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College Basketball Handicapping: ACC favored over Big Ten in upcoming series

11.28.2011     11:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The series is in its 13th year with the ACC winning the first ten. The Big Ten though has taken the last two, both at 6-5. From a straight up perspective, the ACC is 72-47 overall (41-13 at home, 24-31 on the road, and 7-3 neutral). Some of the historical top performers include Duke (11-1), Maryland (9-3), Wake Forest (9-2) and Boston College (5-0). No team from the Big Ten owns a winning record all-time (Ohio State and Wisconsin both .500).

Tournament Odds (The Greek)
ACC -220
Big Ten +180

Tuesday
Miami at Purdue
Northwestern at Georgia Tech
Illinois at Maryland
Michigan at Virginia
Clemson at Iowa
Duke at Ohio State

Wednesday
Indiana at NC State
Penn State at Boston College
Florida State at Michigan State
Virginia Tech at Minnesota
Wake Forest at Nebraska
Wisconsin at North Carolina




Tags: College Basketball ACC Big Ten




Handicapper Teddy Covers: Week 12 AFC Betting News and Notes

11.28.2011     08:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy Covers’ unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC News and Notes from Week 12.

Buffalo
Is it too early to call CJ Spiller a bust? He was an amazing playmaker at Clemson and the No. 9 overall draft choice by the Bills, but he's shown exactly zero playmaking ability at the NFL level. His long carry today, replacing Fred Jackson as the starter? Nine yards. In 25 games over two years with Buffalo (156 rushes and receptions coming following the game), Spiller has found the end zone only twice – less than the number of times that he's fumbled. And his contribution to the return game hasn't done a darn thing. Just their current four game skid, the Bills have collapsed on both sides of the football. This was their best offensive performance in nearly two months, but the secondary got absolutely torched in the second half. Without pro bowl caliber cornerback Terrance McGee (IR) in Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Buffalo Bills Houston Texans Jacksonsville Jaguars New York Jets Tennessee Titans Oakland Raiders Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Notes: Taking a look at the money burners

11.27.2011     06:34 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Taking a look at a handful of college basketball teams that have been “money burners” thus far. Most of these teams can continue to be bet against as the oddsmakers and market have been slow to catch up. Keep in mind though that those with new personnel will eventually become more adjusted  as coaches work to create the right player rotation. When that happens, teams can flip the switch from “money burners” to “money earners”. 

Texas Tech (0-4 ATS, Next Game: 11/27 vs. Wake Forest) - Hiring Billy Gillispie was a good move -- for the long term. Pat Knight didn't leave much in terms of talent and the bad habits that plagued the Red Raiders during Knight's tenure are still present. The fact that Tech is an underdog to Wake Forest on a neutral court tells you just how sour oddmakers and the market currently are. They'll be catching plenty of points once Big XII play starts.

Texas (0-3 ATS, Next Game: 11/29 vs. North Texas) - Usually the market doesn't take too kindly to teams returning less than two starters but the Longhorns were given the benefit of the doubt with a strong group of Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers

11.25.2011     07:15 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at West Virginia -6.5 O/U 57

The Backyard Brawl always brings back fond memories, as we cashed our biggest outright underdog winner ever in 2007 when Pittsburgh (+29) went to Morgantown and beat No. 2 West Virginia, 13-9. We had a top play 20* Big Drive play on the side and also cashed the under as West Virginia blew its chance to play in the BCS Championship. Last year the Panthers were pounded in Pittsburgh in a 35-10 West Virginia win. The Big East is balanced this year with no team showing superior strength. These are the league’s top two scoring teams and West Virginia is the Big East’s strongest offense averaging 462 ypg in conference play including 361 passing ypg. But Pitt can run the ball and clock with 183 rushing ypg against Big East foes and have the league’s No. 2 pass defense to try and slow what the Mountaineers do best. Two first-year coaches lead their teams in the final edition of the Backyard Brawl, and Pittsburgh Read more


Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Pittsburgh Panthers Big East __




College Basketball Free Play: UW-Milwaukee Panthers at Michigan State Spartans

11.23.2011     12:23 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisc-Milwaukee at Michigan State -13 O/U 129.5
Recommendation: Over


Michigan State has said that it wants to run more this season and through the first four games, each outing featured 70 possessions or more. They've haven't produced many big scores but the schedule had a lot to do with it. The game against North Carolina was played on an aircraft carrier which gave no chance for either team to feel comfortable offensively. Against Duke, it was a sloppy game with 36 turnovers but 74 possessions and 135 points. The last two times out, MSU played non-competitive games against Texas Southern and Arkansas-Little Rock – two bottom feeder teams that are extremely weak offensively. Tonight's opponent Wisconsin-Milwaukee shows some great defensive numbers because the competition has been awful (NIU, IUPUI, Texas Southern). The Panthers have always been a team that tends to play to the pace of their opponents. Last year against up-tempo teams Read more


Tags: College Basketball UW-Milwaukee Panthers Michigan State Spartans Andrew Lange




Fairway Jay: Inside the NFL Betting Numbers Week 11

11.23.2011     08:26 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. For over a decade, Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing point spread winners. Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in NFL handicapping and you can follow his articles and insight in the Sportsmemo daily blog and on Twitter: @FairwayJay

Week 11 NFL favorites went 10-4 straight up and 6-6-2 against the spread. For the season, betting favorites are 75-78-7 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. Five division games in Week 11 and division underdogs went 2-3 SU and 3-1-1 ATS. Home underdogs went 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS, and for the season home underdogs are 17-28 SU and 23-21-1 ATS. Totals went 6-8 over/under with an average game score of 43.85 ppg. Totals are now 77-81-2 O/U YTD. There have Read more


Tags: NFL __




NCAAF Pointspread Preview: Louisville Cardinals vs. South Florida Bulls

11.22.2011     01:22 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

copy_cfb_game_previews_11.jpg

Louisville at South Florida (Friday, 8 am PT - ESPN2)
CRIS Opener: South Florida -3 O/U 43.5
CRIS Current: South Florida -3 (-115) O.U 43.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: South Florida -6

We have two teams here that have been heading in opposite directions for the better part of two months now. USF has been a train wreck since late September, losers of five of its last six games overall. They’ve covered just one spread in their last seven contests and were favored in each game. Louisville meanwhile has morphed into a solid bunch under head coach Charlie Strong with wins in four of its last five games and ATS victories in six of seven.

The Bulls can attribute this lack of production to a number of issues including, but not limited to, injuries to various key offensive personnel. The receiving corps in particular has been hit hard with the loss of leading Read more


Tags: College Football South Florida Bulls Louisville Cardinals Big East Otto Sports




College Basketball Handicapping: Gearing up for Thanksgiving tournament action

11.21.2011     09:05 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re off to a sizzling 8-2 start in college basketball following Valparaiso’s 84-68 demolishing of Duquesne Sunday. The Crusaders were a 3-point home underdog as the host of the 2k Classic and money came in strong on Valpo prior to tip off. Strong support was also in favor of our top play Saturday as Long Beach State (+3) had an adjusted power rating line of at least three points following their big upset of Pittsburgh November 16th (a Big Drive winner for us). But we could have use an extra few points Saturday as we suffered a very tough loss when Long Beach State lost to San Diego State 71-67 in overtime. If you missed the final seconds of regulation and overtime, Long Beach was trailing by two points with three seconds remaining in regulation. The 49ers had the ball after a timeout planning their final possession and shot. Long Beach State planned a 3-point shot off a screen for premier point guard Casper Ware. But a San Diego State player committed an ill-advised foul on the screen as the ball was being put into play. Ware calmly made both free throws under pressure to send the game into overtime. Long Beach was already penalized by the officials when their top Read more


Tags: College Basketball __




Handicapper Teddy Covers: Week 11 NFC Betting News and Notes

11.21.2011     08:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re officially into the homestretch of the NFL season. Every team has now had their bye week, with the last four (Texans, Colts, Saints, Steelers) coming this past Sunday. The three Thanksgiving Day games and the full Sunday slate that follows are the start of that final push towards the postseason.

Just to illustrate how much can change, last year at this time, the Falcons and Patriots were the only teams in the NFL with eight wins and ranked at or near the top of nearly every set of power rankings. As you probably recall, both Atlanta and New England lost their home opener in the playoffs; complete non-factors in January and (of course) February. Meanwhile, the Lions were in the midst of a 4-38 SU run dating back to 2008, arguably the single worst team in the NFL; prior to their late season surge that set the stage for their 2011 revival.

We’ll see a handful of teams morph again this year, turning a positive late season run into a strong pointspread record or a negative late season run into dismal pointspread results. My goal this week is to break down the 16 teams in the NFC, hoping to identify some of these potential ‘morphers’ Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Another view of rushing success and pointspread profit

11.21.2011     07:40 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Every week I write a variety of articles and post blogs discussing and reviewing NFL information to better assist you in pursuit of profits. Some of my processes in becoming a winning pointspread prognosis professional are well documented.  Success starts with fundamentals, preparation and production at the point of attack. I thought I would share some additional stats to hammer home the importance of controlling the line of scrimmage and having success running the ball and/or stopping the run.

As a refresher, teams that have a meaningful rushing advantage over their opponent in a NFL game cover the pointspread approximately 75% of the time (I have a 10-year data base to support). And it’s even stronger when teams run the ball at least 30 times in a game.

So here is some additional evidence in support of a strong running game. In Week 11 NFL action (Monday pending), teams that rushed the ball 30 times or more went 7-0-1 ATS (yes, our top-play on Atlanta was the push). Teams that rushed the ball 20 times or less went 1-5-1 ATS (yes, Tennessee with 14 running plays was the push). Over the past four weeks, this simple profile has seen teams that run the Read more


Tags: NFL __



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 01, 2014 12:46 AM.