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MLB Gambling: Texas rookie Tepesch makes debut vs. Tampa Bay

04.09.2013     12:19 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Hernandez) at Texas (Tepesch) -130 O/U 10.5

Texas' Nick Tepesch will make his MLB debut tonight against Tampa Bay. Last season Tepesch pitched at High-A and Double-A. This season he made one start for Triple-A Round Rock (5 IP, 0 ER, 5 Ks, 0 BB). Here is good scouting report on the kid. Numbers-wise it looks like he has good command (77 walks in 305 innings) but his strikeout rate is a bit low (68 Ks in 90.1 IP at Double-A).

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Tampa Bay Rays

MLB Handicapping: San Francisco catcher not helping Linecum's cause

04.09.2013     12:00 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Interesting take by Baseball Prospectus on San Francisco catcher Hector Sanchez’s negative impact when behind the plate. Sanchez has for whatever reason been Tim Linecum's go-to guy.  And as BP points out, Sanchez pretty much sucks at framing pitches. Note that Sanchez was behind the plate during Lincecum's last start in which he walked seven batters. After Lincecum departed, Buster Posey took over and San Fran’s bullpen didn't walk a single batter the rest of the game. Lincecum is a -130 home favorite vs. Colorado tonight.

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants

MLB Handicapping: Starting pitchers with improved velocity

04.08.2013     12:39 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We are always quick to point out starting pitchers who regress with their velocity. But FanGraphs has put together list of arms that have seen an increase in velocity.

Tags: MLB

MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals

04.08.2013     09:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Minnesota (Correia) +131 at Kansas City (Santana) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Minnesota

The Twins have won each of their first two series to open the season, a far cry from their debacle of a campaign in 2012.  Manger Ron Gardenhire: “It's early in the season but our goal is to win series.  Get our fans back and excited about this baseball team in a positive way.”

Today’s starter Kevin Correia is at his best in April, with career splits clearly showing a bias towards strong early season results.  Correia threw a gem in his debut last week, seven innings of two run ball against Detroit.  Expect more of the same today!

KC’s Erwin Santana has struggled with the gopher ball throughout his big league career, and his Royals debut was no exception – three dingers allowed in a loss at Chicago.  The bullpen behind him nearly blew another ninth inning lead yesterday after blowing the save on Saturday; not reliable to close Read more

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Kansas City Royals Teddy Covers

MLB Gambling Update: Halladay makes second start vs. New York Mets

04.08.2013     06:35 AM     Printer Friendly

NY Mets (Harvey) at Philadelphia (Halladay) -115 O/U 7.5

Roy Halladay is back on the bump after giving up five earned runs in 3.1 innings in his season debut. A few scouts weighed in on the performance as well as whether or not Halladay can turn things around.

"Well, it's going to be a struggle. He's got to reinvent himself. And that's going to take a while. But I don't think he's done. I wouldn't go that far. Anyone who thinks this guy is a top-of-the-rotation guy now is not being realistic. And when I say top of the rotation, I mean a [No.] 1 or 2. He's not that. He's more like a [No.] 4 for me now. But that doesn't mean he's done.

Based on what I saw last night, that

Read more

Tags: MLB New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

04.07.2013     07:19 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
San Diego (Volquez) at Colorado (Chacin) -145 O/U 10.5
Recommendation: Colorado

San Diego's Edinson Volquez has one redeeming quality – he pitches in Petco Park where on occasion he can be counted on for a quality start. Outside of that, Volquez doesn't offer much upside. He's dealt with mechanical issues for over a year and it's resulted in little to no command. After getting smacked around in his first start Padres pitching coach Darren Balsley was back to the drawing board of trying to get Volquez's mechanics in order. So here we are with a mediocre pitcher struggling with his mechanics and confidence tossing in Coors Field. Colorado's Jhoulys Chacin does has upside so long as he's healthy. And when he's healthy – which he appears to be this season – he's got enough stuff to overcome Coors Field (see: 38 career starts, 4.18 ERA). The Padres have scored 13 runs in their first five games – the last two vs. Jeff Francis and Jon Garland in Coors. I think the Read more

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Angels' Hanson makes American League debut

04.06.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
LA Angels (Hanson) at Texas (Harrison) -125 O/U 9.5

Keep an eye on Los Angeles' Tommy Hanson as he makes his American League debut this afternoon in Texas. Hanson struggled with back problems and a drop in velocity last year. And during the spring he was pulled from a start due to the tight tricep. In his last spring training outing he went 6.1 innings, struck out six and walked four (93 pitches).

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Angels Texas Rangers

MLB Handicapping: New York Yankees send struggling Nova to hill vs. Detroit

04.05.2013     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
NY Yankees (Nova) at Detroit (Fister) -185 O/U 8

When was the last time the New York Yankees were a +170 underdog? That's the current price for tonight's game in Detroit as Ivan Nova takes on Doug Fister. According to reports Nova didn't have a good spring and seems to be struggling with his mechanics. Nova went 2-5 with a 7.05 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, and .309 BAA after the All-Star break last season.

"The adjustments were not major," Rothschild said. "It’s something that when he’s right he does throughout, it’s just a matter of trying to make him more consistent with it. There’s some adjustment there, but it's not -- I don’t know if that’s why he’s had a bad spring."

"I don’t think he pitched as well as we’d like him to, but a lot of times that doesn’t make a difference as long

Read more

Tags: MLB New York Yankees Detroit Tigers

MLB Betting Free Play: Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds

04.05.2013     07:31 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Washington (Haren) at Cincinnati (Bailey) -120 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Cincinnati

Bettors are already aware of Roy Halladay's rapid decline but not far behind him is Dan Haren. In 2009, Haren posted a 3.14 ERA with 223 strikeouts in 229 innings. And as recent as two years ago he was seen mowing down American League hitters to the tune of 192 Ks in 238.1 innings with a 3.17 ERA. But last year's decline (176.2 IP, 142 Ks, 4.33 ERA) was no fluke. Haren lost his velocity and fell in love with his cutter and the results weren't positive. Now in Washington, Haren has a chance to bounce back – and really is a good situation of having three stud pitchers ahead of him in the rotation and getting to toss in the National League. However, reports this spring weren't good. In one game he was 84-87 on the gun and topped out at 89. In his last spring start things were slightly better and one scout said he was "getting close" to regaining his form. I’m still leery and note Read more

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Cincinnati Reds Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Shadows cause havoc on Minnesota afternoon games

04.04.2013     01:10 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Interesting article on some of Minnesota's players and coaching complaining about how difficult it is to see during mid-afternoon games. There have been two such instanes thus far and both games went under the total. Note that the Twins have 3:10 pm local starts against the Mets (April 13) and Rangers (April 27) upcoming.

“It’s not easy in the shadows,” manager Ron Gardenhire said. “With these 3 o’clock games, it’s tough to see the ball.”

“It’s bad anywhere you go, but here, seeing the ball off the bat, seeing the ball from infielders, seeing the ball out of the pitchers’s hand — I mean, it’s as bad as I can remember right now,” Morneau said. “We can’t control the temperature, but we can control when we play. And this has been tough.”

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins


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