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February

28

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Shaun Marcum has apparently been granted the ability to pick opposing teams and pitchers

06.14.2012     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee's Shaun Marcum has always been an interesting study. From a stuff standpoint, he isn't flashy, but he's managed to keep batters off balance for much of his career. But we’re not here to call out Marcum as some smoke-and-mirrors fraud. Instead we'll make mention of the fact that few starting pitchers if any have faced an easier slate of opposing offenses.

Marcum's Opponents (NL total runs rank out of 16)
vs. San Diego (15)
vs. Pittsburgh (16)
at LA Dodgers (6)
vs. San Francisco (11)
at Houston (8)
vs. Chicago (14)
at San Francisco (11)
at San Diego (14)
vs. Houston (8)
vs. Colorado (1)
at Atlanta (3)
at Chicago (14)

Note that Marcum faced Colorado in Milwaukee (the Rockies have scored the fewest road runs of any team in the NL) and also had the luxury of facing LA in pitcher friendly Dodgers Stadium. But wait! Let’s take this a step further and check out the opposing pitchers during Marcum's 12 starts. Now he did face two quality arms in Matt Cain (twice) and Erik Bedard. But beyond that, it has been a litany of below average pitchers: Edinson Volquez (twice), JA Happ (twice), Chris Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers




MLB Handicapping: Kansas City's Luke Hochevar should improve

06.14.2012     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee (Marcum) -115 at Kansas City (Hochevar) O/U 8.5

On the surface, Kansas City's Luke Hochevar has been one of the worst starters in baseball with a 3-7 record and 6.57 ERA. But there is no question he's been unlucky this year. He sports the second highest BABIP (.364) among qualified starters and has a dismal 57.5% left-on-base rate (the league average is around 70%). Also, his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rate of 3.61 is above league average. Does that mean he's going to immediately turn things around? Probably not, especially with his confidence level not being very high at this point. The good news is the Royals don't have a lot of options so he'll continue to get the ball every fifth day. If his "luck" can turn around, he has the potential to eventually get back to last year's post-All-Star break form when he posted a 6-3 record and 3.52 ERA.




Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Milwaukee Brewers




MLB Gambling News: Cincinnati's Leake ready to go after bout with flu

06.14.2012     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Tomlin) at Cincinnati (Leake) -120 O/U 9

Unfortunately we don't have a database for how pitchers fare after a bout with the flu. According to reports, Cincinnati's Mike Leake – one of many on the team that caught the bug – is ready to go for this afternoon's start against Cleveland. Leake spent yesterday recovering and claimed he was feeling better. He has been pitching better of late with a 2.84 ERA over his last five starts. In five career Interleague starts, Leake owns a 3.48 ERA.




Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Cleveland Indians




MLB Betting News: Tigers put Smyly on DL, Fister his likely replacement

06.14.2012     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
The Detroit Tigers placed Drew Smyly on the DL due to a blister. Doug Fister, who has been on the DL with a side strain, threw a bullpen session yesterday and may start in Smyly's place on Saturday.



Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers




MLB Handicapping: American and National League Run Differentials

06.14.2012     06:46 AM     Printer Friendly
Update of MLB's runs scored, runs allowed, run differential and luck. Luck is a tool from Baseball-Reference that provides the difference between a team's actual record and Pythagorean W-L. For example, the Cardinals are second in the NL in run differential yet only one game over .500 and in third place in the Central. Based on their run differential, they should be 37-26 not 32-31. Baltimore is 10 games over .500 yet a modest +4 in run differential. Pittsburgh is three games over .500 but has been outscored by 25 runs.

MLB Runs Scores/Runs Allowed as of 6/13/2012
American League
RS
RA
Run Diff
Luck
 Texas Rangers
332
252
+80
-2
 New York Yankees
293
247
+46
+1
 Chicago White Sox
297
258
+39
-1
 Boston Red Sox
319
293
+26
-3
 Toronto Blue Jays
300
276
+24
-3
 Los Angeles Angels
262
242
+20
0
 Tampa Bay Rays
263
253
+10
+3
 Baltimore Orioles
278
274
+4
+5
 Detroit Tigers
274
287
-13
-1
 Seattle Mariners
261
275
-14
-3
 Oakland Athletics
229
251
-22
-1
 Cleveland Indians
265
289
-24
+4
 Kansas City Royals
230
258
-28
-1
 Minnesota Twins
264
328
-64
0
 National League
RS
RA
Run Diff
Luck
 Los Angeles Dodgers
276
224
+52
+2
 St. Louis Cardinals
309
258
+51
-5
 Washington Nationals
240
198
+42
+2
 Atlanta Braves
294
269
+25
0
 Cincinnati Reds
259
235
+24
+1
 San Francisco Giants
255
237
+18
+2
 New York Mets
282
284
-2
+3
 Philadelphia Phillies
277
281
-4
-2
 Arizona Diamondbacks
257
263
-6
0
 Milwaukee Brewers
268
290
-22
-1
 Pittsburgh Pirates
198
223
-25
+5
 Miami Marlins
235
269
-34
+4
 Colorado Rockies
314
352
-38
-3
 Houston Astros
264
305
-41
-1
 Chicago Cubs
230
286
-56
-4
 San Diego Padres
211
279
-68
-2





Tags: MLB




MLB Betting Alert: Matusz scratched, recently demoted Arrieta gets nod

06.13.2012     12:34 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Correia) at Baltimore (Arrieta) -135 O/U 9

Baltimore's Brian Matusz has been scratched for tonight's start against Pittsburgh. He was hit in the nose while attempting to bunt during batting practice. Enter stage left Jake Arrieta who after allowing nine earned runs last time out was demoted to the bullpen. Being on regular rest however, he was a logical choice to replace Matusz. Perhaps the second chance and facing the Pirates will bring about some better results.




Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Pittsburgh Pirates




MLB Betting News: White Sox cash eight straight tickets on the highway

06.13.2012     11:12 AM     Printer Friendly
Nothing going wrong for the Chicago White Sox these days. They're currently in first place of the American League Central and own the best road record (18-9) in baseball thanks to eight straight victories on the highway. During that span, they've accumulated over +10 units of profit and did so against more than a few quality arms.

Chicago White Sox Road Winning Streak
Date
Opponent
Score
WS Starter
Opposing Starter
WS ML
6/12
at STL
 6-1
Jose Quintana 
Adam Wainwright 
Win +145
5/30
at TB
 4-3
Jose Quintana 
Alex Cobb 
Win +125
5/29
at TB
 7-2
Phillip Humber 
James Shields 
Win +150
5/28
at TB
 2-1
Chris Sale 
Matt Moore 
Win +105
5/20
at CHC
 6-0
Jake Peavy 
Paul Maholm 
Win -110
5/19
at CHC
 7-4
John Danks 
Ryan Dempster 
Win +130
5/18
at CHC
 3-2
Phillip Humber 
Jeff Samardzija 
Win +120
5/17
at LAA
 6-1
Chris Sale 
C.J. Wilson 
Win +140
Results
 
8-0
 
 
+10.15 units




Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox




MLB Gambling Notes: Boston Red Sox remain under .500 as offense slumps

06.13.2012     10:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Not swinging the sticks and as a result not winning many games of late as the Boston Red Sox reside in last place in the American League East; 6.5 games out of first. After opening June with back-to-back seven run performances, the Red Sox are hitting .217 and averaging three runs per game during their 2-7 stretch. They've still scored the third most runs in baseball on the season and Jacoby Ellsbury and Carl Crawford are expected to start their rehab assignments shortly.


“This is the big leagues and you’re going to face tough pitching every night, so that’s not an excuse in my mind,’’ said Sox first baseman/right fielder Adrian Gonzalez. “We were fortunate tonight because our pitching was so good, but we need to be able to score more runs for our guys. I know this team is capable of it and we’re just going through a drought right now, but Read more



Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox




MLB Handicapping: Today's card loaded with umpires that trend OVER the total

06.13.2012     08:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
From a handicapping perspective, a majority of MLB umpires are considered "neutral" meaning that their over/under numbers long term reside close to .500. That being said, there are a handful of umps on tonight's card that have some strong marks to the OVER this season. Totals in MLB are just under 51% to the OVER in 2012.

Houston-San Francisco: Barrett 7-5 O/U
Washington-Toronto: Cederstrom 10-4 O/U
Boston-Miami: Wolf 7-4 O/U
Cleveland-Cincinnati: Nauert 8-4 O/U
Philadelphia-Minnesota: Cuzzi 7-3 O/U
Chicago WS-St. Louis: Guccione 7-2 O/U
LA Angels-LA Dodgers: Drake 9-3 O/U
San Diego-Seattle: Darling 11-2 O/U



Tags: MLB




MLB Betting Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds

06.13.2012     08:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Lowe) at Cincinnati (Latos) -140 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


It is very hard to trust Cincinnati's Mat Latos at home against an American League lineup. Latos' transition from the weak-hitting, pitcher-friendly National League West has not been a smooth one. His fly ball ways (126-86 ratio) and tendency to challenge hitters up in the zone have resulted in a 4.85 ERA including 11 home runs allowed in 43.2 innings at Great American Ball Park. He's also had a tough time with lefties – something Cleveland has a lot of – with a .962 OPS. Derek Lowe has returned to earth with two of his last three starts being of disastrous variety. His groundball ways are a good thing to have in this ball park but with only 24 strikeouts in 72.2 innings, a lot of balls will be put in play tonight and any mistakes will be magnified due to the short porch in right field. Note that in four career starts at the GAP, Lowe's ERA is 5.09. Total certainly reflective of the mediocrity on Read more


Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Cincinnati Reds Andrew Lange



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