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NHL to play 48-game schedule, sportsbooks post odds on Stanley Cup
01.08.2013 10:36 AM
Printer Friendly
So it appears that there will be an NHL season after all. And for bettors, that's a good thing. According to various reports, the regular season will start January 19 and feature
48 games
. In the meantime, sportsbooks were quick to post odds on this year's Stanley Cup.
Odds to win the Stanley Cup - 5Dimes
Pittsburgh Penguins +700
New York Rangers +900
Vancouver Canucks +1000
Los Angeles Kings +1000
Chicago Blackhawks +1400
Philadelphia Flyers +1400
Boston Bruins +1500
St Louis Blues +1600
Detroit Red Wings +1700
Edmonton Oilers +2000
San Jose Sharks +2000
Nashville Predators +2500
New Jersey
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College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Minnesota Golden Gophers
01.06.2013 08:57 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Northwestern
+16.5 at
Minnesota
O/U 131.5
Recommendation: Northwestern
The Gophers are fat and happy off their 18-2 closeout run against Michigan State on Monday, turning a very tight game into a blowout in the final four minutes. The Wildcats are looking for redemption following their worst loss of the season, a 99-64 home annihilation at the hands of #2 Michigan. It was a game where the Wolverines couldn’t miss, hitting just shy of 60% of their shots from both inside and outside the arc. Put those two factors together with this inflated double digit pointspread and Northwestern becomes a clear choice on Sunday.
Minnesota has repeatedly struggled to get good shots against the Wildcats 1-3-1 zone in every recent meeting. Northwestern has won four of the last seven meetings between these two schools, and Minnesota only has one win by more than eleven points against the Wildcats in the last nine games that they’ve played, a competitive
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College Basketball
Northwestern Wildcats
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Teddy Covers
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Big weekend for Las Vegas bettors and sportsbooks
01.04.2013 12:59 PM
Printer Friendly
Las Vegas sportsbooks gear up for a
big weekend
starting with Saturday's two NFL Wild Card matchups and ending Monday with the BCS National Championship.
“The national championship game will be equivalent to the pro games for us,” Wynn Las Vegas Race and Sports Director John Avello said. “Normally, the pro games are bigger, but this year they’re all going to be big writes.”
“I’d suggest that game will be the biggest turning point of the weekend,” Vaccaro said. “I’m almost sure we’ll need Minnesota, but not because of straight bets. The Packers will be tied into every parlay and teaser.”
“People who are betting Alabama are going to lay the 9.5 points,” Vaccaro said. “But there are a lot of people who would just rather root for Notre Dame to win. We’ve gotten a little attacked on the Notre Dame moneyline. That’s what we’re seeing so far, and I think that could be what we keep seeing.”
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NFL Wild Card Handicapping: Line moves update
01.03.2013 12:25 PM
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A quick look at this weekend's NFL Wild Card line moves.
Cincinnati at Houston
CRIS Opener: Houston -5 O/U 44
CRIS Current: Houston -4.5 O/U 43.5
Early money came in on the Texans driving the line down to -4 but those were quickly bought up. The total has been bet down from and opener of 44 to as low as 43. A rematch of last year's Wild Card in which Houston won 31-10 as 4-point home favorites. The total in that game closed 38.
Minnesota at Green Bay
CRIS Opener: Green Bay -8 O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -8 O/U 46
Sportsbooks not scared to death by bettors teasing Green Bay below a field goal have been dealing -8 and -7.5 for much of the week. Pinnacle of course protecting themselves with -9.5 +115. The prevailing total is 46 with Greek dealing 46.5 and Grande 45.5. Weather expected to be decent; 25 degrees with a small chance of snow.
Indianapolis at Baltimore
CRIS Opener: Baltimore -6.5 O/U 46.5
CRIS Current: Baltimore -7 (-115) O/U 47
Earlier today, all of the 6.5's were taken out as Baltimore is now a touchdown favorite across the board.
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Baltimore Ravens
Indianapolis Colts
Washington Redskins
Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
Houston Texans
Cincinnati Bengals
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NFL Betting Trends: Strength of schedule and pointspread success in the playoffs
01.02.2013 06:29 AM
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One of the best blog posts in Sportsmemo history is making its annual appearance – Using Strength of Schedule to Handicap the First Round of the NFL Playoffs.
The theory is actually quite simple; since 2002, teams with a higher Strength of Schedule (using Sagarin’s Ratings) are a remarkable 29-11 straight up and 29-11 against the spread (73% winners) regardless of price and location.
Even more amazing is that teams with a SOS differential of 10 or more went 18-3 SU, 18-3 ATS (86% winners). Taking it step further, teams with a better SOS that are underdogs went 11-7 SU, 14-4 ATS. Underdogs with a SOS rating of 10 or better went 7-3 ATS and 8-2 ATS.
NFL Playoffs Stength of Schedule Betting Trend 2002-present
Year
Away (SOS)
Home (SOS)
Score
SOS SU
SOS ATS
2011
Cincinnati (23) +3
Houston (32)
HOU 31, CIN 10
Loss
Loss
2011
Detroit (4) +10.5
New Orleans (31)
NO 45, DET 28
Loss
Loss
2011
NY Giants (6) -3
Atlanta (21)
NYG 24, ATL 2
Win
Win
2011
Denver (8) +8
Pittsburgh (26)
DEN 29, PIT 23
Win
Win
2010
New Orleans (25)
Seattle (28) +14.5
SEA 41, NO 36
Loss
Loss
2010
NY Jets (8) +1
Indianapolis (21)
NYJ 17, IND 16
Win
Win
2010
Baltimore (12) -3
Kansas City (32)
BAL 30, KC 7
Win
Win
2010
Green Bay (9) +1
Philadelphia (16)
GB 21, PHI 16
Win
Win
2009
Philadelphia (13) +3.5
Dallas (14)
DAL 34, PHI 13
Loss
Loss
2009
Green Bay (32)
Arizona (28) +2.5
ARI 51, GB 45
Win
Win
2009
NY Jets (4) +2.5
Cincinnati (17)
NYJ 24, CIN 14
Win
Win
2009
Baltimore (10)
New England (6) -3.5
BAL 33, NE 14
Loss
Loss
2008
Baltimore (3) -3.5
Miami (26)
BAL 27, MIA 9
Win
Win
2008
Indianapolis (10) -1.5
San Diego (17)
SD 23, IND 17
Loss
Loss
2008
Philadelphia (5) -3
Minnesota (14)
PHI 26, MIN 14
Win
Win
2008
Atlanta (24)
Arizona (16) -1.5
ARI 30, ATL 24
Win
Win
2007
NY Giants (2) +3
Tampa Bay (24)
NYG 24, TB 14
Win
Win
2007
Washington (1) +3
Seattle (35)
SEA 35, WAS 14
Loss
Loss
2007
Tennessee (18)
San Diego (6) -10.5
SD 17, TEN 6
Win
Win
2007
Jacksonville (13) -2.5
Pittsburgh (27)
JAX 31, PIT 29
Win
Loss
2006
NY Jets (8)
New England (4) -9.5
NE 37, NYJ 16
Win
Win
2006
Kansas City (17)
Indianapolis (5) -7
IND 23, KC 8
Win
Win
2006
NY Giants (9) +6.5
Philadelphia (21)
PHI 23, NYG 20
Loss
Win
2006
Dallas (23) +2.5
Seattle (30)
SEA 21, DAL 20
Loss
Win
2005
Carolina (24)
NY Giants (17) -3
CAR 23, NYG 0
Loss
Loss
2005
Washington (3) +1
Tampa Bay (32)
WAS 17, TB 10
Win
Win
2005
Pittsburgh (4) -3
Cincinnati (13)
PIT 31, CIN 17
Win
Win
2005
Jacksonville (25)
New England (8) -7.5
NE 28, JAX 3
Win
Win
2004
Denver (14)
Indianapolis (11) -10
IND 49, DEN 24
Win
Win
2004
NY Jets (4) +7
San Diego (18)
NYJ 20, SD 17
Win
Win
2004
St. Louis (22) +3.5
Seattle (29)
STL 27, SEA 20
Win
Win
2004
Minnesota (21) +6.5
Green Bay (26)
MIN 31, GB 17
Win
Win
2003
Dallas (18)
Carolina (13) -3
CAR 29, DAL 10
Win
Win
2003
Seattle (27)
Green Bay (23) -7.5
GB 33, SEA 27
Win
Loss
2003
Denver (19)
Indianapolis (4) -3
IND 41, DEN 10
Win
Win
2003
Tennessee (6) -1
Baltimore (28)
TEN 20, BAL 17
Win
Win
2002
Cleveland (17) +8
Pittsburgh (20)
PIT 36, CLE 33
Loss
Win
2002
Indianapolis (28)
NY Jets (5) -6
NYJ 41, IND 0
Win
Win
2002
NY Giants (30)
San Francisco (11) -3
SF 39, NYG 38
Win
Loss
2002
Atlanta (6) +7
Green Bay (27)
ATL 27, GB 7
Win
Win
Totals
29-11 SU
29-11 ATS
In 2002 the NFL expanded to its current format of 32 teams; eight divisions with four teams each. There wasn’t much upheaval as the leagued added the Houston Texans to the AFC and Seattle switched to the NFC. Two new divisions were created as the league kept the integrity of the established divisional rivalries pretty much intact. The playoff format was modified so that four division winners and two wild cards from each conference would advance to the
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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: How NFL Playoff Contenders fared in Week 15
12.17.2012 08:27 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
I've been concentrating on playoff contenders for the last few weeks. Here are my thoughts as I was watching Sunday's games about eight squads that all faced off against other potential playoff foes.
Chicago
- What's wrong with the Bears? Simple – the NFL is a pass-first league and Chicago has a bottom-tier passing game. Jay Cutler doesn't have time to throw the football. He got leveled on three of the first five times he dropped back to pass, and had happy feet in the pocket thereafter. He spent most of the game targeting Brandon Marshall almost exclusively (other than dump off passes to Matt Forte), but only on short routes – Cutler once again, didn't compete a single pass of longer than 20 yards. Throw in a series of costly penalties on both sides of the football and, even on a day where the defense stepped up, the Bears came up short in front of a very hostile home crowd. Forget their 7-1 start. The positive team chemistry from September and October has evaporated.
Denver
- Strong pass rush! I'm not sure there's a defense in the NFL that has improved more since September than these Broncos. They are
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Dallas Cowboys. St. Louis Rams
Pittsburgh Steelers
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Handicapper Alf Musketa's NFL and NCAAF Line Moves Report 10/16/2012
10.16.2012 08:09 AM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
Arizona at Minnesota
Minnesota opened -4, now -6
This line move is due to fact that the Cardinals QB Kevin Kolb went down in the fourth quarter and now is listed as questionable with a rib injury and most handicappers do not like his replacement John Skelton. Their game went into overtime and after Arizona stopped Buffalo on downs, Skelton threw an interception which resulted in great field position for the Bills who kicked a field goal for the win. The Vikings are at home off a loss. I agree with the move.
Baltimore at Houston
Houston opened -4.5, now -6
Another major injury and another line move. Defensive stalwarts linebacker Ray Lewis and cornerback Lardarius Webb are both lost for the season. As bad as Houston looked on Sunday Night Football, the injury losses are huge and in my opinion worth 3 to 3.5 points especially for the first game without Lewis who is such a leader for his team.
Nebraska at Northwestern
Nebraska opened -6.5, now -4.5
With the Wildcats at 6-1 ATS and Nebraska having recently been shellacked
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Oakland A's at Cleveland Indians
08.28.2012 11:31 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Oakland
(Milone) -115 at
Cleveland
(McAllister) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Oakland
On the day after the All-Star break, the Tribe were four games over .500, only three games back in the AL Central. Since that time, Cleveland is a woeful 10-32, falling 16.5 games back in the AL Central. My clients and I have been betting against the Indians at every reasonable opportunity in recent weeks. That’s been a profitable strategy; a strategy worth continuing today.
The Indians are mired in a truly ugly slump: 1-11 in their last dozen ballgames; 5-24 in their last 29. Their offensive production is non-existent right now – they’ve scored 0, 2, 3, 1, 1, 1, 3 and 0 runs in their last eight ballgames; completely unable to put together extended rallies. Things won’t be any easier today for the Tribe’s lineup against the A’s Tommy Milone, coming off an 8-inning, two-hit gem against Minnesota in his last trip to the hill.
Oakland
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College Basketball Betting Notes: Northwestern not pleased with NIT seed
03.13.2012 06:53 AM
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Akron
at
Northwestern
-6.5 O/U
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade. So what if you were 1-10 vs. the RPI top 50. So what if you haven't made an NCAA Tournament since...well ever.
You got a home game in the NIT baby!
Wait. You're disappointed with your NIT seed too? Umm, did we mention you were 1-10 VS. THE RPI TOP 50!?!? Just be glad you didn't get shipped to Quinnipiac for the CBI.
“I was surprised,” Carmody said. “I thought we were a higher seed than that. I thought we were at worst a two seed.
“There was disappointment yesterday, but the real disappointment was Thursday [losing to Minnesota in the Big Ten tournament.] You have five days. I think that was the disappointment. As it turns out, the way it looks to be, even if we had beaten those guys, we weren’t getting in.
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NHL Western Conference Mid-Season Betting Report
01.05.2012 12:14 PM
Sammy P Sports
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Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Yesterday we took a look at the contenders and pretenders in the
Eastern Conference
. Today let’s focus in on the Western Conference. Top to bottom the West has always been the tougher conference in recent years, but this season it is hard to argue the West is better than the East. Unlike the East, the Western Conference doesn’t have that distinct upper- and low-tier. Almost every team in West has made a run thus far only to eventually be pulled back to the pack. Coming into the season everyone expected Detroit, Chicago, Vancouver, and San Jose to be atop the standing. Some argued that Los Angeles deserved to be in that discussion as well. But teams like Minnesota, St. Louis, and even Dallas all have made strong cases for inclusion.
The top 12 teams in the West are currently separated by just 12 points. This makes the fight for home ice advantage that much more important down the stretch. Detroit and St. Louis for example are on the cusp for home ice in the playoffs as of today – an important goal considering they are
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Sammy P
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