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College Football Betting: Virginia may start Sims, Duke's Renfree still questionable

10.02.2012     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Virginia at Duke -2 O/U 57

Virginia announced that if healthy, quarterback Phillip Sims (leg) will start at Duke on Saturday. Trailing by 20 last week against Louisiana Tech, Sims came in and threw for 166 yards and two touchdowns. Duke quarterback Sean Renfree (elbow) is listed as questionable.

“If he’s 100 percent ready to go, he will get snaps with the first unit,” London said Monday night about Sims. “If he’s not [and] cannot perform because of a lower-leg injury, then Mike will be in that position.”

“That’s as honest as I can be about the

Read more

Tags: College Football Virginia Cavaliers Duke Blue Devils ACC

College Football Gambling: West Virginia talks defense following win over Baylor

10.01.2012     11:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
West Virginia at Texas -6.5

Pretty amazing that West Virginia had the No. 3 ranked total defense in the country just two seasons ago. Yeah, it was against the Big East, but you don't hold teams to 261 ypg without talent and ability. Fast forward to the Dana Holgorsen era. Last year's seasonal numbers were decent but on multiple occasions they were exposed (47 vs. LSU, 49 vs. Syracuse, 38 vs. Louisville). Obviously the Mountaineers are playing and scoring at a much faster pace thus giving the opposition more chances. However, what took place on Saturday has to concern bettors as this team prepares for the meat of Big XII play. The good news is the coaches and players were pretty upset following the game. The bad news is that in no way guarantees any improvement.

"I walked off the field," Cook said, referencing the celebration that

Read more

Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII

College Football Handicapping: Betting totals with the four FCS newcomers

09.28.2012     02:15 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
With either three or four games under their belts and conference play either beginning or right around the corner, this seems like a good time to examine the four first-year FCS teams from a totals perspective.  

Massachusetts – The Minutemen have been simply abysmal on each side of the ball. Their 263.3 total yards offense per game has resulted in an average of 8.8 points scored while the 492.8 yards they’ve allowed has produced 43.0 points per game for their opponents. The one noticeable thing about UMass statistically is that they don’t do anything well. The closing totals on their four games have ranged from 47-55 with two going over and two staying under. Except for a trip to Vanderbilt the last week of October, all Massachusetts games will be against MAC opponents. This team is scoring one point for every 30 yards gained and against two of the nation’s worst defenses (Indiana and Miami-Ohio) those ratios were 1/44.0 and 1/29.4 respectively. The inept offense seems to be a larger factor in their current total of 54 this week versus offensive power Ohio. If the oddsmakers keep UMass totals in this vicinity then my Read more

Tags: College Football UMass Minutemen Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners South Alabama Jaguars Texas State Bobcats Rob Veno

College Football Betting Update: Oklahoma State remains coy about QB status

09.28.2012     01:28 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Texas -2.5 at Oklahoma State O/U 65

Add Oklahoma State to the growing number of college football teams not willing to divulge injury information. The story this week is whether or not quarterback Wes Lunt will play. Head coach Mike Gundy isn't saying and claims it doesn't matter because the offense won't change no matter who is under center (Lunt a drop-back passer, J.W. Walsh a runner). Texas doesn't agree.

“We have to run our plays. You can’t wholesale change an offense based on who’s the starting quarterback, even though there’s some variation in their ability,” Gundy said. “So, we have to run our plays and just do what we think’s best for J.W.”

“It is more difficult because there will be some stunts you would use

Read more

Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Texas Longhorns Big XII

College Football Gambling Preview: South Carolina Gamecocks at Kentucky Wildcats

09.28.2012     12:01 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
South Carolina at Kentucky
Andrew Lange's Recommendation:
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
South Carolina -20 O/U 47
CRIS Current: South Carolina -20.5 O/U 49.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: South Carolina -18

It is hard not to like what South Carolina has done thus far. They opened the season with a tough road win at Vanderbilt and then outscored their last three opponents 128-26. As a result, their stock in the betting markets has skyrocketed. Go back to last year and the Gamecocks were laying this identical price against Kentucky with the game obviously taking place in Columbia. SC ended up crushing 54-3 but Kentucky was simply awful with six turnovers and only 96 yards (and Morgan Newton at QB). Kentucky may be weak, but that type out outcome is unlikely to occur again on Saturday.

While they were able to rack up three big wins at home, let’s not forget that the Read more

Tags: College Football South Carolina Gamecocks Kentucky Wildcats SEC Andrew Lange

NCAAF Betting Notes: MTSU defensive staff not familiar with Georgia Tech option

09.28.2012     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Middle Tennessee State at Georgia Tech -27.5 O/U 62

Not a great spot for Georgia Tech off the devastating loss to Miami (FL) and a trip to Clemson on deck. However, before you run to the window with underdog Middle Tennessee, note that the Blue Raiders have a new defensive staff that wasn't around for the last two meetings against the Yellow Jackets. And first-year coordinator Tyrone Nix was honest in saying he couldn't remember the last time he faced a triple-option offense. Last year, Tech beat MTSU 49-21. The year before that, 42-14.

“Sure it would be nice to have that same defensive staff from those previous two years so we could say

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Tags: College Football Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Sun Belt

College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Georgia Bulldogs

09.28.2012     07:42 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Tennessee at Georgia
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Georgia -15.5 O/U 60.5
CRIS Current: Georgia -14 O/U 58
Rob Veno Power Rating: Georgia -14

Two weeks ago this looked like it would be a great matchup between with two evenly matched SEC East teams. But that was before the wheels fell off the Tennessee defense in the second half of its 37-20 loss to Florida. The Vols struggled again at home last week against Akron, trailing 23-20 late in the second quarter before blowing out the Zips in the second half in route to a 49-26 win. Questions definitely remain about the Vols’ defense, while Georgia has answered questions with its stop unit. The Bulldogs held Vandy to three points last week in their rout of the Commodores and put the clamps on Missouri back in Week 2. Georgia also gets two of its best defenders back this week as Alec Ogletree and Read more

Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers Georgia Bulldogs SEC Brent Crow

College Football Gambling: BYU quarterback Nelson doubtful vs. Hawaii

09.27.2012     06:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Hawaii at BYU -27.5 O/U 50

Article from BYU beat-writer Jay Drew on the health of quarterback Riley Nelson. Drew does not feel as if Nelson will play against Hawaii on Friday based on what he heard from players and coaches following Monday's practice. According to Sports Options, Nelson is "doubtful." If unable to go, the Cougars would likely turn to back-up Taysom Hill.

"Boy, not very high," he said. "But, you know, I really want to play, and really want to be out there and battle with my guys. Today, it was better than it was Thursday. Thursday, I would say 65 percent. Today, 75, 80."

"It is interesting, playing with a little bit of an injury. Yeah, it effects you physically, but also mentally. For example, there were a few throws that psychologically I didn't have as much confidence in,

Read more

Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Hawaii Warriors

College Football Gambling Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Nebraska Cornhuskers

09.26.2012     02:29 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Wisconsin at Nebraska
Ian Cameron’s Recommendation:
Saturday, 5 pm PT – ABC
CRIS Opener:
Nebraska -11.5 O/U 53.5
CRIS Current: Nebraska -11.5 O/U 50.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Nebraska -9.5

Wisconsin enters the start of Big Ten play with more questions than answers. They are 3-1 SU but none of their victories could be considered impressive. The Badgers barely got past FCS Northern Iowa at home, 26-21, lost outright at Oregon State, 10-7, as 6-point chalk, and notched two non-spread covering wins in rather lethargic fashion against Utah State and UTEP. Add it all up and Wisconsin is a money-burning 0-4 ATS. But the respect this team once had in the betting markets has clearly dissipated with the Badgers now catching double-digits for their showdown against the Cornhuskers.

A big key for Wisconsin is the health of running back Montee Ball who suffered a head Read more

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten Ian Cameron

College Football Handicapping: Are betting consensus websites helpful?

09.26.2012     01:16 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Stanford -6.5 at Washington O/U 48

As a bettor, I'm not really sure what to make of betting consensus websites. For starters, everyone has a different number. Thursday's Stanford-Washington game ranges from 56% to 66% on the Cardinal based on the three opinions I found – I’m sure there are many more. Where they are getting these numbers and from whom, I have no idea. Who do they consider to be the "public?" Is it guys who don't bet? Medium-sized players? Credit players at Pinnacle who bet four figures a game? I mean, it is always nice to hear that 65% of the "public" is on a single-event NFL underdog but beyond that profile, I don't think I've ever let a consensus percentage sway my opinion of a game. That being said, I did happen to stumble upon a pretty telling quote from SB Nation's Stanford-Washington preview.

"The 7-point spread was bet down to -6.5 at most shops we track, but we are still seeing near two-thirds of the betting action on Stanford, according to the consensus data we gather from sportsbooks," said Jack Randall of

Tags: College Football Washington Huskies Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Andrew Lange


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