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November

26

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College Basketball Handicapping: Schedule toughens for top teams

02.08.2012     07:04 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For those that follow college basketball scheduling and like to note strength of schedule, RPI and more, here is an update on top team Kentucky’s schedule along with others of note.
Between Kentucky and Louisville, their combined 15 remaining regular season games include nine against the top 35 teams in the RPI.

Kentucky is No. 3 in RPI and passed its test Tuesday with a big home win over Florida. The Wildcats have four of their remaining six home games against teams currently ranked in AP Top 25. Kentucky’s strength of schedule ranked 83rd in the RPI prior to playing Florida, and is projected by Statsheet.com to be No. 50 nationally at the end of the regular season.

Ohio State held off Purdue yesterday and the Buckeyes are projected to go from No. 34 to No. 12 in SOS by season’s end and join Kentucky and Syracuse as projected No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Ohio State is No. 4 in RPI currently.

North Carolina plays Duke tonight in a key ACC showdown with first place at stake, and the Tar Heels are projected to go from No. 42 to No. 12 by seasons end while Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




College Basketball Free Play: Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats

02.07.2012     01:54 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida +9 at Kentucky O/U 141.5
Recommendation: Florida


The Florida Gators have just about everything I like to look for out of a road underdog.  We’ve seen the Gators in this role twice already this season at Ohio State and at Syracuse; two teams – like the Kentucky squad they’ll face tonight – with legitimate national championship potential.   Florida was in both games right through the final buzzer, losing by four and seven points while covering the pointspread in both instances.

This is nothing new or different for Billy Donovan’s Gators.  This team has the type of veteran leadership we love to see in the backcourt, with senior guard Erving Walker and junior guard Kenny Boynton combining for 191 career starts between them.  No surprise then, that in the Walker-Boynton era, Florida is 16-5-1 ATS as underdogs.  And this year’s Gator team might be the best of the bunch! Read more


Tags: College Basketball Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: Efficiency margins in league play

02.07.2012     11:15 AM     Printer Friendly
Basketball Prospectus' John Gasaway put together a fabulous blog breaking down the conference-by-conference points per possession scored and allowed in league play.

Here are the top efficiency margins (PPP-Opponent PPP)
ACC - Florida State +0.14
Big XII - Kansas +0.18
Big East - Syracuse +0.19
Big Ten - Ohio State +0.27
PAC-12 - California +0.14
SEC - Kentucky +0.28
Atlantic-10 - Temple +0.12
Colonial - Drexel +0.17
C-USA - Memphis +0.16
Horizon - Cleveland State +0.19
Missouri Valley - Wichita State +0.18
Mountain West - New Mexico +0.21
West Coast - St. Mary's +0.22
WAC - Nevada +0.12



Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Gambling: Purdue a big underdog at Ohio State

02.07.2012     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Purdue at Ohio State -14.5 O/U 128

We'll see what type of pride Purdue has tonight in Columbus after getting blasted 78-61 at home against rival Indiana last Saturday. Without the services of JaJuan Johnson and E'Twaun Moore – both in the NBA – the Boilermakers have really struggled to get easy looks on the offensive end. But perhaps more startling is their dramatic decline defensively. Purdue hasn't been a double-digit underdog since 2008 (+10 at Wisconsin). Last year, the Boilermakers were catching +7.5 at Ohio State and lost 87-64.

Defensive efficiency vs. Big Ten (conference rank)
2012 - 107.6 (7th)
2011 - 99.1 (1st)
2010 - 94.7 (2nd)
2009 - 95.9 (3rd)
2008 - 94.3 (2nd)




Tags: College Basketball Purdue Boilermakers Ohio State Buckeyes




NBA Betting News and Notes 2-6-2012

02.06.2012     01:30 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Super Bowl is in the history books but the NBA All-Star Game is already on the horizon and there are all kinds of interesting goings on around the league right now.  This week, I’ll focus on a handful of teams with notes and quotes that can point us in the right direction for our NBA wagers.

Dallas Mavericks – When you look at the Dallas statistical profile this year, one thing stands out like a sore thumb.  Dirk Nowitzki  – the Mavs longtime superstar and the guy who guided them to their first ever NBA title last summer – has basically been a non-factor from Day 1.  Last year, Dirk led the team in scoring at 23 points per game.  He was the Mavs #2 rebounder, behind Tyson Chandler.  He shot better than 51% from the floor for the entire season, and better than 39% from three point range.  But, even after taking four games off to ‘improve his conditioning’, Dirk’s 2012 numbers can only be considered a major disappointment.

The numbers don’t lie.  Dirk is scoring only 17.2 points per game this year.  His shooting percentage is down to 45.5% and Read more


Tags: NBA Dallas Mavericks Houston Rockets Miami Heat New Orleans Hornets Teddy Covers




Handicapper Fairway Jay: Super Sunday part of Fantastic February

02.06.2012     10:48 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

We nailed our top-play 20*Big Drive winner on the New York Giants and their Super Bowl XLVI win over the New England Patriots, 21-17. While I also projected a higher-scoring game, field position did not allow for more points despite over 750 yards offense and both teams moving the ball pretty well at 5.6 yards per play. The Giants ability to control the ball, clock (37 minutes) and chains kept New England’s potent pass attack on the sidelines and Eli Manning led another fourth quarter touchdown drive to clinch the victory.

New York’s victory completed a strong pointspread prognosis finish in the NFL playoffs as we went a perfect 6-0 on our top-rated Big Drive selections and capped of another winning season overall. If was our fourth straight profitable postseason.

On to the hardwood and fantastic finishes ahead in college basketball as teams shoot for regular season and conference tournament titles along with their push to and through the NCAA Tournament and other college basketball postseason tournaments.   This is the most exciting time of the year in college basketball, along with strong handicapping situations involving second meets, Read more


Tags: NFL College Basketball __




Big Ten Betting Free Play: Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans

02.05.2012     08:39 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan at Michigan State -7 O/U 124.5
Recommendation: Michigan State


Michigan (7-3) has beaten Michigan State (6-3) three straight times and the games are becoming more meaningful as the Wolverines return to the top part of the Big Ten standings.  Michigan snapped an 11-game losing skid in East Lansing a year ago, and appear to have the defense, speed and talent to battle with better teams. Clearly they have a quality coach with John Beilein, but the Spartans and Tom Izzo will play this as their most meaningful game of the season thus far. Here are some things to watch in today’s Big Ten battle on national TV.

Michigan State (17-5) actually sports the better defense overall, allowing just 59 ppg and 38% FG shooting in league play. Both teams are hitting 46-47% of their shots in league play, but the Read more


Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans __




College Basketball ATS Preview: Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini

02.05.2012     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern at Illinois -5.5 O/U 130

Just going by results, it is hard to imagine supporting Illinois (16-6, 5-4) is this type of price range considering the margin of its first nine Big Ten games were 9 (OT), 15, 1, 5, 5, 5, 2, 3, 5 (OT) and 1. And right before league play started, the Illini lost to Missouri by four and beat Cornell by that same margin. Now on the flip side, supporting a Northwestern squad is this type of price range on the road can get tricky as well. Away from Evanston, the Wildcats have lost conference games by margins of 33, 2 (OT), 20 and 23. Northwestern is also a very banged up basketball team. Illinois won the first meeting, 57-56, in Evanston.


As Carmody said after the Nebraska game, "So little separates wins from losses the last few Read more



Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Preview: High scoring affair on the horizon

02.03.2012     07:32 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’m not in agreement with the recent downward move on the Super Bowl total; now at 54 and even 53 at Pinnacle. While many are pointing out that seven of the last eight Super Bowls lined at 46.5 points or higher have gone under the total, I note that the last three Super Bowls all had at least 47 points scored including last year’s 31-25 Green Bay win over Pittsburgh (a side winner for us). The Saints beat the Colts in 2009 as a touchdown underdog, 31-17 (a side winner for us), but the game finished under the posted total of 56.5 points. 

Like that contest, Super Bowl XLVI has two top quarterbacks that are supremely skilled, polished, poised and precise in their passing and play. Going against suspect secondaries on both sides in perfect conditions should result in plenty of big plays in the passing game. The linesmaker is also projecting big passing days by both Eli Manning and Tom Brady, with over/under passing yards posted at 312 and 323 respectively. Both teams will spread the field with their talented receivers and take advantage of two poor pass defenses. Each quarterback is also very comfortable and efficient operating the no-huddle offense.  Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI __




NBA Handicapping: New York Knicks push pace and find offensive stride

02.03.2012     07:05 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We cashed our Eastern Conference O/U Game of the Month to close out January and followed it up with another 20* O/U Game of the Month winner last night when the Bulls beat the Knicks 105-102. That’s back-to-back top-play 20* Big Drive winners on Knicks games over the total after they pounded the Pistons in their previous game 113-86. Both games went over the posted total by at least 15 points. With Carmelo Anthony out of the lineup, the Knicks pushed the pace in a pair of losses before the last two games, and ‘Melo scored 25 and 26 points in his return the past two games as New York opened up their offense, hit more shots and pushed the pace. The Pistons were the perfect opponent to appease the restless New York fans, and despite yesterday’s loss to the Bulls, New York is a team worth riding over the total with their sub-par defense and more open offense.

Here is my game write-up of the Knicks-Pistons game provided to clients earlier this week.  Recent play, insightful information and positive pointspread prognosis led us to another over the total Big Drive winner.


We’re projecting plenty of running, shooting and scoring Read more



Tags: NBA New York Knicks __



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