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Free MLB Handicapping Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels
05.04.2012 01:07 PM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Toronto
(Alvarez) +115 at
LA Angels
O/U 8
Recommendation: Toronto
Erwin Santana is in quite a rut these days. The Angels are 0-5 in his five starts, picking up right where they left off last year when the Halos closed out the season losing each of Santana’s last four starts. And it’s not like Santana is getting outdueled on a nightly basis. His spent September struggling with his control, and he spent April getting lit up to the tune of a 6.16 ERA. During LA’s 0-9 run with Santana on the hill, they’ve been favored seven times, dropping games to weaker foes like the Mariners, A’s and Royals.
While the Angels have been the single worst team in all of baseball from a ‘money earned or money lost’ perspective so far this season (down a whopping -12.4 units through their first 26 games), the Blue Jays have been consistent moneymakers for their supporters so far in 2012. Toronto has proven their mettle on the
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Tags:
MLB
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
Teddy Covers
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MLB Betting Trends with Low Totals
05.04.2012 10:29 AM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
We cashed our top-rated 20* Big Drive over/under Game of the Month yesterday and provided our thoughts and
written analysis
of the Cardinals/Pirates over the total winner. While I noted the strong current hitting of the Cardinals and pitching performances and match-ups, my research and noted totals trends below may have you searching out more UNDER the total plays in the next few months.
On May 1, the Padres beat the Brewers 2-0 at Petco Park. The over/under line was 6 runs and both starting pitchers Shawn Marcum and Edison Volquez threw seven shutout innings of three-hit baseball. The Padres were a home underdog in that contest and I’ve noted some solid UNDER the total results on home underdogs with low posted totals below.
There have been 17 games played at Petco Park this season and we have yet to see a posted total above 7 runs. Despite the low posted totals, Padres home games have still gone 7-9-1 over/under.
Through the month of April, MLB teams were batting a combined .249. The last time MLB teams combined to hit under .250 for an entire season
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MLB Betting News: Halladay not in top form this season
05.04.2012 07:42 AM
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When a top-tier starter is off of his game, bettors have to be ready to pounce. Practically everyone has been aware of Tim Lincecum's struggles and those who have played against him have been rewarded. Another big name pitcher that may not be right is Philadelphia's Roy Halladay. On Wednesday, Halladay had one of the worst outings of his career, allowing eight earned runs and 12 hits against Atlanta. Following the outing, Halladay took a
non-baseball related leave of absence
from the team and is scheduled to return today. His next start is slated for Monday. Prior to the outing vs. Atlanta, Halladay's ERA of 1.95 made it seems as if nothing was wrong. But his strikeout numbers are down and his walks are up. There may not being anything wrong with the soon-to-be 35-year-old but he is certainly worth keeping an eye on.
“I was good, honestly,” Halladay said after the game. “I wish I had a better reason, but I don’t. It was just a lack of execution on pitches in key
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Free MLB Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians
05.04.2012 07:22 AM
Sammy P Sports
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Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Texas
(Lewis) -140 at
Cleveland
(Gomez) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Under
Two of the hottest pitchers in the American League match up tonight in Cleveland with Colby Lewis taking on Jeanmar Gomez. Possibly the best kept secret in the AL this season is Jeanmar Gomez. A young pitcher out of Caracas, Gomez has shown considerable growth after his first two seasons in the majors and he has been lights out for the Indians to start the young campaign. In his first start this season he was thrown out of the game in the 2nd inning for throwing at a Kansas City batter prompting the benches to clear. Since then, he has two quality starts posting an overall WHIP of 0.85 and an ERA of 2.35. He is definitely a young pitcher to keep your eye on as this is by no means the same Gomez from past seasons, and I'm being proactive with him until the marketplace catches up despite the probable return of Josh Hamilton and Adrian Beltre to the Texas lineup tonight. Texas hurler
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MLB Handicapping: Tigers try to pinpoint Scherzer's problems
05.04.2012 07:16 AM
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Trying to get a beat on Detroit Max Scherzer is extremely difficult. When he's on, he performs like a front-of-the-rotation arm and when he's not, he looks like Rick Porcello on a bad day. Mechanical flaws seem to be Scherzer's biggest enemy and after five starts and a 7.77 ERA, the Tigers have apparently
caught what he is doing wrong
. We recommend a wait-and-see approach. Scherzer is slated to throw at home on Saturday against the White Sox.
Scherzer and Tigers pitching coach Jeff Jones believe they’ve found a flaw in the righty’s mechanics, the Detroit Free Press reports. “We’re trying to get him to keep his hands more in the middle of his body as opposed to taking them behind him,” Jones said. “He’s gotten into a little bit of a habit of carrying them behind his body too far. That affects his lead arm getting on the target and staying there long enough.”
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MLB Gambling News: Yankees lose Rivera for the season
05.04.2012 06:31 AM
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Now don't go getting all teary eyed on us but
Mariano Rivera is going to be out for a while
. We know, we know, the guy is a warrior and still one of the best relievers in the game. Don't worry, the Yankees have some decent arms that can fill his spot. David Robertson hasn't given up a run all season. Rafael Soriano has closed games before. No, neither one is as trustworthy and you can bet someone is going to blow a save here in the next week or so causing the earth's crust to shift. We can't wait either.
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Free MLB Betting Pick: Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox
05.03.2012 12:48 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Cleveland
(Masterson) at
Chicago WS
(Danks) -120 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over
Justin Masterson made a few adjustments prior to his last start and got better results in allowing only two runs in 8.1 innings – albeit against the soft hitting Angels. But his velocity remains down and his command is very erratic. In his last three outings, Masterson has walked 15 batters. This after walking less than two per start last season. Like Masterson, John Danks hasn't been "right" at all this season and a lack of command has been the main culprit. Danks walked only 46 batters last season and has already issued 15 in five starts including four in each of his last two outings. As a result, he's allowed three or more runs in every outing. These struggles were apparent from both pitchers in an early season meeting where the duo combined for seven earned runs, 15 hits, six walks and five strikeouts with neither pitcher lasting past the sixth inning. Unseasonably warm weather with gusty
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MLB Betting News: Milwaukee Brewers banged up, Braun injures Achilles
05.03.2012 11:33 AM
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Injuries are starting to mount for the Milwaukee Brewers.
Ryan Braun
left yesterday's game against San Diego with an Achilles strain. He's questionable for tomorrow's opening game series against San Francisco.
Matt Gamel is out with an ACL tear
. Gamel hadn't done much with the bat this season but the Brewers were banking on him eventually turning things around. Now they are considering moving Corey Hart to first base. And two weeks ago, Chris Narverson was lost for the season with rotator cuff injury.
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Crazy live wagering swings during last night's Philadelphia-Atlanta game
05.03.2012 07:58 AM
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Check out some of the lead changes and live wagering prices at Pinnacle during last night's wild Philadelphia-Atlanta game. Roy Halladay allowed eight earned runs, there were 12 relievers used – five of which allowed two or more earned runs, and Chipper Jones hit a bomb in the 11th to give the Braves a 15-13 victory.
Scoring summary
3rd inning: Phillies lead 4-0
5th inning: Phillies lead 6-0
5th inning: Game tied 6-6
6th inning: Braves lead 8-6
7th inning: Phillies lead 9-8
8th inning: Phillies lead 12-8
8th inning: Braves lead 13-12
9th inning: Game tied 13-13
11th inning: Braves win 15-13
Live wagering moneyline progression
Philadelphia -1500/Atlanta +875
Philadelphia -2000/Atlanta +1026
Philadelphia -5000/Atlanta +1621
Philadelphia -9000/Atlanta +1922
Philadelphia -120/Atlanta +103
Philadelphia +139/Atlanta -163
Philadelphia +672/Atlanta -1000
Philadelphia +1313/Atlanta -3000
Philadelphia -250/Atlanta +208
Philadelphia -450/Atlanta +354
Philadelphia +101/Atlanta -118
Philadelphia +169/Atlanta -200
Philadelphia -450/Atlanta +354
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MLB Handicapping: Walks and lack of change-up hurt Chicago's Danks
05.03.2012 06:43 AM
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Cleveland
(Masterson) at
Chicago WS
(Danks) -120 O/U 8
Chicago's John Danks has always been a notoriously slower starter but this season has been
particularly rough
. His command has been very spotty (15 walks) which is uncharacteristic for a guy who issued just 46 free passes in 170 innings last season. Danks himself commented that his normally effective change-up has been off and on.
"Walks have bit me in the ass all year to this point," Danks sighed. "[It's] definitely something we're going to have to focus on, that and keeping the ball in the ballpark. It's frustrating, it sucks. It sucks to go out there and get your hat handed to you. We're all competitive, we don't want that to happen, and what are you gonna do? Try to be ready for the next one."
"It was hit or miss.
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