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MLB Betting: Cooler temps in the midwest
09.05.2011 06:54 AM
Printer Friendly
It has been raining here in Nashville for the past 36 hours and the temperature has dropped from 100 on Saturday afternoon to a projected high of 67 here on Monday.
We've tracked the weather across some of the more northern areas, particularly in the midwest where we see similar cool temperatures. Check out this baseball schedule and keep in mind the significant drop on the thermometer.
Detroit at Cleveland: 65, high wind in from center, rain
Houston at Pittsburgh: 66, moderate/low winds out to right-center, rain
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (double header scheduled today): 65, virtually no wind, clear
Arizona at Chicago Cubs: 62, high wind in from center, rain
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MLB
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants
08.30.2011 02:05 PM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Chicago (Garza) +130 at San Francisco (Vogelsong) O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Chicago
As the pennant chase turns to September, the former World Champs are going the wrong direction. San Francisco trails Arizona by five games in the NL West and is essentially out of the wild card chase with Atlanta still going strong. I posted comments in the Sportsmemo Posting Forum a while back that the Giants, and not the Pirates, were perhaps the biggest surprise in the National League as they were biggest overachievers. At the time, San Francisco was 56-41 and in first place despite a team batting average of .243, third lowest runs scored in the NL and second lowest OPS (.668). The Giants have gone 15-23 since then, losing lots of money for their betting backers while in the underdog role just nine times. San Francisco is just 3-3 their last six games, and the Giants were at least a -180 favorite in all six.
Following last night’s 7-0 loss to the Cubs as a huge +230 favorite with Tim
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Tags:
MLB
Chicago Cubs
Matt Garza
San Francisco Giants
Ryan Vogelsong
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MLB Handicapper Friday Free Play: Grand Salami Over 135.5
08.26.2011 08:14 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Grand Salami O/U 135.5
Recommendation: Over
I typically look to play the Grand Salami under when we have a perfect storm of quality pitchers and umps or a short card for getaway day. Today though, I can't help but look towards playing it over. A lot of shaky starting pitchers going to tonight and more than a few games taking place in hitter friendly parks. In the National League, outside a maybe Tim Hudson, there are no elite level pitchers with most of the card comprised of middle-of-the-rotation arms. Over in the American League is where we have the potential to really rack up runs with four games in hitter friendly Baltimore, Toronto, Boston and Texas. And of the two elite level AL pitchers we get them both in ballparks conducive for runs with Dan Haren starting in Texas and James Shields in Toronto. That helps our chances in avoiding 2-1, 3-2 type games. It also looks like our East Coast games won't be affected by Hurricane Irene. Play the Grand Salami OVER.
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MLB Handicapping: Oakland's Cahill faces nemisis New York Yankees
08.24.2011 06:18 AM
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Oakland's Trevor Cahill likes two things...winning baseball games and not pitching against the New York Yankees. The Bronx Bombers have caused Cahill's career ERA to jump from 3.54 to 3.89 as a result of only four starts. All told, Cahill’s stat line vs. New York: 18.2 IP, 28 ERs, 6 HRs, 10 BBs, 10 Ks. Tonight he's a +250 underdog at Yankee Stadium against CC Sabathia with a total of 8.5.
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Oakland A's
Trevor Cahill
New York Yankees
CC Sabathia
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies
08.23.2011 12:51 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Houston (Norris) at Colorado (White) -165 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Over
The Rockies have been an over machine at home of late. They’ve already cashed six over tickets in the first seven games of their current home stand thanks to a hot hitting lineup and a pitching staff that has really fallen apart in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Houston has come alive offensively over the past week, despite a lineup that features four rookie starters. After last night’s true slugfest – 34 batters reached base via hit or walk, with 11 extra base hits and 14 runs to show for it – there’s no reason to expect anything different tonight.
Houston’s Bud Norris has declined markedly since the All-Star break. His ERA, WHIP and batting average against are all up; his strikeouts are way down. Norris has never pitched in the Mile High air before and he’s taking a big step up in class after facing the likes of the light hitting Dodgers (twice), Cubs, Pirates (twice) and Padres on the
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Colorado Rockies
Alex White
Houston Astors
Bud Norris
Teddy Covers
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MLB Handicapping: San Francisco offense approaching historically bad levels
08.19.2011 09:11 AM
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San Francisco (Vogelsong) -145 at Houston (Rodriguez) O/U 7
News and notes
on the San Francisco Giants offense which continues to baffle bettors.
FanGraphs
points out that no team since 1988 (LA Dodgers) has made the playoffs while averaging fewer than four runs per game. After last night's shutout loss in Atlanta, the Giants check in at 3.42. As suspect as last year's offense was, they managed to average 4.3 runs per game. In terms of odds to make the playoffs, they are varying opinions depending on what source you use. Baseball Prospectus says they have a 71.7% shot while Coolstanding claims 34.5%. Heading into tonight's action, the Giants trail Arizona by 2.5 games.
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San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at San Diego Padres
08.17.2011 07:41 AM
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NY Mets (Gee) at San Diego (Latos) -145 O/U 6.5
Recommendation: San Diego
The Mets and Padres finish their three-game set today in the sunshine of Petco Park. San Diego starter Mat Latos is very quietly pitching his best baseball of the season. Over his last three starts he’s allowed a total of just five earned runs. In addition, the strikeouts and command are there, with an 18-2 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Keep in mind Latos fought a sore shoulder to start the campaign, which seemed to sap some of his effectiveness. Against a weakened Mets lineup sans Jose Reyes and Daniel Murphy, Latos should boast another strong outing today. Meanwhile, Dillon Gee will start for the Mets. Gee doesn’t have near the sizzling stuff of Latos. He sports a healthy 10-4 record but the youngster could be wearing down after allowing 15 runs, five home runs and a 15-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his last four starts. With San Diego’s lineup hitting as well as
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San Diego Padres
Mat Latos
New York Mets
Dillon Gee
Erin Rynning
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MLB Betting Notes: Oakland, Seattle and San Diego rake in Overs
08.16.2011 06:53 AM
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A couple of teams trending heavily towards the over since mid-July, most notably Oakland who is on a current 22-2-2 O/U streak. The source of these runs is very intriguing as all three teams have under-esque qualities – good pitching, poor hitting, pitcher friendly ball parks, pitcher friendly divisions. Thirty-eight of Oakland and Seattle’s games during their run were against the AL East/Texas so that somewhat accounts for the inflation of ERA. But what about the run production? Why is Oakland all of a sudden averaging over five runs per game? One explanation (more like an observation) is that the A's are finally hitting mediocre pitching. During the 26-game run they were able to pound around some of the average arms that earlier in this season they rarely hit. Similar situation for Seattle. Familiarity could perhaps play a factor – facing a pitcher for a second, third even fourth time would in theory favor the offense. Making Oakland's run all the more impressive is the fact that 18 of its 26 games closed at 7.5
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Oakland A's
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Texas Rangers at Oakland A's
08.12.2011 11:36 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Texas (Wilson) at Oakland (McCarthy) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Texas R/L -1.5 +130
Recent comments by Rangers lefty CJ Wilson have the A’s fans all riled up so expect more enthusiasm than normally inside McAfee Coliseum tonight. That being said, the game will still boil down to the fundamentals on the field will all point toward
Texas
. Wilson has been simply outstanding on the road this season throwing 10 quality starts in his 12 outings away from Arlington. For the year, he owns an overall 2.66 road ERA and 1.15 WHIP. In his 10 quality starts, that lowers to a 1.94 ERA and 1.04 WHIP with opposing bats accumulating just 79 total bases in his 74.1 innings. One of those starts was here back in late April and Wilson yielded three runs (one earned) in seven innings. With their strong back end of the bullpen trio all rested and ready for this game, Texas figures to keeps Oakland’s scoreboard production to three or
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Texas Rangers
CJ Wilson
Oakland A's
Brandon McCarthy
Rob Veno
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles
08.11.2011 11:46 AM
ER Sports
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Submitted by ER Sports
Chicago (Buehrle) -120 at Baltimore (Tillman) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Under
The White Sox and Orioles wrap-up their three-game set tonight in Camden Yards. The best getaway day pitcher in the business will take the mound for the White Sox. Mark Buehrle has been in fine form for the Sox with seven-straight quality starts, while allowing a total of just nine earned runs in those seven starts. With his ability to work quickly and efficiently, the southpaw should carve through the Orioles lineup. Meanwhile, young Chris Tillman will toe the rubber for the Orioles. Tillman has faced his difficulties at the major league level, while showing a 4.85 ERA on the season. It felt like the Orioles rushed the right-hander in previous editions as he was just a raw, young thrower. He started 12 games in 2009 and another 11 games in 2010. Keep in mind, Tillman is still just 23-years-old and it feels that during his work in the minor leagues he’s figured some things out. In two outings since his most recent call up
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Chicago White Sox
Mark Buehrle
Baltimore Orioles
Chris Tillman
Erin Rynning
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