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NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators

04.05.2016     08:48 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado at Nashville O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Nashville -1.5 +140


Two Central Division foes will clash for the last time tonight as the Nashville Predators host the Colorado Avalanche. Nashville has already punched its ticket to the Stanley Cup Playoffs despite their current four-game losing streak, which continued over the weekend when the Preds blew a 2-0 lead and lost in a 3-2 shootout to San Jose on Saturday night. Colorado is fighting to stay alive to grab the last Wild Card spot in the Western Conference as they trail Minnesota by five points with only three contests remaining. They have lost five of their last six games and head coach Patrick Roy lit into his club after their 5-1 loss to St. Louis on Sunday. He called out forward Matt Duchene for celebrating his 30th goal of the season when they were down 4-0. The celebration wasn't anything over the top but for Roy to make that a focal point shows that this team is clearly frustrated. As for the Preds, they need to build some positive momentum heading into what will be a tough postseason as they will be in the Pacific Division quadrant for at least the first two rounds. The Preds are 5-4 this Read more



Tags: NHL Colorado Avalanche Nashville Predators Alex B. Smith




NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

02.25.2016     07:51 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nashville at Chicago O/U 5
Recommendation: Chicago -1.5 +210


The Chicago Blackhawks will battle their division rivals the Nashville Predators tonight at the United Center. The Blackhawks should be refocused and ready to take out some anger after Sunday's embarrassing 6-1 loss to Minnesota in the Stadium Series game held outside at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Despite losing three of their last four games at the "Madhouse on Madison", Chicago sports a stellar 22-7-2 overall home record. They also hold a 6-3-1 record against Central Division opponents including a pair of wins against Nashville this season. The Predators come into this contest winners of four of their last six games and 3-0-1 in their last four road games. Nashville currently holds the top Wild Card spot in the Western Conference with 69 points with fellow division foe Colorado trailing by only three points. These two teams always play each other tough, and while the Hawks have turned in some lackluster efforts since the All-Star Break, this club knows that they’ll have to bring their A-game versus a division rival. Chicago has covered the puck-line in six of their Read more



Tags: NHL Nashville Perdators Chicago Blackhawks Alex B. Smith




NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

02.18.2016     12:05 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota -110 Edmonton O/U 5.5
Recommendation: See analysis


My clients and I cashed a pair of tickets with Minnesota and the over last night in its 5-3 win over Calgary and that is the same route I will take tonight as the Wild look to make it three straight wins since their coaching change. Minnesota has responded in a big way in its first two games under interim head coach John Torchetti having notched back-to-back wins over Vancouver and Calgary following a brutal 1-13 slide. They have played with a lot more energy and have been employing a more aggressive, attack minded style of hockey as they have burst out for 10 goals in their last two games. That is trouble for an Edmonton team that has struggled defensively most of the season especially of late as the Oilers have yielded 24 goals during their current 1-5 skid. It also doesn’t help that they’ve seen another defenseman go down with an injury as Eric Gryba suffered a knee injury in Edmonton’s last game against Anaheim and will be out for at least a month. That's not good for an Oilers team lacking quality depth on the blue line. This is not an optimal spot for Minnesota Read more



Tags: NHL Minnesota Wild Edmonton Oilers Ian Cameron




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Evaluating the health of the remaining eight NFL playoff teams

01.11.2016     10:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wild Card weekend is in the rear view mirror, with all four road teams emerging victorious on the opening weekend of the NFL Playoffs.  One game was a blowout, with the Chiefs destroying the Texans.  Two games were coin flips that came down to last second field goals, with the Steelers making their field goal while the Vikings missed theirs, allowing Seattle to survive and advance.  And the fourth game was a close contest that turned into a blowout by the end of the fourth quarter thanks to a performance from Green Bay that was as good as anything that we’ve seen from the Packers since October.

The mainstream media will focus on the quarterbacks and the head coaches, because that’s what the mainstream media does.  In the mainstream world, Andy Reid; noted for a decade worth of playoff failures in Philadelphia, is now a genius because his team is on an 11-game winning streak.  Aaron Rodgers, off the worst statistical season of his career, is now back to his elite self; thanks to one playoff win against a banged up defense. 

Serious bettors know one thing about the NFL Playoffs – health matters!  Do the Read more



Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs New England Patriots Green Bay Packers Arizona Cardinals Seattle Seahawks Carolina Panthers Pittsburgh Steelers Denver Broncos Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Update: Wild Card SOS betting trend goes 3-1 ATS

01.11.2016     09:04 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Looks like the NFL Wild Card strength of schedule trend held up yet another season. The "stronger" SOS teams (Kansas City, Pittsburgh, Minnesota, and Green Bay) went 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS. That improved the overall record of the trend to 40-16 SU and 40-15-1 ATS dating back to 2002.





Using Strength of Schedule to Handicap the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs

01.05.2016     07:57 AM     View Original Blog


The theory is actually quite simple; since 2002, teams with a higher Strength of Schedule (using Sagarin’s Ratings) are a remarkable 37-15 straight up and 37-14-1 against the spread (73% winners) regardless of price and location. Even more amazing is that Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Super cold temps expected for Seahawks-Vikings

01.08.2016     08:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So it's going to be cold in Minneapolis for Sunday's Seahawks-Vikings Wild Card matchup. Like, really cold. Like, around zero with a "Real Feel" of -20. The wind isn’t expected to be that bad at less than 10 mph. And it's an afternoon start with sunny skies. That said, the bettings markets have taken a strong whack at the under. The game opened 42.5 and was bet down to 39.5.




Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Seattle Seahawks




NFL Handicapping: Wild Card road teams feature experienced quarterbacks

01.05.2016     10:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
One of the storylines for this weekend's NFL Wild Card round is quarterback postseason starts. As mentioned by Teddy Covers on Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast, the four road teams feature signal callers that have combined for 37 career playoff starts. Ben Roethlisberger has made 15 postseason starts with a 10-5 record. Russell Wilson has made eight (6-2). Aaron Rodgers has made 11 (6-5). And Alex SMith has made three starts (1-2); two with San Francisco and one with Kansas City.

On the flip side, all four home teams have quarterbacks who have never made a postseason start with Houston's Brian Hoyer, Cincinnati's AJ McCarron, Minnesota's Teddy Bridgewater, and Washington's Kirk Cousins. With the exception of McCarron (three career starts), Hoyer, Bridgewater, and Cousins have combined for 79 career starts but again, none took place in the postseason.




Tags: NFL




Using Strength of Schedule to Handicap the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs

01.05.2016     07:57 AM     Printer Friendly
The theory is actually quite simple; since 2002, teams with a higher Strength of Schedule (using Sagarin’s Ratings) are a remarkable 37-15 straight up and 37-14-1 against the spread (73% winners) regardless of price and location. Even more amazing is that teams with a SOS differential of 10 or more went 23-4 SU, 22-4-1 ATS (85% winners). Taking it step further, teams with a better SOS that are underdogs went 15-11 SU, 19-6 ATS. Underdogs with a SOS rating of 10 or better went 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS. This is not a perfect science when it comes to grading plays. For example, two years ago, the Colts opened -2.5 but closed +2. The 49ers also closed -3.5 at a number of shops which would have resulted in an ATS loss. That said, with 13 years of results, this is one of the strongest publically known NFL trends available.

NFL Wildcard Playoff Strength of Schedule Betting Trend 2002-14
Year
Away (SOS)
Home (SOS)
Score
SOS SU
SOS ATS
2014
Arizona (10)
Carolina (22) -5.5
CAR 27, ARI 16
Loss
Loss
2014
Baltimore (29) +3
Pittsburgh (30)
BAL 30, PIT 17
Win
Win
2014
Detroit (23) +6
Dallas (31)
DAL 24, DET 20
Loss
Win
2014
Cincinnati (18)
Indianapolis (24) -3.5
IND 26, CIN 10
Loss
Loss
 
 
 
 
 
 
2013
Kansas City (26)
Indianapolis (11) +2
IND 45, KC 44
Win
Win
2013
New Orleans (8) +3
Philadelphia (28)
NO 26, PHI 24
Win
Win
2013
San Diego (19) +6
Cincinnati (27)
SD 27, CIN 10
Win
Win
2013
San Francisco (7) -3
Green Bay (30)
SF 23, GB 20
Win
Push
 
 
 
 
 
 
2012
Cincinnati (31)
Houston (27) -4.5
HOU 19, CIN 13
Win
Win
2012
Minnesota (6) +8
Green Bay (8)
GB 24, MIN 10
Loss
Loss
2012
Indianapolis (32)
Baltimore (18) -6.5
BAL 24, IND 9
Win
Win
2012
Seattle (5) -3
Washington (15)
SEA 24, WAS 14
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2011
Cincinnati (23) +3
Houston (32)
HOU 31, CIN 10
Loss
Loss
2011
Detroit (4) +10.5
New Orleans (31)
NO 45, DET 28
Loss
Loss
2011
NY Giants (6) -3
Atlanta (21)
NYG 24, ATL 2
Win
Win
2011
Denver (8) +8
Pittsburgh (26)
DEN 29, PIT 23
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2010
New Orleans (25)
Seattle (28) +14.5
SEA 41, NO 36
Loss
Loss
2010
NY Jets (8) +1
Indianapolis (21)
NYJ 17, IND 16
Win
Win
2010
Baltimore (12) -3
Kansas City (32)
BAL 30, KC 7
Win
Win
2010
Green Bay (9) +1
Philadelphia (16)
GB 21, PHI 16
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2009
Philadelphia (13) +3.5
Dallas (14)
DAL 34, PHI 13
Loss
Loss
2009
Green Bay (32)
Arizona (28) +2.5
ARI 51, GB 45
Win
Win
2009
NY Jets (4) +2.5
Cincinnati (17)
NYJ 24, CIN 14
Win
Win
2009
Baltimore (10)
New England (6) -3.5
BAL 33, NE 14
Loss
Loss
 
 
 
 
 
 
2008
Baltimore (3) -3.5
Miami (26)
BAL 27, MIA 9
Win
Win
2008
Indianapolis (10) -1.5
San Diego (17)
SD 23, IND 17
Loss
Loss
2008
Philadelphia (5) -3
Minnesota (14)
PHI 26, MIN 14
Win
Win
2008
Atlanta (24)
Arizona (16) -1.5
ARI 30, ATL 24
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
NY Giants (2) +3
Tampa Bay (24)
NYG 24, TB 14
Win
Win
2007
Washington (1) +3
Seattle (35)
SEA 35, WAS 14
Loss
Loss
2007
Tennessee (18)
San Diego (6) -10.5
SD 17, TEN 6
Win
Win
2007
Jacksonville (13) -2.5
Pittsburgh (27)
JAX 31, PIT 29
Win
Loss
 
 
 
 
 
 
2006
NY Jets (8)
New England (4) -9.5
NE 37, NYJ 16
Win
Win
2006
Kansas City (17)
Indianapolis (5) -7
IND 23, KC 8
Win
Win
2006
NY Giants (9) +6.5
Philadelphia (21)
PHI 23, NYG 20
Loss
Win
2006
Dallas (23) +2.5
Seattle (30)
SEA 21, DAL 20
Loss
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2005
Carolina (24)
NY Giants (17) -3
CAR 23, NYG 0
Loss
Loss
2005
Washington (3) +1
Tampa Bay (32)
WAS 17, TB 10
Win
Win
2005
Pittsburgh (4) -3
Cincinnati (13)
PIT 31, CIN 17
Win
Win
2005
Jacksonville (25)
New England (8) -7.5
NE 28, JAX 3
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2004
Denver (14)
Indianapolis (11) -10
IND 49, DEN 24
Win
Win
2004
NY Jets (4) +7
San Diego (18)
NYJ 20, SD 17
Win
Win
2004
St. Louis (22) +3.5
Seattle (29)
STL 27, SEA 20
Win
Win
2004
Minnesota (21) +6.5
Green Bay (26)
MIN 31, GB 17
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2003
Dallas (18)
Carolina (13) -3
CAR 29, DAL 10
Win
Win
2003
Seattle (27)
Green Bay (23) -7.5
GB 33, SEA 27
Win
Loss
2003
Denver (19)
Indianapolis (4) -3
IND 41, DEN 10
Win
Win
2003
Tennessee (6) -1
Baltimore (28)
TEN 20, BAL 17
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2002
Cleveland (17) +8
Pittsburgh (20)
PIT 36, CLE 33
Loss
Win
2002
Indianapolis (28)
NY Jets (5) -6
NYJ 41, IND 0
Win
Win
2002
NY Giants (30)
San Francisco (11) -3
SF 39, NYG 38
Win
Loss
2002
Atlanta (6) +7
Green Bay (27)
ATL 27, GB 7
Win
Win
Results
 
 
 
37-15 SU
37-14-1 ATS


In 2002 the NFL expanded to its current format of 32 teams; eight divisions with four teams each. There wasn’t much upheaval as the league added the Houston Texans to the AFC and Seattle switched to the NFC. Two new divisions were created as the league kept the integrity of the established divisional rivalries pretty Read more



Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Houston Texans Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals Seattle Seahawks Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers Washington Redskins




NFL Handicapping: Wild Card round pointspread moves

01.04.2016     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL's Wild Card weekend is set with two games on Saturday and two on Sunday. Let's take a quick look at the early market moves based on CRIS's openers.

Saturday
Kansas City at Houston
CRIS Opener: Kansas City -3 (-115) O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Kansas City -3 (-130) O/U 40.5
Westgate Current: Kansas City -3 (-120) O/U 40.5

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
CRIS Opener: Pittsburgh -3 (+105) O/U 46ov-115
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -2.5 (-105) O/U 46.5
Westgate Current: Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 46.5


Sunday
Seattle at Minnesota
CRIS Opener: Seattle -5 O/U 42.5
CRIS Current: Seattle -5.5 O/U 42
Westgate Current: Seattle -4.5 O/U 42

Green Bay at Washington
CRIS Opener: Washington pk O/U 46
CRIS Current: Washington pk-115 O/U 45.5
Westgate Current: Washington -1 O/U 45.5




Tags: NFL




NHL Handicapper Free Play: Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators

12.03.2015     09:43 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago -135 at Ottawa O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Chicago


The price has climbed a bit since the opener but I still think a wager supporting the Chicago Blackhawks is warranted tonight as they travel to Ottawa to face the Senators. Chicago was caught in that dreaded and always tough first home game following a long road trip on Tuesday night as they fell to the Minnesota Wild 2-1. I expect them to be much better tonight against an Ottawa team they have beaten in five of the last six meetings since 2011. The Senators had won four straight games prior to dropping each of their last two contests to Arizona on the road and Philadelphia at home. Ottawa is giving up far too much time, space and scoring opportunities these days and it is putting their goaltender Craig Anderson in a very difficult position where he has to be razor sharp to give them a chance to win. Ottawa has conceded 34+ shots on goal to their opposition in 8 of its last 10 games. Giving up that many looks at the net is going to cause trouble more often than not and Chicago’s very balanced offensive attack is poised to take advantage of these recent Ottawa shortcomings especially someone Read more



Tags: NHL Chicago Blackhawks Ottawa Senators Ian Cameron



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 03, 2016 01:47 AM.