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College Football Betting: Can West Virginia's Travel Woes Be Exploited in Golden Nugget GOY's?

06.12.2013     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I haven’t even begun to prepare for college football yet, beyond that effort to reverse-engineer Power Ratings from the early “Game of the Year” lines that were posted at the Golden Nugget a few days ago. I was trying to remember if there were any notable tendencies from last year that might be vulnerable to early betting against those numbers…and the midseason collapse of West Virginia in Big 12 play came to mind.

West Virginia 2012:

*Had no idea what to do in the wind at Texas Tech

*Wore down physically from their new league’s aggressive up-tempo play

*Was exposed as weak defensively and on special teams tackling

*Only beat the league’s two worst teams (Kansas and Iowa State) in their last 8 games (counting bowl)

West Virginia 2013:

*Has to rebuild its offense almost entirely

*Can’t be optimistic about defense because offensive-minded coaches Read more

Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII Stat Intelligence

College Football Gambling: Estimated Major Conference Power Ratings

06.11.2013     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The Golden Nugget posted its “Game of the Year” early pointspreads a few days ago. I thought it would be fun to take those numbers and try to “reverse engineer” what their Power Ratings must have been for all the teams from major conferences.

It wasn’t quite as easy as I had hoped:

*They don’t seem to be using a universal “3” for home field advantage

*They probably shaded some lines in anticipation of betting action

Also, I couldn’t find any games involving Duke of the ACC, or SMU…a new team in the Big East (or American Athletic Conference as it will be known). So, I can’t get every “big six” team in here.

For the most part, these hold up. If you just use three points for home field, you’ll typically be within a point of where the Golden Nugget lined their games. And, we’re so far in advance of the season anyway that any realistic Power Ratings are just a broad Read more

Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence

College Football Gambling: A bettor's guide to the American Athletic Conference

06.10.2013     01:52 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Raise your hand if you are up to speed on the details of the newly formed American Athletic Conference. No? Either were we until about five minutes ago, a couple of Google searches, and of course our good pal Wikipedia. For the upcoming 2013 college football season, the AAC will include 10 teams: Cincinnati, UConn, Houston, Louisville, Memphis, Rutgers, SMU, USF, Temple, and UFC. To add to the confusion, in 2014, Louisville will head to the ACC, Rutgers is bailing to the Big Ten, and East Carolina, Tulane, and Tulsa will join the AAC.

This year, each team will play eight conference games. Below are the games that will not be played due to the eight-game slate.


Like the Big East, all ten teams will have three bye weeks (Temple and Houston technically have two with Dec. 7 and "open date”). It will be interesting to see how the former C-USA schools handle the time off. Houston, SMU, and UCF had only one bye week last year. Also note that for this season, the AAC Read more

Tags: College Football

Sports Illustrated claims Nevin Shapiro used inside info to bet on Miami football

06.10.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Sports Illustrated is reportedly going to print with more details about Nevin Shapiro's sports betting relationship with the University of Miami. Shapiro allegedly received injury information from coaches for at least two games back in 2005 and 2007.

Shapiro told SI that he used inside information obtained from UM coaches to gamble on Hurricanes football games, according to the sources.

Shapiro alleged that coaches shared with him information - such as whether a particular injured player would be available to play - in at least two games, including in 2005 and a 2007 game against North Carolina, which UM lost, 33-27.

Tags: College Football Miami Hurricanes

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Golden Nugget College Football Games of the Year

06.10.2013     07:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
As spring turns into summer here in Las Vegas and the NBA Playoffs wind down, the upcoming football season begins to attract more and more betting attention.  Last month we saw NFL season win totals hit the betting boards around town, drawing a significant initial flurry of heavy wiseguy money.   And this past Friday, we saw another clear sign that football is just around the corner, as the Golden Nugget released their lines on 250 College Football Games of the Year.

The Nugget has earned a reputation as the top place to bet on sports in downtown Las Vegas, but it’s not generally a hotbed of wiseguy betting activity.  That changes dramatically when they release their College Football GOY lines, as they’ve done for each of the last seven years.  The Golden Nugget sportsbook takes center stage as a destination location; the first place in Vegas to post college football game pointspreads. 

The Nugget made some changes this year in an effort to please and appease the Read more

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

College Football Betting: Know your conference realignment

06.10.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We have a ways to go until the college football season but bettors would be wise to familiarize themselves with all of the conference realignments. Here is a brief overview of the changes...

Sun Belt Defectors - Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, North Texas, and UT-San Antonio are all headed to the C-USA.

Sun Belt Newbies - Georgia State and Texas State will join the Sun Belt.

Introducing The American - Essentially a combination of the Big East and C-USA. East Carolina, Tulane, Tulsa and Navy will join next year. This year's league will feature 10 teams: Cincinnati, UConn, Houston, Louisville, Memphis, Rutgers, SMU, USF, Temple, and UCF.

Indie - Idaho and New Mexico State will play as Independents.

Mountain West Newbies - San Jose State and Utah State left the now defunct WAC for the Mountain West.

Big East to ACC - Syracuse and Pitt left the now defunct Big East for the ACC.

Transition - Georgia Southern, Appalachian State, and Old Dominion will being their Read more

Tags: College Football

College Football Betting: Golden Nugget Game of the Year lines

06.07.2013     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here is a list of the Golden Nugget's College Football Game of the Year lines courtesy of

Thursday, August 29

UNLV @ Minnesota (-13)
North Carolina @ South Carolina (-12)
Ole Miss (-4) @ Vanderbilt

Saturday, August 31

Washington St @ Auburn (-11.5)
Northwestern (-10.5) @ California
Nevada @ UCLA (-15)
Colorado vs Colorado St (-3.5) **Denver
Temple @ Notre Dame (-24)
Penn St (-6.5) vs Syracuse ** East Rutherford, NJ
Mississippi St vs Oklahoma St (-14) ** Houston
BYU (-3.5) @ Virginia
Boise St @ Washington (-2)
Alabama (-17, 48.5) vs Virginia Tech ** Atlanta
Georgia (-3.5) @ Clemson
LSU (-4) vs TCU ** Arlington, TX

Monday, September 2

Florida St (-13) @ Pittsburgh

Saturday, September 7

Washington St @ USC (-21)
South Carolina @ Georgia (-4)
Syracuse @ Northwestern (-13)
South Florida @ Michigan St (-16)
Notre Dame @

Read more

Tags: College Football

College Football Gambling: 2013 Head Coaching Changes

06.05.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
Below is a list of all of the FBS head coaching changes for the upcoming 2013 season.

2013 College Football Coaching Changes
Former Job
John L. Smith
Bret Bielema
Wisconsin HC
Arkansas State
Gus Malzahn
Bryan Harsin
Texas co-OC
Gene Chizik
Gus Malzahn
Arkansas State HC
Boston College
Frank Spaziani
Steve Addazio
Temple HC
Jeff Tedford
Sonny Dykes
Louisiana Tech HC
Butch Jones
Tommy Tuberville
Texas Tech HC
Jon Embree
Mike MacIntyre
San Jose State HC
Mario Cristobal
Ron Turner
Tampa Bay QB
Georgia State
Bill Curry
Trent Miles
Indiana State HC
Robb Akey
Paul Petrino
Arkansas OC
Kent State
Darrell Hazell
Paul Haynes
Arkansas DC
Joker Phillips
Mark Stoops
Florida State DC
Louisiana Tech
Sonny Dykes
Skip Holtz
South Florida HC
NC State
Tom O'Brien
Dave Doeren
Northern Illinois HC
Chris Ault
Brian Polian
Texas A&M ST
New Mexico State
DeWayne Walker
Doug Martin
Boston College OC
Northern Illinois
Dave Doeren
Rod Carey
Northern Illinois OC
Chip Kelly
Mark Helfrich
Oregon OC
Danny Hope
Darrell Hazell
Kent State HC
San Jose State
Mike MacIntyre
Ron Caragher
San Diego HC
Southern Miss
Ellis Johnson
Todd Monken
Oklahoma State OC
Doug Marrone
Scott Shafer
Syracuse DC
Steve Addazio
Matt Rhule
NY Giants OL
Derek Dooley
Butch Jones
Cincinnati HC
Texas Tech
Tommy Tuberville
Kliff Kingsbury
Texas A&M OC
Skip Holtz
Willie Taggart
Western Kentucky HC
Utah State
Gary Andersen
Matt Wells
Utah State OC
Mike Price
Sean Kugler
Steelers OC
Willie Taggart
Bobby Petrino
Arkansas HC
Western Michigan
Bill Cubit
P.J. Fleck
Tampa Bay WR
Bret Bielema
Gary Andersen
Utah State HC

Tags: College Football

College Football Gambling: Golden Nugget GOY lines feature over 200 games

06.03.2013     01:44 PM     Printer Friendly

Here's a link to all of the college football games the Golden Nugget will offer for its Game of the Years lines – slated to be released this Friday at 1 pm PT (dime limits).

College Football Gambling: Golden Nugget GOY lines available next week

05.28.2013     12:28 PM     View Original Blog

Just a head's up. Las Vegas' Golden Nugget sportsbook will release its College Football Game of the Year lines on Friday, June 7, at Noon PT. In the meantime, here's a link to Read more

Tags: College Football

College Football Gambling: Golden Nugget GOY lines available next week

05.28.2013     12:28 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Just a head's up. Las Vegas' Golden Nugget sportsbook will release its College Football Game of the Year lines on Friday, June 7, at Noon PT. In the meantime, here's a link to last year's lines.

Tags: College Football Las Vegas


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