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College Football ATS Analysis: Bettors fade UConn for second straight week

09.04.2012     12:12 PM     Printer Friendly
Looks like there are group of bettors that don't feel too highly about the UConn Huskies. For a second straight week, we've seen a ton of anti-UConn money come pouring in with NC State up to as high as -6.5 road chalk for Saturday’s contest. In Week 1, the Huskies opened -25 vs. UMass and were bet down as low as -20.5 before closing -21. They held the Minutemen to 59 yards en route to a 37-0 victory. Line history courtesy of CRIS.

copy_NC_State_Uconn.JPG



Tags: College Football UConn Huskies Big East NC State Wolfpack ACC




College Football Handicapping: Experience vs. Inexperience Week 1

09.04.2012     11:55 AM     Printer Friendly
Taking a look at how some of the most experienced and inexperienced college football teams in the country fared in Week 1. We used Phil Steel's "Total Experience Points" as a guideline. Our experienced group went 8-2 SU but only 5-5 ATS. Note than Eastern Michigan lost to Ball State who was just outside the top 10 with 71.1 points. Our inexperienced group went 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS (Cincinnati did not play). Note that Miami won and covered as Boston College which had 70.5 points. Obviously our study covers just one game so we’ll revisit our 20 teams around Week 5 or 6 and see where they stand.

College Football Experience vs. Inexperience Week 1
Experienced
Steele Rating
Opponent
SU
ATS
Tennessee
78.8
NC State
Win
Win
Central Michigan
76.6
SE Missouri
Win
Loss
Oklahoma
75.6
UTEP
Win
Loss
Kent State
75.4
Towson
Win
Win
Eastern Michigan
73.7
Ball State
Loss
Loss
West Virginia
73.2
Marshall
Win
Win
Duke
72.4
Florida International
Win
Win
Miami (OH)
72.2
Ohio State
Loss
Loss
Rutgers
72.1
Tulane
Win
Loss
Inexperienced
Steele Rating
Opponent
SU
ATS
Colorado
37.8
Colorado State
Loss
Loss
Miami (FL)
38.1
Boston College
Win
Win
Hawaii
41.4
USC
Loss
Win
Air Force
42.1
Idaho State
Win
Loss
Arizona State
42.5
Northern Arizona
Win
Win
New Mexico State
43.5
Sacramento State
Win
Win
Boise State
43.6
Michigan State
Loss
Win
Temple
44.7
Temple
Win
Win
SMU
45.2
Baylor
Loss
Loss
Cincinnati
45.7
DNP
-
-




Tags: College Football




Sports Betting Podcast 9-4-2012 with Handicappers Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa

09.04.2012     10:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Erin Ryning and Alf Musketa. Erin covered tonight's MLB card while Alf broke down College Football Week 2 line moves.

Today's segments
Full Show

Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board

Alf Musekta - College Football Week 2 Line Moves

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB College Football Erin Rynning Alf Musekta




College Football Gambling: Nevada win and USC ATS loss help sportsbooks

09.04.2012     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to William Hill's Jimmy Vaccaro, the books made out OK during last weekend’s college football action thanks to a few key results


“The Nevada upset win at Cal really turned the tide for us,” said William Hill sports book director Jimmy Vaccaro. “But the biggest key to our day was USC not covering the spread against Hawaii. The USC game was so pivotal for us.”

“It was a very good day for us, with great action throughout all of our books,” said Vaccaro. “The biggest key for us was the night games. I haven’t seen a run of underdogs come on like they did Saturday night in a while.”






Tags: College Football




College Football Gambling: Odds indicate little to no gap between Iowa-Iowa State

09.04.2012     08:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa State at Iowa -3.5 O/U 46

Interesting handicap for this weekend's Cy-Hawk Series between Iowa State and Iowa. Last Saturday, the Cyclones looked strong in their spread covering win over Tulsa while Iowa barely slipped past Northern Illinois in Chicago. The Hawkeyes have been double-digit home favorites four straight times in the series. The Cyclones however have been the best bet, covering seven of the last 10 including last year's 44-41 overtime win in Ames.


"We had a tough time," Ferentz said. "We had a tough time protecting at times, and we certainly had a tough time getting open. It just didn't seem like we were in great sync throughout the game."

 

Iowa-Iowa State Betting Results 2002-11
DATE
AWAY/HOME
LINE
O/U
2011
IOWA 41, ISU 44 OT
Iowa State +6.5
Over 44
2010
ISU 7, IOWA 35
Iowa -12
Under 45.5
2009
IOWA 35, ISU 3
Iowa -6.5
Under 47.5
2008
ISU 5, IOWA 17
Iowa State +13
Under 47.5
2007
IOWA 13, ISU 15
Iowa State +17.5
Under 43
2006
ISU 17, IOWA 27
Iowa State +14
Under 48
2005
IOWA 3, ISU 23
Iowa State +9.5
Under 46
2004
ISU 10 , IOWA 17
Iowa State +20.5
N/L
2003
IOWA 40, ISU 21
Iowa -5.5
Over 51.5
2002
ISU 36, IOWA 31
Iowa State +3
Over 54





Tags: College Football Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten Iowa State Cyclones Big XII




NCAAF Gambling: Bettors react following Houston's loss to Texas State

09.04.2012     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisiana Tech -3.5 at Houston O/U 60.5

You would have thought Alabama lost at home to Florida Atlanta the way Houston reacted to getting blitzed by FBS newbie Texas State last Saturday. Offensive coordinator Mike Nesbitt abruptly resigned and the Cougars promoted Travis Bush. Bush served as OC at Texas-San Antonio last season. The Cougars are 3.5-point home favorites against Louisiana Tech for Saturday a line that would have likely been flip-flopped had UH won by margin against TSU. Note that CRIS opened the game Houston -2.5.


“He and I are on the same page,” Levine said. “Our philosophy is exactly the same.”






Tags: College Football Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Houston Cougars WAC C-USA




College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 1

09.04.2012     07:23 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Carolina escaped with a 17-13 win at Vanderbilt last Thursday night, but took some hits in doing so. Starting quarterback Connor Shaw can barely lift his right arm and will miss 3-4 days of practice and possibly the East Carolina game this week. Starting guard Brandon Shell hurt his ankle and is in a walking boot, so he is also questionable as well. South Carolina had trouble protecting Shaw all night and the Commodores wound up outgaining the Gamecocks. The South Carolina coaches were not upset at how the Gamecocks played; they recognized that Vandy is a pretty good team and were happy to get out of Nashville with a win. Vandy is a road favorite at Northwestern this week.

Tennessee unveiled its new up-tempo offense against NC State and the results were impressive. The Vols ran 79 plays from scrimmage, the most since notching 82 in a quadruple overtime game against Kentucky in 2007. Tennessee gained 524 yards of offense in the35-21 win and quarterback Tyler Bray looked like a sure-fire NFL prospect. JC wide receiver transfer Cordarrelle Patterson showed some awesome speed and it certainly looks like Da’Rick Rogers, who was booted off the team last week, will Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Football ATS Analysis: Do teams bounce back after losing to an FCS school?

09.04.2012     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly
For the curious, here are the betting results of FBS teams off a loss to an FCS team dating back to 2008. There are some examples of bounce back performances (see: Virginia Tech and Kansas in 2010) but more often than not, when a team loses outright to an FCS squad, it's an indication said team just isn't very good.

College Football Results after loss to FCS 2008-present
Year
Team
Opponent
Next Opponent
SU Result
ATS Result
2012
Idaho
Eastern Washington
at Bowling Green -16.5
???
???
2012
Memphis
UT-Martin
at Arkansas State -22.5
???
???
2012
Pittsburgh
Youngstown State
at Cincinnati -3.5
???
???
2012
Middle Tennessee
McNeese State
vs. Florida Atlanta +8
???
???
2011
Western Kentucky
Indiana State
vs. Arkansas State -12
Loss
Win
2011
New Mexico
Sam Houston State
vs. New Mexico State -1
Loss
Loss
2011
UNLV
Southern Utah
at Nevada -20.5
Loss
Loss
2011
Minnesota
North Dakota State
at Michigan -21
Loss
Loss
2011
Oregon State
Sacramento State
at Wisconsin -21
Loss
Loss
2011
Duke
Richmond
vs. Stanford -21
Loss
Loss
2010
Virginia Tech
James Madison
vs. East Carolina +20.5
Win
Win
2010
Minnesota
South Dakota
vs. USC -11.5
Loss
Win
2010
Kansas
North Dakota State
vs. Georgia Tech -13.5
Win
Win
2010
Ole Miss
Jacksonville State
at Tulane +20.5
Win
Loss
2010
San Jose State
UC Davis
at Nevada -37.5
Loss
Win
2010
Akron
Garner-Webb
at Kentucky -24.5
Loss
Loss
2010
Ball State
Liberty
at Purdue -16.5
Loss
Win
2009
Duke
Richmond
at Army +1
Win
Win
2009
Virginia
William & Mary
vs. TCU -11
Loss
Loss
2009
Temple
Villanova
at Penn State -29.5
Loss
Win
2009
Western Kentucky
Central Arkansas
at Navy -29.5
Loss
Win
2009
Ball State
New Hampshire
at Army -9.5
Loss
Win
2008
San Diego State
Cal Poly
at Notre Dame -21.5
Loss
Win
2008
Army
New Hampshire
vs. Akron -10
Loss
Loss
Results
 
 
 
4-16
11-9
 



Tags: College Football




Sports Betting Podcast 9-3-2012 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno

09.03.2012     10:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno.  Teddy covered NFL Week 1 line moves while Rob recapped College Football Week 1.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NFL Line Moves

Rob Veno - College Football Week 1 Recap

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers Rob Veno




College Football Gambling: Initial reactions to Week 2 line moves

09.03.2012     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick glance at College Football Week 2 line moves.

Penn State at Virginia
CRIS Opener: Virginia -7
CRIS Current: Virginia -10
Quick Take:  Not a shock to see this move after Penn State’s lackluster showing vs. Ohio.  Could be tricky however supporting a UVA squad that has just two wins of 11 or more vs. FBS competition (Eastern Michigan, Maryland) under Mike London (2010-present).

Idaho at Bowling Green
CRIS Opener: Bowling Green -12
CRIS Current: Bowling Green -14.5
Quick Take: Sometimes what looks like an overreaction is in reality a market correction. Perhaps that’s the case as Idaho – who is looking to drop down to FCS – lost at home to Eastern Washington, 20-3. BG meanwhile showed well in a 27-14 loss at Florida.

Toledo at Wyoming
CRIS Opener: Wyoming -1
CRIS Current: Wyoming -3 (-115)
Quick Take: Absolutely brutal spot for Toledo after losing in overtime at Arizona. Some may consider that result to be fraudulent as the Wildcats outgained the Rockets 624-358.

North Carolina at Wake Read more


Tags: College Football



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 26, 2014 02:08 AM.