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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon Ducks

01.13.2013     08:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State at Oregon
Recommendation: Arizona State +5.5 1st half


On most days, Oregon is without question 10 points or more better than Arizona State on its home floor. But, the Ducks are off a huge storm-the-court-win against undefeated Arizona and it shouldn't come as a shock if they come out sluggish against ASU tonight. That was the biggest win the Ducks have had under Dana Altman as the team moved to 13-2, 2-0 PAC-12. Arizona State comes in playing with house money. They beat Utah in overtime to open PAC-12 play, caught Colorado in a great spot, and benefited from a multiple suspensions to Oregon State. I'm not completely sold on the Sun Devils but they are improved from last season (see: PG Jahii Carson) and have the guard play and size to not be completely overwhelmed on the highway. I grabbed some ASU +5.5 first half and will play accordingly at halftime.




Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Oregon Ducks Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon State Beavers

01.10.2013     06:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State at Oregon State -5
Recommendation: Oregon State


I'm not sold on Arizona's 13-2, 2-0 PAC-12 start. Are the Sun Devils better than last year? No question. But the schedule has been extremely favorable thus far and things get a bit tougher starting tonight in Corvallis. For starters ASU has played one true road game against a Texas Tech squad that just lost on its home floor to Baylor by 34. Next, the Sun Devils are 2-0 in league play but needed overtime to get past Utah and were gift-wrapped a win against Colorado after the Buffaloes were hosed out of one on the road against undefeated Arizona. Oregon State meanwhile below a six-point halftime lead and ended up losing to rival Oregon 79-66 at home. With Arizona on deck and then back-to-back road games in LA, all of a sudden this game has a lot of meaning. If Oregon State can keep ASU's Jahii Carson in check – I expect they’ll throw multiple defensive looks his way – I think Read more


Tags: College Basketball Oregon State Beavers Arizona State Sun Devils Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Louisville Cardinals at Seton Hall Pirates

01.09.2013     02:40 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisville -10.5 at Seton Hall O/U 136.5
Recommendation: Over


Louisville has put up outstanding defensive numbers this season but if you dig a little you'll notice that quality teams have had varying degrees of success. Providence shot 45% from the floor and 40% from three. Kentucky was even better at 48.3%/47.6%. Memphis hit nearly 52% of its shots and Illinois State did the same. Some of those games were without the services of post presence Gorgui Dieng who is now back but the loss of Chane Behanan once again leaves the Cardinals without a quality defender. Pitno said Behanan will be replaced by Montrezl Harrell who doesn't yet understand the intricacies of the team’s defense. Make no mistake, Louisville is still an elite defense, but in its five games vs. BCS conference schools (and Memphis) the games scores were 145, 147, 165, 157 and 142. But beyond the “so-so” defense, the two main reasons of those high scores were pace and Read more


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Seton Hall Pirates Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Alabama Crimson Tide at Missouri Tigers

01.08.2013     06:59 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Alabama at Missouri -9 O/U 133
Recommendation: Missouri


If you look at Alabama's in SEC play last year, they didn't lose a game by more than 10 points despite going 9-7. But the Crimson Tide were a different team in part because they had JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell on the front line. Even on off shooting nights, Bama's defense always kept them in the games. Green and Mitchell are obviously gone and while Alabama still defends, they simply aren't as strong. Tonight they go on the road to face Missouri with six freshmen and sophomores. We saw this team absolutely wilt under the pressure of VCU's press (16 turnovers, 39% FGs). They return guard Andrew Steele who will certainly help but reports indicate that he is not 100%. Missouri isn't as frenetic as VCU but they'll undoubtedly extend their pressure and they also have the size up front to force Alabama to shoot from the outside. It is a long season, but Alabama's home losses to Mercer and Tulane are big red Read more


Tags: College Basketball Alabama Crimson Tide Missouri Tigers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: Oddsmakers, bettors overvalue Pittsburgh Panthers

01.07.2013     01:38 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Everyone knows Ken Pomeroy has a huge impact of the betting markets. Rarely do we see pointspreads or totals stray too far from Pomery's "predictions" unless there is a significant injury. But one ranking in particular has caught my eye. Last season, Pittsburgh finished 63rd (22-17, 5-13 Big East) in Pomeroy's rankings. Given Pitt's history of success and returning talent, the Panthers opened the year ranked 22nd – a mark that seemed fairly reasonable. But for whatever reason, Pitt skyrocketed up the rankings despite playing a soft, home friendly schedule. Heading into December 19th's game against Delaware State, the Panthers were 5th, despite playing one legitimate opponent; Michigan, on a neutral court and the Wolverines won 67-62. There were a handful of decent foes like Lehigh, Delaware and Detroit, but those games were at home and Pitt as expected won rather easily.

So then Big East play started and despite its very limited resume, Pitt closed as a 6-point home favorite over Cincinnati – a game the Bearcats won outright 70-61. Then last weekend, the Panthers took to the road to face Rutgers and were getting bet like people already knew the Read more


Tags: College Basketball Pittsburgh Panthers Georgetown Hoyas Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Washington Huskies at Washington State Cougars

01.05.2013     09:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Washington State -5 O/U 129
Recommendation: Under


Both Washington schools appear to being going through a little bit of a style transformation this year. Washington has implemented a different offense due to its personnel that requires more patience on offense. So far, the Huskies are for the first time ever under Lorenzo Romar averaging below 70 possessions per game. And not only has the pace slowed but the offense isn't very potent. Against defensive-minded Ohio State, Colorado State, St. Louis and UConn, UW averaged 58.5 ppg. Tonight, they travel to take on a Washington State squad that is in its second year of stall ball. Ken Bone's teams ran at Portland State and did the same in his first two seasons in Pullman. Last year, however, with the offense focused on center Brock Motum, the Cougars averaged 62.9 possessions per game. This year, they are right on that number again and have played a litany of sub-60 possession contests. As a Read more


Tags: College Basketball Washington Huskies Washington State Cougars Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Northern Colorado Bears at Weber State Wildcats

01.03.2013     08:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northern Colorado at Weber State -13
Recommendation: Weber State


Northern Colorado has played a brutal schedule; one a lot of Big Sky teams would struggle with. But unfortunately for the Bears, traveling to Weber State tonight isn't much of a step down in class. I've been chomping at the bit to step in and support UNC but they've been on the road for nearly the entire non-conference and aren't good enough to compete with strong teams on the highway. The storyline for Northern Colorado is really a simple one. Yes, they were extremely young last year but they led the  country in three-point shooting at a staggering 45.1% and seventh in effective FG% at 55.1% and despite all that, they won nine games and were 5-11 in Big Sky play. This year, they are shooting only 30.5% from three and as a result have beaten only one DI team. Now they aren't going to shoot 30% all season but they just so happen to be facing one of the best three-point shooting Read more


Tags: College Basketball Northern Colorado Bears Weber State Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Furman Paladins at SMU Mustangs

12.30.2012     09:31 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Furman at SMU -14
Recommendation: SMU


Furman is a bottom of the barrel squad with just one win over DI competition – 81-57 at home vs. Presbyterian (339th). In their eight other games, the Paladins lost by margins of 17, 14, 14, 24, 12, 21, 27, 27. The 12-point margin you see was against Jacksonville who like Presbyterian, is south of 300 according Ken Pom's ranking. So in this spot, essentially Furman is being asked to go on the road and be at least somewhat competitive against a somewhat decent squad. The Mustangs beat Loyola Marymount by 15 and Rider by 13 – two quality teams. And their last two games against sub-part competition they beat Hosftra by 26 and Alcorn State by 15 – both games away from home. At home off the holiday break, SMU gets a weak opponent it can easily handle. Lay the points.




Tags: College Basketball Furman Paladins SMU Mustangs Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Duquesne Dukes at UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

12.22.2012     07:09 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Duquesne at -ULLafayette -3
Recommendation: Louisiana-Lafayette


I think this is a difficult spot for Duquesne as they make an isolated road trip to UL-Lafayette before the holiday break. The Dukes are a talented but young squad that relies heavily of three-point shooting. With the exception of a 34.6% effort from three at Appalachian State (2-8), the Dukes have shot 27%, 25%, 24%, 18% and 17% from deep away from home. And of those five games, four featured 41% FG shooting or less. Also a concern should be their performance from that charity stripe with a season average of 62%. Lafayette is also very young but has had a few performances that suggest they are capable. Earlier in the year they lost by six at Boise State and lost by three at Michigan State. Last time out, they had a five-point lead in the second half against a quality Robert Morris squad but ended up falling short 66-61. Note that Robert Morris beat Duquesne by 22 two weeks ago. The Cajun Dome is Read more


Tags: College Basketball Duquesne Dukes UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Oakland Grizzlies at West Virginia Mountaineers

12.19.2012     11:34 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oakland at West Virginia -11.5 O/U 146.5
Recommendation: West Virginia


Reading the quotes from Bobby Huggins, practice probably wasn't easy for the Mountaineers this week. Various players are in the dog house while others were called out for not putting in extra work. This team has plenty of issues but the biggest one is not being able to put the ball in the bucket. Their effective FG% ranks 318th nationally while they are hitting less than 27% of their threes. Now this isn't the type of team that is going to shoot 50% from the floor on a consistent basis but there will be nights when the shots do fall. Entire the Oakland Grizzlies who don’t play a lick of defense. They sport the second worst 2-point FG% defense in the country at 61.1%. That means WVU should have plenty of easy looks and not be forced to rely on outside shots. The Grizzlies have also had a difficult time stepping up in class on the road. With the exception of the 10-point overtime Read more


Tags: College Basketball West Virginia Mountaineers Oakland Grizzlies Andrew Lange



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