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Oddsmaker shares his thoughts on College Football O/U wins

05.01.2012     01:15 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Caesars sportsbook director Todd Fuhrman explains the science behind putting out a College Football Regular Season Over/Under Wins number.


Every bookmaker handle’s this process differently but for my purposes I try to rate each game 0 to 10 with a 10 meaning a virtual lock and 0 implying it will take a Stanford over USC type upset to grab the win.  At the end of the process, I’ll add up my total and attach appropriate juice based on intangibles, public perception, and overall gut feel.







Tags: College Football




NCAA Football Gambling: Notre Dame has four QBs to choose from

04.20.2012     01:51 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We normally wait until about mid-July to post the obligatory Notre Dame Is Once Again Overrated blog. This one fails to get into much detail as the why that will occur again (it will), but does touch on how poor the quarterback play was last year and how head coach Brian Kelly must choose between four candidates – we're willing to bet a large sum of money at least three of the four start at some point. Welcome to the world of Just Barely Better Than Big Ten Average football.




Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish




College Football Conference Championship Betting Odds

04.19.2012     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
Never too early to discuss college football. 5Dimes posted Conference Championship odds (click blink below for full list) for the upcoming 2012 season. Florida State, Oklahoma, Louisville, Michigan, USC, and LSU are picked to win their respective conference crowns. Note some of the conference realignments with TCU and West Virginia now in the Big XII and Texas A&M and Missouri headed to Read more



Tags: College Football




Bob Stoops apparently doesn't think bettors deserve to know who is injured

04.11.2012     02:07 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma head coach Bob Stoops got all pissy pants when asked about injury information saying it only helps other teams and those damn gamblers!


“If a young guy has a chance to play, why would you explain where his weakness is,” Stoops said. “The only reason would be to help the other team or to help a gambler. So I don’t need to participate in that.”

Stoops actually isn’t totally secretive on injuries. But he has his limits. “I think too much is made of trying to get that out there,” Stoops said. “I guess there’s so many people gambling, that the media feels they need to feed ‘em the information. But in college ball, if a guy has a chance to play, I don’t believe it should be talked about.”






Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners




College Football and NFL Regular Season Over/Under Wins 2012-13

01.24.2012     02:19 PM     Printer Friendly
5Dimes was nice enough to post some college football and NFL Regular Season Over/Under numbers for next year – we have no idea why Marshall made the cut. LSU plays eight home games vs. only four on the road (at Auburn, Florida, Texas A&M and Arkansas).

2012-13 NCAA and NFL Regular Season O/U Wins - 5Dimes
Team
Juice
LSU total wins over 10.5
+135
LSU total wins under 10.5
-175
Marshall total wins over 6.5
-150
Marshall total wins under 6.5
+110
Michigan State total wins over 8.5
-140
Michigan State total wins under 8.5
+100
Ohio State total wins over 8.5
-180
Ohio State total wins under 8.5
+140
Southern Cal total wins over 9.5
-245
Southern Cal total wins under 9.5
+175
Baltimore regular season wins over 10.5
-105
Baltimore regular season wins under 10.5
-135
Carolina regular season wins over 8.5
-140
Carolina regular season wins under 8.5
+100
Dallas regular season wins over 8.5
-160
Dallas regular season wins under 8.5
+120
Denver regular season wins over 7.5
-120
Denver regular season wins under 7.5
-120
Green Bay regular season wins over 12.5
+150
Green Bay regular season wins under 12.5
-190
NY Jets regular season wins over 9.5
-125
NY Jets regular season wins under 9.5
-115
Pittsburgh regular season wins over 9.5
-150
Pittsburgh regular season wins under 9.5
+110
San Francisco regular season wins over 10.5
+120
San Francisco regular season wins under 10.5
-160





Tags: NFL College Football




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Players like Sterling Moore help fuel Patriots

01.24.2012     12:56 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There’s only one reason that the New England Patriots, not the Baltimore Ravens, are in the Super Bowl.  That reason?  Unheralded, undrafted rookie free agent Sterling Moore made the game saving play, knocking the ball out of Baltimore wide receiver Lee Evans’ hands in the end zone, negating what would have been the game winning Ravens touchdown in the closing seconds.

Moore’s story is a fascinating one.  He didn’t get any scholarship offers out of high school.  After enrolling at Laney Community College in Oakland, he tried out for the football team on a lark, as a favor for a friend.  After playing for two years at Laney, Moore moved on to SMU for his final two collegiate seasons. 

Why SMU?  In Laney’s own words:  “They were the only D-I school that offered me. I felt like I could play at that level and said, ‘I might as well.’ “After a couple of undistinguished seasons with the Mustangs, he was not drafted.  But his home town team, Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Teddy Covers




A perfect match: Gambling and the Super Bowl

01.23.2012     07:38 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Publicly, the NFL is among one of the staunchest opponents of legalized gambling. Former commissioner Paul Tagliabue and current commissioner Roger Goodell were instrumental in getting the anti gaming ‘Illegal Internet Gambling Prohibition Act’ attached to the Port Security Bill. The NFL has taken this stance despite the fact that its enormous popularity is, in no small part, due to the prevalence of betting on games.

The hypocrisy of the NFL in regards to betting is almost laughable. The facts, as you will see, clearly show that the league was founded by gamblers for gamblers. From the NFL’s first television appearance in 1939 through the current TV deal that pumps more than three billion dollars per year into the league coffers, the NFL’s popularity rests upon the shoulders of those who wager on the outcome of the games.

Here in the 21st century, the NFL is the most popular and profitable sport in the. NFL owners are among the richest men in the world; franchises are bought and sold for more than half a billion dollars. However, the league’s humble origins were anything but the extravagant bonanza that is the NFL today. Read more



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI




AFC Championship Prop Bet: First score of game will be a touchdown or field goal?

01.22.2012     07:01 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at New England -7 O/U 50

First score of the game will be a Touchdown or Field Goal/Safety?
Prop Bet Recommendation: Field Goal +155 (5Dimes)


I have made this prop bet on several occasions throughout the college football postseason and NFL playoffs. With Baltimore’s defense vs. New England’s offense, I feel that we have a good shot of the Ravens forcing a field goal attempt on the Patriots' first foray into scoring territory. Flipping the matchups gives us an even better chance at a field goal attempt when the Ravens have the ball. We also have two solid kickers here, so any normal range field goal should go through the uprights. Plenty of value here at +155 with this prop.





Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens New England Patriots Brent Crow




College Basketball Betting: Analyzing close pointspread results Part II

01.19.2012     06:53 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Continuing our analysis of close pointspread results, there has been over 500 games thus far in January, and 40% of the games landed within five points of the betting line and 10% within one point of the line. If fact, 16 of the 18 games January 16-17 landed within five points of the betting line, and last Saturday it was a remarkable 48 of 99 games! As previously mentioned, regardless of your level of handicapping ability, long term results of these close ATS games should produce close to 50% ATS winners and losers. Yet we’ve been suffering though many close losses in January, now 7-16 on those close contests. We’ll continue to evaluate the results, stats and match-ups, and work to become even more proficient in pointspread prognosis in our never ending pursuit of profit. With that, the unfortunate results and negative random variance should subside.

Despite a solid base using good power ratings and adjusting those during the season, there is so much more to the puzzle and preparing your pointspread Read more



Tags: College Basketball __




College Basketball Betting: Pittsburgh defense has been historically bad

01.11.2012     05:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rutgers at Pittsburgh -8.5 O/U 133.5

Article on how poor Pittsburgh's defense has been compared to previous editions under Jamie Dixon. Under Dixon, the Panthers went eight years allowing between 0.84-0.93 points per possession (see chart below). This year, they are currently giving up 1.01 ppp (194th nationally).


"We don't guard the dribble real well," Dixon said afterward when asked to pinpoint his team's defensive deficiencies. "We don't keep it in front. Some of our turnovers lead to layups, which gives them a higher field-goal percentage. We just don't seem to guard the penetration well. There are some other things, but that's the main thing."



copy_pitt_defense.JPG







Tags: College Football Pittsburgh Panthers Rutgers Scarlet Knights



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 07, 2015 05:04 PM.