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College Football Betting Futures: Odds to win conference titles

09.27.2011     01:02 PM     Printer Friendly
Quick look at some adjusted odds to win conference championships courtesy of the Greek (see chart below). The one line that stands out the most is Pittsburgh +8000 to win the Big East despite everyone still 0-0 in league play. The Panthers have their faults, but if they can get past South Florida on Thursday, they play both Cincinnati and West Virginia off of bye weeks. With no one yet to establish any dominance we could very easily see two or three teams finish atop the standings (tiebreaker would determine winner) leaving tremendous value on Read more

Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers Big East

NCAAF Gambling Notes: Depth chart looks bleak for NC State defense

09.27.2011     12:03 PM     Printer Friendly
Georgia Tech -11.5 at NC State O/U 63

NC State's injury situation is already at epic proportions with as many as four starters currently sidelined (see chart below). According to the school’s depth chart, of the 22 first and second string defenders, 14 are underclassmen. The situation was on full display last Thursday as Cincinnati rolled up 44 points and 503 yards on this devastated unit. As if things couldn't get any worse, the nation's top offense is headed to Raleigh this weekend.

The Wolf Pack did beat the Georgia Tech rather handedly last year, 45-28. But that was with Russell Wilson under center (368 yards, 3 TDs), linebacker Nate Irving causing havoc (16 tackles, 4.5 TFL, 2 sacks) and a full complement of starters.

Amazing Read more

Tags: College Football NC State Wolfpack Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC

College Football ATS Notes: Georgia offense starting to find its groove

09.27.2011     11:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Mississippi State at Georgia -6.5 O/U 53

Georgia's offense is starting to click thanks to an emphasis on playing at a faster pace. The Bulldogs are averaging 73 plays per game and reeled off 82 in last week's win over Ole Miss. In that game UGA produced 475 yards of offense for nearly 6.0 ypp. Their 24-point output looks marginal, but they did miss three field goals in the second half. On the season, Georgia ranks 23rd nationally in offensive plays (292), t42nd in yards per play (6.0) and 36th in total offense (438.5). Keep in mind they faced two pretty solid defenses in Boise State and South Carolina. The Bulldogs have now gone over the total in three of four games.

"I think the whole offense, we've been doing it now since spring, all summer, all now, so I think we feel great in it," Jones said. Read more

Tags: College Football Georgia Bulldogs SEC

NCAAF Betting Notes: Virginia Tech defense braces for red hot Clemson

09.27.2011     09:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Clemson at Virginia Tech -7 O/U 49

In their first step up in defense class, Clemson new up-tempo offense literally passed with flying colors with 455 yards of offense and only three punts in last week's win over Florida State. They'll get another test this weekend in Blacksburg against the Hokies. Tech's defense has looked strong (10 ppg allowed) and did face two up-tempo teams in East Carolina and Arkansas State but the Tigers are a completely different animal. According to VT defensive coordinator Bud Foster, completely shutting down Clemson's offense is probably unrealistic.

“I don’t know if you can stop offenses today when it’s all said and done. What do you call stopping them, I don’t know? We have our hands full. They have a lot of weapons, they can spread it out, and their quarterback can get Read more

Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers Virginia Tech Hokies ACC

College Football Gambling: Pittsburgh not taking to Graham's offense

09.27.2011     09:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
South Florida -2 at Pittsburgh O/U 52.5

Pittsburgh is having a really difficult time adjusting to first-year head coach Todd Graham's offense. The Panthers rank 81st in total offense (370.3 ypg). Perhaps the most alarming stat is the 18 sacks (worst in the country) they've allowed – a vast majority of which because quarterback Tino Sunseri held on to the ball too long. That doesn't bode well for Thursday's matchup against South Florida who already has 11 sacks and 33 tackles for loss. In a recent press conference, Graham was fairly candid about how bad the offense has been.

“I don't think there is much more we can do (to simplify) offensively. It is about as simple as it can get," Graham said. "It’s almost so simple that it’s hard to watch for me. We have to Read more

Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers South Florida Bulls Big East

College Football ATS Notes: Navy currently a 3-point favorite over Air Force

09.27.2011     09:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Air Force at Navy -3 O/U 53.5

Last season, Air Force snapped a seven game losing streak to Navy with a 14-6 win in Colorado Springs. Prior to that, the Midshipmen had won and covered seven straight over the Falcons. AFA will go on the road for the first time after playing home games against South Dakota, TCU and Tennessee State. The Midshipmen come in off a bye week. Last time out, they took South Carolina to the wire in a 24-21 loss. Under head coach Ken Niumatalolo, Navy is 10-1 SU after a loss. Turnovers seem to be the biggest concern for Air Force entering this contest. Prior to this season, they were a combined +50 in margin under head coach Tim Jefferson but through three games they are -3. Air Force has already fumbled nine times (five lost).

“Recent years, we’ve been a team that’s been winning the turnover margin,” receiver Jonathan Read more

Tags: College Football Air Force Falcons Mountain West Navy Midshipmen

NCAAF Betting Notes: Persa back but defense holds the key for Northwestern

09.27.2011     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Northwestern at Illinois -7 O/U 50

Northwestern quarterback Dan Persa is expected to make his seasonal debut this weekend against in-state rival Illinois. Persa was sidelined the first three game with an Achilles' tendon injury stemming from last season. Last year's game took place at Wrigley Field and it was all Illini as they rolled up 559 yards of offense and 48 points. Note than it was Northwestern's first game without Persa who prior to being injured was in the midst of a monster season (73.5% completions, 24 total TDs). But even with Persa back, the Wildcats will still need to play much better defense that what we’ve see over the last calendar year. According to our ACCU-Stats, the Wildcats were outgained in Read more

Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten

NCAAF Betting Notes: Iowa goes no-huddle for second straight week

09.26.2011     12:46 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Something to be aware of moving forward with the Iowa Hawkeyes. Trailing in the second half to Pittsburgh two weeks ago, Iowa went up-tempo/no-huddle and railed back from a 27-3 deficit to win 31-27. Following the win, head coach Kirk Ferentz, long a proponent of smash mouth football, downplayed any suggestion that his team was changing philosophies. But when the offense took the field for their first possession this past week against UL-Monroe, after one play they switched to a five wide receiver set and it resulted in a 9-play, 74-yard touchdown drive (3:21). Iowa rolled from there, posting 453 total yards and 45 points. The Hawkeyes have a bye week before traveling to Penn State. Iowa won last year's meeting 24-3 with the game landing well under the posted total of 40. It will be interesting to see if Frentz continues to push the pace and whether or not we see an adjustment in their totals after going "over" in three straight.

"[We're] just trying to please the fans and the media," Ferentz said. "That's a simple, simple answer Read more

Tags: College Football Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten

College Football Pointspread News: Louisiana Tech favored over Hawaii

09.26.2011     12:21 PM     Printer Friendly
Hawaii at Louisiana Tech -3

No matter whom the opponent, Louisiana Tech (1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS) has made a habit of playing everyone close these days. Last Saturday was the fourth straight game that came down to the wire with Mississippi State sneaking away with a 26-20 OT victory in Starkville. The week before that, Tech blew a 34-7 lead and ended up losing to Houston 35-34. In Week 2, Tech needed overtime to beat Central Arkansas, 48-42. And to open the season, LT has a 17-16 lead over Southern Miss only to watch the Eagles hit the game-winning field goal with just over two minutes remaining.

Another potentially close affair this weekend with Louisiana Tech (-3) playing host to Hawaii. The Warriors put up a season-high 649 yards in last year's 41-21 win in Honolulu. Head coach Greg McMackin noted how tough a trip it is to Ruston. Read more

Tags: College Football Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Hawaii Warriors WAC

College Football Betting Notes: New Mexico finally cuts ties with Locksley

09.26.2011     11:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New Mexico State -2 at New Mexico

The tumultuous tenure of New Mexico head coach Mike Locksley finally came to an end on Sunday. Locksley was let go following the team's 48-45 OT loss to FCS Sam Houston State. It was the Lobos' 26th defeat in 28 tries over the past three seasons. Associate head coach and defensive coordinator George Barlow will take over.

After showing fairly well in a 14-10 loss to Colorado State in Week 1, the Lobos reverted back to the norm in blowout losses at both Arkansas and Texas Tech. The loss to Sam Houston shouldn't come as a shock – the Bearkats are a top 25 team – but it offered one of only a few legitimate chances at victory. One of those chances though comes this weekend as the Lobos play host to in-state rival New Mexico State. The Aggies won last year's meeting Read more

Tags: College Football New Mexico Lobos Mountain West New Mexico State Aggies WAC


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