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MLB Betting Preview: Boston Red Sox adjust to manager Bobby Valentine
03.26.2012 11:42 AM
Printer Friendly
Boston Red Sox
2011 Record: 90-72
2011 Profits: -12.7 units
2011 O/U: 80-72-10
Pinnacle's 2012 AL East Odds: +292
Pinnacle's 2012 Season O/U Wins: 90.5un-130
News Links
Pretty much sums of the
change
going on in Boston with Bobby Valentine now in charge.
"One of the manager's jobs is to make those who are uncomfortable comfortable," Valentine said under those blue skies. "And the other job is to make those who are too comfortable uncomfortable."
The Red Sox are grooming former middle reliever Daniel Bard to be a starter. It is a move some
scouts question
.
One scout said he can't imagine how the Sox don't put Bard in the rotation. "That was their major offseason project, and then you
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Tags:
MLB
Boston Red Sox
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MLB Gambling Preview: Starting pitching a strength for New York Yankees
03.26.2012 08:48 AM
Printer Friendly
New York Yankees
2011 Record: 97-65
2011 Profits: +9.0 units
2011 O/U: 71-78-13
Pinnacle's 2012 AL East Odds: -137
Pinnacle's 2012 Season O/U Wins: 93.5ov-111
News Links
Newly acquired starting pitcher Michael Pineda
worked more on control
rather than velocity during spring training.
Ivan Nova, Phil Hughes, Michael Pineda and Freddy Garcia are competing for
three spots
behind opening day starter CC Sabathia and Hiroki Kuroda.
New York's
lineup
will be virtually the same as last year with the exception of Raul Ibanez who takes over for the recently retired Jorge
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MLB
New York Yankees
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MLB Handicapping: Umpire strike zone results from 2011
03.22.2012 02:06 PM
Printer Friendly
Article from
Hardball Times
breaking down MLB umpires and the smallest and largest strike zones. Below are the top five from 2011 and their season over/under wins results.
Smallest (2011 Season Over/Under)
1. Tim Tschida 13-6
2. Tim McClelland 20-12
3. Paul Schrieber 13-10
4. Ed Hickox 15-18
5. Chad Fairchild 13-17
Largest (2011 Season Over/Under)
1. Phil Cuzzi 10-21
2. Ron Kulpa 15-17
3. Bill Miller 17-17
4. Ted Barret 17-13
5. Doug Eddings 13-18
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MLB Handicapping: Pitching rotations as of 3-20-2012
03.20.2012 01:34 PM
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Here is a chart of the 2012 MLB pitching rotations. Keep in mind, these are very tenative and are obviously subject to change at any time.
2012 MLB Pitching Rotations as of March 3
TEAM
No. 1
No. 2
No. 3
No. 4
No. 5
Others
ARIZONA
I. Kennedy
D. Hudson
T. Cahill
J. Saunders
J. Collmenter
W. Miley
ATLANTA
T. Hudson
J. Jurrjens
T. Hanson
B. Beachy
M. Minor
R. Delgado
BALTIMORE
Z. Britton
J. Hammel
W. Chen
J. Arrieta
T. Wada
T. Hunter
BOSTON
J. Lester
J. Beckett
C. Buchholz
D. Bard
A. Aceves
A. Miller
CHICAGO CUBS
R. Dempster
M. Garza
P. Maholm
T. Wood
R. Wells
J. Samardzija
CHICAGO WS
J. Danks
J. Peavy
G. Floyd
C. Sale
P. Humber
C. Stewart
CINCINNATI
J. Cueto
M. Latos
B. Arroyo
H. Bailey
M. Leake
A. Chapman
CLEVELAND
U. Jimenez
J. Masterson
D. Lowe
F. Carmona
J. Tomlin
K. Slowey
COLORADO
J. Guthrie
J. Chacin
D. Pomeranz
J. Nicasio
G. Moscoso
A. White
DETROIT
J. Verlander
D. Fister
M. Scherzer
R. Porcello
J. Turner
D. Below
HOUSTON
W. Rodriguez
B. Norris
J. Happ
J. Lyles
L. Hernandez
Z. Duke
KANSAS CITY
L. Hochevar
B. Chen
J. Sanchez
F. Paulino
D. Duffy
L. Mendoza
LA ANGELS
J. Weaver
D. Haren
C. Wilson
E. Santana
J. Williams
G. Richards
LA DODGERS
C. Kershaw
C. Billingsley
T. Lilly
A. Harang
C. Capuano
N. Eovaldi
MIAMI
J. Johnson
M. Buehrle
R. Nolasco
A. Sanchez
C. Zambrano
W. LeBlanc
MILWAUKEE
Y. Gallardo
Z. Greinke
R. Wolf
S. Marcum
C. Narveson
MINNESOTA
C. Pavano
F. Liriano
S. Baker
N. Blackburn
J. Marquis
B. Duensing
NY METS
J. Santana
R. Dickey
J. Niese
M. Pelfrey
D. Gee
C. Schwinden
NY YANKEES
C. Sabathia
H. Kuroda
I. Nova
M. Pineda
F. Garcia
P. Hughes
OAKLAND
B. McCarthy
B. Colon
T. Milone
T. Ross
D. Braden
B. Anderson
PHILADELPHIA
R. Halladay
C. Lee
C. Hamels
V. Worley
J. Blanton
J. Diekman
PITTSBURGH
A. Burnett
E. Bedard
K. Correia
C. Morton
J. McDonald
J. Karstens
SAN DIEGO
T. Stauffer
C. Richard
C. Luebke
D. Moseley
E. Volquez
A. Bass
SAN FRANCISCO
T. Lincecum
M. Cain
M. Bumgarner
R. Vogelsong
B. Zito
E. Surkamp
SEATTLE
F. Hernandez
J. Vargas
H. Iwakuma
B. Beaven
C. Furbush
H. Noesi
ST. LOUIS
A. Wainwright
C. Carpenter
K. Lohse
J. Garcia
J. Westbrook
TAMPA BAY
J. Shields
D. Price
J. Hellickson
J. Neimann
M. Moore
W. Davis
TEXAS
C. Lewis
Y. Darvish
D. Holland
N. Feliz
M. Harrison
A. Ogando
TORONTO
R. Romero
B. Morrow
B. Cecil
H. Alvarez
D. McGowan
K. Drabek
WASHINGTON
S. Strasburg
G. Gonzalez
J. Zimmermann
E. Jackson
C. Wang
J. Lannan
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MLB Gambling News: Washington Nationals poised for breakout season
03.20.2012 11:28 AM
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Good article from
Grantland
on the Washington Nationals. Starting pitchers Stephen Strasburg and Jordan Zimmermann are reportedly healthy. The team also signed Gio Gonzalez and Edwin Jackson during the offseason. Washington is currently +700 to win the National East and lined at 84 O/U wins.
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Washington Nationals
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Odds to win the 2012 MLB Home Run title
03.20.2012 07:42 AM
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Odds on this year's home run champ courtesy of Pinnacle. In the case of a tie, batting average would determine the winner (take that into account when supporting Mark Reynolds). Some of the "field" includes: Ryan Howard (34 home runs last season, injured), Jacoby Ellsbury (32), Ian Kinsler (32), Adrian Beltre (32), Paul Konerko (31), Lance Berkman (31), Michael Morse (31), Justin Upton (31), Evan Longoria (31), JJ Hardy (30) and Mike Napoli (30).
Odds on 2012 MLB Home Run Champ
Player
Odds
2011 Total
Field (any other player)
+464
Jose Bautista
+500
43
Giancarlo (Mike) Stanton
+792
34
Albert Pujols
+800
37
Prince Fielder
+800
38
Miguel Cabrera
+1350
30
Mark Texeira
+1475
39
Curtis Granderson
+1700
41
Adrian Gonzalez
+1736
27
Mark Reynolds
+1900
37
Matt Kemp
+2188
39
Nelson Cruz
+2950
29
Adam Dunn
+3000
11
Ryan Braun
+3000
33
Alex Rodriguez
+3263
16
Troy Tulowitzki
+3300
30
Carlos Pena
+4000
28
Joey Votto
+4000
29
Jay Bruce
+4100
32
Dan Uggla
+4200
36
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MLB Betting News: Decline in scoring attributed to umpires
03.06.2012 01:15 PM
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Article from
baseballanalytics.org
on perhaps the real reasoning for the decline in offense across the board in MLB. The “disappearance” of steroids is what most point to as the source but one study shows that umpires may be the main culprits. It turns out the over the last four seasons, umps are calling more and more strikes – almost as if they are carrying out what it clearly states in the rule book.
In 2008, umpires called a strike 74.5% of the time that a hitter took a pitch that was thrown within the strike zone. By 2011, that called strike rate on pitches taken in the zone was over six percent higher as compared to '08:
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Baseball Gambling News: Playoffs expanded to 10 teams
03.02.2012 02:01 PM
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Major League Baseball made the decision to expand the playoffs from
eight to 10 teams
. For bettors this of course means more games which is never a bad thing. Check out the confident quote from Houston GM Jeff Luhnow regarding the change. Why not be excited, your teams' chances to make the postseason just skyrocketed to 1.94%!
"I hope we get that extra spot," said new Houston Astros general manager Jeff Luhnow, whose team is coming off a 56-106 finish that was the worst in the majors. "I think it's great any time you have more markets involved."
For the 2012 postseason, the five-game Division Series will begin with two home games for lower seeds, followed by home games for the higher seed. After that, it will return to the 2-2-1 format previously used.
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MLB Prop Bets: Team vs. Team Regular Season Wins
02.22.2012 11:26 AM
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Here are some MLB prop bets posted by The Greek.
Total Season Wins Matchups
Arizona vs. Tampa Bay -1
Atlanta vs. Texas -4.5
Chicago WS vs. Chicago Cubs -0.5
Toronto vs. Colorado -0.5
Houston vs. Baltimore -5.5
LA Dodgers vs. LA Angels -11.5
Miami vs. Tampa Bay -2.5
NY Mets vs. Oakland -1
Boston vs. Philadelphia -2.5
Philadelphia vs. NY Yankees -1
Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland -4.5
Cleveland vs. Cincinnati -8
Seattle vs. San Diego -1
San Francisco vs. Detroit -4.5
Half Season Props
Most wins at All-Star Break
American League -125
National League -105
Most losses at All-Star Break
American League +105
National League -135
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MLB Handicapping: Helpful publications for bettors
02.21.2012 12:24 PM
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The MLB season is right around the corner and on cue, Baseball Prospectus released its 2012 annual (
only $15
). The information can at times be overwhelming but it still remains a must have for bettors. Another good tool is
Baseball America's Prospect Handbook
. You won’t find more accurate analysis on up-and-coming players. Nice to have late in the season when you see “0-0, 0.00 ERA” on the betting card.
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