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MLB Betting News: Braves roll the dice with Jurrjens in Fenway

06.22.2012     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Atlanta (Jurrjens) at Boston (Lester) -185 O/U 10.5

With Brandon Beachy out for the season, the Atlanta Braves recalled Jair Jurrjens. Jurrjens was sent down in late-April after allowing 17 earned runs in 16.1 innings. His numbers in Triple-A weren't very impressive (5.27 ERA, 28 strikeouts in 56.1 innings) but manager Fredi Gonzalez insists his stay was productive.

“We asked him to improve his consistency on his [velocity], which he has,” Gonzalez said. “Strengthen the [speed difference] in his changeup and his fastball, and he’s done that. And I think he’s come up with a slider that’s got more depth on it. I’m curious to see him pitch, I really am.”

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox

MLB Betting Notes: Upcoming opponents get second and third looks vs. Texas' Darvish

06.21.2012     12:37 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Texas' Yu Darvish was on the mark his last two starts after the Rangers juggled the rotation to get him some extended rest. The competition was weak (Houston and San Diego) but Darvish showed much better command (5 walks, 19 strikeouts and 67% strikes). FanGraphs pointed out last week that though a small sample, teams seemed much more in tune with Darivsh's offerings a second time around. There is a possibility as many as five of his next opponents will have already seen him (Detroit, Oakland, Minnesota, Seattle and LA Angels). In second looks against Seattle, Toronto, Los Angeles and Oakland, Darvish's combined numbers were: 20.1 IP, 24 hits, 18 walks, 19 strikeouts, and a 6.53 ERA.

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers

MLB Handicapping: Without Kemp, Dodgers haven't hit a lick

06.21.2012     11:39 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
When Matt Kemp missed time in mid-May, Los Angeles was still able to produce a good amount of offense. But after returning for just two games and then placed back on the DL, the Kemp-less Dodgers have struggled mightily with the sticks. Over their last 19 games (10-9), they've averaged 3.73 runs per game and hit .233/.314/.311/.625. Even more alarming is that LA has hit only five home runs during that span – none since June 12.

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB Gambling Update: Colorado's Tracy true to his word, pulls White after 75 pitches

06.21.2012     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly

At least we know Colorado manager Jim Tracy isn't a liar. After saying he would go with a four-man rotation and cap pitch counts at 75, he pulled last night's starter Alex White at exactly 75 pitches. It was a rather easy decision with White getting pounded around (3.2 IP, 5 ERs). Jeremy Guthrie threw three scoreless innings out of the bullpen. Todd Helton's ninth inning error gave Philadelphia the win and dropped the Rockies to 25-42 and 10-21 on the highway.

It has now become officially impossible to bet on the Colorado Rockies

06.20.2012     08:11 AM     View Original Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Philadelphia Phillies

MLB Betting News: Carlos Zambrano out of whack according to Guillen

06.21.2012     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Miami (Zambrano) at Boston (Matusaka) -135 O/U 10.5

For as long as we can remember, there has been Good Carlos Zambrano and Bad Carlos Zambrano. Good Carlos had a 1.86 ERA in mid-June. Bad Carlos got smacked around for 11 earned runs in back-to-back starts. Based on Miami manager Ozzie Guillen's recent quote, bettors would be wise to expect some more Bad Carlos tonight in Boston.

"Carlos right now is a little out of whack," Guillen said. "He's flying out. His mechanics are very bad. His sinker is moving away too long. You cannot get behind people (in the count) all the time. With you and pitching, it's not about how hard you throw. It's about location and what you want to do on the pitching mound."

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Boston Red Sox

It has now become officially impossible to bet on the Colorado Rockies

06.20.2012     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
This has a great chance of not working out.

In what amounts to an overhaul of his pitching staff, Tracy first said Colorado would send the struggling Jeremy Guthrie to the bullpen (OK, so far pretty normal), and that instead of replacing him in the rotation, the Rockies would go with a four-man rotation, with each starter limited to 75 pitches per start -- what!?!

“We have two rookies in the rotation, so you have to be very careful,” Tracy said. “You can’t just throw them loose on three days’ rest.”

“We had to do something that was unconventional,” Tracy said.

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies

MLB Betting News: White Sox decide to cart Floyd out for another start

06.20.2012     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Chicago Cubs (Wells) at Chicago WS (Floyd) -175 O/U 10

The Chicago White Sox are apparently going to give Gavin Floyd another chance. Floyd has a 10.38 ERA over his last six starts and hasn't had a quality outing since May 11. According to well-respected pitching coach Don Cooper, Floyd's problems stem from a lack of command.

"It's not about stuff. Everyone in the league has stuff," Cooper said by phone from Los Angeles where the White Sox play the Dodgers Friday night on Comcast SportsNet. "You've got to command it more. You've got to pitch, and he's not commanding at the level he needs to command to put himself in a better position to win the game. That's what it comes down to."

"He's got enough fastball. He's got enough curve ball. He's got a major league slider, a major league changeup,"

Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Chicago Cubs

MLB Gambling Notes: The list of starting pitcher injuries is comically long

06.20.2012     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
We’ve never really tracked starting pitching injuries league-wide but it seems like there are an awful lot of guys currently on the shelf. This is just a rough estimate, but close to 33% of the league’s starting pitchers are hurt – everything from a skipped start to out for the season.

Brandon Beachy (elbow)

Josh Beckett (shoulder)
Aaron Cook (leg)
John Lackey (elbow)

Chicago Cubs
Ryan Demspter (back)

Chicago White Sox
John Danks (shoulder)

Carlos Carrasco (elbow)

Jorge De La Rosa (elbow)
Juan Nicasio (knee)
Jhoulys Chacin (shoulder)

Drew Smyly (finger)

Kyle Weiland (shoulder)

Kansas City
Danny Duffy (elbow)
Felipe Paulino (groin)

Los Angeles Angels
Jered Weaver (back) – slated to start today
Jerome Williams (heart)

Los Angeles Read more

Tags: MLB

MLB Handicapping: Rays send Hellickson to DL, call up Archer for debut

06.20.2012     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The amount of starting pitchers to hit the DL of late continues to climb as the Tampa Bay Rays placed Jeremy Hellickson on the 15-day due to shoulder fatigue. Tampa’s Chris Archer was called up from Triple-A and will make his MLB debut tonight at Washington against Stephen Strasburg. Archer was a sixth round pick in 2006 and had a 4.81 ERA (3.41 FIP) with 90 strikeouts and 45 walks in 76.7 innings at Durham this season.

Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays

MLB Handicapping: Fading pitchers after a no-hitter or perfect game

06.19.2012     11:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We've tried to find some type of betting trend to use with pitchers off of no-hitters or perfect games. Unfortunately, there simply isn't much there. FanGraphs broke down the numbers and while overall, there tends to be a decline in performance the next time out, the results are pretty random. A few pitchers (see: Carlos Zambrano, Philip Humber, Johan Santana) got smacked around, others were solid (see: Mark Buehrle, Roy Halladay), and a few didn't miss a beat (see: Justin Verlander, Ervin Santana). The betting markers tried to fade Matt Cain last night and were correct in projecting a letdown (5 IP, 3 ER, 4 BBs, 4 Ks) but the Giants still won. For Johan Santana, it may have been the combination of a complete game shutout and then a no-hitter. He's been hit around each of his last two starts though it came on the road against the Yankees and Rays. Humber has had a rough go of it since tossing his perfect game. Weaver has seen his ERA climb a full run since his no-no, though it was in large part because of one bad outing (3.1 IP, 8 ERs at Texas). His other three starts were fine. In Read more

Tags: MLB


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