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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

05.20.2013     09:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona (Corbin) -110 at Colorado (Garland) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Arizona


Arizona's Patrick Corbin has been flawless this season with a 1.52 ERA and solid 41-to-17 K-to-BB ratio. He’s a young lefty arm who has seen an uptick in velocity and plays on a quality team that is not overpriced in the betting markets. It would be foolish to think Corbin isn't going to regress some (see 3.91 xFIP) but despite his success the betting markets continue to bet against this kid and as a result his value has remained. He should be north of -125 in this particular matchup yet you can get him for as cheap as -110. Colorado's Jon Garland has thrown three straight games in which he's lasted only five innings and allowed three earned runs. With 26 strikeouts in 46 innings Garland simply isn't able to fool many batters at this point in his career. There are some metrics that suggest the starting pitching matchup is close but the eye test tells me to support the premium lefty arm at a discounted price. Read more


Tags: MLB Arizona Diamonbacks Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange




MLB Betting Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

04.26.2013     07:31 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Nicasio) at Arizona (McCarthy) -135 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


Arizona's Brandon McCarthy has had a rough go of it in his return after getting hit in the head with a line drive late last season. In four starts McCarthy has allowed 36 hits and 17 earned runs while posting only 11 strikeouts. No question he's been a bit on the unlucky side (.391 BABIP, 7.06 ERA vs. 4.13 xFIP) but he simply hasn't shown the type of stuff that can consistently miss bats and/or get people out. Right now, I see McCarthy's ceiling as a 5- or 6-inning, 3 or 4 earned run type of pitcher. Unlike Jorge De La Rosa and Jhoulys Chacin, Juan Nicasio has never come off as a guy who can have prolonged success at the MLB level. In 20.1 innings of work, the righty has allowed 12 runs, 12 walks, and only 12 strikeouts. And there is nothing fluky about his numbers with a .262 BABIP and nearly identical ERA (5.31) and xFIP (5.34). These two pitchers squared off last week in Coors Field with Arizona winning 5-4. There Read more


Tags: MLB Arizona Diamonbacks Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Trends: San Francisco Giants continue to win for Zito

04.10.2013     11:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Francis) at San Francisco (Zito) -130 O/U 7.5

On today's Sportsmemo Podcast, handicapper Rob Veno pointed out the incredible run San Francisco was on when Barry Zito is on the hill. Dating back to last season, the Giants have won 15 straight games behind Zito. Some of it had to do with the offense as San Fran averaged exactly six runs per game in those contests. But Zito was pretty damn effective with a combined ERA of 3.17 in 85 innings of work.

San Francisco Giants and Barry Zito Winning Streak
Opponent
Score
IP
ER
BB
K
STL
Win 1-0
7
0
3
4
DET
Win 8-3
5.2
1
1
3
@ STL
Win 5-0
7.2
0
1
6
@ CIN
Win 8-3
2.2
2
4
4
@ LAD
Win 4-3
6
2
1
6
ARI
Win 7-3
6
3
3
3
COL
Win 9-2
5.2
2
1
6
@ ARI
Win 3-2
6.2
1
1
4
LAD
Win 4-0
6.1
0
3
4
ARI
Win 9-8
5
4
0
6
@ HOU
Win 6-4
2.1
3
0
1
ATL
Win 5-2
8
2
3
5
@ SDG
Win 8-7
4
4
2
1
COL
Win 9-6
5.1
4
2
3
@ STL
Win 4-2
6.2
2
0
4
Results
15-0
85
30
25
60




Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Colorado Rockies




MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

04.07.2013     07:19 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego (Volquez) at Colorado (Chacin) -145 O/U 10.5
Recommendation: Colorado


San Diego's Edinson Volquez has one redeeming quality – he pitches in Petco Park where on occasion he can be counted on for a quality start. Outside of that, Volquez doesn't offer much upside. He's dealt with mechanical issues for over a year and it's resulted in little to no command. After getting smacked around in his first start Padres pitching coach Darren Balsley was back to the drawing board of trying to get Volquez's mechanics in order. So here we are with a mediocre pitcher struggling with his mechanics and confidence tossing in Coors Field. Colorado's Jhoulys Chacin does has upside so long as he's healthy. And when he's healthy – which he appears to be this season – he's got enough stuff to overcome Coors Field (see: 38 career starts, 4.18 ERA). The Padres have scored 13 runs in their first five games – the last two vs. Jeff Francis and Jon Garland in Coors. I think the Read more


Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange




MLB Betting Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers

04.03.2013     12:08 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Nicasio) at Milwaukee (Peralta) -135 O/U 9
Recommendataion: Over


The roof will be closed at Miller Park again tonight – there’s no need to worry about the gametime temperatures hovering around the freezing mark.  And if we’re not worried about cold weather deflating production, this game has all the makings of another high scoring slugfest in a series that has already seen the first two games fly Over the total!

Colorado’s totals are still somewhat deflated following their anemic level of offensive production for most of the season last year.  But last year’s team was an injury riddled mess.  This year’s team has a healthy Troy Tulowitzki, a healthy Carlos Gonzalez and a healthy and rejuvenated Todd Helton, all three of whom were essentially non-factors for this team last year. 

Rockies manager Walt Weiss, following last night’s eight run outburst: “We really had some good at-bats tonight. Read more


Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Milwaukee Brewers Teddy Covers




MLB Betting News: Rockies call up homer-prone, strikeout artist, rookie, lefty

06.27.2012     06:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington (Zimmermann) at Colorado (Cabrera)

If you are pitching in the Colorado Rockies farm system, get ready dude because your number is about to be called. The Rocks dipped into Double-A and grabbed lefty Edwar Cabrera for tonight's game vs. Washington. According to the Denver Post, Cabrera throws a "wicked change-up, a good sinker and a developing sinker." In 2011 he led the minors in strikeouts with 217; 82 in 98 IP at Double-A Tulsa in this year. Cabrera has also allowed 15 home runs because why would Colorado want to call up a guy prone to giving up the long ball for a home start? Crazy, right? 


"I made it my goal to reach the big leagues this year. I was surprised when they told me. But I have been pitching with all of my heart and all of my mind to get here," said Cabrera, who will wear No. Read more



Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies




MLB Handicapping: Oddsmakers adjust to hot temps and poor pitching at Coors

06.26.2012     08:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article trying to explain the increase in run production at Coors Field. One theory is the remarkably hot and dry weather occurring in Denver. Don't tell that to Jeff Francis who pitched well last night despite it being the hottest game in Coors Field history. But despite Francis' effort, let’s not let facts get in the way – Colorado's pitching just isn't very good (5.80 ERA at home). Totals at Coors are now 22-13-2 O/U on the season. Oddsmakers have adjusted and we are now routinely seeing games lined 10 or more. Double-digits totals though are a much more modest 9-8 O/U.



Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies




MLB Gambling Update: Colorado's bullpen holds strong despite increased workload

06.25.2012     08:27 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Update on the Colorado Rockies and their four-man rotation experiment. Over the last five games, Colorado (2-3) starters have gone 3.2, 5, 6, 4.2 and 2.2 innings respectively with a 7.77 ERA. The bullpen (16 appearances) has yielded much better results; 19.2 innings with a 1.37 ERA.





It has now become officially impossible to bet on the Colorado Rockies

06.20.2012     08:11 AM     View Original Blog


This has a great chance of not working out.



In what amounts to an overhaul of his pitching staff, Tracy first said Colorado Read more



Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies




MLB Gambling Notes: Oswalt makes first start for Texas

06.22.2012     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Friedrich) at Texas (Oswalt) -200 O/U 10.5

Texas' Roy Oswalt will make his seasonable debut tonight against Colorado. Oswalt threw 100 pitches in his most recent start for Triple-A Round Rock.


"I feel great," Oswalt said in a conference call Wednesday. "I feel as good as I've always felt. I don't really have any complications anywhere right now. The biggest thing is to get back going and get a few starts under your belt where you have muscle memory and feel comfortable. You can start building off that."

"I think I'm pretty close," Oswalt said. "The biggest thing down here was to build some arm strength and get back into pitching shape. You can throw a lot of bullpens and lift a lot of weights, but until you get out there and compete against hitters and get into pitching shape, you can't duplicate Read more



Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Colorado Rockies




MLB Gambling Update: Colorado's Tracy true to his word, pulls White after 75 pitches

06.21.2012     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

At least we know Colorado manager Jim Tracy isn't a liar. After saying he would go with a four-man rotation and cap pitch counts at 75, he pulled last night's starter Alex White at exactly 75 pitches. It was a rather easy decision with White getting pounded around (3.2 IP, 5 ERs). Jeremy Guthrie threw three scoreless innings out of the bullpen. Todd Helton's ninth inning error gave Philadelphia the win and dropped the Rockies to 25-42 and 10-21 on the highway.





It has now become officially impossible to bet on the Colorado Rockies

06.20.2012     08:11 AM     View Original Read more


Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Philadelphia Phillies



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