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College Basketball Betting Free Play: South Alabama Jaguars at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

12.05.2015     08:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
South Alabama at Middle Tennessee State -10.5 O/U 142.5
Recommendation: Under

Middle Tennessee State has always been a defense-first, slow paced team under long time head coach Kermit Davis. And they've struggled offensively this season (0.99 ppp) because they're without their best point guard, Jacob Ivory, who has been sidelined with a concussion. South Alabama likes to get up and down the floor but its numbers are certainly skewed having played two power conference teams (NC State and LSU) and Belmont -- all three have the ability to score big points, especially against an average mid-major team like USA. And that's exactly what they did as the trio averaged 88 ppg. But I put more stock in USA's game at Denver which had only 65 possessions and 125 points. MTSU isn't as deliberate as the Pioneers, but there's a similar amount of defensive acumen. Also note that South Alabama kicked gunner Taishaun Johnson off the team recently. Johnson was a double-digit scorer and the team's top player in terms of possessions used. Last season, Johnson attempted the most free throws on the team and hit 78%. MTSU was able to control the pace in last year's meeting Read more

Tags: College Basketball South Alabama Jaguars Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Andrew Lange

NFL Betting News: Las Vegas sportsbooks breathe sign of relief after Ravens' MNF win

12.01.2015     06:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Funny how these things tend to work out. Heading into last night's Baltimore-Cleveland game, a few Las Vegas sportsbooks were reporting a comical imbalance of money on the Browns. Cleveland opened at a pick 'em offshore and -1.5 in Las Vegas and closed -6. The Ravens of course blocked the potential game winning field goal and took it to the house for outright win. Perhaps a lesson that when someone's reporting 99% of the action is one side, it's probably wise to take a gander at the team that has “no chance.”

"It'll easily be the biggest Monday night decision of the year," Rood said. "It's just a huge, huge decision."

"We have a ton of money on Cleveland," Simbal said Sunday night. "In fact, 99.3 percent of the money is on Cleveland so far."

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Cleveland Browns Las Vegas

NBA Handicapper Free Play: Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks

11.30.2015     10:55 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Denver at Milwaukee -4 O/U 200
Recommendation: Milwaukee

Neither team playing well right now as they each sit at 6-11 and in last place of their respective divisions. Denver has lost six straight and have had numerous injuries to deal with thus far especially to their big men. The Bucks have had some early season injuries as well but currently head coach Jason Kidd is trying to correct their leaky defense. In that regard, Kidd went to a different starting lineup yesterday in Charlotte and the switches did help as Milwaukee allowed just 87 points in the five-point loss. Beyond just replacing starting PG Michael Carter-Williams and PF Jabari Parker in the lineup, the larger picture is the message Kidd is sending to his team about the need to defend better. Off of a season where defense became the Bucks calling card, it has likely been more lack of effort rather than lock down ability and have to believe this group will build off Sunday’s result and step it up on that end. Kidd is still pondering what his best starting lineup will be but his message appears to have been received by the team.

The returns of Kenneth Faried and Joffrey Read more

Tags: NBA Denver Nuggets Milwaukee Bucks Rob Veno

NFL Gambling Preview: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

11.27.2015     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Buffalo at Kansas City
Sunday, 10 am PT
CRIS Opener:
Kansas City -5.5 O/U 42.5
CRIS Current: Kansas City -6.5 O/U 41.5
Recommendation: Buffalo

The Chiefs' four-game winning streak has been as much about the weakness of their opponents than any other factor.  Since their 1-5 start, KC has beaten the Steelers with Landry Jones making his first career start.  They faced the Lions in London when Detroit was in complete disarray on offense.  They knocked off the Broncos in what might be Peyton Manning’s last career start, a woeful four interception performance from the future Hall of Famer.  And last week, they knocked off a bottom tier, injury riddled Chargers squad in blowout fashion.

I’m not saying that Kansas City is a bad team, not by any stretch of the imagination.  But the Chiefs are a long, long way from being elite, and they’re an overvalued betting commodity at this stage of the campaign following this series of wins and covers.

The Chiefs offense is, most assuredly, a second tier unit.  They rank #22 in the NFL in red zone Read more

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Kansas City Chiefs Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

11.24.2015     10:32 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Wisconsin at Minnesota
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - Big Ten Network
CRIS Opener:
Wisconsin -2.5 O/U NL
CRIS Current: Wisconsin -2.5 O/U NL
Recommendation: Minnesota

It's a Big Ten classic rivalry match-up as the Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Wisconsin Badgers in the battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers beat Illinois 32-26 at home last week and now need just one more victory to become bowl eligible for the fourth consecutive year. It's been a rough one for Minnesota with Jerry Kill forced to retire and countless injuries throughout the season. Quarterback Mitch Leidner said he will play despite injuring his hand and foot against the Illini.

Wisconsin comes into the game 8-3 after dropping a 13-7 decision to Northwestern in their home finale. The Badgers thought they had the game won but the would-be game winning touchdown was overturned. They were eliminated from Big Ten West contention prior to that game. Wisky's claim to fame this season has been its defense with some of the best numbers in the country. The schedule however (71st SOS) comes up light particularly in the Big Ten where Read more

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten Alex B. Smith

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL teams starting to change their stripes

11.23.2015     11:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s Week 12 already. Thanksgiving is upon us, with the holiday season right behind it.  All the NFL Bye weeks are in the rear view mirror now, with every team still having exactly six games remaining in the regular season.  We’re seeing numerous ‘morphs’ around the league; teams that have changed their stripes rather dramatically over the course of the last month. 

Some of those morphs are duly noted by the betting markets.  For example, the 3-7 Cowboys with a healthy Tony Romo are favored over the 10-0 Panthers on Thanksgiving Day, with the betting markets reacting to the Cowboys positive showing with Tony Romo back behind center this past Sunday.  The markets certainly aren’t sleeping on Dallas right now!

But what about the Lions, winners of two straight since their woeful 1-7 start?  Or the Falcons, now just 1-4 in their last five games; struggling on both sides of the football?  The Jets aren’t the same team now that they were a month ago, especially if the injuries to shutdown corner Darrelle Revis and Pro Bowl caliber center Nick Mangold don’t heal quickly.  Should we Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas

College Football Gambling: Minnesota offense trying to be more dynamic

11.19.2015     06:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Interesting article about Minnesota trying to open up its offense and take more chances under new head coach Tracy Claeys. Jerry Kill, as we know, was pretty conservative when it came to play calling. In the three games under Claeys, the Golden Gophers averaged over 6 yards per play despite facing the three above average defenses of Michigan, Ohio State, and Iowa.

“One of the interesting things is that I think Coach Kill always felt that way,” Limegrover said. “So that kind of permeated down. … And interestingly enough, with Tracy being the defensive coordinator and now the head coach, he’s been the one to say, ‘Hey, go ahead and take a chance here.’ ”

Tags: College Football Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten

NFL Gambling Preview: Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears

11.18.2015     09:30 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Denver at Chicago
Sunday, 10 am PT
CRIS Opener:
Chicago pk O/U 43
CRIS Current: Chicago -1 O/U 41.5
Recommendation: Chicago

The Denver Broncos (7-2) head to the Windy City on Sunday to take on the surging Chicago Bears (4-5). The Broncos suffered their second straight defeat last week in a 29-13 loss the Kansas City Chiefs. The big story in that contest was Peyton Manning surpassing Brett Favre as the NFL's all-time passing yardage leader, only to throw four interceptions on 20 attempts and get benched in favor of Brock Osweiler.  Osweiler threw for two touchdowns well after the game was out of reach in the fourth quarter. The Chiefs held Denver's run game in check as well, yielding just 69 yards on the ground on 16 total carries.

Chicago won for the second straight weekend with a 37-13 blowout of the St. Louis Rams. Running back Jeremy Langford was the star of this contest has he picked up 73 yards rushing and 109 yards receiving along with a pair of touchdowns. Tight end Zach Miller also picked up two touchdowns and 107 yards receiving on just five catches; his longest, an 80-yard Read more

Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Chicago Bears Alex B. Smith

College Football Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Oregon Ducks

11.17.2015     07:56 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
USC at Oregon
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -3.5 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Oregon -4 O/U 71.5
Recommendation: Oregon

The Oregon Ducks are back in the good graces of bettors after winning and covering four straight. Note that two weeks ago, the Ducks closed -3.5 vs. a struggling Cal team and now asked to lay -4 vs. USC. The storyline for Oregon's surge has been its offense. Over the last three games combined, the Duck have averaged over 8 yards per play, including 9.08 against Stanford. Their ability to move the football virtually at will has offset a suspect defense that allowed well over 6 yards per play. But allowing that type of yardage isn't all doom-and-gloom when you're routinely outgaining the opposition. In PAC-12 play, Oregon is an impressive +0.99 ypp.

Under the watch of interim head coach Clay Helton, USC has quietly changed its stripes. Over their last four games all victories the Trojans have Read more

Tags: College Football USC Troans Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Andrew Lange

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Updating NFL Regular Season O/U Wins

11.16.2015     08:05 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
I write a lot about NFL Win Totals and NFL Divisional Odds throughout the summer months; my preferred methodology for discussing the upcoming season.  As we approach Thanksgiving, with Week 10 in the books and the final bye weeks coming up this weekend, it’s a good opportunity to take a look at how those wagers are faring heading into the homestretch of the 2015 campaign.

The very first NFL season win bets cashed this past weekend.  Dallas fell to 2-7, ensuring that the Cowboys cannot go Over their 9.5 game win total.  Carolina improved to 9-0, cashing their Over 8.5 win total from last summer.  Seattle fell to 4-5.  Even if the Seahawks win all of their remaining games, they can do no better than push their 11 game win total. 

It’s a similar story with Baltimore, sitting at 2-7 now, with a win total of 9 from last summer.  A 7-0 Ravens run to end the season would only produce a push for Over bettors. And while I write this column before Monday Night Football kicks off, the Bengals are in prime position to cash their Over 8.5 win total, 8-0 now and sitting as double digit favorites against the Texans.

A Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers


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