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NBA Gambling Alert: Flu bug hits Memphis Grizzlies

11.19.2014     01:47 PM     Printer Friendly
The media has yet to report on it but according to our Sports Options odds screen (and the line movement) there could be a number of Memphis players out with the flu for tonight's game vs. Toronto. The Raptors opened -3 and have been bet up to as high as -5.



Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Toronto Raptors

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Previewing the Western and Eastern Conference Finals

05.19.2014     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  For all the drama of the first two rounds, it’s an all-chalk Final Four, with the top two seeds from each conference battling for supremacy.

With both Conference Finals getting underway on Sunday and Monday, I’ll take a closer look at the two series.  The goal, as always, is to unearth hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspread success while assessing pace and totals as well.

Predicting series success generally correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  But not as much as last year!  In 2013, the Final Four teams combined to go 31-11 (74%) against the spread in the first two rounds of postseason; each of the four teams cashing at a 67% clip or better.  The ‘surprise’ team of the four, Memphis, went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds before covering only once while getting swept by San Antonio.

The ATS success of the Final Four teams in 2014 pales in comparison to 2013.  Between them, the NBA’s Final Four have turned a Read more

Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers

NBA Gambling Alert: Oklahoma City bet up to -9 following Randolph suspension

05.03.2014     06:09 AM     Printer Friendly
Warranted or not, Memphis' Zach Randolph will be suspended for today's Game 7 vs. Oklahoma City. The Thunder opened -8 but were bet down to -7.5 Friday afternoon. But once news broke that Randolph would be out, bettors flocked to the OKC side driving the line as high as -9.5 before setting in at its current number of -9. The total got bet down slightly from 185.5 to 184.5.

Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder

NBA Handicapping: Bettors prefer all three Game 6 home underdogs for Thursday

05.01.2014     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top public consensus bets for tonight's three NBA Playoff games courtesy of Sports Options.

Indiana at Atlanta +1 (59%) - Hawks lead series 3-2
Oklahoma City at Memphis +2.5 (54%) - Grizzlies lead series 3-2
LA Clippers at Golden State +1.5 (57%) - Clippers lead series 3-2

Indiana at Atlanta UNDER 187 (71%)
Oklahoma City at Memphis UNDER 184.5 (52%)
LA Clippers at Golden State OVER 209.5 (70%)

Tags: NBA

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Underdogs have owned the NBA Playoffs

04.28.2014     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Seven of the eight first round NBA Playoff series have proven to be competitive – only the Miami Heat have a commanding 3-0 series lead in their series over the Charlotte Bobcats.   After an opening weekend that saw underdogs go 6-2 ATS, 5-3 SU, the prevailing trend of upsets continued throughout the last week.

The current numbers are quite striking.  Pointspread favorites are a woeful 7-21-2 ATS through the first 30 playoff games.  In fact the favored team is just 14-16 SU – underdog moneyline bettors have been feasting over the first nine days of playoff action.  Therefore, it’s no surprise that the lower seeded team has the series lead in the Spurs-Mavs, Wizards-Bulls and Blazers-Rockets series, with potentially live underdogs still in play for Grizzles-Thunder, Warriors-Clippers, Nets-Raptors, and Pacers-Hawks.

What gives?  Why have the dogs covered at a 75% clip through the first 30 Playoff games?   Let’s start with the simple premise that the top seeds are more vulnerable than the markets expected while the lower seeds have proven to be no pushovers.

The #1 seeds (Pacers and Spurs) Read more

Tags: NBA Teddy Covers

NBA Playoff Betting Consensus: Gamblers like Monday's games OVER the total

04.21.2014     02:00 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for tonight's two NBA Playoff games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle. Also note that Bookmaker/CRIS is the only major sportsbook offshore or in Las Vegas to currently have Oklahoma City -6.5. The rest of the market has -7.

Oklahoma City -6.5 (51.0%) vs. Memphis
Golden State +8 (62.9%) at LA Clippers

Memphis-Oklahoma City OVER 190.5 (73.1%)
Golden State-LA Clippers OVER 212.5 (77.2%)

Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Recapping NBA Playoff Game 1's

04.21.2014     08:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
There were eight opening round NBA Playoff Series that started this past weekend.  The lower seeded road teams – all underdogs in Game 1 – went 6-2 ATS, including five outright upset winners.  There were four games that flew Over the total, three that stayed Under and one (Miami-Charlotte) that finished right in between the opening and closing total.

This is just the start of a two month NBA Playoff marathon, and those Game 1’s may not be indicative of how these opening round series are likely to play out.  Here are some key note and quotes for each series following those Game 1’s.

Miami looked sluggish and lethargic for extended stretches of their opener against Charlotte, but took over the game with an 18-4 run in the fourth quarter when LeBron James was sitting on the bench.  Head coach Erik Spoelstra:  “We were flat to start. I think our guys were just anxious."  LeBron: “That group that was in once I took that break at the 10-minute mark in the fourth quarter, they just bumped the lead. Obviously, to have three Hall of Famers in the game when I'm out of the game, CB, D-Wade and Ray Read more

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Charlotte Bobcats San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers Teddy Covers

NBA Gambling News: Mavericks will play regular rotation vs. Grizzlies

04.16.2014     02:19 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Dallas at Memphis -3.5 O/U 190.5

Dallas plans on playing its regular rotation tonight against Memphis despite having a postseason spot locked up. The team feels reaching the 50-win plateau is worth fighting for. Not to mention if they win they avoid top seed San Antonio is the first round. All three potential opponents (Spurs, Thunder, or Clippers) are obviously quality ball clubs but the Mavs haven't had a lot of success of late against San Antonio having lost nine straight.

“I’m not even thinking about that kind of stuff,’’ Carlisle said after Wednesday morning’s shootaround at the FedEx Forum. “If you can get a higher seed, if you can get 50 wins, you do it.

“It’s more than just avoiding San Antonio,’’ center Samuel Dalembert said. “It’s more like we have pride

Read more

Tags: NBA Dallas Mavericks Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs

NBA Handicapping: Playoff picture clearer but a few matchups still yet to be determined

04.15.2014     08:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
All 16 NBA Playoffs teams are set but there are still a few series that have yet to be determined. Indiana is the top seed in the Eastern Conference and will face Atlanta in the first round. Miami is the no. 2 seed while Toronto and Chicago are still fighting for the no. 3 and no. 4 seeds. With a win over New York tonight, Brooklyn would lock up the no. 5 seed. Washington and Charlotte are still in play for the no. 6 and no. 7 seeds.

In the Western Conference, Memphis is in following last night's win over Phoenix. Whoever wins Wednesday's Grizzlies vs. Mavericks game will be the seventh seed. San Antonio is the top seed followed by a TBA between Oklahoma City and the LA Clippers for the no. 2 and no. 3 seeds. No. 4 Portland will play no. 5 Houston in the first round. Golden State is the no. 6 seed.

Tags: NBA

NBA Handicapping: Phoenix Suns in must-win situation vs. Memphis Grizzlies

04.14.2014     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Memphis at Phoenix -2.5 O/U 195.5

A game behind Memphis and void of any tie-breakers in their favor, the Phoenix Suns need a lot of favorable bounces to reach the postseason. First, they'll need to beat Memphis tonight and Sacramento on Wednesday. They'll also need the Grizzlies to lose to Dallas in their season finale – the only problem is the Mavs are locked into the seventh seed and will have nothing to play for.

Tags: NBA Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies


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