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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: College Basketball Pointspread Underachievers

02.10.2014     07:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week I wrote about the four best pointspread teams in the country in college hoops this year – Cleveland State, Villanova, Wichita State and Utah. Between the four, they combined to go 7-1 ATS over the past week, continuing to cover spreads even after doing so consistently for the past three months. In other words, the markets still haven’t caught up with these teams.

This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be money losers as February rolls into March? And what statistical profile do these teams have in common that will help us identify them as early as possible next year? Let’s take a look!

I did a version of this column last year at this same time (second week of February). At that time, the single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball was Indiana-Purdue Indianapolis, abbreviated IUPUI. This year, IUPUI isn’t the single worst pointspread team in college hoops only because they’re tied with South Alabama and LaSalle at the bottom of the ATS Read more


Tags: College Basketball IUPUI Jaugars South Alabama Jaguars UCF Knights Notre Dame Fighting Irish Boston College Eagles Pittsburgh Panthers Purdue Boilermakers Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Creighton Bluejays at St. John's Red Storm

02.09.2014     09:38 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Creighton at St. John's +2.5 O/U 143
Recommendation: St. John's


After losing five straight games, including a pair of nail-biters at the end of the slump, St. John's has caught fire. Any opinions on the Steve Lavin era in Queens are incomplete, and, if he has it his way, those thoughts from the peanut gallery will be of a positive nature.

Lavin took over at UCLA for Jim Harrick after his drama led to his pre-Athens demise in 1996-97, leading the Bruins to five consecutive Sweet 16 appearances and six straight Tournament bids before the wheels came off in a disastrous 2002-2003 year that prompted his dismissal.

Lavin, a Gene Keady protégé who paid his dues at Purdue as an assistant from 1988-1991, is in his fourth season at St. John's. He took the Red Storm to the NCAA Tournament for the first time in a decade in his initial campaign in Queens. However, Lavin was diagnosed with prostate cancer the following year and missed most of the 2011-12 campaign, a season in which the Red Storm failed to qualify for the postseason.

Following an NIT bid last year, the pressure was on for the Johnnies coming into Read more


Tags: College Basketball Creighton Bluejays St. John's Red Storm Brian Edwards




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Washington Huskies at Utah Utes

02.06.2014     09:56 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Utah -9 O/U 141
Recommendation: Utah


I used Utah in a very similar spot two weeks ago as a Sportsmemo free play when they returned home off multiple road losses and responded in a big way by blowing out USC 84-66 as 10.5-point home favorites. They should be sitting on a good effort again as they return home following three straight losses on the highway at Arizona, Arizona State and Colorado. They lost those games by a combined 17 points including a tough OT loss vs. Colorado. The Utes are a dominant 14-1 at home thanks to 50.3% FG and 36.2% from the perimeter. Delon Wright leads the team with 16.1 ppg but Jordan Loveridge and Brandon Taylor are two other viable scoring options. Utah has also performed very well defensively at home holding foes to 40.8% FG and just 31.9% from deep.

Washington is very inconsistent – fully capable of hanging tough with Arizona and beating the likes of Colorado and Oregon but also capable of getting Read more


Tags: College Basketball Washington Huskies Utah Utes Ian Cameron




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Auburn Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks

02.05.2014     10:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn at South Carolina -2.5 O/U 146
Recommendation: South Carolina


Auburn hasn’t won a road game this year, and they’re riding a 1-8 ATS streak on the highway dating back to last year.  Tony Barbee’s squad lacks veteran depth, and they’ve been abysmal defensively once they leave the friendly confines of Auburn Arena; particularly on the perimeter where they’ve allowed opponents to shoot 40 percent from three point land. 

And Auburn is a tad bit fat and happy off back-to-back home wins, their first two wins in SEC play.  Even after those wins, the Tigers are still just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 against conference foes; a consistent pointspread underachiever.  And the Tigers biggest weakness offensively – turnovers in bunches; with an 0.63 assist-to-turnover ratio on the road this year – plays right into the Gamecocks defensive strength.

Sure, South Carolina doesn’t Read more


Tags: College Basketball Auburn Tigers South Carolina Gamecocks Teddy Covers




College Basketball Gambling: Big Ten road teams cashing in for bettors

02.04.2014     11:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on the wild results in the Big Ten this season – a lot of which resulted in road wins. Northwestern has wins at Wisconsin and Minnesota. Short-handed Michigan won at Iowa. Penn State won in Columbus. And the Buckeyes scored a victory in Madison. Heading into tonight's action, Big Ten road teams are 23-31 SU and 32-21-1 ATS.

Team - Road ATS record
Michigan State 5-0
Iowa 4-1
Nebraska 3-1
Indiana 2-1-1
Northwestern 3-2
Ohio State 3-2
Purdue 3-2
Michigan 3-2
Wisconsin 2-2
Penn State 2-2
Minnesota 1-3
Illinois 1-3



Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Handicapping: Wisconsin and Illinois limp into tonight's contest

02.04.2014     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After starting the season 16-0, Wisconsin has dropped five of its last six. Head coach Bo Ryan isn't panicking but rather taking a it-is-what-it-is approach as the Badgers head to Illinois (0-7 SU run) tonight. The defense has played a little better of late but a year removed from leading the Big Ten in defensive efficiency (0.90 ppp allowed), Wisky currently ranks 9th at 1.04.


"You're always looking for things that can shake guys out of the positions that they're in," Ryan said. "But you can't all of a sudden re-make a team. When you can take five possessions out of several of those games and if they go the other way -- four possessions, two possessions -- you're sitting on the other side. So they still have to believe in what they're doing. They still have to believe that if they position themselves correctly, block out, take care of the ball, I can't fault them there.

"They're taking care of the ball. They're getting decent looks. A couple times we had to take a hurried look because of a Read more



Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: College Basketball Pointspread Juggernauts

02.03.2014     07:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Super Bowl is in the rear view mirror after Sunday’s huge Seattle blowout, which can only mean one thing – college hoops is on center stage for the next eight weeks. I’ve been writing game previews for ESPN.com/Insider, but I’ve yet to write a true college basketball overview column so far this season. It’s time!

I’m going take a look at the four very best regular board pointspread teams in the country in this week’s column.  Elite level teams aren’t necessarily pointspread winners, and bottom feeders can cash ticket after ticket if the betting markets set numbers that allow them to hang within the number as big underdogs. And the very best pointspread teams tend to be under-the-radar type squads, like the single best ATS team in college hoops thusfar in the 2013-14 campaign.

Cleveland State has a decent record, sitting in a second place tie in the Horizon League standings with a 6-3 mark in conference; 15-9 SU overall. If the NCAA tournament started today, Gary Waters’ Vikings wouldn’t even sniff an at-large bid – they’ll need to win the league tournament to go Read more


Tags: College Basketball Cleveland State Vikings Utah Utes Wichita State Shockers Villanova Wildcats Teddy Covers




Super Bowl XLVIII Prop Bet: Doug Baldwin Total Receiving Yards

02.02.2014     08:54 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Doug Baldwin Total Receiving Yards
Recommendation: Over


This line is all over the board offshore and I’m sure it is in Vegas as well. The best number I’ve seen offshore is 40.5 -115 at Heritage. I’ve also seen as high as 43.5 +100 at Bookmaker. Try to get the best number you can, you never know when that yard or half a yard will matter.

Doug Baldwin doesn’t get much in the way of national media attention and he is far from a Pro Bowl caliber receiver. But he might just be Russell Wilson’s favorite target right now and I think that gives us an edge with this prop.

Baldwin has big play ability which can go a long way to helping us cash this bet. He posted a catch of over 20 yards in 13 games this year and had 10 games where he had more than 40 receiving yards. That includes his season high 106 yard effort against a tough 49ers defense in the NFC Championship. This week he takes a step down in competition against Football Outsiders’ 21st ranked pass defense.

Percy Harvin’s return is the big story and I’m sure Seattle will try to get him involved. But I don’t think that fact Read more


Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Denver Broncos Super Bowl XLVIII Otto Sports




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Minnesota Golden Gophers

02.01.2014     08:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern at Minnesota -10.5 O/U 124.5
Recommendation: Under


There are three very strong aspects of Northwestern basketball right now that have them trending under the total. For starters, they've succeeded in playing at a slow pace and shortening the game – a logical choice for a squad that is outmanned talent-wise nearly each and every night. Second is the Wildcats can't shoot. Last time out vs. Wisconsin, NW shot 50% from 2, 44% from 3, and 75% from the FT line – a near perfect performance by their standards that netted them a modest 65 points. Even with that showing, NW checks in at 0.84 ppp – a historical bad rate. Lastly, the Wildcats play sound team defense holding five of their last six foes to 40% or less effective FG%. Minnesota wants to push the pace but finding it difficult in the Big Ten (8th, 65.2 possessions per game). And Andre Hollins, the team’s top offensive option, it out with an ankle injury. I keep waiting Read more


Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Minnesota Golden Gophers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: Teams wiith same starting five

02.01.2014     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article that features every college basketball team that has had the same starting five this season.


Division I teams that have used the same starting lineup in every game:
AAC
Cincinnati

Atlantic 10
UMass

Atlantic Sun
Mercer

Big East
Butler
Providence

Big South
Campbell

Big Ten
Illinois
Iowa
Ohio State
Wisconsin

Big 12
Oklahoma

Mountain West
Wyoming

Pac 12
Stanford

SEC
Missouri

Southern
Elon

Southland
Sam Houston State
Stephen F. Austin

SWAC
Alabama State

WAC
Utah Valley

West Coast
Portland





Tags: College Basketball



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 28, 2014 11:27 AM.