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NFL Gambling: A look back at last year's 20* winner on Carolina Under 8.5 Wins

07.27.2015     08:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Below is Teddy Covers' write-up for last year's NFL Season O/U Wins Report 20* winner. Since 2001, Teddy has produced a documented record of 71-31 70% including 11-1 92% with his 20* Big Tickets. This year's report is currently available for purchase and will be released on Wednesday. Teddy includes in-depth written analysis on all of plays.

20* Big Ticket: Carolina UNDER 8.5 Wins
Just about everything broke right for the Carolina Panthers last year on their way to a 12-4 season.  Following a 1-3 start, the Panthers reeled off 11 wins in their final 12 regular season games in large part thanks to a 5-0 mark in games decided by four points or less. 

Make no mistake about it – the Panthers were every bit as lucky as they were good during that extended winning run.  Head coach Ron Rivera was on the hot seat, but he saved his job thanks to a ‘Riverboat Ron’ mentality down the stretch of tight games, a strategy that offers no hope of long term success.

And the Panthers feasted largely on the weak, with

Read more

Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Breaking down the NFL's new offensive coordinators Part 2

07.27.2015     08:04 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week in my Wiseguy Report, I wrote about a half dozen offensive coordinator changes in the NFL this past offseason.  This week, I’ll finish my analysis of the other half dozen offensive coordinator changes from around the league, with specific focus on how big of a change and how steep of a learning curve these offenses face.  Coordinators are listed in alphabetical order based on their new teams.

Kyle Shanahan, Atlanta Falcons - Shanahan’s dad was certainly a major factor in Kyle’s first few NFL coordinator jobs; none of which have been particularly successful.  Shanahan worked under Mike Shanahan protégé Gary Kubiak as OC in Houston in 2008-2009, and then worked under his dad for four years with the Redskins.  During that span, his team’s reached the playoffs only once – the ill-fated RG3 injury game against Seattle.  Last year’s debacle in Cleveland didn’t exactly bolster his Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Handicapping: Analyzing SEC Bye Weeks

07.24.2015     09:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
In the ultra-competitive SEC, a well or poorly placed bye week can have a big impact on a team's season. Your opponents' bye week can also play a factor back in 2010 we pointed out that Alabama really got the shaft with nearly its entire slate having a bye week before playing the Crimson Tide.

Lets take a look at the entire conference and analyze the potential impact of each squad's bye week.

Bye Week: October 24
Prior Game: at LSU
Upcoming Game: at Georgia
Analysis: Per usual, the Gators get a week off before the World's Largest Cocktail Party. It also breaks up a tough stretch of five straight league games, including three on the road. The bad news is Georgia also comes in off a bye.

Bye Week: October 10
Prior Game: vs. Eastern Kentucky
Upcoming Game: (Thu) vs. Auburn
Analysis: Cats with one of the earliest bye weeks in Read more

Tags: College Football SEC

CFL Handicapper Free Play: Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Edmonton Eskimos

07.23.2015     10:13 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Winnipeg +6 at Edmonton O/U 51.5
Recommendation: Winnipeg

My clients and I cashed a big 20* CFL Game Of The Month winner last week on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in their spread covering 26-25 loss to Calgary as +9 road dogs. We’ll go that route this week as Winnipeg is a perfect 2-0 ATS on the road this season cashing tickets in the underdog role both times. The Blue Bombers appear to have the better quarterback in this matchup with Drew Willy playing behind an improved offensive line. Winnipeg’s signal caller has a strong 77% completion rate with 5 TDs and 2 INTs. Those numbers pale in comparison to Edmonton’s Matt Nichols who, despite winning his first two starts, has only completed 51.7% of his passes with 4 TDs and 5 INTs. Nichols has been helped in a big way by a very solid ground game with the likes of Kendial Lawrence and Shakir Bell. Winnipeg’s defense really only surrendered 18 points last week as one of the Calgary TDs (followed by a successful 2-point conversion) was a blocked punt returned for a TD. And another of the Calgary’s TDs came after the Stamps got great field position following a kick return fumble Read more

Tags: CFL Winnipeg Blue Bombers Edmonton Eskimos Ian Cameron

College Football Betting: Texas Tech brings in yet another new defensive coordinator

07.23.2015     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
In sticking with our fast offense, bad defense, new coordinator theme, Texas Tech welcomes first-year DC David Gibbs the program's sixth DC since 2009. Gibbs spent the past two seasons at Houston where his stop units forced an incredible 73 turnovers. To compare, the Red Raiders gained only 34 turnovers during the span. TTU's defense was historically bad last season having allowed 45+ points on five occasions including 82 to TCU. Some of the blame can be placed on Kingsbury's offense which obviously plays ultra-fast and over the last two seasons coughed up the football a whopping 61 times. Still, there weren't many teams as incompetent when it came to stopping the opposition (512.7 ypg allowed).

"We knew that he had the track record, had the credibility coming in," Kingsbury said.

Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII

College Football Betting: Summer pointspreads offer varying opinions

07.10.2015     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Some noteworthy opinions on Week 1's matchup between Purdue and Marshall. When it comes to posting a midsummer lines, a vast majority is based on last year's results, this year's returnees, and whether or not your team has a quarterback with experience. In the case of the Thundering Herd, they return only 12 starters and lost quarterback Rakeem Cato (3,903 yards, 40 TDs, 13 INTs) and wide receiver Tommy Shuler (92 catches, 1,138 yards). Marshall won 13 games with its only loss coming in overtime vs. Western Kentucky. Purdue meanwhile returns 18 starters but that is perhaps not a good thing as the Boilermakers won only three games last season and suffered a 21-point to Central Michigan at home.

As for the Week 1's pointspread, check out the varying opinion:

BetOnline opened Purdue as a -2.5 road favorite but a flood of Marshall money had the Herd -4 as of earlier this week. Las Vegas' Stratosphere opened the game Marshall -4. Cantor had a far different opinion, opening the Herd as -10 home favorites. Some Purdue money drove the line down to its current price of -7.5 while BetOnline adjusted its line to -6.5.

Tags: College Football Purdue Boilermakers Marshall Thundering Herd Big Ten C-USA

NFL Gambling: Westgate SuperContest announces changes for 2015

07.03.2015     09:12 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Westgate SuperBook announced some changes for the upcoming 2015 NFL SuperContest. One of which will be the top 50 entrants taking home cash.

"The SuperContest is more popular than ever and we expect another record turnout," Kornegay said. "It used to be that only those in Vegas and those really connected to the industry here knew about the contest and that you could enter from out of state. The more mainstream media like people on ESPN have talked about it and with more people learning about the contest through social media, that has led to these record fields. ... We don't know how big it can get."

Tags: NFL Las Vegas

IRS seeks tax form on winnings of $600

07.02.2015     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Filling out a tax form when you hit a royal flush on a video poker machine is mildly annoying. It's about to get worse. The IRS is proposing that the winnings limit be dropped from its current mark of $1200 to a mere $600.

"I think it would have a big effect on the overall experience for slot players, as it's very common to have jackpots over $600, and now they'll actually have to stop play and wait for the attendant to come over," said Chad Beynon, who covers gaming stocks for Macquarie.

"That does a few things. First of all, it's just a pause in the game that causes people to lose their momentum and maybe decide to go home," he added. "Second, people want to walk away after what they consider to be a big jackpot, and whereas before they would have played a couple more hours and not left until they hit a bigger jackpot, this is kind of the government telling you that you just won a lot of money."

Tags: Las Vegas

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Mini-Camp Betting News

06.22.2015     01:34 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
All 32 NFL teams have concluded their OTA’s (organized team activities) and mini-camps over the past few weeks.  There’s nothing else on the horizon for the NFL before the start of training camps in mid-July.  Therefore, it’s time for bettors and fans alike to fixate on the news trickling out of those mini-camps over the last few weeks.  Here are half a dozen such reports, with teams listed in alphabetical order and information coming from local sources.

Arizona Cardinals - Arizona was an elite team with Carson Palmer behind center last year.  When Palmer got hurt, they were still a pretty good team until Drew Stanton got hurt as well.  Once Arizona was down to a third stringer at quarterback, the back end of the season was ugly as they closed out with a 2-5 stretch, culminating in a blowout to Carolina in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs.

Both Palmer and Stanton fully participated in mini-camp, with Palmer entering the new season as the clear starter, even at 35 years old and coming off his second ACL surgery.  Palmer wowed observers at mini-camp, looking extremely sharp in 11-on-11 Read more

Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Atlanta Falcons Buffalo Bills Houston Texans San Diego Chargers Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners

06.18.2015     10:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
San Francisco (Vogelsong) at Seattle (Montgomery) -140 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Seattle

The Giants lineup is ice cold once again.  They were shut out last night, the fifth time in their last six games that San Francisco has been held to two runs or less.  We saw similar offensive struggles for the Giants when lineup sparkplug Hunter Pence was on the DL in April.  His second trip to the DL has been equally disastrous for this slumping lineup.  And with Aoki slumping at the top of the batting order as well, we can expect continued struggles for the Giants offensively.

That’s bad news against an unfamiliar lefty, as Mike Montgomery takes the hill for Seattle today.  Each of Montgomery’s first three big league starts has been strong, allowing only four runs in 19 innings of work.  The former first round pick was dealt to Seattle this past offseason; a guy who ranked among the Top 20 prospects in baseball earlier in his minor league career.  Behind him, Seattle’s bullpen is rested and ready following another gem from King Felix last night.

And it’s not hard to make a case for Read more

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers


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