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College Football ATS Analysis: Golden Nugget's GOY vs. CRIS - Week 13

11.18.2013     01:17 PM     Printer Friendly
Checking in with the college football betting markets as we compare the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year from early June vs. CRIS's current numbers. There are some wild differences this week with Wisconsin -10 during the summer and now -16 for their trip to Minnesota. Has anyone exceeded expectations more than the 8-2 Golden Gophers? Baylor went from +11 at Oklahoma State to -8.5. Iowa was catching doubles from Michigan but now nearly a touchdown favorite. BYU also went from a double-digit underdog to a road favorite at Notre Dame.

2013 College Football Lines Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 13
Away
Home
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Oregon
Arizona
Oregon -12
Oregon -19.5
California
Stanford
Stanford -22
Stanford -31.5
Arizona State
UCLA
UCLA -3
Arizona State -2.5
USC
Colorado
USC -24.5
USC -24.5
Kentucky
Georgia
Georgia -29
Georgia -23.5
Michigan State
Northwestern
Northwestern -3
Michigan State -7.5
BYU
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -11
BYU -1
Memphis
Louisville
Louisville -24
Louisville -24.5
Texas A&M
LSU
LSU -1
LSU -4
Wisconsin
Minnesota
Wisconsin -10
Wisconsin -16
Indiana
Ohio State
Ohio State -25
Ohio State -32.5
Baylor
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -11
Baylor -8.5
Washington
Oregon State
Oregon State -5
N/L
Nebraska
Penn State
Penn State pk
Penn State -1.5
Michigan
Iowa
Michigan -10.5
Iowa -6
Oklahoma
Kansas State
Oklahoma -4
Kansas State -3.5
Virginia
Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) -15
Miami (FL) -20
Vanderbilt
Tennessee
Tennessee -1
Tennessee -3




Tags: College Football




NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor Averages Week 8

10.25.2013     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Won’t have time to update these every single week. Will aim for every other week. I think most teams settled into their preferred styles pretty quickly.

If this is your first visit, we’re trying to paint the picture of pace styles by counting up total plays, penalties, punts, and field goal attempts per game…then tabulating team-by-team averages for the games that they play. This approach has confirmed what everyone had been assuming about up-tempo teams. Philadelphia is up near the top with their “Oregon” approach. Buffalo also brought in a college head coach and talked about playing at a fast pace. New England tends to play very fast unless it’s late in a game and they’re sitting on a lead. Those guys are in your top three. Cleveland told everyone in the offseason they would be emphasizing pace. They’re fourth.

To the degree we’ve been able to find something new and interesting…it’s down at the bottom. I Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Week 9 Injury Report

10.24.2013     07:17 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky QB Max Smith will get the starting nod Thursday at Mississippi State. Jalen Whitlow sprained his ankle in a 48-7 loss to Alabama two weeks ago and is ‘doubtful’ against the Bulldogs. Smith is more of a pocket passer, while Whitlow is a dual-threat option who averages 4.9 yards per carry and has three rushing touchdowns. Smith, a third-year sophomore who had eight TD passes before suffering a season-ending shoulder injury in Week 3 last year, has a 5-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2013.

Vanderbilt quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels is ‘out’ Saturday at Texas A&M. Carta-Samuels, who has a 10-7 TD-INT ratio this season, left last week’s 31-27 win over Georgia with a knee injury in the first half. Patton Robinette, a redshirt freshman, replaced Carta-Samuels and had a TD run early in the fourth quarter of the comeback win over UGA. Robinette will make his first career start against the Aggies.

Maryland might have been the biggest overall loser coming out of Week 8. The Terrapins got smashed 34-10 at Wake Forest and lost two of their best players to broken legs. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs is done for the season after Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: Week 8 Injury Report

10.16.2013     08:24 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Before the loss to Texas last week, Oklahoma found out it would be missing senior LB Corey Nelson for the rest of the season due to a pectoral injury. The news got worse earlier this week when starting defensive tackle Jordan Phillips was lost for the rest of the year. Phillips will underdog surgery soon to relieve chronic back pain. Without Nelson and Phillips, the OU defense gave up 36 points and 255 rushing yards to the Longhorns. The Sooners had previously been allowing only 113.2 ypg and 13.0 ppg, so obviously Nelson and Phillips are already being missed.

Ole Miss will be without freshman sensation Robert Nkemdiche for the next three games due to a pulled hamstring suffered in last week’s gut-wrenching loss to Texas A&M. The Rebels might also be sans their other starting defensive end, C.J. Johnson, for Saturday’s home tussle vs. LSU. Johnson was downgraded to ‘doubtful’ after missing Tuesday’s practice with a sprained ankle. The offense is hurting, too, as one of its top weapons is ‘doubtful.’ That would be leading rusher and special-teams dynamo Jeff Scott (thigh), who is averaging 8.2 yards per carry and had a punt Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 6

10.16.2013     08:17 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Houston Texans Stand Alone

There are no more undefeated ATS teams in the NFL after Week 6 and there is only one team that is still winless – the Houston Texans who were ambushed at home by the St. Louis Rams in a 38-13 loss. The New York Giants, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh all snapped their winless ATS starts but Houston now stands alone as the only team in the league to not cash a ticket for their betting supporters this season. There was reason to be concerned prior to Sunday’s game but now it’s safe to say the Texans are in full on crisis mode. Matt Schaub has lost his confidence and his problems are no longer physical, but mental. He has an awful 8-9 TD-INT ratio and now is prone to making mistakes and bad decisions with the football. The offense has sputtered in the red zone all season long with the Texans converting red zone opportunities into TDs just 47.3% of the time.
 
The Houston defense hasn’t been as stout as they’ve been in the past yielding 29.5 points per game but they are still ranked 1st in the league in total yards and passing yards allowed which tells you that a lack of ball security has Read more


Tags: NFL Houston Texans Denver Broncos Ian Cameron




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 5

10.09.2013     07:41 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Breaking Down the Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
The list of winless and undefeated ATS teams continues to shrink after Week 5 of the season. Denver and Seattle were the two remaining undefeated teams but both came up short from an ATS perspective. However, there are still four teams looking for their first pointspread win of the season as we head into Week 6. Those teams are Houston, Jacksonville, and the New York Giants at 0-5 ATS along with Pittsburgh at 0-4 ATS.

The Giants, Jaguars, and Steelers have all failed to win a game straight up while the Texans are 2-3. New York will attempt to snap their SU and ATS winless streak in Chicago playing on a short week against a Bears team that has dropped their last two games. It doesn’t help the Giants have three major flaws right now. They can’t take care of the football, they can’t block up front, and their secondary has been ripped apart by each opponent they’ve faced.
Jacksonville finds itself involved this week in the largest pointspread in NFL history as they opened as 28-point underdogs against the Denver Broncos. The next largest spread was when the Pittsburgh Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




College Football Betting Preview: Northwestern Wildcats at California Golden Bears

08.28.2013     11:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern at California
Saturday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Northwestern -3 O/U 58.5
CRIS Current: Northwestern -5 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Northwestern -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Northwestern

When Washington State went from good to mediocre to awful in the PAC-12, it happened rather predictably.  Mike Price had success in Pullman, albeit not every year, and he left the cupboard full for his successor, Bill Doba, when Price took the Alabama job.  Doba won ten games in his first year, and the Cougars enjoyed their third consecutive top 10 ranking at the close of the season following an upset win over Texas in the Holiday Bowl.

But Doba was not the right hire; unable to recruit (or coach) the way Price did.  Washington State quickly went from a top 10 program three years running to a squad that was struggling to reach .500 every year: 5-6, 4-7, Read more


Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten California Golden Bears PAC-12 Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: Records since the All-Star Break

08.26.2013     06:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I noticed a lot of people are doing web searches for this. The mainstream places should have a page updated daily! Here are Major League Baseball records only counting games played from the All-Star Break through Sunday August 25.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Best in the AL

Detroit 25-11

Texas 21-14

Kansas City 22-15

Tampa Bay 19-13

Cleveland 20-15

Let’s stop there…with the teams who have been playing the best ball in the best league. Detroit hit an extra gear at the Break, and continues to play at a very high level. They’ve clearly been the best team in the AL since then. You have to debate the relative strength of the two leagues to decide if they’re better than the Dodgers team that’s been tearing up the NL. Texas and Tampa Bay have positioned themselves very well to at least make the playoffs with solid runs. What’s amazing about Kansas City is that Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




MLB Gambling Free Play: Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins

07.30.2013     10:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Santana) -125 at Minnesota (Pelfrey) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Kansas City


My clients and I cashed a pair of winners with KC over the weekend in Chicago, riding KC’s current six game winning streak.  And there’s absolutely no reason to think that the surging Royals won’t be able to notch another victory against the slumping Twins this evening. 

Kansas City has a boatload of positive momentum. The Royals are winners of six straight, back to .500 for the season while trailing in the Wild Card race by only five games.  Starter Erwin Santana has been as steady and consistent as it gets all year; throwing 15 quality starts in his last 19 trips to the hill.  Santana has shut down the Twins twice already this year – 14 innings of work, four earned runs allowed in a pair of KC victories.  Coming off an eight inning, one earned run performance against the hot hitting Orioles, look for Santana to take care of business Read more


Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Minnesota Twins Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' NFL Season O/U Report Will Be Released Today!

07.30.2013     06:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

Click here to purchase

copy_tc_nfl_o_u_2.jpg

Below is the written analysis Teddy provided to his clients with last year's O/U Win Report. He went 4-0-1 with his recommendations.


2012 NFL Season Win Total Report: Part 1

All lines in this report are current as of 10 AM Pacific on Tuesday, July 31st.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order.  I used seven offshore sports books (Pinnacle, Bookmaker, Greek, Bovada, Grande, ABC Islands and WSEX ) as fodder for my ‘best available current line’, but there’s no reason to think that you won’t be able to find a better number elsewhere – line shoppers are routinely rewarded in the Over-Under win total marketplace. 

Each and every one of these numbers is also available at the sportsbooks here in Las Vegas, but I used the offshore numbers in this report knowing that many clients don’t have access to the Vegas numbers.  It is VERY important to get the win totals posted on this report – a half game can make an enormous difference, Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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