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January

30

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College Football Handicapping: Preseason Power Ratings

08.06.2013     06:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As most of you in the markets know, CRIS posted Week One lines for college football this past weekend. Those lines have had time to move…as sharp action has hit the offshore board. That’s helped solidify how “the market” sees the 2013 college football season in the days leading up to everyone’s openers.

I’ve used those “improved” lines (oddsmakers openers plus sharp influence) to update our first crack at estimated Power Ratings. First, I’ll run through the top 10 or so, which will give you a chance to compare them to preseason polls. Then, I’ll go through each board conference. Again, these aren’t how I would personally rate the teams. This is my guess at how “the market” as a composite has the teams rated on a standard Power Ratings scale. You regulars know that I typically stick “championship caliber” at 85 and work down from that. This year’s Alabama squad is seen as a bit better than Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Alert: Hawaii fires offensive coordinator

08.02.2013     03:44 PM     Printer Friendly
Well this isn't good. Hawaii head coach Norm Chow just fired offensive coordinator Aaron Price. Price was hired back in February. Chow said "some issues have arisen" and the team was moving forward. Hawaii opens the season as a 22.5-point underdog vs. USC.



Tags: College Football Hawaii Warriors Mountain West




Reno sportsbook shades line for local team

08.01.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Reno's Peppermill Sportsbook opened Nevada's regular season over/under wins at 4.5 – a very opinionated numbered compared to other books. Due to the influx of over money, they've since moved their number to 5.5. According to Peppermill's sportsbook director, the low opener was by design so that local fans could bet their team over. 5Dimes has the Wolf Pack lined at 6.5un-185 or 5.5ov-165.



Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack Mountain West




College Football Betting: Mountain West Conference preview

07.18.2013     08:05 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Mountain West Conference Preview

Quarterback Driven League: The starting quarterback play in this conference is as deep and as talented as it has ever been. Returnees Derek Carr (Fresno State), David Fales (San Jose State), Cody Fajardo (Nevada), Chuckie Keeton (Utah State), Brett Smith (Wyoming), Nick Sherry (U.N.L.V.) Joe Southwick (Boise State) and Conner Smith all figure to either equal or increase their team’s offensive production of last season.

New Head Coaches: Nevada, San Jose State and Utah State will all have new head coaches this season. Utah State promoted from within as last season’s OC Matt Wells takes over and their transition should be seamless. The schemes remain in pace on each side of the ball and play during the spring practice session drew solid reviews from HC Wells. While the base systems will remain the same, the coordinators are new. OC Kevin McGiven was the OC at Montana State LY while DC Todd Orlando held the same position at Florida international LY.

At Nevada, Brian Polian takes over for Wolfpack legendary HC Chris Ault. Read more


Tags: CFB MWC Rob Veno




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: College Football Season O/U Wins

07.08.2013     10:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The college football betting market matures slowly over the summer months compared to the NFL betting marketplace.  We’ve had NFL Week 1 lines and College Football Game of the Year lines since May, both here in Vegas and offshore.  The NFL season win market wasn’t far behind, with most of the leading indicator sportsbooks standing knee deep in season win wagers by the second week of July.

But with 125 FBS teams on the betting board, the sportsbooks take more time doing their homework and research before posting a bevy of NCAA Football lines for the upcoming season.   The Golden Nugget was the first to market with their Games of the Year lines last month. 

The first college football season win numbers were posted offshore less than two weeks ago, with the 5Dimes sportsbook emerging as the global market leaders for 2013.  Here in Vegas, we’re not far away from heavyweights Cantor Gaming, the LVH Superbook and William Hill posting their first NCAA win totals.

College win totals are a very different animal compared to the NFL.  You don’t see many NFL pointspreads higher than -14, and even that is a Read more


Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings (w/ Mid-Majors)

06.26.2013     10:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I know I promised some baseball for the late Tuesday report. Ended up spending the evening logging college football stuff out of Athlon. Turned into quite the filibuster! So it's midnight ET, and it's probably better to just tweak a prior football report. I re-checked the "Game of the Year" lines from the Golden Nugget so I could add in the mid-majors that were missed in the earlier estimate of market power ratings.

Mid-Majors (the handful mentioned in GOY lines)

Boise State 68 (Mountain West)

Tulsa 63 (Conference USA)

San Diego State 60 (Mountain West)

Navy 55 (Independent)

Nevada 53 (Mountain West)

Colorado State 50 (Mountain West)

Southern Miss 49 (Conference USA)

UNLV 48 (Mountain West)

Central Michigan 47 (MAC)

Army 46 (Independent)

We have a few new readers and twitter followers (@jefffogle) Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




Sports Betting Podcast 6-26-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Alf Musketa

06.26.2013     10:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Alf Musketa. Rob talked about changes to the Mountain West Conference, Ian broke down every game for Week 1 of the CFL, and Alf discussed PGA and Wimbledon.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - College Football Mountain West

Ian Cameron - Canadian Football League Week 1

Alf Musketa - PGA and Tennis

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football CFL PGA Rob Veno Ian Cameron Alf Musketa




College Football Betting: Can West Virginia's Travel Woes Be Exploited in Golden Nugget GOY's?

06.12.2013     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I haven’t even begun to prepare for college football yet, beyond that effort to reverse-engineer Power Ratings from the early “Game of the Year” lines that were posted at the Golden Nugget a few days ago. I was trying to remember if there were any notable tendencies from last year that might be vulnerable to early betting against those numbers…and the midseason collapse of West Virginia in Big 12 play came to mind.

West Virginia 2012:

*Had no idea what to do in the wind at Texas Tech

*Wore down physically from their new league’s aggressive up-tempo play

*Was exposed as weak defensively and on special teams tackling

*Only beat the league’s two worst teams (Kansas and Iowa State) in their last 8 games (counting bowl)

West Virginia 2013:

*Has to rebuild its offense almost entirely

*Can’t be optimistic about defense because offensive-minded coaches Read more


Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: A bettor's guide to the American Athletic Conference

06.10.2013     01:52 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Raise your hand if you are up to speed on the details of the newly formed American Athletic Conference. No? Either were we until about five minutes ago, a couple of Google searches, and of course our good pal Wikipedia. For the upcoming 2013 college football season, the AAC will include 10 teams: Cincinnati, UConn, Houston, Louisville, Memphis, Rutgers, SMU, USF, Temple, and UFC. To add to the confusion, in 2014, Louisville will head to the ACC, Rutgers is bailing to the Big Ten, and East Carolina, Tulane, and Tulsa will join the AAC.

This year, each team will play eight conference games. Below are the games that will not be played due to the eight-game slate.

Cincinnati/UCF
UConn/Houston
Louisville/SMU
Memphis/Rutgers
Temple/USF

Like the Big East, all ten teams will have three bye weeks (Temple and Houston technically have two with Dec. 7 and "open date”). It will be interesting to see how the former C-USA schools handle the time off. Houston, SMU, and UCF had only one bye week last year. Also note that for this season, the AAC Read more


Tags: College Football




College Football Betting: Know your conference realignment

06.10.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We have a ways to go until the college football season but bettors would be wise to familiarize themselves with all of the conference realignments. Here is a brief overview of the changes...

Sun Belt Defectors - Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, North Texas, and UT-San Antonio are all headed to the C-USA.

Sun Belt Newbies - Georgia State and Texas State will join the Sun Belt.

Introducing The American - Essentially a combination of the Big East and C-USA. East Carolina, Tulane, Tulsa and Navy will join next year. This year's league will feature 10 teams: Cincinnati, UConn, Houston, Louisville, Memphis, Rutgers, SMU, USF, Temple, and UCF.

Indie - Idaho and New Mexico State will play as Independents.

Mountain West Newbies - San Jose State and Utah State left the now defunct WAC for the Mountain West.

Big East to ACC - Syracuse and Pitt left the now defunct Big East for the ACC.

Transition - Georgia Southern, Appalachian State, and Old Dominion will being their Read more


Tags: College Football



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jan 30, 2015 03:14 PM.