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September

25

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College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans

09.23.2016     10:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at Michigan State
Saturday, 9 am PT - BTN
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -6 O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: Michigan State -5 O/U 42
Recommendation: Michigan State

What on earth does Michigan State have to do to earn some real respect from the betting markets?   This team went 13-1 in 2013, 11-2 in 2014 and 12-2 last year, rising to elite program status in Mark D’Antonio’s tenth year on the job. But the Spartans suffered some significant graduation losses in the offseason, especially on offense where QB Connor Cook and three of the linemen protecting him went to the NFL.  And then Michigan State looked sluggish in their opener against Furman, never even sniffing the -37.5 point spread in a 28-13 victory.  The betting markets, as they do, dramatically overreacted to that sluggish showing, installing the Spartans as 7.5 point underdogs at Notre Dame last week.  They dominated wire-to-wire in a ‘not as close as the final score’ 36-28 romp.

But the betting markets that didn’t respect Michigan State in 2013 or 2014 (combined 19-8 ATS), and Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

09.22.2016     10:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Duke at Notre Dame
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -21.5 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -20.5 O/U 60.5
Recommendation: Under

For the second time in three games, Notre Dame's defense was gashed for big yards and big points. Texas rolled up 50 on the Irish in Week 1 and then Michigan State hung 36 and 6.42 yards per play in last week's 36-28 upset win. Needless to say, most of the media coverage this week has centered around Notre Dame's ongoing defensive struggles that date back to last year. Against their last four power conference opponents (Stanford, Ohio State, Texas, and Michigan State), the Irish have allowed 42 ppg. Last year, the excuse was injuries and lack of depth. This year, it's the secondary with multiple key players out. According to Brian Kelly, the main problem is simply not performing up to snuff.

But the situation this week is far more favorable as Duke comes to town. The Blue Devils managed only 27 points in back-to-back losses to Wake Forest and Northwestern. Freshman quarterback Daniel Jones has been serviceable with 61% completions but he's not Read more



Tags: College Football Duke Blue Devils ACC Notre Dame Fighting Irish Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Pittsburgh Panthers at North Carolina Tar Heels

09.21.2016     09:40 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at North Carolina
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
North Carolina -8 O/U 70
CRIS Current: North Carolina -7 O/U 67.5
Recommendation: Over

I have successfully faded Pittsburgh with a free play the past two weeks and will pick on them once again at the Panthers travel to Chapel Hill. I detected a defensive weakness against the pass in their 42-39 victory over Penn State and discussed it in last week’s write-up selection vs. Oklahoma State. Money flocked toward Pitt but OSU set a multitude of offensive records against them last Saturday including Mason Rudolph’s 540 passing yards. In their last two games, Pittsburgh has given up 872 yards through the air on 50 completions for an average of 17.4. That number is alarming enough but when you add in the fact that Penn State rang up huge numbers in catch up mode with an average passer Trace McSorely, the concern becomes larger. Then take into account that pass reliant Oklahoma State threw for 540 yards with a ground game that is more of a below average diversion than true threat and you clearly see a problem.

This Read more



Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers North Carolina Tar Heels ACC Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks at Nebraska Cornhuskers

09.15.2016     06:52 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon at Nebraska
Saturday, 12:30 am PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Nebraska -3 O/U 70.5
CRIS Current: Nebraska -3 O/U 74
Recommendation: Oregon

From 2010 to 2014, Oregon closed as an underdog only once (53-30 win at 7th-ranked Stanford as +2.5 dogs in 2011). They were the clear class of the PAC-12 and garnered a ton of respect in the betting markets. Last season, however, was the first time since 2007 the Ducks failed to win 10 games. And what we remember last was an embarrassing bowl game loss to TCU in which Oregon blew a 31-0 halftime lead. Heading into this season, the Ducks weren't the first choice to win the PAC-12; in fact, they were priced third behind both Stanford and Washington. And through the first two weeks of the season, the downgrading looks to be correct with Oregon posting lackluster wins and pointspread failures against weaker foes Virginia and UC Davis.

Nebraska has that "well oiled machine" look after blowout wins and easy pointspread covers over Wyoming and Fresno State. The two wins have helped the Cornhuskers make a sizeable power rating jump. Last season, Nebraska Read more



Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten OTTO Sports




College Football Gambling: Alabama takes steps to stop up-tempo offenses

09.14.2016     09:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If there's been one knock against the Alabama Crimson Tide in recent years it's their "inability" to stop high powered up-tempo offenses; particularly against this week's opponent, Ole Miss, who has won the last two meetings. Looking over the last three seasons, the Crimson Tide is 7-5 SU and 5-7 ATS against teams that are noted for using an up-tempo/spread system.

2013 (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS)
vs. Oklahoma - 45-31 SU/ATS loss
at Auburn - 34-28 SU/ATS loss
vs. Ole Miss - 25-0 SU Win/ATS win
at Texas A&M - 49-42 SU win/ATS loss

2014 (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
vs. Ohio State - 42-35 SU/ATS loss
vs. Auburn - 54-44 SU/ATS win
vs. Texas A&M - 59-0 SU/ATS win
at Ole Miss - 23-17 SU/ATS loss

2015 (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS)
vs. Clemson - 45-40 SU win/ATS loss
at Auburn - 29-13 SU/ATS win
at Texas A&M - 41-23 SU/ATS win
vs. Ole Miss - 43-37 SU/ATS loss

But according to Ole Miss, Bama is already starting to morph its stop unit Read more



Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Ole Miss Rebels SEC




College Football Betting Preview: Pittsburgh Panthers at Oklahoma State Cowboys

09.13.2016     09:13 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma State -6.5 O/U 61.5
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -6 O/U 59
Recommendation: Oklahoma State

Opposite game ending reactions for these teams last week as Pitt was in jubilant mood after defeating Penn State while Oklahoma State was in complete disbelief as a 27-24 victory celebration turned into an unbelievable 30-27 loss. Heading into this contest the most important question is which team will able to erase Saturday’s results and fully focus on their weekly preparation.

Pittsburgh placed extreme emphasis on last week’s game as head coach Pat Narduzzi drilled into his coaching staff and team that they were going to treat the Penn State game as a rivalry. The Panthers came out of the chute fired up and they were up 28-7 just over three minutes into the second quarter. From there, Penn State outscored Pitt 32-14 the rest of the way and had the ball in field goal range with a chance to tie but an interception sealed the deal. 

Offensive balance has been problematic for the Panthers who have Read more



Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers ACC Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils at Northwestern Wildcats

09.13.2016     08:45 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Duke at Northwestern
Saturday, 5 pm PT - Big Ten Network
CRIS Opener:
Northwestern -6 O/U 43
CRIS Current: Northwestern -6 O/U 43.5
Recommendation: Northwestern

Both clubs enter this contest off bad losses to weak opposition with Duke losing a 24-14 conference decision to Wake Forest and the Wildcats falling to FCS Illinois State 9-7 on a last second field goal. It’s early, but the outcome of this game could go a long ways in determining whether or not either of these teams reach the postseason.

Duke's offense is going through some transitional issues as starting quarterback Thomas Sirk was lost for the year with a torn Achilles and two new offensive lineman try to gel within the rotation. The Blue Devils were held to just 37 rushing yards last game, and in return allowed 239 yards on the ground and three touchdowns to Demon Deacons freshman tailback Cade Carney. Note that last year, Duke held Wake to only 112 yards on the ground. Duke’s rush defense surrendered only 3.61 ypc in 2015 thanks in large part to do-everything hybrid linebacker Jeremy Cash who was arguably the most Read more



Tags: College Football Duke Blue Devils ACC Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Alex B. Smith




College Football Gambling: Louisville's Petrino calls out Syracuse offense

09.09.2016     08:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When it comes to worrying about what others think, Louisville head coach Bobby Petrino falls under the category of not giving two shits. Keep in mind this is a coach that signed off on touchdown passes in the third and fourth quarters of last week's 70-14 win over Charlotte. Heading into tonight's game against Syracuse, Petrino reportedly reached out to the ACC to make sure the Orange's up-tempo offense was going to play by the rules. Syracuse first-year head coach Dino Babers shrugged it off by basically saying his squad has more important things to worry about. Louisville is currently a -15 favorite with the total bet up from 64 to 68.5.

 

“The chains have to be set,” Petrino said Wednesday. “You’ve got to let the chains get down and be set before they can snap the ball again, and there were a couple times in that game where they didn’t get set. So we have talked to the conference office, and that’s part of the

Read more



Tags: College Football Louisville Cardinals Syracuse Orange ACC




College Football Gambling Recap: Ole Miss-Florida State featured 26-point in-game line swing

09.06.2016     08:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last night's Ole Miss-Florida State game wasn't the the first nor the last game this season to yield some crazy in-game line swings. Check out the progression of the side and total courtesy of Pinnacle's archives. Ole Miss jumped out to a 28-6 lead but Florida State stormed back to win 45-34.

Note that the game closed Florida State -5 O/U 58.

Side
Ole Miss pk
Ole Miss -4.5
Ole Miss pk
Ole Miss -3.5
Ole Miss -6.5
Ole Miss -13.5
Ole Miss -15.5
Ole Miss -9.5
Florida State pk
Florida State -7.5
Florida State -8.5
Florida State -10.5
Florida State -5.5
Florida State -7.5
Florida State -10.5

Total
62.5
59.5
57.5
55.5
57.5
58.5
63.5
64.5
74.5
79.5
83.5
84.5
85.5
82.5
81.5
86.5
87.5




Tags: College Football Ole Miss Rebels SEC Florida State Seminoles ACC




College Football Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions at Pittsburgh Panthers

09.06.2016     08:25 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Penn State at Pittsburgh
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -6.5 O/U 51
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -6 O/U 49
Recommendation: Penn State

It’s always tough to be definitive on all teams after Week 1's results are in because there are so many variables. In this contest it’s pretty easy to take away a common theme of inconsistent offense and above average defense for each of these teams after they unimpressively disposed of Kent State by 20 and Villanova by 21. Neither of those final scores resulted in pointspread covers and neither lived up to the offseason hype surrounding these teams. There did however seem to be a difference between their respective offensive game plans and while Penn State’s was aggressive, it seemed as if Pittsburgh’s was more of the vanilla variety. Question is, if Pittsburgh was vanilla, did they play call it that way by design to hide some offensive elements from Penn State, or is the passing game not equipped to be a legitimate threat and balance the running of running back James Conner?

For Penn State, it was obvious that first-year Read more



Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten Pittsburgh Panthers ACC Rob Veno



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