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Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Will the game be tied after 0-0?

02.02.2012     12:06 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Will the game be tied after 0-0?
Recommendation: Yes +110 (Pinnacle)


My handicap for this game says it’s going to be close throughout.  I don’t expect either team to run away and hide if they get an early lead, exactly the case in the first meeting between these two teams when the score was tied at 10-10 in the second half.  You can currently find plus money on this prop (+110 at Pinny as I type this); a worthy wager in what should be a very competitive ballgame.



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Teddy Covers




Investment firm calls for a New England Patriots pointspread cover

02.02.2012     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Analytic Investors LLC, a money management firm based out of Las Angeles, has reportedly picked the against the spread winner of the Super Bowl eight straight years. This year's pick is on the New England Patriots.

 

“Everyone thinks the Giants are rolling right now, a lot of people in my office even,” said Matthew Robinson, a portfolio analyst for global and Japanese equities at Analytic and the author of this year’s analysis. “They like the Giants, but they have faith in the model as well.”

“We took into account how the public has been betting the Giants the past few weeks and winning with them,” he said in a telephone interview. “We opened three based on that and have gotten a lot of Giants money anyway. I can see how it correlates from that perspective; not from a predicting standpoint maybe, but from a value standpoint.”





Tags: NFL New England Patriots Super Bowl XLVI




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: First kickoff to result in a touchback

02.02.2012     07:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
First kickoff to result in a touchback?
Recommendation: Yes -200


This bet is still worth making at -200 or better, and it’s an interesting handicap.  The Patriots have a strong tendency to defer when they win the opening coin toss, while the Giants’ prevailing tendency is to get the ball first when they win the toss.  As a result, chances are pretty good that it’s going to be Stephen Gostkowski with the opening kickoff, not Lawrence Tynes.  Gostkowski is a touchback type kicker with a big leg and the adrenaline will most assuredly be flowing for that opening kick.  The Giants don’t attempt many kickoff returns from deep in their own end zone – without a strong return game, they are quite comfortable taking the ball at the 20-yard line.  And the pristine conditions inside Lucas Oil Stadium have produced touchbacks on 76% of the kickoffs for the full season.  Put it all together and we’re getting a 3:1 favorite while laying 2:1 or less to do it.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: 77-year-old Vegas man wins Station Casinos' Football Contest

02.02.2012     06:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on Las Vegas resident Ernie Carey, who at 77 years old won this year's Station Casinos' NFL Contest. Carey finished 180-65, 73% straight up to claim the title. The grand prize was apparently a $225K house.


“In the first week, I had every team but the (New England) Patriots, who lost to the (Buffalo) Bills after being ahead at halftime,” Carey said. “That’s kind of the way the year went.”

“When we get that money, it will replenish my gambling fund,” Carey said. “My wife said she wants to buy new furniture, but I want to have a little extra to gamble.”

“I bet on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl at the beginning of the playoffs and I got 5-2 (odds). So if they win, I’ll get $183. Then, I put $90 on the Giants and am getting three points,” he said. “So, if they keep in close, I’ll win both sides.





Tags: NFL Las Vegas




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: University students lean New England

02.01.2012     08:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Who doesn't have an opinion on the Super Bowl? Lange's kid came home from school the other day and said that nearly his entire kindergarten class were lined up on the Patriots – is fading 5-year olds a proven strategy? Up next, the North Dakota State Science and Mathematics department which just spent a boatload of man hours – they broke down over 1,700 NFL games – to come up with this rock solid conclusion...


“Basically I think that the New England Patriots have a slight advantage because I think for the New York Giants to win it's going to take a higher turnover margin.”





Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Total Kickoff Returns UNDER 6.5

01.31.2012     12:12 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Total Kickoff Returns
Recommendation: Under 6.5 (-160 at LVH)


New York Giants kicker Lawrence Tynes doesn’t have the strongest leg in the NFL. In 2010 the Giants averaged a touchback on just 8.2% of all kickoffs. It certainly doesn’t help that the Giants also play many games in poor weather and in plenty of outdoor stadiums. But this history actually helps us this Sunday with Tynes now indoors and kicking off from the 35-yard line.

Consider this; since the new rule was adopted prior to the season the Giants have averaged a touchback on 38.4% of all kickoffs. That’s a significant improvement and shows Tynes has the leg to get it deep with that extra five yard boost from the rulebook. But that’s not the most significant factor in play this weekend. In the three games the Giants played indoors they averaged a touchback on a whopping 60% of all kickoffs!

If there was one player we needed to really worry about with this prop it was Tynes and I think the numbers bear out that he should be no issue at all.

New England kicker Gostkowski has a much stronger leg and while we Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Otto Sports




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Victor Cruz OVER 5.5 catches

01.31.2012     07:18 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
New York Giants’ Victor Cruz Receptions
Recommendation: OVER 5.5 (-130 at Greek)
 
No player in the NFL was targeted more by his quarterback over the final half of the season than the New York Giants’ Victor Cruz. Eli Manning threw the ball his way a remarkable 125 times in games from Week 8 up to the Super Bowl. Cruz, in turn, has responded with a boat load of receptions. Nine times over the last 13 games the wideout has had at least six receptions which would be good enough to cash this prop bet in the Super Bowl.
 
One of those nine games came against this same opponent. Back in their Week 9 meeting with New England, Cruz finished with six catches for 91 yards. The speedy wide receiver arguably has a better matchup in order to post similar or better numbers this week with the fast turf in Indy and no wind conditions to deal with. And Cruz could see more targets in this game simply because Hakeem Nicks is still dealing with a shoulder injury.
 
Quietly, Cruz has become the favorite target of Eli Manning and led the team in receptions and I don’t expect that to Read more


Tags: NFL New York Giants New England Patriots Super Bowl XLVI Otto Sports




Las Vegas oddsmakers offer opinions on Super Bowl XLVI

01.31.2012     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Gaming Today got the opinions of some Las Vegas oddsmakers and local media members on Super Bowl XLVI. Nine of the 11 picked New England to win. LVH's Jay Kornegay was on board with the Giants and MGM's Jay Rood hinted that the game will go under.


Jay Rood, MGM Resorts – Patriots 24-23: I see a low scoring game with Brady executing a last minute drive to seal the game and his hall of fame credentials.

Mike Colbert, Cantor Gaming – Patriots 27-20: Brady and Belichick will be too much for the Giants in a double-revenge game.

Jay Kornegay, LVH Super Book – Giants 27-24: I think the Giants defensive momentum carries over into this game and frustrates Brady.

Bert Osborne, South Point – Patriots 31-20: I’ve seen the Giants look bad a lot more times this season than I have with the Patriots.

Bob Scucci, Coast Resorts – Patriots 27-24: I think this will be a closely fought game with no team getting too far ahead, just like their last Super Bowl and week 9 this year.

Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Las Vegas




Super Bowl XLVI Betting: New England's defense on the rise

01.30.2012     12:38 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article that argues the defenses for New England and New York are evenly matched. Some of the logic is without question flawed but with improved health, the Patriots are clearly in a better spot defensively than they were during the regular season.


“I think just getting guys back healthy, first and foremost,” fellow linebacker Jerod Mayo said when asked why the defense has improved. “Getting [Patrick] Chung back, getting [Brandon] Spikes back; being able to play with the same group of guys for a couple weeks, which is an extended period for this team this year. I think that’s the main thing for us.”

“We’re the same defense,” New England linebacker Rob Ninkovich said. “Obviously, we had some things that weren’t going our way earlier in the year; we had some ups and downs. But I think we did a good job of fighting through everything and improving each week towards the end of the year, which is the most important part of the year.”

Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI




Handicapper Teddy Covers' Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Preview

01.30.2012     10:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The 2011 Super Bowl was not a good one for the sportsbooks here in Las Vegas and offshore. They underestimated the groundswell of support for Green Bay and the Over. Money poured in on the favorite, driving the line up as high as -3 from a -1 opener. And money poured in on the Over; the closing total was as high as 55 at several key locations. When the Packers won 31-25, bettors cashed in on both the side and total. It was the worst Super Bowl result for the books since the infamous Super Bowl XIII, back in January 1979 when the Steelers beat the Raiders 35-31 in a game that bounced between -3.5 and -4.5 all week – a dreaded “middle” for the biggest game of the year.

The books will have a definite rooting interest in the Super Bowl again this year, because for the second consecutive season, the books underestimated the support for the hot team down the stretch. New England opened as a 3.5-point favorite over the New York Giants in many key locations, with one influential sportsbook – the Wynn – even hanging a -4 on the Patriots.

-3.5 or -4 was not the correct line, as determined by the betting markets. The books spent the first week Read more


Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 28, 2014 11:36 PM.