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College Football Handicapping: ACC Stat Day

07.31.2013     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The ACC has expanded this year, with Syracuse and Pittsburgh moving over from the Big East. So, as we run through each category, I’ve included with those two teams did in the Big East last season. It’s tempting to say that you have to make mental adjustments because the Big East was worse than the ACC. But, there was so much mediocre (or worse) play in the ACC last year…that there may not have been much of a difference.

Louisville and Syracuse obviously did the Big East proud in bowls last year. There were two heads-up meetings between the Big East and ACC. Rutgers and Virginia Tech went overtime in one of the worst bowl games ever played. Cincinnati needed a few miracles to beat Duke by 14 points (they were about to lose straight up as 9-point favorites in the final minutes)…which is a strike against the Big East. Maybe dock the stats of Syracuse and Pittsburgh a smidge.

ACC Offenses (Conference Games Only)

Florida State: 7.0 yards-per-play, 19 Read more


Tags: College Football ACC Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Memphis looks to take next step under Fuente

07.30.2013     10:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last season could be considered a success for the Memphis Tigers who finished 4-8 overall and 4-4 in C-USA (7-5 ATS). From 2009-11, they won only three games vs. BCS competition. Head coach Justin Fuente is optimistic about 2013 despite the step up in class as the Tigers move to the American Athletic Conference (former Big East plus UCF, Houston, and SMU). Memphis is slated to return eight starters on both sides of the ball.


"We went into this with our eyes wide open. We knew what we got," Fuente said. The program had been put through the wringer; most of all, he said, the roster he took over "had been through a lot."

"Some of them had been there when Tommy (West) was there," he said. "And Tommy had been there for a long time, and won ballgames. And then they kind of went on a little downturn.

"They were, I would say, somewhat distrustful of another guy coming in there. I think our staff has done a great job. Our strength staff has done maybe the best Read more



Tags: College Football Memphis Tigers AAC




Teddy Covers' NFL Season O/U Report Will Be Released Today!

07.30.2013     06:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

Click here to purchase

copy_tc_nfl_o_u_2.jpg

Below is the written analysis Teddy provided to his clients with last year's O/U Win Report. He went 4-0-1 with his recommendations.


2012 NFL Season Win Total Report: Part 1

All lines in this report are current as of 10 AM Pacific on Tuesday, July 31st.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order.  I used seven offshore sports books (Pinnacle, Bookmaker, Greek, Bovada, Grande, ABC Islands and WSEX ) as fodder for my ‘best available current line’, but there’s no reason to think that you won’t be able to find a better number elsewhere – line shoppers are routinely rewarded in the Over-Under win total marketplace. 

Each and every one of these numbers is also available at the sportsbooks here in Las Vegas, but I used the offshore numbers in this report knowing that many clients don’t have access to the Vegas numbers.  It is VERY important to get the win totals posted on this report – a half game can make an enormous difference, Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Handicapping the best and worst NFL secondaries

07.29.2013     11:03 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The pecking order for NFL quarterbacks is well established.  Most of the best quarterbacks play for the best teams.  Peyton Manning in Denver, Eli Manning in New York, Tom Brady in New England, Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay, Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh, Drew Brees in New Orleans and Joe Flacco in Baltimore all wear Super Bowl rings.  All seven guys play for teams that are perennial playoff teams, and all seven of those squads are lined at 8.5 wins or higher again this year.

The next grouping of quarterbacks isn’t as easy to establish.  I’d probably put the likes of Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Tony Romo, Philip Rivers and Colin Kaepernick in this grouping; and I wouldn’t argue with anyone who wanted to include Matthew Stafford, Jay Cutler, Cam Newton or Andrew Luck.  Just about every one of those quarterbacks also plays for a playoff contending team.

The very bottom of the pecking order is also very easy to establish.  On my list, I’d include Christian Ponder in Minnesota, Brandon Weeden in Cleveland, Mark Sanchez in New York, Jake Locker in Tennessee, Blaine Gabbert or Chad Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: SEC Stat Day

07.28.2013     08:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The SEC has already had its set of “Media Days” last week. Didn’t hear much talk about key stats from last year. The media begged coaches to trash talk each other or Urban Meyer. They hoped Johnny Manziel would say or do something inappropriate…then hoped somebody else would comment on what a brat Manziel is. They talked about Texas A&M’s great offense without acknowledging that Alabama’s offense was actually better on a per play basis while committing fewer turnovers in league action.

Let’s rectify that, and paint a picture of what the SEC looked like top-to-bottom last year. The stats you see below are from conference games only…which means eight games for everyone but nine for Alabama and Georgia (who met in the SEC Championship). The numbers are gathered from cfbstats.com, which is a great site if you’re trying to dig up data in a boatload of categories.

We start with offenses, focusing on yards-per-play and giveaways…which is Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Big 10 Stat Day

07.26.2013     07:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

All the major college football conferences are having “media” days (or two, or three). Since little of the media coverage coming out of those days involves stats…I’ll try to put together some “stat days” between now and the start of the season. The Big 10 is under the spotlight at the moment all over the internet. So, let’s start there.

First…a review of Big 10 offenses last year, focusing on the basic fundamentals of moving the ball and protecting it. Remember that there are now 12 teams in the Big 10. They’re ranked immediately below by yards-per-play on offense in conference play ONLY to help weed out the goofy stuff that happens against widely variant non-league schedules. That means 8 games for everybody but Wisconsin and Nebraska. They played each other in the Big 10 Championship game, so their numbers are pulled from a 9-game sampling. These are the numbers as reported by the college football stats site cfstats.com

Big 10 Read more


Tags: College Football Big Ten Stat Intelligence




MLB Handicapping: Wednesday Betting Recap

07.25.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’ll start with the Interleague game, then take everything else in rotation order…

*Oh no they DIDN’T! Once again, it looked like the Dodgers were finally going to lose a game. They were down 3-2 in the ninth…and hadn’t scored a run in about 90 minutes. A rally to tie it in the ninth forced extra innings…then the Dodgers scored FIVE in the tenth inning to win 8-3. That pushes them to 6-0 since the ASB, and runs their longterm streak to 23-5 the last 28 games. Note that Puig scored the tying run in the ninth with two outs. He was on first after a walk (hey, he can walk!). He ran aggressively on a single to center…the CF made an error…and Puig came all the way around to score. Then he homered in the tenth to help build on what had become a 5-3 lead. The “first half” score was 2-2, with Nolasco throwing four scoreless before tiring a bit. His pitching line is now 0-3-1-2 as a Dodger, with an average and median of Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: ACC Coastal News and Notes

07.24.2013     12:30 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rob Veno was a guest on today's Sportsmemo Podcast talking about the ACC Coastal Division. You can listen to the segment here. Rob was kind enough to pass along his notes from the show. Enjoy.

Schedule (4 Non-Conference, 8 Conference) – (6 Division, 2 Non Division)

Virginia Tech – QB (Logan Thomas)
Coastal - Tough: @ Georgia Tech, @ Miami (FL), @ Virginia
Atlantic - Easy: vs. Maryland, @ Boston College
Non-Conference – Semi Tough: N vs. Alabama (Atlanta), @ East Carolina, VS. Marshall
NOTES
1 – New OC/QB coach Scott Loeffler (Auburn OC LY and Temple OC in 2011) – Hope is to develop more of a running game.
2 – Defense returns 9 starters (actually 10 w/ ILB Edwards) including the entire front 4 and the entire secondary (all 8 are upperclassmen).
3 – Pass rushing LB Tariq Edwards back after missing L6 games due to injury. 

Miami (FL) – QB (Stephen Morris)
Coastal - Easy: @ North Read more


Tags: College Football ACC Rob Veno




MLB Handicapping: Three Months of National League Boredom

07.23.2013     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I was watching the MLB Network for awhile this evening.  I think it was Al Leiter who pointed out that the Atlanta Braves hadn’t done much of anything since starting the season 12-1. We’ve been talking about the Braves' mediocre play for awhile on these pages. Then I started thinking, you know…NOBODY in that division has done anything since the Braves started 12-1!

NL East Since April 16 (when Braves were 12-1)

Atlanta 44-42

Philadelphia 43-42

Washington 40-45

NY Mets 36-46

Miami 33-50

If the Braves hadn’t rallied in the ninth inning tonight in New York they would have been 50/50 over three months, a half game worse than Philadelphia during that long span. Note that the quintet as a whole is 29 games under .500 over those three months. All games against each other split out…so they’ve really been outclassed against outsiders.

The NL Central has been pretty well Read more


Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Tips on how to bet post-All-Star break MLB

07.22.2013     10:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I wrote a similar article to this one last year at this time.  At the risk of plagiarizing myself, I thought many of the points I made last year are still extremely pertinent when it comes to post All-Star break baseball in 2013. 

NFL training camps open up around the country this week.  The start of fall practice for college football isn’t far behind.  Wiseguy bettors are spending a good portion of their time focusing on football right now.  We’ve got a maturing NFL Season win total marketplace, both here in Vegas and offshore.  Odds to win the NFL Divisions are up.  Week 1 numbers are available at multiple sportsbooks.  College football season win totals are up as are odds to win the various conferences.

So what happens when the betting markets shift their focus towards football?  After all, we’re less than a week out from the All Star break, with more than two full months of regular season baseball still to play.  There isn’t a team in either league that has completed more than 100 games of their 162-game schedule as I write this.

Yet any sportsbook director in town will tell Read more


Tags: MLB NFL College Football Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 20, 2014 04:11 AM.