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College Football Betting Trends: First-year head coaches 21-26 ATS YTD

09.10.2012     07:45 AM     Printer Friendly
Updated results for first-year head college football head coaches (21-27 SU, 21-26 ATS). Coaches at BCS conference schools are 15-10 SU, 11-14 ATS.

2012 College Football First-Year Head Coach Betting Results as of 9/10
School
1st Year Coach
SU
ATS
Akron
Terry Bowden
0-2
1-1
Arizona
Rich Rodriguez
1-1
1-1
Arizona State
Todd Graham
2-0
2-0
Arkansas State
Gus Malzahn
1-1
1-1
Colorado State
Jim McElwain
1-1
1-1
Florida Atlantic
Carl Pelini
1-1
0-2
Fresno State
Tim DeRuyter
1-1
2-0
Hawaii
Norm Chow
0-1
1-0
Houston
Tony Levine
0-2
0-2
Illinois
Tim Beckman
1-1
1-1
Kansas
Charlie Weis
1-1
0-2
Memphis
Justin Fuente
0-2
1-1
New Mexico
Bob Davie
1-1
0-1
North Carolina
Larry Fedora
1-1
1-1
Ohio State
Urban Meyer
2-0
1-1
Ole Miss
Hugh Freeze
2-0
2-0
Penn State
Bill O'Brien
0-2
1-1
Pittsburgh
Paul Chryst
0-2
0-2
Rutgers
Kyle Flood
2-0
0-2
Southern Miss
Ellis Johnson
0-1
0-1
Texas A&M
Kevin Sumlin
0-1
0-1
Toledo
Matt Campbell
1-1
2-0
Tulane
Curtis Johnson
0-2
1-1
UAB
Garrick McGee
0-1
0-1
UCLA
Jim L. Mora
2-0
2-0
Washington State
Mike Leach
1-1
0-2
Results
 
21-27
21-26




Tags: College Football




Sportsmemo's College Football Week 2 Betting Recap

09.10.2012     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly
By the betting numbers...College Football Week 2 (see results below). Note that we will be using CRIS's opening and closing lines throughout the season. We do not include games involving FCS teams.

Based on closing lines…

Road teams were the strongest side bet at 23-20 ATS (44-34 ATS YTD).

There were two neutral site games. Underdogs (Syracuse and UL-Monroe) went 2-0 ATS.

Underdogs held a slight edge at 22-20 ATS (44-38 ATS YTD). Two games closed as pick ‘em (South Florida/Nevada and Florida/Texas A&M) while one game pushed (NC State -3 vs. UConn).

Double-digits spreads went the way of the underdogs at 15-8 ATS (27-20 ATS YTD).

Totals went 21-23-1 Over/Under (41-44-1 YTD).

Beating the Market: If you bet the opening number on a team that moved three points or more based on the closing line (i.e. Virginia -7) you went: 2-7 ATS (8-14 ATS YTD)

Chasing the Market: If you bet the closing number on a team that moved three points or more (i.e. Virginia -10) you went: 2-7 ATS (7-15 ATS YTD).

Based on the opening and closing lines, the market was "correct" 20 times but "incorrect" 18 times. "Correct" meaning if a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite won by 7, the market was “correct.” If a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite lost outright, the market was obviously "incorrect." Note that in seven games, the game opened and closed at the same number.
 
Parlay combo breakdown (40 games) (79 games YTD)
Favorite-Over: 10 (24 YTD)
Favorite-Under: 9 (13 YTD)
Underdog-Over: 9 (15 YTD)
Underdog-Under: 12 (29 YTD)

Note that we did not include pick ‘em lines and pushes for our parlay combos.

2012 College Football Week 2 Betting Recap
Away Team
Home Team
Open
Close
Final
ATS
O/U Close
Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
CIN -2.5
CIN -4.5
CIN 34, PIT 10
Favorite
Under 51
Utah
Utah State
UTAH -7
UTAH -7
USU 27, UT 20 OT
Underdog
Under 50.5
Penn State
Virginia
UVA -7
UVA -10
UVA 17, PSU 16
Underdog
Under 48
Indiana
Massachusetts
IND -12.5
IND -14
IND 45, MASS 6
Favorite
Over 48.5
Air Force
Michigan
MICH -21.5
MICH -21.5
MICH 31, AFA 25
Underdog
Under 58.5
New Mexico State
Ohio
OU -19.5
OU -21
OHIO 51, NMSU 24
Favorite
Over 58.5
Kent State
Kentucky
UK -7
UK -6
KY 47, KENT 14
Favorite
Over 46.5
Central Florida
Ohio State
OSU -17
OSU -15.5
OSU 31, UCF 16
Underdog
Over 46.5
Idaho
Bowling Green
BG -12
BG -17
BG 21, IDA 13
Underdog
Under 49.5
Ball State
Clemson
CLE -25.5
CLE -27
CLE 52, BSU 27
Underdog
Over 67
Rice
Kansas
KAN -9
KAN -12.5
RICE 25, KAN 24
Underdog
Under 62.5
Toledo
Wyoming
WYO -1
WYO -3.5
TOL 34, WYO 31
Underdog
Over 58.5
North Carolina
Wake Forest
UNC -6.5
UNC -10
WAKE 28, UNC 27
Underdog
Under 58.5
Georgia
Missouri
UGA -3
UGA -1
UGA 41, MIZZ 20
Favorite
Over 52.5
Miami (FL)
Kansas State
KSU -7
KSU -7
KSU 52, MIA 13
Favorite
Over 58
Michigan State
Central Michigan
MSU -22
MSU -17.5
MSU 41, CMU 7
Favorite
Push 48
USC
Syracuse*
USC -27
USC -24.5
USC 42, SYR 29
Underdog
Over 62
Purdue
Notre Dame
ND -15
ND -15
ND 20, PUR 17
Underdog
Under 53
South Florida
Nevada
NEV pk
NEV pk
USF 32, NEV 31
N/A
Over 57
Wisconsin
Oregon State
WIS -8
WIS -6
OSU 10, WIS 7
Underdog
Under 49
Fresno State
Oregon
ORE -35.5
ORE -35
ORE 42, FSU 25
Underdog
Under 75.5
East Carolina
South Carolina
SC -23.5
SC -21
SC 48, ECU 10
Favorite
Over 50
Iowa State
Iowa
IOWA -4.5
IOWA -3.5
ISU 9, IOWA 6
Underdog
Under 48.5
Washington
LSU
LSU -23
LSU -22.5
LSU 41, WASH 3
Favorite
Under 53
UTEP
Mississippi
MISS -6
MISS -8
MISS 28, UTEP 10
Favorite
Under 53
Auburn
Mississippi State
MSU -2.5
MSU -3
MSU 28, AUB 10
Favorite
Under 48.5
Texas Tech
Texas State
TTU -17.5
TTU -20
TTU 58, TSU 10
Favorite
Over 60
Maryland
Temple
TEMP -10
TEM -7.5
MARY 36, TEM 27
Underdog
Over 43.5
New Mexico
Texas
TEX -37
TEX -39
TEX 45, UNM 0
Favorite
Under 53
Florida
Texas A&M
FLA -1
TXAM pk
FLA 20, TXAM 17
N/A
Under 49.5
Louisiana Tech
Houston
HOU -2.5
LT -3
LT 56, HOU 49
Favorite
Over 58.5
Nebraska
UCLA
NEB -4
NEB -3.5
UCLA 36, NEB 30
Underdog
Over 58
Army
San Diego State
SDSU -6
SDSU -5.5
SDSU 42, ARMY 7
Favorite
Under 50
NC State
Connecticut
NCST -1
NCST -3
NCST 10, UCONN 7
Push
Under 48
Tulane
Tulsa
TULS -25
TULS -22
TULS 45, TULA 10
Favorite
Under 57
Vanderbilt
Northwestern
VAN -3
VAN -3
NW 23, VAN 13
Underdog
Under 54.5
Duke
Stanford
STAN -14
STAN -16
STAN 50, DUKE 13
Favorite
Over 55
Oklahoma State
Arizona
OSU -11
OSU -10
AZ 59, OSU 38
Underdog
Over 70
Illinois
Arizona State
ASU -2
ASU -6
ASU 45, ILL 14
Favorite
Over 47
Akron
Florida Intl
FIU -23
FIU -24.5
FIU 41, AKR 38 OT
Underdog
Over 58
UL-Lafayette
Troy
TROY -1
ULL -1.5
ULL 37, TROY 24
Favorite
Under 62
Florida Atlantic
Middle Tennessee
MTSU -7
MTSU -6.5
MTSU 31, FAU 17
Favorite
Under 49
Memphis
Arkansas State
ASU -19.5
ASU -23.5
ASU 33, MEM 28
Underdog
Over 60
Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas*
ARK -28
ARK -30
ULM 34, ARK 31 OT
Underdog
Over 61
Western Kentucky
Alabama
ALA -38
ALA -38
ALA 35, WKU 0
Underdog
Under 52




Tags: College Football




College Football Gambling: Week 2 2nd Half kickoff list

09.07.2012     07:40 PM     Printer Friendly
We'll be updating the list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.

2012 College Football Week 2 2nd half Kickoff List
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
305
Penn State
Virginia
Virginia
307
Indiana
Massachusetts
Massachusetts
309
Air Force
Michigan
Michigan
311
New Mexico State
Ohio
Ohio
313
Kent State
Kentucky
Kent State
315
Central Florida
Ohio State
Ohio State
317
Idaho
Bowling Green
Idaho
319
Ball State
Clemson
Ball State
321
Rice
Kansas
Kansas
323
Toledo
Wyoming
Toledo
325
North Carolina
Wake Forest
North Carolina
327
Georgia
Missouri
Georgia
329
Miami (FL)
Kansas State
Miami (FL)
331
Michigan State
Central Michigan
Central Michigan
333
USC
Syracuse
Syracuse
335
Purdue
Notre Dame
Purdue
337
South Florida
Nevada
South Florida
339
Wisconsin
Oregon State
Oregon State
341
Fresno State
Oregon
Oregon
343
East Carolina
South Carolina
East Carolina
345
Iowa State
Iowa
Iowa
347
Washington
LSU
Washington
349
UTEP
Mississippi
Mississippi
351
Auburn
Mississippi State
Auburn
353
Texas Tech
Texas State
Texas State
355
Maryland
Temple
Maryland
357
New Mexico
Texas
Texas
359
Florida
Texas A&M
Florida
361
Louisiana Tech
Houston
Louisiana Tech
363
Nebraska
UCLA
Nebraska
365
Army
San Diego State
Army
367
NC State
Connecticut
Connecticut
369
Tulane
Tulsa
Tulsa
371
Vanderbilt
Northwestern
Northwestern
373
Duke
Stanford
Stanford
375
Oklahoma State
Arizona
Arizona
377
Illinois
Arizona State
Illinois
379
Akron
Florida International
Akron
381
Louisiana-Lafayette
Troy
Louisiana-Lafayette
383
Florida Atlantic
Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic
385
Memphis
Arkansas State
Arkansas State
387
Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas
UL-Monroe
389
Western Kentucky
Alabama
Western Kentucky




Tags: College Football




Don't miss Saturday's Sportsmemo Week 2 College Football Live Forum Chat

09.07.2012     01:34 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We'll be back in action on Saturday with the Sportsmemo College Football Live Forum Chat. Follow us throughout the day with analysis and input from the Sportsmemo Handicappers as well as free halftime recommendations. Be there or be square! If you aren't a posting forum member, click here for your free registration.



Tags: College Football




College Football Handicapping: Bettors continue to pound games OVER the total

09.07.2012     12:18 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Up-tempo, no huddle spread offenses aren’t new to college football. But the amount of teams that employ it on a regular basis right now is. Prior to this decade, Houston and Hawaii were two of the only teams that went the pass-happy route. The early 1990’s brought Florida’s “Fun-n-Gun” directed by head coach Steve Spurrier. Later that decade, Purdue’s aerial assault took wings under head coach Joe Tiller. Then in 2000, first-year head coach Mike Leach unveiled his “Air Raid” offense and Northwestern under head coach Randy Walker adopted a similar style. From there the floodgates have opened. Within the last 12 years we’ve gone from a few select programs that would push the tempo to now, where by my count roughly 39 FBS teams use up-tempo/spread as their base offense.  Beyond those, almost every other team has some form of break neck pace incorporated in their playbook.

The impact all of this 80-snap-per-game style has dramatically changed the world of college football betting and oddsmaking where totals are concerned. Of the 43 traditional board and added board games being played this week, nine are lined with Read more


Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Iowa State Cyclones at Iowa Hawkeyes

09.07.2012     11:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa State at Iowa
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Iowa State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - Big Ten Network
CRIS Opener:
Iowa -4.5 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Iowa -3.5 O/U 49
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Iowa -6.5

There’s not a lot to like about Iowa this year. The Hawkeyes program has been in steady decline since their shocking run to the Orange Bowl following the 2009 season. Head coach Kirk Ferentz is no longer able to attract NFL level recruits the way that he did for many of his previous 13 seasons on the job. The Hawkeyes didn’t reach the end zone against rebuilding Northern Illinois until the final two minutes of the game last week, escaping with a one point victory over a mid-tier MAC squad. An offensive line that has regularly sent graduated to the NFL doesn’t appear to have any NFL caliber talent in 2012.

This team lacks offensive playmakers as well, and QB James Vandenberg Read more


Tags: College Football Iowa State Cyclones Big XII Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling Preview: Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

09.07.2012     08:34 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn at Mississippi State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Under
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Mississippi State -2.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Mississippi State -3 (-105) O/U 47
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Mississippi State -4

Auburn comes in off a tough 26-19 loss to Clemson while Mississippi State had a much easier time against Jackson State, winning 56-9. We should find out much more about Mississippi State this week against a quality opponent, but they should hold up well against the Tigers. Auburn struggled to stop the run against Clemson, allowing 320 yards on 52 attempts, and also gave up 208 yards passing. The only positive with Auburn’s stop unit was in the red zone as they held Clemson to four field goals. They did however allow Clemson to convert on 8-of-17 third downs and pick up 28 first downs. On offense, Auburn ran the ball fairly well with 180 yards, but the passing Read more


Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC Brent Crow




College Football Betting Update: Scheelhaase's status remains up in the air

09.07.2012     08:19 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Illinois at Arizona State -4 O/U 48

Update on Illinois quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase. Scheelhaase (ankle) sat out practice earlier this week but practiced Wednesday and Thursday. Head coach Tim Beckman has yet to commit to his playing status. If he doesn't play, the Illini will go with either Reilly O’Toole or Mile Osei. O'Toole attempted 67 passes last year and threw four interceptions.

“He’s much better than he was yesterday,” Beckman said. “He said he felt pretty good. I think any time you have an injury to the ankle, it’s going to progress — and it’s been progressing and we’ll have to make that decision on Thursday after practice.”

“I thought Read more


Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12




College Football Gambling: Michigan tries to prep for Air Force's triple option

09.07.2012     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Air Force at Michigan -20.5 O/U 61.5

Short turnaround for Michigan as it preps for Air Force's triple option attack. Head coach Brady Hoke has some experience against the option having faced Air Force twice (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) and Navy (1-0 SU/ATS) during his time at San Diego State.


"It's mass chaos," said defensive end Craig Roh, a senior who said he hadn't faced an option team since his junior year of high school when he "hated" playing Paradise Valley (Ariz.). "There's three options on every play. It's smoke and mirrors, really."

"They'll never get close," said Hoke, who often coaches the scout teams. "But (receiver) Joe Reynolds is coming down and doing some of the quarterback work, imitating Connor Dietz. Read more



Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Air Force Falcons Mountain West




College Football Betting: Maryland looks for revenge against Temple

09.07.2012     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Maryland at Temple -10 O/U 45

A lot of bettors feel that it is going to be a long season for the Maryland Terrapins. In Week 1, they barely got passed William & Mary with a 7-6 victory. Saturday, they step up in class against a Temple squad that kicked the snot out of the Terps last season in College Park. The 38-7 loss is something Maryland players vividly remember.


“We have a real big payback game next weekend,” he offered, unprompted.

“I remember they kicked the hell out of us,” defensive lineman A.J. Francis said. “They beat us like we stole something. It really [ticked] me off. It was one of the worst [butt]-kickings I’ve had in my career.”

“That and N.C. State were my two lowlights of the season as far as memories go,” Hartsfield said. “They kicked our Read more



Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins ACC Temple Owls Big East



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