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NHL Playoffs Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

04.17.2014     10:05 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Minnesota at Colorado -140 O/U 5
Recommendation: Over

Minnesota and Colorado played each other five times during the regular season and three of those games had five goals or more. We saw all three playoff games last night fly over the total and I think this game has high scoring potential as well. I'll give credit to goalie Ilya Bryzgalov for playing unexpectedly well late in the season but his career has been marred by awful playoff performances and I'm not ready to trust him to shut down a very potent Colorado Avalanche squad that ranked 4th in the NHL in goals scored this season. On the flip side, Minnesota is no offensive juggernaut (24th in the NHL at 2.43 goals per game) but they did show an uptick in offensive production late in the season scoring 3+ goals in six of their last eight games. As mentioned we saw a loose type of hockey in all three Game 1's last night and I think this game sets up for Read more

Tags: NHL Minnesota Wild Colorado Avalanche Ian Cameron

NHL Gambling: Current Stanley Cup Playoff series odds

04.15.2014     08:30 AM     Printer Friendly
Below are the Stanley Cup Playoff series prices according to Pinnacle Sports. Be sure to tune into the Sportsmemo Podcast today and Wednesday for our playoff previews.

Eastern Conference
Atlantic #1 - Boston Bruins -283
Wild Card - Detroit Red Wings +250

Atlantic #2 - Tampa Bay Lightning -110
Atlantic #2 - Montreal Canadiens +100

Metro #1 - Pittsburgh Penguins -231
Wild Card - Columbus Blue Jackets +206

Metro #2 - NY Rangers -145
Metro #3 - Philadelphia Flyers +131

Western Conference
Central #1 - Colorado Avalanche -134
Wild Card - Minnesota Wild +121

Central #2 - St. Louis Blues -105
Central #3 - Chicago Blackhawks -105

Pacific #1 - Anaheim Ducks -186
Wild Card - Dallas Stars +167

Pacific #2 - San Jose Sharks -140
Pacific #3 - Los Angeles Kings +127

Tags: NHL

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders

03.18.2014     08:27 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Minnesota -120 at NY Islanders O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Under

Anytime you see a total of 5.5 in a Minnesota Wild game you must really look hard at the Under.  Minnesota comes onto Long Island tonight to face the Islanders in a situation where they must right their ship heading into the final playoff push.  Last night in Boston the Wild fell 4-1 to the Bruins marking their fifth loss in six games.  Playing the tail end of a back-to-back for Minnesota has been an Under bettor's dream as they are 5-1-3 in this situation – only once in those nine games did the teams combine for more than five goals.  In fact, the Wild have seen totals of 5.5 eight times this entire year with the Under going 6-2 in those contests.  These two teams met earlier in the year and went Over the total of 5, but this is a very different situation tonight.  New York is without the majority of its offense with John Tavares finished for the season and the loss of Matt Moulson to the Wild at the trade deadline.  We are nearing the final weeks of the NHL season and teams are starting to tighten up.  I expect a well-disciplined road game Read more

Tags: NHL Minnesota Wild New York Islanders Sammy P

College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 2-28-2014

02.28.2014     02:10 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Boise State might not have its leading scorer Saturday at Wyoming. Anthony Drmic, who averages 16.9 points and 4.7 rebounds per game, sprained his ankle in Wednesday's loss at Fresno State. Drmic was considered 'questionable' as of late Friday afternoon. The Broncos are mired in a 1-7 ATS slide.

California guard Jordan Mathews injured his ankle in Wednesday's blowout loss at Arizona. Mathews (8.8 PPG) is 'questionable' for Saturday's game at Arizona State.

Bettors like me got a tough break Thursday night when Steve Alford announced the suspensions of his two best players – Jordan Adams and Kyle Anderson – less than 90 minutes before UCLA's home game vs. Oregon. The Bruins had won (SU and ATS) every PAC-12 home game by 12 points or more with just one exception – a narrow defeat against then-undefeated Arizona. Therefore, UCLA was a 7.5-point favorite vs. the Ducks. So when the news broke and the line came down, it got re-posted at -3.5 and there was no way for UCLA backers to get out of the wager without risking a four-point gap that could've resulted in double losers. Dana Altman's team eventually won in double overtime, but not before the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards

College Basketball Gambling: Big Ten road teams cashing in for bettors

02.04.2014     11:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article on the wild results in the Big Ten this season – a lot of which resulted in road wins. Northwestern has wins at Wisconsin and Minnesota. Short-handed Michigan won at Iowa. Penn State won in Columbus. And the Buckeyes scored a victory in Madison. Heading into tonight's action, Big Ten road teams are 23-31 SU and 32-21-1 ATS.

Team - Road ATS record
Michigan State 5-0
Iowa 4-1
Nebraska 3-1
Indiana 2-1-1
Northwestern 3-2
Ohio State 3-2
Purdue 3-2
Michigan 3-2
Wisconsin 2-2
Penn State 2-2
Minnesota 1-3
Illinois 1-3

Tags: College Basketball

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Minnesota Golden Gophers

02.01.2014     08:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Northwestern at Minnesota -10.5 O/U 124.5
Recommendation: Under

There are three very strong aspects of Northwestern basketball right now that have them trending under the total. For starters, they've succeeded in playing at a slow pace and shortening the game – a logical choice for a squad that is outmanned talent-wise nearly each and every night. Second is the Wildcats can't shoot. Last time out vs. Wisconsin, NW shot 50% from 2, 44% from 3, and 75% from the FT line – a near perfect performance by their standards that netted them a modest 65 points. Even with that showing, NW checks in at 0.84 ppp – a historical bad rate. Lastly, the Wildcats play sound team defense holding five of their last six foes to 40% or less effective FG%. Minnesota wants to push the pace but finding it difficult in the Big Ten (8th, 65.2 possessions per game). And Andre Hollins, the team’s top offensive option, it out with an ankle injury. I keep waiting Read more

Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Minnesota Golden Gophers Andrew Lange

NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 15

12.12.2013     11:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

What you see below are per-game averages on offense and defense for points scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. That's a stat I've been keeping myself by hand from itemized scoring drives in boxscores ever since the USA Today started publishing them many years ago. In the first parenthesis are strength of schedule rankings from Jeff Sagarin at USA Today and Football Outsiders (in that order, and, largely converging now). In the second parenthesis is turnover differential. Games are presented in market rotation order. I tried to line up the numbers as best as possible by abbreviating some of the team cities…


San Diego: 14.6 on offense, 16.1 on defense (19-31) (-3 turnovers)

Denver : 23.3 on offense, 15.0 on defense (20-29) (-2 turnovers)

Football Outsiders has mentioned somewhere that San Diego supposedly has one of the five worst defenses in the history of their stat methodology. I mean…it’s pretty Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Bears roll past awful Cowboys defense

12.10.2013     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The Dallas defense…which is bad at tackling in the best of conditions…REALLY didn’t want to play physical football in the sub-zero wind chill of a December night in Chicago. The Bears scored on their first eight drives of the evening. The ninth was taking a knee to run the final second off the game clock before everyone could head to the locker to warm up.

Chicago 45 (-2), Dallas 28

Dallas: 342 yards, 6.0 per-play, 0 turnovers, 50% third downs

Chicago: 498 yards, 7.1 per-play, 0 turnovers, 73% third downs

Other Numbers

Dallas: 198 rush, 14-25-0-144 passing, 28 drive points, 24 stat score, 11 sloppiness

Chicago: 150 rush, 27-36-0-348 passing, 32 drive points, 29 stat score, 9 sloppiness

For those of you wondering, the pace factor was a very low 133. The ultimate clock eating game because neither team wanted to stay out in those conditions. And, Chicago loves running clock anyway. Read more

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Dallas Cowboys Stat Intelligence

NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 13

11.28.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Had time to put together a larger preview report than normal. What you see below are per-game Drive Point averages on offense and defense for all 32 teams…arranged in schedule rotation order. If you’re new to the website, Drive Points are only those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. Special teams and defensive scoring isn’t counted, nor are “cheap” points scored off field position. The goal is to get as clean a read as possible on “pure” offense and defense in terms of driving the field for points, and preventing the opposition from doing so.

Strength of schedule rankings from Sagarin at USA Today and Football Outsiders are in the first parenthesis (in that order) to provide some extra context for you, followed by turnover differential in the second parenthesis…

Thanksgiving Games

Green Bay: 16.3 on offense, 14.7 on defense (30-24) (-5 turnovers)

Detroit: 17.5 on offense, 15.6 on defense (26-17) (-7 Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

College Football ATS Analysis: Golden Nugget's GOY vs. CRIS - Week 13

11.18.2013     01:17 PM     Printer Friendly
Checking in with the college football betting markets as we compare the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year from early June vs. CRIS's current numbers. There are some wild differences this week with Wisconsin -10 during the summer and now -16 for their trip to Minnesota. Has anyone exceeded expectations more than the 8-2 Golden Gophers? Baylor went from +11 at Oklahoma State to -8.5. Iowa was catching doubles from Michigan but now nearly a touchdown favorite. BYU also went from a double-digit underdog to a road favorite at Notre Dame.

2013 College Football Lines Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 13
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Oregon -12
Oregon -19.5
Stanford -22
Stanford -31.5
Arizona State
Arizona State -2.5
USC -24.5
USC -24.5
Georgia -29
Georgia -23.5
Michigan State
Northwestern -3
Michigan State -7.5
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -11
BYU -1
Louisville -24
Louisville -24.5
Texas A&M
LSU -1
LSU -4
Wisconsin -10
Wisconsin -16
Ohio State
Ohio State -25
Ohio State -32.5
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -11
Baylor -8.5
Oregon State
Oregon State -5
Penn State
Penn State pk
Penn State -1.5
Michigan -10.5
Iowa -6
Kansas State
Oklahoma -4
Kansas State -3.5
Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) -15
Miami (FL) -20
Tennessee -1
Tennessee -3

Tags: College Football


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