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Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Detroit Tigers

03.26.2015     06:18 AM     Printer Friendly
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Following the loss of three key pitchers over the last two seasons, the Detroit Tigers find themselves as “just another AL Central team” after years of domination.

Detroit Tigers
2014 W-L:
90-72
2014 O/U: 84-72-6
2014 Profits: -3.8
2015 O/U Wins: 84.5
2015 AL Central Odds: +205
Projected Starting Rotation: David Price, Justin Verlander, Anibal Sanchez, Shane Greene, Alfredo Simon
Key Departures: Max Scherzer, Rick Porcello
Key Additions: Yoenis Cespedes

Handicapper’s Take: “The Tigers won 90 games again last year while winning their fourth consecutive American League Central title.  Yet their supporters lost money for the full season last year; just as they did in 2013 and 2012 – the only profitable season for their backers during this four-year span of division domination came back in 2011.  Why can’t the Tigers show a profit for their backers even when they are winning division Read more



Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Teddy Covers




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: San Diego Padres

03.25.2015     02:43 PM     Printer Friendly
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It's time to win in San Diego -- or at least score some more runs. The Padres brought in some big-name bats as well as ace James Shields which makes them instant contenders in the NL West.

San Diego Padres
2014 W-L:
77-85
2014 O/U: 61-95
2014 Profits: -9
2015 O/U Wins: 84.5
2015 NL West Odds: +375
Projected Starting Rotation: James Shields, Andrew Cashner, Ian Kennedy, Tyson Ross, Odrisamer Despaigne
Key Departures: Seth Smith
Key Additions: James Shields, Will Myers, Justin Upton, Matt Kemp, Derek Norris, Will Middlebrooks

Handicapper's Take: "After years of trying to do it with pitching and defense, the Padres committed to offense in a big way by completely overhauling their roster during the offseason. They also spent a ton of money to do so. Derek Norris, Will Middlebrooks, Wil Myers, Matt Kemp, and Justin Upton by default means a lot more runs -- even at Petco Park. And that should in turn mean more wins for a franchise Read more



Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Ian Cameron




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Milwaukee Brewers

03.23.2015     10:49 AM     Printer Friendly
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Despite last season's second half swoon, the Milwaukee Brewers were rather quiet this offseason. The starting rotation and lineup has the potential to be above NL-average but will they both click at the same time and more importantly produce for an entire season? Oddsmakers say no with the Brew Crew projected to be sub.-500.  

Milwaukee Brewers
2014 W-L:
82-80
2014 O/U: 75-83-4
2014 Profits: -7.2
2015 O/U Wins: 79
2015 NL Central Odds: +875
Projected Starting Rotation: Kyle Lohse,Matt Garza, Wily Peralta, Mike Fiers, Jimmy Nelson
Key Departures: Yovani Gallardo
Key Additions: Adam Lind

Handicapper’s Take: “With the exception of inking 31-year-old Adam Lind, the Milwaukee Brewers didn't do much of anything that suggests improvement. I'm OK with cutting bait with Yovani Gallardo as he appears to have peaked. Kyle Lohse will once again chew up innings though he's a longshot to do so at an above Read more



Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Andrew Lange




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: New York Yankees

03.23.2015     08:34 AM     Printer Friendly
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New York's roster says it wants to win now but that's a tall order given the team's aging personnel. The pitching staff kept this team afloat in 2014 and will be asked to do so again.

New York Yankees
2014 W-L:
84-78
2014 O/U: 68-90-4
2014 Profits: -2.4
2015 O/U Wins: 81.5
2015 AL East Odds: +450
Projected Starting Rotation: Masahiro Tanaka, CC Sabathia, Michael Pineda, Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Capuano
Key Departures: Ichiro Suzuki, Martin Prado, David Robertson, Derek Jeter
Key Additions: Nathan Eovaldi, Andrew Miller

Handicapper's Take: "Is it 2008? It feels that way when you glance through the Yankees' aging roster. Nearly their entire lineup is comprised of players north of 30 years old -- some of which aren't even close to being above average major league hitters. Last season, New York was one of the strongest 'under' teams in baseball as it struggled to score runs on a consistent basis. With much of last year's Read more



Tags: MLB New York Yankees Sammy P




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Sweet Sixteen Betting Preview

03.23.2015     07:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The insanity that is March Madness just provided bettors and fans alike with one of the more memorable opening weekends of NCAA Tournament action.  Now that the dust has settled, it’s time to take a look at the 16 teams still standing in the Big Dance from a pointspread perspective.  Which squads offer some semblance of betting value moving forward and which do not?  Read on to find out.

Two conferences stood out above the rest this past weekend.  The ACC sent a whopping five teams to the Sweet 16 out of six Big Dance entrants while going 11-1 SU.  But bettors didn’t make a dime supporting those ACC teams, who combined to go 5-7 ATS.  Duke was the lone ACC squad to notch a pair of pointspread covers.  Notre Dame was one of two teams (Kentucky being the other) to go 2-0 SU but 0-2 ATS.

The PAC-12, on the other hand, produced both SU and ATS success for bettors this past weekend.  The four PAC-12 entrants combined to go 7-1 SU, sending three teams to the Sweet 16.  Even more impressively, the conference combined to go 7-1 ATS; the lone non-cover coming in Arizona’s 21 point opening round win as 23 point Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Maryland Terrapins

03.22.2015     08:08 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
West Virginia -1 vs. Maryland O/U 138
Recommendation: Under


After spending the first half of the Big XII season playing wild, high scoring, up-tempo affairs, West Virginia's games have since cooled down a bit. Ten of the Mountaineers' first 12 league games had 142 or more possessions. Since then, only one, an overtime game against Kansas that was 59-59 at the end of regulation, topped 140 total possessions. The rest were far more moderate including WVU's 68-62 opening round win over Buffalo. The Bulls don't mind pushing the pace and either does WVU, but because of the close nature of the game, it stay well under the total of 150. Maryland will look to push in transition when given the opportunity, but ultimately, the Terps play at a moderate pace and rely heavily on their defense. Over the last month, nearly every single one of UM's games were slow paced and below 130 points. The only exception was against fast paced, no defense Indiana and that game hit 144 on 128 possessions thanks to 55 free throw attempts. The current side price suggests we'll have a competitive ball game leaving the likelihood of an even slower pace the last five minutes. Let's Read more



Tags: College Basketball West Virginia Mountaineers Maryland Terrapins Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: Davidson Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

03.19.2015     06:44 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Davidson +2.5 vs. Iowa O/U 145.5
Recommendation: Davidson


Davidson’s preseason reputation has had a dramatic effect on their power rating number all year.  The Wildcats won 20 games last year in the Southern Conference on the heels of 25 and 26 win seasons the two previous years.  But when they moved to the Atlantic 10 for the 2014-15 campaign, both pundits and coaches expected them to be a bottom feeder, ranked 12th or lower in the 14-team league.

That drop-off didn’t happen.  The Wildcats got blown out at North Carolina in their first lined game of the season.  They proceeded to go 22-3 ATS in their next 25 lined contests, the single best pointspread team in the country.

After years of needing to win their conference tourney to reach the Big Dance from the one-bid SoCon, this year, Davidson didn’t need to win their conference tourney to get a bid, and they played like it – flat as a pancake in their opener against LaSalle, then run out of the gym completely by VCU the following day.  Those back-2-back ATS losses have the betting markets souring on Bob McKillop’s squad once Read more



Tags: College Basketball Davidson Wildcats Iowa Hawkeyes Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Top Ten NCAA Tournament Betting Tips

03.16.2015     10:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Times have changed.  Betting strategies for March Madness are not a static entity.  Betting markets, like all other markets, evolve over time.  Concepts that worked ten years ago don’t necessarily work as well in 2015. 

I first wrote a Top 10 Tournament Betting Tips piece for Playboy Magazine back in 2002.  I’ve updated it a couple of times over the years, but it definitely needed a thorough rewriting for the modern era.  Even with the edits, there are no surprises here – veteran bettors know this stuff already, but it never hurts to think about these concepts again as the Big Dance begins. 

1.) Look to fade teams that looked great last weekend.
First of all, this is a value based enterprise.  The single best betting strategy for any sport is similar to the best stock picking strategy or the best real estate investment strategy – buy low, sell high.  And it’s hard to buy low with teams that looked great in their conference tournaments.

There’s no such thing as carrying over momentum from conference tournament weekend to the Big Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Los Angeles Angels

03.13.2015     11:34 AM     Printer Friendly
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Big wins and profits in 2014 but it was all for not as the Los Angeles Angels fizzled in the postseason. They're once again poised to contend but their high profile status suggests betting opportunities will be limited.

Los Angeles Angels
2014 W-L:
98-64
2014 O/U: 80-77-5
2014 Profits: +21.4
2015 O/U Wins: 88
2015 AL West Odds: +160
Projected Starting Rotation: Jered Weaver, CJ Wilson, Hector Santiago, Matt Shoemaker, Garrett Richards
Key Departures: Jason Grilli, Howie Kendrick
Key Additions: Matt Joyce, Andrew Heaney

Handicapper’s Take: “In 2014, the Angels put together the best record in baseball (98-64) with the second-best run differential (+137). In addition, a one unit bet on the Angels last season returned over +20 units of profit. Of course this was all for nothing as the Angels were swept by the Kansas City Royals in the playoffs. Their strong season was largely based on featuring the best offense in the game Read more



Tags: MLB Los Angeles Angels Erin Rynning




College Basketball Betting Podcast 3-13-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron

03.13.2015     10:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron. Both cappers and host Andrew Lange broke down today's college basketball conference tournaments.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - ACC, Big XII, PAC-12

Ian Cameron - Big Ten, Big East, SEC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno Ian Cameron Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 27, 2015 01:42 PM.