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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: How to bet College Football Bowl Games Part II

12.30.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I wrote an article in this space prior to bowl season (link) detailing my personal strategies for turning a profit during these three weeks of high stakes affairs.  But as I do my research for the upcoming games, I continue to find a bevy of outdated information widely available on the internet; strategies that haven’t worked in years, yet they’ve become a part of the gambling lexicon. 

I did a national radio spot last week with a well-known host.  He brought up three strategies as the sharp Vegas method.  None of them work.  In fact, none of them have worked in years. I don’t think the host was an idiot – there’s just a bevy of bad information out there!

So my goal for this week’s column is to poke holes in the outdated information.  The betting markets are not a static entity; always morphing and evolving.  What worked five, ten or twenty years ago doesn’t necessarily work as 2013 shifts to 2014.  And when it Read more


Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




Pinstripe Bowl Betting Preview: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

12.27.2013     11:50 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rutgers vs. Notre Dame
Pinstripe Bowl - Bronx, NY
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -15.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -14 O/U 53.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -18.5

Instead of playing for a BCS Championship like last year, Notre Dame finds itself in the Bronx at Yankee Stadium facing a .500 team. Sportsbooks have the Irish (8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) favored by -14 or -14.5 with a total of 53.5. Gamblers can back the Scarlet Knights on the money line for a +475 payout (risk $100 to win $475). For first-half wagers, Notre Dame is a 7.5-point chalk with a total of 27.

Brian Kelly’s team had several solid victories this season, including scalps of Southern Cal, Michigan State, Arizona State, and BYU. The Irish lost at Michigan, vs. Oklahoma, at Pitt, and at Stanford.

Senior quarterback Tommy Rees threw for 2,938 yards with a 27-13 touchdown-to-interception ratio. T.J. Read more


Tags: College Football Rutgers Scarlet Knights AAC Notre Dame Fighting Irish Brian Edwards




Texas Bowl Betting Preview: Syracuse Orange vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

12.27.2013     07:36 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Syracuse vs. Minnesota
Texas Bowl - Houston, Texas
Friday, 3 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Minnesota -4.5 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Minnesota -4.5 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Minnesota -7.5

Motivation is always a key in handicapping bowl games, and that force will be pretty equal in tonight’s Texas bowl matchup between Minnesota and Syracuse.  The Gophers dropped their final two games and are looking for their first nine win season since 2003.  In addition, the Gophers arrive in Houston failing to score an offensive touchdown in their last 10 quarters of play.  Meanwhile, the Orange was fortunate to even go bowling with a season finale victory over Boston College.  However, at 6-6, Syracuse will look to make it back-to-back winning seasons for the first time since 2001 when the program was just tailing off as a force in the college football world.

The Gophers have a long history Read more


Tags: College Football Syracuse Orange ACC Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten Erin Rynning




Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines vs. Kansas State Wildcats

12.26.2013     06:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan vs. Kansas State
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl - Tempe, Ariz.
Saturday, December 28, 7:15 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Kansas State -3 O/U 56
CRIS Current: Kansas State -4.5 O/U 55.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Kansas State pk
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Michigan

Michigan’s starting QB Devin Gardner has been sidelined throughout the Wolverines bowl practices, suffering from a nasty case of turf toe.  According to a pre-Christmas report from the Detroit News, Gardner is not likely to play in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl against Kansas State. 

Head coach Brady Hoke’s quote upon arriving with the team in Arizona on Monday: “It’s kind of day to day. But right now, if we were playing tonight he would not play. We’re going into it that Shane (Morris) will be the guy.”

While Gardner had a very up and down campaign, he only Read more


Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Kansas State Wildcats Big XII Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Playoff bound, but Super Bowl XLVIII bound?

12.23.2013     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last year, heading into Week 17, Atlanta was the team to beat in the NFC, having already clinched homefield advantage with their 13-2 (at the time) record.  Washington was the hottest team in the conference and Green Bay was considered very live for the title, with Aaron Rodgers just one year removed from his Super Bowl ring.  In the AFC, the playoff were expected to be an eventual battle between the Patriots and Broncos, with the other four teams (Baltimore, Cincinnati, Houston and Indy) largely considered to be fodder for the elites; non-factors.

What happened? A San Francisco-Baltimore Super Bowl, won by the Ravens; their third straight postseason win as an underdog.  Let’s not forget that Baltimore entered the playoffs in the midst of a late season 1-4 SU and ATS skid; a team that NOBODY expected to make noise in January and February.

In 2011, in the NFC, Green Bay was the unbeatable juggernaut with a 15-1 record as the defending champs, and the Saints weren’t far behind, just one year removed from a Drew Brees Super Bowl ring.  Meanwhile, the Giants were on the outside of the playoff picture, needing to beat Dallas just to get Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Super Bowl XLVIII Las Vegas




College Football Handicapping: Texas wants to win one for Mack

12.20.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas vs. Oregon -13.5 O/U 67

Win won for the Mackster is what Texas is saying following the resignation of Texas head coach Mack Brown. Interesting that the players claim the announcement caught them off guard.


"It was definitely shocking," defensive end Jackson Jeffcoat said. "Just the timing of it, we didn't expect it. You always hear things floating around, always hear rumors, but you never really pay attention to it until something happens.

"It really upset us when it happened. He made his decision and he's still coaching for this game, so we've got to get ready for this."

"We love Coach Brown," safety Adrian Phillips said. "We're just going to fight with Coach Brown to the last straw, and that'll be against Oregon. We've got to send him out Read more



Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII Oregon Ducks PAC-12




NFL Gambling Preview: Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

12.19.2013     12:47 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland at New York Jets
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New York -1 O/U 39.5
CRIS Current: New York -2.5 O/U 40
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New York -3.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: New York

The Browns are 1-8 since Brian Hoyer got hurt, suffering yet another heartbreak in a season full of them in last week’s loss to the Bears; their fifth consecutive defeat.  Despite scoring two defensive touchdowns, and entering the fourth quarter with the lead for the third straight week, the Browns defense wilted during crunch time and their offense couldn’t move the football when it mattered most. 

The Browns haven’t won on the road since their Week 3 victory at Minnesota, and they’re priced here as a team that likely needs to win the game in order to cover the pointspread.  To make matters even worse, the injury bug continues to bite, leaving pro bowl Read more


Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns New York Jets Teddy Covers




Las Vegas Bowl Betting Preview: USC Trojans vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

12.19.2013     12:39 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
USC vs. Fresno State
Las Vegas Bowl
December 21, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
USC -4.5 O/U 62
CRIS Current: USC -6 O/U 63
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: USC -3.5 1st half

When the bowl pairings were announced a couple of Sundays ago, this matchup was one where the motivational angle of each team was questioned. Fresno State went from BCS buster three weeks ago to this late December, mid-afternoon appearance while the Trojans received this bid on the heels of the resignation of beloved interim head coach Ed Orgeron. To have the early handicapping concern that this game may be anti-climactic for both of these teams was legitimate but all signs currently point to Fresno State and USC having regrouped and now focused on this game.

For the Bulldogs, record setting senior quarterback Derek Carr quoted the team mantra heading into this contest Read more


Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12 Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West Rob Veno




NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor heading into Week 15

12.19.2013     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

If you’re new to the blog, these are per-game averages in the sum of total plays + penalties + field goal attempts + punts for games involving each team. Buffalo’s games have had the most plays at 167.4 by my count, even faster paced than the “Oregon-style” Philadelphia Eagles at 166.8. Of course, Buffalo also has a first-year coach that just came up from the college level. The slowest paced team by this measure is Carolina, with 146.0 in their games on average. Hasn’t that pace helped the defense drive while encouraging Cam Newton to play relatively mistake-free?

The scale…

Helter Skelter (159 and up)

Buffalo 167.4

Philadelphia 166.8

Cleveland 165.6

Denver 163.6

New England 163.0

Baltimore 161.7

Kansas City 159.4
 
Faster Than Average (156-158)

Jacksonville 157.3 (influenced by playing from behind so Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Betting Preview: Buffalo Bulls vs. San Diego State Aztecs

12.18.2013     11:40 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo vs. San Diego State
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Boise, Idaho
Saturday, December 21, 2:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Buffalo -1.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: San Diego State pk O/U 53
Rob Veno's Power Rating: San Diego State -0.5

An interesting MAC vs. Mountain West matchup will take place on the blue turf in Boise when the Buffalo Bulls (8-4) face the San Diego State Aztecs (7-5). Buffalo was a surprise this season jumping from a dismal 4-8 in 2012 to 8-4. This will mark the program’s second-ever bowl appearance – they lost to UConn by 18 in 2009. Buffalo head coach Jeff Quinn’s quote indicates that his team is very excited for this opportunity:

“It's been four years in the making. We talked about setting our goals towards being a football program that has a November and December tradition. And to be invited to a bowl game when we knew there were more bowl eligible Read more


Tags: College Football Buffalo Bulls MAC San Diego State Aztecs Mountain West Ian Cameron



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 01, 2014 09:14 PM.