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College Football Handicapping: Arizona's Scott looks to adapt to Rich Rod's offense

07.25.2012     11:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Like Arizona State, Arizona is in a bit of transition with Rich Rodriguez taking over for Mike Stoops and only 11 returning starters. Quarterback Nick Foles graduated leaving Matt Scott the starter. Scott, who redshirted last season, was originally slated to be the starter back in 2009 but lost the gig to Foles. He's a mobile kid and seems better suited than Foles to run Rodriguez's spread offense.

“I really didn’t get that shot (to start) right away,” Scott said. “Now I want to take full advantage of every opportunity I get. (Being the backup) was a real humbling experience for me, and it really made me realize that not everything is given to you. It’s making me work a lot harder already.”

“We’ve got a new system but he Read more

Tags: College Football Arizona Wildcats

NCAAF Gambling: Offensive line play could make or break Florida State

07.25.2012     08:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
There aren't many negative opinions about Florida State heading into the season. They're lined at 9.5ov-165 wins, picked to win the ACC (-125) and are a 15-1 shot to win the National Championship. The biggest question entering camp is how the offensive line will perform? The unit was extremely young last season and as a result, FSU had trouble running the football (104th nationally, 112.2 ypg) and keeping the quarterback on his feet (112th nationally, 40 sacks allowed). According to reports, this year’s front five will be made up entirely of sophomores. 

Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC

College Football Betting: Arizona State starting from scratch

07.25.2012     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A lot of change this offseason for the Arizona State Sun Devils. After just one season, Todd Graham decided Pittsburgh wasn't for him. He takes over for Dennis Erickson who was fired at the end of the regular season. ASU is projected to have only eight returning starters (4 off, 4 def). Heading into fall camp, Graham seems eager to find a starting quarterback to run his new system. The Sun Devils are lined at 5un-135 wins according to 5Dimes.

"Here's the issue," Graham said. "We're running a new system. We got certain routes we're going to throw to certain guys. A lot of times, you can't (give reps to) more than one quarterback (in that situation), let alone three."

"And the other thing, too, is who can lead the troops down the field?" Graham said. "Those guys are good, all three of them. I'm not BS'ing. It doesn't do us any good to say it's a three-man race if it's not. They've trained their tails off over the summer. We're going to see what happens."

Tags: College Football Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12

NCAAF Handicapping: Career offensive line starts and pointspread results

07.24.2012     01:24 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Come football season, we like to put together a lot of in-depth blogs using recent stats and results to see if we can’t come up with usable trends and angles to apply to the upcoming season. We’ll admit that more often than not, despite the research, what we find is random. But sometimes eliminating a potential angle is just as important as discovering one.

Today we take a look at returning offensive line starters. Ask any bettor what one of the key ingredients is in predicting season-long pointspread successes and failures and a majority will point to offensive line play. It doesn’t take much to notice that when sportsbooks start offering odds to win the conference and season over/under numbers, teams that return four and five o-line starters get a lot more respect than those who must reload along their front five. So with offensive lines being such a big factor in how oddsmakers and bettors judge teams in the preseason, it makes sense to research whether or not that attention is warranted.

Unfortunately there is no perfect way at judging whether or not offensive line experience is correlated to pointspread results. And while Phil Read more

Tags: College Football Andrew Lange

College Football Betting: In order to succeed, Texas needs to find a QB

07.24.2012     10:20 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Expectation are high in Austin with the Texas Longhorns lined at 9 wins and the second betting choice (+300) to win the Big XII behind Oklahoma (-125). The obvious question heading into camp is who will play quarterback? Since Colt McCoy left in 2009, the Longhorns ranked 7th (232.0 ypg) and 8th (189.9 ypg) in passing in the Big XII.

“Last year, at this time, I sat here and we had four _ and there was a lot of concern about trying to get four guys prepared for a new offense. So at the same time Gilbert gets hurt in the second ballgame, David Ash steps up as a true freshman, Case McCoy jumps in, and Connor Wood and transfers, so it was all over the place. What we have done now, we have two older guys that have been through a year with Bryan Harsin and Major Applewhite offense.  They both won significant games, one against‑‑ Case against A&M in College Station at the end of the year, David Ash in the Bowl game against Cal. So we’re coming in at a much better place this year Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII

NCAAF Gambling: Snyder wants K-State to perform better when laying points

07.24.2012     09:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Kansas State's Bill Snyder knows pointspreads. He many not come out and directly admit as such, but the following quote hints that he may have a copy of Phil Steele on his desk. Snyder’s concern this season is how his team performs when they are “expected” to win. KSU has been at its best in the role of an underdog with a 10-13 SU and 15-8 ATS mark since Synder's return in 2009. As a favorite, 11-2 SU but 6-7 ATS.

“But, for us, that’s, I don’t think, really significant.  How do I deal with it?  Probably not the same way that young people in the program do.  Do we perform better as, quote/unquote, underdogs?  That I don’t know.  I haven’t seen any statistics in that regard.  Last year obviously we played reasonably well in those circumstances. I have a greater concern about game by game when we are perhaps selected as favorites in a ballgame.  I think that‑‑ as any coach probably would say, that’s where your greatest Read more

Tags: College Football Kansas State Wildcats

College Football Betting: TCU prepares for life in the Big XII

07.24.2012     09:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
TCU preps for its first season in the Big XII. The biggest question mark is whether or not the defense can bounce back AND handle some of the high-powered offenses of the Big XII. Last season, the Horned Frogs finished 32nd in total defense (347.4) and allowed 50 points to Baylor, 40 to SMU and 35 to Boise State. Over the last four years, TCU went 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS vs. BCS Conference opponents.

TCU Total Defense Last 5 years
2011: 32nd - 347.4 ypg
2010: 1st - 228.5 ypg
2009: 1st - 239.7 ypg
2008: 1st - 217.8 ypg
2007: 15th - 323.6 ypg

"You've got to be prepared," said TCU defensive end Stansly Maponga. "The speed is going to be different."

"People said: 'You're not going to be playing New Mexico anymore. You're not going to be playing Vegas anymore,'" Patterson continued. "Yeah, but those were 50-point ball games. What's reality? Because all you have to do is win by one point to get to where you need to go."

"… If I said, Read more

Tags: College Football TCU Horned Frogs Big XII

Sportsbook posts Week 1 College Football odds

07.24.2012     09:02 AM     Printer Friendly
BetOnline posted a few lines for the opening day of the college football season.

South Carolina -7 @ Vanderbilt
Central Florida -21 at Akron
Eastern Michigan at Ball State -4.5
Texas A&M -9.5 vs. Louisiana Tech (Shreveport, LA)
UMass at UConn -21
UCLA -14 at Rice
Washington State at BYU -12.5
Minnesota -10 at UNLV
Texas-San Antonio at South Alabama -6

Tags: College Football

Handicapper Rob Veno talks Big XII betting on the Sportsmemo Podcast

07.24.2012     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly
Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Andrew Lange discussed the Big XII on yesterday's Podcast. You can listen here.

2012 Big XII Betting Prices and Returning Starters
5Dimes O/U
Greek Conf
Returning Off
Returning Def
Iowa State
Kansas State
Oklahoma State
Texas Tech
West Virginia

Tags: College Football Big XII Rob Veno Andrew Lange

Football is almost here, but still plenty of opportunity for MLB profits

07.24.2012     07:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
NFL training camps open up around the country this coming weekend. The start of fall practice for college football isn’t far behind. Wiseguy bettors are spending a good portion of their time focusing on football right now. We’ve got a rapidly maturing NFL Season win total marketplace, both here in Vegas and offshore. Odds to win the NFL Divisions are up. Week 1 numbers are available at multiple sportsbooks.

The first preseason Week 1 pointspreads are now on the radar screen, as are the Week 1 college football pointspreads – the games are already loaded into the system on my SportsOptions Live Odds screen. College football season win totals are up as are odds to win the various conferences. Best of all, just about every day from here through the ‘real’ start of football season at the end of August, we’ll see fresh numbers on a daily basis at one sportsbook or another.

So what happens when the betting markets shift their focus towards football? After all, we’re only ten days out from the All Star break – there’s more than two full months of regular season baseball still to play. There isn’t a team in Read more

Tags: MLB NFL College Football Teddy Covers


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