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MLB Handicapping: Oddsmakers open White Sox-Dodgers total at 5.5
06.15.2012 07:55 AM
Printer Friendly
CRIS and Pinnacle opened tonight's Chicago White Sox (Sale)-Los Angeles Dodgers (Kershaw) total at 5.5. A few shops have since moved to 6. Here is a breakdown of games totaled 5.5 since 2010 (5-5 O/U).
2010
Philadelphia (Halladay) at San Francisco (Lincecum) 4-2 OVER
Texas (Lee) at San Francisco (Lincecum) 11-7 OVER
2011
San Francisco (Cain) at San Diego (Latos) 4-3 (10) OVER
LA Dodgers (Kershaw) at San Francisco (Lincecum) 1-0 UNDER
LA Dodgers (Kershaw) at San Francisco (Lincecum) 2-1 UNDER
San Diego (Latos) at San Francisco (Lincecum) 3-1 UNDER
San Francisco (Lincecum) at LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 2-1 UNDER
LA Dodgers (Kershaw) at San Diego (Luebke) 6-2 OVER
2012
Philadelphia (Lee) at San Francisco (Cain) 1-0 UNDER
Philadelphia (Halladay) at San Diego (Luebke) 5-1 OVER
Tags:
MLB
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
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MLB Betting News: Rockies have allowed 70 runs during eight-game losing streak
06.15.2012 07:11 AM
Printer Friendly
The Colorado Rockies (24-38, -15.7 units) are now 0-9 in Interleague play and have lost
eight straight games
overall. During the eight-game losing streak, they've allowed 8, 10, 8, 10, 11, 7, 6 and 10 runs. Amazingly, since the late season meltdown of 2010, the Rockies are 98-143. For tonight, Jeff Francis makes his
second start
since coming off the DL. He allowed 10 hits and eight earned runs in 3.1 innings last time out against the Angels.
"What makes this so frustrating is that you want to win now," pitcher Jeff Francis said. "It's not about winning in two years, it's about winning now. Back then, it was almost like being in the minor leagues.
"I mean, you played to win and you played to be successful, but there was a bigger picture. But now it's hard to see a bigger picture because of these losses."
Tags:
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Colorado Rockies
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals
06.14.2012 02:00 PM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Chicago WS
(Floyd) +115 at
St. Louis
(Westbrook) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Chicago
St. Louis starter Jake Westbrook has been an absolute disaster area for a month now; 0-4 with an ERA approaching 8.00 in his last six starts while giving up 48 hits in just 31 innings of work. He’s been pitching with a cut on the middle finger of his throwing hand; a lingering issue that has clearly affected his mound presence. The Cardinals bullpen behind Westbrook has been struggling mightily, ranked in the bottom quartile of the majors in ERA, blown saves and losses. The White Sox had scored 25 runs in their previous three games prior to getting blanked last night – their high octane lineup has been clicking on all cylinders for weeks, ranked #6 out of 30 MLB teams in runs scored this year. There’s absolutely no reason to think that Chicago won’t be able to tee off on Westbrook and the bullpen behind him tonight; producing runs in bunches.
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Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
Teddy Covers
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Shaun Marcum has apparently been granted the ability to pick opposing teams and pitchers
06.14.2012 01:29 PM
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Milwaukee's Shaun Marcum has always been an interesting study. From a stuff standpoint, he isn't flashy, but he's managed to keep batters off balance for much of his career. But we’re not here to call out Marcum as some smoke-and-mirrors fraud. Instead we'll make mention of the fact that few starting pitchers if any have faced an easier slate of opposing offenses.
Marcum's Opponents (NL total runs rank out of 16)
vs. San Diego (15)
vs. Pittsburgh (16)
at LA Dodgers (6)
vs. San Francisco (11)
at Houston (8)
vs. Chicago (14)
at San Francisco (11)
at San Diego (14)
vs. Houston (8)
vs. Colorado (1)
at Atlanta (3)
at Chicago (14)
Note that Marcum faced Colorado in Milwaukee (the Rockies have scored the fewest road runs of any team in the NL) and also had the luxury of facing LA in pitcher friendly Dodgers Stadium. But wait! Let’s take this a step further and check out the opposing pitchers during Marcum's 12 starts. Now he did face two quality arms in Matt Cain (twice) and Erik Bedard. But beyond that, it has been a litany of below average pitchers: Edinson Volquez (twice), JA Happ (twice), Chris
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Milwaukee Brewers
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MLB Handicapping: Kansas City's Luke Hochevar should improve
06.14.2012 08:14 AM
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Milwaukee
(Marcum) -115 at
Kansas City
(Hochevar) O/U 8.5
On the surface, Kansas City's Luke Hochevar has been one of the worst starters in baseball with a 3-7 record and 6.57 ERA. But there is no question he's been unlucky this year. He sports the second highest BABIP (.364) among qualified starters and has a dismal 57.5% left-on-base rate (the league average is around 70%). Also, his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rate of 3.61 is above league average. Does that mean he's going to immediately turn things around? Probably not, especially with his confidence level not being very high at this point. The good news is the Royals don't have a lot of options so he'll continue to get the ball every fifth day. If his "luck" can turn around, he has the potential to eventually get back to last year's post-All-Star break form when he posted a 6-3 record and 3.52 ERA.
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Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
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MLB Gambling News: Cincinnati's Leake ready to go after bout with flu
06.14.2012 07:46 AM
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Cleveland
(Tomlin) at
Cincinnati
(Leake) -120 O/U 9
Unfortunately we don't have a database for how pitchers fare after a bout with the flu. According to reports, Cincinnati's Mike Leake – one of many on the team that caught the bug – is ready to go for this afternoon's start against Cleveland. Leake spent yesterday recovering and claimed he was fe
eling better
. He has been pitching better of late with a 2.84 ERA over his last five starts. In five career Interleague starts, Leake owns a 3.48 ERA.
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Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
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MLB Betting News: Tigers put Smyly on DL, Fister his likely replacement
06.14.2012 06:59 AM
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The Detroit Tigers placed
Drew Smyly on the DL
due to a blister. Doug Fister, who has been on the DL with a side strain, threw a bullpen session yesterday and may start in Smyly's place on Saturday.
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Detroit Tigers
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MLB Handicapping: American and National League Run Differentials
06.14.2012 06:46 AM
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Update of MLB's runs scored, runs allowed, run differential and luck. Luck is a tool from Baseball-Reference that provides the difference between a team's actual record and Pythagorean W-L. For example, the Cardinals are second in the NL in run differential yet only one game over .500 and in third place in the Central. Based on their run differential, they should be 37-26 not 32-31. Baltimore is 10 games over .500 yet a modest +4 in run differential. Pittsburgh is three games over .500 but has been outscored by 25 runs.
MLB Runs Scores/Runs Allowed as of 6/13/2012
American League
RS
RA
Run Diff
Luck
Texas Rangers
332
252
+80
-2
New York Yankees
293
247
+46
+1
Chicago White Sox
297
258
+39
-1
Boston Red Sox
319
293
+26
-3
Toronto Blue Jays
300
276
+24
-3
Los Angeles Angels
262
242
+20
0
Tampa Bay Rays
263
253
+10
+3
Baltimore Orioles
278
274
+4
+5
Detroit Tigers
274
287
-13
-1
Seattle Mariners
261
275
-14
-3
Oakland Athletics
229
251
-22
-1
Cleveland Indians
265
289
-24
+4
Kansas City Royals
230
258
-28
-1
Minnesota Twins
264
328
-64
0
National League
RS
RA
Run Diff
Luck
Los Angeles Dodgers
276
224
+52
+2
St. Louis Cardinals
309
258
+51
-5
Washington Nationals
240
198
+42
+2
Atlanta Braves
294
269
+25
0
Cincinnati Reds
259
235
+24
+1
San Francisco Giants
255
237
+18
+2
New York Mets
282
284
-2
+3
Philadelphia Phillies
277
281
-4
-2
Arizona Diamondbacks
257
263
-6
0
Milwaukee Brewers
268
290
-22
-1
Pittsburgh Pirates
198
223
-25
+5
Miami Marlins
235
269
-34
+4
Colorado Rockies
314
352
-38
-3
Houston Astros
264
305
-41
-1
Chicago Cubs
230
286
-56
-4
San Diego Padres
211
279
-68
-2
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MLB Betting Alert: Matusz scratched, recently demoted Arrieta gets nod
06.13.2012 12:34 PM
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Pittsburgh
(Correia) at
Baltimore
(Arrieta) -135 O/U 9
Baltimore's Brian Matusz has been scratched for tonight's start against Pittsburgh. He was hit in the nose while attempting to bunt during batting practice. Enter stage left Jake Arrieta who after allowing nine earned runs last time out was demoted to the bullpen. Being on regular rest however, he was a logical choice to replace Matusz. Perhaps the second chance and facing the Pirates will bring about some better results.
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Baltimore Orioles
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MLB Betting News: White Sox cash eight straight tickets on the highway
06.13.2012 11:12 AM
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Nothing going wrong for the Chicago White Sox these days. They're currently in first place of the American League Central and own the best road record (18-9) in baseball thanks to eight straight victories on the highway. During that span, they've accumulated over +10 units of profit and did so against more than a few quality arms.
Chicago White Sox Road Winning Streak
Date
Opponent
Score
WS Starter
Opposing Starter
WS ML
6/12
at STL
6-1
Jose Quintana
Adam Wainwright
Win +145
5/30
at TB
4-3
Jose Quintana
Alex Cobb
Win +125
5/29
at TB
7-2
Phillip Humber
James Shields
Win +150
5/28
at TB
2-1
Chris Sale
Matt Moore
Win +105
5/20
at CHC
6-0
Jake Peavy
Paul Maholm
Win -110
5/19
at CHC
7-4
John Danks
Ryan Dempster
Win +130
5/18
at CHC
3-2
Phillip Humber
Jeff Samardzija
Win +120
5/17
at LAA
6-1
Chris Sale
C.J. Wilson
Win +140
Results
8-0
+10.15 units
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Chicago White Sox
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