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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC Playoff Contenders

12.22.2014     10:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Week 16 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch from last year in the AFC Championship Game.

Last week in this space, I poked holes in the NFC contenders, explaining why every other live team in the playoff race had at least one fundamental flaw primed to doom their chances in January.  This week, I’m going to point the magnifying glass towards the seven fringe contenders in the AFC.  Can any of them knock off the Patriots in Foxboro or the Broncos in Denver when January rolls around?  Read on to find out. 

The Houston Texans remain one of five teams still fighting for the final two playoff spots in the AFC after knocking off the Ravens on Sunday.  But if the Texans do manage to sneak into the postseason with a Wild Card berth, I’m not expecting them to do any damage. 

Houston’s defense ranks among the league’s elite, as we clearly saw once again this past weekend.  But the Texans average Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: Playoff scenarios as of 12-22-2014

12.22.2014     08:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's that time of year where bettors are actually interested in postseason implications. With one week to go in the NFL regular season, there is still plenty to be hashed out. Heading into tonight's Monday Night Football game we know that the Patriots, Broncos, Colts, and Steelers are in the AFC playoffs. In the NFC, the Seahawks, Lions, Cowboys, Packers, and Cardinals are all in. The Saints, Eagles, and Bills have been eliminated. The Bengals and Chargers are both in "win and you're in" situations. And whoever wins Sunday's Carolina-Atlanta game wins the NFC South. For more details on these playoff scenarios, click here.

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling: Lions and Panthers top SuperContest picks for Week 16

12.21.2014     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 16 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Detroit -6.5 at Chicago
2. Carolina +1.5 vs. Cleveland
3. Minnesota +6.5 at Miami
4. Denver -3 at Cincinnati
5. Arizona +8 vs. Seattle

Least Picked Sunday Side: Cleveland -1.5 at Carolina

Note that the Cleveland-Carolina line was released prior to Cam Newton being upgraded to probable.

Tags: NFL

Camellia Bowl Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars vs. Bowling Green Falcons

12.19.2014     01:12 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Camellia Bowl - Montgomery, Ala.
South Alabama vs. Bowling Green
Saturday, 6:15 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Bowling Green -1  O/U 55
CRIS Current: South Alabama -2.5  O/U 53.5
Drew Martin’s Recommendation:  South Alabama

The Bowling Green Falcons and the South Alabama Jaguars square off Saturday night in the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl in Montgomery Alabama. It’s the Falcons third straight bowl game as winners of the MAC’s East Division. South Alabama will be making its first bowl appearance in school history. The Jags are the “youngest” FBS team to ever reach a bowl game (surpassing the previous mark held by Florida Atlantic). The Camellia Bowl has some interesting dynamics at play including strength of schedule, travel, and coaching changes.

The Falcons run over 80 plays per game with most of it coming via the pass. They lost arguably the best Read more

Tags: College Football South Alabama Jaguars Sun Belt Bowling Green Falcons MAC Drew Martin

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Betting Preview: Western Michigan Broncos vs. Air Force Falcons

12.18.2014     07:00 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Boise, Idaho
Western Michigan vs. Air Force
Saturday, 2:45 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Western Michigan -2 O.U 56.5
CRIS Current: Air Force -1 O/U 58
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Air Force -0.5

Quite a turnaround for Western Michigan who in PJ Fleck's second season improved to 8-4 after only one victory in 2013. They were the most complete team in the MAC ranking third in both total offense (443 ypg) and total defense (355 ypg) in conference play. Air Force wasn't nearly as impressive ranking 6th and 7th respectively in the Mountain West. The Falcons though played in the tougher conference and Mountain Division which has a chance (if Air Force and Utah State wins) to produce four 10-win or better squads.

One of the concerns with Western Michigan is not only the lack of competition but their performance against comparable and/or better competition. They routinely fell short Read more

Tags: Collge Football Western Michigan Broncos MAC Air Force Falcons Mountain West Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Arizona State Sun Devils at Marquette Golden Eagles

12.16.2014     01:10 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Arizona State at Marquette
Recommendation: Under 61.5 1st half

I’ve had Marquette pegged as an "under" squad. With only eight available players, the Golden Eagles have been forced to slow down the tempo as well as play zone. Their last game vs. Wisconsin featured only 108 possessions and 87 points. Probably won't see that type of extreme tonight but first-year head coach Steve Wojechowski knows that muddying up the game gives his short-handed squad their best chance to win. Also note that guard Deonte Burton left the team and they added 6-11 center Luke Fisher who originally played at Indiana. The Golden Eagles are in desperate need of size in the paint so the recent “transaction” is really addition by subtraction defensively. Arizona State has been playing at a relatively moderate pace but they've been ultra-efficient thus far hitting nearly 41% of their 3's and 53% of their 2's. Not sure however how long they'll be able to keep that up, especially on the road vs. a capable defense. In their last road game at Texas A&M there were only 120 possessions but 143 points. That is an outlier-type performance and if the Sun Read more

Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Marquette Golden Eagles Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling: Bills and Cowboys top SuperContest picks for Week 15

12.14.2014     08:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 15 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Buffalo +4.5 vs. Green Bay
2. Dallas +3 at Philadelphia
3. New England -7.5 vs. Miami
4. Indianapolis -6.5 vs. Houston
5. San Francisco +10 at Seattle

Least picked Sunday side: Jacksonville +13.5 at Baltimore

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling Alert: Sportsbooks adjust Carolina a field goal vs. Tampa Bay following Newton's injury

12.10.2014     02:19 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
WIth Cam Newton out following yesterday's car accident, the Carolina Panthers will start Derek Anderson vs. Tampa Bay. Prior to Newton's injury, the Panthers were 6-point favorites with a total of 43. Sportsbooks reopened the game -3 O/U 41.5. Anderson started in Week 1's 20-14 win over the Buccaneers in which he connected n 24-of-34 passes for 230 yards, 2 TDs, and no INTs.

Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Tampa Bay Buccaneers

College Football Betting: Nevada faces UL-Lafayette in the New Orleans Bowl

12.09.2014     02:41 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
This time of year it's always nice to get a beat on what type of focus teams have while preparing for their bowl games. Some will take a business-like approach, some will turn it into a vacation, while others simply won't show up (see: USC's infamous Sun Bowl appearance). Nevada is headed to the New Orleans Bowl to take on UL-Lafayette. Early reports indicate that Wolf Pack head coach Bill Polian wants his kids to enjoy the experience even going so far as to allow them a night on the town. That doesn't mean Nevada is going to suffer a three-day hangover and get blasted by 40. But couple the lax atmosphere with the 8 am PT start and it's easy to see why bettors took Nevada down from -3 to a pick 'em/+1.

"They deserve one night to go out and experience the city," said Polian, who added that he met with his leadership council Sunday night. "Now, I'm not condoning knucklehead behavior, but they ought to have one chance to walk around in groups and look around New Orleans and experience it a bit. There will be

Read more

Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

NFL Betting News: Johnny Football gets the call vs. Cincinnati

12.09.2014     01:57 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
In the midst of trying to secure their first playoff berth since 2002, the Cleveland Browns have decided to play a little quarterback music chairs. A few weeks back, off of a loss, they considered a move to Johnny Manziel but decided against it. Following last week's loss to Indianapolis -- a game in which Brian Hoyer failed to hit 50% of his pass and threw two picks -- the team will now give Manziel a shot. He'll get the starting nod in Sunday's must-win vs. Cincinnati. The betting market's reaction? Crickets. Little to no movement following the accouncement.

"This decision is really not about Brian Hoyer or Johnny Manziel, it is about the Cleveland Browns. We are always going to make decisions that we feel are in the best interest of the team," Pettine said in a statement. "Brian has done everything that has been asked of him and he has done so as a true professional. ... We are trying to get the offense to perform at a higher level. Johnny has worked very hard to earn this opportunity and it will be very

Read more

Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals


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