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NFL Gambling Preview: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans

12.13.2012     01:57 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Indianapolis at Houston
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Indianapolis
CRIS Opener: Houston -8 O/U 49
CRIS Current: Houston -9 O/U 48
Teddy's Power Rating: Houston -8

The Texans are a paper tiger, a fraud.  They spent much of the season beating up on the weak, and even those wins haven't come easily of late.  Jacksonville (2-11) scored 37 against the Texans stop unit, making Chad Henne look like a pro bowler with 354 yards and four touchdowns off the bench.  They managed to beat Detroit (4-9) in OT only because Lions head coach Jim Schwartz threw an illegal challenge flag that resulted in an 81-yard touchdown that should never have been.  Against the Titans’ miserable defense, the Texans managed only five first downs in the entire second half.  And we all saw what happened on MNF when Houston traveled to New England – a complete, confidence sapping Read more


Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Houston Texans Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Alert: Markets come in on New England and the OVER for MNF

12.10.2012     08:28 AM     Printer Friendly
Houston at New England -5.5 O/U 52

Seen a significant push towards New England and the OVER for tonight’s Monday Night contest against the Houston Texans. The Patriots were -4 and got bounced up to -5.5. The total was sitting 51 and is now up to 52 at most offshore books. Line history courtesy of CRIS.

copy_NE_HOU.JPG



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Houston Texans




NFL Handicapping: Injury concerns for New England Patriots and Houston Texans

12.05.2012     02:06 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston at New England -3 O/U 51.5

Two good breakdowns on all of the offensive injuries for New England and defensive injuries for Houston heading into Monday night's showdown in Foxboro. Most of the money this week has come in on the underdog. The Patriots opened -4.5 but you can currently find as cheap as -3 (-120) offshore.



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Houston Texans




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Looking at the contenders in the AFC

12.03.2012     09:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I spent the last few Sunday’s concentrating on some pretty bad football teams. It’s December now; time to shift my focus towards the other end of the spectrum. This week, I focused on four AFC Playoff contenders. Which teams have the potential to do some damage when January rolls around and which are frauds? Read on to find out!

Indianapolis - Indy is certainly not a Super Bowl contender. But given that they were seven point underdogs at 4-7 Detroit, the betting markets aren’t even calling the Colts a playoff caliber team. Even with starting cornerback Vontae Davis back in the lineup following a four game injury absence, the pass defense spent all afternoon getting torched. Where's the pass rush? Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis were non-factors here.

The offensive line got dominated by Detroit’s front four for most of the afternoon. Andrew Luck was beaten up, taking one big hit after the next. Coming into the game with four fumbles and 10 INTs in five previous road games, Luck's emphasis was on ball security here. That emphasis didn’t work. He hit seven different receivers in the first half, but also threw a pair Read more


Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens Houston Texans Teddy Covers




NFL Betting: New England Patriots and Houston Texans top consensus plays for Week 13

12.02.2012     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly
Quick run through of the top consensus plays for NFL Week 13 according to Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets made on a side/total/moneyline.

Top Sides
New England -7 88.2%
Houston -7 86.9%
Carolina -3 83.0%
Cincinnati -1 80.8%
San Francisco -7 80.6%

Top Totals
Indianapolis-Detroit OVER 51 82.2%
Philadelphia-Dallas OVER 44 80.4%
Minnesota-Green Bay OVER 47 77.2%
New England-Miami OVER 51 75.0%
San Francisco-St. Louis OVER 40.5 74.6%

Top Moneylines
Oakland +115 100.0%
Indianapolis +275 77.9%
Green Bay -375 75.7%
New England  -365 69.4%
Kansas City +190 67.7%



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Houston Texans




NFL Betting News and Notes Week 10

11.14.2012     12:12 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The New England Patriots may need to be put on “automatic fade” watch laying double-digits at this point. They once again came up short as big chalk against Buffalo in a 37-31 win laying -13.5 points. That makes New England 0-3 ATS in that role this season including an outright loss to Arizona. The Patriots just aren’t playing anything close to the level of championship caliber defense right now to be trusted laying double-digits. The Pats run defense allowed over 100 yards to the Bills and the secondary was picked apart by Ryan Fitzpatrick who threw for 337 passing yards. Defensive stats like that won’t cash many tickets in that kind of price range.

The Philadelphia Eagles downward spiral continued on Sunday. They are a dead team walking right now. The body language is awful. Head coach Andy Reid is firmly on the hot seat. The offensive line can't protect anyone from teeing off on ailing quarterback Michael Vick. The run game has been non-existent. The defense has been a sieve in recent weeks giving up big plays against both the pass and the run. They’ve been guilty of taking numerous defensive holding, illegal contact and PI penalties Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots Philadelphia Eagles Denver Broncos Ian Cameron




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: AFC Contenders and Pretenders

11.12.2012     11:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
November is the time in the NFL where we separate contenders from pretenders. Last week, I focused on the NFC; this week, I’ll turn to the AFC. Unfortunately, the Colts and Steelers didn’t play on Sunday, and the Texans’ Sunday Night game was played in weather conditions that affected the game (and the game plan) significantly. Who among the rest can challenge for AFC supremacy? Read on to find out.

Denver Broncos - Another slow start for a West Coast team traveling East; certainly not unusual. Slow starts have been a consistent problem for Denver all year. We saw them fall behind by three scores when they faced Atlanta, Houston and San Diego – three of the tougher foes they've faced. But slow starts are about the only fault I can find with this team right now.

We already know how good Denver’s offense can be, and they score touchdowns : 22 TDs in 32 red zone possessions. The Broncos have an elite quarterback, a strong running game and playmaking WR's - they can trade points with anybody. This team's postseason future rests on the strength (or weakness) of their stop unit; a unit that has stepped up at times and Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots San Diego Chargers Baltimore Ravens Denver Broncos Miami Dolphins Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Pre- and Post-Bye Week Teams

10.29.2012     11:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote about the three strongest prevailing angles for the 2012 NFL season. Let me update the numbers from a week ago.

NFC Underdogs – any underdog in any game – have gone 37-12-2 ATS this season. But that angle has now suffered back-to-back losing weeks, looking like it’s come and gone as the market has adjusted to reflect the NFC’s dominance – just 3-5 ATS in Week 8 after a 2-3-1 ATS mark in Week 7.

Teams heading into the bye week are now 1-14 ATS, discounting the games where one pre-bye team faced off against another. The Jets were the only team to fall into this category on Sunday, with the 49ers pending on Monday Night. This trend is still very live; 0-3 ATS over the past two weeks.

And teams coming out of the bye are on a 9-5 ATS streak; again discounting the games where one post-bye team faced another. But that trend seems to e flat lining: 2-2 ATS in Week 7 followed by another 2-2 ATS performance in Week 8.

What’s really going on with these pre-bye or post-bye squads? For the second straight week, I focused my attention on five teams in one of these two roles.

Miami Read more


Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons New York Jets New England Patriots Miami Dolphins Philadelphia Eagles Teddy Covers




NFL Betting News and Notes Week 7

10.23.2012     12:44 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If the Washington Redskins learned anything after Sunday’s loss to the New York Giants, it would be not to allow Eli Manning the chance to have the football with his team trailing by one score in the final minutes. Robert Griffin III had a miraculous scramble play on a fourth down to keep a late fourth quarter drive alive en route to a terrific touchdown throw to Santana Moss which gave the Redskins a brief lead. It didn’t last long as Manning hit Victor Cruz for a 73-yard touchdown pass to give the Giants the win in a back and forth 27-23 affair. Despite the straight up win for New York, Washington got the ATS win and continue to cash tickets for their backers against their NFC East rivals. Washington is now 4-0 ATS against the G-Men dating back to January 2011.

I don’t think the term “right side winner” can be any more accurate than it was with the Houston Texans on Sunday. It was a dominant 43-13 win and easy 6.5-point home chalk cover for the Texans in which they outgained the Baltimore Ravens 420-176, had a huge 27-12 edge in first downs, and a +2 TO margin. Quarterback Joe Flacco and the Baltimore no-huddle offense continues to Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: Jets are concerned about Patriots' up-tempo offense

10.18.2012     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Jets at New England -10.5 O/U 47.5

The New York Jets are in awe of how fast the New England Patriots are playing offensively. The Pats have run a league-high 497 plays including 94 against the Broncos.


"It's borderline illegal because sometimes the guys aren't always set when they snap the ball," Pace said Wednesday. "But it's smart. Why not hurry a team up? I wish we would do it. For a defense, it just puts pressure on you."

"It's very difficult," linebacker David Harris said. "You'll see defenses not even lined up and they're already running a play. They get a lot of extra yardage because of it. It causes guys to lose their mind. You can see it on film."





Tags: NFL New York Jets New England Patriots



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