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College Football Handicapping: Alabama favored by double-digits over Auburn

11.25.2013     08:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Alabama -10.5 at Auburn

A lot at stake for Saturday's Iron Bowl as Alabama heads to Auburn. Following losses by Oregon and Baylor, the Tigers have jumped to No. 4 in the BCS rankings. The winner of the Iron Bowl will represent the SEC West in the conference championship. The Crimson Tide have won the last two meetings in dominating fashion, 49-0 (-34) and 42-14 (-21.5). CRIS opened Alabama -9.5 and it has since been bet up to -10/-10.5.

Conference Play Stats
Total Offense
2. Alabama - 490.9 ypg
3. Auburn - 471.0 ypg

Total Defense
1. Alabama - 294.6 ypg
11. Auburn - 452.0 ypg



Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Auburn Tigers SEC




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.25.2013     07:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I took a break from the typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season, focusing on NFC Playoff Contenders. I’ll finish that thought process this week, turning my focus towards the AFC.

I had a spirited debate with a fairly well known professional bettor on Sunday Night after the games were finished. We were both having the same problem; trying to figure out somebody – anybody – in the AFC worthy of support down the stretch as a Super Bowl contender. Frankly, there aren’t a whole lot of choices, and our debate primarily consisted of finding fatal flaws in whatever team the other guy brought up.

My power rating numbers have seven of the top ten teams in the NFL residing in the NFC (Seattle, New Orleans, San Francisco, Carolina, Arizona, Dallas and Detroit). An eighth team could join that group after Aaron Rodgers gets healthy for Green Bay.  And all three of those supposedly elite level AFC teams have problems, which is why I included a fourth contender in my discussion below.

Six AFC teams sit at 5-6 right now, tied for the final Wild Card Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens

11.24.2013     08:16 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Jets at Baltimore
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Baltimore -3 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Baltimore -3.5 O/U 39.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore -6
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

The New York Jets fly into Baltimore looking to extend their trend of alternating wins and losses.  While their defense looks up to task it won’t be easy for the offense.  Amazingly the Jets have gone OVER the total in 7 of their 10 games despite ranking 31st in points scored.  The offense led by quarterback Geno Smith has struggled throughout the campaign, while ranking 29th in passing offense.  Making matters much tougher for the offense will be Baltimore’s defense and the weather.  The Ravens defense is still capable, and tough to pass against with a talented secondary and ability to pressure the quarterback.  The weather forecast will make it difficult for both Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens New York Jets Erin Rynning




NFL Gambing Preview: Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins

11.22.2013     02:02 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Miami
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Carolina -3.5 O/U 40
CRIS Current: Carolina -4 O/U 41
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Carolina -3
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Carolina

Have to admit that Miami’s home victory over San Diego last Sunday was a bit surprising considering all of its problems. The largest issue for the Dolphins was the depleted offensive line which took a further hit last week when starting center Mike Pouncey (kidney) was unable to play. With 60% of the starting offensive line out, Miami was able to gain 343 total yards including 104 on the ground at 5.5 per carry. They did allow four sacks and their defense was stung for 435 yards by the Chargers. The win places Miami right at the doorstep of the playoffs at 5-5 just behind the current sixth seed New York Jets who have the same 5-5 mark. Carolina meanwhile, has moved into the fifth spot in the NFC following its controversial Monday night Read more


Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Miami Dolphins Rob Veno




Dan Mullen has a nice rack, is a horrible coach according to reliable sources

11.22.2013     01:50 PM     Printer Friendly


Tags: College Football Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC




NFL Handicapping: Dallas defense hopes bye week can spark improvement

11.21.2013     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
-Dallas- at -New York Giants- -2.5 O/U 45

The Dallas Cowboys are hoping the bye week will help solves their defensive struggles. "Big D" allowed 49 last time out to New Orleans, were outgained by Minnesota, and gave up 480 passing yards in a last second 31-30 loss to Detroit. The Cowboys have allowed a league-worst 313 ypg passing.


“Sometimes you go so fast from Sunday to Sunday, Sunday to Sunday and here comes Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and this and that, now we can sit back,” Kiffin said. “We had a good walk-through on the field with our staff and everybody. Then we got the guys back and re-evaluated some stuff, work your cut-ups in how we attack and what they’re doing.”

“There’s no [such] thing as magic,” Kiffin concluded. “We’ve just got to do a better job. We’ve all got to do a better job.”



 



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys New York Giants




College Football Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers

11.20.2013     01:05 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas A&M at LSU
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
LSU -4 O/U 70
CRIS Current: LSU -4.5 O/U 70.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -3
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Over

Although it has no bearing on the SEC West race, Saturday’s showdown between Texas A&M and LSU in Baton Rouge has implications galore for these two proud programs.

For starters, this is a recruiting game. Kevin Sumlin is starting to make inroads in Louisiana and Les Miles has always loved to work the I-10 corridor into East Texas. Also, the Aggies would love to avenge a 24-19 home loss to the Tigers last season.

On that afternoon in College Station, Texas A&M (8-2 straight up, 5-5 against the spread) raced out to a 12-0 lead but it could’ve been more. The Aggies had to settle for two field goals, missed an extra point and had a touchdown called back on one of the drives that ended in Read more


Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies LSU Tigers SEC Brian Edwards




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 12

11.20.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I was able to put together updated Drive Point averages early this week. The math is so easy when almost everyone’s played exactly 10 games! I also wanted to include strength of schedule data for each team as well, because that can pollute the numbers a smidge. I usually go to Sagarin for those (USA Today). And, his are usually in the neighborhood of Football Outsiders to. Figured I’d grab those too. Then, I can get any feng shui stuff out of my system now so I don’t have to write up a full report.

The numbers you see below are per-game Drive Point averages for every offense and defense. Drive Points are those scored and allowed on Drives of 60 yards or more. All other scoring is excluded (shorter drives, defensive points, special teams points). We’re looking to capture as best as possible each team’s ability to drive the field for points on offense, while preventing opponents from doing so.

In parenthesis, I’ve put the strength of schedule Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Play: East Carolina Pirates at Duke Blue Devils

11.19.2013     12:37 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
East Carolina at Duke -23.5
Recommendation: Duke


East Carolina knows it is lucky to be in this spot after rallying back from 17 down in the second half to clip Norfolk State by two. I give credit to the Pirates for fighting back but a vast majority of their win had to do with Norfolk's shortcomings (2-of-14 from 3, 10-of-20 from the line including multiple misses in crunch time). No question ECU put forth a ton of effort in that comeback win and with no rest they must turnaround and face a Duke squad that has had no trouble handling lesser competition. The Blue Devils have wins by 34, 33, and 36 on their home court. And to me, ECU is not far removed personnel wise to that of Davidson, Florida Atlantic, and UNC Asheville. Also note that as Jeff Lebo has built up the ECU program, he's been pretty active is staying away from top-tier competition. In 2011, they faced Clemson (No. 22 Ken Pom) and last year lost by six at North Carolina (No. 32). With the exception of Memphis in C-USA, those are arguably the two toughest teams ECU has faced in three-plus years – and this year’s version of Duke is far better than all three. And East Carolina was Read more


Tags: College Basketball East Carolina Pirates Duke Blue Devils Andrew Lange




College Football Betting: LSU short home favorites vs. Texas A&M

11.19.2013     08:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas A&M at LSU -4

Unique situation for LSU on Saturday with the Tigers playing host to Texas A&M – the first time in recent memory they've faced a capable foe following their rivalry tilt vs. the Crimson Tide. Over the last seven years, only twice had LSU played an SEC opponent in this situation and in both instances they were sizable favorites. Heading into Saturday's matchup, Les Miles didn't sound too excited about having to prepare for the contrast in styles from Alabama to A&M. LSU won last year's meeting in College Station, 24-19. The Tigers were outgained 410-316 but benefited from a +5 turnover margin.

LSU's result following Alabama game (7-0 SU, 3-4 ATS)
2012 - 31-17 (-14.5) Win vs. Mississippi State
2011 - 42-9 (-41.5) Win vs. Western Read more


Tags: College Football LSU Tigers Texas A&M Aggies SEC



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