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February

24

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Basketball's worst against the spread

02.11.2013     07:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I took a look at the best pointspread teams in all of college basketball, with the goal of assessing which teams were most likely to continue their ATS success down the stretch. This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be overvalued as February rolls into March? Let’s find out!

The single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball this year has been IUPUI (Indiana-Purdue, Indianapolis); the type of team that only wiseguys bet on or against on a regular basis. At 5-17 ATS, no team in all of college basketball has suffered more pointspread defeats than the Jaguars this year. The Jaguars play in the Summit League, on the added board in college hoops – exclusive territory for sharps.

IUPUI has virtually no homecourt edge, covering just a single pointspread at home all year. They’ve been besieged with injuries and attrition; Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting: Kansas' offense has been horrific

02.11.2013     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas State at Kansas -8 O/U 131.5

Pretty amazing that West Virginia of all teams is averaging more points per possession (100.4) than Kansas (100.1) in Big XII play. The difference in miniscule but we're talking about a team that was 9-11, 2-5 in Big XII play heading into February vs. a team that at one point was undefeated in league play and ranked among the top 5 teams in the nation. During Kansas' three-game losing streak they shot 16-of-41 from 2 against Oklahoma State, tried its best to duplicate that in the loss to TCU (15-of-39), and went 5-of-15 from 3 and 11-of-20 from the free throw line in Saturday's loss at Oklahoma.


“I don’t know where we are,” Self said, “but it seems like to me, we’re missing a lot of shots that other teams aren’t missing.”






Tags: College Basketball Kansas Jayhawks Kansas State Wildcats




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northern Iowa Panthers at Bradley Braves

02.10.2013     07:53 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northern Iowa -3 at Bradley
Recommendation: Northern Iowa


This looks to be a solid spot where fundamental and situational angles favor visiting UNI. The Panthers have recently taken their methodical offense and vice grip defense philosophies to new heights which figure to frustrate inconsistent Bradley. Over their last six games, Northern Iowa has limited MVC opponents to 50.3 ppg and they’ve totally suffocated foes from beyond the arc allowing an average of 26% (26-100) and no better than 33% during the span. Bradley’s emphasis on three-point shooting (five players with 56 attempts or more) and quicker tempo (70 possessions per game in league play) is simply not a good fit against the Panthers. Another factor in UNI’s favor is the fact that they’re overdue to snap out of their three-game shooting funk. UNI boasts a solid 52.5 effective FG% for the season but in their last three games they’ve produced three of their four lowest Read more



Tags: College Basketball Northern Iowa Panthers Bradley Braves Rob Veno




College Basketball Gambling: Recapping Notre Dame's miracle win vs. Louisville and others

02.10.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was possibly the worst quintuple overtime thriller I’ve ever watched! Well, a truly ugly first 35 minutes…followed by a sluggish but entertainingly dramatic 30 additional minutes. Many of you watched too, so you know what I’m talking about. The last 35 minutes of on-the-clock action was very compelling basketball even if the game was far from a piece of artwork. If you missed it:

*We had your typical 50-something to 40-something type grinder brewing most of the night. Louisville led 49-45 with 2:30 left in regulation.

*Louisville pulled out to what seemed like a safe lead with 90 seconds left…setting up the standard sequence of them shooting free throws while Notre Dame tried to make desperation treys. Louisville led 53-45 with 1:27 to go.

*Notre Dame made ONE…then TWO…then THREE very long range very forced desperation treys to force a late tie. Those bombs fell with 44-36-28 seconds left respectively.

*Louisville didn’t have Read more



Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks at Vanderbilt Commodores

02.09.2013     08:05 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arkansas at Vanderbilt +2
Recommendation: Vanderbilt


From a situational standpoint, it doesn't get much better than a fade of Arkansas this afternoon. For starters, the Razorback are winless on the road – and with the exception of a three-point loss at Alabama, their SEC games away from Fayetteville haven't been very competitive with losses by 18, 14, and 21. Then there is the issue of coming off a win over Florida back on Tuesday. This is still a very young ball club and with a history of not being able to sustain success. And don't forget that when these two teams met back in mid-January, Arkansas won 56-33 – one of the worst losses in Vanderbilt's history. No question the Commodores remember that outing. As for Vandy, it's been ugly, no doubt. But this team continues to fight with three straight losses by 1, 4, and 1. They also lost to Kentucky on this floor by two and took Ole Miss to overtime. So the record says 2-7, but they could very easily Read more



Tags: College Basketball Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Andrew Lange




College Basketball Gambling: Top ranked Indiana melts down at Illinois

02.08.2013     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Number one Indiana trailed for a fraction of a second in the second half Thursday night in its Big Ten road game against Illinois in Champaign-Urbana. It was the fraction of a second that mattered most…as Illinois hit a shot just before the buzzer to make it FIVE STRAIGHT WEEKS where the top team in the AP poll was knocked off its perch.

Illinois 74, #1 Indiana 72

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 48%, Illinois 50%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 9/17, Illinois 9/24

Free Throws: Indiana 13/14, Illinois 13/15

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 45, Illinois 47

Rebounds: Indiana 28, Illinois 21

Turnovers: Indiana 14, Illinois 9

(Indiana 2-1 in Kenpom/Sagarin respectively, Illinois 56-51)

We talked about Indiana’s penchant for sloppiness in our coverage of the Michigan game last weekend. That was an issue here…as the team was -5 in the turnover category against an opponent that was second best Read more



Tags: College Basketball Illinois Fighting Illini Indiana Hoosiers Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Utah State Aggies at San Jose State Spartans

02.08.2013     12:10 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Utah State -7 at San Jose State
Recommendation: Utah State


San Jose State has now gone a month without a victory: 0-7 SU, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games and they have been burning money for their supporters on their home court going 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. The Spartans struggles coincided with the suspension of their best player guard James Kinney who averaged 20.6 ppg along with over 5 rebounds per contest and a team high 34 steals. Kinney was well over 80% of San Jose State’s offense. Without Kinney on the court, only one player averages double digits in scoring on this team and that is Chris Cunningham at 10.6 ppg. Clearly, San Jose State hasn’t shown any sort of ability to adjust to Kinney’s absence.

Utah State has also had to deal with injuries. Preston Medlin is out 6 to 8 weeks with a broken wrist. Kyisean Reed is out for the season after suffering a torn ACL back in January.  After the injuries Read more



Tags: College Basketball Utah State Aggies San Jose State Spartans Ian Cameron




College Basketball Handicapping: MAAC teams falter after tough stretch of schedule

02.08.2013     07:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It was a wild night in the MAAC last night as league contenders Canisius, Iona, and Niagara all lost outright as betting favorites (Canisius opened -2.5 vs. Manhattan but closed as a pk/1-point underdog). It was a classic case of three teams that were simply worn down after beating up on one another. It started two Sunday's ago when Niagara beat rival Canisius on a buzzer beater. The Purple Eagles then beat Iona in a wild 93-90 overtime affair. They then lost to Loyola-MD in double overtime, 89-87. And Canisius and Iona hooked up last Saturday with the Golden Griffins prevailing 77-74. So basically, the top four teams in the league – Niagara, Loyola-MD, Iona, and Canisius – played an intense, highly competitive round robin tournament. Note that Fairfield already ran the gauntlet of top teams and as a result started conference play 2-6. But while everyone was trading wins and losses over the last two weeks, the Stags enjoyed ripping off five straight wins against the weaker teams in the league and now find themselves in the hunt. Anyway, something to consider tonight as Loyola-MD is a big favorite over bottom feeder Siena. The Greyhounds were on the winning end of that Read more



Tags: College Basketball Canisius Golden Griffins Iona Gaels Niagara Purple Eagles Loyola (MD) Greyhounds Fairfield Stags Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Trends: Duke looks for revenge vs. NC State

02.07.2013     11:03 AM     Printer Friendly
NC State at Duke -11

A quick look at Duke's betting results with same season revenge (6-1 SU/ATS). The Blue Devils lost at NC State 84-76 back in mid-January.

Duke Same Season Revenge 2009-present
Year
Opponent
Final Score
Duke SU
Duke ATS
2012
at Florida State
74-66
Win
Win -1
2011
vs. Virginia Tech
77-63
Win
Win -7.5
2011
vs. North Carolina
75-58
Win
Win -4.5
2010
vs. Georgia Tech
86-67
Win
Win -13
2009
vs. Wake Forest
101-91
Win
Win -8
2009
at North Carolina
71-79
Loss
Win +8.5
2009
vs. Boston College
66-65
Win
Loss -10
Results
 
 
6-1 SU
6-1 ATS






Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils NC State Wolfpack




College Basketball Gambling Free Pick: Washinton Huskies at UCLA Bruins

02.07.2013     09:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at UCLA -7.5 O/U 148
Recommendation: Over


Washington has been forced into a halfcourt style in most of their PAC-12 games, as opposing teams have done their best to slow down Lorenzo Romar’s talented roster.  The Huskies lost four straight to close out January, held to just 65 points per game during that span.  But Romar instructed his team to turn up the speed in their last game, against Arizona State, and the Huskies snapped that skid with a wild 96-92 victory that flew Over the total by more than 50 points!

UCLA will run with Washington.  The Bruins excel playing at an uptempo style, and they’re fully rested and ready following a week long hiatus.  Frosh guard Jordan Adams: "We needed this week to focus on the little things. Attention to detail. All the stuff that's making us lose.”  Forward Travis Wear: “I think it helps us now because it helps us refocus going Read more



Tags: College Basketball Washington Huskies UCLA Bruins Teddy Covers



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February

24


 
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