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MLB Handicapping: Mariners to start reliever Wilhelmsen vs. Twins

07.10.2014     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Pino) at Seattle (Wilhelmsen) -160 O/U 8

Bettors should be prepared to see a multitude of arms for the Seattle Mariners tonight as reliever/spot starter Tom Wilhelmsen is projected to go only 3-4 innings. Despite Roenis Elias lasting on 3.1 innings last night, Seattle's bullpen is in pretty good shape thanks to a handful of extended outings over the last week.

And a week removed from boasting about Seattle's impressive +70 run differential (as of 7/3) the offense has taken a complete nosedive. Over the last six games the Mariners have been outscored 20-7.


“He’s a power arm,” Mariners manager Lloyd McClendon said. “He’s got four

Read more



Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Minnesota Twins




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

06.08.2014     07:42 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (McHugh) at Minnesota (Deduno)
Recommendation: Houston 5-inning


The up-start Astros continue to fly under the radar winning 10 of their last 14 games. Of course, the Astros have been easily the worst team in the Major League Baseball over the last few years as finding value with this team hasn’t been a problem nor should it be moving forward. Sunday starter Collin McHugh fits the bill for flying under the radar as well. He’s toiled in the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies organizations with 10.04 and 7.59 ERAs in each of the last two years. Obviously there is only one direction to go for the 26-year-old. The Astros have done a great job of developing his stuff coupled with up-tick in velocity. His numbers show the improvement of his repertoire as he boasts a sweet 2.52 ERA and a 54-14 K-to-BB ratio. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s Samuel Deduno will toe the rubber for the Twins. Deduno has limited upside like many of the Twins starting pitchers. The right-hander Read more



Tags: MLB Houston Astros Minnesota Twins Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

06.06.2014     08:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) at Minnesota (Hughes) -120 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


At the start of the season, if you were to someone that Phil Hughes and Dallas Keuchel would be ranked 8th and 12th respectively in WAR among starting pitchers you would have been laughed at an accused of being drunk. But littered among all of the league's big names and arms are two unassuming guys that have figured out how to succeed at a high level. Hughes' story centers on throwing strikes and avoiding the home run ball. Clearly with Hughes pitching in Target Field as oppose to Yankee Stadium helps. It's led to a sparkling 3.12 ERA and 2.59 FIP. Keuchel goes about it in similar fashion ? miss a fair amount of bats (64 Ks in 76.2 IP) and keep the walks (15 BBs) and home runs (4) to a minimum. As a result, he currently flashes a 2.70 ERA and nearly identical 2.74 FIP. While the Twins and Astros have shown an ability to plate runs we're still dealing with two below average AL offenses in a pitcher friend park Read more



Tags: MLB Houston Astros Minnesota Twins Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Alert: Darvish out, Texas gives emergency start to Scott Baker

05.27.2014     01:23 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It was just announced that Texas' Yu Darvish will have an MRI on his neck and miss tonight's start vs. Minnesota. The Rangers will reportedly go with Scott Baker who got hammered for six runs in six innings at Detroit on Friday. He threw 87 pitches.




Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Minnesota Twins




MLB Handicapping: Phil Hughes has been really, really good

05.21.2014     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Brace yourself bettors: Phil Hughes has been pretty damn good over the last month. He's throwing strikes, avoiding the home run ball, and missing a fair amount of bats. It was logical to expect Hughes to perform better once he left New York this past offseason but after three starts, it looked as if it was the same old Hughes: 15 IP, 12 ERs. Of late though, Hughes has found his rhythm with a 1.37 ERA, sick 20-to-0 K-to-BB ratio and 1 home run against Detroit (twice), Baltimore, and Boston. Tonight he's in an ideal situation of pitching in San Diego as a +130 underdog.




Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins San Diego Padres




MLB Betting Update: Bettors treated to another Eddings UNDER

05.08.2014     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Another brilliant performance by umpire Doug Eddings last night as Cleveland and Minnesota combined for 20 strikeouts and only three walks. Eddings is now 1-6 O/U this season with an incredible 125/24 K-to-BB ratio.





MLB Handicapping: Doug Eddings still churning out UNDERS at a high rate

05.07.2014     08:32 AM     View Original Blog


With all of the technological advancements in MLB – most notably QuesTec – we don't see many umpires stray too far from "neutral" when it comes to totals beyond a one or two-year sample. Tim McClelland (over ump) is out for the year and John Hirschbeck (under ump) has missed time due to the death of his son. But there are a Read more



Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Minnesota Twins




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians

05.06.2014     11:29 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Deduno) +125 at Cleveland (Tomlin) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


There’s not much respect for Twins starter Samuel Deduno in the betting markets.  Deduno pitched a handful of gems as a part time starter in both 2012 and 2013, but he really tailed off after the All Star break last year. Following shoulder surgery in the offseason,  he opened the 2014 campaign in the bullpen, and got hit hard in his first start of the season against the powerful LA Dodgers lineup just last week.

But for as inconsistent as Deduno has been, he’s got a solid track record against the Indians (.192 batting average against and 31 strikeouts in 36 innings).  And with the extended slump this Cleveland lineup is in right now, even mediocre pitching is shutting this team down.  
The Indians scored 12 runs last Friday against the White Sox, but have combined for a grand total of 18 runs while losing eight of their other nine games over the past ten Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Cleveland Indians Teddy Covers




MLB Gambling Update: Minnesota Twins go UNDER the total in four straight

05.05.2014     11:55 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Last week we discussed the Minnesota Twins trending heavily OVER the total thanks to an improved offensive approach and woeful pitching. Since that time we've seen a regression toward the mean with the offense cooling off and a slight uptick with the starting staff. As a result, the Twins have now gone UNDER the total in four straight heading into tonight's game at Cleveland. Also note that Mike Pelfrey (7.99 ERA, 15-day DL) has been replaced by Sam Deduno in the starting rotation – a significant upgrade considering Pelfrey’s struggles.





MLB Gambling Trends: Minnesota's games continue to go OVER the total

04.28.2014     07:30 AM     Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins

05.02.2014     07:45 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore (Jimenez) at Minnesota (Nolasco) -110 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


Ubaldo Jimenez remains an easy fade due to his reduced velocity and lack of command. In 27.1 innings, Jimenez has walked 17 batters and he's averaged only six swinging strikes per game (a 6% rate vs. 8% in 2013). And if walks are going to be an issue, Minnesota isn't a good matchup as the Twins lead the American League with 133 walks and rank second in on-base percentage. Meanwhile Ricky Nolasco toes the rubber for the Twins. Nolasco's overall numbers would make most bettors squirm but his groundball rate is actually a career best 50.5% – he's suffered some due to a sky-high .355 BABIP. Also note that of Nolasco's five starts only one has been in the pitcher friendly confines of Target Field and it was without question his best start of the year (8 IP, 1 ER vs. Kansas City). Also in our favor is the potential fatigue factor with Baltimore playing a double-header at home yesterday – the last Read more



Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Minnesota Twins Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Trends: Minnesota's games continue to go OVER the total

04.28.2014     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In case you haven't noticed, one of the strongest trends in MLB has been the Minnesota Twins OVER the total (18-4-1 Over/Under). When something like this occurs, it is our job as bettors to decipher why it is occuring and whether or not it will continue. One reason, as pointed out by FanGraphs, is the Twins' new love affair with taking pitches and drawing walks. Last season they finished 11th in the American League in on-base percentage (.312) and fifth in walks (533). Through the first month of 2014, Minnesota is first in OBP (.353) and walks (121). Couple that with one of the worst starting staffs in the league (6.04) and the end result is nearly every game going OVER the total. Looking ahead, it is unlikely we'll see a team OBP north of .350 much longer as opposing teams will adjust and force Minnesota to put the bat on the ball. And the pitching staff has nowhere to go but up – we think. Oddsmakers however haven't really made much of an adjustment with Minny's games totaled 7.5-8.5. Despite all of the OVERS there has yet to be a game that closed with a total of 9. Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins



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