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NHL Gambling Trends: Shortened season goal scoring

01.18.2013     10:14 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Many people have asked me, how will the shortened season impact overall goal scoring in the NHL?  Will we see trend UNDER or OVER the total?  Well look no further than the last time the NHL had a shortened 48-game season back in 1994-95.  Scoring was down half a goal per game compared to the season prior.  Here is a list of the 1990's goals per game average:

1990 6.91
1991 6.96
1992 7.25
1993 6.48
1994* 5.97
1995 6.29
1996 5.83
1997 5.28
1998 5.27
1999 5.49


Scoring immediately dropped in the lockout shortened season and then saw a bounce back in production closer to normal early 90's scoring.  It is important to note the big drop off in the late 90's is attributed to the trap style of play teams started to employ.  Players have been quoted from the 1994 season saying that every game felt like a playoff game.  Teams cannot afford to have an off night or off week in a shortened season with every team sprinting towards the finish line.  Competitive games and a playoff type atmosphere is a major variable for games to be low scoring.  If history is to repeat Read more



Tags: NHL Sammy P




NFL Handicapping: Betting Market Acting Like Patriots Money ISN'T Coming

01.18.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

There was a startling development Thursday in the legal betting markets regarding Sunday’s AFC Championship game between the favored New England Patriots and underdog Baltimore Ravens.

New England had been favored by 9 points. That line had fallen to a pretty solid 8.5 by midday. Then, it was a solid 8 by night time as I was writing this. That may not strike many of you as a big deal. After all, 9 and 8 aren’t common numbers. But, if you know the markets, it was actually a VERY big deal, because it may be suggesting in dramatic fashion that oddsmakers and sharps no longer expect a flood of New England money over the weekend.

For a second…as we walk through this…start with the premise that New England money IS coming. Squares (the betting public) generally wait until the weekend to bet. Squares typically bet favorites. Squares have established in the past that they like betting on marquee teams like the New England Patriots. Squares have also established that they like Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Gambling Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini

01.17.2013     11:07 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern at Illinois -10.5 O/U 131.5
Recommendation: Illinois


I don’t lay big points often but tonight’s game sets up as a great opportunity to support an Illinois team that is obviously not at all happy after a pair of blowout losses. The Illini lost at home to Minnesota, 84-67, and were crushed on the road by Wisconsin, 74-51. Illinois is now sitting at just 1-3 in Big Ten play and is in desperate need of a confidence inducing performance. I expect that we will see a motivated and focused home team tonight.

Aside from a road win at woeful Penn State, Northwestern hasn’t exactly stepped up in class against the better teams in the Big Ten with the Wildcats losing 94-66 at home to Michigan, 69-51 at Minnesota and a 70-50 home loss to Iowa on the weekend. The heart of Northwestern’s problems is the absence of senior forward Drew Crawford who is out for the year with a shoulder injury. The Wildcats have struggled Read more



Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: Why The Atlanta Falcons are +4

01.17.2013     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

There’s a growing chorus in the handicapping/betting world that the line has over-adjusted in Sunday’s San Francisco/Atlanta matchup for the NFC Championship…with little apparent justification for the current number of San Francisco -4.

Let’s review a few keys.

*Sharps aren’t betting the 49ers at -4. But, they sure loved them at a field goal or less. It’s hard to know for sure from the outside how much of the moves beyond the three can be linked to sharp sentiment or square sentiment (the public). What’s clear is that sharps weren’t thinking the line should be pick-em or -1. Sharps had the 49ers at least 6 or 6.5 points better on a neutral field. Sharps stopped betting the Niners at a number that represented 7 points better on a neutral field.

*The advanced analytic stuff I’ve seen around the web supports that passion at an affordable price. Measures are showing that San Francisco has a much better offense when you adjust for Read more



Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting: Fresno State leaning heavily on freshmen in tough Mountain West

01.16.2013     12:02 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There have been times this season Fresno State's men's basketball team has had three and even four freshmen on the floor at the same time. That’s a tough way to go in the Mountain West, which is rated the second (Sagarin) or third (RPIratings.com) toughest conference in the country.

Coach Rodney Terry knows this, often using the refrain, "It's not going to happen overnight." The youth and inexperience may have cost FSU a win in the final minutes at No. 16 San Diego State last week.

Four freshmen have logged a total of 1,010 minutes already and it could be more, considering guard Marvelle Harris (373 minutes) has played 20 minutes or less four times, center Robert Upshaw (234 minutes) missed the first three games coming back from a knee injury, point guard Aaron Anderson (224 minutes) didn't make his first start until the 12th game of the season, and forward/center Tanner Giddings (179 minutes) did not play in one game and logged less than 10 minutes in five others.

Fresno State is getting more than twice as many minutes from freshman than any other Mountain West school except for UNLV. While 82.4% of the Rebels freshman minutes have been Read more



Tags: College Basketball Fresno State Bulldogs Rob Veno Mountain West




NBA Betting: Los Angeles Clippers Pass, Houston Rockets Flunk Battle of Gut Checks

01.16.2013     11:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Tuesday night’s LA Clippers/Houston Rockets game was very important for NBA analysts because it represented a “battle of the gut checks.”

*The Clippers were on night two of a road back-to-back, after blowing out Memphis Monday night. And, they were playing once again without star point guard Chris Paul.

*The Rockets were starting up their second four-game-in-five-night challenge within a two-week period, knowing it was imperative to get a home win before going on the road the rest of the week.

LA Clippers 117, Houston 109

Two-Point Pct: LA Clippers 53%, Houston 62%

Three-Pointers: LA Clippers 11/19, Houston 13/37

Free Throws: LA Clippers 22/26, Houston 14/25

Rebounds: LA Clippers 35, Houston 34

Turnovers: LA Clippers 16, Houston 15

Not exactly a defensive struggle. You can see the signs of fatigue in those two-point shooting categories. Neither stop unit put up much of a fight Read more



Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Handicapping: Scoring has been down nation-wide

01.16.2013     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It looks like scoring in college basketball is on pace for an historical low this season. Since 1952, only once have we seen the national average below 68 ppg. We're currently at that mark with it expected to dip now that conference play is underway. There are some theories. One would be departures to the NBA – something that has been taking place for years. Next, and this makes a little more sense, is technology with teams able to quickly and efficiently put together film on the opposition. Due to the crazy totals market it's hard to get an accurate number on nation-wide results. One site claims 53.5% of games have gone under the total in regulation.


"There's so much more film now than there was when I first started in the mid 1990s," Groce said Monday on the Big Ten teleconference. "I could go right now to the office and say, 'I want every underneath out-of-bounds play that Northwestern ran in the last 30 games,' and my video guy could get me that in 15 minutes.

"There are a

Read more



Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Handicapping: Louisville Cardinals win again with defense

01.15.2013     11:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s time for our semi-annual reminder that Rick Pitino is one of the best defensive coaches in college basketball. The media is doing a better job of recognizing this. But, the sentiment you’re hearing now is about how great THIS particular Louisville defense is…rather than how great Louisville is on defense every year.

Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive ratings…which account for both tempo and quality of opposition…currently have Louisville as the #1 defense in the country. Just like Read more



Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence




Mountain West Betting News and Notes 1-15-2013

01.15.2013     06:59 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wyoming Suspends Second-Leading Scorer Luke Martinez

Luke Martinez has been suspended indefinitely from the Wyoming basketball team as the result of a bar fight last month that left him with a broken finger.

According to the Star-Tribune, there were charges filed against Martinez this weekend as a result of the incident.

Martinez is the second-leading scorer for the Cowboys, a team that remained undefeated until last week and that has set themselves up nicely for a run at an NCAA tournament berth. There is no doubt that this injury — and the suspension — puts a dent into those plans.

Head coach Larry Shyatt has said that Martinez will not return to the team until the legal system has taken its course. For now, the Cowboys are going with a starting lineup consisting of three point guards and a pair Read more



Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys Air Force Falcons Colorado State Rams Nevada Wolf Pack Rob Veno




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Championship News and Quotes

01.14.2013     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re down to the Final Four in the NFL Playoffs, with two compelling championship game matchups set for next Sunday.  I’ve spent all year writing about these teams using my own words.  This week, I thought it would make an interesting read to focus on the numerous quotes offered by various players and coaches.  Who’s saying what heading into the biggest games of the season?  In Part I, we take a look at the NFC Championship with San Francisco a 3.5-point favorite at Atlanta.

Atlanta Falcons – The Falcons finally got the monkey off their backs with their first playoff victory in the Mike Smith/Matt Ryan era.  And Atlanta has one advantage that the Packers didn’t have facing a mobile QB in Colin Kaepernick on Sunday – they’ve already faced Cam Newton (twice), Robert Griffin and Russell Wilson.  However, former 49ers head coach and current Falcons defensive coordinator Mike Nolan saw his defense get picked apart in three of those four games (allowing 28+ points), and the one that they didn’t (against the Redskins) was a game where RGIII left early due to a Read more



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons Teddy Covers



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