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December

7

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC North

07.05.2016     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve already previewed four NFL Divisions throughout the hot summer months – we’re at the halfway point; with four more divisional previews still to come.  Let’s continue the process this week with an early breakdown of the AFC North. As always, teams are listed in alphabetical order within the division.

The Baltimore Ravens had been a model of consistency throughout the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco eras...until last year.  Baltimore suffered through an injury riddled disaster of a campaign, finishing with a 5-11 SU, 5-9-2 ATS mark, while going 7-9 O/U.  By the end of the season a franchise record 20 different players were on injured reserve.  It’s worth noting that the Ravens switched their field surface this past offseason, at least in part due to all of those injuries last year, replacing the field turf with natural grass for 2016.

The betting markets are expecting a significant Ravens bounceback this year, lining Baltimore as an 8.5 win team for 2016 (there are a handful of books that have Baltimore lined at 8 wins with juice to the over).  A quick look at their mainstream stats from last Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the NFC South

06.27.2016     09:11 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Continuing my summertime tour through the eight NFL divisions, this week, I’ll be taking an in-depth look at the four NFC South teams.  As always, teams are listed in alphabetical order within the division.

The Atlanta Falcons (lined at 7 or 7.5 wins for 2016, depending on the book) went 6-1 SU to open the season last year, but stumbled down the stretch with a 2-7 finish, finishing the season with an improved, yet still disappointing 8-8 SU record.  They were money losers (6-10 ATS, including a 2-10 slide to close out the campaign) despite their two win improvement from 2014 to 2015.  That came on the heels of a two win improvement (from four to six victories) from 2013 to 2014. 

The Falcons mainstream stats show one clear weakness from 2015, despite facing one of the easier scheduled in the NFL last year.  Their 30 giveaways ranked among the bottom five teams in the NFL at avoiding turnovers.  They finished +0.0 yards per play, (obviously) right at the league average with the #7 ranked offense and the #16 ranked defense based on yardage numbers.   Both coordinators return from last year’s Read more



Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Penn State says offense will be much improved

06.27.2016     08:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Penn State head coach James Franklin believes his offense is poised to make big strides in 2016. It wasn't massive, but in Franklin's second season, the Nittany Lions' offense did improve. In 2014, PSU finished dead last in Big Ten play at 267.5 ypg and allowed a whopping 44 sacks. Last year, the offense jumped to seventh (369.5 ypg) though still struggled at protecting the quarterback with 39 sacks allowed. PSU's first four opponents Kent State, Pitt, Temple, and Michigan all ranked 37th or better nationally in total defense in 2015.


"All the things are in place for us to make a significant jump offensively," Franklin said. "And we knew that."

"There are so many aspects now that are falling into place that you're going to have to deal with defensively," Franklin said. "As we all know, you can be very, very

Read more



Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten




Canadian Football League Betting Preview: Ottawa Redblacks

06.22.2016     08:21 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ottawa Redblacks (2015: 12-6 SU, 12-6 ATS, 10-8 O/U)

The defending East Division champions will have a major challenge on their hands in trying to duplicate 2015’s success. Everything went right for Ottawa as it jumped from 2-16 in their expansion season to 12 wins and in the process advancing to the Grey Cup. Regression almost seems too obvious but keep in mind the East continues to be the weaker of the two divisions and the remaining teams all have question marks of some kind. Ottawa’s success came in large part because of 41-year-old quarterback Henry Burris who posted a 70.9% completion rate and an incredible 101 QB rating; 93.4 and 78.7 the previous two seasons. It’s not realistic to expect him to match 2015’s production. Burris does however possess one of the best receiving corps in the CFL led by Greg Ellingson, Chris Williams, Ernest Jackson and Brad Sinopoli.

Ottawa did lose upwards of a half dozen of their veteran players to free agency. The departures of offensive lineman Colin Kelly and defensive stalwarts Shawn Lemon, Justin Capicciotti, Keith Shologan and Jovon Johnson will be big obstacles to overcome early Read more



Tags: CFL Ottawa Redblacks Ian Cameron




Canadian Football League Betting Preview: Hamilton Tiger-Cats

06.22.2016     07:47 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2015: 10-8 SU, 11-7 ATS, 6-12 O/U)

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats have been a strong fundamentally sound team and organization since day one of the Kent Austin era but that consistency will be tested in 2016. Hamilton will begin the season without their top quarterback, Zach Collaros, who was on his way to an MOP season before a torn ACL in September ended his year. Backup Jeremiah Masoli did a nice job stepping in late last season and had a very productive training camp. The receiving corps projects to be above average with Andy Fantuz, Chad Owens, Luke Tasker and promising talents Tiquan Underwood and Terrence Toliver. The offensive line should be very good once again and this team has arguably the best special teams unit in the CFL. The Ticats did lose their offensive coordinator but hired a quality replacement in Stefan Ptaszek. Ptaszek was a winner as a player and completely turned around the McMaster University football program. By all accounts, he has a brilliant mind for designing and implementing offenses and should emerge as one of the league’s top coordinators.

Hamilton’s did lose top flight kicker Justin Read more



Tags: CFL Hamilton Tiger-Cats Ian Cameron




Canadian Football League Betting Preview: Toronto Argonauts

06.21.2016     08:25 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Toronto Argonauts (2015: 10-8 SU, 9-9 ATS, 8-10 O/U)

It is a very momentous season for the Toronto Argos who finally have a home stadium to call their own as they play their first season at BMO Field; site of the 2016 Grey Cup. Toronto was very active in free agency during the offseason by bringing in the likes of offensive lineman Josh Bourke to bolster a suspect front five. The suspect o-line has played a big part in veteran quarterback Ricky Ray’s inability to stay on the field. Brian Bulcke has a chance to be a solid addition on the defensive line but health is an issue for him. They also added Bryan Hall and Justin Hickman to the defensive front and Keon Raymond in the secondary. The Argos did a solid job filling a lot of their holes but the key for this teams remains Ray’s health. Behind him this season, there is no more insurance policy after Trevor Harris signed with Ottawa. Logan Kilgore will be the team’s backup and he doesn’t have a ton of CFL experience. It is vital for Ray to stay on the field if the Argos are going to make a run at the Grey Cup on their home soil. Veteran CFL defensive coordinator Rich Stubler takes Read more



Tags: CFL Toronto Argonauts Ian Cameron




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC South

06.20.2016     01:50 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll continue my summer series, breaking down one NFL division each week.  This week, it’s time to take an in-depth look at the four teams from the AFC South, with some very early leans regarding their expected improvement or decline in 2016.  As always, within the division, I’ll list the teams in alphabetical order (NOT in predicted order of finish).

The Houston Texans went 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS and 9-7 to the Over last year.  They won the AFC South for one reason and one reason only – Andrew Luck got hurt, allowing the Texans to dominate the rest of their division rivals with a 5-1 mark.  They only beat two teams with a winning record – Cinci on a bad Andy Dalton day, and the Jets, when New York was slumping midseason in the midst of a 1-4 stretch.  The Texans defense was clearly their strong point, finishing with the #3 stop unit in the NFL based on mainstream stats.  It is worth noting how healthy that defense was, losing only eleven games from their starters all season!

Houston’s 2016 schedule is a good notch or two tougher than it was last Read more



Tags: NFL Houston Texas Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC West

06.06.2016     09:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The calendar has turned to June and Vegas is sweltering hot.  That can only mean one thing for NFL bettors – the offseason marketplace starts to heat up with the weather.  The season win total markets and the odds to win each division have seen some movement.  That means it’s time to get to work (if you haven’t done so already) on a thorough offseason analysis of each team.

Over the course of the hot summer months, I’ll be previewing all eight NFL divisions from a win total standpoint, moving from West to East here in my Wiseguy Report.  So without further ado, let’s take a look at the AFC West this week, starting with the defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos.

The Broncos went 12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS and 10-6 to the Under last year; lined Over/Under 9.5 wins for 2016.  They finished -4 in turnovers for the campaign, leading the league in throwing interceptions.  Bettors seem to be worried about the QB situation, whether it’s Trevor Siemian or Marc Sanchez behind center.  But the Broncos cannot get worse quarterbacking than they had last year, when an ineffective Peyton Manning finished with a Read more



Tags: NFL AFC West Denver Broncos San Diego Charges Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Prepping for the College Football season

05.23.2016     10:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
My summer homework progression is simple.  I do my NFL work first, because not that much changes in the professional ranks over the summer.  Once we’re done with the draft and the initial free agent signing period, it’s easy to make preliminary assessments of all 32 NFL teams.  While the season win total market is still a long way from true maturity, we do have a pretty good sense of two things.  First, how the 32 teams are projected, power ratings wise and second, how tough a team’s schedule is going to be.

When it comes to college football, I don’t do much until after the MLB All-Star break, and the majority of my college football prep comes in August.  Why the difference?  Simple – a lot more changes in college over the summer, and I’m not a big fan of doing the same work twice!  The depth charts that you’re going to see popping up in all the college football preview publications were accurate at the end of spring camp.  By mid-August, they’re essentially obsolete. 

There are many more players moving up and down the depth charts in college.  There are more Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds

05.20.2016     10:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle (Iwakuma) -130 at Cincinnati (Straily) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


Cincinnati has been an Over machine, cashing only 14 Unders in their first 41 games.  It’s easy to understand why – their pitching has been nothing short of awful.  No starter has lasted past the sixth inning in the last two weeks, and Reds starters have lasted only 208.1 combined innings, the lowest number of innings pitched in MLB.

Poor starting pitching has led to an exhausted, overworked bullpen, a pen that ranks #29 in innings pitched this season.  Reds relievers rank dead last in MLB with a 6.48 ERA, 88 walks and 34 home runs allowed.  That bullpen has been severely tested and depleted in their last series against the Indians; forced to throw 19.2 innings over the four game set while allowing 20 runs in the process.  All four of those games flew Over the total, by a combined 26 runs!  And it’s surely worth noting that the Reds lineup is in solid current form, pounding out 25 runs over their last five games.

Seattle won’t lose Nelson Cruz’s big bat despite playing in an NL Park tonight, with Read more



Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers



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December

7


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 07, 2016 10:15 AM.