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February

6

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Under- and over-reacting to early season football results

09.08.2014     07:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I probably heard the same expression 20 times last week: ‘Don’t overreact to Week 1 results.’   It’s one of those handicapping mantras that we hear every year right around this time – the very beginning of football season. 

In basketball or baseball there’s no week off between the first two games and the early season betting markets don’t react intensely off a single poor performance.  But for football – both NFL and college – the prevailing conventional wisdom is that Week 1 results are a thing to take with a grain of salt.

The concept certainly makes sense.  Coaches – especially college football coaches – will tell you that they expect their biggest improvement between Week 1 and Week 2.  Without the benefit of preseason games or even scrimmages against opposing squads, teams often ‘work out the kinks’ and ‘get up to game speed’ in their initial contest.  The team you expected to see this year (at least for bettors who do some homework and have opinions coming into the campaign) might not be the team you saw in Week 1, but there’s Read more



Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Stanford Cardinal

09.04.2014     02:38 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
USC at Stanford
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Stanford -2.5 O/U 51
CRIS Current: Stanford -2.5 O/U 54
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Stanford -5.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: USC

I provided a winning recommendation on USC with last week’s free play and will go back to the well with another play on the Trojans as they travel to Stanford as short underdogs. USC opened its season in a big way by dismantling Fresno State 52-17. They rolled up 701 yards and 37 first downs and quarterback Cody Kessler looked very comfortable in the Steve Sarkisian’s up-tempo offense.

Stanford had an easy time of it last week’s 45-0 romp over UC Davis. My concern here is Kevin Hogan facing this talented USC secondary. Hogan struggled in last season’s 20-17 loss to the Trojans with just 127 yards and two interceptions. Even without starting cornerback Josh Shaw (suspended) I expect Read more



Tags: College Football USC Trojans Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Ian Cameron




College Football Gambling: Texas' offensive line takes big hit

09.03.2014     11:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Not only will the Texas Longhorns be without quarterback David Ash (concussion) but the anchor of the offensive line, Dominic Espinosa (ankle), is also out indefinitely. Espinosa's injury now makes Texas on of the youngest and least experiences offensive lines in the country. Good article from burntorangenation.com on what to expect with UT's o-line moving forward. Still no widely available line on Saturday's game vs. BYU.


When Phil Steele released his annual list of the most experienced offensive lines around the nation this summer, the Horns were tied for No. 87 in the country with only 49 starts, most of them belonging to Espinosa.

Combined, the group would now rank No. 127 in the country in experience, in front of only Tennessee, which boasted six starts heading into the season.






Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII BYU Cougars




College Football Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

08.29.2014     07:14 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
Saturday, 5 pm PT, Arlington - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Florida State -17 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Florida State -18 O/U 63.5
Paul's Recommendation: Florida State

Defending national champion Florida State and Big XII perennial contender Oklahoma State square off in Saturday's 2014 season opener at AT&T Stadium in Arlington also the site of the finals of the inaugural College Football Playoff. While the Seminoles return many of their key components and rank as the consensus choice to repeat as national champions, the Mike Gundy-coached Cowboys will be trotting out lineups of mostly first-time starters on both offense and defense. With just eight returning starters, four on both sides of the ball, Oklahoma State is one of the least experienced teams in any of the so-called Power Five Read more



Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC Oklahoma State Cowboys Paul Stone




CFL Betting News and Notes Week 8

08.19.2014     12:58 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are my CFL Week 8 News & Notes as I take a look at each team from a betting perspective.

Toronto Argonauts (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Toronto had a busy Week 8 by playing two games in the span five days. They took advantage of their bye week by trouncing Winnipeg, 38-21, but the tables turned when BC took advantage of eight days off and really wore down the Argos late en route to a 33-17 win. Quarterback Ricky Ray and his new look receiving corps -- due to multiple injuries -- fired on all cylinders against Winnipeg as Ray tossed four touchdowns. But it was a different story against BC’s stout defense with the Argos scoring just a lone touchdown while also coughing up a few turnovers. Toronto can’t be held to too much blame for the BC loss as the schedule really conspired against them but it doesn’t get easier with a daunting road trip to Edmonton (6-1) on deck.

Montreal Alouettes (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS)
The change to quarterback Alex Brink didn’t result in a win as the Alouettes notched only 11 points in the loss to Saskatchewan but I did spot some positives with Brink under center. He Read more



Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Oakland A's at Kansas City Royals

08.13.2014     11:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oakland (Kazmir) -110 at Kansas City (Vargas) O/U 7
Recommendation: Oakland


When healthy, Jason Vargas has proven himself to be an above average starter at the major league level.  But Vargas is NOT healthy right now, still recovering from an emergency appendectomy that cost him a full month’s worth of playing time.  Kansas City Manager Ned Yost: “He's just still not quite sharp after his surgery.”

Vargas has been lit up in both post-appendectomy starts: 15 hits and nine runs allowed in 9.1 innings of work.   The A’s bashed him for seven runs less than two weeks ago, and Oakland is coming off a 20 hit, 11 run outburst last night; the third time in five games they’ve scored six runs or more.   Vargas’s six losses to Oakland since the start of 2011 is his most defeats against any team during that span. A’s sluggers Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie (questionable tonight) and Brandon Moss all have good track records Read more



Tags: MLB Oakland A's Kansas City Royals Teddy Covers




Football Betting Podcast 8-6-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

08.06.2014     11:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down the Sun Belt while ER talked Big Ten East.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - Sun Belt Preview

Erin Rynning - Big Ten East Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Sun Belt Big Ten Rob Veno Erin Rynning




CFL Week 5 Betting News and Notes

07.30.2014     07:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is my Week 5 CFL News and Notes as we examine each team from a betting perspective.

Toronto Argonauts (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS)
Toronto just can’t be expected to be competitive and move the football offensively until they get some of their injury-decimated receiving corps back. Saskatchewan drilled Toronto 37-9 on Saturday night as quarterback Ricky Ray and the Argos’ struggling offense once again sputtered with stalled drives, turnovers, and penalties throughout the game. They got off to a horrible start an interception and fumble on their first two drives which led directly to Saskatchewan touchdowns. The revamped defense struggled and is being asked to carry a team that when healthy is very capable offensively. There is a possibility that not a single one of Toronto’s top four wideouts will return vs. Montreal. Head coach Scott Milanovich held an impromptu meeting with the team’s veteran players prior to the blowout loss against Saskatchewan and it didn’t help. Toronto is saying the right things this week but a third straight road game in as many weeks against a rested and ready Montreal squad won’t be Read more



Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling: The impact quarterbacks have on Season Over/Under Win totals Part I

07.28.2014     06:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve been writing about NFL Season Win Totals for the last few weeks, using what I call “advanced metric schedule analysis.”  This week, the time has come to write about another stage of the 2014 pre-preseason team analysis that affects every win total on the board – quarterbacks.

Why quarterbacks?  Because more than ever, in the modern ‘pass happy’ era of NFL Football, the quarterback is the most important position on any team.  Of course a great quarterback can’t be great without a decent receiving corps or a decent offensive line, so those must be included in the equation when discussing quarterbacks. 

Here’s what I wrote last year in this space:

“The pecking order for NFL quarterbacks is well established.  Most of the best quarterbacks play for the best teams.  Peyton Manning in Denver, Eli Manning in New York, Tom Brady in New England, Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay, Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh, Drew Brees in New Orleans and Joe Flacco in Baltimore all wear Super Bowl rings.  All seven guys play for teams that are perennial playoff teams, and all seven of Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




CFL Week 4 Betting News and Notes

07.23.2014     07:33 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is my CFL Week 4 News & Notes as I take a look at each team in the CFL providing observations, analysis and a glimpse into what is to come for all 9 CFL teams following Week 4.

Toronto Argonauts (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)

The frustrations were clearly evident with the Argos after their painful 18-17 loss to the expansion Ottawa Redblacks in what was Ottawa’s first home game since rejoining the CFL this season. Toronto finally got a strong performance from their rebuilt defense but oddly enough it was QB Ricky Ray and the offense (the supposed strongest part of the team) that simply couldn’t get anything going as they sputtered with stalled drives, turnovers and penalties throughout the game. It was a game that was there for the taking for Toronto but they just couldn’t make any key plays to turn it into a win. Now they sit at 1-3 after wasting a great performance from the defense and now must face the well-rested and likely angry Saskatchewan Roughriders who are coming off their bye and it’s worth noting Saskatchewan lost their game before the bye to this very Argos team in Toronto 48-15 Read more



Tags: CFL Ian Cameron



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Feb 06, 2016 07:41 PM.