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College Football Betting Preview: Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Oklahoma Sooners

09.13.2013     07:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tulsa at Oklahoma
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN 2
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -28 O/U 49
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -24.5 O/U 49.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -23
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Oklahoma -14 1st half

Oklahoma's offense has looked pretty pedestrian thus far following the departures of quarterback Landry Jones and key wide receivers Kenny Stills and Justin Brown to the NFL. Trevor Knight was named the team's Week 1 starter but has been ruled out leaving Blake Bell in charge for Saturday's game against Tulsa. I'm not expecting the Sooners to march the ball up and down the field like we've seen in years past but I think this serves as good opponent and situation (bye week upcoming) for some offensive success. Tulsa currently has only two returning starters on its stop unit and we saw both Bowling Green (233 yards) and Colorado State (178) have success against the Golden Hurricane on the ground. Read more


Tags: College Football Tulsa Golden Hurricane C-USA Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings Week 3

09.11.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think we’re getting closer to capturing the market. Not quite there yet. There were fewer head scratchers this week when comparing the transitions from last week.

It may be a mess for awhile in the 45-65 range because of volatility. A 55 may play like a 48 against quality but a 57 against other mid-50 teams. College sports are always messy because of the sheer volume of teams, and the fact that kids are inconsistent from week to week.

If you’re new to the site, these aren’t my “personal” ratings for all the teams. I’m not following college football nearly closely enough to have any real sense of probably the bottom 80 yet. This is my guess at how the market has the teams rated. I create “couplets” each week that match the Vegas spread (allotting 3 points for home field advantage), then I try to figure out where that couplet goes within the big scale. Over a few weeks, it’s not hard to hone in on a fairly good Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Recap: Georgia, BYU, Michigan, and Miami pick up marquee wins

09.09.2013     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’m going to tweak the format just a bit to make the presentation more digestible. I’m trying to include a bunch of meaningful categories in each game. But, when re-reading everything I’m tending to skip over the numbers just to get to the copy. If you’re doing that too…then the stats are kind of disappearing from the presentation! Don’t want subtraction of the visualization by addition of numbers.

So, let’s try this…I’m going to put a few traditional key numbers in a baseball style linescore…then I’ll do a separate hunk just below with additional bits and the categories that are exclusive to this site.

There were four marquee TV games Saturday (I include Texas/BYU since I’m writing from Austin!). Let’s take them in the order they finished…

Miami 21, Florida 13

Florida: 413 yards, 5.4 per-play, 5 turnovers, 40% third downs

Miami: 212 yards, 4.0 Read more


Tags: College Football Miami Hurricanes Florida Gators BYU Cougars Texas Longhorns Georgia Bulldogs South Carolina Gamecocks Michigan Wolverines Notre Dame Fighting Irish Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/5/13

09.05.2013     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Having given sharps time to take their shots at this week’s college football openers, I’ve updated last week’s Estimated Market Power Ratings based on the pointspreads we’re seeing midday Wednesday. Note that I use a standard 3 points for home field advantage. The numbers you see below basically represent “at-the-moment” pointspreads with that 3-point adjustment.

There are some big jumps forward and backward from last week. That’s because I surely mis-guessed in many places…and because several teams had extreme results that influenced perceptions of how they’d play out of the gate. Going through game-by-game…there were still a few head scratchers for me. I’m trying to put the couplets in the right spots on a big scale. We’ll have a better shot of representing the market’s view about a month from now.

An example: Wyoming is -28 right now over Idaho…which means they should be 25 points Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks at Virginia Cavaliers

09.04.2013     12:04 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon at Virginia
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -22.5 O/U 59
CRIS Current: Oregon -21.5 O/U 61
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -22
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Oregon

Oregon ventured to the Eastern Time Zone back in Week 2 of the 2010 campaign. On that night, the Ducks trounced Tennessee 48-13 as an 11.5-point road favorite. They will be hoping for a similar result Saturday at Virginia in the first meeting between the two schools.

As of Wednesday, most books had Oregon installed as a 22-point favorite with a total of 60.5 or 61. Gamblers can take the Cavaliers to win outright for a +900 return (risk $100 to win $900).

Oregon has covered the spread in eight consecutive games as a road favorite. The Ducks opened 2013 with a 66-3 win over Nicholls State last Saturday as 59-point home chalk. The 69 combined points slipped over the 66.5-point total thanks to a Read more


Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks Virginia Cavaliers Brian Edwards




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 1

09.03.2013     07:01 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With Penn State holding a narrow 13-10 lead late in the third quarter of Saturday's game against Syracuse, the Orange came up with a forced fumble on big PSU pass play. Syracuse's Allen Robinson looked like he had a clear lane to the end zone, a score that would have given his team a 17-13 lead. Instead, PSU offensive tackle Garry Gilliam (a converted tight end) made a great open field, touchdown saving tackle. Syracuse took over at the PSU 27-yard line and ended up missing a field goal. Early in the fourth quarter, Penn State kicked a field goal, tacked on a touchdown, and held on for the 23-17 win. The Nittany Lions failed to cover (-8) but had Gilliam not made that play, the straight up outcome of the game may have been different. 

Favored by -34, Ohio State's Urban Meyer was all business (and perhaps all dick) when he went for and converted two, two-point conversions on the Buckeyes' first two touchdowns of the game. Perhaps some karma involved as Buffalo snagged an easy ATS victory in the 40-20 loss. Boosters Beware! Meyer is now 2-6 ATS when laying double-digits since arriving in Columbus.

Last season, Iowa at times toyed with the idea of Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Using coach-speak in your handicap

09.02.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Part of the standard handicapping mantra includes ‘checking the local papers’ and ‘watching the coach’s press conference’ in an effort to get quality information that the betting markets aren’t paying attention too.  Computer algorithms designed to beat pointspreads can’t and don’t handicap coach-speak.  Few bettors actually take the time to do their homework.  So ‘cappers who make and take the time to check local sources and press conferences can find legitimate edges that are overlooked by most others – good information.

There’s no dictionary to help you translate coach-speak into betting decisions.  And in all the years I’ve been writing about sports betting, I’ve never once written a how-to article on how to approach coaches quotes.  It’s time.

This past week, while doing my research for the upcoming college football games, I ran into a press conference from Skip Holtz.  Skip was a very successful coach at East Carolina and UConn, then a very unsuccessful coach at South Florida.  In 2013, Holtz is taking over at Louisiana Tech, now that Sonny Read more


Tags: College Football NC State Wolfpack ACC Louisiana Tech Bulldogs C-USA Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Syracuse Orange

08.30.2013     07:37 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Penn State vs. Syracuse
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN2 (Meadowlands)
CRIS Opener:
Penn State -7 O/U 52
CRIS Current: Penn State -9 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Penn State -7
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

On the surface it was just another ho-hum year for the Penn State football program as it churned out an 8-4 record.  However, most bettors know that it could hardly be considered mundane – in fact it was truly magical.  The Lions were virtually left for dead and written off by the best of pundits and this was before they started last year with a 0-2 record.  After losses to Ohio and Virginia and low on depth Penn State hit an extra gear and won 8 of its next 10 games with most coming in the rugged Big Ten.  The season culminated with a rousing overtime win against the Wisconsin Badgers in Happy Valley.  Now the question will linger how does this program Read more


Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten Syracuse Orange ACC




College Football Betting Recap: Numbers and Notes From Thursday (8/29)

08.30.2013     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Wasn’t it great to have college football back on your TV?! Let’s run through the key numbers from all but the latest Thursday night finishers. Games are presented in market rotation order. Drive Points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. The stat score formula is 2 times rushing yards, plus passing yards, times 0.67, divided by 15.

South Carolina 27 (-11), North Carolina 10

Total Yardage: N. Carolina 293, S. Carolina 406

Passing Stats: N. Carolina 26-43-0-194, S. Carolina 12-21-0-178

Yards-per-Play: N. Carolina 3.7, S. Carolina 6.9

Turnovers: N. Carolina 1, S. Carolina 0

Drive Points: N. Carolina 10, S. Carolina 21

Stat Score: N. Carolina 18, S. Carolina 28

Can’t say there was much surprising about the numbers or the result. The concept of “drive points” is a little misleading for SC tonight, because they had a 65-yard TD pass and a 75-yard TD run. Those were big plays Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling Preview: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

08.29.2013     12:00 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Alabama vs. Virginia Tech
Saturday, 2:30 pm PT - ESPN (Atlanta)
CRIS Opener:
Alabama -17.5 O/U 45
CRIS Current: Alabama -20.5 O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Alabama -22.5
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Over

Alabama’s quest for a third consecutive national title and a fourth in five seasons begins Saturday at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta when it takes on Virginia Tech. As of Thursday afternoon, most betting shops had the Crimson Tide installed as a 20.5-point favorite with a total of 45.5.
These programs met at this same venue for the 2009 season opener. On that night, Frank Beamer’s team led 24-23 going into the fourth quarter. Making his first career start, Greg McElroy led ‘Bama back into the lead and it eventually won by a 34-24 count as a 6.5-point chalk.

Alabama returns six starters on offense and seven on defense from a team that blasted Notre Dame Read more


Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Virginia Tech Hokies Brian Edwards



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 02, 2014 09:37 AM.