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November

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Patriot League Tournament Gambling Preview

02.29.2012     11:50 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here’s a game-by-game look at tonight’s Patriot League Tournament quarterfinals.

#8 Navy @ #1 Bucknell (-17.5 / 115) – The Midshipmen went 0-14 in regular season conference play and 3-25 overall but they enter this quarterfinal round having lost by more than this price only four times this season and one of those was to Missouri. On this floor four days ago, Navy played Bucknell very competitively losing by nine 64-55. The immediate turnaround situation in this contest could be viewed as an edge for either side but whichever stance you take is dictated by the Bison’s motivational angle. They could take a bored approach to this #8 seed which they’ve disposed of twice now or they could focus on distancing themselves early to keep the crowd energetic and coast through the second half. The latter is exactly what Bucknell did on Saturday leading by double-digits almost throughout the entire contest but the Middies never quit playing and made it a single-digit final. Bucknell has won by more than this asking price once in Patriot League play and their preferred slower tempo makes it difficult to gain extreme separation. The game Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno




Big East Betting Notes: Pitino want Cardinals to run, tough to do vs. South Florida

02.29.2012     11:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Florida at Louisville -9 O/U 119

Louisville head coach Rick Pitino is upset that his team continues to get involved in grind-it-out, half court games. With the exception of an overtime result against DePaul, the Cardinals haven't topped 70 possessions since a 80-59 win over UConn on February 6. The problem is they may have to wait another game to get that type of pace. South Florida hasn't played a Big East game with over 65 possessions. Their fastest game to date was in large part due to the margin; a 30-point loss to Georgetown. In games against fast-paced Marquette, Villanova and DePaul, the average game score for the Bulls was 123.8. And when you account for Louisville's defensive prowess (86.7 points per possession allowed, 7th nationally), getting up over 120 tonight could be difficult. Perhaps buying Read more


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals South Florida Bulls




College Basketball Handicapping: Tracking close ATS results

02.29.2012     07:25 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Back in early February some Fairway Followers requested updated information on college basketball ATS results, and I provided them in the Sportsmemo posting forum. With the regular season coming to a close this week, I thought it was a good time to update the results and see how this season compares to historical college basketball results. I reviewed box scores, stats and documented and tracked these results every night and the following mornings during the season.

Using historical data since the advent of the 3-point shot 25 years ago, approximately 40% of college basketball games and final scores will land within five points of the betting line. Approximately 10% of games and final scores will land within one point of the line (11% this season). This is slightly subjective with opening/closing line moves, but a good guide and indicator.

Using the closing lines as your guide for this college basketball season, here are the results month by month.  Again, nearly 40% of the college basketball games and final scores landed within five points of the betting line (39.3%) with nearly 3,200 games and results.

College Basketball results within 5 points of the line as of 2/29/2012
Month
# Games
Within 5 points of line - %
November
586
203 - 34.6%
December
665
275 - 41.4%
January
952
382 - 40.1%
February
995
398 - 40.0%
Total
3,198
1,258 - 39.3%


While the Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




NCAA Basketball Betting Notes: Ohio State limps into matchup vs. Northwestern

02.29.2012     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State -7 at Northwestern O/U 132.5

Ohio State has lost three of five entering tonight's game at Northwestern. Most surprising is the home losses to Michigan State and most recently Wisconsin – on senior night. Jared Sullinger came out and admitted he has been distracted of late.


“I had to throw them out of practice yesterday,” he said. “They weren’t ready to practice. And this team has shown we play like we practice.”

“It is just the little stuff,” Sullinger said. “It is just me letting the refs get to me, or letting everything on the outside get to me and letting it creep in. I was Read more



Tags: College Basketball Ohio State Buckeyes Northwestern Wildcats




College Basketball Gambling: Rumors circulating of a scandal at UCLA

02.29.2012     06:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sports Illustrated is reportedly going to print with a scandal-like story on the UCLA basketball program and its relationship with drugs. Last night ESPNU said that the UCLA athletics department plans to call a press conference to repspond to the matter.


#UCLA HC Ben Howland on upcoming SI expose: "Specifically, I can't talk about any former player or student relative to anything having to do with that. We have a comprehensive drug policy here at UCLA where any time someone fails a drug test, I'm alerted, school's alerted and player is alerted, and I think we have a good program in place for all teams to receive education and counseling and receive discipline."

 



Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins




Atlantic Sun Tournament Gambling Preview

02.29.2012     05:50 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament
University Center, Macon, GA (Host: Mercer)


Favorite - #1 Belmont
Veteran head coach Rick Byrd (26th season) has by far the deepest and most talented team in the league. Belmont currently ranks second in the nation in points per game at 82.1 and their unselfish style has resulted in six players scoring between 9 and 14 points per game. The offense is extremely diverse executing up-tempo and half court styles with interior, perimeter and off the dribble scoring options. The Bruins depth was on full display this past Saturday as they sat starting junior PG Kerron Johnson (14 ppg) and sophomore SF Blake Jenkins due to minor injuries and still pulled out a 62-61 win right here against tournament #2 seed Mercer. At 22-7 with a 59 RPI and only one Top 50 RPI win (at Middle Tennessee State), it’s imperative for Belmont to win this tournament to gain a return trip to the NCAA Tournament. With their experience (seven upperclassmen in the nine man rotation), diversity (can effectively play two PG’s at the same time) and motivation, they should be the clear cut Read more


Tags: College Basketball Belmont Bruins Rob Veno




College Basketball ATS Free Play: Kansas State Wildcats at Texas A&M Aggies

02.28.2012     01:28 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas State at Texas A&M +4.5 O/U 121.5
Recommendation: Texas A&M


Last home game for the Aggies and two senior starters. Texas A&M is trying to get to .500 and become eligible for postseason play. However, they have struggled down the stretch going 1-7 SU including their recent 0-3 slide. As noted in my Last Home Game blog and other supporting situations, Texas A&M (13-15) should come with plenty of energy and effort playing with revenge against Kansas State following a 64-53 loss in Manhattan earlier this month. Note that two of the Aggies top players missed that contest and both forward Khris Middleton and guard Dash Harris will play tonight in the rematch. That low possession loss to K-State is common for the Aggies, but their defense remains solid through their struggles allowing just 63 Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kansas State Wildcats Texas A&M Aggies __




Ohio Valley Conference Tournament Odds: Murray State -800 favorite

02.28.2012     12:53 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Odds on the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament courtesy of 5Dimes. Opening round action starts tomorrow in Nashville.

Odds to win OVC Tournament
Murray State -800
Tennessee State +600
Tennessee Tech +1600
Morehead State +3000
Austin Peay +3500
Southeast Missouri State +10000
Eastern Kentucky +10000
Jacksonville State +20000

Matchups
Wednesday
#5 Southeast Missouri vs. #8 Eastern Kentucky
#6 Austin Peay vs. #7 Jacksonville State

Thursday
#5/8 Winner vs. #4 Tennessee Tech
#6/7 Winner vs. #3 Morehead State

Friday
#8/5/4 Winner vs. #1 Murray State
#7/6/3 Winner vs. #2 Tennessee State




Tags: College Basketball Murray State Racers




Horizon League Tournament: Three teams priced as double-digit underdogs

02.28.2012     12:33 PM     Printer Friendly
Interesting to see three double-digit underdogs in the opening round of the Horizon League Tournament. Over the last four years, those teams have covered five of eight games.

Home Teams: 8-8 ATS
Favorites 9-7 ATS
Double-Digit Underdogs: 5-3 ATS


Horizon League Tournament First Round Betting History 2008-11
Year
Away
Home
ATS Winner
2011
Illinois-Chicago
Cleveland State
Illinois-Chicago +14.5
2011
Green Bay
Wright State
Wright State -6
2011
Loyola
Detroit
Detroit -4.5
2011
Youngstown
Valparaiso
Youngstown +13
2010
Loyola
Cleveland State
Cleveland State -10
2010
Detroit
Valparaiso
Detroit +1
2010
Illinois-Chicago
Milwaukee
Illinois-Chicago +12.5
2010
Youngstown
Green Bay
Green Bay -9.5
2009
Detroit
Cleveland State
Detroit +16
2009
Valparaiso
Wright State
Wright State -10
2009
Illinois-Chicago
Youngstown
Illinois-Chicago -2
2009
Loyola
Milwaukee
Milwaukee -7.5
2008
Detroit
Wright State
Wright State -11.5
2008
Green Bay
Valparaiso
Valparaiso -6.5
2008
Loyola
Milwaukee
Loyola +4.5
2008
Youngstown
Illinois-Chicago
Youngstown +12.5




Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Gambling: Situation continues to worsen for Mississippi State

02.28.2012     12:19 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is getting tougher and tougher to get to the window with Mississippi State these days. And with players calling out other players the situation has now reached toxic levels. Following Saturday 67-50 loss at Alabama, forward Arnett Moultrie came out and said that different players had different agendas. Head coach Rick Stansbury summed it up by saying "it kinda is what it is." The Bulldogs attempt to snap a five-game losing streak tomorrow at South Carolina.

 

"These last five games we haven't been playing like a team," Moultrie said. "Everybody got their own agendas. I see how they come up here (to the podium) and say how bad they want to win and how bad they want to go to the Final Four, but everybody doesn't work as hard as they say they want (in order) to win."

"I know it's easy for (Arnett) to get frustrated because things haven't gone our way, but there's some things I wish we did better but, at this point, it kinda is what it is," Stansbury said. "We aren't going to let one game make comments like that. After the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Mississippi State Bulldogs



75

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