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Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers' AFC East Gambling Preview

07.27.2012     01:22 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo Bills
Starting point:
Last year, Buffalo went 6-10 SU, 6-9-1 ATS and 11-4-1 to the Over. They had a net of -0.2 yards per play (ypp) and +1 TO margin vs. a tougher than average schedule.  The Bills started 5-2 but were decimated with injuries and closed out the season on a dismal 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS slide.

2012 Issues: This year, the Bills schedule is significantly easier based on the current 2012 Season O/U Win Total numbers.  Buffalo will go from having a tougher than average schedule to having an easier than average slate; one of the biggest differentials from last year to this year in the entire league.

The Bills have a 12-year playoff drought – their last postseason appearance came back in January, 2000 in the Music City Miracle game at Tennessee. They signed Ryan Fitzpatrick to a six year $59 million contract last year, and then proceeded to watch Fitzpatrick lead the NFL with 23 interceptions.  WR Stevie Johnson is their lone proven playmaker, and former #1 pick,  CJ Spiller, has not yet lived up to expectations with only seven TD’s in his first two years in the Read more



Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots New York Jets Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Patriots with easiest SOS in league based on last year's results

07.26.2012     11:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
On today's Sportsmemo Podcast, Teddy Covers pointed out how favorable New England's schedule was this season. Based on 2011's winning percentages, the Patriots have the easiest slate in all of football (.453). They play only four teams that finished above .500 last year (Tennessee, Baltimore, Houston, and San Francisco).




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Teddy Covers




Handicapper Teddy Covers talks NFL Regular Season Over/Under Win Totals

05.29.2012     06:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When I first moved to Las Vegas just prior to the start of the preseason in August 1998, NFL season win totals were just starting to pop up around town. By the early 2000’s, most sportsbooks in Vegas were posting NFL win totals by the time training camps opened in late July. Over the past five years, we’ve seen those NFL win totals get posted earlier and earlier – first early July, then June.

Here in 2012, the markets move earlier and more aggressively than ever. Some offshore sportsbooks posted win totals for the upcoming season within days of the Giants victory over the Patriots in the Super Bowl; albeit with very low limits. And here in Las Vegas, it was Christmas in May this past week when three major players – Cantor Gaming, MGM-Mirage and LVH – all released their 2012 NFL Regular Season Over/Under Win totals, with limits high enough to attract a nice chunk of wiseguy money.

Cantor was the first to market, and releasing their NFL win totals last Wednesday. As the first local shop to post numbers, with relatively high limits ($3K) that cater to sharp bettors, the action was fast and furious on the trading floor (or the betting Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Patriots and Packers are chalk in every lined game

05.14.2012     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to Cantor Gaming's full season lines (through Week 16), the New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers are favored in every game. The Cleveland Browns are currently priced as underdogs in every contest.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Green Bay Packers




Cantor Gaming's NFL regular season pointspreads now available

05.09.2012     10:38 AM     Printer Friendly
Here are Cantor Gaming's lines for every NFL regular season game through Week 16. These are available at the Palms, Venetian, Lagasse’s, Hard Rock, Cosmopolitan, Tropicana and M Casino. Limits are currently $2,000.


WEEK 1

Dallas Cowboys (+3) at New York Giants
Indianapolis Colts (+9.5) at Chicago Bears
Philadelphia Eagles (-7) at Cleveland Browns
Buffalo Bills (+5.5) at New York Jets
Washington Redskins (+9.5) at New Orleans Saints
New England Patriots (-6.5) at Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) at Minnesota Vikings
Miami Dolphins (+6) at Houston Texans
St. Louis Rams (+9.5) at Detroit Lions
Atlanta Falcons (PICK) at Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers (+6.5) at Green Bay Packers
Carolina Panthers (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Seattle Seahawks (+2) at Arizona Cardinals
Pittsburgh Steelers (+2) at Denver Broncos
Cincinnati Bengals (+7) at Baltimore Ravens
San Diego Chargers (PICK) at Oakland Raiders

WEEK 2

Chicago Bears (+7.5) at Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+9) at New York Giants
New Orleans Saints (-2.5) at

Read more



Tags: NFL




Casino plans for Foxborough, Mass. canceled

05.09.2012     07:09 AM     Printer Friendly
Steve Wynn and New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft announced that plans to build a casino next to Gillette Stadium are a no go. Under state law, casino developers must first get the thumbs up from the town – something Foxborough obviously didn't agree to.


"With Monday's election, we believe the citizens of Foxborough have spoken," The Kraft Group said in a statement. "As we originally committed, we have heard them and respect their collective voice."







Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Charles Barkley loses big on New England Patriots Super Bowl bet

02.13.2012     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Charles Barkley is down a few units after putting $100K on the New England Patriots to win Super Bowl XLVI.


Who did you put your $100,000 Super Bowl bet on?:

“I’m a big believer in ‘In God We Trust,’ and I trust in Belichick, bro. I’m going with the New England Patriots. … I’m almost changed the plane to go to Vegas because I wanted to get the 2.5. … Three scares the hell out of me.”






Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI




Patriots owner Kraft sees gambling as a wise investment

02.09.2012     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
Article on New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft and his large stake in Caesars Entertainment...and relationship with casino rival Steve Wynn.


“It’s like putting your money on red and black (at the roulette table),” University of Nevada at Las Vegas gambling expert David Schwartz said. “Unless ‘0’ or ‘00’ come up, you’re going to win.”

Caesars’ stock had a great opening day yesterday.

Sold to investors for $9 a share, the stock shot up 71 percent to close at $15.39 on the Nasdaq.






Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Recap: Key plays swing mathematical chances for both sides

02.07.2012     11:51 AM     Printer Friendly
If you want to relive Super Bowl XLVI one last time, here is an article explaining the win probability of the New England Patriots had Wes Welker hauled in that fourth quarter pass. If we are reading it correctly, a completed pass would have given the Pats at 95% chance at victory whereas the drop put them at 65%.




Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots




Handicapper Fairway Jay: Super Sunday part of Fantastic February

02.06.2012     10:48 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

We nailed our top-play 20*Big Drive winner on the New York Giants and their Super Bowl XLVI win over the New England Patriots, 21-17. While I also projected a higher-scoring game, field position did not allow for more points despite over 750 yards offense and both teams moving the ball pretty well at 5.6 yards per play. The Giants ability to control the ball, clock (37 minutes) and chains kept New England’s potent pass attack on the sidelines and Eli Manning led another fourth quarter touchdown drive to clinch the victory.

New York’s victory completed a strong pointspread prognosis finish in the NFL playoffs as we went a perfect 6-0 on our top-rated Big Drive selections and capped of another winning season overall. If was our fourth straight profitable postseason.

On to the hardwood and fantastic finishes ahead in college basketball as teams shoot for regular season and conference tournament titles along with their push to and through the NCAA Tournament and other college basketball postseason tournaments.   This is the most exciting time of the year in college basketball, along with strong handicapping situations involving second meets, Read more



Tags: NFL College Basketball __



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 01, 2015 03:14 PM.