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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Butler Bulldogs at Seton Hall Pirates

01.29.2014     09:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Butler at Seton Hall -5.5 O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Seton Hall


Over the last ten years, Butler has morphed into the new Gonzaga; the mid-major team with the most consistent NCAA tournament success.  But three major things have changed for the Bulldogs in 2014.  First head coach Brad Stevens, the architect of the ‘Butler way’ has moved on to the NBA.  Second, the competition is much tougher as they’ve moved from the Horizon League to the A-10 and now to the Big East.

But the biggest difference of all is that this Butler team simply doesn’t have the talent to compare with recent editions.  There are no NBA caliber players on the roster like Gordon Hayward, Shelvin Mack or Matt Howard.  Nor are there all – conference caliber players like Rotnei Clark, Roosevelt Jones or Andrew Smith.  This would be a middle of the pack A-10 team this year.  In the Big East, that puts Butler right with Read more



Tags: NBA Butler Bulldogs Seton Hall Pirates Teddy Covers




College Basketball Handicapping: Big East games trending OVER the total

01.29.2014     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Following the departure of under-the-total type teams like Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, South Florida, and Syracuse as well as the new rule changes, the Big East has seen scoring significantly up compared to last year's historical lows.  In 2013, league games produced 64.2 ppg whereas this season’s average is north of 70 ppg. As of today, there have been 39 conference games with 25 (64%) going over the total.

Team Over/Under in conference play
Creighton 5-4
Villanova 7-1
Xavier 6-1
Providence 5-2
Marquette 3-4
Seton Hall 5-2
Georgetown 4-5
St. John's 5-3
DePaul 5-3
Butler 5-3 (4 OTs)




Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Betting News and Notes 1-27-2014

01.27.2014     01:46 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The incredible streak of Cincinnati unders came to a screeching halt in Sunday's 80-76 win at Temple. The 156 combined went 'over the 133.5-point total with nearly four minutes to spare. The under is now 13-2 for the Bearcats this season and 26-4 in their last 30 games. As I've stated many times, these low-scoring games for Cincy are largely based upon the defensive presence provided by Justin Jackson, who protects the rim and cleans the glass. Jackson injured his ankle early in the first half and did not return.

Nevertheless, the pace for another under looked decent at halftime when Cincy had a 36-26 advantage (1st half total was 62/62.5). But Temple's Dalton Pepper caught fire in the second half, burying seven 3's and scoring 27 of his 33 points. Cincy led by 19 early in the second half, but a triple by Pepper evened the game up with 25 seconds remaining. Mick Cronin's team pulled it out, though, and Sean Kilpatrick finished with 29 points. Jackson's status for Thursday's crucial AAC showdown at Louisville is very iffy. He wasn't able to play in a loss at the Yum! Center last year, either. Before Temple struck for 76 on the Jackson-less Bearcats, they had not given up Read more



Tags: College Basketball Cincinnati Bearcats Brian Edwards




College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 1-24-2014

01.24.2014     10:49 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Can you really blame Michigan State junior Branden Dawson? When I'm forced to listen to ESPN analyst Dan Dakich talk (about anything!), I want to pull my hair out. Dakich is the Mark May of college basketball. I disagree with everything that comes out of his mouth and his delivery is the equivalent of fingernails screeching across the chalkboard. During a Thursday film session for the Spartans, Dakich was commenting on a mistake by Dawson, prompting him to slam his hand against a table. The result is a broken bone in his right (shooting) hand that will cause him to miss the next 4-5 weeks. Dawson averages 10.2 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. He also has 22 steals and 17 blocked shots. Senior center Adreian Payne (16.2 PPG, 7.7 RPG) has missed four straight games with a foot injury, and he is 'doubtful' Saturday vs. Michigan.

Minnesota's leading scorer Andre Hollins (16.2 PPG) suffered a sprained ankle in the opening minutes of this week's home win over Wisconsin. The results of an MRI were negative and there's a chance Hollins will play Saturday at Nebraska. He is listed as 'questionable.'

Alabama played without its second-leading scorer in last night's 68-62 Read more



Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets

01.24.2014     10:30 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Brooklyn -2 O/U 200
Recommendation: Brooklyn


Brooklyn continues to hit its stride winning and covering the pointspread in 8 of its last 9 games. Defense has been the catalyst for the Nets as over the nine games they’ve held the opposition to 42.6% shooting, and 92 points per game. In comparison the Nets started the campaign 10-21, while allowing 46% shooting and 102.4 points per game. In addition, they just got back All-Star point guard Deron Williams who missed the prior five games. Williams has looked strong coming off the bench, while giving the Nets a dose of energy. Realistically, the Nets really only need to break into the top six of the Eastern Conference for playoff positioning in order to avoid Miami and Indiana in the first round. Meanwhile, the Mavericks continue to boast a solid 25-19 record, as they’ve largely tred to outscore the opposition on a nightly basis. As a result they are a bottom 10 defensive team with the majority of their roster is littered Read more



Tags: NBA Dallas Mavericks Brooklyn Nets Erin Rynning




A perfect match: Gambling and the Super Bowl

01.21.2014     07:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Publicly, the NFL is among one of the staunchest opponents of legalized gambling. Former commissioner Paul Tagliabue and current commissioner Roger Goodell were instrumental in getting the anti gaming ‘Illegal Internet Gambling Prohibition Act’ attached to the Port Security Bill. The NFL has taken this stance despite the fact that its enormous popularity is, in no small part, due to the prevalence of betting on games.

The hypocrisy of the NFL in regards to betting is almost laughable. The facts, as you will see, clearly show that the league was founded by gamblers for gamblers. From the NFL’s first television appearance in 1939 through the current TV deal that pumps more than three billion dollars per year into the league coffers, the NFL’s popularity rests upon the shoulders of those who wager on the outcome of the games.

Here in the 21st century, the NFL is the most popular and profitable sport in the. NFL owners are among the richest men in the world; franchises are bought and sold for more than half a billion dollars. However, the league’s humble origins were anything but the extravagant bonanza that is the NFL today. Read more



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVIII Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: A trip down Super Bowl memory lane

01.20.2014     07:15 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
On the one hand, the Super Bowl is just another game for a professional bettor.  On the other hand, the Super Bowl has two major differences.  First and foremost are the prop bets; quite literally hundreds of wagering opportunities that allow bettors to wager from everything on the coin toss and the length of the national anthem to whether Russell Wilson will throw more touchdown passes than Manchester United will score goals on Super Bowl Sunday.  I’ll write about those next week.

The other biggest difference between Super Bowls and other games?  Simple – the Super Bowls stand out in our memories; every one of them.  I’ve been in Vegas since the 1998 football season, and I can tell you where I watched every Super Bowl, what the pointspread was and who covered. Thank you in advance for indulging me a brief trip down memory lane.

My first Super Bowl in Las Vegas was when the Broncos faced the Falcons as favorites of about a TD back in January 1999.  I watched the game in the stadium seating at the Imperial Palace racebook.  My handicap was simple, thinking Denver had a big edge having played in (and beaten) the Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl XLVIII Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes

01.19.2014     07:41 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota +9.5 at Iowa O/U 148.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


Minnesota has played three true road games, compiling a 2-1 record both straight up and against the spread. The Gophers won 74-59 at Richmond and 68-65 at Penn State. The only road setback for Richard Pitino's squad came at Breslin Center in East Lansing on Jan. 11. Minnesota took on Michigan St. as a 10.5-point underdog and led by a 41-36 count at intermission. The Gophers led by as many as 10 in the second half, only to go 13 minutes without making a shot from the field. Nevertheless, they rallied from a six-point deficit with more than two minutes remaining to force overtime. But Minnesota would fall apart in the extra session. In fact, Michigan State outscored the Gophers 16-4 in OT to pull out an improbable spread cover.

The point is that Minnesota should be 3-0 ATS on the road. This afternoon the Gophers take on an Iowa team coming off a big win. Although the Hawkeyes have had a solid week to get ready for their Big Ten rival, they could possibly fall into a letdown scenario here. Minnesota beat Ohio State on Thursday for a big win, but it has had two days to move past Read more



Tags: College Basketball Minnesota Golden Gophers Iowa Hawkeyes Brian Edwards




NFL Handicapping: NFC and AFC Championship Betting Notes

01.17.2014     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Back as promised to run the regular season drive point averages in matchup order. Will provide a few additional notes as well. The numbers you see below are from the regular season. I’ll make separate comments about what’s happened so far within the small sample size of the playoffs.

Drive points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more, trying to get the best possible read on “true” offense and defense not polluted by cheap scoring. The first set of parenthesis shows strength of schedule rankings according to Jeff Sagarin of USA Today, and then Football Outsiders (in that order). The second set of parenthesis shows turnover differential from the regular season.

AFC Championship
New England: 15.4 on offense, 12.2 on defense (21-18 schedule) (+9 turnovers)
Denver: 21.9 on offense, 14.4 on defense (24-31 schedule) (even turnovers)

A little football feng shui there in the schedule rankings. Sagarin has them Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks San Francisco 49ers Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Pittsburgh Panthers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

01.14.2014     11:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh -7.5 at Georgia Tech O/U 131
Recommendation: Pittsburgh


Pitt has brought their Big East style of blue collar defensive effort to the ACC, and thusfar, their ACC opponents have not reacted well.  And the Panthers' extended ATS losing streak – they failed to cover a single pointspread as favorites in their six lined games in December – has left them as a relatively undervalued commodity.  

Put those two factors together and you can understand why I’ve got a big ‘buy’ sign on Jamie Dixon’s squad right now.  Let me start with their defense, holding foes to less than 58 points per game on 37% shooting over their last five games.  NC State, Maryland and Wake Forest – all longtime ACC squads – have all been completely shut down against the Panthers stout D.  I’m not expecting a Yellow Jackets squad that has struggled repeatedly when stepping up in class (0-5 SU and ATS at +2.5 or higher) to have an easier time.

Meanwhile, the Panthers offense has exploded this year, raking in the Top 10 nationally in assists per possession, Read more



Tags: College Basketball Pittsburgh Panthers Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Teddy Covers



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