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NFL Handicapping: Elo Ratings vs. Market Prices Week 5

10.03.2014     10:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Link to FiveThirtyEight.com's Elo Ratings and spreads for NFL Week 5. Some of the biggest discrepancies include...

Baltimore at Indianapolis
Market: Indianapolis -3/-3.5
ELO: Indianapolis -2

Buffalo at Detroit
Market: Detroit -7
ELO: Detroit -5.5


Cleveland at Tennessee
Market: Tennessee -2
ELO: Tennessee -4.5

Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Market: New Orleans -10
ELO: New Orleans -7.5

Arizona at Denver
Market: Denver -7.5
ELO: Denver -3.5

 




Tags: NFL




College Football Betting Preview: Kent State Golden Flashes at Northern Illinois Huskies

10.03.2014     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kent State at Northern Illinois
Saturday, 2 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
Northern Illinois -21.5 O/U 57.5
CRIS Current: Northern Illinois -24.5 O/U 59
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Northern Illinois -20
Drew Martin's Recommendation: Under

The Northern Illinois Huskies will put their 27-game home win streak (the longest in the nation) on the line Saturday afternoon when they host the Kent State Golden Flashes. None of the players on NIU's 2014 roster have ever lost in Huskie Stadium. Kent State comes into this MAC showdown seeking its first win of the season.

The winningest program in Illinois and in the Mid-American Conference over the last decade, the Huskies have won two Mid-American Conference championships, four straight MAC West titles, and in 2013 made a MAC record sixth-straight bowl appearance. The Huskies' 49 wins since 2010 ranks third among all FBS teams behind Oregon and Read more



Tags: College Football Kent State Golden Flashes Northern Illinois Huskies MAC Drew Martin




College Football Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at TCU Horned Frogs

10.03.2014     07:22 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma at TCU
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -5 O/U 53.5
CRIS Current: OKlahoma -4.5 O/U 57
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -6.5
Paul Stone's Recommendation: TCU

Playing true to preseason projections, the Oklahoma Sooners have performed like legitimate national championship playoff contenders through the season's opening month.

However, like all teams hoping to ultimately land a spot in college football's inaugural version of the Final Four, the Sooners certainly have a handful of circled dates on their schedule. Those games that, at least on paper, pose the type of challenge that could derail the best laid national playoff plans.

One of those potential land mines comes Saturday when fourth-ranked Oklahoma travels to Fort Worth to tangle with the TCU Horned Frogs.

Under first-year co-offensive coordinators Doug Meachem and Sonny Cumbie, TCU, which is Read more



Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners TCU Horned Frogs Big XII Paul Stone




College Football Betting Preview: Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma State Cowboys

10.02.2014     07:41 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa State at Oklahoma State
Saturday, 9 am PT - FS1
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma State -17 O/U 62
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -17 O/U 65.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma State -17
OTTO Sports' Recommendation: Oklahoma State

If you run through Iowa State's scores, it would appear that the Cyclones are on the upswing with a near upset of Kansas State, a win at Iowa, and a spread cover/push vs. Baylor. Statistics, however, tell a different story. The Cyclones were badly outgained in their three losses to the tune of 1578-911 and on the season, ISU is -1.77 ypc and -1.29 ypp. Only against Iowa’s anemic offense was ISU able to play a team "even" from a box score perspective.

I don't downgrade Oklahoma State at all with Daxx Garman under center. He's struggled at times with his accuracy but makes up for it with his big play ability (10.7 ypa). It's a good matchup against Read more



Tags: College Football Iowa State Cyclones Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII OTTO Sports




NFL Gambling Preview: Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos

10.01.2014     02:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona at Denver
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -8.5 O/U 49.5
CRIS Current: Denver -7 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -7.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

The defending AFC champion Broncos have yet to cover a pointspread in three tries this season; one of only three teams that are winless ATS (the Jets at 0-3-1 ATS and the Jaguars at 0-4 ATS are the other two).  But all three of the Broncos ATS defeats deserve at least a little bit of an asterisk attached to them.

In Week 1, Denver was in complete control throughout against the Colts, but Indy made a late rally thanks to a recovered onside kick to lose by only seven points as 7.5 point underdogs.  The following week, the Broncos were again comfortably in control against the Chiefs but a serious of penalties and ‘third and long’ conversions allowed KC to hang around.  The Broncos offense only had two drives Read more



Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Denver Broncos Teddy Covers




College Footbal Betting Preview: Stanford Cardinal at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

10.01.2014     02:24 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford at Notre Dame
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Stanford -2.5 O/U 41.5
CRIS Current: Stanford -1.5 O/U 44
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Stanford -1.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Notre Dame

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish looks to remain undefeated with their toughest challenge of the season, the Stanford Cardinal, on tap for Saturday. I successfully bet against Stanford as 8-point road favorites last week in its 20-13 win on the road against Washington. The Cardinal is definitely one of the contenders in the PAC-12 but I think they are somewhat overvalued in the betting markets as oddsmakers respect their defense but don’t realize how difficult it can be to move the ball at times.  They controlled most of the game vs. Washington with a 364-179 total yards edge but three turnovers and problems converting drives into points prevented them from putting the Huskies away. I Read more



Tags: College Football Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Ian Cameron




College Football Betting Podcast 10-1-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

10.01.2014     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wedneday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian, Erin, and host Andrew Lange talked PAC-12 and Big Ten.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - PAC-12 Report

Erin Rynning - Big Ten Report

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football PAC-12 Big Ten Ian Cameron Erin Rynning Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan State Spartans

10.01.2014     06:22 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska at Michigan State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -8 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Michigan State -7 O/U 58
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Michigan State -10
Andrew Lange’s Recommendation: Michigan State

Thanks to yesterday's market move we can step in and grab the key number of -7 with Michigan State as it plays host to Nebraska this Saturday. The Spartans were as high as -9 on Monday but some bettors appear to be buying into the Cornhuskers' 5-0 start.

In typical Nebraska fashion we've seen flashes of solid play as well as ineptitude throughout the first month of the season. They were lucky to beat FCS McNeese State, crushed Fresno on the road, played "box score even" with Miami, and then bashed Illinois who was without its starting quarterback. During those swatch of games, the Cornhuskers establishing a run-first identity with over 1,774 Read more



Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Podcast 9-30-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno

09.30.2014     10:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno. Ian covered the Big XII while Rob discussed early Week 6 line moves.

Today's segments
Ian Cameron - Big XII Report

Rob Veno - College Football Week 6 Line Moves

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Big XII Ian Cameron Rob Veno Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6

09.29.2014     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Week 6's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets. A lot of opinions have obviously changed since the summer, most notably with Baylor and TCU. Most projected the Bears to take a step back this season but oddsmakers continue to struggle with pricing this team. Note than the current -14.5 was bet up from an opener of -12.5. Oklahoma is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS and has looked the part of a playoff contender. But in the eyes of most TCU (3-0 SU/ATS) is much improved with blowout wins over Samford, Minnesota, and SMU. This week's outcome will likely have a big impact on how the Horned Frogs are priced in October with games at Baylor, vs. Oklahoma State, vs. Texas Tech, and at West Virginia.

2014 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6
Away
Home
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Arizona
Oregon
Oregon -25
Oregon -22.5
Louisville
Syracuse
Louisville -1
Louisville -3.5
LSU
Auburn
Auburn -6.5
Auburn -9
Arizona State
USC
USC -11
USC -10
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech
Miami (FL) -4
Georgia Tech pk
Vanderbilt
Georgia
Georgia -24
Georgia -32
Wisconsin
Northwestern
Wisconsin -7
Wisconsin -10
Alabama
Ole Miss
Alabama -9
Alabama -5
Virginia Tech
North Carolina
North Carolina -10
North Carolina pk
NC State
Clemson
Clemson -23
Clemson -14
Baylor
Texas
Baylor -3
Baylor -14.5
Texas A&M
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -3
Mississippi State -1
Texas Tech
Kansas State
Kansas State -7
Kansas State N/L
Boise State
Nevada
Boise State -6
Boise State -2.5
Oklahoma
TCU
Oklahoma -14
Oklahoma -5
Florida
Tennessee
Florida -4.5
Florida -1
Stanford
Notre Dame
Stanford -6
Stanford -1
Nebraska
Michigan State
Michigan State -8
Michigan State -9.5





Tags: College Football Baylor Bears TCU Horned Frogs Big XII



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 07, 2015 01:54 AM.