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NFL Gambling: New England-Denver matchup draws interest in Las Vegas
01.14.2012 06:39 AM
Printer Friendly
Denver
at
New England
-13.5 O/U 50
It is unlikely that Tim Tebow has ever placed a wager on anything but it appears that others are more than making up for it. A few Las Vegas oddsmakers noted that Tebow-mania has sparked
a lot of action at the sportsbooks
. And in response to being nearly two-touchdown underdogs, Tebow even said that it would be great if people won money supporting the Denver side. Perhaps a bet on the Broncos isn't that bad of an idea considering it has been five years since New England has covered a pointspread in the postseason (0-6 ATS).
“Make no mistake about it: He’s created a ton of action,” said Jimmy Vaccaro, director of Lucky’s sports books. “I certainly welcome him because he’s a polarizing figure. He creates a lot of excitement. He’s the story, and that’s always good for
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Tags:
NFL New England Patriots
Denver Broncos
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NFL Playoffs Inside the Betting Numbers: Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens
01.12.2012 02:07 PM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Prior to the NFL season I made a
bold prediction
in the Sportsmemo Blog that the Texans would not only win their division and advance to their first every playoffs, but also make a run to the AFC Championship Game. The possibility is in place, but the situation and odds are clearly against the Texans this week as they play the Baltimore Ravens; the best team in the AFC in my opinion.
Houston (11-6) delivered our 20* NFL Playoff Game of the Year winner last week with a 31-10 win over Cincinnati. That runs our NFL playoff sides record to 6-0 the past three seasons. And while I initially thought the line was too high favoring Baltimore this week, it’s going to take a huge effort and probably some turnovers and/or key special teams’ plays for the Texans to knock off Baltimore (12-4) and even stay within a touchdown. I’ve added the Ravens to my 6-point teaser plays this week.
The Ravens went a perfect 8-0 at home this season at M&T Bank Stadium. One of those wins was a 29-14 victory over the Texans in a game which Baltimore was also off a bye. And while star
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Tags:
NFL
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
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NFL Handicapping: Playoff scenarios heading into Week 17
12.27.2011 12:43 PM
Printer Friendly
Even though there are only three of 12 postseason spots yet to be determined heading into Week 17, there are a slew of
potential scenarios
in terms of home field advantage and matchups.
AFC:
New England (first round bye), Houston, Baltimore and Pittsburgh are all in. If New England beats (or ties) Buffalo OR Baltimore or Pittsburgh lose (or tie), the Patriots would clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. The Ravens and Steelers still have a shot at the No. 1 seed but not only need to win but also have the Patriots lose. Denver can win the AFC West with a win over Kansas City or an Oakland loss (vs. San Diego). If Denver and Oakland both win, then the Raiders can make the playoffs with Cincinnati and Tennessee losses or Cincinnati loss and New York Jets win. The Bengals are in if they beat Baltimore. The Jets can get in but need to first beat Miami and have the Bengals, Tennessee and Denver/Oakland lose. Same type of crazy scenario for the Titans who must first win at Houston.
NFC:
Green Bay (home-field advantage throughout),
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NFL Handicapping: Playoff scenarios entering Week 16
12.20.2011 07:28 AM
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Here are as many playoff scenario links as we could find. ESPN's
playoff breakdown
through Week 15. Oakland has lost three straight and
needs to win out
. Apparently
Philadelphia is still alive
. Back from the dead – or a two-month zombie-like state –
San Diego has a shot
but will need the Broncos to lose. Baltimore is still hoping for a
first round bye
but needs help. Atlanta can earn a
playoff spot
with a win over New Orleans on Monday. The Saints will lock up the NFC South with a victory. New England still has work to do to earn the
AFC's No. 1 seed
.
Kansas City thinks it has a shot
to make the playoffs. A breakdown of the
NFC East circus
. Cincinnati is still
hanging around
. Pittsburgh could fall to the
No. 5 seed
following last night's loss to San Francisco. Seattle needs some sort of
miracle
. Detroit is in good position for a
Wild Card berth
but can ill afford a meltdown. So long as Caleb Hanie is still in uniform, Chicago is +100000 to make the
postseason
.
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NFL Gambling: New England now a touchdown favorite over Denver
12.16.2011 07:18 AM
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New England
-7 at
Denver
O/U 46
Are you willing to step in front the Denver Broncos and Tim Tebow? The betting markets sure are. New England money has been pouring in all week with the game bet up from -4.5 to -7 (-115). CRIS and 5Dimes currently show -7.5.
CRIS line history below.
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New England Patriots
Denver Broncos
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Handicapper Teddy Covers: Week 14 AFC Betting News and Notes
12.12.2011 07:00 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC News and Notes from Week 14.
San Diego
How does a team that has marched down the field and scored on their opening drive in each of the last seven weeks be sitting in last place at the start of the game? Simple – they don't carry any of that early momentum forward – once the scripted plays run out, so does the offense! And there's a character issue here as well – when their opponent punches, the Chargers don't seem to punch back very well. But San Diego finally punched back here after the Bills cut the lead to six following yet another unforced Philip Rivers error, with a TD drive followed by a pick six to retake control of the game. That's a very positive sign for a team that still believes they can sneak into the playoffs. For as rough as Philip Rivers' season has been, he came into the game leading the NFL in
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San Diego Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
Miami Dolphins
Teddy Covers
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NFL Handicapping: Week 13 Betting Angles and Trends
12.04.2011 08:15 AM
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Submitted by
Six teams play this week with extra rest and preparation coming off Thanksgiving Day games. Situations, trends and angles show that road favorites off those Thanksgiving Day games often play in higher scoring games. This situation supports an over the total trend that hits just over 70% with a sample size of nearly 50 games; applies to Baltimore (-6.5/38) at Cleveland, Dallas (-4/45.5) at Arizona and Green Bay (-6.5/52) at NY Giants. Be sure to check the weather in Cleveland (50 degrees, mild winds, 20% precipitation) and East Rutherford, NJ where the Packers try to remain undefeated.
The winless Colts (0-11) were pulled from the Sunday Night feature game. That saves them more embarrassment for now. Indianapolis cost us a 4-0 Sunday last week when they failed to punch in a touchdown from the 2-yard line late. With just two pointspread covers this season, the Colts are burying their betting backers. Knowing the public can’t stand betting on bad teams, less harm has probably been felt. Let’s see if the public has the balls to support them this week. The Colts have fit numerous positive technical situations the past four weeks, and now find themselves in another
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NFL Handicapping: New England gets by with makeshift secondary
12.02.2011 06:28 AM
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Indianapolis
at
New England
-20.5 O/U 47.5
Article on New England's
depleted secondary
which has been used and abused for much of the season. And while some of the damage (307 ypg passing allowed) came with the game out of reach or against teams trying to play catch-up, there has also been a good chunk that took place with the game on the line. The good news is the unit has five games in which to improve – or five games to fool bettors into thinking they can all of a sudden sort of stop the pass. The next four games will feature opposing quarterbacks Dan Orlovsky, Rex Grossman/John Beck, Matt Moore, and Tim Tebow.
The reshaping of the secondary began in preseason when the Patriots released veterans Brandon Meriweather, James Sanders, Darius Butler, Brandon McGowan and Jonathan Wilhite. Second-round draft
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The heck with common sense! History screams bet the Colts this weekend
11.29.2011 11:10 AM
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Yeah, it's the NFL, were parity thrives, but we were a bit shocked to see that since 1991, only
nine teams
have been favored by 20 or more points in a game. In fact, from 1994 to 2006, no team was favored by that amount. During New England's 16-0 regular season in 2007, they were big chalk on four occasions (0-4 ATS). Overall, teams laying -20 or more are 9-0 SU but only 2-7 ATS. Sounds like a reason to take +20.5 with Indy this weekend at New England, right? Absolutely! Give us quarterback
Dan Orlovsky on the road
for the max please. We promise this is our last Colts-related blog post of the year...unless they win in Foxboro. That would be pretty cool.
NFL Favorites of 20 points or more 1991-present
Season
Favorite
Underdog
Site
Line
Score
SU Result
ATS Result
1991
Bills
Colts
H
-20.5
42-6
W
W
1992
Bills
Colts
H
-20
38-0
W
W
1992
Bills
Patriots
H
-20
16-7
W
L
1992
49ers
Buccaneers
H
-20
21-14
W
L
1993
49ers
Bengals
H
-23.5
21-8
W
L
2007
Patriots
Eagles
H
-23.5
32-28
W
L
2007
Patriots
Ravens
A
-20
27-24
W
L
2007
Patriots
Jets
H
-21.5
20-10
W
L
2007
Patriots
Dolphins
H
-22
28-7
W
L
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Indianapolis Colts
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NFL Gambling Notes: Philadelphia secondary could be vulnerable vs. Patriots
11.27.2011 06:43 AM
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New England
-3 at
Philadelphia
O/U 50.5
Philadelphia's offensive injuries have been hogging the headlines but flying under the radar is a
banged up secondary
. Cornerbacks Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (ankle) and Nnamdi Asomugha (knee) are currently listed as questionable. Not a favorable situation if those two can't go against New England's passing attack.
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Philadelphia Eagles
New England Patriots
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