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MLB Betting News: Buchholz in better form thanks to off-speed pitches

06.12.2012     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Boston (Buchholz) at Miami (Buehrle) O/U 8.5

Boston's Clay Buchholz has enjoyed a nice turnaround with a 3.10 ERA over his last six starts. Some of his success can be attributed to better off-speed stuff. The ability to change speeds is a good recipe for success against a fastball-hitting Miami lineup. Note however that Buchholz will throw on normal rest after a season-high 125 pitches.

Buchholz threw just 82 change-ups in his first 39 innings, and only eight of those brought on a swing-and-miss. His curve was his top whiff pitch, but it was right around the average -- it wasn't doing anything special, and he was relying on it too much in that sense. He has thrown 92 change-ups in the 34-1/3 innings since, and with markedly better results: the off-speed offering has more than twice as many swings-and-misses on it, with 20 of the 92 striking Read more

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Miami Marlins Clay Buchholz

MLB Betting News: New York's Chris Young content being a soft-tosser

06.12.2012     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
NY Mets (Young) at Tampa Bay (Cobb) -165 O/8

Article on Chris Young's return to the Majors. Young made his first start in over a year last week against Washington. He went five innings, allowed two earned runs, and showed plenty of Moyer-esque velocity with an average fastball around 84 mph. Note that Young hasn't faced an American League team since May of 2008. He also just returned from paternity leave.

“Velocity is just how fast the ball leaves your hand,” Young said. “What they should be looking at is the time it takes from when it leaves to your hand to when the catcher catches it, or the batter hits it.” He added, “Certainly, velocity’s great and it helps. But there are other things that are just as Read more

Tags: MLB New York Mets Tampa Bay Rays

MLB Gambling Alert: Marlins desperate for offense, decide to play with rooof open

06.12.2012     06:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Last night marked the first time since April 18 that Marlins Stadium played a game with the roof open. The reason was reportedly to try and spark Miami’s struggling offense. It sort of worked as the Fish beat Boston 4-1. According to, tonight it is supposed to be in the low 80s and clear so they may leave it open. Heading into the season, a handful of hitters and pitchers were quoted as saying the ball carried much better with the roof open.

"This was a phone call that came at 5:02 [p.m. ET]," Samson said. "Larry Beinfest called and said, 'Hey, we've lost six in a row, I've got an idea. Let's open the roof and see what happens.' I said, 'What's the temperature?' and he said, 'It's going to be below 80 [degrees] at game time. It'll be 79.'

"I said, 'Are you sure?' He said, 'Yes, let's just try it. I said, 'Well, there's two calls we have to make, but let's start with the most important one.' I dialed up Jeffrey and said, 'Jeffrey, let's try something new. Read more

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Boston Red Sox

MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles

06.12.2012     06:17 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Lincoln) at Baltimore (Chen) -145 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Baltimore

I don't think Pittsburgh's Brad Lincoln has what it takes to be an effective starter at the MLB level. As a reliever he can get by and has actually been one of Pittsburgh's more effective bullpen arms prior to being placed in the rotation. But in his first start of the season he wore down and ended up surrendering five earned runs in a loss to Cincinnati. He even mentioned after the start that he was "gassed." A gassed Lincoln facing American League East hitters for a second and third time to me seems scary. Baltimore's Wei-Yin Chen has been solid this year and though some of his numbers hint that struggles may be down the road, he gets a reprieve tonight against a soft hitting Pittsburgh lineup whose on-base percentage (.279) is lower than Texas' batting average (.282) on the road. The price is decent enough to support the home side in this matchup.

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Baltimore Orioles Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Kansas City starting rotation void of quality arms

06.11.2012     12:15 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Last week we spoke about how poor San Diego's pitching staff was because of injuries. These days, Kansas City's isn't looking much better. The Royals have a handful of talented young arms in Danny Duffy, Joakim Soria, Jonathan Sanchez and Felipe Paulino but all currently reside on the DL. Paulino (groin), who in seven starts sports a 1.67 ERA, makes his second trip to the DL after starting the year there due to a forearm strain. Nate Adcock will start in his place. Paulino's injury leaves a team 10 games under .500 with a rotation that features Bruce Chen, Luke Hochevar, Vin Mazzaro, Luis Mendoza and Adock. Even with Paulino and Duffy's strong numbers in 13 combined starts, the Royals' starting pitchers currently have the second worst team ERA (5.12) in the American League behind Minnesota. And after averaging 4.5 runs per game last year, only the Cubs, A's, Padres and Pirates have produced fewer offensive runs in 2012.

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals

MLB Gambling Notes: Beckett and Johnson both in better form

06.11.2012     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Boston (Beckett) at Miami (Johnson) -105 O/U 7.5

It took a while but Boston's Josh Beckett and Miami's Josh Johnson are currently in fine form after some early season struggles. Johnson has still be one of the most unlucky starting pitchers this season with a .370 BABIP after 12 starts.

Beckett's last five starts
36.2 IP, 30 hits, 25 Ks, 5 BBs, 2.21 ERA, .227 BAA

Johnson's last six starts
39.2 IP, 37 hits, 33 Ks, 10 BBs, 2.95 ERA, .252 BAA


Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Miami Marlins

MLB Betting News: Texas pushes back Darvish's next start

06.11.2012     06:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Texas will push back Yu Darvish's next start two days to ensure he's receiving an ample amount of rest. He's tentatively slated to throw Friday against Houston. Lack of command has been Darvish's biggest problem with 44 walks in 72.2 innings. His ERA has climbed from 2.60 to 3.72 over his last four starts. FanGraphs pointed out that it is the teams seeing Darvish for a second time that have inflicted the most damage.

May 21st, @ SEA: 4 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 6 BB, 5 K
May 27th, vs TOR: 5 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 3 K
June 2nd, @LAA: 6.1 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 7 K
June 7th, @Oak: 5.1 IP, 6 H, 6 R, 6 BB, 4 K

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers

MLB Betting Free Pick: Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox

06.08.2012     10:53 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Recommendation: OVER 8

We have a lot of favorable factors here pointing toward a potentially high scoring game. For starters, White Sox RH Gavin Floyd has been in terrible form lately going 1-2 with 2.08 WHIP and 11.90 ERA over his last four starts. Floyd has struggled with his command needing an average of 18.4 pitches per inning during the stretch and he’s been up in the strike zone and behind in the count consistently. Houston brings a solid hitting team into this series (.266 BA & .723 OPS vs. RH) and they’ve been hot lately scoring five runs or more in seven of their last 10 games. Chicago has been strong offensively as well and they got Paul Konerko (.371/.451/1.069) back last night. Konerko has five hits in five at-bats in his career vs. Astros lefty Wandy Rodriguez and team mate Adam Dunn has had great success against him as well going 10-23 (.435) with five extra base hits. Like Floyd, it’s been a struggle recently for Rodriguez who has allowed 19 hits (6 home runs) and 11 earned runs in his last two starts which were only five innings each. Considering the subpar numbers posted by the White Sox bullpen at home (4.32 ERA, 14 HR allowed in Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros Chicago White Sox Rob Veno

MLB Gambling Trends: American League dominates interleague play

06.08.2012     07:57 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

Interleague play continues from June 8 through June 24, 2012 and the American League (AL) looks to continue their dominance over the National League (NL). Interleague play was introduced in 1997, and since 2004 the American League has dominated the senior circuit and posted a winning record every year. In those eight seasons, the AL is 1128-927 with over $10,000 in profit for a $100 bettor. Last season the AL went 134-125 vs. the NL but was a losing betting proposition overall yet AL home teams showed a slight profit. In 2012, the AL is 24-18 vs. the NL during May Interleague play.

A rare role in which you’ll find an American League team is a big road underdog vs. a National League opponent. They have been big profit producers during their 8-year run as +150 or more while also showing a winning record overall. On Friday, June 8 the Toronto Blue Jays are a +155 road ‘Dog at Atlanta.

In the opening series weekend beginning June 8, there are six match-ups in which the teams have played at least 10 times, including the subway series between the New York Yankees and New York Mets.

The Yankees are 25-22 vs. the Mets
The Rays are Read more

Tags: MLB Interleague __

MLB Interleague Betting Free Pick: Chicago Cubs at Minnesota Twins

06.08.2012     06:49 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Chicago (Wood) at Minnesota (Walters) -135 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Twins

Interleague play begins today and there is nothing sweeter than American League teams on their home field. It is known that I have been cashing tickets with the Minnesota Twins for the past two weeks backing this club during a favorable part of their schedule and taking advantage of some of the young arms filling into the rotation. One of those young pitchers, PJ Walters, takes the mound tonight against the lowly Chicago Cubs as a small favorite and certainly within backing range again here. Walters by no means has been pitching lights out since he has been inserted into the rotation, but he has been able to get the big out when needed. The Twins give him plenty of run support during his starts. Chicago comes into Minnesota losing 13 of their last 14 games on the road. Don't look for any improvement here tonight from the Cubs as Minnesota once again cashes a ticket for us.

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Minnesota Twins Sammy P


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