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February

23

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College Football Gambling: Initial thoughts on bowl game opening numbers

12.09.2013     02:07 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Please note that these reactions are to the opening lines only and are in no way indicative of which way I would lean toward any of the games commented on. Bowl games are as much about situation (and sometimes even more so) as they are the lines.

1. Oddsmakers showed a lot of support for the top of the MAC as Bowling Green, Northern Illinois, Ball State and Buffalo all opened between 2-4 points higher than my power ratings projected.

2. There are hardly any home field type situations on this season’s bowl card but Maryland and North Carolina are close to home. The Terps are much closer to their back yard and I assigned them a +2 point home edge but the opener suggests that even a higher number may have been given. The same was not used in UNC’s case as the opener of -3 indicates they were given little to no home consideration. I used +1 for the Tar Heels.

3. Somewhat surprised that Syracuse opened only +4.5 considering how well Minnesota played down the stretch.

4. Kansas State opening -3 over Michigan seems a bit high, wouldn’t be surprised to see numbers and value guys bet it down some.

5. Missouri opening Read more



Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Handicapping: Rob Veno's Bowl Game Power Ratings

12.09.2013     08:35 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Here your chance to get a beat on the college football bowl season with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's Power Ratings. Rob has been providing his PR numbers for over two decades – an excellent handicapping tool for discovering pointspread value.

2013 College Football Bowl Games - Rob Veno Power Ratings
Bowl
Location
Team
Team
Veno Power
New Mexico
Albuquerque, N.M.
Colorado State
Washington State
Washington State -4.5
Las Vegas
Las Vegas, Nev.
USC
Fresno State
USC -5.5
Idaho Potato
Boise, Idaho
Buffalo
San Diego State
San Diego State -0.5
New Orleans
New Orleans, La.
UL-Lafayette
Tulane
UL-Lafayette -5
Beef O' Brady
St. Petersburg, Fla.
Ohio
East Carolina
East Carolina -12
Hawaii
Honolulu, Hawaii
Oregon State
Boise State
Boise State -2
Little Caesars
Detroit, Mich.
Pittsburgh
Bowling Green
Bowling Green -5
Poinsettia
San Diego, Calif.
Utah State
Northern Illinois
Utah State -1
Military
Annapolis, Md.
Marshall
Maryland
Marshall -4
Texas
Houston, Texas
Syracuse
Minnesota
Minnesota -7.5
Fight Hunger
San Francisco, Calif.
Washington
BYU
Washington -3
Pinstripe
Bronx, N.Y.
Rutgers
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -18.5
Belk
Charlotte, N.C.
Cincinnati
North Carolina
North Carolina -3.5
Russell
Orlando, Fla.
Miami (FL)
Louisville
Louisville -3.5
Buffalo Wild Wings
Tempe, Ariz.
Michigan
Kansas State
Kansas State pk
Armed Forces
Fort Worth, Texas
Middle Tennessee
Navy
Navy -3
Music City
Nashville, Tenn.
Ole Miss
Georgia Tech
Ole Miss -3.5
Alamo
San Antonio, Texas
Texas
Oregon
Oregon -16
Holiday
San Diego, Calif.
Texas Tech
Arizona State
Arizona State -12
Independence
Shreveport, La.
Boston College
Arizona
Arizona -6
Sun
El Paso, Texas
Virginia Tech
UCLA
UCLA -7.5
Liberty
Memphis, Tenn.
Mississippi State
Rice
Mississippi State -7.5
Chick fil-A
Atlanta, Ga.
Duke
Texas A&M
Texas A&M -14
Gator
Jacksonville, Fla.
Nebraska
Georgia
Georgia -7.5
Heart of Dallas
Dallas, Texas
UNLV
North Texas
North Texas -6.5
Capital One
Orlando, Fla.
Wisconsin
South Carolina
South Carolina pk
Outback
Tampa, Fla.
Iowa
LSU
LSU -10
Rose
Pasadena, Calif.
Michigan State
Stanford
Stanford -2
Fiesta
Glendale, Ariz.
Central Florida
Baylor
Baylor -15.5
Sugar
New Orleans, La.
Oklahoma
Alabama
Alabama -16.5
Cotton
Arlington, Texas
Oklahoma State
Missouri
Missouri pk
Orange
Miami, Fla.
Clemson
Ohio State
Ohio State -6
Compass
Birmingham, Ala.
Houston
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt -4
GoDaddy.com
Mobile, Ala.
Arkansas State
Ball State
Ball State -5.5
BCS
Pasadena, Calif.
Auburn
Florida State
Florida State -12.5





Tags: College Football Rob Veno




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: How to bet college football bowl games

12.09.2013     08:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
During football season, I usually write about the NFL every week.  But it wasn’t easy to make broad generalizations about teams on a Sunday in which more than half the games were significantly affected by snowy or frigid weather.  And the college football bowl pairings were announced on Sunday Night.  So, I made the executive decision to take a one week break from the NFL this week to discuss my personal strategies for winning during bowl season.

Motivation is the key factor for any bowl game.  Overall talent and team speed don’t mean a thing when the players don’t give a hoot about being there.  That’s why underdogs tend to do fairly well against the spread in the earlier bowl games.  It’s not a reward for a favorite to end up in front of a sparse crowd in Boise or Detroit facing a team they’re not particularly excited about playing, especially if their second tier bowl bid came as a result of a relatively disappointing campaign.

Always check the local newspapers, blogs and yes, even twitter feeds for clues about any team’s level of preparation and Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling: Florida State the betting favorite over Auburn for BCS title game

12.09.2013     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn vs. Florida State -8.5 O/U 65

The stage is set! Auburn will square off against Florida State for the 2013 BCS National Championship, Monday, January 6, at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif. Oddsmakers were quick to hang a line once the matchup was determined with CRIS opening Florida State -9.5 with a total of 65. We've seen a little support on Auburn with most shops now showing FSU -8.5. Based on Sagarin's raw number Florida State is -14.55 and Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's initial power rating has the Seminoles -12.5. FSU's strength of schedule is 63rd with only one game (Clemson) vs. the top 30. Auburn's SOS is 20th with five games vs. the top 30.

2014 BCS Championship Auburn vs. Florida State - Tale of the Tape
Team
SU
ATS
O/U
Veno Power
Sagarin
PPG
Def PPG
YPG
YPGA
Auburn
12-1
11-2
8-5
 
90.43 (6)
40.2 (11)
24.0 (38)
505.3 (11)
423.5 (90)
Florida State
13-0
11-2
10-3
-12.5
104.98 (10)
53.0 (1)
10.7 (1)
529.4 (6)
268.5 (3)





Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC Auburn Tigers SEC




College Football Championship First and Second Half Betting Numbers

12.07.2013     08:51 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In last night’s Mid-American Championship Game, Bowling Green continued its torrid 2013 run cashing as a second half “under” play for the 11th time in 13 games.  Always looking for hidden gems, here’s a look at the season’s results for each team involved in Saturday’s Conference Championship Games.

Conference USA - Marshall at Rice
1st Half ATS – Marshall 8-4-0 / Rice 9-3-0
1st Half Total – Marshall 5-6-0 / Rice 4-6-2 (Note: The Marshall-Gardner Webb game did not have a 1H total but had a 2H) 

Notes: Marshall is currently on a 5-0 1H ats streak defeating opponents by 14 or more in all five games. Rice is also a red-hot 1H play going 7-1 ats in their last eight games winning all seven of those contests by double digits.

2nd Half ATS – Marshall 6-6-0 / Rice 5-7-0
2nd Half Total – Marshall 7-5-0 / Rice 2-10-0

Notes: Of Marshall’s six road games this season, five of them resulted in 34 or more 2H points and a 5-1 “over” mark. Rice started the season playing nine consecutive 2H “unders” before going Read more



Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Handicapping: Week 15 Injury Report

12.06.2013     11:31 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Missouri starting strong safety Duron Singleton is ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s SEC Championship Game against Auburn. Singleton missed last Saturday’s win over Texas A&M with a hip injury.

UL-Lafayette will most likely be without its outstanding quarterback Saturday at South Alabama. Junior Terrance Broadway is ‘doubtful’ against the Jaguars due to a wrist injury. Broadway has a 19-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio, in addition to eight rushing TDs. Redshirt freshman Brooks Haack will most likely get his first career start under center for the Ragin’ Cajuns. He had only appeared at garbage time until playing in the second half of last week’s 31-28 home loss to ULM. Haack has completed 16-of-21 throws for 175 yards and one TD without an interception. Also, UL-Lafayette starting safety Darius Barksdale is ‘questionable’ with a hand injury.

SMU quarterback Garrett Gilbert (21-7 TD-INT) has been downgraded to ‘doubtful’ for Saturday’s game vs. UCF due to a sore knee. Without Gilbert last week, the Mustangs lost 34-0 at Houston. It was the first time a team coached by June Jones had Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Gambling: Teams on the rise according to Sagarin Ratings

12.06.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
USA Today talks about college football teams that have made the biggest improvements this season based on Jeff Sagarin's power ratings. A handful of those "gainers" are in play this weekend: Auburn, Missouri, South Alabama, Bowling Green, Baylor, and Florida State.




Tags: College Football




College Football Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys

12.06.2013     07:45 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State
Saturday, 9 am PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma State -10.5 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -10 O/U 56.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma State -8.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Oklahoma

Weather will likely play a role here as frigid conditions are expected (15 degrees at kickoff) for this 11 am local start on Saturday morning. Oklahoma State has plenty of incentive here as the Big XII title along with the affiliated BCS berth into the Fiesta Bowl are theirs if they win. Oklahoma meanwhile cannot win the Big XII and they appear virtually locked into the December 30th Alamo Bowl. With no opportunity to upgrade their status, the Sooners will be playing strictly for pride in this edition of “Bedlam” and their intensity level has already shown to be extremely high this week. Senior center Gabe Ikard refused to recognize his team as playing the spoiler Read more



Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII Rob Veno




College Football Betting: Oklahoma State, Baylor, and Texas still live for Big XII crown

12.06.2013     06:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With no conference title game, the Big XII Championship and a berth in the BCS will come down to this weekend's two season finales between Texas-Baylor and Oklahoma-Oklahoma State. Three of those four teams still have a shot. If Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma, the Cowboys are in. If OSU loses, then the winner of Texas-Baylor is in. Note that the OSU-OU game starts at 9 am PT while UT-BU goes off at 12:30 pm PT.




Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Big XII




NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers

12.05.2013     01:26 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at Pittsburgh
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -3.45 O/U 41.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -3 O/U 40.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Pittsburgh -4
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

Both the Steelers and the Dolphins are fundamentally flawed football teams, yet both remain very ‘live’ in the AFC Playoff picture.  The 6-6 Dolphins are currently tied with Baltimore for the #6 seed in the AFC, while the Steelers rank just one game behind with four left to play.  That being said, neither team can like their chances if they lose this week.  We should expect a maximum intensity playoff-level showdown as a result.

The Steelers chances took a real blow last week with their loss at Baltimore, unable to convert the game tying two point try at the end of regulation.  But that defeat didn’t end their season, not by any stretch of the imagination.  QB Ben Read more



Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Pittsburgh Steelers Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Feb 23, 2017 04:12 AM.