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College Football Betting Stock Watch: Beware of inflated prices with Wisconsin

08.31.2012     11:47 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Sell the Wisconsin Badgers – The Badgers have enjoyed storybook seasons the last two years with back-to-back Rose Bowl berths.  Yes, 2012 set’s up as another banner year but this squad will without question be inflated in the betting markets.  It would be near impossible this season for the Badgers to match their offensive production from the previous two seasons.  Keep in mind 2010 and 2011 were record breaking years, as they averaged an amazing 44.1 and 41.5 points per game.  This year, they’ll need to replace six offensive starters including all-world quarterback Russell Wilson.  With Wilson winning the starting quarterback job for the Seattle Seahawks as a rookie it should be a telltale sign of his value.  In addition, the Badgers also lost respected offensive coordinator Paul Chryst who took the head coaching job at Pittsburgh.  Yes, the Badgers will feature running back Montee Ball and will have Maryland transfer Danny O’Brien as their quarterback, but the scoring could easily be down 10+ points per contest.  Defensively, the Badgers will be sound with a sturdy front seven; however secondary Read more

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Erin Rynning

College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers vs. NC State Wolfpack

08.31.2012     11:37 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Tennessee vs. NC State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
NC State
Friday, 4:30 pm PT @ Atlanta - ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
Tennessee -2.5 O/U 50
CRIS Current: Tennessee -3 (-115) O/U 52.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: NC State PK

Tennessee fans are looking for some progress in year three of the Derek Dooley era and with 18 starters back from a 5-7 team, they should get their wish. Whether the Vols win enough games to keep Dooley off the hot seat remains to be seen, however. Tennessee does have a chance to go to a nice bowl game if they can stay healthy, most notably quarterback Tyler Bray who is primed for a big showing. In just 12 starts spanning two seasons, Bray has thrown 35 TDs and 16 INTs. A full season will have him near 30 TD passes and 3,000 yards and that should result in eight or nine wins for this team. Justin Hunter, who returns from injury, is poised to be the recipient of most of Bray’s Read more

Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC NC State Wolfpack ACC Brent Crow

Sports Betting Podcast 8-31-2012 with Brent Crow, Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa

08.31.2012     10:35 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow, Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa.  All three cappers broke down this weekend's College Football card from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - College Football 

Erin Rynning - College Football Big Ten

Alf Musketa - College Football, Tennis and PGA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Brent Crow Erin Rynning Alf Musketa

College Football Betting: Added game previews by Handicapper Rob Veno

08.30.2012     02:16 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Towson at Kent State -7 - Lot of respect for Towson who unexpectedly took the CAA by storm last year. Kent State has a strong defense and feels it’s a bit better offensively this season but still, don't see a real talent gap here. Towson's balanced and explosive offense with eight of its pieces back plus more experienced defense makes them a threat. Power Ratings made this a pick-em. Recommendation: Took a small piece of Towson +7

Southeast Missouri State at Central Michigan -26 - No real interest here but do think that CMU will rise up and become competitive again in MAC this year behind QB Radcliff and receiving weapons (bumped them +2.5 in my PR this year). SEMO is not OVC trash and they have Ohio U. sophomore transfer Kyle Snyder at QB so his knowledge of Chippewas will help in game prep. They are run heavy and decent at it so if they have success, clock grinding makes +26 look large. Think their defense may get toasted through the air early and often though. Recommendation: None

Northern Colorado at Utah -42 - Northern really optimistic about this season based on more Read more

Tags: College Football Rob Veno

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

08.30.2012     12:47 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Michigan vs. Alabama
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Saturday, 5 pm PT @ Arlington, Texas - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Alabama -11 O/U 46
CRIS Current: Alabama -14 O/U 46.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Alabama -15

Michigan enjoyed one heck of a first season for Brady Hoke, finishing their 11-win season with a thrilling overtime victory over Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl.  But it’s not going to be an easy task for the Wolverines to repeat that level of performance in 2012.  Michigan suffered significant graduation losses on both the offensive and defensive lines; bad news for ultra-hyped senior quarterback Denard Robinson.
Nor can the Wolverines expect to win every close game like they did last year; undefeated in games decided by a touchdown or less.  And make no mistake about it – this is a step up in class game for the Wolverines.  Michigan’s last Read more

Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: Boise State Broncos at Michigan State Spartans

08.29.2012     10:49 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Boise State at Michigan State
Erin Rynning's Recommendation:
Friday, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -4.5 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Michigan State -6.5 O/U 46
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan State -6

It’s difficult to write off Boise State in this contest as a +7 underdog.  All they’ve done over the seven year tenure of head coach Chris Petersen is produce a 73-6 record.  Keep in mind they’ve also beaten Oregon, Virginia Tech and Georgia in their last three season openers.  Of course, the immense question in this clash is what Boise will bring to the table after huge losses on both sides of the football.  No question, this is a much, much different team than at any time under Petersen.  The Broncos have to replace quarterback Kellen Moore who posted the best record of any signal caller in college football history, along with five Read more

Tags: College Football Boise State Broncos Moutain West Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Erin Rynning

NCAAF ATS Notes: No A/C, secret game planning highlight Northwestern-Syracuse

08.29.2012     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Northwestern -1.5 at Syracuse O/U 53.5

Northwestern has been limited in its game planning for Week 1's opener against Syracuse because the Orange closed spring practices to the public. Also note that the Carrier Dome (named for a company which makes air conditioners) is not air conditioned.

“Obviously they’re changing some things,” Fitzgerald said, “or else they would not have closed practice.”

“Game-plan wise we could take the whole dang thing, potentially, and throw it out after the first quarter,” Fitzgerald said Monday. “We’ll try to be as prepared as we can be but be

Read more

Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Syracuse Orange Big East

College Football Gambling Trends: How team fare without a bye week

08.29.2012     06:42 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Revisiting a blog from last year that tracked the results of college football teams without a bye week during the regular season. The theory is that these teams will eventually wear down both physically and mentally. The results (last three games SU and ATS) aren’t mind-blowing, but the 37% SU winning percentage does stands out. Note that in 2009, virtually the entire Big Ten didn’t have a bye so the numbers are somewhat skewed with “none bye teams” often playing one another. If you completely eliminate the ’09 Big Ten, the overall numbers are even stronger at 23-49 SU and 30-41-1 ATS.

Like most of our studies, we aren’t necessarily looking for a formula to bet blind – they rarely if ever exist. Rather, we find schedule situations that can put teams at an advantage or disadvantage. In the case of not having a bye week, it certainly isn’t helpful and a factor worth adding to your handicap.

Some schools (marked with asterisks) had their bye in Week 1 and played continuously for the remainder of the season. We included them because it really doesn’t serve as an advantage.

This year, California, Read more

Tags: College Football Andrew Lange

Teddy Covers' NFL Preseason Betting News and Notes

08.28.2012     11:42 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
I put all 16 NFL preseason games on my DVR each week and I watch every first half to see how the guys who are likely to see the field in the regular season are progressing. Now that three full weeks of preseason action are in the books, let’s take a look at my personal assessment of some noteworthy squads based on the “eye test”, not on meaningless August stats.

Buffalo Bills: I can understand why this defensive line got so many accolades this past offseason – the Bills are playing five different guys who have led their team in sacks at least once. Bottom line is this team has a monster front four pass rush without the need for a bevy of blitzes to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. But that pass rush was about the only thing they did right. I saw poor effort from the linebackers and poor coverage downfield.  Their man-to-man coverage frankly didn't work. And the $59 million dollar man, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, absolutely stunk up the joint for the second straight week! This team wasn't ready. Maybe some of it was gameplan; they were working on running the football. But the Bills offensive line got eaten up, and the Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Buffalo Bills Washington Redskins New Orleans Saints Indianapolis Colts Minnesota Vikings Tampa Bay Buccaneers Seattle Seahawks Kansas City Chiefs

College Football Betting Preview: Washington State Cougars at BYU Cougars

08.28.2012     06:47 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Washington State at BYU
Marty Otto’s Recommendation:
Washington State
Thursday, 7:15 PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
BYU -13.5 O/U 58.5
CRIS Current: BYU -13 O/U 62
Reb Veno's Power Rating: BYU -10.5

An early season ESPN game has caught my attention and I think the underdog could have some bite. Washington State travels to Provo to take on a BYU team that won 10 games a year ago. Those 10 wins marked the fifth time in seven prior seasons that the Cougars had posted double-digit wins under Bronco Mendenhall.

BYU obviously has a solid pedigree; they are well coached and boast a solid home field advantage having gone 27-4 straight up here since 2006. Whereas a bit of a quarterback controversy and identity crisis (are we a running team or throwing team?) popped up last year, 2012’s squad looks quite settled. Reports out of Provo suggest the offense looks as dangerous as it has in Read more

Tags: College Football Washington State Cougars PAC-12 BYU Cougars Otto Sports


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