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Big East Handicapping Preview: Georgetown at Seton Hall
01.18.2011 08:46 AM
Rob Veno
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno
Georgetown -3.5 at Seton Hall O/U 137.5
Recommendation: Over
The return of Pirates shooting guard Jeremy Hazell to the starting lineup last week makes nearly all of Seton Hall’s game results prior to January 12 irrelevant where totals are concerned. In the ten lined games without Hazell, Seton Hall totals generated over 134 points just once. In the five lined games with Hazell, Seton Hall totals have hit 145 or more three times. Only very pedestrian Temple and very rugged Pittsburgh have been able to keep the Pirates “under” the total with Hazell on the floor.
Tonight’s opponent Georgetown is neither pedestrian nor rugged so expect the Pirates at home to post 70 points here. Hazell and his team mates have had a pair of road games to mesh together once again and the quickness of their three-guard trio plus the complimentary scoring of forward Herb Pope can do some damage versus the Hoyas.
Offensive advantages don’t pertain solely to Seton Hall in this one
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Tags:
Seton Hall Pirates
Jeremy Hazell
Georgetown Hoyas
Big East
Rob Veno
College Basketball
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Big East Betting Pick: DePaul at Marquette
01.18.2011 06:57 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
DePaul +19.5 at Marquette O/U150.5
Recommendation: DePaul
Marquette is one of my favorite teams to watch and of course bet but I am a bit uncomfortable with tonight's line against DePaul. The Golden Eagles simply do not come off as the type of team built to win by such a dramatic margin. Now they've been able to do so at times, but I don’t think DePaul is as bad as people think.
Considering what cards Oliver Purnell was dealt, the results haven’t been that bad. They hung with the likes of Oklahoma State, Stanford, Georgetown, West Virginia and Seton Hall. The only game in Big East play DePaul lost by 20 was against UConn and the FG differential was an astronomical 31.9% - 50.9%.
The bottom line is when you run through all of DePaul's efficiency numbers you'll notice that they aren't really good. But that is the key. DePaul’s stats are mediocre at best yet more often than not, they are playing teams to less than tonight's margin. Last season, DePaul's lone Big East
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Tags:
Marquette Golden Eagles
DePaul Blue Demons
Big East
Andrew Lange
College Basketball
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Billy Walters was big on Kansas State
01.17.2011 06:48 AM
Printer Friendly
Last night,
60 Minutes ran the Billy Walters segment
. The piece was fairly informative with details on Walters’ upbringing as well as how he runs his day-to-day operation. When 60 Minutes discussed how he likes to manipulate the lines in order to get a better price, we listen in as Walters talk to one of his associates. You can hear him spit out “8.5 on Game 539”. That was a non-conference game on December 11 of this past year between Kansas State and Loyola-Chicago. The line was hovering around 8.5, 9 and 9.5 most of the day (see CRIS line moves below). It appears that he liked the KSU side and was looking at 8.5 as a strike price. Kansas State ended up winning 68-60.
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ACC Betting Free Pick: North Carolina at Georgia Tech
01.16.2011 08:17 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
North Carolina at Georgia Tech
Recommendation: Georgia Tech +3 first half
As inconsistent as Georgia Tech has been this season, I'm willing to get involved in tonight's contest against North Carolina. The Tar Heels still have a lot of talent, but things simply don't come as easy anymore. They are 2-0 in conference play but were less than impressive in wins over Virginia and Virginia Tech.
All of those negatives however can easily be said about Georgia Tech. I've never been a big fan of head coach Paul Hewitt, whose let-em-play philosophy often backfires when games get tight. Take a look at the Yellow Jackets' results; 4-point loss to Syracuse, 1-point loss to Georgia, 5-point loss to Siena, 2-OT loss to Charlotte. GT hasn't won a game by single-digits this season, which again means the talent and capabilities are there but execution come crunch time is obviously lacking. With all that being said, if there is a good performance to be had for Tech, it is coming tonight. The Yellow Jackets have
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North Carolina Tar Heels
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
ACC
Andrew Lange
College Basketball
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CBB Betting Trends: Second half Overs have been gold for Providence
01.14.2011 07:26 AM
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On yesterday's
Sportsmemo Radio Show
, Helmut mentioned that it is difficult to play Providence games under the total because the second halves tend to get out of control. Nowhere was this more apparent than last night against West Virginia.
The Mountaineers built a 69-37 lead with 10 minutes to go. The total closed at 152, which meant over bettors needed 47 points to cash a ticket. Thanks to seven free throws, a couple of three-pointers and 23 points in the last five minutes, the game landed 156.
It is early but in five Big East games, Providence has gone over the total in the second half four times. The lone under was by a half-point. Playing Providence games over the total has always been a moneymaker (10-4 O/U) but keep an eye out for favorable adjusted line second half opportunities. Given the way some of these games have played out, you got a good shot to cash not one but two tickets.
Providence 2nd Half Results in Big East play
Opponent
Halftime Score
2nd Half Total
2nd Half Score
Result
West Virginia
46-20
77.5
43-47
Over
Rutgers
35-33
77
37-52
Over
Pittsburgh
38-31
79
45-48
Over
St. John's
28-24
76
39-41
Over
Syracuse
32-42
81.5
42-39
Under
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NBA Betting Stock Watch: Favorable schedule provides value on Golden State
01.13.2011 09:58 AM
ER Sports
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Submitted by ER Sports
Erin Rynning has been one of the nation’s top NBA producers with five straight winning seasons. For information on how to join ER for a sixth consecutive profitable campaign,
check out his homepage at sportsmemo.com
.
Buy the Golden State Warriors
– The Warriors started the campaign in promising fashion with straight up and ATS wins in six of their first eight contests. The change at the head coach position from the aging and hard-to-get-along-with Don Nelson to Keith Smart showed solid potential. However, injuries and sup-bar play set in shortly after the hot start and the Warriors lost 14 of their next 16 games. Along the way Stephen Curry, David Lee and Andris Biedrins combined to miss close to 30 games. That’s three of the team’s starting five.
With the calendar turning to January and everyone seemingly healthy the Warriors are now poised to improve
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Erin Rynning
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CBB Betting Watch: Breakout year looks doubtful for Northwestern
01.12.2011 02:25 PM
Helmut Sports
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Submitted by Helmut Sports
I thought for sure this was going to be the year Northwestern finally made it to the NCAA tournament. After all the Wildcats were coming off a school-record 20 wins and returned four of five starters including their best three players, John Shurna, Michael “Juice” Thompson and Drew Crawford.
They got off to a fast start by winning their first eight games including some decisive wins over Georgia Tech and Creighton. At the time everything looked in place. Then came the Madison Square Garden Holiday Festival championship game – their first true road test – against St. John’s. The Wildcats got out to a good start and led by three at the half, but faded late and lost by double-digits as a short 2.5-point underdog.
Those struggles continued as they opened Big Ten play 0-3. The Wildcats lost at Purdue by 13 followed by a narrow three-point loss at home against Michigan State – they trailed by double-digits most of the game. Against Illinois, Northwestern
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John Shurna
Helmut Sports
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CBB Betting Alert: Hazell upgraded to probable for Seton Hall
01.12.2011 01:29 PM
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Seton Hall -3 at DePaul O/U 139.5
Seton Hall guard Jeremy Hazell has been
upgraded to probable
for tonight's road contest against DePaul. Hazell broke a bone in his non-shooting wrist early in the season and was forced to miss time. Over the Christmas break, Hazell was then shot near his home in Harlem. An unnamed source stated that there was a "90 percent" chance Hazell would suit up tonight.
When it comes to key players, few in the Big East mean more to their team. Hazell averaged 24 ppg in his first three games as the Pirates went 2-1, including 92- and 83-point efforts. Since his departure, Seton Hall has averaged 64.9 ppg and shot 28% from three-point range. The last three games have been particularly horrific offensively; 70-53 loss at Cincinnati, 73-54 loss at Louisville, 61-56 loss vs. Syracuse. News of Hazell's potential return sparked the betting market to push Seton
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DePaul Blue Demons
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CBB Handicapping: Three double-digit underdogs worth a look
01.12.2011 01:07 PM
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Three matchups on tonight's college basketball card show dramatic pointspread inflation compared to some of the more recent meetings.
Yesterday’s targeted teams
went 2-1 ATS as Auburn and Oklahoma both slipped under the number while BYU,
thanks to this guy
, handled rival Utah with ease.
South Florida at Cincinnati -14
The Bearcats are off to a 15-1 start and ranked in the top 25 but find themselves with a potentially inflated pointspread for tonight's game against South Florida. The Bulls have covered five straight against the Bearcats – all lined at single-digits.
Southern Illinois at Missouri State -13
Another situation with an inflated pointspread and the underdog showing a strong
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Big XII Free Betting Pick: Colorado at Kansas State
01.12.2011 09:18 AM
Alatex Sports
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Submitted by Alatex Sports
Colorado at Kansas State -10 O/U 149.5
Recommendation: Kansas State
Colorado is coming off a big 89-76 upset win at home over Missouri. The Buffs got 36 points from guard Alec Burks and easily solved the Tigers pressure defense which led to plenty of good looks. They will face a much tougher task tonight on the road, however, as Kansas State comes in off a loss at Oklahoma State. The Wildcats will be fired up for their conference opener and unlike Missouri, KSU will provide some resistance on the defensive end of the court. Colorado obviously wants to get out transition, but I expect K-State to force the Buffs to score in the half court. The Wildcats have had problems of their own this year on offense, but they should be able to exploit Colorado's soft defense and tendency to play poorly away from home. I like the spot an expect KSU to cruise to victory.
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Colorado Buffaloes
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Big XII
Brent Crow
College Basketball
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