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Big Ten Tournament Gambling Preview

03.08.2012     06:08 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Favorite – Ohio State – The Big Ten conference featured a three-way tie for the regular season title with Ohio State, Michigan State and Michigan all at 13-5. However, after the Buckeyes took care of business in East Lansing last week they are priced as small favorites to cut down the nets in Indianapolis on Sunday. A team like Michigan could very well be satisfied with its regular season first place finish, while looking instead to peak for the Big Dance. And under Tom Izzo, Michigan State is notorious for not putting much emphasis on this tournament. As for the Buckeyes, they are led by All-American Jered Sullinger (16.9 ppg), Aaron Craft and William Buford. The Buckeyes fought immaturity at times this season, but still finished with a strong 25-6 record. Ohio State perhaps peaked too early in 2011 (34-3, lost in the Sweet Sixteen) but after some struggles in February, the tournament could serve as a springboard to the Big Dance.

Darkhorse – Northwestern – The Wildcats enter the Big Ten tournament hoping to make their first-ever trip to the NCAA Tournament. With an 18-12 overall record the Wildcats are firmly on Read more


Tags: College Basketball Erin Rynning




PAC-12 Tournament Gambling Preview

03.07.2012     12:56 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Of all the major conference tournaments in play this week, the PAC-12 has the weakest field and the least fan support.  It’s been a second consecutive down year for the PAC-12.  Last year, the league sent only three teams to the Big Dance, all seeded #5 or higher.  This year, the at-large bid situation is even worse.  The PAC-12 doesn’t have a single team that is comfortably in the Big Dance, with Cal, Oregon and Washington still needing wins to secure potential bids.  So while the Staples Center will be half empty for most of the weekend, in a league without a clear favorite to win the title, the PAC-12’s automatic bid from winning the conference championship title just might be the only bid this league gets in 2012.

The odds clearly show how deep this field is, and how weak the top teams truly are.   Cal and Washington are the two favorites, despite both teams coming up short in their ‘must win’ games for the conference title last weekend.  The Bears lost back-to-back games at Colorado and Stanford, negating their chance to win the regular season title.  Meanwhile, the Huskies lost at UCLA, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Tips: Things to look for in second half wagers

03.07.2012     06:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

Wanted to point out this halftime box score (see below) of the Eastern Washington-Montana game. Everyone has their own philosophies for making halftime bets but I thought I'd share a few of my own as far as what I look for. For starters, I leaned Eastern Washington +10.5 as Montana's home court, while tough, is often inflated. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to watch the game – something I usually like to do when betting halftimes. But in this instance, I was very familiar with both sides and was able to track the contest using live stats.

copy_montana_halftime.JPG

In the first half, Montana obviously couldn't shoot straight while Eastern Washington was at 50%. This is already out of the norm as Montana defends and EWU typically does not. And this late in the season, you are what you are, especially on defense. So with five minutes to play, Eastern took an 11-point lead. It was a big moment because down 10 or more at half likely keeps me off of any 2nd half play with Montana. But the Grizzlies knocked down a shot, and a few more, and went into the break only down 5 – a nice swing in momentum which is always nice to have. But while the margin was more Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting: Western Kentucky battles North Texas for Sun Belt crown

03.06.2012     06:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Western Kentucky vs. North Texas

The No. 5 seed will take on the No. 7 seed in tonight's Sun Belt Conference Championship. North Texas defeated Arkansas State while Western Kentucky pulled off another upset with a victory over No. 3 Denver. The once proud Western Kentucky program hit near rock bottom earlier in the year and went so far as to fire head coach Ken McDonald after a 5-11 start. Ray Harper took over but the losing continued. The Hilltoppers were at one point 6-15 overall and 2-6 in Sun Belt play. But things started to turn around after a few wins, including a big victory over Middle Tennessee in the season finale. From there, three straight coin-flip wins in the conference tournament and they find themselves Read more


Tags: College Basketball Western Kentucky Hilltoppers North Texas Mean Green




Big East Conference Tournament Gambling Preview

03.05.2012     12:49 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Big East Conference Tournament
Madison Square Garden / New York, NY / Host: St. John’s


Favorite - #1 Syracuse
The Orange have been the class of the league from start to finish. On a neutral court, my power ratings have them three points better than the next closest Big East team (Marquette) which gives them the third highest differential of the six BCS conferences. They’re going to be difficult to beat in this tournament because of their ability to adapt to any style. They’re not a great half court offensive team but they’re good enough and their 2-3 zone defense is so long and active that it can win games for them. In a transition style they’re as fast and efficient as any conference team including Marquette. The best way to defeat them is to force them into playing half court offense, allow just one shot and then rebound and play aggressive transition offense. It’s easier said and very difficult to do, but slowing them down and getting easy baskets before their defense can set up is necessary. All that said, and as good as Syracuse is, they do enter this tournament on a poor 4-8 ATS run Read more


Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Marquette Golden Eagles UConn Huskies Georgetown Hoyas Rob Veno




Who has what it takes to win the 2012 National Championship Part II

03.05.2012     10:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In Part I of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 14 NCAA champions. From that profile, I was able to make a short list of potential champs in 2012, consisting of the following 14 teams: Duke, North Carolina, Syracuse, Marquette, Georgetown, Louisville, Michigan State, Ohio State, Indiana, Kansas, Missouri, Baylor, Kentucky and Florida.

I’ll wager dollars to donuts that the 2012 champion is one of these teams. The next step, of course, is to eliminate teams one by one, slowly but surely working our way towards the eventual national champ.

The first step in the elimination process is to look at the team’s records away from home. The NCAA championship is not won on a team’s home floor. Even with a favorable location one weekend, a team is still going to have to win four ‘neutral site’ games in order to cut down the nets in New Orleans on the first Monday in April. And the best predictive evidence for future Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Bettor makes $100K horse wager but cancels at last second

03.05.2012     07:34 AM     Printer Friendly
Weird situation at Arkansas' Oaklawn Race Track saw a simulcast bettor from California cancel a $100K wager right before post. It caused a huge disturbance in the betting pools but no foul play was discovered. The horse that was originally wagered on finished last.


“He placed the bet early, watched a race on the simulcast, and didn’t like what he saw,” Marten said, when asked what reason the bettor gave for cancelling the bet. “Something with the track, and also a further review of the past performances. This is someone who has made a lot of big bets before, large bets that he hasn’t cancelled.”











Victor Chandler talks about the state of match fixing

03.05.2012     06:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
British sportsbook giant Victor Chandler on match fixing how dirty the cricket betting markets can be.


"At least 10 years ago we steered clear of taking large bets from Indians and Pakistanis on cricket," he says. "The suspicion was that they seemed to know more than we did, and we got our bottom smacked a few times, in a big way. In those days it was more on the result of the match, but the markets they offer in India now are unbelievable, betting on each ball. There's a huge illegal bookmaking business there, which could be taxed and regulated..."

"The lower levels of tennis are a bit dangerous, and we've seen some large bets in eastern Europe," he says. "But in recent years there's been very little to worry about. Football... it's very hard to influence a game, but if we had any suspicions then we as an industry would be shouting very loudly. I mean, one looks at the Italian leagues at the end of a season, when games tend to end in draws if they want them to, but we build that in to Read more








College Basketball Betting News and Notes 3-4-2012

03.04.2012     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are some news and notes for Sunday's college basketball action.

Purdue's 78-61 loss to Indiana back on February 4 has served as a turning point with the team going 5-2 since and playing itself into position for a postseason berth.


"I just got tired of begging people to play hard,'' said Painter, who was openly critical of the Boilermakers' effort after that game. "If you're not going to play hard, we're going to play other guys. That's just the way it is."



Florida tries to keep Kentucky from a perfect SEC season. The Gators lost a Rupp Arena 78-58 back on February 7.

Illinois head coach Read more


Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Free Play: Wyoming Cowboys at UNLV Rebels

03.03.2012     07:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wyoming at UNLV -10.5 O/U 127
Recommendation: Over


In the war against meaningless games, scoring often wins out and that is where we will look for tonight’s UNLV-Wyoming matchup. While UNLV may apply on-ball pressure, after a few extra passes this defense is very susceptible. Just look what took place at Colorado State – the Rams just wore UNLV down with 40 points in the second half. Wyoming isn't that type of team but they'll get more that their fair share of open looks. As for UNLV's offense, we can certainly expect bigger things (it's Senior Night!) than what we saw in Fort Collins with a season long average of 82.8 ppg at the Thomas & Mack Center. The first time these two teams met, Wyoming was for the most part able to control tempo with only 63 possessions but the game still got to 134 points. These two teams could very well face one another in the opening round of the Mountain West Tournament which has Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys UNLV Rebels Andrew Lange



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