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September

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Sportsbooks get crushed in Week 15

12.21.2015     09:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsbooks around Las Vegas reported shorter lines and reduced handle on Sunday.  Bettors around town were short on cash due to the holidays, but also due to the fact that the books beat the public over the first two weeks of December.  But that certainly wasn’t the case this week!

On Sunday, just about every major NFL decision went in favor of the bettors, not the house, and the books took an absolute beating.  Public favorites cashed in game after game.  The Patriots covered -14.5 against the Titans.  The Seahawks covered -14.5 against the Browns.  The Packers covered -4 against the Raiders.  Most Steelers bettors cashed when Pittsburgh rallied to win by a TD, even though the line closed at -7.5 in many locations.  The Chargers beat up on Miami.  And Arizona hammered Philly on Sunday Night.  The only major decision that went in favor of the house was when the Giants stormed back from a four TD deficit to cover the spread against Carolina.

These quotes from Matt Youmans' excellent article in the Las Vegas Review Journal tell the story from the bookmaker perspective.  William Hill sportsbook director Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Las Vegas Bowl Betting Preview: BYU Cougars vs. Utah Utes

12.17.2015     07:53 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas Bowl
BYU vs. Utah
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Utah -2.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Utah -2.5 O/U 51.5
Recommendation: BYU

Utah has been drawing significant support in recent bowl games, in large part due to Kyle Whiitingham’s impressive track record: 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in his eight bowls with the Utes.  They blew out Colorado State 45-10 last year.  And bettors certainly haven’t forgotten outright bowl upsets against the likes of Alabama, Cal, and Georgia Tech (twice) in the Whiitingham era.

The Utes have also enjoyed great success in recent seasons against their in-state rival.  The Utes have won each of the last four meetings since 2010 – three tight victories by a touchdown or less, and a 54-10 wipeout in Provo back in 2011. The two teams didn’t meet in the regular season this year, making this matchup a highly anticipated revenge meeting for the slight underdog.

For many of these minor bowls, motivation is a key element of the handicap.  That’s most assuredly not the case in this game.  These two programs Read more



Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Utah Utes PAC-12 Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL quarterback situations late season theme for bettors

12.14.2015     10:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL is a quarterback driven league, and QB play (both good and bad) was the difference in the vast majority of games played this past weekend.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take an overview of some of the ongoing QB situations in the NFL.  The goal?  Identify undervalued and overvalued quarterbacks (and therefore, teams) to wager on or against during the stretch run of the season. 

Let’s start with the biggest injury of the weekend, when Cincinnati Bengals star Andy Dalton went down with a thumb injury after making a tackle following a red zone interception on the Bengals first drive.  Dalton has developed a well-deserved reputation as a bet-on QB in the regular season, despite his repeated postseason failures.  This has been, by far, his best year as a pro.  Dalton had a 106.3 QB rating when he got hurt, well above his previous career best of 88.8.  He’d thrown a career low seven interceptions and averaged a career high 8.4 yards per attempt, spreading the ball around to Cinci’s bevy of skill position weapons.  It’s an impact injury, for sure!

Former Alabama QB AJ Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: BYU staff will coach bowl game despite move to Virginia

12.10.2015     08:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
BYU's coaching situation continues to interest us as Bronco Mendenhall announced that he'll be taking three assistants with him to Virginia. This includes offensive coordinator Robert Anae who was somewhat miffed he wasn't on the university's radar to take over for Mendenhall. And then you have another "popular" assistant who was left behind because there was "no room" on the new UVA staff. Despite all of the drama, the staff will remain in place for BYU's Las Vegas Bowl matchup vs. Utah.

 

“I’m very proud of the work we did at BYU with the offense after many challenges we faced and I’m excited to have this bunch (coaches) follow me to the new opportunity.”






Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Utah Utes Mountain West




College Football Betting: Utah felt it deserved better than Las Vegas Bowl

12.09.2015     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Utah doesn't sound all that excited to be playing in the Las Vegas Bowl for the second straight year despite drawing in-state rival BYU. Head coach Kyle Whittingham felt his team deserved a more high profile bowl. Oregon, who the Utes crushed in Eugene, drew a berth in the Alamo Bowl vs. No. 11 TCU on January 2.


"We had the best record in the South, overall, and the second-best record in the conference overall — were tied with Oregon but we beat them head-to-head — so that being the case, and then being in the sixth bowl, that was, that was unique," he said. "So we'll leave it at that, I guess."






Tags: College Football Utah Utes PAC-12 BYU Cougars




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC News, Notes, and Quotes

12.07.2015     10:21 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFC Playoff picture got a whole lot clearer following Week 13, as numerous contenders took a hit.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take a look at some notes and quotes from a handful of those losers from Sunday in an effort to gauge their competitive spirit moving forward.

Let’s start in New Jersey, where the New York Giants just lost four the fourth time in their last five games.  This time, the G-Men blew a double digit fourth quarter lead against the Jets, losing in overtime when Josh Brown missed his first field goal attempt in 26 tries this season.  Six of the Giants seven losses have come in winnable games; by six points or less, and this defeat marked the fifth time this season that they’ve blown a fourth quarter lead.

Some of the criticism is downright ridiculous.  Head coach Tom Coughlin is taking ‘Monday Morning Quarterback’ type heat for his decision to go for it on fourth and two from the Jets four yard line with under nine minutes to play in regulation.  Eli Manning threw an interception on the play; the Jets seized the momentum and went on to win the game. 

But Read more



Tags: NFL New York Giants St. Louis Rams Chicago Bears Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 13 consensus picks

12.06.2015     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus picks for Week 13 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. SEATTLE pk vs. Minnesota
2. HOUSTON +3.5 at Buffalo
3. NEW ORLEANS +7 vs. Carolina
4. NY GIANTS +2.5 at NY Jets
5. KANSAS CITY -2.5 vs. Oakland

Least picked Sunday side: Jacksonville +2.5 at Tennessee.




Tags: NFL




NFL Betting News: Las Vegas sportsbooks breathe sign of relief after Ravens' MNF win

12.01.2015     06:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Funny how these things tend to work out. Heading into last night's Baltimore-Cleveland game, a few Las Vegas sportsbooks were reporting a comical imbalance of money on the Browns. Cleveland opened at a pick 'em offshore and -1.5 in Las Vegas and closed -6. The Ravens of course blocked the potential game winning field goal and took it to the house for outright win. Perhaps a lesson that when someone's reporting 99% of the action is one side, it's probably wise to take a gander at the team that has “no chance.”


"It'll easily be the biggest Monday night decision of the year," Rood said. "It's just a huge, huge decision."

"We have a ton of money on Cleveland," Simbal said Sunday night. "In fact, 99.3 percent of the money is on Cleveland so far."






Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Cleveland Browns Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Analyzing the NFL Playoff contenders

11.30.2015     11:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There’s one thing that has become very clear to me as the NFL season enters the December stretch run following another week of wild finishes and head scratching upsets.  The 2015 season is an ode to mediocrity.  You’re not going to find many (any?) truly elite teams. 
With the Patriots ongoing injury woes, when it comes to the elites at this stage of the campaign, there are only three teams I’d even consider: the Panthers, Cardinals and Bengals.  And all three of those teams have enough question marks to put them a good notch or two below where my top power rated teams were last year or the year before at this stage of the campaign.

It’s a similar story at the bottom of the league.  I’ve got eight teams grouped at the bottom of my power ratings: the 49ers, Chargers, Ravens, Titans, Browns, Saints, Jaguars and Rams.  All eight of those teams, while unquestionably weak, are capable of pulling upsets over playoff contenders, because they’ve all done it at least once this year. 

San Fran has wins over the Vikings and Falcons (still a playoff team if the season ended today).  San Diego Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 12 consensus picks

11.29.2015     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 12 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. TAMPA BAY +3.5 at Indianapolis
2. PITTSBURGH +3.5 at Seattle
3. MINNESOTA pk at Atlanta
4. DENVER +3 vs. New England
5. CLEVELAND -2.5 vs. Baltimore

Least picked Sunday side: NY Jets -3.5 vs. Miami




Tags: NFL



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September

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