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College Football Betting Preview: Maryland Terrapins at Michigan State Spartans

11.12.2015     08:08 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Maryland at Michigan State
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -18 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Michigan State -15 O/U 57.5
Recommendation: Under

Off of last week's loss to Nebraska, Michigan State head coach Mark Dantonio proclaimed that his team would indeed bounce back. But before we get to what type of showing Sparty is sitting on this week, know that the defeat in Lincoln shouldn't come as a shock. Yes, Nebraska's season was up until that point a mess, but Michigan State had spent much of the season winning games with some serious smoke and mirrors. Prior to last week, MSU has just a 0.30 ypp advantage on its opponents despite playing an ultra-soft Big Ten schedule. It was all a matter of time before the dam burst.

Now, off their first loss of the season and with Ohio State on deck, the Spartans must get up for a home game against woeful Maryland. The markets, as they have all season, poured in with anti-MSU money with the line down from -18 to -15. I can hardly blame them as team vying for playoff berths that suffer late season losses are a logical fade. And while Sparty can Read more



Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Andrew Lange




NFL Gambing Preview: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

11.11.2015     02:05 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City at Denver
Sunday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Denver -7 O/U 42.5
CRIS Current: Denver -6 O/U 42
Recommendation: Over

Things change quickly in the NFL and there’s a different feel about Denver than there was just four days ago when they were 7-0. Obviously the loss to Indianapolis which was the late afternoon national game drew a lot of viewers. That negative perception of the Broncos combined with the losses of star defensive players DE DeMarcus Ware (back) and CB Aqib Talib (suspension) have taken the opening line of -7 down to -6 or even -5.5 depending on the outlet. Kansas City meanwhile is rested off of a bye and two consecutive victories prior to it. There’s certainly a sense of atonement in the Chiefs locker room after the unbelievable way they gift wrapped their Week 2 contest to Denver so expect them to be as motivated as possible for this divisional rematch.

Denver’s defense looked average for the first time last week and without a pair of their top players, it may make this week a bit difficult too.The Broncos like to apply consistent pressure up Read more



Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos Rob Veno




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: The College Football Playoff circus has begun

11.09.2015     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I haven’t had an appropriate opportunity to rant against the most corrupt organization in sports – the NCAA, making billions off the backs of student athletes without a lick of oversight – in quite some time.  But now that we’re in Playoff Committee time here in November, it’s time to call out the NCAA for this ridiculous atrocity, designed to do one thing and one thing only – make the NCAA more money, by driving up the hype factor of the college football playoff.  You know, the playoff that doesn’t begin until January?  You know, the playoff that has a constantly-hyped national TV show every week, designed to get fat checks from corporate sponsors?   Yeah, that college football playoff!

Can you imagine, even for a minute, if the NFL held a mid-season poll so that a group of high profile bureaucrats, administrators and big name celebrities (does Condoleezza Rice really know the in’s and out’s of college football) could vote on who the top teams were?  Of course you can’t imagine such a thing, because it’s a ludicrous concept.  If these polls never existed, there would be Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Update: Season Over/Under Wins results start to pile up

11.09.2015     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As we near the end of the college football regular season let's check in on the season over/under win totals that have officially cashed. Plays were graded based on CG Technology's lines from late July.

ACC
Boston College (3-7) O/U 5.5 - UNDER
Virginia Tech (4-5) O/U 8 - UNDER
Georgia Tech (3-6) O/U 7.5 - UNDER

Big XII
Oklahoma State (9-0) O/U 7.5 - OVER

Big Ten
Iowa (9-0) O/U 7.5 - OVER
Northwestern (7-2) O/U 6 - OVER
Illinois (5-4) O/U 4 - OVER
Nebraska (4-6) O/U 8 - UNDER

Mountain West
UNLV (3-6) O/U 2.5 - OVER

PAC-12
Washington State (6-3) O/U 5 - OVER
Oregon (6-3) O/U 9.5 - UNDER
Utah (8-1) O/U 7.5 - OVER
Arizona State (4-5) O/U 7.5 - UNDER
Arizona (5-5) O/U 8 - UNDER

SEC
Florida (8-1) O/U 7 - OVER
Missouri (4-5) O/U 7.5 - UNDER
South Carolina (3-6) O/U 6.5 - UNDER
Auburn (5-4) O/U 8.5 - UNDER




Tags: College Football




College Football Handicapping: Markets push Illinois into historically bad spot

11.06.2015     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We need to talk about the Illinois-Purdue pointspread for a minute. To start, the game opened a pick 'em with the Illini taking most of the early money with the line trickling up to -2. The move was understandable as the Illini have the more attractive statistical profile (-0.76 ypp vs. Big Ten) compared to the Boilermakers (-1.57 ypp). But yesterday’s -2 turned quickly into -5 putting Illinos in some rarified air. They've been favored in 10 Big Ten games since 2011 only twice since 2013 and both of which were against Purdue. Their track record in that profile is nothing short of horrific. Check out the results...

2014
-10 vs. Purdue - SU Loss, ATS Loss

2013
-6.5 at Purdue - SU Win, ATS Loss

2012
-2 vs. Indiana - SU Loss, ATS Loss
-3 vs. Penn State - SU Loss, ATS Loss

2011
-9.5 vs. Northwestern - SU Win, ATS Loss
-14 at Indiana - SU Win, ATS Win
-3.5 vs. Ohio State - SU Loss, ATS Loss
-3 at Purdue - SU Loss, ATS Loss
-1 vs. Michigan - SU Loss, ATS Loss
-10 at Minnesota - SU Loss, ATS Loss

All Read more



Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers BigTen




College Football Betting Preview: Michigan State Spartans at Nebraska Cornhuskers

11.03.2015     10:51 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan State at Nebraska
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -4.5 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Michigan State -5 O/U 58
Recommendation: Michigan State

Quiet as a mouse and undefeated Michigan State heads to Lincoln off of a bye week. Following an 0-6 ATS start, the Spartans have covered two straight. After posting nearly a yard-and-a-half advantage over their opponents a year ago, Sparty is a very modest +0.31 this season which is certainly reflective in their pointspread failures.

Meanwhile, Nebraska's disastrous season continues after an embarrassing 55-45 loss to Purdue which dropped their record to 3-6 on the season and 1-4 in conference play. Junior backup quarterback Ryker Fife started over the injured Tommy Armstrong Jr. and went 29-of-48 for 407 yards and 4 TDs, but also had 4 interceptions. While five of their losses have come by a total of 13 points, the Huskers are a team that can't seem to get out of their own way. Case in point, Nebraska has actually outgained the opposition this season but penalties (104th nationally) and turnovers (-8 margin, 113th nationally) Read more



Tags: College Football Michigan State Spartans Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten Alex B. Smith




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Analyzing bye-less College Football teams

11.02.2015     10:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seventeen college football teams enter November without having had a single bye week since the start of the season and without a bye this coming week.  Those teams are Arizona, Ball State, Boston College, Colorado, UConn, Eastern Michigan, Florida International, Hawaii, Louisiana Tech, Miami-Ohio, Ole Miss, Nebraska, Penn State, Texas Tech, Western Kentucky, Wisconsin and Wyoming.  Two more teams, North Texas and UMass, haven’t had byes since Week 1; teams that started their seasons a week late, but haven’t had a break since.  Is there anything unique or different about these non-bye squads?  Read on to find out.

Five of the 17 teams listed above don’t have any bye weeks at all.  Florida International, Miami-Ohio, Hawaii (with their 13 game schedule!), Arizona and Colorado will finish the season without a break.  Note that none of those five are going to play in a conference championship game, and only two (Arizona and FIU) have any realistic shot to make a bowl game.  Bye-less teams don’t tend to be very successful.  Most importantly for our purposes, they also don’t tend to cover many pointspreads Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Football Handicapping: Nebraska goes with former walk-on quarterback vs. Purdue

10.30.2015     06:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska Cornhusker quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr. (turf toe) will miss Saturday's game at Purdue. That means former walk-on Ryker Fyfe will be under center. Fyfe, a junior, has attempted only 18 career passes. In six games against FBS competition, the Boilermakers have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 69% of their passes which ranks 124th nationally. Nebraska opened -11 but is currently -7.5 across the board. The total was bet down from 56 to 54.


"He is not held back," Riley said. "He has run all these plays. He was the sole guy this week to take the first-string reps. So the knowledge of everything about what we're doing, he's familiar with.

"I'm excited for him, and I think he'll do very well."






Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten




College Football Handicapping: Minnesota head coach Jerry Kill steps down

10.28.2015     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sad day for the Minnesota football program as head coach Jerry Kill announced his retirement due to health concerns. Associate head coach Tracy Claeys will take over as interim. Under Kill's watch, Minnesota went 32-26 against the spread. This weekend, the Golden Gophers play host to Michigan. The Wolverines, who are off of a bye week (and the wild loss to Michigan State), were bet up from -12.5 to -14. 




Tags: College Football Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines Big Ten




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Breaking down the NFL's five unbeatens

10.26.2015     07:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re nearing the halfway point of the NFL season and five teams still remain undefeated; an unusually high number of perfect teams at this stage of the campaign.  There’s not much debate with the betting community about how to rank the five remaining unbeatens.  The New England Patriots are power rated at least a field goal higher than any other team in the league right now.  Behind the Pats come the Green Bay Packers, followed closely by the Cincinnati Bengals.  The Denver Broncos rank #4 on this list; with Peyton Manning’s ongoing struggles carrying more weight than the Broncos elite level defensive stats in the current betting markets.  Last on the list is the Carolina Panthers, still searching for market respect even after their win and cover against the Eagles on Sunday Night Football.

My goal of this week’s Wiseguy Report is to break down these five teams in terms of my probability of them producing a profit over the final ten weeks of the regular season.  Is it possible to make money with ANY of these teams moving forward, or have the betting markets eclipsed any semblance of future value?  Read on to find Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 26, 2016 09:23 AM.