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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians

09.09.2014     01:24 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (May) at Cleveland (Bauer) -170 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


The betting markets stop concentrating on baseball as football season begins, offering savvy bettors a prime opportunity to ride some strong Under-the-Radar team trends like this one.  Minnesota has cashed eight straight Overs, 14-3 to the Over in their last 17, exactly the type of trend that nobody is paying attention to in September.   They’ve averaged 6.2 runs per game on offense during this span but their suspect pitching staff has been torched routinely, both the starters and the bullpen.

My clients and I cashed an Over bet the last time Trevor May was on the hill, a game that produced 15 combined runs against the White Sox.  May is an easy hurler to bet against. He has allowed 23 runs in 21.2 innings in five starts since his call-up from Triple-A.  He has recorded a grand total of one out past the fifth inning in those five starts and his advanced metric numbers show Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Cleveland Indians Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros

08.11.2014     10:29 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Milone) -110 at Houston (Peacock) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


Inclined to step in against Houston starter Brad Peacock who is in the midst of one of the worst stretches of pitching MLB has seen this year.  Over his last five starts, Peacock has not made it into the sixth inning once resulting in a 9.90 ERA, 2.00 WHIP and 1-4 W-L record. Causing plenty of trouble for him these past 20 innings are his 12 BB and 52 TB allowed which includes six HR. Houston even sent the righty down to Triple-A between his most recent starts but his last time out he was tagged for eight runs in five innings. With Joe Mauer scheduled to return tonight off of a successful 6-for-15 rehab stint, Minnesota’s lineup becomes more dangerous. Minnesota also welcomes former A’s starter Tommy Milone into their rotation tonight and the familiar battery of Milone-Suzuki figures to be a positive. Blind to the HP umpire at this time but should tonight’s balls and strikes caller Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Houston Astros Rob Veno




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox

08.02.2014     08:10 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Twins) at Chicago WS (Carroll) -120 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


Throughout his eight-year Minor League career and brief time with the Twins, Yohan Pino has flashed some seriously strong fly ball tendencies. In seven starts for the Twins his groundball rate is 29.8% and yet he's allowed only three home runs. Part of that has been the schedule with five outings in spacious Target Field and the other two in Seattle and Anaheim. Tonight he won't be able to hide as much pitching in Cellular Field. Add in the fact that the White Sox are getting a third look at Pino -- second in less than a week -- and we can expect him to give up his fair share of runs. Like Pino, Chicago's Scott Carroll has been in the minors for much of his career. He's a very fringe arm relying heavily on groundballs to survive. In 79.2 innings this season he's fanned only 41 batters. And the Cell hasn't been kind to Carroll with a 5.82 ERA and .350 BAA in 34 IP. He's also be facing the Twins for a second time Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins at Colorado Rockies

07.12.2014     08:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Correia) at Colorado (Matzek) -145 O/U 10.5
Recommendation: Over


It is scary to think that Colorado rookie Tyler Matzek has a 5.89 ERA in Coors Field and yet has allowed only one home run. Yes, it's only three starts but Matzek is already showing signs of not being an ideal fit for Denver. In 35 innings of work, Matzek flashes a 22-11 K-to-BB ratio as well as a 44% groundball rate. He's a first round draft pick and only 23 years old so I'll leave the door open for success down the road. But right now, expect the struggles to continue. Like Matzek, Minnesota's Kevin Correia has been fortunate with the long ball. The fly balling Correia has tossed 103.1 innings, struck out only 49, and allowed only 11 home runs. Putting a guy like that in Coors Field is a recipe for disaster – or in our case, celebration. Bottom line is we have two mediocre, pitch-to-contact, fly ball pitchers with a total of less than 11. Hope we can avoid the rain and get this one OVER the Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapping: Mariners to start reliever Wilhelmsen vs. Twins

07.10.2014     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Pino) at Seattle (Wilhelmsen) -160 O/U 8

Bettors should be prepared to see a multitude of arms for the Seattle Mariners tonight as reliever/spot starter Tom Wilhelmsen is projected to go only 3-4 innings. Despite Roenis Elias lasting on 3.1 innings last night, Seattle's bullpen is in pretty good shape thanks to a handful of extended outings over the last week.

And a week removed from boasting about Seattle's impressive +70 run differential (as of 7/3) the offense has taken a complete nosedive. Over the last six games the Mariners have been outscored 20-7.


“He’s a power arm,” Mariners manager Lloyd McClendon said. “He’s got four

Read more



Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Minnesota Twins




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

06.08.2014     07:42 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (McHugh) at Minnesota (Deduno)
Recommendation: Houston 5-inning


The up-start Astros continue to fly under the radar winning 10 of their last 14 games. Of course, the Astros have been easily the worst team in the Major League Baseball over the last few years as finding value with this team hasn’t been a problem nor should it be moving forward. Sunday starter Collin McHugh fits the bill for flying under the radar as well. He’s toiled in the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies organizations with 10.04 and 7.59 ERAs in each of the last two years. Obviously there is only one direction to go for the 26-year-old. The Astros have done a great job of developing his stuff coupled with up-tick in velocity. His numbers show the improvement of his repertoire as he boasts a sweet 2.52 ERA and a 54-14 K-to-BB ratio. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s Samuel Deduno will toe the rubber for the Twins. Deduno has limited upside like many of the Twins starting pitchers. The right-hander Read more



Tags: MLB Houston Astros Minnesota Twins Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

06.06.2014     08:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) at Minnesota (Hughes) -120 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


At the start of the season, if you were to someone that Phil Hughes and Dallas Keuchel would be ranked 8th and 12th respectively in WAR among starting pitchers you would have been laughed at an accused of being drunk. But littered among all of the league's big names and arms are two unassuming guys that have figured out how to succeed at a high level. Hughes' story centers on throwing strikes and avoiding the home run ball. Clearly with Hughes pitching in Target Field as oppose to Yankee Stadium helps. It's led to a sparkling 3.12 ERA and 2.59 FIP. Keuchel goes about it in similar fashion ? miss a fair amount of bats (64 Ks in 76.2 IP) and keep the walks (15 BBs) and home runs (4) to a minimum. As a result, he currently flashes a 2.70 ERA and nearly identical 2.74 FIP. While the Twins and Astros have shown an ability to plate runs we're still dealing with two below average AL offenses in a pitcher friend park Read more



Tags: MLB Houston Astros Minnesota Twins Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Alert: Darvish out, Texas gives emergency start to Scott Baker

05.27.2014     01:23 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It was just announced that Texas' Yu Darvish will have an MRI on his neck and miss tonight's start vs. Minnesota. The Rangers will reportedly go with Scott Baker who got hammered for six runs in six innings at Detroit on Friday. He threw 87 pitches.




Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Minnesota Twins




MLB Handicapping: Phil Hughes has been really, really good

05.21.2014     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Brace yourself bettors: Phil Hughes has been pretty damn good over the last month. He's throwing strikes, avoiding the home run ball, and missing a fair amount of bats. It was logical to expect Hughes to perform better once he left New York this past offseason but after three starts, it looked as if it was the same old Hughes: 15 IP, 12 ERs. Of late though, Hughes has found his rhythm with a 1.37 ERA, sick 20-to-0 K-to-BB ratio and 1 home run against Detroit (twice), Baltimore, and Boston. Tonight he's in an ideal situation of pitching in San Diego as a +130 underdog.




Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins San Diego Padres




MLB Betting Update: Bettors treated to another Eddings UNDER

05.08.2014     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Another brilliant performance by umpire Doug Eddings last night as Cleveland and Minnesota combined for 20 strikeouts and only three walks. Eddings is now 1-6 O/U this season with an incredible 125/24 K-to-BB ratio.





MLB Handicapping: Doug Eddings still churning out UNDERS at a high rate

05.07.2014     08:32 AM     View Original Blog


With all of the technological advancements in MLB – most notably QuesTec – we don't see many umpires stray too far from "neutral" when it comes to totals beyond a one or two-year sample. Tim McClelland (over ump) is out for the year and John Hirschbeck (under ump) has missed time due to the death of his son. But there are a Read more



Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Minnesota Twins



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