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MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at Colorado Rockies

05.01.2014     01:53 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
NY Mets (Colon) at Colorado (Nicasio) -125 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Colorado

The Rockies suffered a deflating loss in Arizona last night, blowing a ninth inning lead with  two outs and two strikes, wasting a scoring chance in the tenth, then losing on a walk-off home run.  But bullpen meltdowns have not been a habitual problem for this team, and normal closer LaTroy Hawkins is now rested after notching back-to-back saves earlier in the series. 

Forget the starting pitching matchup for a moment.  The disparity between these two lineups is worthy of a -200 price tag, if not higher.  Colorado leads the majors in runs scored, hits, doubles, home runs, total bases, batting average, slugging percentage and OPS.  Sox of their eight position players are hitting .300 or higher, including Troy Tulowitzki, Justin Morneau and Charlie Blackmun, all hitting above .350.  D-backs manager Kirk Gibson: “They are a good-hitting ball club. They are hard to Read more

Tags: MLB New York Mets Colorado Rockies Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

04.28.2014     10:23 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Colorado (Morales) at Arizona (Miley) -125
Recommendation: Arizona 5-inning

Going to trust what I see with my eyes where Arizona’s Wade Miley is concerned and pencil him in for a solid start here. Miley’s stuff has not been a problem through the opening month of the season but at times his location has as evidenced by his 16 walks allowed in 36 innings. On his side is the fact that Miley is a pitcher who generally stays down in the zone and on April 6th held the Rockies to just 10 total bases in eight innings which is the best performance by any opposing starter in Coors Field this year. Overall, Miley has had the Rockies number throughout his career going 7-0 against them. As is seemingly always the case, Colorado’s offense has been dramatically different on the road thus far posting a .246 BA as opposed to .347 at home, and OBP of .298 compared to .398 and an OPS difference of .664 away/.987 home. Expect Miley to control them here and rely on his offense to give him Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

04.12.2014     07:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Colorado (Anderson) at San Francisco (Cain) -135 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Over

Because of so many right-handed bats, San Francisco has really pound lefties so far this season: .289 BA, .488 SLG, and .862 OPS. In four games against southpaw starters the Giants pounded out 4, 8, 7, and 6 six runs. They face a very hittable one today in Colorado's Brett Anderson. Brett Anderson has thrown back-to-back 6 IP, 3 ER starts but his peripherals are very questionable. In 12 innings he allowed 15 hits and struck out only three batters. And of the 172 pitches he threw only six were swung on and missed. And in 39 plate appearances, righties are hitting .364/.997 vs. Anderson. Like Anderson, San Francisco's Matt Cain hasn't missed a lot of bats either with five strikeouts and 12 swinging strikes in two appearances. Overall we have two pitchers who are currently throwing to contact and with the ball having the tendency to carry a bit better during the day in AT&T Park, we'll take a look Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Colorado Rockies Season Over/Under Wins

03.26.2014     01:38 PM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Colorado Rockies Season O/U Wins
Recommendation: Over 76.5

All of the talk in the National League West has undoubtedly centered on the Los Angeles Dodgers contending for a World Series title and the San Francisco Giants bouncing back after last year’s 76-win campaign.  The Colorado Rockies (74-88) meanwhile are lined as the worst team in the division and while there are plenty of holes, I see upside with this squad as well as value with the price. This is a .500 ball club when Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, and the pitching staff are healthy.  Tulowitzki played in only 126 games last season while CarGo was even less at 110. Their starting pitchers are not the envy of most teams, but if guys like Brett Anderson can stay healthy and Juan Nicasio can pitch to his potential they will get more than their share of wins.  Nicasio has been the wildcard in their rotation for some time and with his fastball improved during spring training we could see big results. The addition of Anderson, coupled with Nicasio and Jorge De La Rosa, gives the Rockies three solid arms that while not as high profile as some of the aces in the division, Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Sammy P

MLB Gambling Free Pick: Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves

07.29.2013     11:10 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Colorado (De La Rosa) +125 at Atlanta (Beachy) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Colorado

This is an important first step for Atlanta as they ease Brandon Beachy back into their starting rotation with the thought that he fills the void left by Tim Hudson’s season ending injury last week. Beachy is coming off of Tommy John surgery and will for all intent and purposes be unrestricted in this start as his pitch limit is set at 100. That suggests at least a six inning stint unless he runs into trouble with the Colorado bats or control issues. At Triple-A Gwinnett, Beachy walked 18 batters in 30 innings which creates the possibility of an early high pitch count. Colorado is about average in plate patience (7th in NL with 298 walks) but tonight they’re likely to make a concerted effort to run up his pitch total. Atlanta’s bullpen figures to be faced with back-end fatigue tonight and getting Beachy out in four or five innings will benefit the Rockies. Colorado starter Jorge De La Rosa Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Atlanta Braves Rob Veno

MLB Gambling News: Streaks abound in the National League West

07.08.2013     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The National League West has officially become a handicapping nightmare. Arizona lost eight of nine but bounced back with five straight wins. Los Angeles has crawled back into the division race having won 12 of 15. San Diego was hovering around .500 but just wrapped up a 1-9 road trip. San Francisco has lost five straight series to fall 6.5 games back of the D-Backs. And Colorado has lost six of seven and had two more players go down with injuries as Roy Oswalt left Sunday's start with a bum hamstring and Carlos Gonzalez hurt a finger.

"We have to figure it out. We are banged up, but a lot of teams are. We have to find a way to win games, that's the bottom line," Weiss said. "We have to put together better at-bats. I don't care who's pitching. You can only give credit to the pitcher so much."

"We are in a bad situation right now. We have to play better. We don't look the same. It's been a bad time. They totally played better than us," said Gonzalez, whose finger X-Ray didn't reveal a break,

Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB Handicapping: Colorado's Chatwood has been a pleasant surprise

06.27.2013     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here’s a great example of not giving up on starting pitchers, especially those who are young and were at one time highly regarded. Tyler Chatwood was a second round pick in 2008 but struggled mightily his first two seasons at the MLB level (206.2 IP, 115 Ks, 104 BBs, 4.96 ERA). He started the year at Triple-A but since his call-up he's been Colorado's most reliable starter with a 2.22 ERA through eight starts. As always FanGraphs dives in and gives us some of the reasons behind Chatwood’s success, most notably the development of his slider. It just goes to show how quickly the betting markets can react to starting pitching success – Chatwood is a -165 home favorite tonight against the Mets.

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies New York Mets

MLB Handicapping: Colorado's Roy Oswalt back on the bump

06.20.2013     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Colorado (Oswalt) at Washington (Zimmermann) -170 O/U 7

Roy Oswalt makes his return tonight in Washington after making five starts at Double-A (33.1 IP, 2.16 ERA, 25 Ks, 7 BBs, 5 HRs). According to one report, Oswalt's fastball was "consistently at 92 mph" and got as high as 95. In another, Oswalt himself admitted he more of a "91-92" guy and no longer "94." Not sure he's got the stuff to succeed in Coors Field at this stage in his career but tonight's matchup is one he should be able to handle.

"He's always a competitive guy, a tough at-bat," Weiss said. "He's a nice piece to have. He's ready to go. His velocity is real good and throwing all his pitches. "He's done just about everything in this game, pitched in big

Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Washington Nationals

MLB Gambling News: Pitching helps Toronto Blue Jays crawl back to respectability

06.17.2013     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Colorado (De La Rosa) at Toronto (Johnson) -150 O/U 9

It took them a while but over the last two weeks the Toronto Blue Jays have started to play up to their preseason expectations. They've won eight of 10 including six of seven against Texas (outscored the Rangers 38-14). During that 10-game swatch the rag-tag bunch of Mark Buehrle, Josh Johnson, Ramon Ortiz, RA Dickey, Esmil Rogers, and Chien-Ming Wang helped post a team ERA of 2.09. The team is hoping Johnson can regain some of his form – if anything to give him value on the free agent market. Note the betting market’s 20 cent move towards Johnson and the Jays for tonight’s contest against the Rockies. Overall, the Jays find themselves four games under .500 and about to embark on very difficult portion of their schedule with upcoming series against Colorado, Baltimore, Read more

Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays Colorado Rockies

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

05.20.2013     09:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Arizona (Corbin) -110 at Colorado (Garland) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Arizona

Arizona's Patrick Corbin has been flawless this season with a 1.52 ERA and solid 41-to-17 K-to-BB ratio. He’s a young lefty arm who has seen an uptick in velocity and plays on a quality team that is not overpriced in the betting markets. It would be foolish to think Corbin isn't going to regress some (see 3.91 xFIP) but despite his success the betting markets continue to bet against this kid and as a result his value has remained. He should be north of -125 in this particular matchup yet you can get him for as cheap as -110. Colorado's Jon Garland has thrown three straight games in which he's lasted only five innings and allowed three earned runs. With 26 strikeouts in 46 innings Garland simply isn't able to fool many batters at this point in his career. There are some metrics that suggest the starting pitching matchup is close but the eye test tells me to support the premium lefty arm at a discounted price. Read more

Tags: MLB Arizona Diamonbacks Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange


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