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December

7

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College Football Handicapping: Public prefers Alabama over Clemson

01.11.2016     08:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to reports, the action in Las Vegas is fairly balanced on tonight's College Football Playoff National Championship between underdog Clemson and favorite Alabama. Around 60% of the "public money" is on the Crimson Tide. Most sportsbooks appear to be hoping for an Alabama straight up win but Clemson pointspread cover. Opinion remains split with most offshore shops showing Alabama -6.5 while Vegas remains -7.


"Every time we take a big bet on one side," a Caesars sportsbook manager said, "we get another to balance it out on the other."






Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers ACC Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Las Vegas




College Basketball Betting: UNLV parts ways with head coach Dave Rice

01.11.2016     08:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After losing five of its last six, UNLV decided what better time than the present to get rid of head coach Dave Rice. The Rebels had the talent and defense to not only compete but win what looks to be a watered down Mountain West Conference this year. But an inability to hold leads and win close games has them 0-3 in league play with three losses by a combined six points. Now, the team will look to assistant Todd Simon to help save a sinking ship. Simon's "promotion" however has been viewed by some as questionable, especially with veteran Max Good a part of the staff. Not much turnaround time with the Rebels playing host to New Mexico tomorrow evening.




Tags: College Basketball UNLV Rebels




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Clemson vs. Alabama Betting Preview

01.04.2016     08:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
One thing has legitimately changed in the four team playoff era, compared to the BCS Championship era that just ended prior to last year.  Instead of having three weeks to prepare for the title game, teams now have three weeks to prepare for a semi-final game, with a much shorter turnaround time prior to the title game.  The three previous national titles that Nick Saban won at Alabama all came under at least somewhat different circumstances than the title game they’ll play in next Monday.

When we take a look back at the national championship teams over the last decade, we can get a decent idea of the commonalities between those teams and use that to project forward for this year. Texas in 2005, Florida in 2006, LSU in 2007, Florida in 2008, Alabama in 2009, Auburn in 2010, Alabama in 2011 and 2012, Florida State in 2013 and Ohio State in 2014 combine to give us a profile worth noting.

The #1 commonality the last ten champions had is elite level talent.  That may sound obvious – it is obvious – but there are metrics worthy of mention that give an advantage to Alabama over Clemson.  Each of the last ten champs had a recruiting Read more



Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers ACC Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Teddy Covers




Guy decides to lay -1110 with the Seahawks and of course loses six figures

12.29.2015     12:25 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
You ever heard the one about the dude who walks into a Las Vegas sportsbook and bets $165K to win $15K and loses? No? We'll now you can add it to your joke arsenal.




Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks St. Louis Rams




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Narrowing down the Super Bowl 50 contenders

12.28.2015     08:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This is my last Wiseguy Report of the year.  That leaves me with two choices – a look back column or a look forward one. I’m a big fan of post-mortems following every NFL betting week; looking to learn from both winners and losers.  But when it comes to looking back over a whole season or a full year?  It’s harder (for me at least) to learn lessons in the aggregate; much easier when I condense those lessons down to individual games. 

After all, that’s what a season is – dozens of individual betting decisions; made one at a time.  So, while I’ve enjoyed one of the best NFL seasons of my handicapping career, there’s no point in looking back.

Sure, we can identify the worst beat of the year, that’s always fun.  I’d nominate anyone who had Lions and Under when they led Green Bay wire-to-wire on Thursday Night Football….until Aaron Rodgers Hail Mary touchdown pass with no time left on the clock that turned Lions and Under into Packers and Over.  Apologies to anyone who had St Louis plus the points at Green Bay in Week 5, a close second on my list.  But the better way Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Sportsbooks get crushed in Week 15

12.21.2015     09:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsbooks around Las Vegas reported shorter lines and reduced handle on Sunday.  Bettors around town were short on cash due to the holidays, but also due to the fact that the books beat the public over the first two weeks of December.  But that certainly wasn’t the case this week!

On Sunday, just about every major NFL decision went in favor of the bettors, not the house, and the books took an absolute beating.  Public favorites cashed in game after game.  The Patriots covered -14.5 against the Titans.  The Seahawks covered -14.5 against the Browns.  The Packers covered -4 against the Raiders.  Most Steelers bettors cashed when Pittsburgh rallied to win by a TD, even though the line closed at -7.5 in many locations.  The Chargers beat up on Miami.  And Arizona hammered Philly on Sunday Night.  The only major decision that went in favor of the house was when the Giants stormed back from a four TD deficit to cover the spread against Carolina.

These quotes from Matt Youmans' excellent article in the Las Vegas Review Journal tell the story from the bookmaker perspective.  William Hill sportsbook director Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Las Vegas Bowl Betting Preview: BYU Cougars vs. Utah Utes

12.17.2015     07:53 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas Bowl
BYU vs. Utah
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Utah -2.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Utah -2.5 O/U 51.5
Recommendation: BYU

Utah has been drawing significant support in recent bowl games, in large part due to Kyle Whiitingham’s impressive track record: 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in his eight bowls with the Utes.  They blew out Colorado State 45-10 last year.  And bettors certainly haven’t forgotten outright bowl upsets against the likes of Alabama, Cal, and Georgia Tech (twice) in the Whiitingham era.

The Utes have also enjoyed great success in recent seasons against their in-state rival.  The Utes have won each of the last four meetings since 2010 – three tight victories by a touchdown or less, and a 54-10 wipeout in Provo back in 2011. The two teams didn’t meet in the regular season this year, making this matchup a highly anticipated revenge meeting for the slight underdog.

For many of these minor bowls, motivation is a key element of the handicap.  That’s most assuredly not the case in this game.  These two programs Read more



Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Utah Utes PAC-12 Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL quarterback situations late season theme for bettors

12.14.2015     10:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL is a quarterback driven league, and QB play (both good and bad) was the difference in the vast majority of games played this past weekend.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take an overview of some of the ongoing QB situations in the NFL.  The goal?  Identify undervalued and overvalued quarterbacks (and therefore, teams) to wager on or against during the stretch run of the season. 

Let’s start with the biggest injury of the weekend, when Cincinnati Bengals star Andy Dalton went down with a thumb injury after making a tackle following a red zone interception on the Bengals first drive.  Dalton has developed a well-deserved reputation as a bet-on QB in the regular season, despite his repeated postseason failures.  This has been, by far, his best year as a pro.  Dalton had a 106.3 QB rating when he got hurt, well above his previous career best of 88.8.  He’d thrown a career low seven interceptions and averaged a career high 8.4 yards per attempt, spreading the ball around to Cinci’s bevy of skill position weapons.  It’s an impact injury, for sure!

Former Alabama QB AJ Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: BYU staff will coach bowl game despite move to Virginia

12.10.2015     08:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
BYU's coaching situation continues to interest us as Bronco Mendenhall announced that he'll be taking three assistants with him to Virginia. This includes offensive coordinator Robert Anae who was somewhat miffed he wasn't on the university's radar to take over for Mendenhall. And then you have another "popular" assistant who was left behind because there was "no room" on the new UVA staff. Despite all of the drama, the staff will remain in place for BYU's Las Vegas Bowl matchup vs. Utah.

 

“I’m very proud of the work we did at BYU with the offense after many challenges we faced and I’m excited to have this bunch (coaches) follow me to the new opportunity.”






Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Utah Utes Mountain West




College Football Betting: Utah felt it deserved better than Las Vegas Bowl

12.09.2015     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Utah doesn't sound all that excited to be playing in the Las Vegas Bowl for the second straight year despite drawing in-state rival BYU. Head coach Kyle Whittingham felt his team deserved a more high profile bowl. Oregon, who the Utes crushed in Eugene, drew a berth in the Alamo Bowl vs. No. 11 TCU on January 2.


"We had the best record in the South, overall, and the second-best record in the conference overall — were tied with Oregon but we beat them head-to-head — so that being the case, and then being in the sixth bowl, that was, that was unique," he said. "So we'll leave it at that, I guess."






Tags: College Football Utah Utes PAC-12 BYU Cougars



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