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College Football Gambling Trends: How FBS teams fare after a loss to FCS

09.03.2013     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For the curious, here are the betting results of FBS teams off a loss to an FCS team dating back to 2008. There are some examples of bounce back performances (see: Virginia Tech and Kansas in 2010) but more often than not, when a team loses outright to an FCS squad, it's an indication said team just isn't very good. Note that we did not include FBS newbies South Alabama and Georgia State among this year’s “casualties.” Overall, it is clear that top-tier FCS teams are just as good if not better than a majority of the FBS. North Dakota State's win at K-State, while shocking to some, was hardly a fluke. The Bison have won back-to-back FCS national titles and since 2008, made our list four times. Overall, FBS teams off a loss to an FCS squad are 7-23 SU, 16-13-1 ATS. Taking it a step further, BCS Conference teams off a loss to FCS are only 4-7 SU/ATS. San Diego State, South Florida, Oregon State, and Kansas State are all in play this week. Iowa State has a bye before playing host to Iowa.

FBS Teams Off Loss to FCS 2008-present
Year
Team
Opponent
Next Opponent
SU Result
ATS Result
2013
Iowa State
Northern Iowa
vs. Iowa (9/14)
???
???
2013
San Diego State
Eastern Illinois
at Ohio State -27.5
???
???
2013
South Florida
McNeese State
at Michigan State -23.5
???
???
2013
Oregon State
Eastern Washington
vs. Hawaii +27
???
???
2013
Kansas State
North Dakota State
vs. UL-Lafayette +10
???
???
2012
Army
Stony Brook
vs. Boston College -7
Win
Win
2012
Wyoming
Cal Poly
at Idaho -2.5
Win
Win
2012
UNLV
Northern Arizona
vs. Washington State -8
Loss
Push
2012
Colorado State
North Dakota State
at San Jose State -11.5
Loss
Loss
2012
Colorado
Sacramento State
at Fresno State -14.5
Loss
Loss
2012
Eastern Michigan
Illinois State
at Purdue -24
Loss
Loss
2012
Idaho
Eastern Washington
at Bowling Green -16.5
Loss
Win
2012
Memphis
UT-Martin
at Arkansas State -22.5
Loss
Win
2012
Pittsburgh
Youngstown State
at Cincinnati -3.5
Loss
Loss
2012
Middle Tennessee
McNeese State
vs. Florida Atlanta +8
Win
Win
2011
Western Kentucky
Indiana State
vs. Arkansas State -12
Loss
Win
2011
New Mexico
Sam Houston State
vs. New Mexico State -1
Loss
Loss
2011
UNLV
Southern Utah
at Nevada -20.5
Loss
Loss
2011
Minnesota
North Dakota State
at Michigan -21
Loss
Loss
2011
Oregon State
Sacramento State
at Wisconsin -21
Loss
Loss
2011
Duke
Richmond
vs. Stanford -21
Loss
Loss
2010
Virginia Tech
James Madison
vs. East Carolina +20.5
Win
Win
2010
Minnesota
South Dakota
vs. USC -11.5
Loss
Win
2010
Kansas
North Dakota State
vs. Georgia Tech -13.5
Win
Win
2010
Ole Miss
Jacksonville State
at Tulane +20.5
Win
Loss
2010
San Jose State
UC Davis
at Nevada -37.5
Loss
Win
2010
Akron
Garner-Webb
at Kentucky -24.5
Loss
Loss
2010
Ball State
Liberty
at Purdue -16.5
Loss
Win
2009
Duke
Richmond
at Army +1
Win
Win
2009
Virginia
William & Mary
vs. TCU -11
Loss
Loss
2009
Temple
Villanova
at Penn State -29.5
Loss
Win
2009
Western Kentucky
Central Arkansas
at Navy -29.5
Loss
Win
2009
Ball State
New Hampshire
at Army -9.5
Loss
Win
2008
San Diego State
Cal Poly
at Notre Dame -21.5
Loss
Win
2008
Army
New Hampshire
vs. Akron -10
Loss
Loss
Results
 
 
 
7-23
16-13-1





Tags: College Football




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 1

09.03.2013     07:01 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With Penn State holding a narrow 13-10 lead late in the third quarter of Saturday's game against Syracuse, the Orange came up with a forced fumble on big PSU pass play. Syracuse's Allen Robinson looked like he had a clear lane to the end zone, a score that would have given his team a 17-13 lead. Instead, PSU offensive tackle Garry Gilliam (a converted tight end) made a great open field, touchdown saving tackle. Syracuse took over at the PSU 27-yard line and ended up missing a field goal. Early in the fourth quarter, Penn State kicked a field goal, tacked on a touchdown, and held on for the 23-17 win. The Nittany Lions failed to cover (-8) but had Gilliam not made that play, the straight up outcome of the game may have been different. 

Favored by -34, Ohio State's Urban Meyer was all business (and perhaps all dick) when he went for and converted two, two-point conversions on the Buckeyes' first two touchdowns of the game. Perhaps some karma involved as Buffalo snagged an easy ATS victory in the 40-20 loss. Boosters Beware! Meyer is now 2-6 ATS when laying double-digits since arriving in Columbus.

Last season, Iowa at times toyed with the idea of Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Recap: Louisville, Colorado Score Sunday Statement Wins

09.02.2013     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Sunday afternoon, the Louisville Cardinals made a very strong case for being a legitimate top 10 caliber team rather than a media invention with a rout of Ohio. Later Sunday, Colorado may have rejoined big time football with a victory over state rival Colorado State that was more one-sided than the score made it look.

Let’s run the numbers…

Louisville 49 (-21), Ohio 7

Total Yardage: Ohio 273, Louisville 615

Passing Stats: Ohio 15-31-1-192, Louisville 25-31-1-416

Yards-per-Play: Ohio 4.6, Louisville 8.7

Turnovers: Ohio 1, Louisville 1

Drive Points: Ohio 0, Louisville 42

Stat Score: Ohio 16, Louisville 36

If you watched the first few series, you knew it was going to be ugly. Louisville showed up ready to play. It was as if they were tired of hearing they didn’t belong in the Top 10. Skeptics believed the early poll nod was a result of a decent team playing an easy schedule rather Read more



Tags: College Football Colorado Buffaloes PAC-12 Louisville Cardinals AAC Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Using coach-speak in your handicap

09.02.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Part of the standard handicapping mantra includes ‘checking the local papers’ and ‘watching the coach’s press conference’ in an effort to get quality information that the betting markets aren’t paying attention too.  Computer algorithms designed to beat pointspreads can’t and don’t handicap coach-speak.  Few bettors actually take the time to do their homework.  So ‘cappers who make and take the time to check local sources and press conferences can find legitimate edges that are overlooked by most others – good information.

There’s no dictionary to help you translate coach-speak into betting decisions.  And in all the years I’ve been writing about sports betting, I’ve never once written a how-to article on how to approach coaches quotes.  It’s time.

This past week, while doing my research for the upcoming college football games, I ran into a press conference from Skip Holtz.  Skip was a very successful coach at East Carolina and UConn, then a very unsuccessful coach at South Florida.  In 2013, Holtz is taking over at Louisiana Tech, now that Sonny Read more



Tags: College Football NC State Wolfpack ACC Louisiana Tech Bulldogs C-USA Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Recap: Clemson, LSU Score Showcase Victories

09.01.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, back with numbers and notes from the two marquee prime time games in Saturday night college football. Let’s see what happened in Georgia/Clemson and LSU/TCU…

Clemson 38 (+1.5), Georgia 35

Total Yardage: Georgia 544, Clemson 467

Passing Stats: Georgia 20-29-1-323, Clemson 18-30-0-270

Yards-per-Play: Georgia 7.8, Clemson 6.1

Turnovers: Georgia 2, Clemson 1

Drive Points: Georgia 35, Clemson 24

Stat Score: Georgia 34, Clemson 30

Exhilarating first half, followed by more of a sluggish second half (42 combined points in the first half, jut 31 in the second). Georgia screwed up a chippy field goal attempt that ended up being the difference maker. You can see that Georgia had the better stats outside of turnovers. Turnovers are usually worth about four points in value. Apply that to the stat score and we get a dead heat. If Georgia doesn’t muck up that short field goal it’s a Read more



Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC Clemson Tigers ACC Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Consensus: LSU and Oklahoma State top picks for Saturday

08.31.2013     08:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for today's College Football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Sides
Oklahoma State -11 (83.6%) vs. Mississippi State
LSU -4 (82.9%) vs. TCU
North Texas -16.5 (82.2%) vs. Idaho
New Mexico -3 (80.1%) vs. Texas-San Antonio
Washington State +14 (73.8%) at Auburn

Totals
Wyoming-Nebraska OVER 66.5 (96.2%)
UL-Monroe-Oklahoma OVER 61 (93.8%)
Texas State-Southern Miss UNDER 55 (93.2%)
UAB-Troy OVER 63.5 (92.9%)
Nevada-UCLA OVER 68 (91.9%)




Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII




Hey Bettors! Don't miss today's College Football Live Forum Chat with the Sportsmemo Handicappers

08.31.2013     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Sportsmemo Handicappers are ready to kick-off the 2013 College Football season with Saturday's Live Forum Chat! Follow us throughout evening as we share our analysis on the games and provide free halftime betting recommendations. Be there or be square! If you aren't a Sportsmemo.com posting forum member, click here for your free registration.









College Football Gambling: 2nd Half Kickoff List - Week 1

08.31.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
We'll be updating the list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.

2013 College Football Week 1 2nd Half Kick-Off List
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
155
Massachusetts
Wisconsin
Massachusetts
157
Central Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
159
Buffalo
Ohio State
Ohio State
161
Louisiana Tech
NC State
Louisiana Tech
163
Florida International
Maryland
Florida International
165
Northern Illinois
Iowa
Northern Illinois
167
Temple
Notre Dame
Temple
169
BYU
Virginia
BYU
171
Alabama
Virginia Tech
Alabama
173
UAB
Troy
UAB
175
Purdue
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
177
Kentucky
Western Kentucky
Kentucky
179
Miami (OH)
Marshall
Marshall
181
Mississippi State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State
183
Louisiana-Monroe
Oklahoma
Louisiana-Monroe
185
Texas State
Southern Miss
Texas State
187
New Mexico State
Texas
Texas
189
Rice
Texas A&M
Rice
191
Toledo
Florida
Florida
193
Louisiana-Lafayette
Arkansas
Louisiana-Lafayette
195
Washington State
Auburn
Auburn
197
Idaho
North Texas
North Texas
199
Penn State
Syracuse
Syracuse
201
Wyoming
Nebraska
Nebraska
203
UTSA
New Mexico
UTSA
205
Georgia
Clemson
Georgia
207
LSU
TCU
TCU
209
Boise State
Washington
Boise State
211
Nevada
UCLA
UCLA
213
Northwestern
California
Northwestern





Tags: College Football




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers co-hosting LV Sportsline this afternoon

08.30.2013     12:22 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Just a quick head's up. Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers will be co-hosting this afternoon's Las Vegas Sportsline show on ESPN 1110AM from 2-3 pm PT. The topic will of course be college football from a betting perspective.




Tags: College Football Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Big 20*s on tap for Saturday's College Football action

08.30.2013     12:13 PM     Printer Friendly






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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 26, 2016 10:55 AM.