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November

26

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College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 8/26/13

08.26.2013     02:08 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’ve seen some early week line movements for the debut of college football in 2013 this Thursday. I’ve tweaked our estimated Power Ratings from a few weeks ago as a result.

The numbers you see below assume 3 points for home field advantage. I create a couplet for each game based on the market spread adjusted for home field (or, left alone in the case of neutral site games), then try to place that couplet on “the big board” scale. So…if a team is a 12-point favorite on a neutral field, I make sure those teams are 12 points apart…then try to figure out where they would logically sit in the big picture based on last year’s final numbers…offseason changes…early numbers in the “game of the year” stuff in Vegas for upcoming matchups…etc. If a team is a 12-point favorite at home, then I make sure those teams are 9 points apart.
 
(If you're wondering why I use a universal 3 points for home field Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Basketbal Betting Free Pick: Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide

02.26.2013     12:13 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn +11.5 at Alabama O/U 119
Recommendation: Auburn


Alabama hasn’t been just bad a home chalk in SEC play…they’ve been abysmal! The results don’t lie as the Crimson Tide enter tonight’s rivalry showdown against Auburn on a dreadful 0-6 ATS run in their six SEC home games as favorites. They had single-digit home wins against Tennessee, Arkansas, LSU and Texas A&M – none of which were enough for a pointspread cover as home favorites. Alabama was only able to beat SEC bottom feeders Mississippi State by 8 as 15-point home favorites and South Carolina by 10 as 12-point home favorites. The spot is not good either for the home team tonight. Alabama is coming off a wild triple OT thriller at LSU coming up just short 97-94 after blowing a 10-point lead with 2 minutes left. That isn’t the kind of loss that is easy to rebound from especially when you are talking about a team needing to win by a significant margin.

The Read more


Tags: College Basketball Auburn Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Ian Cameron




College Foobtall Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 9

10.30.2012     07:34 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Two of the three remaining unbeatens in the SEC suffered their first loss of the season last week, leaving Alabama with the only perfect record in the conference. The Crimson Tide handed Mississippi State its first loss of the season, 38-7. Alabama was never really threatened in the game, jumping out to a quick 21-0 lead and suffocating the Mississippi State offense. The Bulldogs avoided a shutout late in the 4th quarter by scoring against the Tide’s backups.

The Georgia Bulldogs took care of the other unbeaten, dispatching Florida in a sloppy 17-9 win. The Gators' inefficient offense did them in, as Georgia forced six turnovers and held Florida to three field goal attempts. Florida had been winning despite their lack of a passing game and its defense did its job again this week, but Georgia's defense continually came up with big play after big play. Georgia now holds the tiebreaker over Florida in the race for the SEC East, and will go to the championship game if they can avoid another SEC loss.

South Carolina got back on track with its win over Tennessee, holding off the Volunteers, 38-35. The Tennessee defense was once again awful, allowing the Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Foobtall Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 7

10.17.2012     08:04 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The SEC game of the year to date was no letdown, as LSU handed South Carolina its first loss of the year, 23-21. The game was not as close as the final score, with LSU dominating the line of scrimmage the entire game and outgaining the Gamecocks, 406-211. LSU basically gave South Carolina two touchdowns, one after a long interception return and their last one with two minutes left after LSU had taken a nine-point lead. LSU was also forced to attempt four field goals after long drives, making three. Both teams now have tough road games with LSU going to Texas A&M and South Carolina heading to the Swamp to face Florida.

Florida had a tough road win at Vanderbilt last week, getting the pointspread cover when quarterback Jeff Driskel broke a 70-yard touchdown run with 2:20 remaining. Vanderbilt put up 363 yards against the Florida defense, but could not stop the Gator running game, allowing 326 yards rushing on the night.

Texas A&M also had a road win, but its defensive effort was not up to SEC standards. The Aggies jumped out to a 34-7 lead in the second quarter, but allowed Louisiana Tech to come roaring back before holding on for a 59-57 win. A&M had Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Foobtall Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 6

10.11.2012     05:51 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Carolina 35-7 blowout of Georgia may have been the most impressive win of the year in SEC play. The Gamecocks jumped out to a 21-0 lead in under ten minutes of action and the Bulldogs’ only tally came with 1:55 left in the game. Georgia had scored 41 points or more in all five of its games before running into a Gamecocks defense that held them to 224 total yards and seven points. The Bulldogs had also gained 1,127 yards their two previous tilts against Vandy and Tennessee. It was a complete domination by the Gamecocks, who now must go to LSU this week to take on the beaten down Tigers.

If LSU’s offensive performance in their 14-6 loss at Florida was indicative of what will happen this week, the Tigers may not cross the 50-yard line against USC. Florida trailed 6-0 at halftime, but used a solid running game to wear down the LSU defense in the second half. Florida ran the ball on 17 of 18 plays in its consecutive scoring drives bridging the 3rd and 4th quarters. Florida QB Jeff Driskel attempted just 12 passes, competing eight for only 61 yards. The Gator defense dominated the LSU offensive line, holding LSU to 42 yards rushing and 200 total yards on the Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Foobtall Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 5

10.01.2012     12:31 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arkansas has turned into a downright embarrassment to the SEC now after losing 58-10 to Texas A&M last week. The Hogs have committed 15 turnovers on the season and forced just two. The defense has now allowed over 2,500 yards in five games and there appears to be no answers coming from bankrupt head coach John L. Smith. Arkansas is now a 10-point underdog at Auburn. War Eagle comes in off of a bye after battling LSU to a two-point loss two weeks ago.

The most exciting game of the week was in Athens as 5th ranked Georgia held off Tennessee, 51-44. The two teams combined for 1,038 yards of offense and seven turnovers while scoring six touchdowns on plays longer than 32 yards. The Tennessee run defense was gashed again, as both Georgia running backs had over 130 yards and the Bulldogs finished with 282 yards on the ground.

The other three SEC teams ranked in the top six in the nation – Alabama, LSU, and South Carolina – were in action but not at the top of their respective games. South Carolina actually trailed Kentucky 17-7 at halftime, and the Wildcats were once again without starting quarterback Maxwell Smith, who left during the Cats’ Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 4

09.24.2012     06:35 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
No real surprises in the SEC this weekend except of course for the ongoing circus currently taking place in Fayetteville. Arkansas got quarterback Tyler Wilson back in the lineup for its non-conference home tilt against Rutgers, but still took it on the chin, 35-26. Wilson threw for 419 yards and three touchdowns, but was also intercepted twice. Arkansas’ defense was torched again, giving up 35 points and 525 yards of total offense to what had been a mediocre Rutgers offense. They have now allowed over 1,800 yards in four games and they face another test this week at Texas A&M.

The closest thing to an upset was Auburn’s near miss at home against LSU. The Tigers fought valiantly, but couldn’t muster enough offense to pull off the upset. Auburn held LSU to 12 points, but their offense had just 183 total yards and committed three turnovers. LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger didn’t set the world on fire, but finished a solid 15-of-27 for 169 yards and no interceptions in his first SEC road start.

The newest SEC member, Missouri, found out how tough life on the road in the SEC can be at South Carolina. The Gamecocks Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Foobtall Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 3

09.17.2012     11:22 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It wouldn’t have mattered if Tyler Wilson had played for Arkansas this week against Alabama, as the Crimson Tide overwhelmed the Razorbacks, 52-0. Wilson might have kept the goose egg off the scoreboard, but that’s about it. Arkansas now faces questions about whether or not it quit at the end of the game and the beleaguered defense has allowed 1,300 yards in three games. Alabama gave up just 137 yards and pitched its second straight shutout.

Also impressing this week was the Florida Gators, earning their first win over a ranked team in the Will Muschamp era. Florida piled up 555 yards and outscored Tennessee 27-6 in the second half en route to a 37-20 win. Jeff Driskel played his best game as a Gator and appears to be settling into the job. It will be interesting to see if the Gators build on this offensive performance. They still ran the ball 68% of the time and have attempted only 58 passes in three games.

South Carolina and Georgia remained unbeaten and the Gators’ principle competition in the SEC East. Carolina hammered UAB, 49-6, with Connor Shaw and Dylan Thompson splitting time at quarterback. Georgia pasted Florida Atlantic, Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Football Betting Preview: Iowa State Cyclones at Iowa Hawkeyes

09.07.2012     11:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa State at Iowa
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Iowa State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - Big Ten Network
CRIS Opener:
Iowa -4.5 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Iowa -3.5 O/U 49
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Iowa -6.5

There’s not a lot to like about Iowa this year. The Hawkeyes program has been in steady decline since their shocking run to the Orange Bowl following the 2009 season. Head coach Kirk Ferentz is no longer able to attract NFL level recruits the way that he did for many of his previous 13 seasons on the job. The Hawkeyes didn’t reach the end zone against rebuilding Northern Illinois until the final two minutes of the game last week, escaping with a one point victory over a mid-tier MAC squad. An offensive line that has regularly sent graduated to the NFL doesn’t appear to have any NFL caliber talent in 2012.

This team lacks offensive playmakers as well, and QB James Vandenberg Read more


Tags: College Football Iowa State Cyclones Big XII Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling Preview: Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

09.07.2012     08:34 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn at Mississippi State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Under
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Mississippi State -2.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Mississippi State -3 (-105) O/U 47
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Mississippi State -4

Auburn comes in off a tough 26-19 loss to Clemson while Mississippi State had a much easier time against Jackson State, winning 56-9. We should find out much more about Mississippi State this week against a quality opponent, but they should hold up well against the Tigers. Auburn struggled to stop the run against Clemson, allowing 320 yards on 52 attempts, and also gave up 208 yards passing. The only positive with Auburn’s stop unit was in the red zone as they held Clemson to four field goals. They did however allow Clemson to convert on 8-of-17 third downs and pick up 28 first downs. On offense, Auburn ran the ball fairly well with 180 yards, but the passing Read more


Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC Brent Crow



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 26, 2014 06:42 PM.