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Free MLB Betting Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

04.26.2012     10:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Toronto (Hutchison) -115 at Baltimore (Matusz) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


There are numerous favorable conditions pointing toward extreme run production in this contest. Neither of the starting pitchers, Baltimore’s Brian Matusz or 21-year-old Toronto rookie Drew Hutchinson is currently demonstrating the ability to slow down opposing lineups. For Matusz, the run of poor pitching extends back to last season and the southpaw can’t seem to find positive answers. This season’s three starts have resulted in three game ERA’s of 7.20 or higher, three game WHIP’s of 1.94 or higher and three games of 18.7 pitches per inning or higher. To make matters worse, he’s been hammered by the Blue Jays going 0-3 in his four career starts and lasting only 11 innings total. He’s allowed 29 base runners in those 11 innings, six home runs and has a 13.09 ERA. Have to expect Blue Jays hitters who have a combined .904 OPS against Matusz to put up another explosive Read more


Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles Rob Veno




MLB Gambling Notes: Rangers shuffle rotation to give Feliz rest

04.26.2012     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Texas Rangers are going to tinker with their starting rotation in order to ensure converted reviler Neftali Feliz gets the proper amount of rest. Feliz tossed 8 IP and 119 pitches last Saturday and then threw an inning out of the bullpen in yesterday’s win over the Yankees. 

Tentative Pitching Rotation
Thursday - Off
Friday - Harrison vs. Tampa
Saturday - Lewis vs. Tampa
Sunday - Holland vs. Tampa
Monday - Darvish vs. Toronto
Tuesday - Felix vs. Toronto
Wednesday - Harrison vs. Toronto
Thursday - Off




Tags: MLB Texas Rangers




MLB Betting Notes: Detroit's Porcello a -200 favorite for the first time in his career

04.26.2012     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle (Noesi) at Detroit (Porcello) -205 O/U 9

The Detroit Tigers will look to avoid the three-game sweep this afternoon against Seattle. The Tigers have lost five of six (outscored 41-17). Rick Porcello is off one of the worst starts of his career (1 IP, 8 ERs) and priced as a -200 favorite for the first time in career. Porcello was right at a pick 'em his first three starts this season and has never been priced higher than -185 prior to today.




Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Seattle Mariners




MLB Handicapping: Humber makes first start following perfect game

04.26.2012     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly
We compiled the results of pitchers off a no-hitter or perfect game dating back to 2006. The results have been pretty good as only Carlos Zambrano (1.2 IP, 8 ERs) and Francisco Liriano (3 IP, 4 ERs) blew up in their next outing. Chicago’s Philip Humber, who last Saturday tossed a perfect game (96 pitches) against Seattle, is a -120 home favorite vs. Boston.

Pitcher Results Following No-Hitter or Perfect Game as of 4/26/2012
Year
Pitcher
Innings
Earned Runs
Team Result
2012
Philip Humber
???
???
???
2011
Ervin Santana
9
1
Win
2011
Justin Verlander
8
1
Win
2011
Francisco Liriano
3
4
Loss
2010
Roy Halladay
7
4
Loss
2010
Matt Garza
7
4
Loss
2010
Edwin Jackson
5
4
Win
2010
Roy Halladay
7
2
Win
2010
Dallas Braden
8
4
Loss
2010
Ubaldo Jimenez
7.1
0
Win
2009
Mark Buehrle
6.1
5
Loss
2009
Jonathan Sanchez
6
3
Loss
2008
Carlos Zambrano
1.2
8
Loss
2008
Jon Lester
5
3
Loss
2007
Clay Buchholz
3
0
Win
2007
Justin Verlander
6
3
Win
2007
Mark Buehrle
7
3
Win
2006
Anibal Sanchez
7
3
Win
Results
 
103.1
4.52 ERA
9-8





Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Boston Red Sox




MLB Handicapping: New York's Pineda out for the year

04.25.2012     02:28 PM     Printer Friendly
Well that didn't work out so well. New York's Michael Pineda (shoulder) is going under the knife and will miss the entire 2012 season.



Tags: MLB New York Yankees




MLB Gambling News: Padres admit Petco fences should be adjusted

04.25.2012     01:39 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With home splits of .185 BA/.291 SLG/5 HRS/2.83 RPG it shouldn't come as a shock that the San Diego Padres are considering moving in the fences at Petco Park. This after a petition to allow the team to use metal bats on even number days was shot down by the MLBPA (kidding!).


“We’re open-minded and we’re seriously considering it,” Padres interim CEO Tom Garfinkel said Tuesday.

“I do believe it is too extreme right now. It will still be a pitcher’s ballpark. But a hitter should be rewarded if he crushes it. And if a team is down 4-0, they should feel there is some hope. It’s just too extreme.”

“But a solidly hit ball should be rewarded. Baseball is a match between the pitcher and the hitter. We’ve seen a number of times here where the hitter wins that battle and gets nothing to show for it.

“It should play fair. Four runs should not be an impossible deficit to overcome.”






Tags: MLB San Diego Padres




MLB Betting News: Highly touted Parker makes debut for Oakland

04.25.2012     06:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago (Sale) -135 at Oakland (Parker) O/U 7.5

Quick breakdown of Oakland starter Jarrod Parker who came over in the Trevor Cahill deal. Parker was a former first round pick back in 2007 and had Tommy John surgery in 2010. He went 1-0 with a 2.18 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 20.3 innings for Triple-A Sacramento.


Parker has an accomplished repertoire of pitches, including a four-seam fastball in the mid 90s, and a slider that often makes batters look foolish. He made his big league debut last September and shut down the Dodgers, allowing no runs, four hits and a walk in 5 2/3 innings, though he wasn't involved in the decision.






Tags: MLB Oakland A's Chicago White Sox




MLB Betting Preview: New York's Kuroda faces Texas' Darvish

04.24.2012     01:21 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York (Kuroda) at Texas (Darivsh) -140 O/U 10

Two of Japan's finest square off in Texas tonight with Hiroki Kuroda facing Yu Darvish. Kuroda has been been hit or miss with one great start against Los Angeles (8 IP, 0 ER) and two sup-par showings against Minnesota (4.1 IP, 6 ERs) and Tampa (5.2 IP, 4 ER). A few scouts question whether of not Kuroda can succeed long term coming from the NL to AL.

The book on Darvish is pretty thick considering he's made only three starts. From a raw statistical standpoint, the fact that he's walked 13 batters in 17.2 IP is a major concern. Baseball Analytics though makes the point that he may be getting squeezed by the umps.


Overall, AL Read more



Tags: MLB New York Yankees Texas Rangers




MLB Gambling Free Play: Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

04.24.2012     11:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Toronto (Alvarez) -115 at Baltimore (Hunter) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


The Orioles and Blue Jays played a three-game set in Toronto that produced at least ten combined runs in all three games, cashing Over bets each time.  This is nothing new or different when these two teams meet – offensive production is the norm, not the exception, in a series that has cashed only one Under bet in the last ten meetings.

Neither starter is poised to slow the offensive onslaught tonight.  Toronto’s Henderson Alvarez got lit up by the Rays in his last outing, and Baltimore scored three runs against him earlier this season, primed for even more success tonight in a ‘second look’ situation.  Baltimore’s Tommy Hunter has struggled with the gopher ball repeatedly already this season.  He gave up four dingers to the Blue Jays when he faced them less than two weeks ago and two more to the White Sox in his last start, an ugly eight run, 5.2 inning Read more


Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles Teddy Covers




MLB Betting Notes: Stats sugggest Royals have played better than 3-13 record

04.24.2012     11:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
FanGraphs attempts to explain Kansas City's horrific 3-13 start to the season. Offensively, their overall numbers are slightly below American League average yet they are producing only 3.56 runs per game with the AL average at 4.47. The issue apparently comes from the lack of situational hitting. On the flip side, the pitching hasn't been that bad either but with runners on is where they tend to struggle (.841 OPS). The article later gets into the pythagorean expectation and makes the argument that the Royals have statistically speaking played more like an 8-8 team rather than 3-13. Jeff Francoeur seems to think there are better days on the horizon.


"Talk to us at the end of May and see what our record is," Royals outfielder Jeff Francoeur said. "I still believe we've got plenty of talent in this room to turn it around, and that's what we plan on doing. I wanted to get this one bad tonight just to get one at home."

Read more


Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals



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