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MLB Gambling News: Cincinnati's Leake ready to go after bout with flu

06.14.2012     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Cleveland (Tomlin) at Cincinnati (Leake) -120 O/U 9

Unfortunately we don't have a database for how pitchers fare after a bout with the flu. According to reports, Cincinnati's Mike Leake – one of many on the team that caught the bug – is ready to go for this afternoon's start against Cleveland. Leake spent yesterday recovering and claimed he was feeling better. He has been pitching better of late with a 2.84 ERA over his last five starts. In five career Interleague starts, Leake owns a 3.48 ERA.

Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Cleveland Indians

It looks as if we should go ahead and put Georgia on our list of teams to fade

06.13.2012     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Is there a team in recent memory with a worse track record of living up to lofty preseason expectations than Georgia? There probably are must it seems like the Bulldogs are at their best both straight up and against the spread when projections are modest. Heading into 2008, they were presason No. 1 according to the AP but finished 10-3 SU and 4-8 ATS. Last year, UGA began the season 19th AND lost their first two games. The end result was 10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS and a berth in the SEC Championship. Similar situation in 2007 with only nine returning starters yet they finished 11-2 SU, 8-4 ATS and No. 2 in the polls. So here we are heading into 2012 and there are rumblings about Georgia running the table – some of it scheduled-based with no LSU or Alabama on the regular season slate. They are the top pick to the win the SEC East according to most sportsbooks and 5Dimes lists their season over/wins at 9.5ov-150.

“Preseason predictions are fun to talk about, but bottom line is we’ve got to get the job done Read more

Tags: College Football Georgia Bulldogs SEC

MLB Betting News: White Sox cash eight straight tickets on the highway

06.13.2012     11:12 AM     Printer Friendly
Nothing going wrong for the Chicago White Sox these days. They're currently in first place of the American League Central and own the best road record (18-9) in baseball thanks to eight straight victories on the highway. During that span, they've accumulated over +10 units of profit and did so against more than a few quality arms.

Chicago White Sox Road Winning Streak
WS Starter
Opposing Starter
at STL
Jose Quintana 
Adam Wainwright 
Win +145
at TB
Jose Quintana 
Alex Cobb 
Win +125
at TB
Phillip Humber 
James Shields 
Win +150
at TB
Chris Sale 
Matt Moore 
Win +105
at CHC
Jake Peavy 
Paul Maholm 
Win -110
at CHC
John Danks 
Ryan Dempster 
Win +130
at CHC
Phillip Humber 
Jeff Samardzija 
Win +120
at LAA
Chris Sale 
C.J. Wilson 
Win +140
+10.15 units

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox

Odds of Bradley beating Pacquiao were around 0.03%

06.12.2012     08:48 AM     Printer Friendly
Ken Pomeroy takes a mathematical look at the controversial outcome of last weekend's Pacquiao-Bradley fight. According to Pomeroy, Bradley had a 1-in-3,330 chance of winning outright.

MLB Gambling Alert: Marlins desperate for offense, decide to play with rooof open

06.12.2012     06:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Last night marked the first time since April 18 that Marlins Stadium played a game with the roof open. The reason was reportedly to try and spark Miami’s struggling offense. It sort of worked as the Fish beat Boston 4-1. According to, tonight it is supposed to be in the low 80s and clear so they may leave it open. Heading into the season, a handful of hitters and pitchers were quoted as saying the ball carried much better with the roof open.

"This was a phone call that came at 5:02 [p.m. ET]," Samson said. "Larry Beinfest called and said, 'Hey, we've lost six in a row, I've got an idea. Let's open the roof and see what happens.' I said, 'What's the temperature?' and he said, 'It's going to be below 80 [degrees] at game time. It'll be 79.'

"I said, 'Are you sure?' He said, 'Yes, let's just try it. I said, 'Well, there's two calls we have to make, but let's start with the most important one.' I dialed up Jeffrey and said, 'Jeffrey, let's try something new. Read more

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Boston Red Sox

Handicapper Teddy Covers on the difference between sharp and square bettors

06.11.2012     10:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week, I wrote about the difference in expectations between wiseguy or “sharp” bettors – those who expect to earn a profit from sports betting over the long term – in comparison to recreational or “square” bettors. Here in Part 2 of the article this week, I’m going to examine some of the major differences between the two groups of bettors in terms of their approach and their respective strategies. What are wiseguy bettors doing that recreational bettors aren’t? Read on to find out!

Most casual bettors don’t make a profit from their sports betting hobby. This includes bettors who are relatively sharp as well as those who couldn’t pick a winner if their lives depended on it. That’s not a bad thing either – if every bettor won, sportsbooks would be going belly up and bettors would run out of places to play.

Much of the industry jargon considers money management as important as picking winners, if not more so. And it certainly is. But throwing around buzzwords like “money management” and describing esoteric concepts like “isolate a percentage of bankroll” and Read more

Tags: Teddy Covers

Pacquiao-Bradley outcome questioned by gambling community

06.11.2012     06:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The gambling community is still trying to digest the controversial outcome of Saturday's Pacquiao-Bradley fight. LVH Sportsbook Director Jay Kornegay questioned whether or not they should even take boxing bets moving forward. Irish sportsbook Paddy Power refunded all Pacquiao bets as part of its Justice Payouts system. Pro poker player Haralabos Voulgaris noted on his Twitter page that a decent chunk of late money came in on Bradley at Pinnacle.

After the fight Jay Kornegay, the Director of the Sports Book at the Las Vegas Hotel and Casino, tweeted: "I know it won't happen but I feel this should be the last boxing match we'll ever book."

With that Paddy Power has rolled out one of our famous Justice Payouts. If you had placed a bet on Manny to win in a pre-fight outright or on Read more

MLB Handicapping: Five home runs helps back-to-back games at Petco go OVER

06.07.2012     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
When a game goes over the total at Petco Park is usually isn't by much and rarely do we see two teams combine for double-digit runs. But the last two contests – against the weak hitting San Francisco Giants – have each produced 11 runs. And on five occasions during those two games the ball managed to leave the playing field in fair territory. There is a theory among bettors that Petco Park plays a bit more realistic during stretches when the "marine layer" isn't as strong. According to one explanation, this tends to happen during the day and later in the season. Just something to consider when playing Padres totals.

“In the simplest terms, when you’re close to the water, there’s more moisture in the air and the air is cooler,” said Miller. “The air becomes less dense with water in it, lighter than typical air molecules, so the ball can fly farther in the moister air. But when the marine layer moves in, like a big blob of cold air pouring over the stadium walls and onto the field, the air is more Read more

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres

NBA Handicapping: Miami's Bosh status for Game 5 still up in the air

06.05.2012     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Boston at Miami -8 O/U 179

Good luck trying to find two similar reports on Chris Bosh's status for tonight's Game 5. According to Sports Options, Bosh is “probable”, while some media outlets have him as “day-to-day.”

“He’s making significant progress, but to say that it’s definitive right now is premature,’’ Spoelstra said. “Each day will be a new evaluation and then we’ll go from there.’’

“Our offense has changed considerably with him out,’’ Spoelstra said. “We’re reinventing ourselves on the fly and making, I think, great progress on that end. In the playoffs, a great defensive team is not always going to look fluid, but we’re doing some actions where at least guys feel comfortable and we’re able to create Read more

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Boston Celtics

MLB Betting Free Play: Texas Rangers at Oakland A's

06.05.2012     07:01 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas (Holland) at Oakland (Blackley)
Recommendation: Texas R/L +105

I'm not a big run/line bettor but I see value in supporting the Texas Rangers in that manner tonight in Oakland. Last night marked another mysterious loss for the Rangers as the A's hung eight runs in the second en route to a 12-1 win. If you remember a few weeks back, they were pounded by Seattle 21-8. Derek Holland started that game and allowed eight of the 21 runs. He'll look to bounce back tonight in what historically has been a much more successful situation. Last season Holland made three starts against the A's and allowed a total of three earned runs. The year before that, two starts and two earned runs. And like a lot of Texas pitchers, Holland's road numbers are far better. This year's home/road split reads 2.84 ERA/6.89 ERA. For his career, his road ERA is nearly a run and a half better. According to Holland, his last start was nothing more than a mental breakdown rather than something mechanical. For Oakland, Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Oakland A's Andrew Lange


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