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MLB Betting Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

06.17.2013     11:10 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Liriano) +105 at Cincinnati (Leake) O/U 8
Recommendation: Pittsburgh


For as much as the betting markets have respected Cincinnati this year while continuing to disrespect Pittsburgh, the bottom line is that only one half game separates these two teams in the standings right now.  Pittsburgh has been the single most profitable team in all of baseball to support thusfar in 2013, more than nine units better than the Reds; a clear indicator of that vague concept of value has legitimate meaning when it comes to the Pirates.

Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano was the heir apparent to Johan Santana as the ace of the Twins rotation when Santana left for New York.  But injuries derailed his progress, and he was a bottom tier hurler for the Twins and White Sox in both 2011 and 2012.  That’s why his sudden re-emergence as an ace since coming off the Read more



Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

06.17.2013     10:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Liriano) at Cincinnati (Leake) -115 O/U 8
Recommendation: Under


Important series between these teams who begin the three game set separated by a half game in the NL Central. The Pirates starter Francisco Liriano has been a bettor’s dream this season as the money has flowed toward him in almost all of his starts. Today’s game appears no different as the Bucs have been bet down slightly from the opener and perhaps with good reason. Not only has Liriano had overwhelming stuff led by his top notch slider, but he dominated this Reds lineup just 16 days ago. In that June 1 outing, the Pittsburgh LH went six full, allowed just 4 hits and one run while posting an 11:1 K-BB ratio. He walked away on the wrong end of a 2-0 final in that game because Reds RH Mike Leake was dominant as well throwing six shutout innings. Leake yielded seven hits (all singles) and gained redemption for an earlier loss to Pittsburgh where he was lit up for 10 hits and five runs. The RH has Read more



Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds Rob Veno




MLB Gambling News: Pitching helps Toronto Blue Jays crawl back to respectability

06.17.2013     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (De La Rosa) at Toronto (Johnson) -150 O/U 9

It took them a while but over the last two weeks the Toronto Blue Jays have started to play up to their preseason expectations. They've won eight of 10 including six of seven against Texas (outscored the Rangers 38-14). During that 10-game swatch the rag-tag bunch of Mark Buehrle, Josh Johnson, Ramon Ortiz, RA Dickey, Esmil Rogers, and Chien-Ming Wang helped post a team ERA of 2.09. The team is hoping Johnson can regain some of his form – if anything to give him value on the free agent market. Note the betting market’s 20 cent move towards Johnson and the Jays for tonight’s contest against the Rockies. Overall, the Jays find themselves four games under .500 and about to embark on very difficult portion of their schedule with upcoming series against Colorado, Baltimore, Read more



Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays Colorado Rockies




MLB Betting News: Philadelphia's Lannan back from DL, faces Washington

06.17.2013     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington (Haren) -110 at Philadelphia (Lannan) O/U 8.5

Philadelphia's John Lannan (left quad) returns for the first time since mid-April to face his old squad, the Washington Nationals. Lannan was drafted by the Nats and started 134 games before being sent down to Triple-A last season and then traded to Philadelphia. The Phillies opened as a -118 favorite at Pinnacle for tonight's contest but a majority of the money has come in on the Nats and Dan Haren.




Tags: MLB Philadelphia Phillies Washington Nationals




MLB Handicapping: Texas Rangers "First Half" Scoring Slump Continues

06.16.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The Texas Rangers have really hit the skids offensively in recent weeks. They’re typically a bit overrated with the bats anyway because they play their home games in such a great hitting environment. Now they can’t even score at home. Let's take a look at that from the perspective of five-inning handicapping.

Current Homestand “First Half” Scoring from Worst to Best

Opponents: 1-3-4-4-5-5

Rangers: 0-0-0-1-1-3

June conditions are usually excellent for scoring in Arlington. And, you can see that they have been for Cleveland and Toronto! The Rangers were shut out in the first five innings by Kluber, Beurhle, and Dickey…none of whom are setting the world on fire this year. What you could call “par” in the first five is usually 3 right now because Over/Unders are so high at that stadium. Texas only made it there once in six games. Opponents made it there in five and six, and surpassed it in four of six.

This Read more



Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Stat Intelligence




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicago Cubs at New York Mets

06.14.2013     11:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago Cubs (Jackson) +115 at  NY Mets (Marcum) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Chicago


Pardon my language, but what the hell are the Mets doing as favorites against anybody right now?  Since opening up the season with a 10-9 record (7-4 at Citi Field), New York has played like the team everyone expected them to be coming in to the season – a bottom feeder. 

The Mets are 14-28 in their last 42 ballgames, including a woeful 6-17 mark at Citi Field – no home field edge here.  They’ve been favored five times over the past two weeks, and they’ve lost all five of those games. In fact, New York is just 2-8 in their last ten tries as a favorite; 5-12 in 17 instances as a favorite dating back to mid-April.  This is clearly not a team to lay chalk with!

Shaun Marcum is 0-4 in four previous home starts this year, and he’s notched only two quality starts in seven previous tries; a shell of the pitcher he was as a promising Read more



Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs New York Mets Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: Bullpens worked hard in Thursday's extra inning affairs

06.14.2013     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick update on the bullpen innings from last night's three marathon games. The Cubs beat the Reds in 14 innings, the Orioles got past the Red Sox in 13, and the A's triumphed over the Yankees in 18. All six teams are in play tonight.

Oakland
Balfour, Cook, Blevins, Neshek, Okajima all 1 inning or less. Chavez 5.2 innings.

New York
Roberton, Logan, Kelly, Claiborne, Rivera all 1 inning or less. Warren 6 innings.

Boston
Morales, Miller, Tazawa, Breslow, Wilson all 2.2 innings or less.

Baltimore
Matusz, Hunter, O'Day, Patton, Johnson, McFarland all 2.1 innings or less.

Cincinnati
Simon, Parra, LeClure, Hoover, Broxton all 1 inning or less. Partch 4 innings

Chicago
Villanueva, Russell, Gregg, Marmol, Parker, Rondon all 2 innings or less.

 




Tags: MLB




MLB Betting Notes: St. Louis Cardinals steamed for second straight game

06.13.2013     09:10 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Wainwright) -135 at NY Mets (Harvey) O/U 6.5

If you are into fading big line moves in MLB, you've got a great opportunity this afternoon with the New York Mets. Yesterday, the St. Louis Cardinals opened -147 at Pinnacle and were bet up as high as -190 before closing -183. In percentage terms, the Cardinals went from just under a 60% bet to about 65%. The books scored big as the Mets won 5-1. Today we are seeing a similar pattern as the Cardinals and Adam Wainwright opened -113 and shot up to -140 before settling in at its current number of -132. I was initially interested in supporting St. Louis – the Mets obviously aren't very good and Matt Harvey is dealing with some back issues. But as we approach mid-June, value becomes key. Games are no longer 20 cents off of where they should be, and if you aren't able to get down on a favorable overnight line, a majority of the "good" opportunities are quickly taken out. I've talked about it on the Sportsmemo Podcast that Read more



Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals New York Mets Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapping: Do Some MLB Starting Pitchers Lack a Sense of Urgency?

06.13.2013     08:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I started thinking more about that question yesterday after reading an article called “Lessons from the Linescore” by former pitcher Pat Jordan. Rob Neyer on twitter provided a link to the article. It’s a long read…so pick a time when you have several minutes to read through it. The quote that jumped out at me…from the perspective of trying to handicap 5-inning baseball props…was this reference to Justin Verlander:

“Two years ago, I interviewed Verlander for a story and he told me he always paced himself in the first few innings so he could summon his 98 miles per hour fastball in the seventh and eighth innings. We argued about that. I told him that sooner or later opposing batters would get wise and attack his 91-92-mph fastball in the first few innings to try to knock him out of the box early before he could call on the Read more



Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




MLB Gambling News: Pittsburgh's Morton makes his seasonal debut

06.13.2013     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco (Cain) -110 at Pittsburgh (Morton) O/U 7.5

Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton makes his return after missing most of 2012 with Tommy John surgery. Morton's velocity was reportedly good as well as his groundball rate. He did walk 10 batters in 19 innings at Triple-A. Everything you read on Morton talks about his immense talent. He's often reoffered to as Roy Halladay Jr. – we assume the younger, more dominant version of Doc. But there have seemingly always been issues with his mechanics and confidence. There aren't many pitchers that boast a sinkerball as filthy as Morton’s but off of hip and arm surgery, we suggest taking a wait-and-see approach. Note that Tim McClelland is behind the plate for tonight’s start against San Francisco. McClelland calls it fair but is noted for having a tight strike zone.


"I remember catching Charlie's games last year

Read more



Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates San Francisco Giants



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 23, 2016 08:06 AM.