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December

22

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Under- and over-reacting to early season football results

09.08.2014     07:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I probably heard the same expression 20 times last week: ‘Don’t overreact to Week 1 results.’   It’s one of those handicapping mantras that we hear every year right around this time – the very beginning of football season. 

In basketball or baseball there’s no week off between the first two games and the early season betting markets don’t react intensely off a single poor performance.  But for football – both NFL and college – the prevailing conventional wisdom is that Week 1 results are a thing to take with a grain of salt.

The concept certainly makes sense.  Coaches – especially college football coaches – will tell you that they expect their biggest improvement between Week 1 and Week 2.  Without the benefit of preseason games or even scrimmages against opposing squads, teams often ‘work out the kinks’ and ‘get up to game speed’ in their initial contest.  The team you expected to see this year (at least for bettors who do some homework and have opinions coming into the campaign) might not be the team you saw in Week 1, but there’s Read more


Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas State Red Wolves at Tennessee Volunteers

09.05.2014     07:29 AM     Paul Stone     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Paul Stone

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arkansas State at Tennessee
Saturday, 9 am PT - SEC
CRIS Opener:
Tennessee -17.5 O/U 51
CRIS Current: Tennessee -17 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Tennessee -17.5
Paul Stone's Recommendation: Tennessee

A Sun Belt versus SEC pairing at Neyland Stadium,one of college football's top venues, pits teams off lopsided season-opening wins. Butch Jones' Tennessee Volunteers mowed over Utah State, 38-7, Sunday, while first-year head coach Blake Anderson and the Arkansas State Red Wolves disposed of FCS opponent Montana State by a 37-10 margin one day earlier.

Attempting to reconstruct a program short on SEC caliber talent following Derek Dooley's brief tenure, Jones, in his second season, has displayed the ability to recruit at a high level and just might bring the Volunteers back near the glory days of the past if given enough time. In its opener against Utah State, Tennessee played a Read more


Tags: College Football Arkansas State Red Wolves Sun Belt Tennessee Volunteers SEC Paul Stone




College Football Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars at Kent State Golden Flashes

09.04.2014     02:10 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Alabama at Kent State
Saturday, 11 am PT - ESPN3
CRIS Opener:
Kent State pk O/U 52.5
CRIS Current: South Alabama -3 O/U 50.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: South Alabama -1.5
Drew Martin's Recommendation: South Alabama

South Alabama opens its season on the road against Kent State in Dix Stadium. This will be the second game of the season for the Golden Flashes after being on the wrong side of the 17-14 home contest vs. Ohio. Kent’s offense managed only 294 yards (31 yards rushing) of offense and could not take advantage of four Bobcat turnovers. This shouldn’t come as a surprise after KSU lost its two best offensive linemen and third round draft pick running back Dri Archer. Additionally, the Golden Flashes were without their most touted offensive weapon, 250 pound running back Trayion Durham. He is currently listed as questionable; I don’t believe they would hold him Read more


Tags: College Football South Alabama Jaguars Sun Belt Kent State Golden Flashes MAC Drew Martin




College Football Betting Preveiw: Michigan State Spartans at Oregon Ducks

09.04.2014     06:49 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan State at Oregon
Saturday, 3:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -12.5 O/U 58.5
CRIS Current: Oregon -12 O/U 56
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -6
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Oregon 1st half

Fascinating matchup with Michigan State headed to Eugene to take on Oregon. Obviously the theme of this handicap is contrasting styles. The Ducks want to go as fast as possible whereas Michigan State is happy to grind and have the game determined in the trenches. To compare, last season Oregon ran nearly 77 plays per game in PAC-12 play. Michigan State faced an average of 63 plays per game vs. the Big Ten. The Spartans have the benefit of health and extra time to prepare but this is a new class of game speed that coupled with the wild confines of Autzen will take MSU time to adjust.

While these two teams are different in many respects, they do have one thing in common and that's last Read more


Tags: College Football Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Andrew Lange




College Football Gambling: Texas' offensive line takes big hit

09.03.2014     11:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Not only will the Texas Longhorns be without quarterback David Ash (concussion) but the anchor of the offensive line, Dominic Espinosa (ankle), is also out indefinitely. Espinosa's injury now makes Texas on of the youngest and least experiences offensive lines in the country. Good article from burntorangenation.com on what to expect with UT's o-line moving forward. Still no widely available line on Saturday's game vs. BYU.


When Phil Steele released his annual list of the most experienced offensive lines around the nation this summer, the Horns were tied for No. 87 in the country with only 49 starts, most of them belonging to Espinosa.

Combined, the group would now rank No. 127 in the country in experience, in front of only Tennessee, which boasted six starts heading into the season.





Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII BYU Cougars




College Football Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

09.03.2014     11:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan at Notre Dame
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -4.5 O/U 54.5
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -3.5 O/U 56
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -4
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Over

Michigan has won and covered four of the last five meetings between these two teams, taking control of what had been a very competitive series in recent seasons.   In fact, prior to the Wolverines recent success, the taking the underdog plus the points had been the prevailing theme, winning outright in nine of the previous 12 meetings.   And, of course, with Michigan catching points in South Bend on Saturday, the trends clearly point towards the Wolverines as live underdogs here.

The Wolverines went through an ugly 0-5 SU and ATS run as an underdog heading into last November, but they covered three straight in that role down the stretch last year, finally showing success Read more


Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Notre Dame Fighting Irish Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling Update: Stave didn't play vs. LSU due to a bad shoulder

09.02.2014     02:50 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Where there's smoke, there's fire, right? Some bettors were probably wondering why last year's starter Joel Stave didn't take a snap vs. LSU. Here's your explanation. It turns out Stave had a bum shoulder and will be out for the foreseeable future. Redshirt Bart Houston will serve as Tanner McEvoy's backup. 


"Joel has been dealing with some issues with his throwing shoulder for the last couple of weeks and we have come to a decision, after talking with Joel, that the best thing for him right now is to shut it down and give him some rest," Andersen said Tuesday.

"It was a tough decision because Joel is a great competitor and has a tremendous desire to help this team," he added. "We will continue to monitor his progress, but we're not putting a timetable on his return at this time."






Read more


Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




College Football Gambling: Wisconsin has a quarterback problem

09.02.2014     01:58 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Concerns about Wisconsin's quarterback situation following Saturday's second half meltdown vs. LSU. First-year starter Tanner McEvoy threw for only 50 yards on 8-of-24 passes. It raises the question should the Badgers revert back to last year's vanilla-but-for-the-most-part-effective starter, Joel Stave. Head coach Gary Andersen said both will undoubtedly be used throughout the year. UW plays host to FCS Western Illinois this weekend.

 

“We need two quarterbacks. Sooner or later, you’re going to have them both. Tanner’s the starter today, but Joel’s going to fight like crazy to get some reps and if there’s an opportunity that presents itself for Joel to be able to come in and play, then so be it.”

“Do we need better play (at quarterback)? Absolutely. Nobody’s going to sit there and debate that. We need better play out of the quarterback. We need better play in the throw game, period. There’s some Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




College Football Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

08.29.2014     07:14 AM     Paul Stone     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Paul Stone

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
Saturday, 5 pm PT, Arlington - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Florida State -17 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Florida State -18 O/U 63.5
Paul's Recommendation: Florida State

Defending national champion Florida State and Big XII perennial contender Oklahoma State square off in Saturday's 2014 season opener at AT&T Stadium in Arlington also the site of the finals of the inaugural College Football Playoff. While the Seminoles return many of their key components and rank as the consensus choice to repeat as national champions, the Mike Gundy-coached Cowboys will be trotting out lineups of mostly first-time starters on both offense and defense. With just eight returning starters, four on both sides of the ball, Oklahoma State is one of the least experienced teams in any of the so-called Power Five Read more


Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC Oklahoma State Cowboys Paul Stone




College Football Betting Preview: Fresno State Bulldogs at USC Trojans

08.28.2014     02:32 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Fresno State at USC
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
USC -22 O/U 58
CRIS Current: USC -21.5 O/U 57.5
Ian’s Recommendation: USC

Rematch of last year’s Las Vegas Bowl in which USC demolished a better Fresno State squad, 45-20. Fresno State’s success was contingent upon its offense behind quarterback Derek Carr. He has since moved on to the NFL and head coach Tim DeRuyter has narrowed his replacement down to either junior Brian Burrell or Duke transfer Brandon Connette. Regardless of who starts both are expected to play on Saturday. This uncertainty doesn’t bode well for Fresno State against a stellar USC defense that welcomes back one of the best defensive lines in the country with Leonard Williams, J.R. Tavai, and Antwaun Woods. And behind them, even with the loss of Jabari Ruffin to a season ending torn ACL injury, they are still very strong Read more


Tags: College Football Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West USC Trojans PAC-12 Ian Cameron



11

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December

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