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March

28

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part II

03.07.2016     08:08 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In Part I of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 16 NCAA champions.  From that profile, I was able to make a short list of potential champs in 2016, consisting of the following 16 teams:  Miami, North Carolina, Virginia, Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Purdue, Oregon, Utah, Arizona and Texas A&M.

The next step in the elimination process is to look at the team’s records away from home. The NCAA championship is not won on a team’s home floor.  Even with a favorable location one weekend, a team is still going to have to win four neutral site games in order to cut down the nets in Houston on April 4th.  And the best predictive evidence that I’ve seen for future success in neutral or hostile environments is previous success is neutral or hostile environments.  

In most years, we’ll find a sub .500 road Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Bettors hit monster parlay in Las Vegas

03.03.2016     08:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some dude hit a 15-team parlay that paid out $305K at Las Vegas' William Hill. He reportedly hedged some of his bet on the final game.




Tags: Las Vegas




Las Vegas' Cosmo upgrades sportsbook

03.02.2016     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
Las Vegas’ Cosmopolitan recently upgraded its sportsbook. Here’s an article about the details.




Tags: Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part I

02.29.2016     09:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion.  I write this article every year, and in every year except for two, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA national champion among my elite level teams.   Both exceptions were the same team – UConn – making miracle runs to win the title as prohibitive longshots.

Two years ago, Kevin Ollie’s Huskies were on the ropes in their tourney opener against St Joe’s, needing a late rally just to send the game to overtime.  Three weeks later, they cut down the nets as national champs at Jerry’s World in Arlington.  I didn’t see it coming.  Neither did the betting markets, with UConn priced in the 100:1 longshot range prior to the tournament.  And if a longshot like that wins every coinflip game in the tourney this year, I’m not likely to get it right either.

I write this article every year before the regular season is over, before the conference tournaments, before the tourney seedings are announced and before a single March Madness game has been played.  Obviously, there is room for a lot to change between now and the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Wynn Sportsbook readies launch of sports betting app

02.26.2016     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas sportsbook sports betting apps are all the rage these days as the Wynn is expected to offer one next week.


“This is an exciting development we’ve been working on for quite some time and are pleased to now be able to offer this amenity to our guests,” Avello said in a press release. “Whether dining in our restaurants, lounging by the pools or in your guest room, the Wynn Mobile Sports allows guest to enjoy the first-rate, luxury experience of our Race & Sportsbook in the palm of their hand.”






Tags: Las Vegas




NFL Gambling Update: Tony Romo goes after NFL

02.25.2016     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Dallas quarterback Tony Romo is suing the NFL for $1 million over last year's canceled Fantasy Football event that was slated to be held at Las Vegas' Sands Expo. They perhaps picked up a little ammo with Rob Gronkowski recently hosting a cruise that reportedly offered gambling.


“We hope to find out from the very person solely in charge of enforcing the gambling policy,” said lawyer Michael Hurst, who along with Julie Pettit, is representing the NFFC. “We want to know what his position is and why the NFL has taken inconsistent positions in the past.”







NFL gets pissy over Fantasy Football convention in Las Vegas

06.10.2015     08:29 AM     Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Eastern Conference second half preview

02.22.2016     09:02 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in this space, I wrote about what I’m expecting from the Western Conference in the eight week stretch between the end of the All-Star Break and the beginning of the playoffs.  This week, I’m going to focus on the East, before my attention turns to March Madness for the next few Wiseguy Reports.

There’s no question that the Eastern Conference is finally getting better after nearly two decades of playing second fiddle to the West.  Since Michael Jordan (and everybody else) left the Bulls following their sixth title in 1998, the Eastern Conference has only won five championships, something the Lakers and Spurs have each done five times by themselves during that span!  Detroit won in 2004, Miami won in 2006, 2012 and 2013 and Boston won in 2008.

And from all indications in the betting markets, the East isn’t very likely to win a title this year either.  Cleveland is the only team in the East priced at less than 15-1 to reach the Read more



Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: 2016 Regular Season Over/Under Wins - Atlantis vs. Westgate

02.22.2016     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
This past weekend, Las Vegas' Westgate SuperBook posted its MLB Regular Season Over/Under Wins. Below is a chart comparing the numbers to Reno's Atlantis Sportsbook which was the first sportsbook to post two weeks ago. There were a handful of fairly strong differentiating "opinions."

Arizona: Atlantis 84.5/Westgate 81.5
Chicago Cubs: Atlantis 89/Westgate 93.5
Colorado: Atlantis 68.5/Westgate 71.5
Detroit: Atlantis 85/Westgate 80.5
Kansas City: Atlantis 87/Westgate 83.5
Texas: Atlantis 86/Westgate 83.5

Note that these lines have obviously moved since the opening numbers were posted.

2016 MLB Regular Season O/U Wins - Atlantis vs. Westgate
Team
2015 Wins
Atlantis
Westgate
Arizona
79
84.5
81.5
Atlanta
67
65
67.5
Baltimore
81
80.5
78.5
Boston
78
85.5
87.5
Chicago Cubs
97
89
93.5
Chicago White Sox
76
80.5
80.5
Cincinnati
64
71
69.5
Cleveland
81
84
85.5
Colorado
68
68.5
71.5
Detroit
74
85
80.5
Houston
86
85.5
88.5
Kansas City
95
87
83.5
LA Angels
85
82.5
81.5
LA Dodgers
92
87
89.5
Miami
71
80.5
78.5
Milwaukee
68
71.5
69.5
Minnesota
83
77.5
79.5
NY Mets
90
88
89.5
NY Yankees
87
85
86.5
Oakland
68
75.5
75.5
Philadelphia
63
66.5
64.5
Pittsburgh
98
87
86.5
San Diego
74
74
73.5
San Francisco
84
90
88.5
Seattle
76
83
82.5
St. Louis
100
87.5
87.5
Tampa Bay
80
78
81.5
Texas
88
86
83.5
Toronto
93
87
86.5
Washington
83
87
89.5





Tags: MLB




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Western Conference second half preview

02.15.2016     11:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NBA All Star Game is in the rear view mirror now, leaving bettors with a two month window between now and the beginning of the Playoffs.  Just about every team has approximately thirty games remaining on their regular season schedule.  The Warriors remain the favorite to win the title when June rolls around, with Cleveland and San Antonio also priced in a 3:1 or lower range to win the championship. 

But if you’ve been reading my Wiseguy Report for the last decade, you know that I’m not a big fan of future book wagers.  This week’s article isn’t going to recommend a change that long term betting philosophy.  In my opinion, the real money to be made betting the NBA is to find the teams that are being priced incorrectly by the betting markets and bet on (or against) those teams repeatedly; in every reasonable situation, until the betting markets catch up.

I’m going to focus on the Western Conference this week; next week I’ll break down the East.  As we come out of the break, I’ve identified my top ‘Bet-On’ team down the stretch for the West – the Denver Nuggets.  This Read more



Tags: NBA Teddy Covers Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs Denver Nuggets




NFL Betting News: Raiders to Las Vegas not that far-fetched

02.11.2016     08:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Las Vegas Raiders? Oddsmakers are saying it isn't all that much of a longshot.


"A lot of people are talking 10-1 or 100-1, but I would make it much lower," said Jimmy Vaccaro, a veteran Las Vegas oddsmaker. "It's a lot closer to happening than we once thought. I have the lowest odds on the Raiders being here. It should be less than 10-1."






Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Las Vegas



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March

28


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Mar 28, 2017 08:55 AM.