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MLB Gambling Free Pick: Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox
06.01.2012 10:03 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Seattle (Hernandez) at Chicago (Peavy) -125 O/U 7
Recommendation: Over
The White Sox have been Over machines at the Cell in recent weeks; 8-1 to the Over in their last nine tries at home. Robin Ventura’s lineup has been crushing opposing pitching, pounding out 64 runs in those last nine at home. Don’t expect King Felix to change the ChiSox offensive fortunes this evening. Hernandez has been getting roughed up consistently in recent weeks, 1-3 with a 5.94 ERA in his last four trips to the hill. He’s been bombed three times in his last five road starts and is winless with an ERA well over 4.00 in his last four starts on the south side of Chicago.
Seattle’s lineup came alive during their just concluded series at Texas, as the light hitting Mariners exploded for 31 runs in the final two games of the series, going Over the total by themselves in both contests. They also scored 28 runs in the final five games of their previous road trip, finding offensive production much easier away from pitcher friendly Safeco Field. Chicago starter Jake Peavy has been hammered for 13 earned runs in his
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MLB Betting Alert: Tampa Bay goes left-handed heavy vs. Chicago's Humber
05.29.2012 01:55 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Note that Tampa Bay is slated to start eight left-handed bats vs. Chicago's Phil Humber tonight. Humber shows some pretty strong splits R vs. L this season (and for his career) as seen in the chart below. The price tag on James Shields is up to a -160 so bettors may want to look the way of Tampa's team total (4ov-111 at Pinnacle, 4ov-115 at 5Dimes).
Tampa Bay's projected lineup vs. Humber
1. Carlos Pena (L) .760 OPS vs. righties
2. BJ Upton (R)
3. Matt Joyce (L) 1.021 OPS vs. righties
4. Ben Zobrist (S) .797 OPS vs. righties
5. Luke Scott (L) .890 OPS vs. righties
6. Hideki Matsui (L) .840 OPS vs. righties lifetime
7. Jose Lobaton (S) No split, only 62 career at-bats
8. Drew Sutton (S) Stronger vs. lefties
9. Elliot Johnson (S) Slightly stronger vs. lefties
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MLB Handicapping Notes: Chicago's Sale changes pitch selection
05.24.2012 11:29 AM
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Some positive news on Chicago's Chris Sale who threw seven scoreless innings in last night's win over Minnesota. Sale of course came out of the gates strong with a 2.81 ERA after five starts. But his elbow flared up and it was thought that he would return to the bullpen full-time. Sale however was given a second chance under the watchful eye of pitching coach Don Cooper. One of the things they agreed on was to
limit the amount of sliders
Sale threw – a likely source of the elbow issues. Instead, Sale has focused his attention on a more fastball/change-up approach. Of his 97 pitches against the Twins, only 19 were sliders. The start before that, only 12 sliders out of 103 pitches. Prior to the elbow concerns, Sale was tossing sliders around 25% of the time. Sale has a lot of upside, but you still need to keep tabs on the elbow situation.
“I thought I was commanding my fastball well and threw the changeup for strikes more so then I have been,” Sale said. “A.J. (Pierzynski ) knew that and used that to our advantage
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Free MLB Betting Pick: Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox
05.12.2012 07:24 AM
Sammy P Sports
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Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Kansas City (Hochevar) at Chicago (Sale) -165 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over
Luke Hochevar takes the mound again tonight trying to shake off his early season woes. Hochevar has really struggled in the 2012 campaign during his six starts he has only pitched a total of 28 innings being yanked early and often. He really puts pressure on that Kansas City bullpen not being able to hit the 100-pitch mark or completing the 7th inning once this season. His bloated 9.00 ERA and 1.82 WHIP are not the kind of numbers that will keep him in the starting rotation for very long. "Right now, Hoch is in a rut, and he’s having trouble getting out of it," manager Ned Yost said. "He’s struggling with his command...his stuff is good, but he gets to a point where he starts fighting his location and balls are hitting the fat part of the plate." On the other side of the equation we find some weird goings on with the White Sox and Chris Sale. Sale was a viable option out of the bullpen last year and transition well into the starting rotation in the early going. But his elbow flared up, he missed a start, and the
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Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
Sammy P
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MLB Gambling Notes: White Sox move Sale to bullpen, call up Axelrod
05.05.2012 08:05 AM
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Chicago's Chris Sale, who showed a lot of (bet on) promise as a starter, is
being placed back in bullpen
because of what team officials are calling a "slightly tender elbow." The White Sox claim he is not hurt. The move likely eliminates any season-long workload issues and it also upgrades an at-times shaky bullpen.
Dylan Axelrod will start
in Sale's place Sunday against Detroit.
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Free MLB Betting Pick: Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox
05.03.2012 12:48 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Cleveland
(Masterson) at
Chicago WS
(Danks) -120 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over
Justin Masterson made a few adjustments prior to his last start and got better results in allowing only two runs in 8.1 innings – albeit against the soft hitting Angels. But his velocity remains down and his command is very erratic. In his last three outings, Masterson has walked 15 batters. This after walking less than two per start last season. Like Masterson, John Danks hasn't been "right" at all this season and a lack of command has been the main culprit. Danks walked only 46 batters last season and has already issued 15 in five starts including four in each of his last two outings. As a result, he's allowed three or more runs in every outing. These struggles were apparent from both pitchers in an early season meeting where the duo combined for seven earned runs, 15 hits, six walks and five strikeouts with neither pitcher lasting past the sixth inning. Unseasonably warm weather with gusty
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Chicago White Sox
Andrew Lange
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MLB Handicapping: Walks and lack of change-up hurt Chicago's Danks
05.03.2012 06:43 AM
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Cleveland
(Masterson) at
Chicago WS
(Danks) -120 O/U 8
Chicago's John Danks has always been a notoriously slower starter but this season has been
particularly rough
. His command has been very spotty (15 walks) which is uncharacteristic for a guy who issued just 46 free passes in 170 innings last season. Danks himself commented that his normally effective change-up has been off and on.
"Walks have bit me in the ass all year to this point," Danks sighed. "[It's] definitely something we're going to have to focus on, that and keeping the ball in the ballpark. It's frustrating, it sucks. It sucks to go out there and get your hat handed to you. We're all competitive, we don't want that to happen, and what are you gonna do? Try to be ready for the next one."
"It was hit or miss.
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MLB Handicapping: Boston Red Sox feasting on average right-handed starters
04.27.2012 06:44 AM
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The Boston Red Sox are slowly hitting their way back to respectability with 43 runs, 10 homes runs, a .363 BA and 1.010 OPS over their last five games (4-1). Prior to that, they produced a more modest 4.7 runs per game, 13 home runs and a .263 BA in 13 contests (4-9). The burst of productivity however is likely tied to the level of competition. During this five-game, run-scoring bonanza they've faced nothing but mediocre, soft-tossing, right-handed starters (31 runs in 19 IP vs. Garcia, Marquis, Blackburn, Hendriks and Humber). Check out what those five games did to Boston's lefty/righty splits vs. starting pitchers.
We'll see how they fare tonight against Chicago lefty John Danks who has a good track record against some of Boston's key bats.
Boston vs. John Danks
David Ortiz 2-for-11
Dustin Pedroia 2-for-12
Kevin Youkilis 3-for-12
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MLB Handicapping: Humber makes first start following perfect game
04.26.2012 06:50 AM
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We compiled the results of pitchers off a no-hitter or perfect game dating back to 2006. The results have been pretty good as only Carlos Zambrano (1.2 IP, 8 ERs) and Francisco Liriano (3 IP, 4 ERs) blew up in their next outing. Chicago’s Philip Humber, who last Saturday tossed a perfect game (96 pitches) against Seattle, is a -120 home favorite vs. Boston.
Pitcher Results Following No-Hitter or Perfect Game as of 4/26/2012
Year
Pitcher
Innings
Earned Runs
Team Result
2012
Philip Humber
???
???
???
2011
Ervin Santana
9
1
Win
2011
Justin Verlander
8
1
Win
2011
Francisco Liriano
3
4
Loss
2010
Roy Halladay
7
4
Loss
2010
Matt Garza
7
4
Loss
2010
Edwin Jackson
5
4
Win
2010
Roy Halladay
7
2
Win
2010
Dallas Braden
8
4
Loss
2010
Ubaldo Jimenez
7.1
0
Win
2009
Mark Buehrle
6.1
5
Loss
2009
Jonathan Sanchez
6
3
Loss
2008
Carlos Zambrano
1.2
8
Loss
2008
Jon Lester
5
3
Loss
2007
Clay Buchholz
3
0
Win
2007
Justin Verlander
6
3
Win
2007
Mark Buehrle
7
3
Win
2006
Anibal Sanchez
7
3
Win
Results
103.1
4.52 ERA
9-8
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Boston Red Sox
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MLB Betting News: Highly touted Parker makes debut for Oakland
04.25.2012 06:58 AM
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Chicago (Sale) -135 at Oakland (Parker) O/U 7.5
Quick breakdown of
Oakland starter Jarrod Parker
who came over in the Trevor Cahill deal. Parker was a former first round pick back in 2007 and had Tommy John surgery in 2010. He went 1-0 with a 2.18 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 20.3 innings for Triple-A Sacramento.
Parker has an accomplished repertoire of pitches, including a four-seam fastball in the mid 90s, and a slider that often makes batters look foolish. He made his big league debut last September and shut down the Dodgers, allowing no runs, four hits and a walk in 5 2/3 innings, though he wasn't involved in the decision.
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Oakland A's
Chicago White Sox
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