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October

30

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Teddy Covers guests on ESPN's Behind the Bets Podcast 11/18

11.18.2011     02:32 PM     Printer Friendly
Here is a link to Teddy Covers' recent ESPN Behind the Bets Podcast. Host Chad Millman talks with Teddy about this week's college and pro football betting card.



Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers




NCAAF Gambling Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines

11.18.2011     12:13 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

copy_cfb_game_previews_11.jpg

Nebraska at Michigan -3.5 O/U 51
Recommendation: Michigan


Nebraska is an injury riddled mess in the trenches right now.  The Cornhuskers offensive guards at Penn State last week?  Two walk-ons and zero backups.  Tight end Ben Cotton is hurt as well. The situation doesn’t look much better this week – this Huskers offensive front is limping towards the finish line of the regular season.  On defense, Nebraska has already lost nose tackles Jared Crick and Thad Randle with season ending injuries, and their backup, Chase Rome, is less than 100% with a lingering hamstring injury.

All of this is very bad news for the Huskers against a Michigan defense that has improved by leaps and bounds under first year coordinator Greg Mattison.  The numbers don’t lie.  In the final year of the Rich Rod era in Ann Arbor, the Wolverines finished 110th in the nation in scoring defense, #108 Read more


Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapper Free Pick: Clemson Tigers at NC State Wolfpack

11.18.2011     10:57 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Clemson -7.5 at NC State O/U 52.5
Recommendation: Over


Clemson takes its high octane offense to Raleigh this weekend. A lot of buzz was made in the off-season as the Tigers brought in Chad Morris to serve as offensive coordinator. Morris, of course, is part of a new wave of Texas high school coordinators that employ a run-and-gun philosophy. The changes Morris made have produced some incredibly productive offensive spurts – 624 yards of offense against Auburn one of many examples. What makes this offense a bit unique is their reliance on the deep pass with quarterback Taj Boy – big chunks of yards and quick points. Meanwhile, NC State has certainly played the role of an under team (0-4 O/U run). However, that provides value for us in this contest with the short number of 52. The ACC has set-up as more of an under conference this season with a litany of questionable offenses and quarterbacks while a few stout defenses remain. In its last four games NC Read more


Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers NC State Wolfpack ACC Erin Rynning




College Football Handicapping: Analyzing this week's situational plays

11.18.2011     07:07 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There are a number of college football games this week with situations involving inflated lines, look-ahead games and momentum versus letdown. It’s important at this time of the college football season to recognize which teams have ‘tossed the towel’ with either a losing season ensured or underachieving overall. Likewise, there are stronger teams that may not have top energy and effort with more meaningful games ahead. It’s important to not get caught analyzing only statistical profiles when late season games dictate more motivational and situational factors. Here are some games and situations for you to consider this weekend.

Oklahoma State -27 at Iowa State (Friday) – Another mismatch it appears for undefeated Oklahoma State and its explosive offense. After four straight Big Xll beatings by at least 15 points, Iowa State bounced back with a pair of conference wins and now play its final home game following a bye week. In two weeks, Read more


Tags: College Football __




Fairway Jay: Cashing in on college football situational handicapping

11.18.2011     06:55 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We cashed another 20* Big Drive last Saturday with our college football Underdog Game of the Month when Navy (+9) beat SMU 24-17. Following another weekday winner on Western Michigan Wednesday, our top-rated college football Big Drive plays are 12-7, 63% the past six weeks and providing plenty of profit in all of our football selections this season.

Regular Fairway followers that check my weekly blogs, updates and rushing guidelines know that Navy was likely to continue its strong rushing attack even against a pretty statistically solid SMU run defense. Navy rolled up 335 total yards; all of it via their ground-and-pound option attack with just two passes and 64 running plays. Teams that outrush their opponent have covered the pointspread at a 77% rate this season (over 250 game sample). 

But the situation with SMU last week was not a favorable one, and something you can look for and identify for future seasons. Few situations are stronger than this proven profile I have utilized for profit in many college football seasons. Preparing for Navy’s triple-option attack in the middle of a conference season can result in many struggles for opposing teams. Read more


Tags: College Football __ SMU Mustangs Navy Midshipmen




College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico State Aggies at BYU Cougars

11.17.2011     11:37 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Mexico State +22.5 at BYU O/U 60.5
Recommendation: New Mexico State


I've backed New Mexico State on multiple occasions this season and had fairly good results. The Aggies are much improved across the board and have been competitive in nearly all of their games this season. They have two competent quarterbacks in Matt Christian and Travaughn Colwell and enough of a run game (141.2 ypg) to keep opposing teams honest. BYU may be 7-3 but can hardly be considered an elite level team. Last week they crushed Idaho 42-7 but the Vandals were off a rare victory and showed absolutely no effort from the opening whistle. The Cougars are back with Jake Heaps at quarterback after Riley Nelson was hurt last game. They are both essentially the same player (Nelson more of a runner) in terms of production but the constant shuffling has created inconsistency and lack of continuity with the offense. And prior to the win over Idaho, BYU hadn’t posted a blowout win despite a Read more


Tags: College Football New Mexico State Aggies WAC BYU Cougars Andrew Lange




NCAAF Gambling News: Clemson Tigers peeved about subpar offense

11.17.2011     11:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Clemson -7.5 at NC State O/U 52.5

Interesting situation for Clemson this weekend at it travels to take on NC State. With last week's narrow win over Wake Forest, the Tigers clinched a berth in the ACC Championship. They also have a rivalry game on deck with South Carolina (SC won 29-7 last season). But according to the team and coaches, the main focus this week is getting the offense back on track. Against Wake, the Tigers rolled up 522 yards but had three turnovers and needed a last second field goal to escape with the win. The week before that, they were held to 17 points in a loss to Georgia Tech. NC State (5-5) had been playing better football (3-1 SU/ATS run) before laying an egg in last week's 14-10 loss at Boston College.


"We know we haven't been playing well, and that irks us," Read more



Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers NC State Wolfpack ACC




NCAAF Betting Notes: Southern Miss eager for revenge over UAB

11.17.2011     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Southern Miss -23 at UAB O/U 61

Two things in play for tonight's UAB-Southern Miss contest. The first is the C-USA East Division title which the Golden Eagles can wrap up with a victory. The second is a bit of revenge after the Blazers upset USM as 10.5-point underdogs in a wild 50-49 overtime affair last season. In fact, UAB beat Southern Miss 30-17 in 2009 as well, again as 10.5-point dogs. Won't be easy though as the pointspread has been heavily adjusted for USM's success and UAB's failures this season.


“We want to get them back, not just for the game two years ago but for last year when they came in here and beat us,” Southern Miss offensive lineman Austin Quattrochi said. “We definitely have a chip on our shoulder coming into Thursday.”





Tags: College Football UAB Blazers Southern Miss Golden Eagles C-USA




NCAAF Gambling Notes: UT's Bray upgraded to probable, Vanderbilt favored by -1.5

11.17.2011     06:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Vanderbilt -1.5 at Tennessee O/U 44.5

According to reports, Tennessee quarterback Tyler Bray (broken thumb) will suit up Saturday against Vanderbilt. In the five games without Bray, Tennessee's passing game produced 174.2 ypg, 1 TD and 6 INTs – three of those contests were against LSU, Alabama and South Carolina though. Bray unquestionably gives the Vols a better chance to move the football, assuming he is close to 100% and not playing out of desperation. You notice in the quotes below that OC Jim Chaney used terms like "rust", "rusty" and "worry". The key to this game however may have nothing to do with throwing the football but instead the ground games. According to our ACCU-Stats (see below), Vanderbilt is over a yard better at running and stopping the run – a massive advantage for a team favored by less than a field Read more


Tags: College Basketball Tennessee Volunteers Vanderbilt Commodores SEC




NCAAB Betting Recap: Long Beach pounds Pittsburgh as double-digit underdog

11.17.2011     05:54 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We cashed another top play Big Drive winner Wednesday when Long Beach State (+13.5) beat No. 9 Pittsburgh, 86-76. The Beach Boys traveled cross country and beat the Big East bullies in convincing fashion. This was no fluke. Read the recap and box score and you’ll see the 49ers outplayed Pitt the entire way while shooting 59% from the floor.

With that pointspread prognosis winner, we won our sixth-straight college basketball game and we’re off to a sizzling 6-1 start to the season. I posted some notes with an article yesterday noting that Long Beach State was playing the toughest schedule in the country this season, but that the 49ers were a very experienced and together team that was going to make some noise on their way to the NCAA Tournament this season. Coach Dan Monson is challenging this team to turn a tough schedule into competitive contests and more wins this season, and the Big West preseason favorite delivered big in their opening act, ending Pittsburgh’s 58-game Read more


Tags: College Basketball Long Beach State 49ers Pittsburgh Panthers __



158

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