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Super Bowl XLVI Betting Tips: New England Patriots first half O/U review

01.24.2012     07:29 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Giants vs. New England -3 O/U 55.5

For the upcoming Super Bowl between New York and New England, the first half total currently sits at 27.5 or 28 depending on where you shop. There is a real head scratching contrast in the first half play of Patriots games this season. What’s very interesting to note is that their road games have been significantly higher scoring than those played in Foxboro. In six of their eight road games this season, New England’s first halves have totaled 27 or more points and those contests averaged 31 points. Conversely, Patriots home games resulted in 23 first half points or less seven of 10 times for an average of 21.7 points. The initial reaction to those extremely different first half point totals would be that New England’s last two games have been at home and their defense has improved of late. Therefore it stands to reason that their first half totals would average out lower. That argument sinks in immediately when you Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Rob Veno




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Update: Bettors continue to flock towards Giants

01.24.2012     06:31 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

We're about 36 hour removed from sportsbooks posting their openers for Super Bowl XLVI. Up until this point a majority of the money has come in on the New York Giants. We mentioned yesterday that most offshore shops opened with New England -3.5. Bettors however pounced on the Giants and the key number of +3.5. The line then dipped to New England -3 (-120) followed shortly thereafter by a flat -3 (-110). Then yesterday afternoon another wave of Giants money came in dropping the line to New England -3 (+105/EV)/New York +3 (-125/-120). There are even a few offshore shops (5Dimes, BetOnline) currently offering the Pats at -2.5 (-125). Pinnacle's dropdown menu has New England -2.5 (-120). In Las Vegas, every major sportsbook is showing New England -3 (EV or -105).





Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Early money comes in on New York Giants

01.23.2012     06:42 AM     Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI




Gambling on Super Bowl XLVI: Tom Brady vs. New York Giants defense

01.24.2012     06:02 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Giants vs. New England -3 O/U 55.5

As we approach Super Bowl XLVI, Patriots quarterback Tom Brady against the New York Giants pass rush presents a fascinating matchup.  In the 2008 Super Bowl, the Giants were clearly able to frustrate Brady as New England’s vaunted offense was held to 14 points and under 300 totla yards.  Much has changed over the last four years, but Brady was banged around and lacking confidence once again in their Week 9 loss (24-20) to the Giants.  In fact, while watching that game it was one of the few times I’d witnessed Brady lose some of his composure. For good measure, Brady was sickened with his play in the AFC championship game against the sturdy Baltimore defense.   


"As time goes on, I still can’t watch highlights from that game," Brady said this morning in his Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Erin Rynning




New Jersey's Chris Christie not biting on Super Bowl bets

01.23.2012     01:55 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie was recently asked if he'd participate in a little political wagering for the upcoming Super Bowl XLVI between the New York Giants and New England Patriots. These never involve any type of pointspread and as far as we know, money never exchanges hands. The winner typically takes home a crate of some local fare like bratwurst or bagels while the loser has to (gasp!) wear the winning team's jersey to work on Monday. When asked if there was anything on the table with Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick, Christie said those types of bets are “really stupid.” He did however say he’d get involved if Patrick talked too much smack.


“It’s just politicians trying to get themselves in the newspaper on what’s really a sporting event,” he said. “As all of you know, I’m in the news enough. I don’t need that as an excuse.”

But if the Massachusetts governor called him up and “challenged his manhood” or “shames me into it,” that could be Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI




Las Vegas oddsmaker surprised by betting action on New York Giants

01.23.2012     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wynn sportsbook director John Avello was surprised by the early money coming in on the New York Giants for Super Bowl XLVI.


“I’m a little bit surprised,” Wynn sports book director John Avello said of the early movement. “I think it was an easy number to make. I was thinking 4 the entire time with the Giants. I was thinking Patriots by 6.5 over the 49ers.”

“Everything was shaping up perfectly there before the David Tyree catch,” MGM Resorts International sports book director Jay Rood recalled last week. “We needed the favorite winning, but not covering. So, no, I think the Giants and Patriots would give us a great opportunity this year. The matchup would be great to drive interest.”





Tags: NFL New York Giants New England Patriots Super Bowl XLVI Las Vegas




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Early money comes in on New York Giants

01.23.2012     06:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Giants vs. New England -3 O/U 55.5

Odds on Super Bowl XLVI were posted immediately following last night's NFC Championship. Offshore, CRIS, Pinnacle and 5Dimes opened New England -3.5 but most of the early money came in on New York. In Las Vegas, the Hilton opened -3 and hasn't moved while the Wynn opened -4 (down to -3.5ev). Caesars also opened -4 but was bet down to -3.


“The public will still like New England,” Colbert told The Associated Press. “I don’t think people are actually hip to how good these NFC teams are.”

Executive Race and Sports Director Jay Kornegay of the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino says an injury to Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski could have a big effect on the line, because if he doesn’t play the Giants Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI




AFC Championship Prop Bet: New England TE Aaron Hernandez Receiving Yards

01.22.2012     07:09 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at New England -7 O/U 50

New England Patriots TE Aaron Hernandez Total Receiving Yards?
Prop Bet Recommendation: Over 58.5 -140 (5Dimes)


Willing to lay the extra juice here with Patriots TE Hernandez who has averaged 65 receiving yards per game and gone over this total three of the last five games. His rapport with QB Tom Brady has increased immensely over the current five-game stretch as the pair has connected for 438 yards which is 48.1% of Hernandez’s receiving yardage for the year. With Baltimore having to be more concerned with slot receiver Wes Welker and fellow TE Rob Gronkowski, expect option No. 3 Hernandez to have constant matchup advantages. I don’t feel the Ravens’ linebackers are anything more than average in coverage, and their strong safeties simply can’t handle him. Look for Hernandez to go OVER this number and pick up 75+ yards receiving.           Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens New England Patriots Rob Veno




AFC Championship Prop Bet: First score of game will be a touchdown or field goal?

01.22.2012     07:01 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at New England -7 O/U 50

First score of the game will be a Touchdown or Field Goal/Safety?
Prop Bet Recommendation: Field Goal +155 (5Dimes)


I have made this prop bet on several occasions throughout the college football postseason and NFL playoffs. With Baltimore’s defense vs. New England’s offense, I feel that we have a good shot of the Ravens forcing a field goal attempt on the Patriots' first foray into scoring territory. Flipping the matchups gives us an even better chance at a field goal attempt when the Ravens have the ball. We also have two solid kickers here, so any normal range field goal should go through the uprights. Plenty of value here at +155 with this prop.




Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens New England Patriots Brent Crow




NFL Playoff Gambling: AFC Championship Power Ratings

01.20.2012     01:51 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas Hilton oddsmaker Jay Kornegay noted that his power rating for the AFC Championship was New England -6 but opened the game -7 and after a few bets was forced to move the line to -7.5. Sportsmemo handicapper Teddy Covers' power rating came out New England -6.5 while Rob Veno had New England -5.


"We went over all the ratings and came up with Patriots -6 initially," said LVH Super Book executive director Jay Kornegay who was one of the first to post the line in town. "We felt we’d test the waters a little bit with a key number and see where it drove us early on and posted it -7.

"Our first few bets came in on the Patriots and pushed the number quickly to -7½, so we were somewhat justified by the starting number," he added.






Tags: NFL New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens




NFL Playoff Gambling: Patriots would be worst-ever defense to win a Super Bowl

01.19.2012     11:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on New England's defense. The Patriots are trying to be the worst-rated (31st) stop unit to ever win a Super Bowl. New Orleans' 2009 Super Bowl squad currently owns that distinction (25th).


"Everyone is real easy to jump on the Patriots' defense and say they're so terrible and they can't win a Super Bowl being this bad. But I don't agree with that," said Matt Williamson of Scouts Inc. "I don’t think it's great. It's clearly the worst defense still in the playoffs. They allow all these passing yards, but they don't allow that many points, and that's more important."





Tags: NFL New England Patriots



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 24, 2014 01:26 AM.