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Handicapper Teddy Covers: Week 9 NFC Betting News and Notes

11.07.2011     08:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy Covers’ unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC Tidbits from Week 9.

Matt Ryan is finally learning what to do with a talented deep threat – just chuck it up there and let Julio Jones make a play on the football. Jones’ first quarter touchdown was a classic 'throw it towards the tall guy between three defenders’ play. Ryan let the rookie out of Alabama make an impressive catch that would make a guy like Larry Fitzgerald (who lives off those type of throws) proud. This was Jones coming out party, and it was truly impressive: five touches, 164 yards from scrimmage. It's hard to gauge how good this performance was, because Indy is positively inept these days, but make no mistake about it – Atlanta dominated that sorry team, looking every bit as good as they did last year when they had the best record in the NFC.

Read more

Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons New York Giants Dallas Cowboys Green Bay Packers New Orleans Saints San Francisco 49ers Washington Redskins Teddy Covers

NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Mississippi State Bulldogs

11.07.2011     07:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Eastern Kentucky at Mississippi State
Recommendation: Under 63.5 1st half

Eastern Kentucky is known for two things: slow pace and three-point shooting. The Colonels ranked 327th in tempo the last two season and with three of their top four scorers gone, I project points will be hard to come by in the non-conference. Mississippi State returns only two starters but welcome in a few transfers and a highly regarded recruiting class. EKU runs a 1-3-1 defense in attempts to slow down the game and force opposing teams into outside shots. MSU isn't very patient and is prone to taking bad shots from the outside, even when they have a clear advantage on the front line. I'm looking to play the under in the first half as it will be a more controlled Read more

Tags: College Basketball Eastern Kentucky Colonels Mississippi State Bulldogs Andrew Lange

NFL Betting Free Play: New York Giants at New England Patriots

11.06.2011     06:10 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
New York Giants at New England 9 O/U 51
Recommendation: Over

Statistically, New England’s defense is as bad as it gets in the NFL this year. The Pats rank dead last in yards per game allowed, by a fairly wide margin. New England is 32nd out of 32 NFL teams in yards per play allowed. Their pass defense also ranks dead last in the league. We saw those defensive weaknesses on full display last week against the Steelers. Facing an elite quarterback and a balanced offense, the Pats didn’t force a single ‘three-and-out’ for the entire game. In fact, the Steelers gained 40 or more yards on seven of their first eight drives, consistently moving the football against this defense like a hot knife through butter.

There’s no reason to think that Eli Manning and the Giants balanced offense won’t have similar success here, whether Ahmad Bradshaw and Hakeem Nicks suit up for the G-men or not. New York’s offense has been explosive all year; Read more

Tags: NFL New York Giants New England Patriots Teddy Covers

College Football Handicapping Pick: Indiana Hoosiers at Ohio State Buckeyes

11.05.2011     07:50 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Indiana at Ohio State
Recommendation: Over 27 1st half

A decimated Indiana defense is completely overmatched in all facets by Big Ten opponents right now. Last week’s home game vs. Northwestern saw the Hoosiers yield 416 total yards and 38 points on 42 plays in the first half. While the Buckeyes haven’t shown much in the way of offense this season, they’ve yet to play a team where they can just hand the ball to running back Dan Herron and churn out significant gains. quarterback Braxton Miller figures to have his best passing performance here as well. IU loses top wide receivers Demarlo Belcher (kicked off the team) and Duwyce Wilson (knee injury last week) for this game so the offense is saddled with youthful backups as well. Hoosiers may not have to produce more than a field goal to get this first half total over as OSU figures to come out in full attack mode against an inferior opponent and finally put some huge Read more

Tags: College Football Indiana Hoosiers Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten Rob Veno

College Football Betting Free Play: Cincinnati Bearcats at Pittsburgh Panthers

11.05.2011     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Cincinnati -3.5 at Pittsburgh O/U 54.5
Recommendation: Cincinnati

Cincinnati has been the best team in the Big East all season, but the betting markets have been reluctant to afford the Bearcats their full respect. Make no mistake about it – this team has been tremendous on both sides of the football. Fresh and rested off a bye week, look for the Bearcats to avenge their season ending home loss to Pitt last December.

The Bearcats didn’t allow an opposing offense to reach the end zone for a month long span this year. This defense has forced 23 turnovers in seven games. Cinci’s stop unit has already stepped up in class against the likes of South Florida, Tennessee (early in the year when the Vols were still healthy), NC State and Louisville. And Butch Jones’ team actually has a better overall defense than the stats will show, thanks to a bunch of garbage yards and points allowed in the latter stages of blowout wins against the Read more

Tags: College Football Cincinnati Bearcats Pittsburgh Panthers Big East Teddy Covers

College Football Handicapper Pick: Oregon Ducks at Washington Huskies

11.04.2011     09:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Oregon at Washington
Recommendation: Washington +10 first half (CRIS)

I've been playing against Oregon in the first half for most of its PAC-10 games. The key as I've learned is making sure the opponent is halfway competent. Colorado for example was simply outclassed and had no shot to answer offensively. But as we saw last week with Washington State, teams that can move the football can compete against the Ducks for stretches. My logic for this play is as followed: teams obviously get up for playing Oregon and with a clean slate, fresh bodies, and a game plan to work from, we don't see the "gap" in the first half that often develops in the second half. In the second half is where Oregon is so dangerous. The Ducks often take a casual approach to start the game; sizing up their opponent and patiently waiting to put together a run. When that run comes, and it almost always does, opposing teams go into panic mode, stray from their Read more

Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks Washington Huskies PAC-12 Andrew Lange

NCAAF Handicapping Preview: Southern Miss Eagles at East Carolina Pirates

11.04.2011     08:41 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by


Southern Miss -8.5 at East Carolina O/U 58
Recommendation: Southern Miss

We cashed a pair of Fairway Football Forecasts on these pages last week including a steamroller on the Texas Longhorns as they crushed Kansas 43-0. In that analysis, we discussed the projected rushing advantage for the Longhorns as they used their recently discovered run-based offense to produce the most dominating point of attack performance of the season. The Longhorns rushed for 441 yards while Kansas finished with -2 yards rushing! Total yards favored Texas 590 to just 46 for the Jayhawks, who managed just three first downs. Saturday we release our 20* College Football Game of the Year in which we have a team expected to dominate the point of attack. Along with positive motivation facing a troubled team, we expect a solid victory. Join Read more

Tags: College Football Southern Miss Golden Eagles East Carolina Pirates C-USA __

College Football Free Pick: Michigan Wolverines at Iowa Hawkeyes

11.04.2011     07:54 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Michigan -4 at Iowa O/U 58
Recommendation: Over

This is much different Hawkeyes team from previous seasons. Namely, the defense is troubling after losing key personnel from last year including Adrian Clayborn and Karl Klug (both Klug and Clayborn are showing nice as rookies in the NFL). Over the last two weeks Iowa’s defense has really struggled at times. To make matters much worse the struggles came against Minnesota and Indiana! If stopping MarQueis Gray and Tre Roberson is proving difficult, they’ll certainly have their hands full with Denard Robinson. The Hawkeyes offense has been able to put plenty of points on the board, while showing solid balance with the run and pass. In fact, if you can look past their three-point effort on the road in Happy Valley, the Hawkeyes are averaging 37.3 points per game. Meanwhile, the Wolverines offense, led by Robinson, is averaging almost 35 points per game. They can be as quick striking as any team in the country and Read more

Tags: College Football Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Erin Rynning

College Basketball Handicapping: Links to conference previews

11.03.2011     08:54 AM     Printer Friendly
Below are links to various college basketball conference previews. They are fairly generic and not really from a betting perspective but they should provide a decent primer for those looking for returning starters.

Mountain West
Big West
Sun Belt
Missouri Valley
Ivy League
Big Ten
Big East

Tags: College Basketball

College Football Betting Trends: Texas A&M 8-0 ATS first half, 2-6 ATS overall

11.03.2011     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly
Texas A&M at Oklahoma -13.5 O/U 68.5

Amazing that Texas A&M has covered the first half line in every game this season yet is 2-6 ATS overall. The reason is a consistent inability to perform in the second half. Last week's meltdown was particularly brutal as A&M held a 28-17 halftime lead over Missouri only to see the Tigers win 38-31 in overtime. This week, A&M travels to Norman to take on Oklahoma. The Sooners are 13.5-point home favorites for the game and project to be a 7-point first half favorite.

Texas A&M First Half-Game ATS Results
Haltime Score
A&M 1st half ATS
Second Half Score
A&M 28, MU 17
MU 21, A&M 3
Iowa State
A&M 20, ISU 7
A&M 13, ISU 10
A&M 24, BAY 14
A&M 31, BAY 14
Texas Tech
A&M 31, TTU 20
TTU 20, A&M 14
A&M 35, ARK 17
ARK 25, A&M 3
Oklahoma State
A&M 20, OSU 3
OSU 27, A&M 9
A&M 27, IDA 0
A&M 10, IDA 7
A&M 33, SMU 14
A&M 13, SMU 0

Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies Oklahoma Sooners Big XII


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