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NCAA Tournament Gambling Notes: Ken Pom's odds to advance

03.19.2012     06:46 AM     Printer Friendly
Updated odds from Ken Pomeroy on the remaining 16 teams in the NCAA Tournament.

 copy_ken_pom_16.JPG

 




Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Free Pick: Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan State Spartans

03.18.2012     10:51 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Saint Louis +7.5 vs. Michigan State O/U 124
Recommendation: Saint Louis


Michigan State is top-tier team, but I believe they are in for a tough one today. Their superior defense can be matched by a Saint Louis stop unit that requires patience, precision passing and careful ball handling. Lower-scoring game expected with Michigan State allowing just 59 ppg on 38% shooting and 29% from the three-point line.  The Billikens allowed just 59 ppg in A-10 play and after watching our outright underdog winner on SLU over red-hot Memphis you have to be impressed with their ability to dictate tempo and play defense. Saint Louis holds opponents to a low offensive rebounding rate (28%) which is a great match-up against the Spartans’ strength on the boards. Point guard Kwamain Mitchell gives them a premier floor leader, ball handler and passer who can score. Add in some solid outside shooters to a tough team and the Billikens are capable of taking this one to the wire.

Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. His top-rated Big Drive CBB selections hit over 55% this season on Read more



Tags: College Basketball Saint Louis Billikens Michigan State Spartans __




CIT Free Betting Pick: Weber State Wildcats at Loyola Marymount Lions

03.18.2012     06:43 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Weber State at Loyola Marymount -3.5 O/U 144.5
Recommendation: Over


Outside Big Sky play, Weber State was repeatedly exposed on the defensive end of the floor. Against St. Mary's, BYU and Cal, the Wildcats surrendered 87, 94 and 77 points. They also struggled on the road, allowed nearly 73 ppg. The end result was a season long average of 105.7 points per possessions allowed which is very similar to that of Cal State Fullerton (108.2) – a team Loyola Marymount hung 88 on in the first round of the CIT. LMU played its fair share of moderately tempo games but showed a willingness to run against San Francisco and BYU – two teams very similar to Weber State. Certainly a game both side would like to win, but I once against don't expect much intensity on the defensive end which will get us over the 145 mark.




Tags: College Basketball Weber State Wildcats Loyola Marymount Lions Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Betting Notes: Round of 32 action gets underway

03.17.2012     10:09 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Round of 32 action tips off Saturday and we saw some huge upsets in opening round action. With a pair of #15 seeds winning with Norfolk State over Missouri and Lehigh over Duke, there have now been six #15 seeds pull the opening round upset since the NCAA field expanded in 1985. And Friday’s #15 seed shockers had not happened since 2001. Who could forget when some freshman named Steve Nash led #15 seed Santa Clara to the upset over Arizona in 1993?  And how about #13 Ohio completing the big upset trifecta over Michigan yesterday?

Well, history is not profitable for the #15 seeds in the round of 32, as Cinderella #15 is just 1-3 ATS in their next NCAA Tournament game. Note however that Lehigh will play another upset winner with #10 seed Xavier bet up from the -2.5 opening line.

Kentucky and Florida are double-digit favorites in the round of 32, and over the past 10 years, double-digit favorites in this round are a solid 18-8 ATS.

From a totals perspective, the last three years have seen an ‘over’ bias, as the round of 32 over/unders are 31-16-1.  Note that Friday’s totals went 4-12 over/under.

I have two Read more



Tags: College Basketball __




NIT Betting Free Play: UMass Minutemen at Seton Hall Pirates

03.17.2012     06:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UMass +7 at Seton Hall O/U 151
Recommendation: UMass


Early start here in the NIT and a matchup that will be won by who brings the most intensity. Seton Hall didn't look very sharp in its first round win over Stony Brook, escaping with a 63-61 win. Now they face a squad in UMass that requires 40 minutes of concentration. If not, the Minutemen will run the Pirates out of the gym – similar to what they did for much of the time in their win at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs finally woke up but it was too late as UMass (+6.5) won outright in overtime. Look for UMass's relentless press and tempo to cause problems for a potentially lethargic home side in this 11 am local start.





Tags: College Basketball UMass Minutemen Seton Hall Pirates Andrew Lange




Norfolk State and Lehigh cash big tickets for moneyline bettors

03.17.2012     06:40 AM     Printer Friendly
Because these are nice to look at and a healthy reminder that no matter how "chalky" things may get for a stretch, outcomes like these WILL inevitably happen every NCAA Tournament.

copy_lehigh_ML.JPG

copy_norfolk_ML.JPG




Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Gambling Notes: Indiana preps for tough VCU defense

03.17.2012     06:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
VCU vs. Indiana -6 O/U 140

Indiana showing concern for facing VCU's vaunted press on such short notice. Note that the total in this game has climbed to as high as 140 yet VCU has been played just one game over 132 its last two trips to the NCAA Tournament (7 games).


"There are some definitive places that VCU wants you to catch the ball, which is like most pressing teams, which is deep in the corner, and then try to get you to throw it back underneath the basket,'' Crean said. "And this is not a game where I think we're going to be able to bring fatigue to the game. I thought we were able to bring fatigue to the game (against New Mexico State). I think this team is deep. I think they're used to the way they play . . . So it's really a lot more about how strong we are with the ball, what our vision is like and what

Read more



Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hoosiers VCU Rams




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Colorado Buffaloes vs. Baylor Bears

03.17.2012     06:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado vs. Baylor -8 O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Baylor


My clients and I cashed a Big Ticket winner with Colorado over UNLV on Thursday Night, as the Buffaloes jumped out to a 20 point lead and hung on late for the victory. But Colorado’s weakness down the stretch of that ballgame speaks volumes about their inability to compete in this ‘step-up-in-class’ contest on Saturday.

The Buffs are on quite an impressive run: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS since the start of the PAC-12 tournament, winning outright four different times as an underdog. But there was one common denominator in all five of those wins. Colorado didn’t face a team with a strong low post presence at any point during that run. Now, this tired team (this is their sixth game since last Wednesday) must find a way to battle against Baylor’s dominant low post trio of Perry Jones III, Quincy Acy and Quincy Miller. The PAC-12 didn’t have a trio like that anywhere in the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Baylor Bears Colorad Buffaloes Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Ohio Bobcats vs. Michigan Wolverines

03.16.2012     11:37 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio vs. Michigan -5.5 O/U 125.5
Recommendation: Michigan


The Wolverines program has progressively improved under head coach John Beilein culminating in this season’s 24-9 record, national ranking, and more importantly a share of the Big Ten title. Entering the conference tournament, you got the feeling that the Wolverines were fat, happy and satisfied with their regular season and would be looking forward to the Big Dance. That scenario played out as the Wolverines were fully embarrassed in a 77-55 loss to Ohio State. However, the loss likely serves as a wake-up call for Big Blue, and they just might be sitting on their best performance of the season tonight in Nashville. Beilein has proved himself over the years as a heady tournament coach. The NCAA Tournament provides a sound platform for the Wolverines’ system of play. Their half-court offense is difficult to prepare for and Beilein’s ability to mix up his defense’s anchored by their Read more



Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Ohio Bobcats Erin Rynning NCAA Tournament




NCAA Tournament Betting Stats: Teams struggle to shoot on Thursday

03.16.2012     08:42 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pretty tough shooting day for most teams overall yesterday...here are the venue "totals" breakdowns:

Pittsburgh (Consol Energy Center) - 1 over / 3 under - Avg 134.8

All 4 games fell between 131-137

Louisville (KFC Center) - 3 over / 1 under - Avg 135.8

Three games between 141-156...Murray State game 99

Albuquerque (The Pit) - 2 over / 2 under - Avg 132.8

Three games between 122-132...Harvard-Vandy game 149

Portland (Rose Garden) - 1 over / 3 under - Avg 135.0

Two games 143 & 145...Other Two 121 & 131

Of the 10 games that stayed under the total yesterday...6 were below the closing number by 10.5+, one was 8 points under and the other three were 1.5, 2 & 4.5.

Of the 6 games that went over the total...One made it over by double digits (26) and the other five got over by between 2.5 & 5.5 points.





Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno



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