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Super Bowl XLVI Betting: New England's defense on the rise

01.30.2012     12:38 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article that argues the defenses for New England and New York are evenly matched. Some of the logic is without question flawed but with improved health, the Patriots are clearly in a better spot defensively than they were during the regular season.

“I think just getting guys back healthy, first and foremost,” fellow linebacker Jerod Mayo said when asked why the defense has improved. “Getting [Patrick] Chung back, getting [Brandon] Spikes back; being able to play with the same group of guys for a couple weeks, which is an extended period for this team this year. I think that’s the main thing for us.”

“We’re the same defense,” New England linebacker Rob Ninkovich said. “Obviously, we had some things that weren’t going our way earlier in the year; we had some ups and downs. But I think we did a good job of fighting through everything and improving each week towards the end of the year, which is the most important part of the year.”

Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI

Handicapper Teddy Covers' Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Preview

01.30.2012     10:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The 2011 Super Bowl was not a good one for the sportsbooks here in Las Vegas and offshore. They underestimated the groundswell of support for Green Bay and the Over. Money poured in on the favorite, driving the line up as high as -3 from a -1 opener. And money poured in on the Over; the closing total was as high as 55 at several key locations. When the Packers won 31-25, bettors cashed in on both the side and total. It was the worst Super Bowl result for the books since the infamous Super Bowl XIII, back in January 1979 when the Steelers beat the Raiders 35-31 in a game that bounced between -3.5 and -4.5 all week – a dreaded “middle” for the biggest game of the year.

The books will have a definite rooting interest in the Super Bowl again this year, because for the second consecutive season, the books underestimated the support for the hot team down the stretch. New England opened as a 3.5-point favorite over the New York Giants in many key locations, with one influential sportsbook – the Wynn – even hanging a -4 on the Patriots.

-3.5 or -4 was not the correct line, as determined by the betting markets. The books spent the first week Read more

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Teddy Covers

Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: New England preps for New York's pass rush

01.30.2012     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New England talks about what it needs to do to keep New York's pass rush in check. The Giants recorded 48 sacks during the regular season including two in their Week 9 win in Foxboro. In three postseason games, the G-Men have notched nine sacks. But New England allowed just one sack against Baltimore and Denver – two teams that combined for 89 sacks during the regular season.

As a quarterback, you just understand that you can't sit there and hold the ball all day," said Brady, who is slow-footed but nifty at sliding and stepping up in the pocket. "You'd better find someone and get rid of it, 'cause they're comin.' You don't want to sit back there and sort things out."

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI

Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Odds to win MVP award

01.27.2012     01:28 PM     Printer Friendly
Odds on who will be named Super Bowl XLVI MVP courtesy of Pinnacle. Tom Brady – who already has two under his belt – is the favorite at -105 followed by Eli Manning at +225. Also, a listing of MVP winners dating back to 2000. Quarterbacks have won 24 times including four of the last five.

Super Bowl MVP Winners 2000-11
Kurt Warner
St. Louis Rams
Ray Lewis
Baltimore Ravens
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Dexter Jackson
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Deion Branch
New England Patriots
Wide receiver
Hines Ward
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
Peyton Manning
Indianapolis Colts
Eli Manning
New York Giants
Santonio Holmes
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
Drew Brees
New Orleans Saints
Aaron Rodgers
Green Bay Packers

Super Bowl XLVI MVP Odds
 Tom Brady
 Eli Manning
 Field (any other player)
 Victor Cruz
 Hakeem Nicks
 Aaron Hernandez
 Wes Welker
 Ahmad Bradshaw
 BenJarvus Green-Ellis
 Deion Branch
 Danny Woodhead
 Brandon Jacobs
 Mario Manningham

Tags: NFL New York Giants New England Patriots Super Bowl XLVI

Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Biggest bets it Super Bowl history

01.27.2012     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A breakdown of some of the biggest reported bets in Super Bowl history.

$2.4 million
In Super Bowl XXIX, someone bet $2.4 million on the San Francisco 49ers to beat the San Diego Chargers (laying 8 to 1 odds to win $300,000) at the Mirage Hotel Sports Book in Las Vegas. Six Steve Young TD passes later, he won the bet.

$3.24 million
In 2002 a well-known Hollywood agent to the stars bet $1 million offshore that the underdog New England Patriots would cover the 14-point spread against the St. Louis Rams, and bet another $400,000 on the Patriots to win outright at 6 to 1 odds. Final Score: New England 20-17.

$1 million
In Super Bowl XXXI, a client of took the Green Bay Packers for $500,000 to beat New England by more than 13½ points and the Patriots for another $500,000 to lose by fewer than 14½ points. The only way he could win both bets and avoid losing the $50,000 vigorish is if the Packers won by 14 points. Final score: Green Bay 35-21.

$1.65 million
The late legendary oddsmaker Bob Martin took a $1.65 Read more

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI

Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bets: Brady and Manning Over/Under passing yards

01.27.2012     07:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Offshore sportsbook CRIS has posted most of its prop bets for Super Bowl XLVI. Two of which are the over/under passing yards for New England's Tom Brady and New York's Eli Manning. Brady is currently priced at 327.5un-140 while Manning is 310.5ov-125. During the regular season meeting, Brady finished 28-of-49 for 342 yards while Manning was 20-of-39 for 250 yards. In terms of regular season passing averages, Brady was at 327.2 ypg and Manning 308.3 ypg.

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI

Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: All-time Super Bowl results in dome stadiums

01.26.2012     02:06 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
There have been 14 Super Bowls played in indoor dome stadiums (note that in all three instances where a retractable dome was involved, it was closed for the game). In those 14 contests (see chart below), the Louisiana Superdome has played host six times. Not surprisingly, with the advent of retractable domes, we’ve had six indoor Super Bowls in the last 12 years with each at a different venue. The perfect conditions and faster surfaces would seemingly help offenses and push more totals overs the number but the results haven’t shown that to be the overwhelming case. Here are some side and total records that have been compiled in dome stadium Super Bowls which could be considered when making game or prop bets this year:

- The second half has been higher scoring than the first half in 12 of the 14 games

- The second half has averaged 26.4 points and produced 24 or more nine times

- The first quarter has produced 3 points or less in five of the last six dome Super Bowls

- The fourth quarter has erupted for 17 or more points in that same six game stretch

- The closing total has been off of the final result by 11 or more points Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Rob Veno

Super Bowl XLVI Betting Trends: New England Patriots prefer to defer on kickoffs

01.26.2012     11:54 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
According to a Tweet from CNBC's Darren Rovell (he got it from someone else) the last 28 times the New England Patriots have won the coin toss, they have deferred. The New York Giants elected to receive the kick seven of their nine coin toss victories this season. This suggests that the Giants are going to get the ball first no matter what the outcome of the coin toss. However, with Belichick and Coughlin involved, you have to be wary that this little "trend" will continue. New England is a small -115 favorite to score first.



Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI

Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Average ticket selling for just under three dimes

01.26.2012     11:29 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Happen to have an extra 605K laying around? Why not spring for a luxury suite at Super Bowl XLVI in Indianapolis. According to this article, ticket prices are actually down from last year which I find surprising.  Ticket brokers have to be pleased with the marquee matchup – Harbaugh vs. Harbaugh would have dropped ticket prices at least $500.  Thus far, New York and New Jersey buyers have outnumber those from the New England area. Add in the host city’s hatred for the Patriots and it could be a fairly pro-Giants crowd. 

The cheapest seat sold so far on Ticket Exchange, the NFL's official resale site run by IAC/InterActiveCorp. unit Ticketmaster, is $2,614 in Section 422 in the upper corner, while the highest price paid was $17,048 on the 40-yard line.

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI

Rapper claims he is betting all of our houses on the New England Patriots

01.26.2012     05:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Birdman, the rapper not the Denver Nuggets role player, says he plans on wagering $5 million on the New England Patriots to win Super Bowl XLVI. Mr. Bird was kicked out of the Celebrities Who Have Never Lost a Sports Bet club when he threw down $2 million on the Miami Heat to win last year's NBA title.

The message was both semi-incoherent, semi-profane and written with capitalization rules normally found in ransom notes, so we won't link to it here. Roughly translated, it says: "I like New England because BenJarvus Green-Ellis is my nephew. I plan on wagering $5 million on the game to anyone who wants the action."

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Super Bowl XLVI


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