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College Basketball Betting Alert: Huge steam has Georgetown -3 at Seton Hall

02.10.2015     02:07 PM     Printer Friendly
This is a pretty big line move for a February power conference game, no? No documented injuries or suspensions either. Seton Hall opened -1.5 with Georgetown now a 3-point favorite. Ken Pom has the Pirates -1 while Sagarin shows a pick 'em when accounting for a normal 3-point home court advantage. 


Tags: College Basketball Seton Hall Pirates Georgetown Hoyas Big East

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Xavier Musketeers at Marquette Golden Eagles

02.10.2015     10:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Xavier -3 at Marquette O/U 137
Recommendation: Under 

Xavier has been one of the tougher teams in the country to handicap from a totals perspective. The pace of their games is typically fairly quick but their offense and defense comes and goes on a weekly basis. Tonight, they head to Marquette for a critical game as the Musketeers sit 15-9 and 6-6 in Big East play. The Golden Eagles meanwhile continue to fight despite being short on depth and talent. They've lost five Big East games that came down to the final two minutes of play. Veteran guard Matt Carlino missed Marquette's last game and while they managed to win at Seton Hall, the team shot 1-of-10 from three and netted only 57 points. Carlino (concussion) is questionable tonight and if he is ruled out, expect the market to knock this total down a point or two. But even if he does suit up, Marquette is far more comfortable grinding out games and trying to keep things close. They simply can't match Xavier from an offensive perspective if this game is played in transition. I think the first meeting is very indicative of what we'll see tonight: 124 possessions and 120 points -- and that was Read more

Tags: College Basketball Xavier Musketeers Marquette Golden Eagles Big East Andrew Lange

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Looking for NBA teams to bet on

02.02.2015     08:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The Super Bowl is in the rear view mirror, and MLB season is still two months away.  That means we’re In the heart of basketball season right now.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report I’ll take a look at a handful of NBA teams that offer legitimate bet-on potential as we approach the All-Star break.

The Cleveland Cavaliers spent the first half of the campaign disappointing their backers every bit as much as their fans.  In fact, the Cavs ranked among the very worst NBA teams against the spread, with a dismal 13-26 ATS mark in their first 39 games.  LeBron James was ailing, Kevin Love looked lost, key low post presence Anderson Varejao went out for the season with an Achilles tear and first year head coach David Blatt was under constant scrutiny, on the hotseat less than half the way through his first campaign.

The return to health of LeBron and a couple of trades have turned things around completely in Cleveland.  The Cavs have gone 10-0 SU, 9-0-1 ATS in their last ten ballgames; orchestrating a complete turnaround on the defensive end of the floor with former Nuggets center Timofey Mozgov anchoring the low Read more

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Memphis Grizzlies Minnesota Timberwolves Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors ready for Super Bowl XLIX

01.26.2015     10:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s Super Bowl time again.  I use this line every year because it’s true – this IS the moral equivalent of Christmas Day for many sports bettors.  Yet, much like last year, many of the professional full time bettors that I know are rather disappointed with the proposition betting opportunities for Super Bowl XLIX – there’s simply not much low hanging fruit.  The biggest and best sportsbooks (market leaders both here in Vegas and offshore) have learned from previous mistakes.  Weak numbers do NOT abound in 2015.

Let me start with the game itself.  The Super Bowl itself has been an underdog bettor’s paradise in recent years.   The Seahawks were underdogs at kickoff last year in their blowout win over the Broncos. The Ravens won the Super Bowl in 2013, as the underdog, beating the favored 49ers.  The Giants won the year before as an underdog; knocking off the Patriots.  In 2010, the Saints won straight up as a dog over Peyton Manning and the Colts.  In 2009, the Cardinals covered the spread in a tight loss to the Steelers.  In 2008, the Gia nts beat the favored 18-0 Patriots Read more

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLIX Teddy Covers Las Vegas

A perfect match: Gambling and the Super Bowl

01.20.2015     08:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Publicly, the NFL is among one of the staunchest opponents of legalized gambling. Former commissioner Paul Tagliabue and current commissioner Roger Goodell were instrumental in getting the anti gaming ‘Illegal Internet Gambling Prohibition Act’ attached to the Port Security Bill. The NFL has taken this stance despite the fact that its enormous popularity is, in no small part, due to the prevalence of betting on games.

The hypocrisy of the NFL in regards to betting is almost laughable. The facts, as you will see, clearly show that the league was founded by gamblers for gamblers. From the NFL’s first television appearance in 1939 through the current TV deal that pumps more than three billion dollars per year into the league coffers, the NFL’s popularity rests upon the shoulders of those who wager on the outcome of the games.

Here in the 21st century, the NFL is the most popular and profitable sport in the. NFL owners are among the richest men in the world; franchises are bought and sold for more than half a billion dollars. However, the league’s humble origins were anything but the extravagant bonanza that is the NFL today. Read more

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLIX Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Eastern Conference Betting News and Notes

01.19.2015     07:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
There’s only one meaningful game remaining in the 2014 football season.  Meanwhile, the NBA has reached the halfway point of the 2014-15 campaign without much fanfare.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll be focusing on NBA Notes and Quotes from three pointspread outliers from the Eastern Conference.  How can we make money off these teams as they morph from contenders to pretenders or vice versa?  Read on to find out!

The Atlanta Hawks have been the single most under-reported story of the current NBA season, by a fairly wide margin.  Make no mistake about it – right now, the Hawks are the best team in the Eastern Conference and it’s not even close!  And, as a smaller market team without marquee superstars, Atlanta continues to retain their pointspread value; still very much a bet-on team two full months after their hot streak started!

Hawks head coach Mike Budenholzer was a longtime Greg Popovich assistant in San Antonio, and his team is drawing comparisons to the Spurs on a nightly basis.  Budenholzer’s squad relies, like the defending champs, on ball movement and depth.  The Hawks lead Read more

Tags: NBA Atanta Hawks Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Providence Friars at Creighton Blue Jays

01.17.2015     09:10 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Providence at Creighton -2 O/U 132
Recommendation: Under

Providence head coach Ed Cooley has always preached defense first and when the Friars are at their best, the stop unit grades out as above average. But the problem has been consistency: guard well for two games and then lay an egg. Earlier this season, Providence allowed 75 to Marquette and bounced back with back-to-back strong defensive showings against Butler and Georgetown. Last time out, the Friars allowed 83 to St. John's, including 10-of-17 from 3-point land. I would expect a far better showing against Creighton who through five Big East games has really struggled to score (0.96 ppp). The Blue Jays (0-5 vs. Big East) have had some game efforts of late with one-point losses to Seton Hall and Marquette. Considering what they lost from last year's team and the competitiveness of the Big East, it's not shocking to see them struggle. Their league games have all been fairly slow in terms of pace including the first meeting vs. Providence in which the Friars won 65-53 (63 possessions). Should be a competitive game which leaves the door open for a late second half lull. With the total currently Read more

Tags: College Basketball Providence Friars Creighton Blue Jays Andrew Lange

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

01.16.2015     11:10 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Pittsburgh +100 at NY Islanders O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Pittsburgh

This should be a terrific Eastern Conference showdown here as the Penguins and Islanders, two of the top three teams in the East, do battle with temporary possession of 1st place in the Metropolitan Division at stake. Pittsburgh has won two straight against Montreal and Minnesota while they’ve collected at least a point in five of their last six games. The Penguins have dropped two straight to the NY Islanders this season and I think this is a circled game of sorts for Pittsburgh to prove the Eastern Conference still goes through them as they sit just 1 point behind the Islanders. New York has been a major surprise this season and they have won six of their last eight games by getting timely goals, dramatically improving their defensive play in their own zone, while also getting solid goaltending from Jaroslav Halak. But the Islanders are coming off a monster statement victory against the defending Eastern Conference champion NY Rangers in a 3-0 shutout win and they may not find it all that easy getting themselves fired up once again for another big game. This Penguins team will Read more

Tags: NHL Pittsburgh Penguins New York Islanders Ian Cameron

NBA Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons

01.09.2015     11:42 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Atlanta at Detroit +3
Recommendation: Detroit

Two of the hottest teams in the NBA square off tonight in the Motor City. Atlanta is an incredible 20-2 SU in its last 22 games which has them in first place in the Eastern Conference while Detroit is on a 7-0 streak since getting rid of the disrupter, Josh Smith. My clients and I have cashed five straight winners with the Detroit Pistons who are most assuredly a team to ride at the moment while the betting markets remain slow to adjust to the difference in energy and execution. Detroit has seen a major surge in its offense during that stretch with much better ball movement and more balanced scoring. They are playing more as a team right now and it is a direct correlation to their winning streak. Point guard Brandon Jennings has finally assumed the team leader role for and is currently playing like one averaging 22.8 points in Detroit’s last four games and the Pistons are finally getting their two talented big men Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond to elevate their play as both are averaging double doubles during the winning streak. Atlanta has put together a truly outstanding run as well and they Read more

Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Detroit Pistons Ian Cameron

College Basketball Handicapping: What to do with UCLA moving forward

01.05.2015     02:09 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
So if you haven't already noticed, UCLA is really bad. Or at least that's how they've been playing the last three weeks. They can't win, can't cover, and have been an under bettor's dream because they can't score despite playing at a fast clip. Look, as of now, unless I come across a great piece of information, playing a conference game over the total just isn't in the cards. However, knowing the natural ebb and flow of a season, I can tell you that the Bruins are at some point going to cash in on some overs.

For starters, four of their last five games were on the road and all but one opponent (Alabama) was what I would consider to be defensively elite. Some of the blame can no question be placed on the offense which has little to no room for growth if Bryce Alford remains the team's top scoring option. Adding to it is that they don't have a true point guard nor any pop off the bench. Pretty bleak, right? But when you step back and look at the bigger picture I see potential -- and by potential I mean "overs."

Of UCLA's seven losses, all but one was on the road and the lone home game, sure enough, went flying over the total with 160 points. And the one Read more

Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins Andrew Lange


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