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NBA Handicapper Free Play: New York Knicks at New Orleans Pelicans

02.19.2014     08:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York +3.5 at New Orleans O/U 196
Recommendation: New York


The Knicks showed heart and fight last night, rallying from 18 points down to take a fourth quarter lead before allowing the Grizzlies to score the final seven points of the game.  Memphis got the win, Knicks backers got the money.

Tonight, the Knicks take a major step down in class as they travel to lottery bound New Orleans.  They got the rust off last night, in sharp contrast to the Pelicans, who haven’t played in a week.  New York has dominated this series despite their long-term struggles; 9-2 ATS in the last eleven meetings including five consecutive wins on this floor in New Orleans.  This is one road venue where the Knicks enjoy a level of confidence.

We’re getting an attractive pointspread to support the Knicks tonight, in large part because the Pelicans had a solid stretch of basketball heading into the break; 8-5 in their last 13 ballgames.  Much of that success was schedule related, taking advantage of a relatively weak slate of opponents, including the Bucks, Cavs, Pistons and Magic.  At 7.5 games out of the final Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks New Orleans Pelicans Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling Trends: Memphis Grizzlies have profitable profile vs. Sacramento

01.17.2014     08:18 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sacramento at Memphis -5.5 O/U 200

The Memphis Grizzlies play host to the Sacramento Kings tonight which could well bring into play one of the Grizzlies’ best profiles. Check out these results mined from the database: When Memphis scores 100 or more points they are 55-7 (89%) straight up since the start of the 2011 season. They clock in at a hefty 47-15 (76%) against the spread in that sample. But perhaps the most eye popping figure of the bunch is their totals which have gone over at a 92% clip (56-5-1) when they score 100 or more!

Compare that to the rest of the league and you’ll see Memphis outperforms them in every facet. The league comes in at 72% straight up, 69% against the spread clip while going over at a 79% rate.
Sacramento has made some roster moves and had a little uptick in results of late but they are still a rather poor defensive team that plays at a fast tempo. The Kings give up an average of more than 104 points per game and have allowed at Read more


Tags: NBA Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Otto Sports




Sportsbook offers series odds on Spurs vs. Heat/Pacers NBA Finals

05.28.2013     12:37 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to Twitter, William Hill is offering NBA Finals series odds on both San Antonio vs. Miami and San Antonio vs. Indiana. The Heat are -270 vs. the Spurs who are +240. SA is -250 vs. the Pacers (+210). Miami owns a 2-1 series lead over Indiana heading into tonight's Game 4 matchup. San Antonio just wrapped up a four-game sweep of the Memphis Grizzlies.



Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers




NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs sweep Memphis, advance to Finals

05.28.2013     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Most of the night…it felt like Memphis was ready for their summer vacation. San Antonio was in control, once again attacking weak spots when they had the ball, and denying the rim when they didn’t. But, because the Spurs haven’t quite figured out where the Memphis jugular is…a temporary lapse made it a game in the fourth quarter.

We saw something similar back in Game Two. The Spurs blew a big lead, and Memphis caught them at 85-all to force overtime. Here, the Spurs blew a big lead, and Memphis almost caught them at 89-86 with less than a minute to go. San Antonio made its free throws. Memphis never got another good look.

San Antonio 93, Memphis 86

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 57%, Memphis 38%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio 3/13, Memphis 5/14

Free Throws: San Antonio 12/13, Memphis 17/24

1’s and 2’s: San Antonio 84, Memphis 71

Rebounds: San Antonio 34, Memphis Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs take commanding 3-0 series lead

05.26.2013     08:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Last night we talked about how Game Two of Indiana/Miami looked so much like Game One. Tonight, we get to do the same thing in the Western Conference finals…as Game Three in Memphis looked very much like Game Two in San Antonio.

*Home Team jumps out to big lead

*Visitor rallies

*Game goes to overtime at 85-all in G2, and 86-all in G3

*Spurs know what to do in overtime

What jumped out to me watching tonight was how Memphis WASN’T Indiana. You just didn’t see the same fire in their eyes…the same sense of urgency, even though the Grizzlies were already playing with their backs to the wall tonight while Indiana was just trying to break serve. Also, Indiana made its free throws last night, while Memphis gagged way too many with their season on the line this evening.

San Antonio 104, Memphis 93 (in overtime)

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 55%, Memphis 40%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies




NBA Gambling: Bettors lean with road underdogs, Pacers and Spurs

05.24.2013     11:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight and Saturday's NBA Playoff Games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Sides
Indiana +7.5 - 58.7%
San Antonio +5.5 - 53.3%

Moneyline
Indiana +315 - 64.1%
San Antonio +200/Memphis -240 - 50%

Totals
Indiana-Miami OVER 182 - 76.3%
San Antonio-Memphis OVER 177.5 - 61.2%




Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers




NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs bomb from deep, take 1-0 series lead

05.20.2013     08:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Even when I was thinking the Spurs would need to shoot treys like the Knicks if they wanted to beat Memphis, I hadn’t imagined THIS for the start of the Western Conference Finals.

Three-Pointers: Memphis 5 of 12, San Antonio 14 of 29

That’s +9 in makes, which is +27 on the scoreboard, in a game the Spurs won by 22.

Don’t want to get too cute here. We had the KRIB Index for the Knicks when they were making a lot of treys while not turning the ball over (Knicks Re-Invent Basketball). San Antonio was actually +3 in that differential today. SPARE-RIB? SPurs ARE Re-Inventing Basketball? Nah.

And, besides, this kind of ball movement and brains is something we’ve associated with San Antonio for years. It’s important to remember that we were all associating it with them last year at this time, just as they were jumping ahead of Oklahoma City 2-0 before losing four straight. San Antonio plays a beautiful game…which is art when Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Breaking down the NBA's Final Four

05.20.2013     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  With both Conference Finals getting underway, I’ll take a look at the two series, looking for hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspreads success.
There’s no question that predicting series success correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  This year’s results stand out in that regard.  In the West, Memphis went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs.  San Antonio covered the spread in seven out of ten through the first two rounds. 

In the East, Indiana went 8-4 ATS, including a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home in Indianapolis; five of those six wins coming by a double-digit margin.  And the defending champion and prohibitive favorite to win the title, Miami, despite their public nature, has gone 6-3 ATS in their first two series, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark on the highway – the mark of a strong, veteran championship contender.

When we add it up, we’re talking about 67% or better ATS results here Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Memphis vs. San Antonio Statline Preview

05.19.2013     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

A new series starts Sunday. Let’s review regular season performance in the stat categories we’ve been studying in in the college and pro postseasons. Note that these are regular season only numbers. Prefer using an 82-game sample with similar strengths of schedule. Then we can pencil in what we’ve learned so far in the playoffs if need be.

(5) Memphis: 47% two-point defense, +3.7 rebounding, +1.5 TO’S, 4.7 treys, #29 full season pace

(2) S. Antonio: 47% two-point defense, +1.2 rebounding, +0.2 TO’S, 8.1 treys, #6 full season pace

Pretty clear differences there once you get past two-point defense. And, the whole world was at 47% in that category anyway if you’ll recall from our first round previews!

MEMPHIS is the “defense and rebounding wins championships” team, with a huge edge on the glass, and a proven ability to force a lot of turnovers. During the regular season we encouraged you to think of them as the Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting Recap: Memphis and Miami headed to Conference Finals

05.16.2013     06:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Though there’s still a lot of basketball left to be played…there’s already a rumbling that the Memphis Grizzlies and Miami Heat are on a collision course for the NBA Finals. Both wrapped up their second round series in five games Wednesday Night. 

Memphis 88, Oklahoma City 84

2-Point Percentage: Memphis 40%, Oklahoma City 42%

3-Point Shooting: Memphis 3/14, Oklahoma City 6/25

Free Throws: Memphis 25/29, Oklahoma City 16/21

1’s and 2’s: Memphis 79, Oklahoma City 66

Rebounds: Memphis 45, Oklahoma City 44

Turnovers: Memphis 9, Oklahoma City 14

Memphis blew a big lead…then blew a big lead AGAIN before frantically holding on in the final moments. Kevin Durant of OKC stayed out of gas…only shooting 5 of 21 on the evening. I’m hoping statheads who generally decry “inventing a narrative” are learning to think a bit more about that. If you’re really Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence



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