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May

23

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College Football Betting: USC will play two quarterbacks vs. Hawaii

08.27.2013     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
USC -21.5 at Hawaii O/U 53.5

Here we are with yet another team determined to start the season with a two quarterback system. According to USC head coach Lane Kiffin Max Wittek and Cody Kessler will both see time during Thursday's game at Hawaii.


"That really is how well both guys did," Kiffin told reporters after practice. "For us, we look at it as a great thing. We've got two guys that we feel great about. We don't feel like we have to limit our offense with either one of them in there."

"They've both done so well, made so many plays," Kiffin said. "It didn't show itself that one guy was above the other guy, so we do it all the time with other positions. We're not going to be stubborn and name a starter just because we're

Read more



Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12 Hawaii Warriors Mountain West




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 8/26/13

08.26.2013     02:08 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’ve seen some early week line movements for the debut of college football in 2013 this Thursday. I’ve tweaked our estimated Power Ratings from a few weeks ago as a result.

The numbers you see below assume 3 points for home field advantage. I create a couplet for each game based on the market spread adjusted for home field (or, left alone in the case of neutral site games), then try to place that couplet on “the big board” scale. So…if a team is a 12-point favorite on a neutral field, I make sure those teams are 12 points apart…then try to figure out where they would logically sit in the big picture based on last year’s final numbers…offseason changes…early numbers in the “game of the year” stuff in Vegas for upcoming matchups…etc. If a team is a 12-point favorite at home, then I make sure those teams are 9 points apart.
 
(If you're wondering why I use a universal 3 points for home field Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling Preview: LSU Tigers vs. TCU Horned Frogs

08.26.2013     12:46 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LSU vs. TCU
Marty Otto's Recommendation:
LSU
Saturday, 6 pm PT - ESPN (at Cowboys Stadium)
CRIS Opener:
LSU -3 O/U 50.5
CRIS Current: LSU -4 O/U 50

This is one of the marquee games of college football’s opening week and it’s being played on a monster stage. It’s Saturday night, on ESPN primetime, at massive Cowboys Stadium. The Tigers currently find themselves as 4-point favorites and I wouldn’t expect them to go off at anything less than that number barring a major suspension or injury.

Coaching
Les Miles enters his ninth season as head coach at LSU. His teams have managed to win at least 10 games in each of the last three years and in six of his previous eight seasons. John Chavis remains as the defensive coordinator. Cam Cameron is the new offensive coordinator after a long stint in the NFL.

TCU head coach Gary Patterson has been at the helm for 13 years Read more



Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC TCU Horned Frogs Big XII Otto Sports




College Football Betting: With Ault gone, Nevada plans on tweaking offense

08.26.2013     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After 28 years as a head coach, Nevada's Chris Ault decided to step aside this past offseason. The Wolf Pack brought in Brian Polian who served as a special teams coach at Notre Dame, Stanford, and Texas A&M. Nick Rolovich is back for his second season as offensive coordinator. According to Rolovich, Ault called most of the plays last season. Nevada ran the ball 62% of the time but plans on expanding the passing game more with quarterback Cody Fajardo (2,786 yards, 67%, 20 TDs, 9 INTs).


“We’re going to put a little bit more on the quarterback in terms of, he will have options on certain plays — he can do this or he can do that. And certainly we’ve expanded the passing game a little bit and that’s Nick’s influence. The core beliefs of what we do, that won’t change. But there will be wrinkles.”

“Coach Ault definitely called the majority of the plays,” Rolovich said. “We talked mostly during the week on

Read more



Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack Mountain West




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Identifying College Football ATS Outliers

08.26.2013     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
College football season kicks off on Thursday Night.  By Labor Day, we’ll have seen 88 teams play other FBS opponents and another 31 teams play FCS foes, available for betting at many top books on the extra games board.  How important are those Week 1 results when we project forward?  What about Week 2 and Week 3? Read on to find out!

Twenty-six college football teams were pointspread outliers last year.  Twelve squads hit 75% or better ATS.  Fourteen squads hit 25% or worse for the full season.  This falls within recent historical patterns – in every recent season, 20-25% of the teams are strong “bet on” or “bet against” squads.  If we broaden the base to 67% ATS wins or losses for the full season, it’s not unusual to see 35-40% of the teams in college football fall into those two categories.

So how do we identify these teams?  Most importantly, how do we identify them early in the season, before September is through, so we can take advantage of their success or ineptitude repeatedly before the market starts to catch up?

The top pointspread teams of 2012 were Fresno State, Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Notes: Trench play a key for Rutgers-Fresno State matchup

08.13.2013     07:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rutgers at Fresno State -10

An in-game matchup to consider for Week 1’s Rutgers-Fresno State game. FSU's offensive line reportedly struggled during a recent scrimmage allowing 15 tackles for loss and seven sacks (some of which by the second and third string). Last season the Bulldogs allowed 29 sacks though attempted over 500 passes. They went the entire regular season without allowing more than three sacks in a game before surrendering seven against SMU in the Hawaii Bowl.


"Do we need to move a tackle in to guard? What do we need to do to get our best five out there?" DeRuyter said. "We're going to get together, look at this tape really hard and make some tough decisions about who are those guys."



Rutgers meanwhile feels it can take Read more



Tags: College Football Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West Rutgers Scarlet Knights AAC




College Football Gambling: Nowhere to go but up for West Virginia's defense

08.06.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Every bettor on the planet knows that West Virginia's defense was awful last season. And with only three returning starters on offense, the stop unit is going to need to improve if the Mountaineers plan on being competitive in the Big XII (lined at 6un-109 wins at Pinnacle). Keith Patterson will serve as the lone defensive coordinator after sharing duties last season. The stop unit returns seven starters but as Patterson noted, "having a lot of people back is not necessarily a good thing." The good news for WVU is that four of their first five conference foes will be breaking in a new quarterback (Oklahoma, Baylor, Kansas State, and Texas Tech). Those four teams combined for 1,676 passing yards and 54.3 ppg vs. WVU in 2012. 


“(Defensive lineman Shaq) Rowell said he looks at the stats to remind him. He says it motivates him,” said returning cornerback Broderick Jenkins. “If it doesn’t motivate you, I don’t think you are in the right mode of thinking. If

Read more



Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII




College Football Handicapping: Preseason Power Ratings

08.06.2013     06:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As most of you in the markets know, CRIS posted Week One lines for college football this past weekend. Those lines have had time to move…as sharp action has hit the offshore board. That’s helped solidify how “the market” sees the 2013 college football season in the days leading up to everyone’s openers.

I’ve used those “improved” lines (oddsmakers openers plus sharp influence) to update our first crack at estimated Power Ratings. First, I’ll run through the top 10 or so, which will give you a chance to compare them to preseason polls. Then, I’ll go through each board conference. Again, these aren’t how I would personally rate the teams. This is my guess at how “the market” as a composite has the teams rated on a standard Power Ratings scale. You regulars know that I typically stick “championship caliber” at 85 and work down from that. This year’s Alabama squad is seen as a bit better than Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Alert: Hawaii fires offensive coordinator

08.02.2013     03:44 PM     Printer Friendly
Well this isn't good. Hawaii head coach Norm Chow just fired offensive coordinator Aaron Price. Price was hired back in February. Chow said "some issues have arisen" and the team was moving forward. Hawaii opens the season as a 22.5-point underdog vs. USC.




Tags: College Football Hawaii Warriors Mountain West




Reno sportsbook shades line for local team

08.01.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Reno's Peppermill Sportsbook opened Nevada's regular season over/under wins at 4.5 – a very opinionated numbered compared to other books. Due to the influx of over money, they've since moved their number to 5.5. According to Peppermill's sportsbook director, the low opener was by design so that local fans could bet their team over. 5Dimes has the Wolf Pack lined at 6.5un-185 or 5.5ov-165.




Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack Mountain West



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 23, 2015 09:24 AM.