co-champs, or tri-champs or quad-champs, I don’t care. We’re champs, and that’s what we’re trying to get to.”

Read more


Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini




Patriot League Tournament Gambling Preview

02.29.2012     11:50 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here’s a game-by-game look at tonight’s Patriot League Tournament quarterfinals.

#8 Navy @ #1 Bucknell (-17.5 / 115) – The Midshipmen went 0-14 in regular season conference play and 3-25 overall but they enter this quarterfinal round having lost by more than this price only four times this season and one of those was to Missouri. On this floor four days ago, Navy played Bucknell very competitively losing by nine 64-55. The immediate turnaround situation in this contest could be viewed as an edge for either side but whichever stance you take is dictated by the Bison’s motivational angle. They could take a bored approach to this #8 seed which they’ve disposed of twice now or they could focus on distancing themselves early to keep the crowd energetic and coast through the second half. The latter is exactly what Bucknell did on Saturday leading by double-digits almost throughout the entire contest but the Middies never quit playing and made it a single-digit final. Bucknell has won by more than this asking price once in Patriot League play and their preferred slower tempo makes it difficult to gain extreme separation. The game Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno




Big East Betting Notes: Pitino want Cardinals to run, tough to do vs. South Florida

02.29.2012     11:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Florida at Louisville -9 O/U 119

Louisville head coach Rick Pitino is upset that his team continues to get involved in grind-it-out, half court games. With the exception of an overtime result against DePaul, the Cardinals haven't topped 70 possessions since a 80-59 win over UConn on February 6. The problem is they may have to wait another game to get that type of pace. South Florida hasn't played a Big East game with over 65 possessions. Their fastest game to date was in large part due to the margin; a 30-point loss to Georgetown. In games against fast-paced Marquette, Villanova and DePaul, the average game score for the Bulls was 123.8. And when you account for Louisville's defensive prowess (86.7 points per possession allowed, 7th nationally), getting up over 120 tonight could be difficult. Perhaps buying Read more


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals South Florida Bulls




College Basketball Handicapping: Tracking close ATS results

02.29.2012     07:25 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Back in early February some Fairway Followers requested updated information on college basketball ATS results, and I provided them in the Sportsmemo posting forum. With the regular season coming to a close this week, I thought it was a good time to update the results and see how this season compares to historical college basketball results. I reviewed box scores, stats and documented and tracked these results every night and the following mornings during the season.

Using historical data since the advent of the 3-point shot 25 years ago, approximately 40% of college basketball games and final scores will land within five points of the betting line. Approximately 10% of games and final scores will land within one point of the line (11% this season). This is slightly subjective with opening/closing line moves, but a good guide and indicator.

Using the closing lines as your guide for this college basketball season, here are the results month by month.  Again, nearly 40% of the college basketball games and final scores landed within five points of the betting line (39.3%) with nearly 3,200 games and results.

College Basketball results within 5 points of the line as of 2/29/2012
Month
# Games
Within 5 points of line - %
November
586
203 - 34.6%
December
665
275 - 41.4%
January
952
382 - 40.1%
February
995
398 - 40.0%
Total
3,198
1,258 - 39.3%


While the Read more


Tags: College Basketball __



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