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NHL Handicapping: Western Conference Regular Season Over/Under Points

09.30.2013     12:03 PM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Good evening hockey fans!  And welcome to another year of NHL hockey!  I can’t wait for this 2013-14 season to get underway and I have put a lot of work in over the summer that I’m sure will pay off for all of my clients!  I am going to highlight three teams in the Western Conference that I believe are good value plays when looking at season O/U point totals.  I have always done well in the past identifying teams I think will be under or overvalued and this season is no  exception. Staying ahead of the curve is imperative when trying to beat the marketplace.  Here are my three best bets in the Western Conference this season.  Best of luck to everyone! *For simplicity I am using Jazz’s lines, but as the case with any wagering, be sure to shop for the best numbers.
Colorado Avalanche Over 86.5
I thought Colorado was going to have a breakout year last season, but they just couldn’t seem to get over the hump.  The injury bug came up and bit them hard and that is why I think we are seeing them undervalued this year.  Having a healthy Gabriel Landeskog is going to help this team Read more

Tags: NFL Sammy P

NHL Western Conference Stanley Cup Playoff Betting Preview

04.30.2013     07:50 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Western Conference Playoff Betting Preview

#1 Chicago Blackhawks vs. #8 Minnesota Wild
Season Series:  Chicago 2-0-1
Series Price: Chicago -360/Minnesota +300

Chicago Keys:  The Chicago Blackhawks have been one of the best teams in the league throughout the course of the season.  Rarely have they been outmatched and they come into this series with Minnesota rested and healthy.  The knock on Chicago coming into the season was goaltending, but Corey Crawford and Ray Emery have both been superb (winning the Jennings Trophy for fewest goals against).  The Blackhawks are so stacked up front with scorers like Kane, Hossa, Sharp, and Toews, but they also have one of the best supporting casts in the league with forwards like Shaw and Bickell chipping in offense to go with their solid two-way play.  Facing a struggling Minnesota team, Chicago just cannot beat itself.  If they take care of the puck and stay out of the box, their depth and talent will prevail.

Minnesota Keys:  Minnesota faltered big time down the stretch and snuck into the playoffs Read more

Tags: NHL Sammy P

NHL Gambling: Sportsbooks post Stanley Cup Playoff first round series odds

04.29.2013     12:37 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs first round series prices according to 5Dimes. On tomorrow's Sportsmemo Podcast we'll be breaking down every Eastern and Western Conference series with handicappers Sammy P and Ian Cameron.

Eastern Conference
No. 1 Pittsburgh -440
No. 8 NY Islanders +350

No. 2 Montreal -160
No. 7 Ottawa +140

No. 3 Washington -110
No. 6 NY Rangers -110

No. 4 Boston -200
No. 5 Toronto +170

Western Conference
No. 1 Chicago -425
No. 8 Minnesota +340

No. 2 Anaheim -140
No. 7 Detroit +120

No. 3 Vancouver -135
No. 6 San Jose +115

No. 4 St. Louis -110
No. 5 Los Angeles -110

Tags: NHL Sammy P Ian Cameron

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

04.23.2013     09:54 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Los Angeles -115 at Minnesota O/U 5
Recommendation: Los Angeles

Rarely do you get one of the hottest and best teams in the NHL playing at this short of a price, but that’s what we get tonight when the Kings travel to Minnesota to face a reeling Wild club.  Minnesota has lost eight of its last 11 games and they have been unable to consistently find the back of the net during this time (1.7 goals per game).  Scoring has always been a major problem for the Wild and facing a tough Kings defense tonight is not what the doctor ordered to break them out of their slump.  This is a Kings team starting to get healthier at the right time with the addition of Matt Greene off of the IR.  Don't let the "must win" talk for Minnesota tonight fool you as Los Angeles is just as focused to lock up home ice advantage for the playoffs.  Los Angeles has been winning games of late (4-0-1) with timely scoring, stellar defense, and depth.  They've scored at least one PP goal in eight straight games.  Look for the Kings to continue this push into the playoffs and wear down the Wild tonight at the short Read more

Tags: NHL Los Angeles Kings Minnesota Wild Sammy P

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

04.16.2013     10:26 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Vancouver at St. Louis -135 O/U 5
Recommendation: Under

This game is juiced to the Under and deservedly so. St. Louis has shown nothing of late to prove it can score goals on a consistent basis, but still they are able to keep the puck out of the net and that makes them a very lucrative Under team.  The Blues have lost two straight games where they scored just one goal, and before that during their six win streak they scored just 14 goals.  In their last 15 games they've gone Over a total of 5 just twice.  Vancouver comes into town after a solid win in Nashville last night – a back-to-back situation tonight and third game in four nights.  Vancouver has played in six back-to-back situations and only one of those went Over 5.  I expect the Canucks to play a very disciplined road hockey game tonight and limit the Blues’ chances while being patient about their own chances.  This has all the markings of a 2-1 type contest.

Sammy 15* NHL Power Play Total [11-3 79% PP Hot Streak] $20
Sammy hits the ice tonight with Read more

Tags: NHL Vancouver Canucks St. Louis Blues Sammy P

NHL Handicapping: The Eastern Conference playoff race heats up

04.10.2013     07:35 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
We're down to the last 7-10 games in the regular season for most teams and like everyone expected the standings are a logjam. A lot can happen here in the next two weeks from top to bottom.

Pittsburgh, Boston, and Montreal look to have the No. 1, No. 2, and No. 4 seeds locked up. Pittsburgh will more than likely claim the top spot with Montreal and Boston fighting over the No. 2 and No. 4 seeds. In my mind, with two games in hand and just one point back, the Bruins look to have the inside track as the second spot.

The No. 3 seed goes to the Southeast Division winner – a race this is completely up for grabs despite Washington’s current run. The Capitals are 9-1-1 in their last 11 games, but despite the two-point lead and game in hand they hold over Winnipeg, this race is far from over. In fact Winnipeg's schedule is so easy down the stretch that they may be able to slide into the eighth spot if they are unable to win the Southeast. Washington ends the season playing competition (not counting the game versus Winnipeg) with a combined record of 143-129 (.526) while Winnipeg faces a majority of home games versus subpar teams that combine for a record of Read more

Tags: NHL Sammy P

NHL Handicapper Free Play: St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

04.09.2013     10:11 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
St. Louis -125 at Nashville O/U 5
Recommendation: St. Louis

The Blues come into Nashville tonight riding a four-game winning streak and are in sole possession of the seventh playoff spot in the Western Conference.  They’ve finally buckled down and played solid defensive hockey which was the key ingredient in last season’s success.  Forward Patrik Berglund said, "The way we're back winning these close games, we're back to playing the way we were last season."  That could spell major trouble for other Western Conference teams. St. Louis has given up just 20 goals in its last 12 games which led to an 8-4 record.  Nashville on the other hand has taken itself out of the playoff race by losing six of its last seven games.  Scoring has been a big problem for the Predators all season long, netting just 2.4 goals a game which ranks 27th in the NHL.  Big edge tonight to the Blues who should get plenty of offensive chances on their PP attempts as their #6th ranked power play looks to feast on the #27th ranked Nashville PK.  St. Louis has found a way to win these tight games, and I expect another one this Read more

Tags: NHL St. Louis Blues Nashville Predators Sammy P

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins

04.02.2013     09:32 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Buffalo at Pittsburgh -240 O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Under

Pittsburgh has won an incredible 15 straight games and they are doing it on the defensive end.  A team that has always had the offensive firepower to dominate the opposition, the Penguins are finding ways to win defensively as well.  They have recorded three straight shutouts and have gone Under the total nine of their last ten games.  Despite their ability to plug anyone into the lineup and get the same results, the recent injury to Sidney Crosby (broken jaw and out indefinitely) could prove costly.  The trades for Jarome Iginla and Brenden Morrow up front last week will undoubtedly help offensively and defensively (both are solid two-way players), but I don't expect much chemistry between them and their new teammates right off the bat.  Buffalo comes into Pittsburgh losing its last four games and with a big "for sale" sign on their roster.  I'd be surprised if the Sabres didn't move more players before the 3pm EST Wednesday trade deadline.  That being said, this is still a team with a ton of pride and a lot to play for.  I generally like to Read more

Tags: NHL Buffalo Sabres Pittsburgh Penguins Sammy P

Sportsmemo Handicappers react to Pittsburgh's trade for Jarome Iginla

03.28.2013     11:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Sammy P weigh in Pittsburgh acquiring Calgary's Jarome Iginla.

Ian Cameron’s take…

This COULD be the trade that puts Pittsburgh over the top. Hard not to think of them as the team to beat for the Stanley Cup after landing Iginla. It was hilarious watching all the TSN Hockey Insiders last night go on and on about Iginla going to Boston only for Calgary GM Jay Feaster to pull the rug out from under everyone and ship him off to Pittsburgh.

Calgary got a couple blue chip prospects and Pittsburgh's 1st round pick in 2013 but this move proves it's Cup or bust for the Penguins. Dan Bylsma has some tough choices to make in regards to where they put Iginla. You would assume he'd go on their top line but Sidney Crosby, Pascal Dupuis and Chris Kunitz have developed great chemistry and have been dominant. Bylsma may not wish to upset the apple cart there so Iginla may actually be slotted on their second line with Brenden Morrow (and eventually Evgeni Malkin when he comes back from injury) but then where do you put James Neal who is your third right winger after Dupuis and Iginla? All part

Read more

Tags: NHL Ian Cameron Sammy P

NHL Handicapper Free Pick: Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

03.26.2013     11:03 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Calgary at Chicago -185 O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Under

As a bettor, I put a ton of stock into watching games and seeing trends develop in their infancy.  There is no substitute for understanding the intricacies of a sport and getting ahead of the betting markets.  In a game tonight where a lot of the public and trends point towards the over, I see plenty of value and reason to look the other way.  Chicago is coming off of a tough 5-4 loss last night against Los Angeles and will certainly be looking to shore up the defense against offensively challenged Calgary.  This will be the sixth time this season Chicago will be playing a back-to-back with four of the previous five games going under the total.  Note also that these two teams played a 3-2 shootout game earlier in the season.  I liked what I saw defensively from Calgary last game, and I'm willing to step out and beat the marketplace going forward.  Look for Calgary to do enough in goal and on the back end tonight to keep this number under 5.5 on the road.

Sammy P 20* NHL Power Play Side Read more

Tags: NHL Calgary Flames Chicago Blackhawks Sammy P


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