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December

4

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC News, Notes, and Quotes

12.07.2015     10:21 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFC Playoff picture got a whole lot clearer following Week 13, as numerous contenders took a hit.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take a look at some notes and quotes from a handful of those losers from Sunday in an effort to gauge their competitive spirit moving forward.

Let’s start in New Jersey, where the New York Giants just lost four the fourth time in their last five games.  This time, the G-Men blew a double digit fourth quarter lead against the Jets, losing in overtime when Josh Brown missed his first field goal attempt in 26 tries this season.  Six of the Giants seven losses have come in winnable games; by six points or less, and this defeat marked the fifth time this season that they’ve blown a fourth quarter lead.

Some of the criticism is downright ridiculous.  Head coach Tom Coughlin is taking ‘Monday Morning Quarterback’ type heat for his decision to go for it on fourth and two from the Jets four yard line with under nine minutes to play in regulation.  Eli Manning threw an interception on the play; the Jets seized the momentum and went on to win the game. 

But Read more



Tags: NFL New York Giants St. Louis Rams Chicago Bears Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 13 consensus picks

12.06.2015     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus picks for Week 13 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. SEATTLE pk vs. Minnesota
2. HOUSTON +3.5 at Buffalo
3. NEW ORLEANS +7 vs. Carolina
4. NY GIANTS +2.5 at NY Jets
5. KANSAS CITY -2.5 vs. Oakland

Least picked Sunday side: Jacksonville +2.5 at Tennessee.




Tags: NFL




NFL Betting News: Las Vegas sportsbooks breathe sign of relief after Ravens' MNF win

12.01.2015     06:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Funny how these things tend to work out. Heading into last night's Baltimore-Cleveland game, a few Las Vegas sportsbooks were reporting a comical imbalance of money on the Browns. Cleveland opened at a pick 'em offshore and -1.5 in Las Vegas and closed -6. The Ravens of course blocked the potential game winning field goal and took it to the house for outright win. Perhaps a lesson that when someone's reporting 99% of the action is one side, it's probably wise to take a gander at the team that has “no chance.”


"It'll easily be the biggest Monday night decision of the year," Rood said. "It's just a huge, huge decision."

"We have a ton of money on Cleveland," Simbal said Sunday night. "In fact, 99.3 percent of the money is on Cleveland so far."






Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Cleveland Browns Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Analyzing the NFL Playoff contenders

11.30.2015     11:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There’s one thing that has become very clear to me as the NFL season enters the December stretch run following another week of wild finishes and head scratching upsets.  The 2015 season is an ode to mediocrity.  You’re not going to find many (any?) truly elite teams. 
With the Patriots ongoing injury woes, when it comes to the elites at this stage of the campaign, there are only three teams I’d even consider: the Panthers, Cardinals and Bengals.  And all three of those teams have enough question marks to put them a good notch or two below where my top power rated teams were last year or the year before at this stage of the campaign.

It’s a similar story at the bottom of the league.  I’ve got eight teams grouped at the bottom of my power ratings: the 49ers, Chargers, Ravens, Titans, Browns, Saints, Jaguars and Rams.  All eight of those teams, while unquestionably weak, are capable of pulling upsets over playoff contenders, because they’ve all done it at least once this year. 

San Fran has wins over the Vikings and Falcons (still a playoff team if the season ended today).  San Diego Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 12 consensus picks

11.29.2015     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 12 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. TAMPA BAY +3.5 at Indianapolis
2. PITTSBURGH +3.5 at Seattle
3. MINNESOTA pk at Atlanta
4. DENVER +3 vs. New England
5. CLEVELAND -2.5 vs. Baltimore

Least picked Sunday side: NY Jets -3.5 vs. Miami




Tags: NFL




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL teams starting to change their stripes

11.23.2015     11:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s Week 12 already. Thanksgiving is upon us, with the holiday season right behind it.  All the NFL Bye weeks are in the rear view mirror now, with every team still having exactly six games remaining in the regular season.  We’re seeing numerous ‘morphs’ around the league; teams that have changed their stripes rather dramatically over the course of the last month. 

Some of those morphs are duly noted by the betting markets.  For example, the 3-7 Cowboys with a healthy Tony Romo are favored over the 10-0 Panthers on Thanksgiving Day, with the betting markets reacting to the Cowboys positive showing with Tony Romo back behind center this past Sunday.  The markets certainly aren’t sleeping on Dallas right now!

But what about the Lions, winners of two straight since their woeful 1-7 start?  Or the Falcons, now just 1-4 in their last five games; struggling on both sides of the football?  The Jets aren’t the same team now that they were a month ago, especially if the injuries to shutdown corner Darrelle Revis and Pro Bowl caliber center Nick Mangold don’t heal quickly.  Should we Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 11 consensus picks

11.21.2015     08:14 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 11 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. DALLAS pk at Miami
2. NY JETS -2 at Houston
3. GREEN BAY +1 at Minnesota
4. CINCINNATI +5 at Arizona
5. MINNESOTA -1 vs. Green Bay

Least picked Sunday side: Houston +2 vs. NY Jets.




Tags: NFL




Las Vegas sportsbooks withstand Holm-Rousey upset thanks to NFL underdogs

11.16.2015     02:35 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to reports it was a wild weekend for Las Vegas sportsbooks with Holly Holm knocking out Ronda Rousey and nearly every NFL underdog covering on Sunday.


"At one point, we were approaching six digits on our loss," SuperBook assistant manager Ed Salmons said. "We had some late money on the favorite, which essentially made us a small loser on that fight. But with what we could have lost at one point, it felt like a big winner."






Tags: NFL Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Updating NFL Regular Season O/U Wins

11.16.2015     08:05 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I write a lot about NFL Win Totals and NFL Divisional Odds throughout the summer months; my preferred methodology for discussing the upcoming season.  As we approach Thanksgiving, with Week 10 in the books and the final bye weeks coming up this weekend, it’s a good opportunity to take a look at how those wagers are faring heading into the homestretch of the 2015 campaign.

The very first NFL season win bets cashed this past weekend.  Dallas fell to 2-7, ensuring that the Cowboys cannot go Over their 9.5 game win total.  Carolina improved to 9-0, cashing their Over 8.5 win total from last summer.  Seattle fell to 4-5.  Even if the Seahawks win all of their remaining games, they can do no better than push their 11 game win total. 

It’s a similar story with Baltimore, sitting at 2-7 now, with a win total of 9 from last summer.  A 7-0 Ravens run to end the season would only produce a push for Over bettors. And while I write this column before Monday Night Football kicks off, the Bengals are in prime position to cash their Over 8.5 win total, 8-0 now and sitting as double digit favorites against the Texans.

A Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Las Vegas SuperContest Week 10 consensus picks

11.14.2015     11:07 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 8 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. TENNESSEE +5.5 vs. Carolina
2. OAKLAND -3 vs. Minnesota
3. JACKSONVILLE +5.5 at Baltimore
4. WASHINGTON pk vs. New Orleans
5. KANSAS CITY +6 at Denver

Least picked Sunday side: Cleveland +4.5 at Pittsburgh.




Tags: NFL



11

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December

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