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College Football Betting Recap: SDSU's Long accurately predicts meltdown
10.31.2011 08:28 AM
Printer Friendly
UPDATE
On Friday we posted some quotes from San Diego State head coach Rocky Long on how he felt Saturday's game against Wyoming was a potential letdown situation for his team. He couldn't have handicapped it any better. A clear case of a bye week being a negative as
SDSU came out sluggish
against what was thought to be an inferior opponent. On the other hand, the Cowboys, who also came in off of a bye, were well prepared, and jumped out to a 30-13 halftime lead. The Aztecs woke up in the second half, forced Wyoming to punt on its first eight possessions and held them scoreless. But it wasn't enough as Wyoming (+18.5) hung on for a 30-27 win and improved to 5-2 (2-0 Mountain West) while San Diego State dropped to 4-3 (1-2 MW). Another sketchy situation this weekend with the Aztecs laying over five touchdowns against bottom feeder New Mexico.
"Obviously, in preparing for the game, we didn't show them the right
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Tags:
College Football
San Diego State Aztecs
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West
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NCAAF Handicapper Free Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
10.29.2011 07:39 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
West Virginia
at
Rutgers
+6.5 O/U 49.5
Recommendation: Rutgers
Rutgers has two losses so far this season. Those two losses – on the road at North Carolina and on the road at Louisville – have come by a combined total of four points. The Scarlet Knights offensive weaknesses make them a poor choice as a favorite, but make no mistake about it – this is a defensive minded ‘find a way to compete’ type of ballclub; exactly what this bettor looks for from his home underdogs.
Rutgers frosh QB Gary Nova is coming off his worst game at the collegiate level. Head coach Greg Schiano doesn’t expect any carryover effect this week, and he thinks the Scarlet Knights are primed to start connecting on some of their downfield shots in the passing game. “We have not hit the home run, period, very much. That’s something we’re lacking as an offense, and I think that’s why we’re not scoring enough points.
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Tags:
College Football
West Virginia Mountaineers
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Big East
Teddy Covers
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College Football Pointspread Notes: SDSU's Long leery of letdown vs. Wyoming
10.28.2011 12:24 PM
Printer Friendly
Wyoming
at
San Diego State
-18 O/U 57
San Diego State head coach Rocky Long and the betting markets aren't in agreement for Saturday's game vs. Wyoming. Long seems
awfully concerned
that his team may not get up for upcoming games against the Cowboys, New Mexico, and Colorado State. Bettors haven't been nearly as leery, hammering the Aztecs up from an opener of -14.5 to -18 (-19 at Jazz, Hilton). Also note than earlier this week, only 25,000 tickets had been distributed for the game. Qualcomm Stadium holds over 70,000 and SDSU drew 44,000 against TCU.
“Hopefully we’ve matured and we’re smart enough not to fall for it, but it is a concern, yeah,” said Long, SDSU’s head coach.
"I’m nervous about the game a little bit," Long said.
“There’s so much more to a team
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NCAAF Betting Alert: Totals moving down because of East Coast weather
10.28.2011 09:14 AM
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Seeing some totals movement for a couple of East Coast game with dicey weather forecasts. Illinois-Penn State was bet down to 39.5. West Virginia-Rutgers down from 54 to 53. And Boston College-Maryland from 51.5 to as low as 50 (Grande). Weather reports courtesy of
Sports Options
. Be sure to double check tomorrow morning.
Piscataway: CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWERS. NORTHEAST WIND 12-17, GUSTY. KICKOFF TEMP 42, WIND CHILL 34
State College: CLOUDY, 70% CHANCE SNOW. NORTH WIND 11-16. KICKOFF TEMP 35, WIND CHILL 26 SNOWFALL MAY BE 2-4 INCHES; SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN
College Park: MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE RAIN EARLY. NORTHWEST WIND 12-17. KICKOFF TEMP 41, WIND CHILL 33 RAIN MAY BE MIXED WITH WET SNOW
From Rob Veno:
Also include the Virginia Tech-Duke and Tulane-East Carolina games to the weather watch. Even though it won't rain during the games, it will rain right up until game time and then winds are expected to pick up – wet fields with wind and three of the four are passing teams. I was going to play both (15* ECU over) but removed them from the card.
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College Football Pointspread Preview: BYU Cougars at TCU Horned Frogs
10.27.2011 01:28 PM
Otto Sports
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Submitted by Otto Sports
BYU
at
TCU
(Friday, 5 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opener:
TCU -12 O/U 55.5
CRIS Current:
TCU -13.5 O/U 56
Rob Veno Power Rating:
TCU -11
Marty Otto’s Betting Take:
I’m not sure I buy into the notion that BYU’s offense is growing. Sure, since the switch to quarterback Riley Nelson the Cougars have enjoyed a nice string of wins and points (41 ppg). But look at that schedule and you’ll notice it’s littered with abysmal defensive teams; San Jose State and Oregon State are tied for 83rd nationally in scoring defense while Idaho State ranks 105th in the FCS. I’d say this team hasn’t been tested in the slightest and any perceived improvement may be premature.
Granted, TCU’s defense looked as bad as any in the country in its Week 1 loss to Baylor. Quarterback Robert Griffin torched the Horned Frogs and the track
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NCAAF Betting Previews: West Virginia at Syracuse, NC State at Virginia
10.21.2011 09:05 AM
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Submitted by
Here are some game notes, analysis and ATS profiles for your review and interest in this week’s college football action. As always, check injuries, weather, stat profiles and understand the emotional motivation for each contest.
West Virginia
-14 at
Syracuse
O/U 59 (Friday)
West Virginia is on 15-6 ATS run in Big East road games including 5-0 SU/ATS at this site. Visitor has covered six-straight in series. Syracuse is 1-4 ATS this season with its lone cover a fortunate one in OT as touchdown favorites over Wake Forest in Week 1. The Orange upset the Mountaineers last year as a big +13.5 point underdog. Value side may point to Syracuse based on results, but can they slow a WVU offense that has gained at least 480 yards in each of its last five games? The Orange pass defense is currently allowing over 290 passing ypg.
NC State
at
Virginia
-5.5 O/U 52
Value side in this ACC game lies with the Wolfpack, who would have been favored
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NCAAF Betting Notes: UNLV's Hauck goes with back-up QB vs. Wyoming
10.12.2011 02:18 PM
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UNLV
at
Wyoming
-10.5 O/U 56.5
After showing signs of life with an upset win over Hawaii, UNLV looked absolutely awful in back-to-back blowout losses to Southern Utah and Nevada. In hopes of reenergizing the team, second-year head coach Bobby Hauck announced that
Sean Reilly will start at quarterback
this weekend at Wyoming. Reilly is in his first year after playing at Saddleback Junior College. He was reportedly outplayed by Caleb Henning during the preseason which probably isn’t a good thing. The good news is Reilly goes up against an extremely soft Wyoming pass defense that allowed 74% pass completions, 230 yards and five touchdowns in last week's 63-19 loss to Utah State. UNLV is now 0-10 SU on the road under Hauck, with an average margin of defeat of 36.6 points.
"Basically, Caleb's working hard, trying as hard as he can, and right
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College Football Handicapping: Red flags for Bowling Green defensive line
10.12.2011 11:28 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
I’m going to focus in this week on some trench play inside the MAC which generally gets overlooked by most college football observers. There has been one very disturbing situation going on that is certainly worth noting and more importantly, applicable for this weekend’s game.
Bowling Green’s defensive line play has been abysmal in allowed 711 rushing yards the past two weeks. The most concerning piece to these miserable performances is that neither of the opponents, West Virginia or Western Michigan, had any semblance of a ground game prior to playing the Falcons.
The Mountaineers were becoming extremely worried about their rushing attack which had only accounted for 16.7% of the team’s total yardage after their first four games. Then, out of the blue, they get a 360-yard effort against BG (7.8 per carry) which was spearheaded by freshman running back Dustin Garrison’s 291 yards. West Virginia gained more rushing yards in that one game than they had in their four previous games combined (306). This result led WVA, their fan base, and the entire college football nation to believe that the Mountaineers’ rushing issues were
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NCAAF Betting Notes: Air Force defensive line main source of team woes
10.12.2011 06:46 AM
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San Diego State
at
Air Force
-6 O/U 58.5
We mentioned last week that the
loss of defensive coordinator Tim DeRuyter
had an impact on the decline of the unit. Adding to that has been the
large number of key injuries
. The Falcons typically use a three-man front and all three Week 1 starters are currently out. That is without question the main reason the team ranks dead last nationally in rush defense (235.2 ypg). Head coach Troy Calhoun has been forced to play some freshmen; a rarity as basic training and the complexity of schemes is often too overwhelming. San Diego State ran for 209 yards (7.2 ypc) in last year's 27-25 win. Last week, Notre Dame scored 59 points and averaged 9.2 ypc.
“We
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College Football LIVE In-Game Betting Blog 10/8/2011
10.08.2011 07:07 AM
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Second half kick-off list
That will wrap up today's action. Thanks for following. Good luck with tonight's games.
(3:45 PT) Remember how Virginia Tech's "easy" schedule was going to lead to a 11-1 or 12-0 record. Hokies down 35-31 to Miami with 2 and change left. When was the last time VT lost two straight home games?
(3:36 PT)
Rob Veno recommends Idaho Over 24.5 2nd half.
(3:15 PT) NFL line move alert: Bengals getting hammered, now favored -1 at Jacksonville.
(2:55 PT) Arizona scores two TDs in 8 seconds to cut lead to 30-20 at Oregon State.
(2:50 PT) As just as we say that, McGloin tosses a pick in the end zone. Awful.
(2:43 PT) Penn State opens second half with Boldin, which results in nothing. McGloin, who is 11-of-16, then comes in and all of a sudden the Nittany Lions are moving the football. Makes no sense.
(2:33 PT)
Rob Veno recommends Nevada/UNLV Over 28
1st half
.
(2:08 PT)
Teddy Covers recommends Arizona -2 2nd half.
(2:06 PT)
Rob Veno recommends Missouri -3.5 2nd half.
(2:03 PT)
Teddy Covers recommends Arizona State -0.5 2nd half.
(2:02 PT)
Erin Rynning recommends Penn State Over 21 2nd half.
(2:00 PT) Greatest
box score
EVER...if you have favorite/over parlay.
(1:52 PT) Central Michigan 15-of-17 passing in first half vs. NC State. 8.3 yards per play. Wolfpack lead 21-17.
(1:49 PT) NFL line move alert: Jets hit fairly hard, down
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