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November

29

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MLB Handicapping: Cincinnati's Bailey struggles with fastball, lefties

05.23.2014     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Miller) at Cincinnati (Bailey) -110 O/U 7.5

Cincinnati's Homer Bailey has had his struggles this year with a 5.44 ERA and 1.578 WHIP in nine starts. He's been a bit unlucky (.348 BABIP, 18.4% HR/FB) and pitched better than his raw numbers (3.63 xFIP) but one of the things holding Bailey back is lefties. Like most right-handers, lefties have hit Bailey better than righties throughout his career but the discrepancy isn't outrageous (.426 SLG vs. L, .403 SLG vs. R). This year’s splits however are eye-popping. Lefties are hitting .373 BA, .453 OBP, .602 SLG, and 1.055 vs. Bailey. It looks as if a lot of the damage is coming via the fastball. Against Bailey's four- and two-seam fastballs, hitters are hitting a robust .362 vs. .230 last season. Again, some of it is bad luck and the sample size isn't very big but it is still a split worth monitoring moving Read more


Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals




MLB Handicapping: St. Louis' Shelby Miller still searching for better command

05.17.2014     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on St. Louis starting pitcher Shelby Miller, who despite owning “plus stuff”, has had command issues for much of the season with 27 walks in 44.2 innings. And for his career, he's been a bit lucky that the lack of command hasn't had a significant impact on his results (thus far). Following his last outing against Pittsburgh (5.1 IP, 2 ER, 4 BBs) Miller went back and watched film to find any mechanical flaws. He's slated to start this afternoon against Atlanta.


"Sometimes when you play catch, you fall out of routine a little bit or don't take it as seriously as you need to," Miller said. "The big thing for me is, even when it's loosening up and playing catch, it's making sure to hit a spot and work on things even between starts every single day. I think maybe that's what I have been slacking at."

"A lot of that is just Read more



Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals




MLB Handicapper Free Play: St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

03.31.2014     06:18 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Wainwright) at Cincinnati (Cueto) +115 O/U 7
Recommendation: Cincinnati


I have no hesitation fading Adam Wainwright at the Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati.  This park and this opponent has been a house of horrors for Wainwright in recent years, despite his Cy Young caliber overall campaigns.
 
In two starts against the Reds after the All Star break last year, Wainwright got clobbered both times: eight innings pitched, 17 hits and 15 earned runs allowed.  He notched only one win in four tries against Cincinnati for the season.  In 2012, wainwright had an ERA above 5.00 versus the Reds, again, notching only a single win against a divisional rival.
 
It’s surely worth noting that Wainwright got lit up at Arizona on opening day last year, allowing eleven hits and four runs in six innings of work.  Wainwright went 0-3 in April 2012, finishing the month with a 7.32 ERA as the Cards lost all four of his Read more


Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Betting: Kentucky in great form but Louisville remains moderate favorite

03.25.2014     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky vs. Louisville -5 O/U 138.5

Current form or entire body of work? That is the conundrum with Friday's Kentucky-Louisville game. The Wildcats have looked Final Four-esque (4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS) since losing to Florida in the regular season finale. The Cardinals meanwhile received scares in their first two tourney games from Manhattan and Saint Louis – trailing in the second half of both only to pull away late. Prior to the NCAA Tournament, 14 of Louisville's last 15 wins came by double-digits. UK won the regular season meeting in Lexington, 73-66 as 1.5-point favorites. For Friday, Louisville has held steady as a 5-point favorite; something oddsmakers don't feel will change much prior to tip-off.


“The line is based on rating of both teams,” he said. “Kentucky played great Sunday. From what I’ve seen, it was one of their best-played games all year… So yes, the line probably came down a little bit from what I thought it would be originally. But you Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals




College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 2-7-2014

02.07.2014     11:17 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After missing seven straight games with a foot injury, Michigan State senior center Adreian Payne returned Thursday night in an 82-67 home win over Penn State at Breslin Center. Payne scored 12 points, grabbed three rebounds, dished out two assists and blocked one shot in 18 minutes of playing time. However, starting guard Keith Appling couldn't go against PSU due to a wrist injury. Appling, who averages 15.0 points and 4.9 assists per game, is 'questionable' for Sunday's game at Wisconsin. Also, Branden Dawson (hand) remains out and isn't expected to be back until early March.

Florida freshman center Chris Walker made his debut in Tuesday's non-covering home win over Missouri. Walker played only seven minutes, scoring four points with a pair of dunks and two blocked shots. Look for his minutes to gradually increase as he becomes more comfortable with what the Gators are running on both ends of the court.

Minnesota leading scorer Andre Hollins returned from a sprained ankle suffered on Jan. 22 to play in Wednesday's 77-74 overtime loss at Purdue. Hollins had missed back-to-back games (both defeats). He played 36 minutes and finished with eight points, four Read more


Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards




College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 1-31-2014

01.31.2014     02:34 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota will be without its leading scorer again for Saturday's home game vs. Northwestern. Andre Hollins is recovering from an ankle injury sustained in the opening minute of a home win over Wisconsin on Jan. 22. Hollins averages 15.1 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.0 steals per game. He was unable to play earlier this week in an 82-78 loss at Nebraska.

Cincinnati senior center Justin Jackson returned to the lineup in Thursday's 69-66 win at Louisville. Jackson injured his ankle early in the first half of Sunday's win at Temple and didn't return. But he looked just fine against the Cardinals, producing 11 points, nine rebounds, three assists, two steals and two blocked shots in 37 minutes of playing time. The Bearcats won outright as nine-point underdogs and hooked up money-line supporters with a +350 return (paid $350 on $100 wagers). If you didn't know already, now you do. Cincy is a legit national-title contender because it rebounds and defends as well as team in the country. And Mick Cronin has a senior leader in Sean Kilpatrick that dropped 29 points on U of L and always wants the rock at crunch time.

Rick Pitino's squad had been without Read more


Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards




College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 1-24-2014

01.24.2014     10:49 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Can you really blame Michigan State junior Branden Dawson? When I'm forced to listen to ESPN analyst Dan Dakich talk (about anything!), I want to pull my hair out. Dakich is the Mark May of college basketball. I disagree with everything that comes out of his mouth and his delivery is the equivalent of fingernails screeching across the chalkboard. During a Thursday film session for the Spartans, Dakich was commenting on a mistake by Dawson, prompting him to slam his hand against a table. The result is a broken bone in his right (shooting) hand that will cause him to miss the next 4-5 weeks. Dawson averages 10.2 points and 8.7 rebounds per game. He also has 22 steals and 17 blocked shots. Senior center Adreian Payne (16.2 PPG, 7.7 RPG) has missed four straight games with a foot injury, and he is 'doubtful' Saturday vs. Michigan.

Minnesota's leading scorer Andre Hollins (16.2 PPG) suffered a sprained ankle in the opening minutes of this week's home win over Wisconsin. The results of an MRI were negative and there's a chance Hollins will play Saturday at Nebraska. He is listed as 'questionable.'

Alabama played without its second-leading scorer in last night's 68-62 Read more


Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards




College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 1-17-2014

01.17.2014     05:45 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After missing back-to-back games due to swelling and soreness in his knee, Florida forward Casey Prather has been cleared to play Saturday at Auburn. However, UF head coach Billy Donovan told the media Friday morning that it's unlikely that Prather will play many minutes. The senior slasher is enjoying a breakout campaign, averaging a team-high 17.0 points per game. The status of freshman big man Chris Walker remains unresolved. Walker, a McDonald's All-American from Holmes Co. High School, has been practicing with the team for a month but is still awaiting word on his eligibility from the NCAA Clearinghouse. ESPN's Chad Ford currently has Walker as the No. 22 pick in his mock for this summer's NBA Draft.

Colorado took a huge hit in Sunday's 71-54 loss at Washington when Spencer Dinwiddie was lost for the season with a torn ACL. Dinwiddie was averaging 14.7 points, 3.8 assists, 3.1 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game. Without Dinwiddie last night, CU lost a 69-56 decision to UCLA as a one-point home favorite.

Boston College was hoping to get center Dennis Clifford back soon, but that's not happening. The school announced that Clifford is out for the rest of the Read more


Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards




NFL Gambling: Seattle looks to lock up NFC West and homefield advantage

12.17.2013     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona at Seattle -10 O/U 44.5

The Seattle Seahawks have two opportunities to lock up the NFC West – at home vs. Arizona and St. Louis – and homefield advantage.


"I'm more concerned about losing the edge we've gained," Carroll said. "It's taken months to get here and all of a sudden you kick into a month mode where it could be different."

"We're going to make the most of what we got," said Carroll. "I would have wanted it as soon as we could have won it and then dealt with that challenge, but right now I think we understand clearly what we're trying to get done here."






Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Arizona Cardinals




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.18.2013     12:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s late November.  Thanksgiving is next week.  And that means it’s time for me to take a break from my typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season.

It’s time to focus on the big boys – teams with playoff aspirations.  Who can get hot down the stretch and make us some money winning games and covering pointspreads?  Which squads are legitimate Super Bowl contenders; which are pretenders.  Let’s take look through the NFC this week, gauging which squads have ATS value moving forward, and which squads have already reached their zenith, poised to tumble back to earth down the stretch.

I did not include notes on Carolina (they don’t play till Monday Night) and Dallas (on bye this week) due to space limitations.  That leaves Philadelphia, the New York Giants, Detroit, Chicago, Green Bay, New Orleans, Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona to consider; all of whom remain live for the postseason as Week 12 approaches.

Serious Super Bowl Contenders

Seattle Seahawks - I Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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