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May

25

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College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings Week 3

09.11.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think we’re getting closer to capturing the market. Not quite there yet. There were fewer head scratchers this week when comparing the transitions from last week.

It may be a mess for awhile in the 45-65 range because of volatility. A 55 may play like a 48 against quality but a 57 against other mid-50 teams. College sports are always messy because of the sheer volume of teams, and the fact that kids are inconsistent from week to week.

If you’re new to the site, these aren’t my “personal” ratings for all the teams. I’m not following college football nearly closely enough to have any real sense of probably the bottom 80 yet. This is my guess at how the market has the teams rated. I create “couplets” each week that match the Vegas spread (allotting 3 points for home field advantage), then I try to figure out where that couplet goes within the big scale. Over a few weeks, it’s not hard to hone in on a fairly good Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: Middle Tennessee adjusts defensive scheme

09.11.2013     07:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Due to a slew of injuries at defensive tackle, Middle Tennessee State was forced to switch from a 4-3 to a 3-4 defense during last week's 40-20 loss at North Carolina. The overall results don't look that impressive (UNC put up 511 yards) but the Blue Raiders did force two turnovers and held the Tar Heels to a respectable 134 yards on 3.3 ypc on the ground. According to the coaching staff, the switch allows the team to put more speed on the field which isn't a bad idea against teams some of the smaller spread teams of C-USA.


“We were a high percentage of 3-4 last week. It just depends on what’s making plays and what’s being successful,” Nix said. “The unfortunate thing for us is that we have had some injuries. Sometimes personnel dictates what you play out of.”

“In a 3-4, we are trying to utilize our speed and play with three down linemen and four linebackers, and that gives us more athletic guys on the field,” Nix said.

“It gives us a chance to do some

Read more



Tags: College Football Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders C-USA




College Football Handicapping: Oregon State offensive line in shambles

09.10.2013     12:38 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon State at Utah -3.5 O/U 58

Major offensive line issues for the Oregon State Beavers as they prepare for their PAC-12 opener at Utah. Assistant coach Mike Cavanaugh used phrases "paper thin" and "absolutely unprecedented" to describe his unit's current status. In two games against Eastern Washington and Hawaii the Beavers amassed only 162 yards on the ground (2.84 ypc). Keep in mind OSU's o-line was originally slated to return four starters. We've seen a steady amount of Utah betting support since Sunday's openers.





Tags: College Football Oregon State Beavers Utah Utes PAC-12




Sports Betting Podcast 9-10-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Ian Cameron

09.10.2013     10:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Ian Cameron. Brian recapped Week 2 College Football (SEC, ACC, AAC) and Ian did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - CFB Week 2 Recap: SEC, ACC, AAC

Ian Cameron - CFB Week 2 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Brian Edwards Ian Cameron




NCAA Football Betting Trends: Alabama heads to Texas A&M off of bye week

09.10.2013     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Alabama -7.5 at Texas A&M O/U 62

A quick look at Alabama's track record with time to prepare under Nick Saban. Since 2007, the Crimson Tide went 8-4 SU/ATS. Note that in two of those losses to LSU, the Tigers also came in off of a bye week.

2012
at Missouri: WIN SU, WIN ATS
vs. Notre Dame (BCS): WIN SU, WIN ATS

2011
vs. LSU*: LOSS SU, LOSS ATS
vs. LSU (BCS): WIN SU, WIN ATS

2010
at LSU*: LOSS SU, LOSS ATS
vs. Michigan State (bowl): WIN SU, WIN ATS

2009
vs. LSU: WIN SU, WIN ATS
vs. Texas (BCS): WIN SU, WIN ATS

2008
vs. Auburn: WIN SU, WIN ATS
vs. Utah (bowl): LOSS SU, LOSS ATS

2007
vs. LSU: LOSS SU, LOSS ATS
vs. Colorado (bowl): WIN SU, WIN ATS





Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies Alabama Crimson Tide SEC




College Football Gambling Update: Texas' new DC thrown into the fire

09.10.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Mississippi at Texas

Update on Texas' change at defensive coordinator. Greg Robinson will have all of three practices to implement any changes if any. Also note that UT quarterback David Ask remains questionable with a head injury. He posted big numbers (19-of-23, 326 yards, 4 TDs) in last year's 66-31 win in Oxford.


“He’ll have three practices between now and Saturday to try to get us in a better spot,” Brown said. “It’s a tough deal for him.”

“Obviously right now, we’re not sure

Read more



Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII Ole Miss Rebels SEC




NCAA Football Betting: West Virginia comes up with another solid showing on defense

09.10.2013     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Compared to last season, West Virginia's defensive performance against Oklahoma should be considered historic. The Mountaineers held the Sooners to 16 points (3 in the second half) in Norman after coughing up 50 in last year's meeting. Statistically they still allowed 435 total yards (316 on the ground) but managed to force four turnovers. In Week 1, WVU held William & Mary to 309 totals yards in a 24-17 win. It is hard to get too excited about the offensive explosiveness of both the Sooners and Tribe, but it is clearly a step in the right direction for West Virginia.


"Our kids, I knew we were a good defense," Patterson said after Saturday's loss. "I knew we were going to be. I think that we had a good plan, our kids felt comfortable and man, once we got into the flow of the game, I knew we could make it hard on them if we could stop the run."

"They played a heck of a game," junior Paul Millard said of WVU's defense. "Our defense came out there, they got turnovers, they did everything that we obviously

Read more



Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII




College Football Betting: Alabama currently -7.5 over Texas A&M

09.09.2013     12:26 PM     Printer Friendly
Alabama -7.5 at Texas A&M -O/U 63

We’ve seen some early line movement on the much anticipated matchup between Texas A&M and Alabama. CRIS opened the Crimson Tide at -7 and it got as high as -8.5 before settling in at -7.5 offshore. Note that Las Vegas' Coasts and Stations are currently dealing Alabama -9. Of course the Aggies won last year's meeting in Tuscaloosa, 29-24, as 13.5-point underdogs. The total in that game was 54.5 – significantly lower than this year's current market number of 63. We went back more than a decade and couldn't find an Alabama total lined north of 60.




Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Texas A&M Aggies SEC




Sports Betting Podcast 9-9-2013 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno

09.09.2013     10:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Teddy Covers adn Rob Veno. Teddy gave his thoughts and opinions on the line moves for NFL Week 2. Rob did the same for College Football Week 3.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 2

Rob Veno - CFB Opening Line Report Week 3

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers Rob Veno




College Football ATS Analysis: Golden Nugget's GOY vs. CRIS - Week 3

09.09.2013     08:20 AM     Printer Friendly
Checking in with the college football betting markets as we compare the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year from early June vs. CRIS's current numbers.

2013 College Football Lines Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 3
Away
Home
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
TCU
Texas Tech
TCU -4
TCU -3 (-120)
Mississippi State
Auburn
Mississippi State -1
Auburn -6.5
Wisconsin
Arizona State
Arizona State pk
Arizona State -5.5
Ohio State
California
Ohio State -21
Ohio State N/L
Boston College
USC
USC -21.5
USC -14
Nevada
Florida State
Florida State -26
Florida State -32
Iowa
Iowa State
Iowa State -4
Iowa State -1.5
Louisville
Kentucky
Louisville -14
Louisville -12.5
UCLA
Nebraska
Nebraska -6
Nebraska -5.5
Tulsa
Oklahoma
Oklahoma -18
Oklahoma -26
Alabama
Texas A&M
Alabama -6
Alabama -7.5
Ole Miss
Texas
Texas -8
Texas -4.5
Oregon State
Utah
Oregon State -6
Utah -1.5
Washington
Illinois (at Chicago)
Washington -11
Washington -11
Central Michigan
UNLV
UNLV -4
UNLV -7 (-120)
Tennessee
Oregon
Oregon -25
Oregon -25
Notre Dame
Purdue
Notre Dame -14
Notre Dame -20.5
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
South Carolina -11
South Carolina -12.5





Tags: College Football



109

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 25, 2016 03:41 PM.