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Ticket City Bowl Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Houston Cougars

01.01.2012     08:19 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports


Ticket City Bowl
Penn State vs. Houston
Monday, 9 am PT - ESPNU
CRIS Opener: Houston -7 O/U 57.5
CRIS Current: Houston -6.5 O/U 56.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: Houston -5

Erin Rynning's Betting Take: The Nittany Lions spent much of the season grinding out ugly wins. Pretty remarkable that they actually controlled their own destiny heading into the season finale against Wisconsin with a shot at the inaugural Big Ten title game. But PSU eventually ran out of gas and was embarrassed 42-7. To make matters worse the program felt slighted after the more marquee bowls passed them over for Ohio State, Michigan and Iowa. To make matters worse, on again/off again quarterback Matt McGloin was hurt in a locker room fight with wide receiver Curtis Drake. McGloin is extremely doubtful for this game, which means the enigmatic at best Rob Bolden is expected to start. Read more

Tags: Colllege Football Penn State Nittany Lions Houston Cougars Erin Rynning

NFL Gambling Preview: San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams

12.30.2011     01:45 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
A number of playoff scenarios and implications headline NFL Week 17 action. Here is some of the good, bad and ugly for teams in this week’s match-ups. Note that all 17 games are divisional contests.

San Francisco -10.5 at St. Louis O/U 35.5

The surprise team of the NFL can clinch the NFC’s No. 2 seed and first round bye with a win. Led by a solid ground game and bend but don’t break defense allowing just 14 ppg, the 49ers appear poised to have a playoff bye and home field game in the divisional round. San Francisco has created and benefitted from a league-best turnover margin, and quarterback Alex Smith has managed the conservative offense effectively with nearly 3,000 yards and a 16/5 TD-to-INT ratio.  At 12-3 SU and 11-3-1 ATS, the 49ers have covered the pointspread by over 105 points; best in the NFL. They take on a 2-13 SU/ATS Rams team that did manage to upset the Saints on this field as similar big underdog earlier this season. St. Louis Read more

Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers St. Louis Rams __

Chick-Fil-A Bowl Betting Preview: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Auburn Tigers

12.30.2011     10:32 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers


Chick-Fil-A Bowl
Virginia vs. Auburn
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener: Auburn -1 O/U 48.5
CRIS Current: Auburn -3 O/U 49
Teddy Covers Power Rating: Auburn -1

Teddy Covers' Betting Take: Since the end of the regular season, Auburn offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn left the program to become the Arkansas State head coach, taking a pay cut to leave town.  Then, defensive coordinator Ted Roof took a pay cut to take the same job at Central Florida.  While numerous reports have described the situation as calm, not chaotic, when both coordinators leave town before bowl season, taking pay cuts in the process, it can’t be considered a positive sign moving forward.

Auburn has on-field issues as well.  The Tigers were at their best this year when they were pounding the ball with leading rusher Michael Dyer, who finished the Read more

Tags: College Football Virginia Cavaliers Auburn Tigers Teddy Covers

Music City Bowl Betting Preview: Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State

12.30.2011     06:16 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports


Music City Bowl
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State Friday, 3:40 pm PT
CRIS Opener: Mississippi State -6.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Mississippi State -6.5 O/U 47
Rob Veno Power Rating: Mississippi State -7.5

Erin Rynning's Betting Take: The Music City Bowl presents an interesting dilemma of basic bowl handicapping – matchups vs. motivation.  You would think Wake Forest would have motivation on its side after dropping four of its last five games, including an embarrassing 41-7 loss to Vanderbilt to close out the regular season.  Meanwhile, Mississippi State could very easily be disinterested for this game.  Last season was a storybook journey for the Bulldogs, which culminated in the dismantling of famed Michigan on New Year’s Day.  This showdown with Wake Forest just might not be enough Read more

Tags: College Football Wake Forest Demon Deacons Mississippi State Bulldogs Erin Rynning

NCAA Basketball Betting: Northern Arizona and Idaho State coaching changes

12.29.2011     01:17 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Some news out of the Big Sky that seems to have flown under the radar. Both Northern Arizona and Idaho State saw their head coaches resign recently.

Joe O'Brien had a lot of success at the junior college level but could never kick start the Idaho State program (56-105 since 2006). Assistant Deane Martin has taken over on an interim basis. Martin is a first-year assistant who spent time as a coach in Mexico and with the NBDL. ISU lost to Wyoming 80-56 at home in Martin's debut. They play at Weber State tonight.

Northern Arizona's Mike Adras stepped aside back in early December and the Lumberjacks responded under 70-year-old interim coach Dave Brown with wins over Cal State Bakersfield and Arizona State. They were however blasted at Sam Houston State last time out, 73-49. NAU plays host to Sacramento State tonight.

The personnel for both teams are so poor this year that the coaching changes are unlikely to bring about a massive turnaround. The Big Sky is a flaky league where randomness tends to prevail but I have little to no interest in backing these squads anytime soon (4-12 ATS combined).

Tags: College Basketball Idaho State Bengals Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Big Sky Andrew Lange

Armed Forces Bowl Betting Preview: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. BYU Cougars

12.29.2011     10:25 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno


Armed Forces Bowl
Tulsa vs. BYU
Friday, 9 am PT – ESPN
CRIS Opener: BYU pk O/U 55.5
CRIS Current: Tulsa -1 O/U 56
Rob Veno Power Rating: BYU pk

Rob Veno’s Betting Take: It’s not that difficult to poke holes in each of the pointspread hot streaks posted by these teams to close the regular seasons. Tulsa went 5-1 ATS over the back half of its schedule but the only bowl teams they faced were Marshall and Houston. They destroyed Marshall by 42 but got hammered at home by Houston 48-16 in a season ending showdown for the Conference-USA West Division title. Against bowl teams overall, Tulsa went 1-4 straight up and 2-3 ATS with all five games totaling 61 points or more and averaging 70.8. BYU’s final six games saw a 6-0 ATS run with the lone straight up loss at TCU, 38-28. The rest of their current pointspread run consists of victories Read more

Tags: College Football Tulsa Golden Hurricane BYU Cougars Rob Veno

Pinstripe Bowl Betting Preview: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

12.29.2011     07:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers


Pinstripe Bowl
Rutgers vs. Iowa State
Friday, 12:20 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener: Rutgers -2 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current: Rutgers -1.5 O/U 45
Teddy Covers Power Rating: Rutgers -4

Teddy Covers' Betting Take: Iowa State wasn’t very good this year.  The Cyclones did have one signature win, a thrilling double OT victory at home against Oklahoma State.  And Iowa State did put together a road blowout, beating up on Texas Tech 41-7 the week after the Red Raiders had knocked off Oklahoma in Stillwater.  But when you look at the entirety of the Cyclones schedule, you walk away underwhelmed with their accomplishments.  Iowa State was a team that closed out the season on a 3-6 SU slide.  Five of their six wins came by four points or less, or in overtime – even the one point win over FCS Northern Iowa, a win they needed to become Read more

Tags: College Football Iowa State Cyclones Rutgers Scarlet Knights Teddy Covers

NCAA Basketball Betting: Kent State determined to bounce back defensively

12.29.2011     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Kent State -3.5 at Arkansas State O/U 127

Suspensions and injuries contributed to Kent State's 0-2 performance during last week's tournament at Utah State. Center Justin Manns was suspended (upgraded to probable for tonight) and point guard Michael Porrini remains at less than 100 percent due to a foot injury. Head coach Rob Senderoff has not been pleased with his team's effort of late, especially on the defensive end of the floor. The Golden Flashes allowed just one team to top 67 points before allowing 74 and 81 to Texas Arlington and Utah State. We would imagine a very strong effort tonight against offensively challenged Arkansas State.

“We are practicing, and we are working on some of the things we haven’t done well,” said Senderoff. “Right now, my biggest concern is our defense, because we did not guard well in Utah for two Read more

Tags: College Basketball Kent State Golden Flashes Arkansas State Red Wolves

College Basketball Gambling News: Six teams remain undefeated

12.28.2011     08:12 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
College basketball has not seen a team go undefeated since Bobby Knight's Indiana Hoosiers went 32-0 in 1975-76. The closest we have seen since then was a St. Joseph's team that went 27-0 in 2003-04 before losing to Xavier in the Atlantic-10 tournament. In 1990-91, UNLV was also 34-0 before losing to Duke in the NCAA Championship game. Every season a team flirts with an undefeated season, but that notion slowly fades as teams get deeper into the conference schedule in January and February and ultimately at tournament time in March.

Following the holiday tournaments and classroom exams, conference season begins. Syracuse opens the Big East season at home tonight vs. Seton Hall. Louisville also opens Big East play tonight at home against No. 12 Georgetown, who is 10-1 SU and 6-0 ATS. Louisville then travels to Rupp Arena to take on No. 3 Kentucky New Year’s Eve. Baylor held off West Virginia 83-81 in the Las Vegas Classic last game, and host No. 15 Mississippi State tonight before opening Big Xll play vs. Texas A&M January 2nd. Missouri beat rival Illinois 78-74 last time out and plays at Old Dominion December 30th before opening Big Xll play vs. Oklahoma.  Read more

Tags: College Basketball __

Handicapper Fairway Jay: Inside the NFL Betting Numbers Week 16

12.27.2011     10:41 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. For over a decade, Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing point spread winners. Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in NFL handicapping and you can follow his articles and insight in the Sportsmemo daily blog and on Twitter: @FairwayJay

Week 16 NFL favorites went 10-6 straight up and 6-10 against the spread. I graded the Cowboys as a betting favorite and Seahawks (+2.5) an ATS winner. For the season, betting favorites are 112-120-8 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. Nine division games in Week 16 and division underdog went 3-7 SU and 7-3 ATS. I graded the Eagles as an underdog. Home underdogs went 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS, and for the season home underdogs are 27-49 SU and 39-36-1 ATS. Read more

Tags: NFL __


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