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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes

01.19.2014     07:41 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota +9.5 at Iowa O/U 148.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


Minnesota has played three true road games, compiling a 2-1 record both straight up and against the spread. The Gophers won 74-59 at Richmond and 68-65 at Penn State. The only road setback for Richard Pitino's squad came at Breslin Center in East Lansing on Jan. 11. Minnesota took on Michigan St. as a 10.5-point underdog and led by a 41-36 count at intermission. The Gophers led by as many as 10 in the second half, only to go 13 minutes without making a shot from the field. Nevertheless, they rallied from a six-point deficit with more than two minutes remaining to force overtime. But Minnesota would fall apart in the extra session. In fact, Michigan State outscored the Gophers 16-4 in OT to pull out an improbable spread cover.

The point is that Minnesota should be 3-0 ATS on the road. This afternoon the Gophers take on an Iowa team coming off a big win. Although the Hawkeyes have had a solid week to get ready for their Big Ten rival, they could possibly fall into a letdown scenario here. Minnesota beat Ohio State on Thursday for a big win, but it has had two days to move past Read more


Tags: College Basketball Minnesota Golden Gophers Iowa Hawkeyes Brian Edwards




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Charlotte Bobcats at Orlando Magic

01.17.2014     10:25 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Charlotte -1 at Orlando O/U 190
Recommendation: Charlotte


Charlotte’s goal heading into the season was to make the playoffs following the signing of Al Jefferson. Jefferson was a big investment for the Bobcats, and while highly questionable, with a $41 million three-year deal on the books tanking wasn’t going to be an option. They actually hired a good coach this time around in Steve Clifford who has gotten the team to pay attention to details on the defensive end of the floor. Everything was falling into place as Charlotte owned a solid 14-15 record around the holidays but the schedule stepped up, including a trip out west, and they dropped 9 of their last 11 games. But they’ve had an opportunity to catch their breath and I feel like they’ll be able to regroup for tonight’s contest. Meanwhile, the Magic are a flat-out poorly coached, bad basketball team. They own a 10-29 record, and there’s no doubt this team doesn’t really care about wins this Read more


Tags: NBA Charlotte Bobcats Orlando Magic Erin Rynning




NFL Handicapping: NFC and AFC Championship Betting Notes

01.17.2014     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Back as promised to run the regular season drive point averages in matchup order. Will provide a few additional notes as well. The numbers you see below are from the regular season. I’ll make separate comments about what’s happened so far within the small sample size of the playoffs.

Drive points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more, trying to get the best possible read on “true” offense and defense not polluted by cheap scoring. The first set of parenthesis shows strength of schedule rankings according to Jeff Sagarin of USA Today, and then Football Outsiders (in that order). The second set of parenthesis shows turnover differential from the regular season.

AFC Championship
New England: 15.4 on offense, 12.2 on defense (21-18 schedule) (+9 turnovers)
Denver: 21.9 on offense, 14.4 on defense (24-31 schedule) (even turnovers)

A little football feng shui there in the schedule rankings. Sagarin has them Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks San Francisco 49ers Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Pittsburgh Panthers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

01.14.2014     11:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh -7.5 at Georgia Tech O/U 131
Recommendation: Pittsburgh


Pitt has brought their Big East style of blue collar defensive effort to the ACC, and thusfar, their ACC opponents have not reacted well.  And the Panthers' extended ATS losing streak – they failed to cover a single pointspread as favorites in their six lined games in December – has left them as a relatively undervalued commodity.  

Put those two factors together and you can understand why I’ve got a big ‘buy’ sign on Jamie Dixon’s squad right now.  Let me start with their defense, holding foes to less than 58 points per game on 37% shooting over their last five games.  NC State, Maryland and Wake Forest – all longtime ACC squads – have all been completely shut down against the Panthers stout D.  I’m not expecting a Yellow Jackets squad that has struggled repeatedly when stepping up in class (0-5 SU and ATS at +2.5 or higher) to have an easier time.

Meanwhile, the Panthers offense has exploded this year, raking in the Top 10 nationally in assists per possession, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Pittsburgh Panthers Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Teddy Covers




NHL Gambling Free Pick: New York Islanders at Florida Panthers

01.14.2014     08:00 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Islanders -110 at Florida O/U 5.5
Recommendation: New York


Don’t look now, but the New York Islanders are one of the hottest teams in the NHL.  Winners of four straight and an 8-2 record in their last 10 games, the Islanders are brimming with confidence.  A late game come-from-behind win against the Dallas Stars Sunday night gave the Islanders their seventh straight road win.  They now head to Florida looking to extend that streak and build on what has become a very young and exciting lineup. 

The Islanders have been a team that runs hot with their defense.  They are always going to be able to score goals, but their defense and goaltending has always held this team back.  But lately we’ve seen good things out of the Islanders no matter who has been in net, and it seems as if the team is buying into a more disciplined defensive approach. 

''We're competing. We're defending a little better,'' Islanders coach Jack Capuano said. ''Playing more within the team concept. I think when you can utilize your four lines that we do, a lot of guys the minutes are Read more


Tags: NHL New York Islanders Florida Panthers Sammy P




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NBA Moneyburners!

01.13.2014     12:18 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I took an in-depth look at five of the biggest moneymakers in the NBA through the first half of the season.  This week I’m going to focus on the teams at the other end of the spectrum – bottom feeders and disappointments.  I’ll break down the three biggest money-losers of the season thusfar.  And I’ll take a look at a ‘morpher’; a team playing significantly worse than current market projections.

I’ll start with the three teams that can be collectively called ‘the hopeless trio’.  It’s hard to make money betting on the very worst teams in any sport, and the NBA is certainly no exception.  And there’s no question who the very worst team in the NBA is this year, because they have both the worst SU record in the league (7-29) and the worst pointspread mark (12-24 ATS).  That team?  The Milwaukee Bucks!

Bucks head coach Larry Drew has never coached a bottom feeder before.  He walked into a good situation in Atlanta with the Hawks, who made the playoffs all three years that he was coaching the team.  Here in Milwaukee, the playoffs Read more


Tags: NBA Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Philadelphia 76ers Miami Heat Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Monmouth Hawks at Canisius Golden Griffins

01.12.2014     08:39 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monmouth +10.5 at Canisius
Recommendation: Monmouth


Familiarity between these new MAAC opponents will be minimal since they have not faced each other yet this season. Youthful Monmouth squad has gone to a unique lineup which features three guards and a pair of 6’10” true freshman centers. Using a pair of big men in an up-tempo system (73.0 possessions per game overall, 74.8 in league play) wouldn’t seem to be a good fit but with this alignment, Monmouth won at high octane Niagara Friday night 85-74. Head coach King Rice is confident that playing the duo of Chris Brady and Zac Tillman together will continue to make the Hawks better. Monmouth shot 63% from the field in the win but that’s far above their poor season average of 39.5%. Defensively, they’ve been sound over the past eight games allowing only Quinnipiac to shoot above 44% from the field.

Canisius played their third consecutive tight contest Friday night defeating Rider in double OT 94-91 on a buzzer beating three by star Billy Baron. The Golden Griffins haven’t had much trouble offensively in conference play averaging 79.6 ppg on 46.9% shooting Read more


Tags: College Basketball Monmouth Hawks Canisius Golden Griffins Rob Veno




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Xavier Musketeers at Creighton Bluejays

01.12.2014     08:26 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Xavier +8.5 at Creighton O/U 142
Recommendation: Xavier


Xavier has been an underdog three times this season, compiling a 3-0 spread record with a pair of outright wins vs. Cincinnati (64-47) and at Alabama (77-74). The only outright defeat came in a 77-74 loss to Iowa in overtime as a six-point underdog.

Chris Mack's team has a 13-3 straight-up record and a 10-4 against-the-spread mark. Xavier will take an eight-game winning streak into Omaha on Sunday to face Creighton. Most books have the Bluejays favored by -8.5.

Xavier has the better RPI (#27) compared to Creighton (#35). The Musketeers have covered the spread in six consecutive games, including triumphs over Marquette, Butler and St. John's to start 3-0 in their debut season in the Big East.

Xavier has played a tough schedule with a pair of wins over RPI Top-50 opponents, including a win over Tennessee. The Musketeers have won seven of 10 games versus foes in the RPI's Top 100. They have only lost one game by more than six, a 64-49 defeat against Tennessee when the Vols were in revenge mode.

Creighton won't be at full strength. Sixth-year senior guard Grant Read more


Tags: College Basketball Xavier Musketeers Creighton Bluejays Brian Edwards




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings

01.10.2014     11:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Orlando +7.5 at Sacramento O/U 205.5
Recommendation: Orlando


I can certainly understand why the betting markets have installed the Magic as 7.5-point underdogs in their matchup at Sacramento tonight.  The Magic have the second worst record in the NBA; only Milwaukee’s is worse.  Orlando is 3-14 SU on the highway, and they’ve been blown out in each of the first two games of this grueling West Coast swing. 

To make matters worse for Jacques Vaughn’s squad, they’re playing without their lone low post presence, center Nikola Vucevic; the only true center on the roster.  That leaves the likes of Big Baby Davis, Andrew Nicholson and Jason Maxiell to bang with DeMarcus Cousins in the paint; an undersized and under-talented trio. 

But for all of those negatives, I have one thing to say: 0-10 ATS.  Sacramento has been favored ten previous times this year.  Their next pointspread cover in this role will be their first.  And just about every team the Kings have been favored against during this remarkable run has a similar story to that of Orlando; teams with flaws, Read more


Tags: NBA Orlando Magic Sacramento Kings Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Divisional Round

01.09.2014     01:01 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Before getting to the drive point averages and estimated market Power Ratings, I wanted to point something that I haven’t seen mentioned anywhere yet in playoff coverage. Maybe it’s been mentioned…it’s not like I see everything out there. But, I don’t get the sense that much is being made of this reality yet in the NFC brackets.

*The four remaining NFC teams saw a lot of each other this year

*They played nothing but grinders against each other

It wasn't much of a secret during the year that Seattle, San Francisco, Carolina, and New Orleans were the top four teams in the NFC. There was debate about how the last three rated amongst each other. Some computer places fell too much in love with Philadelphia’s penchant for running up the stats against a soft schedule. And, Arizona may have crashed the party in some circles. But, the “big four” were pretty clear, and kept running into each other because the NFC South played the Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence



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