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MLB Handicapper Free Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets

06.04.2012     07:47 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Lohse) at NY Mets (Gee) -105 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: New York


This is a clear case of two pitchers moving in opposite directions. After being practically unhittable to start the year, Kyle Lohse has returned to earth with a 5.70 ERA over his last four starts. During that span he allowed 35 hits in 23.2 innings with only 12 strikeouts. He was a tad unlucky with a .347 BABIP but Lohse's inability to miss bats makes it nearly impossible for him to perform at a high level for sustained periods of time. Meanwhile, Dillon Gee suffered from some bad luck in the early going with a .351 BABIP through his first seven starts. The difference was that Gee was missing bats with 37 strikeouts and only nine walks in 43 innings. Things have started to go his way of late however with three straight quality starts. I don't expect the Cardinals' struggles to last forever but this team doesn't have a lot of confidence right now. The Mets meanwhile continue to defy logic and are worth a play at Read more


Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals New York Mets Andrew Lange




MLB Betting Alert: Chicago White Sox continue to tempt fate with Sale

06.04.2012     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Prior to this year, Chicago's Chris Sale had never started a game at the professional level. The White Sox though converted him into a starter during the offseason and in his first outing, he threw 100 pitches. After four straight starts of 100 pitches or more, Sale's elbow flared up and the White Sox decided to return him to the bullpen. That proved short lived as Sale was back in the starting rotation less than two weeks later. Everything seemed to be going smoothly with three solid efforts and fairly moderate pitch counts (103, 103 and 97). But then Sale decided to go and strikeout 15 against Tampa Bay – a performance that required 115 pitches. And in his next outing, albeit on an extra day of rest, Sale threw a 119-pitch complete game against Seattle. So just to recap, we have a reliever turned starter who complained of elbow problems and less than a month later threw 234 pitches in consecutive starts. This is probably not going to end well. Sale is slated to throw Saturday vs. Houston.



Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox




MLB Handicapping: Cardinals, Braves, Dodgers and Orioles cool off

06.04.2012     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis Cardinals (27-27)
The good times: 20-11 with a 3.5-game lead in the National League Central on May 9.
The bad times: 7-16 run since then. Everything simply cooled off. The offense has been stymied of late (1 run last three games) and Lohse, Westbrook and Lynn finally came back down to earth.
Notes: The Cardinals have the worst "luck" in the National League at -5 games. Their Pythagorean W-L record is 32-22 which is tops in the NL.

Atlanta Braves (29-25)
The good times: 25-15 with a 1.5-game lead in the National League East on May 19.
The bad times: Lost eight in a row but have bounced back some by winning three of last four. With the exception of Brandon Beachy, Atlanta's starting pitching has been a big disappointment, ranking 15th of 16 NL teams in ERA.
Notes: After a three-game series at Miami, the Braves play 15 straight games against the American League East.

Los Angeles Dodgers (33-21)
The good times: 33-15 with an amazing 7-game lead in the National League West.
The bad times: Matt Kemp back on the DL and the team has lost six of their last Read more


Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Dodgers Atlanta Braves Baltimore Orioles




Sunday MLB Betting Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwauke Brewers

06.03.2012     09:22 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (McDonald) at Milwaukee (Fiers) -105 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


Milwaukee will be weakened offensively once again as their main production source Ryan Braun is scheduled to sit out again with recurring Achilles problems and now a sore hip. Without him last night, the Brewers managed to run Pittsburgh lefty Erik Bedard in 3.2 by scoring five runs with the key hit being Brooks Conrad’s three-run homer in the fourth. Today against Pirates RH James McDonald, Milwaukee’s success figures to be far less. McDonald has been dominating opposing lineups the past month and a half going 4-1 while posting a 1.81 ERA AND 0.89 WHIP over his last seven starts. McDonald’s better than 4-1 K:BB ratio (57 Ks- 13 BBs) and 1.15 K per inning numbers during this stretch are extremely favorable against this Milwaukee lineup which has struck out 429 times this season, second most in the NL. For the host, righty Michael Fiers makes the second major league start of his career. Read more


Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Milwaukee Brewers




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox

06.02.2012     10:38 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle (Noesi) at Chicago WS (Floyd) -135 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


We cashed a free play winner with Chicago-Seattle Over the total last night, and there’s absolutely no reason to expect a dramatically different result today.  Here’s a brief excerpt from yesterday’s write-up, with the numbers updated to reflect current realities:

“The White Sox have been Over machines at the Cell in recent weeks; 9-1 to the Over in their last ten tries at home.  Robin Ventura’s lineup has been crushing opposing pitching, pounding out 71 runs in those last ten at home…Seattle’s lineup came alive during their just concluded series at Texas, as the light hitting Mariners exploded for 31 runs in the final two games of the series, going Over the total by themselves in both contests.  They also scored 28 runs in the final five games of their previous road trip, finding offensive Read more


Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers




Saturday MLB Betting Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies

06.02.2012     08:46 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Dodgers (Harang) at Colorado (Nicasio) -145 O/U 10.5
Recommendation: Over


We cashed a pair of underdog winners to start June baseball and chipped-in a free play winner on the Pirates +135 in their 8-2 win at Milwaukee last night. Today it’s back to the totals market and no reason not to ride the Rockies OVER meal ticket as they host division leading LA. The Dodgers have lost five straight games while the Rockies enter on a roll with five straight wins.

Colorado games have gone over the total 11 consecutive games and have scored 13, 11, 13, 7 and 9 runs during their surge at home. Note that shortstop Troy Tulowitzki has been out the past two games and is now on the 15-day disabled list. Still, the hot bats should continue against LA starter Aaron Harang, who has allowed 41 hits in 33 innings on the road with a .306 BAA.

Rockies starter Juan Nicasio has been hit hard his last two starts and has a .325 BAA at Coors Field along with a 7.04 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Read more


Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Colorado Rockies __




MLB Gambling: Bullpens succeeding and failing at same rate as last year

06.02.2012     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As bettors, we like to complain each and every season that bullpen meltdowns are occurring at a historical rate. The reality is however that this year's numbers are very similar to 2011.  Remember, if (insert name of random relief pitcher who cost you 2 units last week) were that good, they’d be in the starting rotation.



Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapping: Chicago White Sox go for 10th straight victory

06.02.2012     07:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle (Noesi) at Chicago WS (Floyd) -145 O/U 9

The red hot Chicago White Sox go for 10 straight wins today against Seattle. Chicago scored 156 runs in the month of May; second-most in the Majors. Since mid-May, they've averaged over 8.5 runs per game at home and during their nine-game winning streak the bats have produced 72 runs (8.0 rpg). At home they have a strong .779 OPS. They are currently the second most profitable team in the American League (+8.6 units) behind Baltimore (+11.1).


"Right now we're on a good roll," said Beckham, who is batting .324 during an eight-game hitting streak, raising his average 25 points to .229. "It's first of June. We're doing the right things coming to work every day and hoping it's enough. The last week and a half it's been enough. You just can't get complacent because this game will humble you really quickly." Read more



Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Seattle Mariners




MLB Handicapping: Peavy's fly ball ways not a good fit for Cellular Field

06.01.2012     12:05 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Adding to Teddy's free play on the Mariners/White Sox Over, here are a few things that stood out to me. Of qualified starting pitchers, Jake Peavy has been the strongest fly baller in the entire league at just a shade under 70%. Yet despite that he allowed a respectable six home runs in 70.1 innings. If you look at a majority of the other extreme fly ball pitchers, their home run/fly ball rate is above 10%. Phil Hughes, Mike Minor and Colby Lewis are around 15%. Peavy's rate is 6.5% -- a mark commonly tied to ground ballers or pitchers like Matt Cain and Jered Weaver who spend most of their time in pitcher friendly parks. Obviously Peavy is going to struggle moving forward with these rates -- especially at Cellular Field. And we've seen some regression with two home runs each of his last two home starts. Note that tonight's opponent, Seattle, is averaging 4.7 runs per game on the highway. They've played the most road games of any team in Read more


Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Alert: Bettors react to Strasburg's potential arm problems

06.01.2012     10:52 AM     Printer Friendly
Atlanta (Minor) at Washington (Strasburg) -145 O/U 7.5

The betting markets have come in strong against the Washington Nationals and Stephen Strasburg tonight. Strasburg left his last start with what was called "arm fatigue." He allowed a season high four earned runs and four walks. Unfortunately, supporting Atlanta's Mike Minor is pretty risky considering he's allowed 28 earned runs over his last five outings.  Not surprising to see the total bet up from 7 to 7.5. Line history courtesy of 5Dimes.

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Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 22, 2014 04:15 PM.