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December

7

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College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

11.24.2015     10:32 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at Minnesota
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - Big Ten Network
CRIS Opener:
Wisconsin -2.5 O/U NL
CRIS Current: Wisconsin -2.5 O/U NL
Recommendation: Minnesota

It's a Big Ten classic rivalry match-up as the Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Wisconsin Badgers in the battle for Paul Bunyan's Axe. The Gophers beat Illinois 32-26 at home last week and now need just one more victory to become bowl eligible for the fourth consecutive year. It's been a rough one for Minnesota with Jerry Kill forced to retire and countless injuries throughout the season. Quarterback Mitch Leidner said he will play despite injuring his hand and foot against the Illini.

Wisconsin comes into the game 8-3 after dropping a 13-7 decision to Northwestern in their home finale. The Badgers thought they had the game won but the would-be game winning touchdown was overturned. They were eliminated from Big Ten West contention prior to that game. Wisky's claim to fame this season has been its defense with some of the best numbers in the country. The schedule however (71st SOS) comes up light particularly in the Big Ten where Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten Alex B. Smith




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL teams starting to change their stripes

11.23.2015     11:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s Week 12 already. Thanksgiving is upon us, with the holiday season right behind it.  All the NFL Bye weeks are in the rear view mirror now, with every team still having exactly six games remaining in the regular season.  We’re seeing numerous ‘morphs’ around the league; teams that have changed their stripes rather dramatically over the course of the last month. 

Some of those morphs are duly noted by the betting markets.  For example, the 3-7 Cowboys with a healthy Tony Romo are favored over the 10-0 Panthers on Thanksgiving Day, with the betting markets reacting to the Cowboys positive showing with Tony Romo back behind center this past Sunday.  The markets certainly aren’t sleeping on Dallas right now!

But what about the Lions, winners of two straight since their woeful 1-7 start?  Or the Falcons, now just 1-4 in their last five games; struggling on both sides of the football?  The Jets aren’t the same team now that they were a month ago, especially if the injuries to shutdown corner Darrelle Revis and Pro Bowl caliber center Nick Mangold don’t heal quickly.  Should we Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Football Gambling: Minnesota offense trying to be more dynamic

11.19.2015     06:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting article about Minnesota trying to open up its offense and take more chances under new head coach Tracy Claeys. Jerry Kill, as we know, was pretty conservative when it came to play calling. In the three games under Claeys, the Golden Gophers averaged over 6 yards per play despite facing the three above average defenses of Michigan, Ohio State, and Iowa.


“One of the interesting things is that I think Coach Kill always felt that way,” Limegrover said. “So that kind of permeated down. … And interestingly enough, with Tracy being the defensive coordinator and now the head coach, he’s been the one to say, ‘Hey, go ahead and take a chance here.’ ”






Tags: College Football Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten




NFL Gambling Preview: Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears

11.18.2015     09:30 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver at Chicago
Sunday, 10 am PT
CRIS Opener:
Chicago pk O/U 43
CRIS Current: Chicago -1 O/U 41.5
Recommendation: Chicago

The Denver Broncos (7-2) head to the Windy City on Sunday to take on the surging Chicago Bears (4-5). The Broncos suffered their second straight defeat last week in a 29-13 loss the Kansas City Chiefs. The big story in that contest was Peyton Manning surpassing Brett Favre as the NFL's all-time passing yardage leader, only to throw four interceptions on 20 attempts and get benched in favor of Brock Osweiler.  Osweiler threw for two touchdowns well after the game was out of reach in the fourth quarter. The Chiefs held Denver's run game in check as well, yielding just 69 yards on the ground on 16 total carries.

Chicago won for the second straight weekend with a 37-13 blowout of the St. Louis Rams. Running back Jeremy Langford was the star of this contest has he picked up 73 yards rushing and 109 yards receiving along with a pair of touchdowns. Tight end Zach Miller also picked up two touchdowns and 107 yards receiving on just five catches; his longest, an 80-yard Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Chicago Bears Alex B. Smith




College Football Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Oregon Ducks

11.17.2015     07:56 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
USC at Oregon
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -3.5 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Oregon -4 O/U 71.5
Recommendation: Oregon

The Oregon Ducks are back in the good graces of bettors after winning and covering four straight. Note that two weeks ago, the Ducks closed -3.5 vs. a struggling Cal team and now asked to lay -4 vs. USC. The storyline for Oregon's surge has been its offense. Over the last three games combined, the Duck have averaged over 8 yards per play, including 9.08 against Stanford. Their ability to move the football virtually at will has offset a suspect defense that allowed well over 6 yards per play. But allowing that type of yardage isn't all doom-and-gloom when you're routinely outgaining the opposition. In PAC-12 play, Oregon is an impressive +0.99 ypp.

Under the watch of interim head coach Clay Helton, USC has quietly changed its stripes. Over their last four games all victories the Trojans have Read more



Tags: College Football USC Troans Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Updating NFL Regular Season O/U Wins

11.16.2015     08:05 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I write a lot about NFL Win Totals and NFL Divisional Odds throughout the summer months; my preferred methodology for discussing the upcoming season.  As we approach Thanksgiving, with Week 10 in the books and the final bye weeks coming up this weekend, it’s a good opportunity to take a look at how those wagers are faring heading into the homestretch of the 2015 campaign.

The very first NFL season win bets cashed this past weekend.  Dallas fell to 2-7, ensuring that the Cowboys cannot go Over their 9.5 game win total.  Carolina improved to 9-0, cashing their Over 8.5 win total from last summer.  Seattle fell to 4-5.  Even if the Seahawks win all of their remaining games, they can do no better than push their 11 game win total. 

It’s a similar story with Baltimore, sitting at 2-7 now, with a win total of 9 from last summer.  A 7-0 Ravens run to end the season would only produce a push for Over bettors. And while I write this column before Monday Night Football kicks off, the Bengals are in prime position to cash their Over 8.5 win total, 8-0 now and sitting as double digit favorites against the Texans.

A Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget Game of the Year vs. CRIS - Week 12

11.16.2015     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
Week 12's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot week-to-week changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets. Not uncommon for this late in the season but we have a lot of big pointspread differentials in play. Baylor went from a double-digit road favorite to a small underdog vs. Oklahoma State. Penn State and Michigan basically flip-flopped prices. And weeks in the making but Missouri-Tennessee is more than 10 points off.

2015 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 12
Away
Home
Golden Nugget GOY
CRIS Current
San Diego State
UNLV
San Diego State -16
San Diego State -13
LSU
Ole Miss
Ole Miss pk
Ole Miss -4
TCU
Oklahoma
TCU -5
N/L
Baylor
Oklahoma State
Baylor -10
Oklahoma State -1
Michigan State
Ohio State
Ohio State -14
Ohio State -13
Michigan
Penn State
Penn State -4.5
Michigan -5.5
Mississippi State
Arkansas
Arkansas -10
Arkansas -3.5
Tennessee
Missouri
Missouri -2.5
Tennessee -8.5
USC
Oregon
Oregon -6.5
Oregon -4
Georgia Tech
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech -6
Miami (FL) -1
Arizona
Arizona State
Arizona State -3
N/L
UCLA
Utah
UCLA -1
Utah -3
California
Stanford
Stanford -13
Stanford -12





Tags: College Football




College Football Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears

11.13.2015     07:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma at Baylor
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Baylor -5 O/U 78
CRIS Current: Baylor -2.5 O/U 76
Recommendation: Baylor

Baylor has a clear path to the four team college football playoff this January.  If the Bears can win their last four games, they’re in, plain and simple.  Of course with Oklahoma at home, then road trips to face TCU and Oklahoma State over the next three games, Baylor’s three toughest tests of the season are coming in back-to-back-to-back weeks.

For a good portion of the season, I had Baylor ranked among the top two or three teams in all of college football in my power ratings.  And I’ve got the Bears homefield edge ranked as high as any in the land, as clearly evidenced by their remarkable 19-4 ATS mark in Waco dating back to the start of the 2012 campaign.  It’s surely worth noting that this is the shortest pointspread that Baylor has had at home since 2012 – they haven’t been less than -7 at home against anybody over the last three seasons.

But two things have happened to make me lower my Baylor Read more



Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners Baylor Bears Big XII Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Maryland Terrapins at Michigan State Spartans

11.12.2015     08:08 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Maryland at Michigan State
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -18 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Michigan State -15 O/U 57.5
Recommendation: Under

Off of last week's loss to Nebraska, Michigan State head coach Mark Dantonio proclaimed that his team would indeed bounce back. But before we get to what type of showing Sparty is sitting on this week, know that the defeat in Lincoln shouldn't come as a shock. Yes, Nebraska's season was up until that point a mess, but Michigan State had spent much of the season winning games with some serious smoke and mirrors. Prior to last week, MSU has just a 0.30 ypp advantage on its opponents despite playing an ultra-soft Big Ten schedule. It was all a matter of time before the dam burst.

Now, off their first loss of the season and with Ohio State on deck, the Spartans must get up for a home game against woeful Maryland. The markets, as they have all season, poured in with anti-MSU money with the line down from -18 to -15. I can hardly blame them as team vying for playoff berths that suffer late season losses are a logical fade. And while Sparty can Read more



Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Andrew Lange




NFL Gambing Preview: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

11.11.2015     02:05 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City at Denver
Sunday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Denver -7 O/U 42.5
CRIS Current: Denver -6 O/U 42
Recommendation: Over

Things change quickly in the NFL and there’s a different feel about Denver than there was just four days ago when they were 7-0. Obviously the loss to Indianapolis which was the late afternoon national game drew a lot of viewers. That negative perception of the Broncos combined with the losses of star defensive players DE DeMarcus Ware (back) and CB Aqib Talib (suspension) have taken the opening line of -7 down to -6 or even -5.5 depending on the outlet. Kansas City meanwhile is rested off of a bye and two consecutive victories prior to it. There’s certainly a sense of atonement in the Chiefs locker room after the unbelievable way they gift wrapped their Week 2 contest to Denver so expect them to be as motivated as possible for this divisional rematch.

Denver’s defense looked average for the first time last week and without a pair of their top players, it may make this week a bit difficult too.The Broncos like to apply consistent pressure up Read more



Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos Rob Veno



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