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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the NFC North

07.18.2016     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in this space, when I previewed the AFC North, there wasn’t a whole lot that I liked in the division.  If I’m going to put an AFC North win total in my pocket, it’s not going to be on an over wager!  But that’s most assuredly not the case in the NFC North, where several teams – including a Super Bowl contender – have the feeling of an undervalued commodity at this stage of the offseason.

Let’s start with the Chicago Bears who are lined at 7 or 7.5 wins; a legitimate split line.  Bettors shopping around for the best price on the Bears (over or under) should remember the standard rule of thumb for converting juice into wins with mid-range totals (teams lined between 6.5 and 9.5 wins). Fifty cents of juice equates to about a half win.  If you like the over, an over 7 -140 trumps over 7.5 at +100.  If you like under, under 7.5 -140 trumps under 7 at +100.

Last year, the Bears went 6-10 SU, 8-8 ATS and 8-8 O/U.  Their mainstream stats were indicative of a sub .500 squad: ranked 21st in total offense, #14 in total defense, #22 in yards per play differential Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC North

07.05.2016     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve already previewed four NFL Divisions throughout the hot summer months – we’re at the halfway point; with four more divisional previews still to come.  Let’s continue the process this week with an early breakdown of the AFC North. As always, teams are listed in alphabetical order within the division.

The Baltimore Ravens had been a model of consistency throughout the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco eras...until last year.  Baltimore suffered through an injury riddled disaster of a campaign, finishing with a 5-11 SU, 5-9-2 ATS mark, while going 7-9 O/U.  By the end of the season a franchise record 20 different players were on injured reserve.  It’s worth noting that the Ravens switched their field surface this past offseason, at least in part due to all of those injuries last year, replacing the field turf with natural grass for 2016.

The betting markets are expecting a significant Ravens bounceback this year, lining Baltimore as an 8.5 win team for 2016 (there are a handful of books that have Baltimore lined at 8 wins with juice to the over).  A quick look at their mainstream stats from last Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the NFC South

06.27.2016     09:11 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Continuing my summertime tour through the eight NFL divisions, this week, I’ll be taking an in-depth look at the four NFC South teams.  As always, teams are listed in alphabetical order within the division.

The Atlanta Falcons (lined at 7 or 7.5 wins for 2016, depending on the book) went 6-1 SU to open the season last year, but stumbled down the stretch with a 2-7 finish, finishing the season with an improved, yet still disappointing 8-8 SU record.  They were money losers (6-10 ATS, including a 2-10 slide to close out the campaign) despite their two win improvement from 2014 to 2015.  That came on the heels of a two win improvement (from four to six victories) from 2013 to 2014. 

The Falcons mainstream stats show one clear weakness from 2015, despite facing one of the easier scheduled in the NFL last year.  Their 30 giveaways ranked among the bottom five teams in the NFL at avoiding turnovers.  They finished +0.0 yards per play, (obviously) right at the league average with the #7 ranked offense and the #16 ranked defense based on yardage numbers.   Both coordinators return from last year’s Read more



Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints Teddy Covers




SuperContest no longer 100 percent payback

06.27.2016     09:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Due to growth, the world famous NFL SuperContest will no longer offer a 100 percent payback. Instead, the Westgate will take 8 percent to cover the cost of running the contest.


“I know it’s not something that’s looked upon in a positive way, but we just can’t have a loss leader,” Kornegay said. “We’re not looking to make it profitable, but we’re trying to cover our expenses. We thought this number is fair.”

“We reviewed the contest over the offseason, and the numbers were not really flattering,” Kornegay said. “When we had 400 contestants, it wasn’t that big of a deal. But as it escalated in growth the past four or five years, the costs have really grown.”






Tags: NFL Las Vegas




College Football Betting Preview Podcast 6-23-2016: Alabama Crimson Tide

06.23.2016     10:14 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured handicapper Drew Martin. Drew took a look at the Alabama Crimson Tide who last season won their fourth National Championship in seven years.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO DREW'S ANALYSIS

Date: 6/23
Handicapper: Drew Martin
Team: Alabama Crimson Tide
2015 Record: 14-1 SU, 8-7 ATS, 6-9 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 9.5ov-140
Odds to Win Title: +700
Odds to Win SEC West: +105
Odds to Win SEC: +175
Week 1 Line: Alabama -10 vs. USC (Arlington)

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Drew Martin




NFL Betting Preview Podcast 6-22-2016: Seattle Seahawks

06.22.2016     10:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy took a look at the Seattle Seahawks who finished last season 10-6 and lost to Carolina in the Divisional Round of the Playoffs.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 6/22
Handicapper: Teddy Covers
Team: Seattle Seahawks
2015-16 Record: 10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS, 7-9 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 10.5ov-140
Odds to Win NFC: +485
Odds to Win NFC West: -115
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +875
Week 1 Line: Seattle -8 vs. Miami

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




MLB newest league to consider Las Vegas for expansion

06.22.2016     08:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
What is with everyone wanting to set up shop with a professional sports team in Las Vegas? The NHL is giving it a go, the Oakland Raiders are efforting, and now MLB is saying it "would not disqualify" Sin City -- whatever that means.


“I think the whole, ‘You can’t go to Vegas because there are casinos there,’ we passed that by a long time ago. There’s casinos all over the place. I see Las Vegas as a viable alternative. I would not disqualify it just because of the gambling issue.”






Tags: MLB NHL NFL Las Vegas




NFL Betting Preview Podcast 6-21-2016: San Francisco 49ers

06.21.2016     10:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy took a look at the San Francisco 49ers who finished last season 5-11. Former Philadelphia Eagles head coach Chip Kelly and an entirely new coaching staff takes over.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 6/21
Handicapper: Teddy Covers
Team: San Francisco 49ers
2015-16 Record: 5-11 SU, 7-9 ATS, 7-9 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 5.5un-120
Odds to Win NFC: +4500
Odds to Win NFC West: +2100
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +10000
Week 1 Line: San Francisco +2 vs. Los Angeles

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC South

06.20.2016     01:50 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll continue my summer series, breaking down one NFL division each week.  This week, it’s time to take an in-depth look at the four teams from the AFC South, with some very early leans regarding their expected improvement or decline in 2016.  As always, within the division, I’ll list the teams in alphabetical order (NOT in predicted order of finish).

The Houston Texans went 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS and 9-7 to the Over last year.  They won the AFC South for one reason and one reason only – Andrew Luck got hurt, allowing the Texans to dominate the rest of their division rivals with a 5-1 mark.  They only beat two teams with a winning record – Cinci on a bad Andy Dalton day, and the Jets, when New York was slumping midseason in the midst of a 1-4 stretch.  The Texans defense was clearly their strong point, finishing with the #3 stop unit in the NFL based on mainstream stats.  It is worth noting how healthy that defense was, losing only eleven games from their starters all season!

Houston’s 2016 schedule is a good notch or two tougher than it was last Read more



Tags: NFL Houston Texas Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




NHL yet to mention anything about betting on Las Vegas' expansion team

06.16.2016     10:17 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Now that the NHL has approved an expansion team in Las Vegas, everyone is waiting to hear what the league will say about local sportsbooks taking wagers on their games. So far, it hasn't come up, though the NHL has plenty of time (over a year) to raise a stink about it. 


“I haven’t had any conversations with the NHL, and it would certainly be out of the ordinary if that were to occur,” Chairman of the Nevada Gaming Control Board A.G. Burnett said Tuesday. “It seems to me that a lot of the sports leagues are seeing that professional sports can thrive without any issues in a well-regulated betting environment.”

“I certainly would be disappointed if they submitted that request,” Kornegay said. “I believe we would be sending the wrong message by doing so. I think it would be best for the games to be on the board. How awkward

Read more



Tags: NHL Las Vegas



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 18, 2017 02:01 AM.