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October

18

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NFL Betting Preview Podcast 8-22-2016: Dallas Cowboys

08.22.2016     11:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy kicked off his coverage of the NFC East with a breakdown of the Dallas Cowboys.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 8/22
Handicapper: Teddy Covers
Team: Dallas Cowboys
2015-16 Record: 4-12 SU, 4-11-1 ATS, 6-10 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 9ov-135
Odds to Win NFC: +1050
Odds to Win NFC East: +175
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +2350
Week 1 Line: Dallas -3.5 vs. NY Giants

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Handicapping Part II

08.22.2016     09:04 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, in Part I of my Wiseguy Report on NFL Preseason Betting strategies, I listed a handful of key mantras for winning in August. Don’t confuse a team’s regular season capabilities with their preseason goals.  Bet on teams in August that have a battle for their starting QB spot.  Know your coaches and their track records in various roles (and in various weeks).  And bet information, not opinions. 

All of those stand as solid mainstream advice; the stuff the markets are paying attention to.  This week, in Part II — preseason advanced handicapping methods —  I’m going to write about the things that the markets don’t pay enough attention to...but they probably should!

Let me start with a bold statement: "3" is not the most important key number when it comes to betting in the NFL reason.  Neither is "7".  No, the most important pointspread number in August is the number "1."  Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Handicapping Part I

08.15.2016     02:03 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 1 of the 2016 NFL Preseason is in the books, with underdog bettors showing a modest profit through the weekend’s action.  Non-bettors always seem shocked when I talk about betting (and beating) the preseason.  How can you bet on exhibition games?  I don’t even know the guys on the field in the second half.  Boy, you really must be a degenerate gambler if you’re betting on NFL Preseason.

That couldn’t be further from the truth.  A sharp bettor’s mantra is fairly simple and nearly universal: Bet when you have an edge.  Pass when you don’t.  That holds for regular season NFL and it holds for preseason NFL as well.  And there are no shortage of edges to find when it comes to betting August football. 

In this two part column, I’ll illustrate the strategies that wiseguys use to attack preseason football.  In Part 1 (below), I’ll outline the basic market forces that create preseason pointspreads and show Preseason Handicapping 101 methods to beat those pointspreads.  In Part 2 next week, I’ll take a Deep Dive into some Advanced Betting Strategies for Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Las Vegas sportsbooks look to get in on the Olympic betting action

08.03.2016     09:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For the first time since 2000, Las Vegas sportsbooks will be offering betting lines on various Olympic events.


“Any event that receives a lot of attention from the media, there’s a good chance that we could post it,” he says. “Whether it’s popular because of controversy or a great story and or an American competing for a gold medal.”

“We expect it to be very minimal,” he says. Also, he doesn’t expect to take any bets on rowing. In fact, despite the diversity of sport in the Olympics, Kornegay is certain that basketball, one of the boring old big four, will draw the majority of betting action this summer. “It won’t even be close,” he says.






Tags: Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the NFC East

07.25.2016     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve previewed seven of the eight NFL divisions already, which leaves one last division to dissect before the start of training camps this week – the NFC East.  After this column, I’ll be taking a short break from writing Wiseguy Reports, taking some time to be fresh for the start of football season.  My next report – all about beating preseason NFL – will come in mid- August.

Let’s start with the division favorite Dallas Cowboys who are lined at 9 wins.  Last year was an unmitigated disaster for Jerry Jones’ squad and their supporters in the betting markets: 4-12 SU, 4-11-1 ATS.  The Cowboys top heavy roster was besieged with key injuries, most notably at quarterback and their defense was an abject disaster.  The Cowboys finished dead last in the NFL with a -22 turnover margin in large part because their defense notched only 11 takeaways all year.  To put that number in perspective, 24 of the 32 NFL teams recorded 21 takeaways or more.

Jason Garrett is 7-22 ATS as a home favorite in his first five years as the Cowboys head coach; a consistent track record of failure.  Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins Teddy Covers




CG Technology CEO resigns

07.21.2016     08:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Things aren't looking all that great for Las Vegas sportsbook CG Technology these days. It was recently fined by the Nevada Gaming Control Board for failing to correctly pay out winning wagers. Now news has come out that CEO Lee Amaitis will resign at the end of August. As of now, CG's sportsbooks (Cosmopolitan, Venetian, Palms and M Resort) will continue to operate though will be heavily monitored by a third party.


"The Board will not tolerate improper or incorrect payments to patrons by gaming licensees, and therefore takes this matter extremely seriously," Nevada Gaming Control Board Chairman A.G. Burnett told the Las Vegas Sun, which first reported the settlement. "This settlement contains several harsh punishments and requirements for remediation that reflect those concerns."






Tags: Las Vegas




Football Handicapping: Las Vegas offers an endless array of contests

07.19.2016     08:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While the Westgate's famed SuperContest takes top billing, Las Vegas sportsbooks are offering a multitude of football contests for the upcoming season.




Tags: College Football NFL Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC East

07.18.2016     07:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Our NFL Team Previews for the upcoming campaign continues.  This week, I’ll be focusing on the AFC East, and next week I’ll conclude the series with a look at four squads from the NFC East.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order within their division.

We'll start with the Buffalo Bills who are lined at 8 wins for the upcoming season.  Buffalo owns the longest playoff drought in the NFL; now at 16 seasons and counting.  The Bills have at least returned to relevance over the past two seasons, winning nine games in 2014, followed by an 8-8 campaign last year.

Rex Ryan is set to begin his second year on the job.  Rex’s brother, defensive coordinator Rob Ryan, coached one of the worst defenses in NFL history in New Orleans last year.  Now Ryan takes over a defense that plummeted from a no. 4 yardage ranking in 2014 to 19th in 2015 as sacks dropped from 54 to 21.  Top two draft choices Shaq Lawson (Clemson), Reggie Ragland (Alabama) are expected to contribute in the sacks department immediately.

Offensive coordinator Greg Roman crafted a Super Bowl caliber offense Read more



Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots New York Jets Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the NFC North

07.18.2016     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in this space, when I previewed the AFC North, there wasn’t a whole lot that I liked in the division.  If I’m going to put an AFC North win total in my pocket, it’s not going to be on an over wager!  But that’s most assuredly not the case in the NFC North, where several teams – including a Super Bowl contender – have the feeling of an undervalued commodity at this stage of the offseason.

Let’s start with the Chicago Bears who are lined at 7 or 7.5 wins; a legitimate split line.  Bettors shopping around for the best price on the Bears (over or under) should remember the standard rule of thumb for converting juice into wins with mid-range totals (teams lined between 6.5 and 9.5 wins). Fifty cents of juice equates to about a half win.  If you like the over, an over 7 -140 trumps over 7.5 at +100.  If you like under, under 7.5 -140 trumps under 7 at +100.

Last year, the Bears went 6-10 SU, 8-8 ATS and 8-8 O/U.  Their mainstream stats were indicative of a sub .500 squad: ranked 21st in total offense, #14 in total defense, #22 in yards per play differential Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC North

07.05.2016     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve already previewed four NFL Divisions throughout the hot summer months – we’re at the halfway point; with four more divisional previews still to come.  Let’s continue the process this week with an early breakdown of the AFC North. As always, teams are listed in alphabetical order within the division.

The Baltimore Ravens had been a model of consistency throughout the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco eras...until last year.  Baltimore suffered through an injury riddled disaster of a campaign, finishing with a 5-11 SU, 5-9-2 ATS mark, while going 7-9 O/U.  By the end of the season a franchise record 20 different players were on injured reserve.  It’s worth noting that the Ravens switched their field surface this past offseason, at least in part due to all of those injuries last year, replacing the field turf with natural grass for 2016.

The betting markets are expecting a significant Ravens bounceback this year, lining Baltimore as an 8.5 win team for 2016 (there are a handful of books that have Baltimore lined at 8 wins with juice to the over).  A quick look at their mainstream stats from last Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals Teddy Covers



10

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October

18


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 18, 2017 08:44 PM.