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College Football Gambling: 5Dimes goes lone wolf on Oregon/LSU game
08.26.2011 01:14 PM
Printer Friendly
5Dimes appears to be the only offshore sportsbook currently offering a line on the Oregon/LSU matchup. The game was pulled off the board last Tuesday when word broke that Oregon quarterback Darron Thomas may be suspended after it was discovered he was in the vehicle when cornerback Cliff Harris (suspended) was busted for driving nearly 120 mph. Oregon head coach Chip Kelly later said Thomas wouldn't be suspended but before the books could react, the media caught wind of the LSU bar brawl. Quarterback Jordan Jefferson was suspended earlier today leaving Jarrett Lee as the starter – Lee's been around the block with 2,643 yards, 18 TDs and 18 INTs in three years. LSU will also lose the services of wide receiver Russell Shepard (33 catches, 254 yards) who was ironically tied to the Willie Lyles recruiting fiasco.
Oregon originally opened as a -2/-2.5 point favorite which was bet down to -1 prior to Thomas' potential suspension. According to
Sports Option's line history
, 5Dimes reopened the game Oregon -1 on Thursday which was bet up to -2.5 before settling in at its current number of -2. With Jefferson officially out, we assume the remainder of the offshore world will pop up their numbers shortly. Despite all of the brew-ha-ha, it appears come game day the line won't be too far off of what the Golden Nugget released back in mid-June (Oregon -3) and what the books were offering prior to the arrests/suspensions. Stay tuned.
Tags:
College Football
LSU Tigers
Oregon Ducks
SEC
PAC-12
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Ex-Toledo RB pleads guilty to sports bribery, admits bowl game fumble
08.26.2011 12:06 PM
Printer Friendly
Former Toledo running back Quinton Broussard
pleaded guilty to sports bribery
and admitted he accepted $2K from a Detroit gambler on Thursday. Broussard was also given $500 prior to the 2005 GMAC Bowl of which he said he intentionally fumbled a carry. The Rockets were a three-point favorite over UTEP and ended up winning 45-13. According to the play-by-play of the game, Broussard fumbled early in the second quarter with Toledo leading 7-3. Following the fumble Broussard didn't see action until the fourth quarter with the game out of reach. He finished with eight yards on five carries.
Tags:
College Football
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College Football Betting: 5 Things We Must Know About the Big East
08.26.2011 11:27 AM
Rob Veno
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno
On today’s Sportsmemo Radio Show, handicapper
Rob Veno
discussed Five Things We Must Know About the Big East. Below are the list topics. You can listen to the Podcast segment
right here
.
1. South Florida will average 30 ppg this season.
2. Syracuse will not make a bowl game this season.
3. West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith will be a legitimate Heisman candidate and the Mountaineers’ defense will be better than many think.
4. Louisville will be the best “over” team where value is concerned in the conference.
5. UConn will use a three-headed QB system with separate packages for each which could make them very difficult to prepare for.
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West Virginia Mountaineers
Syracuse Orange
UConn Huskies
Louisville Cardinals
Rob Veno
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College Football Gambling: Louisville features freshmen-heavy 2-deep
08.26.2011 08:07 AM
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Murray State at Louisville -30
Louisville
released its
revised depth chart
for Week 1's game against Murray State. Junior Will Stein was named starting quarterback after serving as the team's No. 3 last season. The offensive line is projected to start two freshmen and according to UL's SID department, 21 redshirt and true freshmen are listed on the team's two-deep with as many as seven slated to start next Thursday.
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NCAAF Betting Trends: Week 1 Conference Game Results 2006-10
08.25.2011 02:29 PM
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Below is a listing of all of the Week 1 conference games since 2006. Favorites went 15-9 ATS while totals were 13-11 O/U. Road teams held a small edge at 13-11 ATS. Of the 24 games, the straight up winner covered 22 times including all 12 BCS Conference matchups. There are three Week 1 conference games this year: North Texas at Florida International, Colorado State at New Mexico, and Miami (FL) at Maryland.
CFB Conference Game Week 1 Results 2006-10
Year
Away
Home
ATS
Result
Total
2010
Tulsa
East Carolina +7
Dog
ECU 51, TULS 49
Over 56
2009
Miami (FL) +6
Florida State
Dog
MIA 38, FSU 34
Over 47
2009
Stanford -17
Washington State
Fav
STAN 39, WSU 13
Under 52.5
2009
Cincinnati +4.5
Rutgers
Dog
CIN 47, RUT 15
Over 47
2009
Tulsa -14
Tulane
Fav
TULS 37, TULA 13
Under 61.5
2009
Rice
UAB -6
Fav
UAB 44, RICE 24
Over 60
2008
Washington
Oregon -13.5
Fav
ORE 44, WASH 10
Under 61
2008
Oregon State
Stanford +3
Dog
STAN 36, OSU 28
Over 45
2008
TCU -6.5
New Mexico
Fav
TCU 26, UNM 3
Under 41
2008
Tulsa -13.5
UAB
Fav
TULS 45, UAB 22
Over 67
2008
SMU
Rice -3.5
Fav
RICE 56, SMU 27
Over 70
2008
Troy -6
Middle Tennessee
Fav
TROY 31, MTSU 17
Under 49.5
2007
LSU -18.5
Mississippi State
Fav
LSU 45, MSU 0
Over 44.5
2007
Florida State
Clemson +3
Dog
CLE 24, FSU 18
Under 44
2007
Wake Forest
Boston College -6
Fav
BC 38, WF 28
Over 42
2007
UCLA -16.5
Stanford
Fav
UCLA 45, STAN 17
Over 45
2007
Miami (OH) +5
Ball State
Dog
MIA 14, BSU 13
Under 53
2007
Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic -2.5
Fav
FAU 27, MTSU 14
Under 43.5
2006
South Carolina -7
Mississippi State
Fav
SC 15, MSU 0
Under 40.5
2006
Florida State +3.5
Miami (FL)
Dog
FSU 13, MIA 10
Under 38
2006
Stanford
Oregon -12
Fav
ORE 48, STAN 10
Over 52.5
2006
Houston
Rice +14.5
Dog
HOU 31, RICE 30
Over 51
2006
Nevada +12
Fresno State
Dog
FSU 28, NEV 19
Under 53.5
2006
Eastern Michigan
Ball State -5
Fav
BSU 38, BSU 20
Over 49
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NCAAF Betting Update: Purdue troll down the depth chart for Week 1 QB
08.25.2011 01:04 PM
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UPDATE
Purdue
head coach Danny Hope said that quarterbacks
Caleb TerBush and Sean Robinson
will likely play Week 1's game against Middle Tennessee. They could also potentially use Justin Siller who started three games in 2008 before moving to receiver. Original starter Rob Henry tore his ACL yesterday and Robert Marve is still not fully healed from knee surgery. Neither TerBush or Robinson are much to get excited about and with MTSU, Rice and SE Missouri before a Week 4 bye, Hope may try to limp by and wait until Marve is at or near 100 percent before playing Notre Dame in Week 5.
"Right now, they're further ahead than our top two quarterbacks were this time last
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NCAAF Betting Notes: Teams that play conference games in Week 2
08.25.2011 08:20 AM
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List of teams playing Week 1 games with conference games on deck. Multiple situations where teams laying big prices may not game plan, extend their starters should they jump out to big leads or show much in terms of schemes. Also have situations (see Akron) where staying healthy and grabbing a paycheck could be the team's top priority. Note that Marshall and SMU play on Sunday meaning a short week prior to their conference openers.
CFB Week 1 Games with teams playing conference games in Week 2
Team
Week 1 Opponent
Current Line
Week 2 Opponent
Mississippi State
at Memphis
Mississippi State -27.5
at Auburn
Auburn
vs. Utah State
Auburn -22
vs. Mississippi State
Georgia
vs. Boise State
Boise State -3
vs. South Carolina
South Carolina
vs. East Carolina
South Carolina -20.5
at Georgia
NC State
vs. Liberty
NC State -29
at Wake Forest
Wake Forest
at Syracuse
Syracuse -7
vs. NC State
USC
vs. Minnesota
USC -21
vs. Utah
Utah
vs. Montana State
Utah -28
at USC
TCU
at Baylor
TCU -6
at Air Force
Air Force
vs. South Dakota
Air Force -33
vs. TCU
Tulsa
at Oklahoma
Oklahoma -21.5
at Tulane
SMU
at Texas A&M
Texas A&M -16
vs. UTEP
Tulane
vs. SE Louisiana
Tulane -15
vs. Tulsa
UTEP
vs. Stony Brook
UTEP -17.5
at SMU
Southern Miss
vs. Louisiana Tech
Southern Miss -13
at Marshall
Marshall
at West Virginia
West Virginia -20.5
vs. Southern Miss
Temple
vs. Villanova
Temple -5
at Akron
Akron
at Ohio State
Ohio State -33.5
vs. Temple
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NCAAF Betting Alert: Purdue loses starting QB Henry for the season
08.24.2011 02:25 PM
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Huge blow to the
Purdue
Boilermakers as projected starting quarterback
Rob Henry tore his ACL
and will miss the 2011 season. All is not lost for the Boilers however with Robert Marve back after tearing his ACL last season. There are some concerns about Marve’s current health and heading into the season, head coach Danny Hope hinted they may go with a two-quarterback system. Assuming Marve does play, the Purdue offense will be drastically different. Marve will likely be limited in terms of mobility and he isn't a running quarterback to begin with. After he got hurt, Purdue was primarily a running team as Henry averaged only 14.7 pass attempts per game (Marve attempted 99 in just over three games). Henry was also the team's leading rusher (547 yards, 5.3 ypc) but more out of necessity because running
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NCAAF Betting Update: Wyoming names true frosh starting quarterback
08.24.2011 12:50 PM
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UPDATE
Back in June,
Wyoming
was down to two true freshmen quarterbacks after last year's starter Austin Carta-Samuels transferred and back-up Emory Miller left the program. Head coach Dave Christensen announced today that
Brett Smith will start
Week 1 against Weber State. Smith had the benefit of early enrollment and participated in spring practice. JC transfer Colby Kirkegaard will serve as his back-up while Adam Pittsner, who was actually fairly highly touted, will be the No. 3. In the first fall scrimmage Smith hit 24-of-28 passes for 323 yards and three TDs.
Christensen had said earlier this summer that the offense would be a bit different this season under first-year OC Gregg
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NCAAF Handicapping Preview: Massive injuries for Oregon State Beavers
08.24.2011 09:34 AM
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Oregon State's defense was a major weakness at times last year and with offseason losses and injuries (see chart below), more of the same could occur in 2011. The Beavers entered the preseason with only four returning starters and just lost cornerback
Brandon Hardin
for a minimum of six weeks. But that is only the tip of the iceberg. Two more projected starters are listed "out" for Week 1 while another is listed as questionable. And the defense isn't the only unit to suffer losses. Wide receiver James Rodgers (knee) is listed as doubtful while starting tight end Joe Halahuni (30 catches, 390 yards, 6 TDs) is still recovering from a shoulder injury. The injuries could make for a slow start to the season –
something Oregon State is notorious for
. It also could provide pointspread value if and when OSU
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