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College Football Betting Recap: Big upsets shake up rankings, betting world

10.21.2013     06:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stats Intelligence

Losses in college football last Saturday for #3, #6, #7, #9, #11, #15, and #22. The linescores…

#5 Florida State (-4) 51, #3 Clemson 14

Fla-State: 566 yards, 7.8 per-play, 1 turnovers, 75% third downs

Clemson: 326 yards, 3.8 per-play, 4 turnovers, 33% third downs

(If you weren’t watching at the beginning…ABC televised uniformed Clemson players getting into buses outside one end of the stadium…riding in those buses around the stadium with a dramatic police escort to the other end…getting out of the buses…emphatically lining up to touch their lucky rock…sprinting onto the field in front of fireworks, balloons, and a zillion screaming fans…as a prelude to a 51-14 mega-debacle.)

Mississippi (+10) 27, #6 LSU 24

LSU: 388 yards, 5.7 per-play, 3 turnovers, 45% third downs

Miss: 522 yards, 6.3 per-play, 2 turnovers, 61% third downs

(Often in upsets, you see Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Second half betting trends for Week 7

10.18.2013     01:26 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This week’s blog is a bit different than the previous weekly writings. I decided to go more specific this week and focused in on five Sunday NFL games that have some strong early season first half and second half betting trends. Let’s see if these continue to be money makers this weekend:  

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS and 0-5 O/U in second half play this year. The Buccaneers have only had one 2H total score more than 13 points. Tampa has scored one field goal in their last three second halves combined. They lost the 2H 6-0 three weeks ago at New England, 13-0 two weeks ago at home vs. Arizona and 17-3 last week at home against Philadelphia. 

Atlanta is 1-4 ATS and 4-1 O/U in the 2H this season. All four pointspread losses are either as pick ‘em or an underdog, their lone cover was as a favorite. In the Falcons last four games, the 2H totals have resulted in 27 or more points.

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore has been a tremendous second half team rattling off five consecutive straight up and ATS wins. Until last week’s 17-13 2H win and cover against Green Read more


Tags: NFL Rob Veno




College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes - Week 7

10.17.2013     12:37 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week saw some shake up in the SEC East standings with Georgia falling to Missouri and Florida losing at LSU for their first conference losses. Georgia had been in the driver’s seat to win the East, but they, Florida, and South Carolina are now all behind the new leader and only remaining unbeaten, Missouri. The Tigers may not remain unbeaten, however, as they lost quarterback James Franklin to a separated shoulder for at least 3-4 weeks and will host Florida this week with a freshman under center. Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Kentucky remain winless to make up the rest of the East standings.

In the West, Alabama took care of Kentucky, 48-7, to keep its place at the top of the standings and remain the only unbeaten team. LSU, Auburn, and Texas A&M all have one loss and are behind the Tide while Ole Miss, Mississippi State and Arkansas bring up the rear.

Here are my power rankings for the entire conference.

1. Alabama - The Tide looked pretty bad in the first half against Kentucky yet still were never in doubt of winning. They finally quit fumbling and dropping passes in the second half and wound up with an unimpressive 48-7 Read more


Tags: College Footbal SEC Brent Crow




NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

10.17.2013     07:37 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia ok O/U 56
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -3 (ev) O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Philadelphia -1
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Over

This NFC East matchup has the potential for both offenses to shine. Philadelphia’s up-tempo attack under Chip Kelly has looked very good in back-to-back games with Nick Foles at the controls instead of the injured Michael Vick. Foles has been sharp (38-of-56, 68%, 5-0 TD-INT) in leading the offense to 36 and 31 points in the last two games. I liked that Philadelphia was able to successfully establish the run last week with LeSean McCoy carrying the rock for 116 yards rushing. That success running the football could continue this week because Dallas is severely banged up along the defensive line. The Cowboys are going to be without Pro Bowl DE DeMarcus Ware who was injured with a quad strain last week against Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Philadelphia Eagles Ian Cameron




College Football Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal

10.16.2013     02:08 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Stanford
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener
: Stanford -7 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Stanford -6 O/U 54
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Stanford -6.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: UCLA

The PAC-12 is positively loaded this year, #2 in the country behind only the mighty SEC in conference strength according to my numbers.  Saturday’s Stanford vs. UCLA showdown gives us a clear example of how good this conference really is!  Remember, neither squad was the preseason favorite to win their respective divisions (USC and Oregon), and the trio of Oregon State, Washington and Arizona State are all capable of beating anyone in the league on any given Saturday.   So while Stanford and UCLA provide a battle of Top 15 teams for ABC on Saturday, even the winner of this matchup is not going to have an easy task of holding on to that lofty rankings throughout the course of the Read more


Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

10.15.2013     01:23 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore -0.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Use Baltimore +8.5 at part of a 2-team, 6-point teaser

These AFC North rivals must be disappointed with the way they’ve started their seasons. The Ravens came into 2013 fresh off a Super Bowl victory having signed Joe Flacco to a monster deal while shuffling up plenty of faces both on offense and defense. For the Steelers there was guarded optimism that with a little luck in the health department their 8-8 season from 2012 could be improved upon to get back into the playoffs in 2013. So far it hasn’t all gone to plan for either side.

The Steelers used their bye week to good effect putting together a game plan and executing at a high level. The defense held the Jets to just six points and forced a Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Otto Sports




College Football Handicapping: Community Power Ratings Week 8

10.15.2013     01:14 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Going forward, let’s just call these “community” Power Ratings. Feel free to post comments below or alert me on twitter (@jefffogle) if you think we have a misread on a team. The numbers already reflect a composite of market influences, stats, and college football discussions anyway. We’ll just call them “community” rankings for this sport.

Some of you who have known me awhile will recognize this from past years in sports betting forums. Though, back then I was trying to get a “power of the collective” thing going in the NFL. It generally ended up being my read of the markets with three of four nice posters stepping into say “thank you” afterward. Not really the COMMUNITY effort I was hoping for. But, a lot of people are shy, and just want to see some numbers anyway. I’m going to stick with “Estimated Market” ratings right now for the Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 7

10.14.2013     02:12 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Three weeks, three total meltdowns for Air Force in the second half. The end result for the Falcons was 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS.

at Nevada - AFA had a 35-24 lead heading into the fourth quarter. Nevada scored back-to-back touchdowns with six minutes remaining to win 45-42.

at Navy - AFA led 10-7 at half but was outscored 21-0 after the break and not only lost straight up but failed to cover +13.5.

vs. San Diego State - Catching +3.5, AFA was all but handed a pointspread cover with a 20-6 lead heading into the fourth quarter. Three SDSU touchdowns later the final score read 27-20.

It was only one game, and against a porous Arizona defense, but USC looked a lot more aggressive following the departure of Lane Kiffin. Cody Kessler averaged nearly 10 yards per attempt and the Trojans ran 75 plays and racked up 546 yards. Also note that after feasting on a handful of sub-par offenses, USC's defense allowed both Arizona State and Arizona to move the ball will relative ease (1,120 yards, 7.6 ypp combined). It'll be interesting to see what stop unit shows up this weekend in South Bend. In theory, the Irish should be the type of offense the Trojans can contain. Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 6

10.14.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 6.

Denver Broncos - This offense does NOT take downfield shots; arguably the best 'dink and dunk' attack I've ever seen. The passing game is just lots and lots of well executed short passes thrown by a remarkably accurate quarterback. Even on a day where the Broncos were clearly a little bit flat in a legitimate sandwich spot against the worst team in the league, the Broncos still had five offensive touchdowns compared to only three punts and zero field goal attempts.

But this secondary is officially a problem area, even with Champ Bailey active today. We all saw what Tony Romo did to them last week. Here, Chad Henne was converting on 3rd and 25’s and Justin Blackmon was catching 14 balls for 190 yards. Rahim Moore was dropping sure interceptions, they were getting gashed on the ground, and the pass rush wasn't there. To make matters worse, Denver has a cluster injury Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Jacksonville Jaguars New York Jets New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers Houston Texans Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 5

10.07.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC thoughts and opinions from Week 5.

Chicago Bears - Chicago entered the game with only six sacks on the season, a notable weakness on a defense that's heavily reliant on creating turnovers. They got a little bit of pressure on Drew Brees here, but not enough. The Bears played a lot of Cover-2 today and it gave the Saints fits for a while, forcing Brees into dink-and-dunk’ mode. But Sean Payton made play calling adjustments, and Chicago’s defense didn’t adjust back, leaving Jimmy Graham in store for a huge afternoon.

Marc Trestman was a pointspread monster during his tenure with the Montreal Alouettes in one role in particular: coming off a loss. In his first NFL try in that same role, that success did not translate.

For the second straight week, this rebuilt offensive line got eaten up for extended stretches. Jay Cutler was under constant pressure and Matt Forte had no room to run. Even Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Arizona Cardinals Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saiints Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers



15

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