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Thursday Night Football Betting Recap: Six Turnovers doom Philadelphia Eagles

09.20.2013     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Three weeks into the Chip Kelly era with the Philadelphia Eagles…and we’ve seen one half of mostly scintillating stuff (coming against an opponent that may not have a pass defense), but then five halves that have reminded everyone why it’s so hard to win with fast break football at the professional level.

First Half of Game One: Philadelphia 26, Washington 7

Next 5 Halves Pro-Rated: Philadelphia 11, Opponents 16

That’s an extended run now that represents the equivalent of losing games 32-22 against 2.5 opponents that may not reach the postseason (though KC has a decent Wildcard shot after its 3-0 start).

The Eagles are 1-2, and apparently would be the fourth best team in the AFC West because they just lost home games to San Diego and Kansas City…and are way behind Denver in everyone’s Power Ratings. They do have moments where the Oregon-style attack is a thing of beauty. But, tonight saw:

*Michael Vick throw two Read more



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Kansas City Chiefs Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Week 4 Injury Report

09.19.2013     11:44 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas QB David Ash remains a question mark (concussion) this week vs. Kansas State. In a 44-23 home loss to Ole Miss, back-up Case McCoy completed 24-of-36 passes for 196 yards and one TD without an interception.  Also, the Longhorns’ best WR Mike Davis is questionable due to a sprained ankle. Davis has hauled in 20 catches for 222 yards and four TDs in just three games. 

Mississippi State senior quarterback Tyler Russell is doubtful for Saturday’s home game vs. Troy. Russell threw for 2,897 yards with a 24-to-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio last season, but he might have a difficult time getting his starting job back. In his absence, Dak Prescott has played well. Prescott provides more of a running dimension, rushing for 134 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s heartbreaking loss at Auburn. He completed 15-of-28 passes for 213 yards on The Plains. 

Minnesota quarterback Philip Nelson is questionable vs. San Jose due to a strained hamstring. Nelson is an excellent scrambler so a hamstring issue could diminish his effectiveness more than it would most other quarterbacks. He has rushed for 221 yards and three TDs in leading Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




Sports Betting Podcast 9-19-2013 College Football Every Game on the Board

09.19.2013     10:59 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_cfb_podcast_bar.jpg

Week 4 of our College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Brian Edwards, Teddy Covers, and Ian Cameron joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

Brian Edwards - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I

Teddy Covers - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II

Ian Cameron - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards Teddy Covers Ian Cameron




College Football Gambling: CRIS vs. Rob Veno's Power Ratings Week 4

09.19.2013     08:05 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno has been creating his own Power Ratings for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not include key injuries or situations but they also don't overreact as much as the betting markets do week to week. Below is a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob's College Football Power Ratings for Week 4.

2013 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 4
Away Team
Home Team
CRIS Current
Veno Power
Clemson
NC State
Clemson -13
Clemson -10
Boise State
Fresno State
Fresno State -3.5
Fresno State pk
North Texas
Georgia
Georgia -32.5
Georgia -32
Florida International
Louisville
Louisville -43
Louisville -42
Western Michigan
Iowa
Iowa -16.5
Iowa -17.5
Vanderbilt
Massachusetts
Vanderbilt -32
Vanderbilt -34.5
Tennessee
Florida
Florida -16
Florida -16.5
Wake Forest
Army
Wake Forest -3 (ev)
Wake Forest -3
Pittsburgh
Duke
Pittsburgh -4
Pittsburgh -5
Michigan
Connecticut
Michigan -17.5
Michigan -20.5
Purdue
Wisconsin
Wisconsin -23.5
Wisconsin -22
Ball State
Eastern Michigan
Ball State -10.5
Ball State -13
Kent State
Penn State
Penn State -20.5
Penn State -19.5
Marshall
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -7 (-120)
Virginia Tech -8
Cincinnati
Miami (OH)
Cincinnati -23.5
Cincinnati -20.5
North Carolina
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech -5.5
Georgia Tech -4.5
West Virginia
Maryland
Maryland -4.5
Maryland -3
San Jose State
Minnesota
Minnesota -4
San Jose State -1.5
Troy
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -13.5
Mississippi State -15.5
Louisiana-Monroe
Baylor
Baylor -29
Baylor -23
Wyoming
Air Force
Wyoming -5
Wyoming -2
Utah
BYU
BYU -7
BYU -5.5
Hawaii
Nevada
Nevada -9.5
Nevada -9.5
Utah State
USC
USC -7
USC -2
SMU
Texas A&M
Texas A&M -28.5
Texas A&M -30.5
Rice
Houston
Houston -3 (-115)
Houston -5
Michigan State
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -6.5
Notre Dame -7.5
Kansas State
Texas
Texas -6.5
Kansas State -1
Arkansas State
Memphis
Arkansas State -3.5
Arkansas State -5
Louisiana Tech
Kansas
Kansas -11
Kansas -5
Colorado State
Alabama
Alabama -38.5
Alabama -39.5
Arkansas
Rutgers
Rutgers -1
Rutgers -2
Arizona State
Stanford
Stanford -7
Stanford -11
Louisiana-Lafayette
Akron
UL-Lafayette -7 (-113)
UL-Lafayette -10
Idaho
Washington State
Washington State -31
Washington State -32
Middle Tennessee State
Florida Atlantic
Middle Tennessee State -3.5
Middle Tennessee State -3.5
Tulane
Syracuse
Syracuse -16
Syracuse -13.5
Toledo
Central Michigan
Toledo -13
Toledo -9.5
Texas State
Texas Tech
Texas Tech -27
Texas Tech -26.5
Oregon State
San Diego State
Oregon State -10.5
Oregon State -7.5
Auburn
LSU
LSU -17
LSU -19
UTSA
UTEP
UTSA -3 (ev)
UTEP -2.5
Missouri
Indiana
Missouri -1
Missouri -3
New Mexico State
UCLA
UCLA -42.5
UCLA -45.5





Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Betting: Alabama 3-point chalk vs. Oregon for BCS Championship

09.19.2013     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to Twitter, Las Vegas' Golden Nugget sportsbook posted Alabama -3 (-120) vs. Oregon should the two teams meet in the BCS National Championship. The Crimson Tide was -10 vs. Notre Dame in last year's tile game (42-14 win). The year before that they were -2.5 vs. LSU (21-0 win). The Ducks were 1-point chalk in their 22-19 BCS title game loss to Auburn in 2010.




Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Oregon Ducks PAC-12




College Football Betting: Will Wake Forest's under the total trend continue?

09.19.2013     07:10 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For many teams across the nation, 25% of their season is already complete. Three weeks ago as fall practice sessions ended and teams began preparing for their season opening games, those of us who follow college football routinely had opinions set on all 126 FBS teams. Since teams only play 12 regular season games, the quarter pole has always been a time to proactively adjust to teams if need be or stay firm with initial judgments that were made. In this week’s article I’ll take a look at one team specifically from a totals perspective which has thus far performed differently than what the original outlook may have been.

It’s not that Wake Forest's schemes have turned into something we don’t associate with them. After all, this team has had the exact same on-field style for each of head coach Jim Grobe’s 12 seasons here. The difference right now is the extent to which their game scores have diminished. Through their first three games, Wake Forest totals have opened and closed as some of the lowest we’ve seen each week. To see closing totals of 51, 47.5 and 50 in this day and age can definitely be categorized as lower than average. Read more



Tags: College Football Wake Forest Demon Deacons ACC Rob Veno




College Football Betting Podcast 9-18-2013 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

09.18.2013     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. ER recapped Week 2 College Football (Big Ten, PAC-12).

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - CFB Week 3 Recap: Big Ten, PAC-12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators

09.18.2013     10:23 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Florida
Saturday, 12:30 PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
Florida -15.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Florida -16.5 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno’s Power Ranking: Florida -16.5
Brian Edwards’ Recommendation: Under

Florida will be seeking its ninth consecutive win over Tennessee when these bitter SEC East rivals square off Saturday at The Swamp in Gainesville.

Most books opened Florida (1-1 straight up, 0-2 against the spread) as a 14.5-point favorite Sunday night. However, by late Wednesday morning, most shops had the Gators favored by -17 with a total of 47.5. Gamblers can take the Volunteers on the money line for a +600 return (risk $100 to win $600).

Will Muschamp’s team has had two weeks to shake off a gut-wrenching 21-16 loss at Miami as a three-point road favorite. UF nearly doubled up the Hurricanes in total offense but went down nonetheless due to five turnovers, Read more



Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers Florida Gators SEC Brian Edwards




College Football Betting: Oregon State not willing to give up on ground attack

09.18.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon State -11 at San Diego State O/U 54.5

Because of all their injuries along the offensive line, Oregon State has had a very difficult time running the football. Against Hawaii and Utah, the Beavers rushed 61 times but produced only 105 yards. According to offensive coordinator Danny Langsdorf despite the team's success throwing the football (1,316 yards, 12 TDs, 1 INT) they aren't going to give up on the run game just yet.


“When we’re not running the ball very well, you’re going to get a lot more coverage looks, tougher to throw the ball, more drop-eight,” offensive coordinator Danny Langsdorf said. “You’re going to get more guys in coverage taking away those receivers. If you can’t run the ball

Read more



Tags: College Football Oregon State Beavers PAC-12 San Diego State Aztecs Mountain West




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/18/13

09.18.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Feel much better about how these numbers have honed in on the market. Many of last week’s numbers were very close to nailing this week’s openers (or first line moves off an opener). When they didn’t, it was due to a common-sense adjustment from a Saturday result, or an injury to a quarterback. Think we’re mostly there. Not all the way there, particularly in the bottom third where there seems to be more volatility (and less raw confidence from all involved)

If this is your first visit to the site…I’m trying to estimate college football “Power Ratings” as represented by the lines posted in the betting markets. These aren’t my personal opinions of teams. This is my estimate of how “the market” as a composite must be rating the teams based on the lines we’re seeing now and have been seeing recently. I start by creating couplets based on the line for each game, using 3 points of value for home field advantage. Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence



109

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July

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 23, 2016 10:00 AM.