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NFL Preseason Betting Trends: Hall of Fame game teams in Week 3

08.23.2012     06:22 AM     Printer Friendly
Taking a look at how teams who participated in the Hall of Fame game fared in their fourth game (Week 3) of the preseason. The results seem pretty random/streaky though the situation should be taken into account with both Arizona (at Tennessee) and New Orleans (vs. Houston). Note that last year's HOF game was canceled due to the lockout.

Hall of Fame Game Participants 4th Preseason Game Betting Results
4th game SU
4th game ATS
4th game O/U
New Orleans*
L, 23-7 @ HOU
Loss +5.5
L, 35-20 @ BUF
Loss -3
L, 23-17 @ CIN
Loss +2
L, 17-0 @ PIT
Loss +5.5
L, 47-3 @ CAR
Loss +3
L, 20-7 vs. BUF
Loss -6
W, 27-13 vs. PHI
Win -3
New Orleans
W, 30-7 @ KC
Win +2
W, 21-3 vs. DET
Win -3
W, 16-7 vs. PIT
Win -3
4-6 SU
4-6 ATS
4-6 O/U

Tags: NFL

College Football Gambling: UNLV says freshman QB will start vs. Minnesota

08.22.2012     12:15 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
UNLV head coach Bobby Hauck announced that redshirt freshman quarterback Nice Sherry will be the team's Week 1 starter against Minnesota. The fact that Sherry beat out last year's starter, Caleb Herring, is a positive sign though Herring did post the worst QB rating (102.8) in the Mountain West last. UNLV is lined at 4.5un-285 wins according to 5Dimes. Some varying opinion on their Week 1 home opener against Minnesota. CRIS opened the Rebels +9 and it dropped to as low as +7. It then shot up to +10 at a few sportsbooks before settling back in at its current number of +9. 

“I’m going to take chances. I’m going to throw the deep ball,” he said. “I’m going to throw the ball down the field. I’m going to extend the defense and make them respect the deep ball and respect the deep routes.”

“He keeps improving. He has a big arm,” Hauck said. “He has improved his understanding of what it will take to get the job done. We feel he gives us a chance to be competitive

Read more

Tags: College Football UNLV Rebels Minnesota Golden Gophers Mountain West

College Football Betting: Can Kansas State maintain fortunate ways in 2012?

08.22.2012     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It doesn't take a genius to figure out the Kansas State was fortunate last season. The Wildcats (10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS) won a slew of "coin flip" games, were +12 in turnover margin, a yet were outgained by over 100 yards per game vs. the Big XII. KSU is now 12-5 SU in games decided by a touchdown or less in Bill Snyder’s second go-around in Manhattan. Kansas State is lined at 7.5un-160 wins according to 5Dimes.

Of the 63 teams that won at least 1.5 more games than expected since 2004, only four teams outperformed their expected wins by 1.5 games again the next season.

Tags: College Football Kansas State Wildcats Big XII

NCAAF Betting Update: Maryland goes with true frosh at quarterback

08.22.2012     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly

Maryland head coach Randy Edsall announced that true frosh Perry Hills will be the team's Week 1 starter.

“I’ve been very impressed with just how he’s handled himself and the poise and the composure and the command that he’s handling that first offense with,” Edsall said of Hills. “Here’s a guy that’s a freshman, and he’s telling those guys, ‘C’mon let’s go. Get set. Get down.’ All those things.”

College Football Gambling: Maryland loses starting quarterback CJ Brown

08.15.2012     11:59 AM     Read more

Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins ACC

College Football Betting: Colorado's offense expected to be more dynamic

08.21.2012     07:28 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It was tough sledding offensively for Colorado during head coach Jon Embree's first season. The Buffaloes were one of only 12 teams than failed to average 20 points per game. According to offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, there was an adjustment period for the new pro-style format and only "35-40 percent" of the offense was used in 2011.

"Obviously we've done a little studying with different offenses and different people across the country, but you've always got to be willing to experiment with things and be willing to try something new. Just because you've done it a certain way your whole entire life doesn't mean you can't change for the better."

"Here is what you've got to understand, we've got a lot of guys who played in that offense a year ago, returning players," Bieniemy said. "Those guys have done a great job of teaching these kids. They did all their own little stuff and these kids are a lot further along than where we were a year ago. They've

Read more

Tags: College Football Colorado Buffaloes PAC-12

NFL Handicapping: Miami tabs Tannehill starter, bettors show support for Houston

08.21.2012     07:03 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Miami Dolphins announced that rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill will be the team's Week 1 starter at Houston. There has been a steady trickle of Texans money over the last few weeks. Even prior to the official announcement, most offshore sportsbooks have moved off of the opening number of -7. Houston is now anywhere from -7.5 (Vegas) to -9 (offshore). 

“It was a close competition, but in the end, we feel like this is the best decision for our football team at the present time,” Philbin said. “We like the way he handles himself.

“He’s relatively mature. We like his poise.

 “We don’t think it’s too big for him. We think he has a chance to be an accurate passer in this league. He has good mobility, throws the ball on the move. I think he has a chance to be a very good player.”

Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Houston Texans

NFL Betting Stock Watch: Buffalo Bills on the rise defensively

08.20.2012     02:25 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Buy the Buffalo Bills – After starting 5-2 last season, the Bills’ offense went into remission, the defense couldn’t stop anyone and they limped to a 1-8 finish. It marked the 12th straight time the team failed to earn a postseason berth – the longest current drought in the NFL. The fast start was keyed by the efficient play of quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick who in those first seven games posted a solid 15/9 TD-to-INT ratio. That rate however nearly flip-flopped (9/14) the final nine games and rumors circulated that Fitzpatrick was playing with cracked ribs.  It wasn’t the only key injury with DT Kyle Williams, arguably the team’s best defensive player, and RB Fred Jackson, who suffered a broken leg, both missing substantial time.

Heading into 2012, I think there is an excellent opportunity for improvement and it starts on the defensive side of the football. Much maligned for his work as a head coach, Dave Wannstedt steps into a more ideal situation as defensive coordinator. The stop unit will lean on a 4-3 format with extra emphasis on the front four.  The group consists of the aforementioned and now Read more

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Erin Rynning

Stay hot Atlantic City's Golden Nugget Casino

08.20.2012     12:54 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Hard to feel sorry about Atlantic City's declining casino revenue after hearing stories like this one. Apparently, the Golden Nugget Casino received a shipment of cards that weren't shuffled. Rather than double-check, which successful casinos tend to do when it comes to these types of things, they just sent them right to the baccarat table. Of course a handful of gamblers – not the dealers or pit bosses or dudes watching from the spy cams – noticed the gaffe and proceeded to win $1.5 million. Now the casino is suing the company they bought the cards from and the players.

"The Golden Nugget appealed to gamblers to come in and play games licensed and sanctioned by the state of New Jersey," he said. "My clients did exactly that, and then were denied their winnings. There is absolutely no law in New Jersey that would permit the Golden Nugget to declare the game illegal because it failed to provide shuffled cards."


Handicapper Teddy Covers talks NFC North Betting on the Sportsmemo Podcast

08.20.2012     10:03 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers and host Andrew Lange discussed the NFC North Division on Monday's Podcast. You can listen here.

2012 NFC North Betting Results and Odds
NFC North
2011 SU W-L
2011 ATS W-L
Season O/U (Pinny)
Division Odds (Pinny)
Green Bay

Teddy Covers 2012 NFL Season O/U Wins [61-27 69% Lifetime] $199
Teddy’s NFL Win Total Report is, quite simply, the best in the business, off another moneymaking season in 2011. He’s 61-27 (69%) lifetime with his win total recommendations dating back to 2002, including an outstanding 9-1 (90%) mark with his 20* Big Tickets. This is one report that even professional bettors can’t do without! Sign up today for full access to the entire package.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Handicapping: Wisconsin's O'Brien named starting quarterback

08.20.2012     08:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
For the second consecutive year, Wisconsin will go with a graduate transfer at quarterback.  Danny O'Brien, who spent two seasons at Maryland, was named Week 1's starter. O'Brien earned ACC Rookie of the Year in 2010 (2,438 yards, 22 TDs, 8 INTs) before struggling under head coach Randy Edsall. UW head coach Bret Bielema mentioned O'Brien's ability to quickly learn the system was the deciding factor. It'll be a tall order for O'Brien to duplicate Russell Wilson's numbers but he's more than capable and walks into a very good situation in Madison.

“Danny did some nice things, just like the other two did at times,” Bielema said. “I think the part Danny brings to the table is he learns very quickly. ... The thing that shows with Danny probably is the fact he’s started a number of games and that preparation factor, you can kind of see it.”

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten


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