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NCAAF Gambling Notes: Bettors fade Boston College despite Harris' return

09.28.2011     01:46 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wake Forest -2.5 at Boston College O/U 49

Boston College head coach Steve Spaziani hinted that running back Montel Harris' workload would increase after he made his season debut in last week's win over UMass.

Teddy Covers noted that his power ratings had Wake Forest -5 which suggests that oddsmakers were perhaps giving too much credit for Harris' return. The betting markets though feel that Harris will not be a factor as the line has steadily crept Wake's way. Of course there is also the possibility that bettors simply don’t trust the Eagles to beat a BCS foe without or without a healthy Harris which at this point is a fairly logical stance.

"He obviously was very limited going into last week and was limited there," Read more

Tags: College Football Boston College Eagles Wake Forest Demon Deacons ACC

College Football Betting Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Wisconsin Badgers

09.28.2011     01:19 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange


Nebraska at Wisconsin (5 pm – ABC)
CRIS Opening Line: Wisconsin -8 O/U 57.5
CRIS Current Line: Wisconsin -9.5 O/U 57
Rob Veno Power Rating: Wisconsin -11
Teddy Covers Power Rating: Wisconsin -11.5

Andrew Lange’s Betting Take: This is a prime example of how much the perception of college football teams can change through the course of a season – and in this case a little over three months. Back in mid-June, the Golden Nugget released its Game of the Year lines and priced Wisconsin as a 2.5-point favorite. A week later, Russell Wilson decided to take his act to Madison and UW’s stock was immediately on the rise. Once the season started, Wilson unquestionably looked the part, Wisconsin was in constant name-the-score mode, and oddsmakers could have hung a -14 on this game and I wouldn’t have been Read more

Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Andrew Lange

College Football Odds: Texas A&M and Arkansas face off after tough outings

09.28.2011     12:11 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Texas A&M -2.5 vs. Arkansas O/U 62

Two teams that expended a lot of effort and energy last week hook up in Dallas with Arkansas and Texas A&M continuing their yearly series. The Razorbacks lost at Alabama, 38-14, and while perhaps somewhat discouraged by the performance, they knew ahead of time that winning in Tuscaloosa would be a tall order. The Aggies, meanwhile, had their game against Oklahoma State circled and it was supposed to serve as a springboard to a special season in College Station. But not only did A&M get beat, they did so by blowing a 20-3 lead. Everyone is saying the right things regarding a bounce-back effort but it wouldn't shock us to see the Aggies come out a bit sluggish in this one.

"I don’t think I’ve ever experienced anything like that in my entire coaching career," Texas Read more

Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies Big XII Arkansas Razorbacks SEC

Teddy Covers guests on ESPN's Behind the Bets Podcast

09.28.2011     10:03 AM     Printer Friendly
Here is a link to Teddy's recent Podcast with ESPN's Chad Millman. Teddy discusses this week's college football line moves.

Tags: College Football Teddy Covers

NCAAF Betting Notes: Weis says Florida offense will pull out all the stops

09.28.2011     08:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Alabama -3.5 at Florida O/U 45.5

After weeks of playing coy with the media in terms of opening the playbook, Florida offensive coordinator Charlie Weis said he'll be pulling out all of the stops against Alabama this weekend.

"Sometimes when you're playing football, you have to realize that punting isn't necessarily a bad thing," Weis said. "We want to score a touchdown every time we get the ball. But you want to make sure you make good decisions where you don't make that critical mistake and give one to them.

"You play fundamental football and you have to go ahead and throw the kitchen sink at them. They're going to get the kitchen sink.

"You guys have been writing about holding things back. Well, you won't have to worry about that this week. They're going to get plenty."

Read more

Tags: College Football Florida Gators Alabama Crimson Tide SEC

College Football ATS Notes: Northwestern-Illinois stoke rivalry fire

09.28.2011     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Northwestern at Illinois -8 O/U 50

The battle for the Land of Lincoln Trophy isn't exactly the first thing that comes to mind when you think about heated rivalries. In fact, up until 10 minutes ago, we were unaware this little get together even had a name (they played for the Sweet Sioux Tomahawk from 1945-2008). Anyway, the good news is that there has been some chirping from both sides over the past week. Last season, Northwestern made a big marketing push as "Chicago's Big Ten Team". But after getting waxed by Illinois, in Chicago, it was the Illini that made it clear who "owned" the town. Then there was Northwestern saying that it didn’t recruit “the type of kids” than end up going to Illinois. The Illini of course took it as a sign of disrespect – in reality, it was actually a pretty accurate observation. Read more

Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten

NCAAF Handicapper Preview: South Florida Bulls at Pittsburgh Panthers

09.28.2011     07:03 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange


South Florida at Pittsburgh (Thursday, 5 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opening Line: Pittsburgh pk O/U 51
CRIS Current Line: South Florida -2.5 O/U 52
Rob Veno Power Rating: South Florida -1
Teddy Covers Power Rating: South Florida -4.5

Andrew Lange’s Betting Take: Prime opportunity for Pitt to get its season back on track with a Thursday night primetime affair against South Florida. The Panthers have not looked the part thus far; struggling with Todd Graham’s offense and not consistently playing the type of stout defense we saw under Dave Wannstedt. Graham seems pretty baffled that his team is so inept with the ball but unlike West Virginia, who was coming from a spread background, the change in philosophies for Pitt was more than just a few tweaks. After a solid sophomore campaign, quarterback Tino Sunseri has Read more

Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers South Florida Bulls Andrew Lange

College Football Handicapping: Maryland not buying what Edsall is selling

09.27.2011     02:35 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
After starting out the season with a bang, Maryland suddenly finds itself 1-2 with a brutal three-game stretch starting next week: at Georgia Tech, vs. Clemson, and at Florida State. Head coach Randy Edsall doesn't seem too happy with his team, especially after Saturday's 38-7 loss to Temple in which they completely laid down after trailing 21-0 after the first quarter. Edsall said that he is going to reshuffle the starting lineup and give some freshmen some playing time this week against FCS Towson. Probably not time to panic but keep an eye on how they come out on Saturday. Towson went 1-10 last year but is off to a 3-0 start including a win over Villanova. The Terps should be able to name the score but another lackluster performance may suggest that Edsall's motivational tactics – that worked extremely well in Storrs – simply aren’t reaching the team. Read more

Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins ACC

NCAAF Pointspread Alert: Bettors once again flock towards Utah State

09.27.2011     02:02 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Utah State at BYU -7.5 O/U 50

Some may look to this game as "revenge" for BYU after losing to Utah State 31-16 last year but the Cougars are downplaying the angle. In fact, the loss could almost be considered a positive because it promoted Bronco Mendenhall to take over the defense after firing his defensive coordinator and the team closed the season on a 6-2 run.

Utah State comes in off a disappointing overtime loss to injury-ravaged Colorado State. The Aggies have done a good job at times stepping way up in class with a close lose at Oklahoma and win over BYU last season as well as their near monumental upset at Auburn in Week 1. But for every eye popping performance there are two that leave bettors scratching their heads. Interestingly, this marks the second straight week the Aggies have been absolutely pounded by the betting markets. Against Read more

Tags: College Football Utah State Aggies WAC BYU Cougars

College Football Betting Futures: Odds to win conference titles

09.27.2011     01:02 PM     Printer Friendly
Quick look at some adjusted odds to win conference championships courtesy of the Greek (see chart below). The one line that stands out the most is Pittsburgh +8000 to win the Big East despite everyone still 0-0 in league play. The Panthers have their faults, but if they can get past South Florida on Thursday, they play both Cincinnati and West Virginia off of bye weeks. With no one yet to establish any dominance we could very easily see two or three teams finish atop the standings (tiebreaker would determine winner) leaving tremendous value on Read more

Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers Big East


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