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April

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NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings

04.01.2016     11:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami -6.5 at Sacramento O/U 212
Recommendation: Miami


Sacramento won’t have DeMarcus Cousins this evening thanks to his league leading 16th technical foul for sarcastically clapping following a late foul against the Wizards on Wednesday. And without Cousins, this team doesn’t win on any floor.  When he sat on Monday, the Kings trailed by 25+ all game before a late 16-1 run during garbage time made the final score look more respectable (and gave a brutal beat to Blazers backers).  Cousins sat against Minnesota last week; the Kings lost SU and ATS; again trailing by margin throughout  the second half.  He missed a home game against Orlando earlier in the month, another SU and ATS defeat.

In fact, the Kings are 2-10 SU in the dozen games that Cousins has missed this year, both wins coming against the Bucks on hot shooting nights from the perimeter.  Cousins also missed Sacramento’s first meeting with Miami.  The Kings were red hot that night, shooting at a 51% clip from the floor, including 12-23 shooting from three point range.  The Heat were still up by 16 in the fourth quarter before a Read more



Tags: NBA Miami Heat Sacramento Kings Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Understanding the MLB Betting Markets Part I

03.30.2016     11:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The nature of the sportsbetting marketplace is relatively simple to understand.  Bettors find an edge that they can profitably exploit; soon followed by bookmakers adjusting to reflect the popularity of the prevailing thought processes behind those winning wagers.  Over time, the marketplace evolves.  The factors that worked to produce profitable results for bettors get priced into the market and no longer offer that same level of value, leaving bettors scrambling to find new edges to exploit.  And this marketplace evolution can happen rather quickly; over the course of a single season when conditions warrant.

Among the major US sports over the last five years, nowhere has the betting market adjustments and evolution been greater than in baseball.  MLB handicapping methods that worked throughout the first decade of the 21st century are now largely obsolete.  The MLB betting markets have always been strongly tilted towards starting pitching matchups.  But over the last five years, the markets have rapidly adjusted to reflect the most influential ‘advanced metric’ stats for starting pitchers.

What are those Read more



Tags: MLB Teddy Covers




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: San Diego Padres

03.30.2016     08:06 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

San Diego Padres
2015 W-L:
  74-88
2015 O/U:  93-62-7
2015 Profits:  -19.2 units
2016 O/U Wins (Westgate):  73.5
2016 NL West Odds (Westgate):  20/1
Projected Starting Rotation:  Tyson Ross,  James Shields, Andrew Cashner,  Brandon Morrow, Colin Rea
Key Departures:  Ian Kennedy, Justin Upton,  Craig Kimbrel, Bud Norris
Key Additions:  Fernando Rodney, John Jay

Handicapper’s Take: “Last season General Manager AJ Preller acquired a number of big name players: Matt Kemp, Justin Upton, Derek Norris, Will Myers and James Shields. The “all-in” philosophy didn’t pan out as the Padres were pegged for 84 wins but fell 10 games short and lost nearly -20 units in the process. One of the biggest issues last season was allowing the long ball. In 2014, the pitching staff's HR/FB ratio was 8.6% which makes sense considering they play in the NL West and Petco Park. Last Read more



Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Drew Martin




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Boston Red Sox

03.29.2016     06:54 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

Boston Red Sox
2015 W-L:
78-84
2015 O/U: 83-73
2015 Profits:  -6.5 units
2016 O/U Wins (Westgate):  87.5
2016 AL East Odds (Westgate):  2/1
Projected Starting Rotation:  David Price, Clay Buchholz, Rick Porcello, Eduardo Rodriguez, Joe Kelly
Key Departures: Alexi Ogando,
Key Additions: David Price, Craig Kimbrel, Carson Smith, Roenis Elias

Handicapper's Take: "Last to first is what the Red Sox will attempt to do in arguably the strongest division in baseball. David Price and Craig Kimbrel were two of the biggest signees of the offseason and immediately provide the team with an ace-level starter and closer. Newly appointed team president Dave Dombrowski also brought in stud reliever Carson Smith (DL to start the year) and lefty starter Roenis Elias who is a perfect fill-in arm for when one of the starting five struggles or get injured. The only key loss was Wade Miley (Seattle) who despite marginal stuff pitched a Read more



Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Brent Crow




MLB Handicapping: Strength of schedule and Interleague pairings

03.28.2016     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on MLB strength of schedule and the potential impact it could have on regular season win totals. The National League is projected to have the six worst teams (San Diego, Colorado, Milwaukee, Cincinnati, Atlanta, and Philadelphia) which could mean a few extra wins for those AL squads that draw favorable Interleague slates.


And those 20 interleague games can have an outsized effect. Just last year, the 86-win Astros squeaked in to the second Wild Card, finishing one game ahead of the 85-win Angels. One of the biggest things that separated them was interleague play: the Astros finished a lucky 16-4, while the Angels were only 8-12. They both faced the West last year, but the 87-win Wild Card Yankees faced the East, and they went 11-9, with special thanks to a three-game sweep of the Braves — and that preserved their two-win margin over the Angels.






Tags: MLB




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Cleveland Indians

03.28.2016     05:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

Cleveland Indians
2015 W-L:
  81-80
2015 O/U:  79-80-2
2015 Profits:  -13.2 units
2016 O/U Wins (Westgate):  85.5
2016 AL Central Odds (Westgate):  9/5
Projected Starting Rotation: Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco, Trevor Bauer, Danny Salazar, Josh Tomlin
Key Departures:  Ryan Webb, Chris Johnson, Mike Aviles
Key Additions:  Mike Napoli, Rajai Davis

Handicapper's Take: "Armed with the best starting rotation in the AL Central, the Cleveland Indians are projected to be Kansas City's closest competition this season. In fact, a number of sportsbooks currently have the Tribe with a higher season over/under win total and shorter odds to win the division.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor, who is projected to be the cornerstone of the organization, produced All-Star level numbers (.313, 12 HRs, 51 RBI) in only 99 games last season. And Mike Napoli was brought in to add pop to a lineup that had Read more



Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Andrew Lange




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: New York Yankees

03.25.2016     08:41 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

New York Yankees
2015 W-L:
87-75
2015 O/U:  77-81-4
2015 Profits:  -3.4 units
2016 O/U Wins (Westgate):  86.5
2016 AL East Odds (Westgate):  11/4
Projected Starting Rotation: Masahiro Tanaka, CC Sabathia, Michael Pineda, Nathan Eovaldi, Luis Severino
Key Departures:  Chris Young, Adam Warren
Key Additions:  Aroldis Chapman, Starlin Castro

Handicapper's Take: "On the surface, the Yankees look like an aging team that is a few injuries away from finishing .500. But if you look beyond the elder statesmen trio of Rodriguez, Beltran, and Teixeira there's a lot of young talent. Didi Gregorius eventually became a big upgrade over Derek Jeter. I also like the upside of 22-year-old Luis Severino who has the potential to be the best starting pitcher on the staff though his workload will likely be capped at around 150 innings. And unlike past seasons, there's talent waiting in the wings with a handful of players in the Read more



Tags: MLB New York Yankees Brent Crow




NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Bruins at New York Rangers

03.23.2016     10:22 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston +110 at NY Rangers O/U 5
Recommendation: Boston


Two Original Six rivals clash in Manhattan tonight as the New York Rangers host the Boston Bruins in a game with big playoff implications . The Rangers have struggled to play consistent hockey for most of this season and have lost five of their last eight games overall. The Bruins have been playing good, solid hockey, earning at least a point in seven of their last 10 contests and holding one of the best road records in the NHL with a 23-10-3 mark. However, they now face-off with a Blueshirts club that protects their "Garden" well with a 24-8-3 record at MSG on the year. New York goaltender Henrik Lundqvist will have to regain his form in order for his club to gain momentum heading into the postseason. The Swedish native has lost five of his last six starts and has allowed three or more goals within the same span. Boston heads into this contest with a bit of a question mark between the pipes as head coach Claude Julien told the media that starter Tuukka Rask is feeling ill and both backups Jeremy Smith and Jonas Gustavsson will both make the trip to NYC. The Read more



Tags: NHL Boston Bruins New York Rangers Alex B. Smith




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Oakland A's

03.22.2016     08:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

Oakland A’s
2015 W-L:
  68-94
2015 O/U: 86-66-10 
2015 Profits: -29.4 Units 
2016 O/U Wins: 75.5 
2016 AL West Odds: +1600 
Projected Starting Rotation: Sony Gray, Jesse Hahn, Rich Hill, Chris Bassitt, Kendall Graveman/Sean Nolin
Key Departures: Brett Lawrie, Jesse Chavez
Key Additions: Jed Lowrie, Khris Davis, Yonder Alonzo, Ryan Madsen, John Axford, Marc Rzepczynski, Rich Hill

Handicapper's Take: "There’s a huge difference between the two leagues this year.  In the NL, six teams are essentially out of the playoff race before the season even starts.  Atlanta, Philly, Milwaukee, Cinci, San Diego and Colorado will consider the 2016 season a successful one if they finish at .500.  You could probably say the same thing about the Miami Marlins, although that team has a bit more upside than the other six.  In the NL, there’s a clear dichotomy Read more



Tags: MLB Oakland A's Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NCAA Tournament Hard Numbers, Not Hype

03.21.2016     12:22 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The insanity that was the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament is in the rear view mirror, and the hard numbers show a very different story than the mainstream media is reporting.  Just once, I wish I could turn on Sportscenter and find out what was going on against the spread.  But ESPN doesn’t do that, obviously, nor does CBS, TNT, TBS, TrueTV or any of the other major networks, whether they’re involved with televising the Big Dance or not.  That, of course, leaves a void for me to fill.

Carnage!  Madness! Brackets in flames, in shreds!  That was the message from the networks over the weekend.  Bettors, however, saw a very different story.  Betting favorites, in fact, had a winning weekend against the spread over the first four full days of the tournament.

I threw out all the games where there was no true favorite; games with a pointspread of -1.5 or less.  Many of those games — like Notre Dame vs Stephen F Austin on Sunday; a disastrous result for many books — had a switch of favorites at some point between the opening and closing lines.  Notre Dame +1.5 and Stephen F Austin +1.5 were both Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 29, 2016 05:04 AM.