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MLB Handicapping: Dickey's 2013 struggles continue

06.13.2013     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Pretty revealing interview on FanGraphs as RA Dickey spilled the beans on this year's struggles. Dickey is a tough dude and we commend him for wanting to take the ball every fifth day – nowhere is that more needed than Toronto given the revolving door of starters they've had this season. That being said, Dickey mentioned the litany of injuries he’s dealt with, the drop in velocity, as well as having to prepare for the World Baseball Classic. The interview was conducted prior to his June 5 start in San Francisco in which he threw 8.1 inning of shutout ball. His next start however was awful as he allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs against the White Sox. Even with Dickey being a knuckleballer he is getting up there in age and has little room for error tossing in the American League East. Until further notice, he remains on our "bet against" list.

Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Yankees at Oakland A's

06.12.2013     10:10 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
NY Yankees (Hughes) +112 at Oakland (Straily) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: New York

Everyone who’s involved in the daily MLB handicapping grind knows how wildly inconsistent Phil Hughes’ starts can be. His stuff has always been very good and in my opinion when he has a bad outing it’s because of poor location inside the strike zone. Tonight there are overwhelming situational numbers that suggest he’ll be successful so I’ll go to the well and back him for a second straight start. In his most recent performance, Hughes came through with seven innings of three hit ball and a win at Seattle. The road has been kind to the RH lately as his last three away appearances have resulted in quality starts. In those games, Hughes threw 19 innings allowing 12 hits and three earned runs for a 1.35 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, .169 BAA. He’s had tremendous success in this park as evidenced by his 1.69 ERA and 0.69 WHIP and in 84 plate appearances against him, this A’s roster Read more

Tags: MLB New York Yankees Oakland A's Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins

06.11.2013     11:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Milwaukee (Peralta) -110 at Miami (Turner) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Milwaukee

This game comes down to one single question – how much do you value starting pitching?  There’s no doubt that Miami has a real starting pitching edge in this game, sending impressive rookie phenom Jacob Turner to the mound to face off against the very hittable Wily Peralta for the Brewers.  But that’s the only edge the Marlins have.  In a pick ‘em priced game, I don’t think that’s enough.  Here’s why:

Prior to the season, Miami was lined as a 63 or 64 win team, expected to approach the 100 loss mark.  They’ve lived up to those expectations.  At 18-45, the Marlins have the worst record in the major leagues.  Only the Astros have a weaker home record than Miami’s 10-21 mark.

Milwaukee was lined as a .500 level ball club coming into the campaign (80 or 81 wins).  Thanks to a disastrous month of May Read more

Tags: MLB Miwaukee Brewers Miami Marlins Teddy Covers

MLB Gambling Free Pick: Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers

06.11.2013     10:37 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Cleveland (Kluber) at Texas (Holland)
Recommendation: Under 5.5 1st 5

I've been high on Texas' Derek Holland all season and he hasn't disappointed. At a hit and strikeout per inning – and tossing in the American League – he's proven himself to be one of the top left-handed arms in the game. Tonight he faces a Cleveland offense that is as streaky as it comes. They're currently in an eight-game slump in which the offense has produced some truly dismal splits: .211/.267/.576. Cleveland's Corey Kluber has been a pleasant surprise. The big right-handed has good stuff (9.85 Ks per 9) but has been a bit unfortunate (.341 BABIP, 4.56 ERA/2.84 xFIP). Kluber just wrapped up a four-game swatch in which he faced New York, Tampa, Boston, and Detroit and posted a rock solid stellar 29/3 K/BB ratio while allowing only 18 hits. Cleveland's bullpen isn't very trustworthy but I like both starting pitchers which got me to the window with a play under the total, first 5 innings.

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Cleveland Indians Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Pittsburgh Pirates call up stud righty Gerrit Cole

06.11.2013     07:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
San Francisco (Lincecum) at Pittsburgh (Cole) -120 O/U 7.5

Good breakdown from FanGraphs on Pittsburgh's highly touted rookie Gerrit Cole. He was the No. 1 pick in the 2011 drafft. At Triple-A, Cole posted a 2.91 ERA with 44 hits allowed in 68 innings. His strikeout rate was down (6.22 K/9) was down from previous minor league stops but it was reportedly by design.

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates San Francisco Giants

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners

06.10.2013     10:31 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) at Seattle (Iwakuma) -235 O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Under

Hisashi Iwakuma has been as dominant as any pitcher in baseball here at Safeco Field in 2013.  The numbers don’t lie.  In his starts, he’s lasted 41.2 innings (almost seven full innings per outing) with allowing a grand total of 21 hits and five earned runs.  His 38-2 strikeout to walk ratio is unheard of, as is his 1.08 ERA, 0.55 WHIP and .155 batting average against.  But because his name is Hisashi Iwakuma (a relative unknown) and because he plays in Seattle (a completely anonymous franchise for the last decade); he’s still not being priced like a Justin Verlander or a Clayton Kershaw.

The Astros lineup has gone ice cold again; held to two runs or less in six of their last seven ballgames, including all three in their just concluded set at Kansas City.  And the Mariners bullpen behind Iwakuma is in good shape following strong pitching performances from King Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers

MLB Gambling News: New York Mets running out of towels to throw in

06.10.2013     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Two weeks ago, the New York Mets swept a four-game series against the New York Yankees. It was a fairly remarkable feat considering that their pre- and post-sweep play has been nothing short of horrific. Since April 26, against teams not named the Yankees, the Mets are 9-26 – including five straight losses against Miami. Following Sunday's loss, management decided to make some changes with a host of guys being sent down and called up. Things don't get any easier with a three-game set against the St. Louis Cardinals (41-22) starting Tuesday.

Tags: MLB New York Mets

MLB Handicapping: Kansas City uses brain, tweaks lineup, scores runs

06.07.2013     06:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Not sure if this is funny or sad...or a usable handicapping angle but certainly worth a mention. Heading into Wednesday's game, in hopes of sparking its horrific offense, Kansas City decided to seek outside help. According to this article, manager Ned Yost had the team's "statistical guys" arrange the lineup based on righty/lefty, strengths/weaknesses…you know, the type of shit winning organizations typically do. Anyway, KC scored four runs (only one was earned) and get this, walked five times! Don't laugh, it marked only the eighth time all season the Royals walked five or more times. Last night, more offense from KC as they put seven runs on the board. We're not going to get too excited by all this (they did face PJ Walters and Mike Pelfrey). However, sometimes a simple tweak like a lineup adjustment can make a difference and for KC's offense, there is nowhere to go but up. They'll have a shot to put up more runs with their next three games at home against Houston.

Read more

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals

MLB Gambling Free Pick: Oakland A's at Chicago White Sox

06.07.2013     06:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Oakland (Parker) at Chicago WS (Sale) -120 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under

This may be the easiest free play write-up in history in part because we are going back to the well with another Jarrod Parker/Chris Sale under the total bet. On Sunday those faced off in Oakland with a total of 7 – both teams barely got to seven hits as the A's won 2-0. Everyone knows how dominant Sale has been but Parker has quietly returned to last year's stellar form. Over his last four starts, he has allowed only 17 hits and six earned runs in 27.1 innings to go with a 21/6 K-to-BB ratio and 1.98 ERA. Obviously Cellular Field plays a bit smaller than Oakland Coliseum, however I still see two pitchers trending in a positive direction and facing two sub-par offenses. Get this Read more

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange

MLB Betting Free Pick: Oakland A's at Chicago White Sox

06.06.2013     10:56 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Oakland (Straily) -130 at Chicago WS (Quintana) O/U 8
Recommendation: Oakland

Oakland enters Chicago red hot having gone 16-3 over their last 19 games. They’ve won six consecutive series including their just completed two of three at Milwaukee where they outscored the Brewers 19-7. Everything is clicking right now for the A’s as evidenced by their +44 run differential (91-47) during this stretch. The offense has an outstanding .383 OBP, the starters own a 2.44 ERA and 1.01 WHIP while the bullpen has recorded 3 wins, 8 saves, 10 holds, 2.40 era and 1.11 WHIP. Oakland catches a break in this series opener since the White Sox were involved in a 5 hour 42 minute, 16 inning affair in Seattle yesterday. Aside from the extra innings and the long flight, Chicago’s bullpen is almost completely blown out for this contest. Chi Sox starter Jose Quintana has averaged a shade over 5.2 innings per outing this season and has completed seven full just once in his eleven starts. Last Read more

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Chicago White Sox Rob Veno


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