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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors gear up for Final Four

03.30.2015     08:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The dust has settled from the madness that is March, with only four teams still standing in the NCAA Tournament.  And frankly, since the insanity of that opening Thursday morning when top seeds were falling like flies (Baylor, Iowa State, SMU), this tournament has not seen a bevy of upsets. 

In fact, the Vegas favorite advanced in 48 of the last 54 Big Dance games (48-6 SU, not ATS) since midday on the opening day of the tourney.  For only the second time this century, three #1 seeds reached the Final Four.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report I’m going to try to answer the question that everybody is asking: can anybody beat Kentucky; winners of 38 consecutive ballgames since the start of the season.

Since Kentucky is the most hyped team in recent memory, I’ll start with the Wildcats first.  Yes, this team won the title in 2012, going 4-2 ATS in the process during the Big Dance.  Yes, they reached the championship game last year; an undervalued commodity in March as they covered all four pointspreads on the way to the Final Four.  

But this year’s Kentucky team has simply gotten too much Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Duke Blue Devils Michigan State Spartans Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Kentucky Wildcats

03.28.2015     08:20 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame vs. Kentucky -11 O/U 136
Recommendation: Kentucky


For all that talk about Notre Dame's incredible season-long offensive production I think a lot of folks fail to realize that Kentucky is just as good at scoring the basketball. And the one luxury the Cats have is that even with a couple players having an “off night”, this team can still score at an incredibly efficient clip. Against West Virginia, Cauley-Stine, Towns, and Ulis combined for 3-of-10 from the floor and  11 points and the Cats still averaged 1.22 ppg and netted 78 points. Notre Dame can score too, but with what is essentially a five-man rotation, if two or three players underperform -- which is likely against UK's vaunted defense -- then Kentucky quickly becomes the better offensive team in this matchup. Defensively, it's of course not even close. The Irish don't force turnovers, are soft on the interior, and consistently lose the battle on the glass. Their only hope is to pack it in and hope Kentucky has an off shooting night from the perimeter. I can't come up with a facet of this game that favors the underdog which makes me more than willing to lay what is a Read more



Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish Kentucky Wildcats Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who has what it takes to win the Big Dance Part II

03.09.2015     06:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In Part I of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 16 NCAA champions.  From that profile, I was able to make a short list of potential champs in 2015, consisting of the following 12 teams:  Virginia, Duke, Notre Dame, Louisville, Kansas, Baylor, Villanova, Wisconsin, Maryland, Arizona, Utah and Kentucky.

However, since that article was written last week, one of those 12 teams has been bounced from consideration, with Baylor suffering their eighth loss of the season at Texas in overtime.  I don’t think the Bears were serious contenders to win the title, but now that they are above the seven loss cut-off line, we can eliminate Scott Drew’s squad from the discussion entirely.

The next step in the elimination process is to look at the team’s records away from home.

The NCAA championship is not won on a team’s home floor.  Even with a favorable location one weekend, a team is still going to have to win Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Football Betting: Notre Dame to use two quarterbacks vs. LSU

12.17.2014     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame plans on using two quarterbacks for its Music City Bowl matchup vs. LSU. Everett Golson has obviously had issues with turnovers while Malik Zaire showed flashes of competence in the team's blowout loss to USC. Note that Golson is right-handed while Zaire is left-handed something that could impact the passing game.


“Both have skill sets that are a little bit different that we’ll use in the game,” Kelly said. “We’ll go with their strengths and call upon those strengths in the game. I feel very confident I can manage both of them.”






Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish LSU Tigers




College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at USC Trojans

11.26.2014     06:28 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame at USC
Saturday, 12:30 pm - FOX
CRIS Opener:
USC -6.5 O/U 62.5
CRIS Current: USC -7 O/U 62.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -5
OTTO Sports' Recommendation: Over

Not much fanfare to this one with Notre Dame and USC both 7-4 and off disappointing efforts. There's certainly element of "rivalry" to consider but in the end, it's just another football game.

We've documented at length Notre Dame's inability to hang on to the football. The team's overall turnover margin doesn't look bad (-2) but the Irish were +8 after three games and to their defense's credit, they've been able to somewhat offset their offensive miscues with 22 turnovers gained. But don't let the defense off the hook; it's a unit that has steadily regressed having allowed 40.3 ppg over its last six games. And it's my belief it is lack of effort as oppose to talent that is the root of the problem. Read more



Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish USC Trojans PAC-12 OTTO Sports




College Football Betting Preview: Louisville Cardinals at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

11.19.2014     07:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisville at Notre Dame
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -4.5 O/U 54.5
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -3.5 O/U 53
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -5.5
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: See analysis

I've mentioned on multiple occasions that Louisville's defense, while certainly stout, has benefited greatly from a weak slate of opposing offenses and quarterbacks. The only truly potent offense and quarterback combo the Cardinals have faced is Florida State who racked up 42 points and 574 yards. From a total offense standpoint, at 28th nationally, Notre Dame will mark the "best" offense UL has faced to date. Most, including myself, would probably take the Seminoles' offense over the Irish but the point remains that unlike a majority of Louisville's opposition, Notre Dame has proven capable of moving the football.

But while moving the football hasn't been a Read more



Tags: College Football Louisville Cardinals ACC Notre Dame Fighting Irish Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Arizona State Sun Devils

11.05.2014     08:39 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame at Arizona State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Arizona State -2 O/U 59.5
CRIS Current: Arizona State -2.5 O/U 60
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Arizona State -2
OTTO Sports’ Recommendation: Over

Good non-conference matchup with Arizona State playing host to Notre Dame on Saturday. Last year's meeting saw the Irish pull out of 37-34 win in Dallas. There were 85 pass attempts and 45 first downs in that contest and I expect another up-and-down affair this weekend.

Arizona State's defense has had an easy time of it the last three game with Stanford, Washington (without Cyler Miles), and Utah. Go back to games against more capable offenses and we see that the Sun Devils allowed big yards to Colorado, UCLA, and USC. Those three games featured an average of over 74 points per game.

Notre Dame meanwhile has had a favorable schedule when it comes to opposing Read more



Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12 OTTO Sports




College Football Gambling Alert: Florida State reopens -10 vs. Notre Dame

10.17.2014     02:17 PM     Printer Friendly
Despite no official work on Jameis Winston's status, various offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks have hung a pointspread (no total) on Saturday's Notre Dame vs. Florida State game. Below is CRIS's line history since reopening the game earlier this afternoon. Note that Sunday night's opener was FSU -12.5.

copy_fsu_nd.JPG

 




Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Florida State Seminoles ACC




College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Florida State Seminoles

10.17.2014     09:04 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame at Florida State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Florida State -12.5
CRIS Current: No Line
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Florida State -12.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Notre Dame

We have no line posted as of yet for Saturday’s showdown between Notre Dame and Florida State due to the status of Jameis Winston. Winston, who has already been in his share of off the field distractions, is now being investigating whether he accepted payment for signing memorabilia. Winston claims he wasn’t paid. FSU coach Jimbo Fisher maintains that he believes his quarterback. Either way, Winston is “expected” to play but no confirmation has been made as of this writing.

Notre Dame has not had many problems moving the football this season, with the Irish averaging 444.3 yards per game. Everett Golson is completing 62.5% of his passes, for 1,683 yards and 16 TDs to Read more



Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Florida State Seminoles ACC Ian Cameron




College Footbal Betting Preview: Stanford Cardinal at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

10.01.2014     02:24 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford at Notre Dame
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Stanford -2.5 O/U 41.5
CRIS Current: Stanford -1.5 O/U 44
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Stanford -1.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Notre Dame

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish looks to remain undefeated with their toughest challenge of the season, the Stanford Cardinal, on tap for Saturday. I successfully bet against Stanford as 8-point road favorites last week in its 20-13 win on the road against Washington. The Cardinal is definitely one of the contenders in the PAC-12 but I think they are somewhat overvalued in the betting markets as oddsmakers respect their defense but don’t realize how difficult it can be to move the ball at times.  They controlled most of the game vs. Washington with a 364-179 total yards edge but three turnovers and problems converting drives into points prevented them from putting the Huskies away. I Read more



Tags: College Football Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Ian Cameron



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 25, 2015 04:30 PM.