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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors ready for Super Bowl XLIX

01.26.2015     10:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s Super Bowl time again.  I use this line every year because it’s true – this IS the moral equivalent of Christmas Day for many sports bettors.  Yet, much like last year, many of the professional full time bettors that I know are rather disappointed with the proposition betting opportunities for Super Bowl XLIX – there’s simply not much low hanging fruit.  The biggest and best sportsbooks (market leaders both here in Vegas and offshore) have learned from previous mistakes.  Weak numbers do NOT abound in 2015.

Let me start with the game itself.  The Super Bowl itself has been an underdog bettor’s paradise in recent years.   The Seahawks were underdogs at kickoff last year in their blowout win over the Broncos. The Ravens won the Super Bowl in 2013, as the underdog, beating the favored 49ers.  The Giants won the year before as an underdog; knocking off the Patriots.  In 2010, the Saints won straight up as a dog over Peyton Manning and the Colts.  In 2009, the Cardinals covered the spread in a tight loss to the Steelers.  In 2008, the Gia nts beat the favored 18-0 Patriots Read more

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLIX Teddy Covers Las Vegas

Season ticket sales key if NHL wants to set up shop in Las Vegas

01.20.2015     01:19 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The NHL is considering an expansion team in Las Vegas but before they pull the trigger, the biggest question remains will there be enough interest? Obviously they’ll draw from the tourist crowd but local interest, particularly that of season ticket holders, will be paramount.

"I've never understood who the Vegas market is," said former Calgary Flames general manager Craig Button. "People live there (because they work there). I don't know any Las Vegans or whatever you call them. I don't know if you can have a professional sports team there if you don't know who your market is."

"If we sell 10,000 season tickets, I believe we will go a long ways to getting the franchise," Foley told USA TODAY Sports. "Ten thousand is our number."

Tags: NHL Las Vegas

A perfect match: Gambling and the Super Bowl

01.20.2015     08:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Publicly, the NFL is among one of the staunchest opponents of legalized gambling. Former commissioner Paul Tagliabue and current commissioner Roger Goodell were instrumental in getting the anti gaming ‘Illegal Internet Gambling Prohibition Act’ attached to the Port Security Bill. The NFL has taken this stance despite the fact that its enormous popularity is, in no small part, due to the prevalence of betting on games.

The hypocrisy of the NFL in regards to betting is almost laughable. The facts, as you will see, clearly show that the league was founded by gamblers for gamblers. From the NFL’s first television appearance in 1939 through the current TV deal that pumps more than three billion dollars per year into the league coffers, the NFL’s popularity rests upon the shoulders of those who wager on the outcome of the games.

Here in the 21st century, the NFL is the most popular and profitable sport in the. NFL owners are among the richest men in the world; franchises are bought and sold for more than half a billion dollars. However, the league’s humble origins were anything but the extravagant bonanza that is the NFL today. Read more

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLIX Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting: Michigan loses leading scorer LeVert

01.20.2015     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Michigan will be without its best offensive player, Caris LeVert (foot), for the remainder of the season. A projected first round draft pick, LeVert led the Wolverines in scoring, possessions used, shots, assist rate, and steals rate. He's also one of the few upperclassmen in UM's regular rotation. Tonight' opponent, Rutgers, will be favored for just the second time in Big Ten play. The Scarlet Knights were laying -3 vs. Northwestern and lost 51-47.

Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Eastern Conference Betting News and Notes

01.19.2015     07:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
There’s only one meaningful game remaining in the 2014 football season.  Meanwhile, the NBA has reached the halfway point of the 2014-15 campaign without much fanfare.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll be focusing on NBA Notes and Quotes from three pointspread outliers from the Eastern Conference.  How can we make money off these teams as they morph from contenders to pretenders or vice versa?  Read on to find out!

The Atlanta Hawks have been the single most under-reported story of the current NBA season, by a fairly wide margin.  Make no mistake about it – right now, the Hawks are the best team in the Eastern Conference and it’s not even close!  And, as a smaller market team without marquee superstars, Atlanta continues to retain their pointspread value; still very much a bet-on team two full months after their hot streak started!

Hawks head coach Mike Budenholzer was a longtime Greg Popovich assistant in San Antonio, and his team is drawing comparisons to the Spurs on a nightly basis.  Budenholzer’s squad relies, like the defending champs, on ball movement and depth.  The Hawks lead Read more

Tags: NBA Atanta Hawks Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Providence Friars at Creighton Blue Jays

01.17.2015     09:10 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Providence at Creighton -2 O/U 132
Recommendation: Under

Providence head coach Ed Cooley has always preached defense first and when the Friars are at their best, the stop unit grades out as above average. But the problem has been consistency: guard well for two games and then lay an egg. Earlier this season, Providence allowed 75 to Marquette and bounced back with back-to-back strong defensive showings against Butler and Georgetown. Last time out, the Friars allowed 83 to St. John's, including 10-of-17 from 3-point land. I would expect a far better showing against Creighton who through five Big East games has really struggled to score (0.96 ppp). The Blue Jays (0-5 vs. Big East) have had some game efforts of late with one-point losses to Seton Hall and Marquette. Considering what they lost from last year's team and the competitiveness of the Big East, it's not shocking to see them struggle. Their league games have all been fairly slow in terms of pace including the first meeting vs. Providence in which the Friars won 65-53 (63 possessions). Should be a competitive game which leaves the door open for a late second half lull. With the total currently Read more

Tags: College Basketball Providence Friars Creighton Blue Jays Andrew Lange

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

01.16.2015     11:10 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Pittsburgh +100 at NY Islanders O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Pittsburgh

This should be a terrific Eastern Conference showdown here as the Penguins and Islanders, two of the top three teams in the East, do battle with temporary possession of 1st place in the Metropolitan Division at stake. Pittsburgh has won two straight against Montreal and Minnesota while they’ve collected at least a point in five of their last six games. The Penguins have dropped two straight to the NY Islanders this season and I think this is a circled game of sorts for Pittsburgh to prove the Eastern Conference still goes through them as they sit just 1 point behind the Islanders. New York has been a major surprise this season and they have won six of their last eight games by getting timely goals, dramatically improving their defensive play in their own zone, while also getting solid goaltending from Jaroslav Halak. But the Islanders are coming off a monster statement victory against the defending Eastern Conference champion NY Rangers in a 3-0 shutout win and they may not find it all that easy getting themselves fired up once again for another big game. This Penguins team will Read more

Tags: NHL Pittsburgh Penguins New York Islanders Ian Cameron

College Basketball Handicapping: Quick hitters on Saturday's games

01.16.2015     08:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Here are some quick hitters on this weekend's marquee college basketball matchups.

Utah at Arizona - After a home friendly schedule to start PAC-12 play, the Utes took care of business last night at Arizona State (76-59). Arizona rolled over an injury-riddled Colorado squad. The total for this one should come out somewhere in the mid-120's. It'll feature two of the top 10 defensive teams in the country in terms of efficiency. In the three other instances where they has happened this season we saw very limited scoring: Kentucky vs. Louisville (108 points), San Diego State vs. Utah (102 points), and Arizona vs. San Diego State (120 points).

Kansas at Iowa State - Would expect a lot of pace and scoring in this matchup based on last year's three meetings. The Jayhawks won both regular season meetings but the Cyclones got revenge in the Big XII Tournament. Those three contests averaged 152 possessions and 165 points. Oddsmakers have been adjusting high totals toward the under so expect this one to open around 146-147.

Ohio State at Iowa - The Hawkeyes finally got their offense going with 77 points last time Read more

Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Oregon State Beavers at Washington Huskies

01.15.2015     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Oregon State at Washington -7 O/U 123.5
Recommendation: Washington

The betting markets are starting to view this year’s Washington team much like the disappointing Huskies teams from recent years.  After back-2-back subpar campaigns – last year’s team won only 17 games and didn’t get invited to a postseason tournament following their first round exit from the PAC-12 tourney – this year’s team spent the first two months of the season as an undervalued commodity.

Washington opened the season 11-0, including a pair of outright upset wins as underdogs against quality Top 25 foes Oklahoma and San Diego State and five solid wins away from home.  Their roster, which didn’t look all that impressive to pundits heading into the campaign, has shown significant development.  The Huskies have a point guard who can play in half court sets in Nigel Williams-Goss, who leads the PAC-12 with 100 assists in 15 games.  And they’ve got interior defense for the first time in recent memory thanks to seven footer Robert Upshaw and his 61 blocks this year.

The Huskies 11 game winning Read more

Tags: College Basketball Oregon State Beavers Washington Huskies PAC-12 Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: Green Bay in rare role of touchdown underdog

01.13.2015     01:12 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Seattle Seahawks are a deserving touchdown favorite over the Green Bay Packers because A.) they are damn good, and B.) they are at home. But it's worth mentioning that it isn't too often you see the Packers, particularly with Aaron Rodgers under the center, this big of an underdog. According to the database hounds, Rodgers has never been more than a six-point dog during his 113 career starts. And the only time the Packers were catching this many points in the Mike McCarthy era was when Matt Flynn was chucking up wounded ducks with Rodgers injured.

Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks


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