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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to beat your NCAA Tournament office pool

03.14.2016     10:27 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I could go off on the NCAA Tournament committee for screwing the mid-majors again, something that’s becoming an annual tradition.  But complaining about the committee is akin to complaining about the weather – everybody does it, but it doesn’t help one iota.  Instead, in this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’m going to focus on the casual fan and strategies for winning office pool bracket contests.

It’s bracket time, the annual intrusion every March of the general public into our college basketball sportsbetting world.  And when it comes to filling out brackets, there aren’t many bigger experts than Ed Feng from thepowerrank.com, who I had the chance to interview last week.

Feng is an interesting guy, earning his PhD from Stanford – he’s no dummy.  He’s written for Grantland , Deadspin and Bleacher Report, just to name a few of the sites he’s been affiliated with.  Last year, advanced analytics website FiveThirtyEight.com conducted a study that found Feng’s predictions for the 2015 NCAA Tournament to be the most accurate among their forecasts, culminating in Duke’s Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Kansas City Royals

03.14.2016     08:07 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

Kansas City Royals
2015 W-L:
  95-67
2015 O/U:  73-75-14
2015 Profits:  + 19.4 units
2016 O/U Wins (Westgate):  83.5
2016 AL Central Odds (Westgate):  5/2
Projected Starting Rotation:  Yordano Ventura,  Edinson Volquez,  Ian Kennedy,  Chris Young,  Kris Medlen
Key Departures:  Johnny Cueto, Ryan Madson, Ben Zobrist, Jeremy Guthrie, Joba Chamberlain
Key Additions:  Travis Snider, Dillon Gee, Joakim Soria

Handicapper's Take: "Amazingly, the Royals didn't have one elite-level starting pitcher last season. In fact, they won the World Series with a slew of decidedly mediocre arms. Yordano Ventura is only 24 years old and the only starter who has upside/room to grow assuming his slight frame can handle the workload. Ian Kennedy comes over from San Diego and gets to watch the best outfield in baseball track down all of the line drives and fly balls he's bound to surrender. Edinson Read more



Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Betting Pick: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

03.11.2016     11:08 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina -7 O/U 158.5
Recommendation: Over


Roy Williams always wants his team to play fast, and in neutral court settings, Williams has been an Over machine: 20-7 to the Over in the Tar Heels last 27 neutral site games.  North Carolina really pushed the pace yesterday against Pitt, hanging 88 points on the generally slower paced Panthers.  Perhaps most importantly, North Carolina’s struggling three point shooters – Marcus Paige and Joel Berry – both hit multiple three pointers, enjoying the friendly Verizon Center court.

When these two teams played in the ACC Tournament Championship Game last year, we saw a truly wild shootout, with the Irish winning 90-82.  The old joke about Roy Williams having a tee time set for the Saturday of the ACC tournament – a coach who historically has placed much more importance on the Big Dance than the conference tourney – simply isn’t the case this year.  North Carolina has something to prove and something to gain in this year’s tourney; not a throwaway game for the Tar Heels by any stretch of the imagination this time Read more



Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish North Carolina Tar Heels Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Podcast 3-11-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers

03.11.2016     11:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Both cappers and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight college basketball conference tournament games.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - College Basketball (Big Ten, SEC, MWC)

Rob Veno - College Basketball (ACC, Big East, Big XII, PAC-12)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno Teddy Covers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Betting Pick: UNLV Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

03.10.2016     10:07 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UNLV vs. Fresno State -2.5 O/U 147.5
Recommendation: Fresno State


My clients and I cashed a ticket against UNLV yesterday in their marathon triple OT non-spread covering win over Air Force in which the Rebels never once sniffed a pointspread cover as -11 favorites. The toll of that win is likely to be felt in a big way for UNLV tonight as they must endure an extremely difficult 24 hour turnaround to face Fresno State in quarterfinals. UNLV had three key players on the floor for more than 40 minutes as Jordan Cornish played 41 minutes while the trio of Jerome Seagears, Ike Nwamu and Patrick McCaw all played 54+ minutes. That is very troubling for UNLV considering all of the injuries and lack of depth this squad goes to battle with each night. Fresno State enters this game fresh as a daisy and in very good form with a strong 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS run including a trio of solid road wins at Utah State, New Mexico and Wyoming. Fresno State won and covered both regular season meetings against UNLV this season. There is a fallacy out there among certain bettors that it’s difficult to beat the same team three times in a season but in this case it isn’t Read more



Tags: College Basketball UNLV Rebels Fresno State Bulldogs Ian Cameron




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Houston Astros

03.09.2016     08:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

Houston Astros
2015 W-L:
 86-76 
2015 O/U: 73-80-9 
2015 Profits: -2.7 Units
2016 O/U Wins: 87 
2016 AL West Odds: +160
Projected Starting Rotation: Dallas Keuchel, Collin McHugh, Mike Fiers, Scott Feldman, Doug Fister
Key Departures:  Jed Lowrie, Scott Kazmir, Oliver Perez, Chad Qualls, Chris Carter
Key Additions: Ken Giles, Doug Fister

Handicapper's Take: "The Astros came one win away from winning a playoff series last year.  That breakout campaign came on the heels of a major, long term rebuilding project.  Houston won only 70 games in 2014, on the heels of 51, 55 and 56 win seasons.

When a team that had won 70 games or less for four straight years suddenly morphs into a legit World Series contender, in theory, bettors are supposed to be able to make some serious money with that team.  But that wasn’t the case last year with the Astros Read more



Tags: MLB Houston Astros Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Syracuse Orange vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

03.09.2016     06:37 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh -3.5 O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Pittsburgh


Former Big East conference rivals the Syracuse Orange and the Pittsburgh Panthers meet at 9 am PT in the second round of the ACC tournament. The glory days of the clashes in Madison Square Garden for the Big East tourney are behind us, but this 8 vs. 9 matchup in our nation’s capital has epic potential. The teams are evenly matched statistically, but recently Pittsburgh has been a tough matchup for Syracuse. The Panthers have won the last four in the series and 14 of 20 under head coach Jamie Dixon. The Orange lost both games to Pittsburgh this season by a total of 25 points, mostly because of the second half performance and rebounding margin. In the second half of both games this year, Pittsburgh outscored the Orange 78-55. The Panthers shot 52% in the second half and held the Orange to 36%. Pittsburgh also crushed Syracuse on the boards by a staggering 86-48, while outscoring Syracuse 34-6 in second-chance points. Both teams have struggled down the stretch with the Orange losing four of five, while Pittsburgh has dropped three of its last four. Throwing out the fallacy that Read more



Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Pittsburgh Panthers Drew Martin




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Detroit Tigers

03.07.2016     09:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

Detroit Tigers
2015 W-L:
  74-87
2015 O/U:  85-68-8
2015 Profits:  -10.3 units
2016 O/U Wins (Westgate):  80.5
2016 AL Central Odds (Westgate):  5/1
Projected Starting Rotation:  Justin Verlander, Jordan Zimmermann, Anibal Sanchez, Daniel Norris, Mike Pelfrey
Key Departures:  Rajai Davis
Key Additions:  Casey McGehee, Bobby Parnell, Justin Upton,  Jordan Zimmermann, Mike Pelfrey

Handicapper’s Take: “Health and age seem to be a common theme with the Tigers heading into 2016. This is an aging squad with their core -- Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez, Ian Kinsler, Justin Verlander, and Anibal Sanchez -- all north of 30 years old. They spent big dollars on Justin Upton and Jordan Zimmermann but it can't offset the fact that at least a few of the aforementioned group is likely going to miss significant time due to injury.

Verlander finished last season strong (2.27 ERA L14 Read more



Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Andrew Lange




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Seattle Mariners

03.07.2016     08:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

Seattle Mariners
2015 W-L:
76-86
2015 O/U: 79-76-7
2015 Profits: -20.5 Units
2016 O/U Wins: 82.5
2016 AL West Odds: +400
Projected Starting Rotation: Felix Hernandez, Hisashi Iwakuma, Wade Miley, Taijuan Walker, James Paxton
Key Departures: Brad Miller, Logan Morrison, Mark Trumbo, James Jones, Danny Fahquhar, Tom Wilhemson.
Key Additions: Wade Miley, Adam Lind, Leonys Martin, Steve Cishek, Joaquin Benoit, Chris Iannetta

Handicapper's Take: "New GM Jerry Dipoto engineered a significant offseason makeover for one of the most disappointing teams in baseball last year.  First year, first time manager Scott Servais is a former major leaguer, but his previous experience has all been in the front office, first in Texas as their Director of Player Development, then in LA as the Angels assistant GM.  Servais is Dipoto’s buddy, having worked under him in LA; a curious hire.

In 2014, when the Mariners Read more



Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part II

03.07.2016     08:08 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In Part I of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 16 NCAA champions.  From that profile, I was able to make a short list of potential champs in 2016, consisting of the following 16 teams:  Miami, North Carolina, Virginia, Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Purdue, Oregon, Utah, Arizona and Texas A&M.

The next step in the elimination process is to look at the team’s records away from home. The NCAA championship is not won on a team’s home floor.  Even with a favorable location one weekend, a team is still going to have to win four neutral site games in order to cut down the nets in Houston on April 4th.  And the best predictive evidence that I’ve seen for future success in neutral or hostile environments is previous success is neutral or hostile environments.  

In most years, we’ll find a sub .500 road Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 24, 2016 10:24 PM.