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Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Preview: High scoring affair on the horizon

02.03.2012     07:32 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’m not in agreement with the recent downward move on the Super Bowl total; now at 54 and even 53 at Pinnacle. While many are pointing out that seven of the last eight Super Bowls lined at 46.5 points or higher have gone under the total, I note that the last three Super Bowls all had at least 47 points scored including last year’s 31-25 Green Bay win over Pittsburgh (a side winner for us). The Saints beat the Colts in 2009 as a touchdown underdog, 31-17 (a side winner for us), but the game finished under the posted total of 56.5 points. 

Like that contest, Super Bowl XLVI has two top quarterbacks that are supremely skilled, polished, poised and precise in their passing and play. Going against suspect secondaries on both sides in perfect conditions should result in plenty of big plays in the passing game. The linesmaker is also projecting big passing days by both Eli Manning and Tom Brady, with over/under passing yards posted at 312 and 323 respectively. Both teams will spread the field with their talented receivers and take advantage of two poor pass defenses. Each quarterback is also very comfortable and efficient operating the no-huddle offense.  Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI __




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Will each team have the lead in the first half?

02.03.2012     07:20 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Will each team have the lead in the first half?
Recommendation: Yes +105 (Greek)


In what figures to be a back and forth contest from the outset, the plus end of this prop bet is especially attractive. There’s a strong possibility that this game could see each of these teams have the lead in the first two series. It’s interesting to note that six of the eight Patriots away games this season have seen each team have a lead in the first half. That’s quite a contrast from their 10 home games in which only once did both teams have the first half lead. The drastic difference in their home-road performances adds a very positive angle to this play. Super Bowls the last six years have seen this prop have streaky results going 3-0 from 2006-08 and 0-3 from 2009-11. For this prop play, it’s helpful to have a first quarter field goal by one side so the team scores don’t run parallel and the Patriots have had a first quarter field goal in eight of their last 10. Since these offenses are more than capable of responding to a score, this game should see each team have the lead at some point in the first Read more


Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Rob Veno




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Kenny Phillips OVER 5 Tackles+Assists

02.02.2012     02:02 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
NY Giants safety Kenny Phillips Tackles+Assists
Recommendation: Over 5 -135 (Greek)


Willing to play New York Giants strong safety Kenny Phillips at this number against the Patriots offense which is tailor made for tackles at this position. The short to intermediate portions of the field play prominent roles in New England’s tight end heavy scheme which should make Phillips very active. In the first contest between these teams, he recorded six tackles and two assists which is an indicator of how involved the strong safety position is against New England. In the AFC Championship game a couple weeks ago, Baltimore Ravens strong safety Bernard Pollard led his team with seven tackles and added five assists. New England’s no huddle offense generated 73 total plays back in Week 9 when these teams met and their average of 65.6 gives Phillips ample opportunities to exceed this number.

Pick up Rob Veno’s Super Bowl package, which will include side and/or total as well as all prop bet recommendations including a 20* Bluechip Read more


Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI Rob Veno




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Will the game be tied after 0-0?

02.02.2012     12:06 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Will the game be tied after 0-0?
Recommendation: Yes +110 (Pinnacle)


My handicap for this game says it’s going to be close throughout.  I don’t expect either team to run away and hide if they get an early lead, exactly the case in the first meeting between these two teams when the score was tied at 10-10 in the second half.  You can currently find plus money on this prop (+110 at Pinny as I type this); a worthy wager in what should be a very competitive ballgame.



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Teddy Covers




Investment firm calls for a New England Patriots pointspread cover

02.02.2012     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Analytic Investors LLC, a money management firm based out of Las Angeles, has reportedly picked the against the spread winner of the Super Bowl eight straight years. This year's pick is on the New England Patriots.

 

“Everyone thinks the Giants are rolling right now, a lot of people in my office even,” said Matthew Robinson, a portfolio analyst for global and Japanese equities at Analytic and the author of this year’s analysis. “They like the Giants, but they have faith in the model as well.”

“We took into account how the public has been betting the Giants the past few weeks and winning with them,” he said in a telephone interview. “We opened three based on that and have gotten a lot of Giants money anyway. I can see how it correlates from that perspective; not from a predicting standpoint maybe, but from a value standpoint.”





Tags: NFL New England Patriots Super Bowl XLVI




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: First kickoff to result in a touchback

02.02.2012     07:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
First kickoff to result in a touchback?
Recommendation: Yes -200


This bet is still worth making at -200 or better, and it’s an interesting handicap.  The Patriots have a strong tendency to defer when they win the opening coin toss, while the Giants’ prevailing tendency is to get the ball first when they win the toss.  As a result, chances are pretty good that it’s going to be Stephen Gostkowski with the opening kickoff, not Lawrence Tynes.  Gostkowski is a touchback type kicker with a big leg and the adrenaline will most assuredly be flowing for that opening kick.  The Giants don’t attempt many kickoff returns from deep in their own end zone – without a strong return game, they are quite comfortable taking the ball at the 20-yard line.  And the pristine conditions inside Lucas Oil Stadium have produced touchbacks on 76% of the kickoffs for the full season.  Put it all together and we’re getting a 3:1 favorite while laying 2:1 or less to do it.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: 77-year-old Vegas man wins Station Casinos' Football Contest

02.02.2012     06:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on Las Vegas resident Ernie Carey, who at 77 years old won this year's Station Casinos' NFL Contest. Carey finished 180-65, 73% straight up to claim the title. The grand prize was apparently a $225K house.


“In the first week, I had every team but the (New England) Patriots, who lost to the (Buffalo) Bills after being ahead at halftime,” Carey said. “That’s kind of the way the year went.”

“When we get that money, it will replenish my gambling fund,” Carey said. “My wife said she wants to buy new furniture, but I want to have a little extra to gamble.”

“I bet on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl at the beginning of the playoffs and I got 5-2 (odds). So if they win, I’ll get $183. Then, I put $90 on the Giants and am getting three points,” he said. “So, if they keep in close, I’ll win both sides.





Tags: NFL Las Vegas




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: University students lean New England

02.01.2012     08:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Who doesn't have an opinion on the Super Bowl? Lange's kid came home from school the other day and said that nearly his entire kindergarten class were lined up on the Patriots – is fading 5-year olds a proven strategy? Up next, the North Dakota State Science and Mathematics department which just spent a boatload of man hours – they broke down over 1,700 NFL games – to come up with this rock solid conclusion...


“Basically I think that the New England Patriots have a slight advantage because I think for the New York Giants to win it's going to take a higher turnover margin.”





Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Total Kickoff Returns UNDER 6.5

01.31.2012     12:12 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Total Kickoff Returns
Recommendation: Under 6.5 (-160 at LVH)


New York Giants kicker Lawrence Tynes doesn’t have the strongest leg in the NFL. In 2010 the Giants averaged a touchback on just 8.2% of all kickoffs. It certainly doesn’t help that the Giants also play many games in poor weather and in plenty of outdoor stadiums. But this history actually helps us this Sunday with Tynes now indoors and kicking off from the 35-yard line.

Consider this; since the new rule was adopted prior to the season the Giants have averaged a touchback on 38.4% of all kickoffs. That’s a significant improvement and shows Tynes has the leg to get it deep with that extra five yard boost from the rulebook. But that’s not the most significant factor in play this weekend. In the three games the Giants played indoors they averaged a touchback on a whopping 60% of all kickoffs!

If there was one player we needed to really worry about with this prop it was Tynes and I think the numbers bear out that he should be no issue at all.

New England kicker Gostkowski has a much stronger leg and while we Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Otto Sports




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Victor Cruz OVER 5.5 catches

01.31.2012     07:18 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
New York Giants’ Victor Cruz Receptions
Recommendation: OVER 5.5 (-130 at Greek)
 
No player in the NFL was targeted more by his quarterback over the final half of the season than the New York Giants’ Victor Cruz. Eli Manning threw the ball his way a remarkable 125 times in games from Week 8 up to the Super Bowl. Cruz, in turn, has responded with a boat load of receptions. Nine times over the last 13 games the wideout has had at least six receptions which would be good enough to cash this prop bet in the Super Bowl.
 
One of those nine games came against this same opponent. Back in their Week 9 meeting with New England, Cruz finished with six catches for 91 yards. The speedy wide receiver arguably has a better matchup in order to post similar or better numbers this week with the fast turf in Indy and no wind conditions to deal with. And Cruz could see more targets in this game simply because Hakeem Nicks is still dealing with a shoulder injury.
 
Quietly, Cruz has become the favorite target of Eli Manning and led the team in receptions and I don’t expect that to Read more


Tags: NFL New York Giants New England Patriots Super Bowl XLVI Otto Sports



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