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UL-Lafayette coach tells team underdogs win outright on a regular basis
09.09.2011 10:53 AM
Printer Friendly
Louisiana-Lafayette
at
Kent State
-8.5 O/U 51
Lafayette first-year head coach Mark Hudspeth uses some
betting vernacular
to convey to his team that plenty of underdogs win outright on a weekly basis.
"I told these guys this: 'In college football, there are gonna be 60 Division I games on Saturday; there are gonna be 60 teams favored, there are gonna be 60 teams not favored,'" Hudspeth said of his Cajuns. "But I promise you, if you look every week, every week, exactly every week, there are a bunch of teams that are not favored that are winning football games."
Tags:
College Football
UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
Sun Belt
Kent State Golden Flashes
MAC
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NCAAF Gambling Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines
09.09.2011 09:39 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Notre Dame
at
Michigan
(5 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opening Line:
Notre Dame -3 O/U 55.5
CRIS Current Line:
Notre Dame -3 O/U 55.5
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Notre Dame -0.5
Teddy Covers Power Rating:
Notre Dame -1
Andrew Lange's Betting Take:
How "must win" can it get for Notre Dame who already appears to be in a state of panic following the switch in starting quarterbacks? I don't think it really matters who starts – both Crist and Rees appear comparable in ability – but what stands out is two weeks ago, Brian Kelly boldly announced that Crist would be the starter "for 13 weeks". That tells us that Kelly is feeling the heat and if he's already losing
Read more
Tags:
College Football
Michigan Wolverines
Big Ten
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Andrew Lange
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NCAAF Betting Notes: Iowa State determined to make up-tempo offense work
09.09.2011 07:57 AM
Printer Friendly
Iowa
-6.5 at
Iowa State
O/U 43.5
Iowa State narrowly escaped with a 20-19 win last week over respectable FCS foe Northern Iowa. The Cyclones were
disappointed with their offensive performance
; unable to properly execute the fast pace they worked on heading into the season. A lot of these teams wanting to play up-tempo, Oregon-esque football actually end up less efficient due to a lack of personnel and experience. ISU would seem better suited to shorten the game and keep its suspect defense off the field, especially when asked to step up in class like they will on Saturday.
"I think the tempo was faster," Iowa State coach Paul Rhoads said Monday. "There was an overall
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Iowa State Cyclones
Big XII
Iowa Hawkeyes
Big Ten
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College Football ATS Preview: Fresno State Bulldogs at Nebraska Cornhuskers
09.09.2011 07:39 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Fresno State
at
Nebraska
(4 pm – Big Ten)
CRIS Opening Line:
Nebraska -26.5 O/U 50
CRIS Current Line:
Nebraska -27.5 O/U 51
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Nebraska -20.5
Teddy Covers Power Rating:
Nebraska -22
Andrew Lange’s Betting Take:
Nebraska has never been much of a "bet on" team laying big prices under Bo Pelini (8-12 ATS -10 or more). Last season they weren't even close in games against Idaho, South Dakota, Iowa State and Kansas. A lot of it appears to come down to focus. For example, after a few creampuff wins to open 2010, they go on the road for their Big XII opener laying double-digits and crush Kansas State 48-13. Late in the season, following a tough
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Nebraska Cornhuskers
Big Ten
Fresno State Bulldogs
WAC
Andrew Lange
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College Football ATS Preview: Missouri Tigers at Arizona State Sun Devils
09.08.2011 01:05 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Missouri
at
Arizona State
(Friday, 7:30 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opening Line:
Arizona State -7 O/U 52
CRIS Current Line:
Arizona State -7.5 O/U 53
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Arizona State -3
Teddy Covers Power Rating:
Arizona State -6
Andrew Lange's Betting Take:
Injuries are a major concern for Missouri, with as many as five projected starters not expected to play. According to the school's
current depth chart
, the first and second strings are comprised of 21 freshmen and sophomores. Also a concern is sending first-year
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Missouri Tigers
Big XII
Arizona State Sun Devils
PAC-12
Andrew Lange
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College Football ATS Trends: Short line for FIU at Louisville matchup
09.08.2011 12:35 PM
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Florida International
at
Louisville
-3.5 O/U 48
Friday's matchup between Louisville and Florida International is intriguing in that we have a Sun Belt team lined below a touchdown on the road against a BCS Conference school. We went back over the last five years and found only eight instances (see chart below) in which Sun Belt teams were +7 or less vs. BCS teams. FIU's +3.5 surprisingly wasn't the shortest line; that honor goes to Middle Tennessee who was catching +1 against woeful Minnesota in last year's opener. As for the road, Arkansas State was +2.5 at Louisville two years ago with the Cardinals winning 21-13. Prior to this weekend's game, FIU's shortest lined game against a BCS Conference foe was last year's +12 at Maryland (Terps won 42-28).
Sun Belt lined +7 or less vs. BCS Conference Teams
Year
Team
Opponent
Line
Score
Sun Belt SU
Sun Belt ATS
2010
Middle Tennessee
vs. Minnesota
Middle Tennessee +1
17-24
Loss
Loss
2009
Arkansas State
at Louisville
Arkansas State +2.5
13-21
Loss
Loss
2011
Florida Intl
at Louisville
Florida Intl +3.5
???
???
???
2009
Middle Tennessee
vs. Mississippi State
Middle Tennessee +4.5
6-27
Loss
Loss
2009
UL-Lafayette
vs. Kansas State
UL-Lafayette +6.5
17-15
Win
Win
2010
Arkansas State
vs. Louisville
Arkansas State +6
24-34
Loss
Loss
2007
Florida Atlantic
vs. Minnesota (N)
Florida Atlantic +7
42-39
Win
Win
2008
Florida Atlantic
at Minnesota
Florida Atlantic +7
3-37
Loss
Loss
2009
Middle Tennessee
at Maryland
Middle Tennessee +7
32-31
Win
Win
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Sun Belt
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NCAAF Betting Notes: SMU Mustangs could be short key o-lineman
09.08.2011 11:49 AM
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UTEP
at
SMU
-18.5 O/U 54.5
Under-the-radar injury for SMU with center
Black McJunkin (ankle) not expected
to start this weekend against UTEP. Reports indicate that he was in a walking boot for much of the week. In the loss to A&M, the Mustangs were able to run the football with McJunkin on the field but when he went down there was an obvious decline in production.
"He's better today,'' Jones said. "We'll see. We were shooting for Friday that he would be able to go through walk-throughs and hopefully be available for the game. He probably won't start. But if something happens, he'll be available.''
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UTEP Miners
C-USA
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College Football Gambling: Minnesota focused on improving defense
09.08.2011 08:30 AM
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New Mexico State
at
Minnesota
-20 O/U 52
Positive report on
Minnesota's defense
and its focus of getting to the quarterback. It wasn't a great performance last week against USC as Matt Barkley threw for 304 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs and no sacks but the Golden Gophers did however keep the run game in check (67 yards, 2.4 ypc). They also held the Trojans to 19 points after allowing 35 in last year's meeting – certainly a moral victory moving forward. With Jerry Kill in charge, there appears to be some actual coaching going on in Minneapolis.
"You'd be surprised what just a little bit more speed can do," said Gophers defensive coordinator Tracy Claeys, whose primary task this fall is
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Minnesota Golden Gophers
Big Ten
Jerry Kill
New Mexico State Aggies
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NCAAF Betting Preview: South Carolina Gamecocks at Georgia Bulldogs
09.08.2011 08:10 AM
Otto Sports
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Submitted by Otto Sports
South Carolina
at
Georgia
(1:30 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opening Line:
South Carolina -2.5 O/U 50
CRIS Current Line:
South Carolina -2.5 O/U 51.5
Rob Veno Power Rating:
South Carolina -2
Teddy Covers Power Rating:
Georgia -0.5
Marty Otto's Betting Take:
Our first marquee SEC showdown of the season kicks off in Athens on Saturday. Last year’s SEC East champion South Carolina held Georgia to season lows in points, first downs and yards in a 17-6 victory in Clumbia and its defense looks just as nasty this season. That’s a big problem for Georgia’s offensive line.
The Bulldogs’ o-line was a major story all offseason. They had losses to
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Marty Otto
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College Football ATS Preview: San Diego State well versed in facing option
09.08.2011 06:58 AM
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San Diego State
-9.5 at
Army
O/U 55.5
Interesting handicap for Saturday's SDSU/Army matchup. This will mark the
third straight option team
the Aztecs have faced dating back to last year – fourth in two years when you add in Air Force. In the three previous games (AFA, Navy, Cal Poly), San Diego State went 3-0 SU/ATS and allowed a relatively modest 228 ypg rushing. The key though wasn't just the sound defense but SDSU's offense which produced 259 ypg (6.5 ypc) on the ground.
Army head coach Rich Ellerson was
none too pleased
when he watched film of last week's
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San Diego State Aztecs
Mountain West
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