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NFL Gambling Preview: New York Jets at New England Patriots

10.24.2015     08:47 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Jets at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -9.5 O/U 49
CRIS Current: New England -7.6 O/U 47.5
Recommendation: New York

The Patriots remarkable pointspread success has forced the betting markets to adjust.  Even after getting backdoored with a late TD by the Colts last week; costing New England backers their wagers, the Pats still remain the single most public team in the NFL – the defending Super Bowl champ that’s come out of the gate looking every bit as potent here in 2015.  That has left sportsbooks no choice but to bump up the number to support New England week after week; a point or two of Patriots' tax that leaves at least a little bit of added value on the opposing side every week.

But before we anoint the Patriots as repeat champions, let’s note that they’ve only beaten one team with a winning record all year – the Steelers; on opening day, when Pittsburgh was missing several key pieces of their top flight skill position talent.  The Pats failed to cover the spread in that game as well, and they were outgained by Read more



Tags: NFL New York Jets New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: New York Jets at New England Patriots

10.22.2015     08:19 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Jets at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -9.5 O/U 49
CRIS Current: New England -8.5 O/U 47.5
Recommendation: New York

Surprising start by the Jets has made this a meaningful early season matchup with first place in the AFC East at stake. Each is already 1-0 against division foes and each ranks as the NFL’s #1 team in opposite categories. New York is tops in average points allowed (15.0 ppg) while the Patriots are #1 in average points scored (36.6 ppg). Adding to the positive differences between these teams is that fact that Football Outsiders website ranks New England as the #1 run blocking offensive line in the league and the Jets as the #1 pass protecting line. The contrasts make handicapping the fundamental aspects of this game extremely important but there are situational and historical angles that are relevant here too. Weather does not figure to be a factor in Foxboro this Sunday.    

The Jets stingy defense gained some more strength when DT Sheldon Richardson returned from his suspension last week. Now in his second week of Read more



Tags: NFL New York Jets New England Patriots Rob Veno




NFL Gambling: SuperContest contestants go all-in on New England Patriots

10.17.2015     07:59 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 6 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. NEW ENGLAND -7.5 at Indianapolis
2. ARIZONA -3 at Pittsburgh
3. MINNESOTA -4 vs. Kansas City
4. BUFFALO +3.5 vs. Cincinnati
5. DETROIT -3 vs. CHICAGO

Least picked Sunday side: Pittsburgh +3 vs. Arizona

 




Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Handicapping: Luck upgraded to probable vs. New England

10.16.2015     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Indianapolis Colts owner Jim Irsay stated that there is a "strong likelihood" that Andrew Luck plays Sunday night vs. New England. Backup Matt Hasselbeck started the last two games, both of which Indy won. Luck's probable status hasn't stopped the betting markets from piling on New England. The Patriots opened -7 and are now as high as -10.


“I really think that, unless something happens, I see him being a go Sunday,” Irsay said. “I’m not saying 100 percent for sure, but I think there’s a strong likelihood he’s a go. I was with him [Thursday], and he’s feeling a lot better.”






Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots




NFL Gambling Preview: New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys

10.09.2015     09:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Dallas
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -7 O/U 49
CRIS Current: New England -8 O/U 49.5
Recommendation: New England

Dallas lost to New Orleans last Sunday Night due to two primary factors.  First, their passing game with Brandon Weeden behind center instead of Tony Romo and Dez Bryant sidelined has been borderline inept.  That’s not going to change with an extra week of practice, nor will their QB play improve dramatically if Weeden gets benched for the just acquired Matt Cassel, who has crashed and burned at every previous NFL stop since his one successful season in New England back in 2008.

Second, the Cowboys very thin defense has become an injury riddled mess; a factor that won’t change significantly even with Greg Hardy and Rolando McClain expected to make their season debuts this week following NFL mandated four game suspensions for both guys.  A Cowboys secondary that couldn’t stop Matt Ryan two weeks ago or Drew Brees last week is ill prepared to stop Tom Brady and the Patriots devastating short passing attack this Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Dallas Cowboys Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Miami seeks better run game vs. Buffalo

09.23.2015     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After producing 116 yards (3.4 ypc) combined the first two weeks, Miami is looking for ways to bolster its run game. Statistically, Week 3's opponent, Buffalo, has been stout against the run allowing 120 yards to New England and Indianapolis. Those numbers are perhaps a little skewed however considering the Patriots were more than satisfied to just throw the football (466 passing yards) and the Colts trailed by margin the entire game.


"We've got to get our run game going. When our run game is going, our offense can't be stopped," Pro Bowl center Mike Pouncey said. "Our play action [feeds] off of it. Our passing game works off it. When we don't run the ball, we don't give ourselves a chance."






Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills




NFL Handicapping: New England currently a consensus TD favorite over Pittsburgh

09.10.2015     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL regular season kicks off tonight with New England playing host to Pittsburgh. Since the summer this line has bounced around due to the unknown status of Tom Brady. With Brady cleared to play, the Patriots reopened -6.5/-7. Recent New England money now has the game -7 across the board both offshore and in Las Vegas. The total ranges from 51.5 to the 52.5. The public of course likes the home chalk (67% according to Sports Options) with even more love towards the over (83%).




Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings 1-32

09.07.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL regular season starts on Thursday.  Here’s how I have the 32 teams ranked heading into the campaign, with a quick blurb each squad.

1. New England Patriots - With Tom Brady set to open the season as the starting quarterback, the defending champs are the team to beat, worthy of my #1 ranking heading into the regular season.

2. Seattle Seahawks - Seattle enjoyed the best yards-per-rush differential between offense and defense last year, but they’ve got significant offensive line question marks as they head to St Louis for Week 1.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers passing game was second to none in the NFL last year, but the loss of Jordy Nelson leaves Aaron Rodgers without his top target for the entire season.

4. Indianapolis Colts - Most elite contenders face a tougher than average schedule because they’ve got to face other contending teams.  Indy, however, plays only four games against playoff teams from last year.

5. Denver Broncos - Peyton Manning is the oldest starting quarterback in the NFL by a wide margin, and he’s coming off a season where his arm strength noticeably declined down the Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Update: New England Patriots now favored to win AFC title

09.04.2015     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Update on New England's future odds courtesy of The Greek now that Tom Brady has been cleared to play.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 50: +550

Odds to Win AFC Championship: +285

Odds to Win AFC East: -285

Season Over/Under Wins: 10.5ov-145

NFL MVP: Tom Brady +2000





NFL Gambling Alert: Brady cleared to play; Pats -6.5/-7 vs. Steelers Week 1

09.03.2015     07:54 AM     View Original Blog


So this just happened. Tom Brady's suspension was officially lifted which means he'll suit up for Week 1's game Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Gambling Alert: Brady cleared to play; Pats -6.5/-7 vs. Steelers Week 1

09.03.2015     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So this just happened. Tom Brady's suspension was officially lifted which means he'll suit up for Week 1's game vs. Pittsburgh. It also means oddsmakers are scrambling to post an updated pointspread. CG Technology originally opened the game New England -6.5 back in April before Deflategate went public. Assuming Brady would be suspended, the Pats hovered around -2.5/-3. Now that Brady has been cleared to play CG reopened -6 and it was later bet up to -6.5. Pinnacle reopened -7 where it currently stands. Same deal for Heritage and BetOnline. Las Vegas' William Hill is -6.5.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers



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