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College Basketball Betting: Charleston back at full strength vs. Old Dominion

12.18.2012     10:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Old Dominion at College of Charleston -8

College of Charleston expects to have two starters back for tonight's game against Old Dominion. Senior point guard Andrew Lawrence (12.4 ppg) and junior forward Trent Wiedeman (11.7 ppg) have both been upgraded to probable.

“Andrew will be back and we are hoping Trent will be back as well. They both mean so much to us. We have played a lot longer without Trent, but to have that other ball handler (Lawrence) is really important to our offense and our spacing.”

Tags: College Basketball College of Charleston Cougars Old Dominion Monarchs

College Basketball Handicapping: Can Richmond handle Kansas' size?

12.18.2012     08:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Richmond at Kansas -14 O/U 133

Interesting matchup tonight with Kansas playing host to Richmond. The Spiders are one of the smaller teams in the country with only Derrick Williams (6-6) and Alonzo Nelson-Odada (6-9) seeing significant playing time along the front line. That could pose a problem against the Jayhawks who feature a handful of 6-8 players as well as 7-footer Jeff Withey. Against Ohio, Richmond was outrebounded 36-26 and allowed 14 offensive rebounds. Against Minnesota, more of the same as the Spiders were outdone on the glass, 37-20.

Tags: College Basketball Richmond Spiders Kansas Jayhawks

College Basketbal Betting Free Play: UL-Monroe Warhawks at Florida State Seminoles

12.17.2012     12:53 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
UL-Monroe at Florida State -25
Recommendation: Florida State

UL-Monroe is arguably the worst team in college basketball. Already this season we've seen them lose to Oklahoma by 34, Arkansas-Little Rock by 25 and last time out, at home, by 29 to Southern. Last year's ULM team won three games and they were forced to reload with JC players. They've purposely scheduled fewer games so the kids can hit the books harder in order to boost the team's APR. The bottom line is if and when ULM covers, it will come as a result of other teams clearing their bench and calling off the dogs not because they came through the backdoor with a flurry of points late. Florida State is going through a transition and head coach Leonard Hamilton's main concern is getting his kids to buy into his style of play. There have been pitfalls including home losses to South Alabama and Mercer but when focused, the Seminoles have shown they still have the ability to outclass teams at home (see: 95-68 vs. Buffalo; 91-59 vs. Maine). With finals out of the way and nothing significant looming on deck until the weekend, I expect the Seminoles to be focused for this contest.

Tags: College Basketball UL-Monroe Warhawks Florida State Seminoles Andrew Lange

College Basketball Handicapping: How important is the first meeting to a rematch?

12.17.2012     07:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Interesting theory in play tonight with Louisiana Tech and Arkansas-Little Rock hooking up for a second time this season. In the first meeting, Tech rolled to a 70-52 home win. For tonight's rematch, they are currently priced as 2-point road chalk. I unearthed my College Basketball Prospectus from a few years back and remember an article written by Ken Pomeroy on second meets. The records are a little dated but over a five-year span, Pomeroy found that teams that won the first meeting at home by 20-29 points were a relatively modest 283-202 (.583) in the road rematch. Teams that won by 10-19 points (like Louisiana Tech) were 781-759 (.507). Now if it is the road team doing to initial butt-kicking, they win the rematch around 80 percent of the time at home.

The point here is that while Louisiana Tech may be the better overall team, the end result from the first meeting shouldn’t have much of an impact if any into your handicap. Perhaps more important: Will Little Rock turn the ball over 19 times like it did in Ruston? How concerned should I be over Tech's recent road losses to Northwestern State and McNeese? Is Little Rock's 7-0 record at home for real? Bottom line Read more

Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

12.15.2012     08:46 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Kansas State vs. Gonzaga -9 O/U 137
Recommendation: Gonzaga

Gonzaga comes off its first loss of the season, dropping an 85-74 decision at home to Illinois last Saturday. The Bulldogs ran into Illinois at its best as the Illini hit 11-of-26 three pointers in route to the upset win. I still have Gonzaga ranked in my top ten, however, and they will bounce back today against a Kansas State team that is not as dangerous as the Illini.

Illinois actually averages 11 made threes per game, and the three-point shot is the ultimate weapon for underdogs in college basketball. Kansas State only makes 5.6 per game and hits just 31.2% from behind the arc. They will have trouble getting their points inside as well against the tall Gonzaga front line. KSU plays a three-guard lineup with 6-5 Nino Williams and 6-7 Thomas Gipson up front. Gonzaga counters with a front court that goes 6-8, 6-8, 7-0, and should control the paint in this one.

While this is not a Read more

Tags: College Basketball Kansas State Wildcats Gonzaga Bulldogs Brent Crow

College Basketball Handicapping: Tennessee looks to snap offensive cold streak

12.13.2012     08:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wichita State at Tennessee -1.5

You can play all the defense in the world but at some point you have to be able to put the ball in the bucket and for Tennessee that has been a huge challenge of late. The Vols return home after scoring 36 and 38 points respectively against Georgetown and Virginia. They also netted only 45 points in a loss to Oklahoma State earlier this season. Wichita meanwhile is 9-0 with wins over VCU, DePaul and Iowa.

“We’ve got to get out in transition and run more,” guard Trae Golden said Tuesday. “We’re thinking too much. It will click for us.”

“They’re going to try and make it a tough night offensively for the opposing team,” WSU guard Demetric Williams said. “They work hard and they’re physical.”

Tags: College Basketball Tennessee Volunteers Wichita State Shockers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: UW-Milwaukee Panthers at Fairfield Staggs

12.12.2012     08:37 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Wisc-Milwaukee at Fairfield -11.5
Recommendation: Fairfield

My strike price for this being a full play was -10 and unfortunately, the betting markets are well aware of UW-Milwaukee's shortcoming of late. I still think the right side for tonight's contest at Fairfield is the chalk – even with some of the value gone – and will personally play the Staggs in some capacity. Over the last three games, Milwaukee has been simply awful and after watching them lose to Buffalo by 20 and needing overtime to dispose of woeful Northern Illinois, I stepped in and faded the Panthers in what ended up being a 34-point loss to DePaul. Head coach Rob Jeter is at a loss for words when trying to describe his squad’s play. I am too. Even with a more spirited effort tonight, the Panthers just don't have the personnel to compete on the road against a quality opponent. Fairfield isn't the ideal team to be laying double-digits but I like the quotes I read Read more

Tags: College Basketball UW-Milwaukee Panthers Fairfield Staggs Andrew Lange

College Basketballl Gambling: Colorado looks for better showing vs. Fresno State

12.12.2012     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Colorado -3.5 at Fresno State

It's been tough keeping up with Colorado's ebbs and flows this season. Back in November they won the Charleston Classic with wins over Dayton, Baylor, and Murray State. Then they needed overtime to get past Texas Southern at home and melted down in the second half at Wyoming. The Buffs however bounced back with a big home win over rival Colorado State but followed that up with a 36-point loss at Kansas. Tonight they are back on the road (laying points) at Fresno State.

"If a 36-point drubbing doesn't humble you, I don't know what will," Boyle said. "Experience is the best teacher, it's a better teacher than I am. We'll see what we took from it. We're not dwelling on it and we're moving on, but we're looking for progress."

"It's very important. We have to get a

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Colorado Buffaloes Fresno State Bulldogs

College Basketball ATS Analysis: Buy low on Northern Colorado

12.11.2012     07:14 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
It's college basketball finals week which gives us a chance to catch our breath and analyze the first quarter of the season. Throughout the week we'll be taking a look at ATS successes and failures and trying to project whether or not the trend will continue.

Northern Colorado: I really liked Northern Colorado heading into the season but thus far they've really disappointed. They have yet to win a game against a DI opponent and more importantly are 0-6 ATS. The program won 21 games in 2010, lost a host of key seniors in 2011 and dropped to 9-19, but returned practically everyone for 2012. As mentioned, it hasn't worked out but I'm not going to give up on this squad just yet.

Will it continue? I don't think so and here is why. For starters, UNC has always had a strong home/road dichotomy. Greeley is at elevation and a difficult place to get to. Remember that 21-win campaign? They didn't lose a single game at Butler Hancock Pavillon. So far this season, they've played one lined game at home and it came against a very strong Wyoming club. UNC actually had a lead in that contest before Wyoming pulled off yet another incredible second half Read more

Tags: College Basketball Northern Colorado Bears Andrew Lange

College Basketball ATS Analysis: Can Illinois-Chicago hold its betting value?

12.11.2012     06:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
It's college basketball finals week which gives us a chance to catch our breath and analyze the first quarter of the season. Throughout the week we'll be taking a look at ATS successes and failures and trying to project whether or not the trend will continue.

Illinois-Chicago: At the end of last season, UIC had eight wins and ranked 290th nationally according to Ken Pomeroy. There were flashes of competence and a few nice spread covers but the Flames looked as if they were still going to be outmanned on most nights despite heading into the 2012-12 season with a third-year head coach and four returning starters. But here we are, a month into the season, and UIC is 8-1 SU and 7-1 ATS. And their schedule wasn't easy. They lost by seven at New Mexico as 16.5-point underdogs. Beat Iona by five as a 7.5-point underdog on a neutral court. Strolled into Northwestern as double-digit underdogs as won by six. And last time out took down Colorado State as a short home dog. And if you're looking for  reason why all of that took place, defense would be a good place to start.

Will it continue? With the departure of Butler and a few others Read more

Tags: College Basketball Illinois-Chicago Flames Andrew Lange


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