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College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 1
09.04.2012 07:23 AM
Alatex Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports
South Carolina escaped with a 17-13 win at Vanderbilt last Thursday night, but took some hits in doing so. Starting quarterback Connor Shaw can barely lift his right arm and will miss 3-4 days of practice and possibly the East Carolina game this week. Starting guard Brandon Shell hurt his ankle and is in a walking boot, so he is also questionable as well. South Carolina had trouble protecting Shaw all night and the Commodores wound up outgaining the Gamecocks. The South Carolina coaches were not upset at how the Gamecocks played; they recognized that Vandy is a pretty good team and were happy to get out of Nashville with a win. Vandy is a road favorite at Northwestern this week.
Tennessee unveiled its new up-tempo offense against NC State and the results were impressive. The Vols ran 79 plays from scrimmage, the most since notching 82 in a quadruple overtime game against Kentucky in 2007. Tennessee gained 524 yards of offense in the35-21 win and quarterback Tyler Bray looked like a sure-fire NFL prospect. JC wide receiver transfer Cordarrelle Patterson showed some awesome speed and it certainly looks like Da’Rick Rogers, who was booted off the team last week, will
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Tags:
College Football
SEC
Brent Crow
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College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers vs. NC State Wolfpack
08.31.2012 11:37 AM
Alatex Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports
Tennessee
vs.
NC State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
NC State
Friday, 4:30 pm PT @ Atlanta - ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
Tennessee -2.5 O/U 50
CRIS Current:
Tennessee -3 (-115) O/U 52.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
NC State PK
Tennessee fans are looking for some progress in year three of the Derek Dooley era and with 18 starters back from a 5-7 team, they should get their wish. Whether the Vols win enough games to keep Dooley off the hot seat remains to be seen, however. Tennessee does have a chance to go to a nice bowl game if they can stay healthy, most notably quarterback Tyler Bray who is primed for a big showing. In just 12 starts spanning two seasons, Bray has thrown 35 TDs and 16 INTs. A full season will have him near 30 TD passes and 3,000 yards and that should result in eight or nine wins for this team. Justin Hunter, who returns from injury, is poised to be the recipient of most of Bray’s
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Tags:
College Football
Tennessee Volunteers
SEC
NC State Wolfpack
ACC
Brent Crow
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Who has what it takes to win the 2012 National Championship Part II
03.05.2012 10:54 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
In
Part I
of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 14 NCAA champions. From that profile, I was able to make a short list of potential champs in 2012, consisting of the following 14 teams:
Duke, North Carolina, Syracuse, Marquette, Georgetown, Louisville, Michigan State, Ohio State, Indiana, Kansas, Missouri, Baylor, Kentucky and Florida.
I’ll wager dollars to donuts that the 2012 champion is one of these teams. The next step, of course, is to eliminate teams one by one, slowly but surely working our way towards the eventual national champ.
The first step in the elimination process is to look at the team’s records away from home.
The NCAA championship is not won on a team’s home floor. Even with a favorable location one weekend, a team is still going to have to win four ‘neutral site’ games in order to cut down the nets in New Orleans on the first Monday in April. And the best predictive evidence for future
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Teddy Covers
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College Basketball Free Play: Morehead State Eagles vs. Tennessee State Tigers
03.02.2012 07:44 AM
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Morehead State
vs.
Tennessee State
-3.5 O/U 123
Recommendation: Tennessee State
I don't typically like to lay points with these college basketball conference tournaments but I see some value supporting Tennessee State as a small favorite over Morehead State. Morehead somewhat lucked out with its conference schedule this year playing only one game apiece against the top two teams in the league, Murray State and Tennessee State. In five games against teams that finished with above .500 league record, Morehead went 1-4 with the lone win coming over Tennessee Tech who was playing the second leg of the very difficult EKU/Morehead road trip. Just based on the eye test, Morehead has the look of a mediocre OVC squad but because of the scheduled stumbled into the third seed. Tennessee State meanwhile played Murray and Tennessee Tech twice as well as SEMO. The Tigers have a lot of talent and should have decent fan support with the game being
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Morehead State Eagles
Tennessee State Tigers
Andrew Lange
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NCAA Basketball Betting Trend Update: Murray State -2 first half vs. Tennessee State
02.23.2012 07:07 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
UPDATE
Murray State
at
Tennessee State
Our Tennessee State 1st half/2nd half trend should be in play tonight as the Tigers play host to Murray State. Since we last spoke, TSU lost two more first halves but stormed back to win outright and cash back-to-back second half tickets. TSU is on a 3-13 ATS 1st half/14-2 ATS 2nd half run. There is really no explanation for these results but clearly Tennessee State is aware of its come-from-behind ways. Tonight, Murray State is downplaying the revenge angle as TSU handed the Racers their lone loss of the season. Both teams have the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds in the OVC Tournament locked up. You should be able to find Murray State -2 for the first half.
Tennessee State 1st Half/2nd Half Betting Trends as of 2/23/2012
Opponent
Halftime Score
TSU 1st Half ATS
Final Score
TSU 2nd Half ATS
Miami (OH)
MOH 35, TSU 26
Loss
TSU 68, MOH 61
Win
Jacksonville State
JSU 32, TSU 26
Loss
TSU 69, JSU 64 OT
Win
Tennessee Tech
TSU 28, TTU 27
Loss
TSU 68, TTU 53
Win
Murray State
MSU 40, TSU 33
Loss
TSU 72, MSU 29
Win
Southeast Missouri
SEMO 35, TSU 30
Loss
TSU 75, SEMO 72
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 20
Win
TSU 77, ASPU 57
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 38, TSU 32
Loss
TSU 91, EKU 85 OT
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 26, UTM 25
Loss
TSU 72, UTM 59
Win
Eastern Illinois
TSU 29, EIU 23
Win
TSU 55, EIU 46
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 28
Win
APSU 69, TSU 63
Loss
SIU-Edwardsville
SIUE 24, TSU 17
Loss
TSU 52, SIUE 49
Loss
Morehead State
TSU 34, MOR 32
Loss
TSU 77, MOR 72
Win
Jacksonville State
JSU 39, TSU 22
Loss
JSU 72, TSU 65
Win
Tennessee Tech
TTU 42, TSU 36
Loss
TTU 92, TSU 86
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 41, TSU 17
Loss
EKU 73, TSU 68
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 41, UTM 35
Loss
TSU 83, UTM 67
Win
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Andrew Lange
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College Basketball Betting Trends: Tennessee State's 2nd half domination
02.14.2012 01:35 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
I happen to stumble upon this tidbit with Tennessee State who has won seven straight and is currently in second place of the Ohio Valley Conference at 10-4. The Tigers have shown a strong trend of failing to show up early and playing out of their minds after the break. They've held a halftime lead in only seven of their 14 league games which has resulted in a dismal 3-11 ATS first half mark. But for whatever reason, TSU has played like gods in the second halves of these games, outscoring all but one of their 14 opponents by a combined tally of 610-484 – good for an amazing 12-2 ATS. That is an average second half score of 43.6-34.6. In the first half, they were outscored by a combined 46 points. Tonight, Tennessee State plays host to Jacksonville State. Play accordingly.
Tennessee State 1st Half/2nd Half Betting Trends as of 2/14/2012
Opponent
Halftime Score
TSU 1st Half ATS
Final Score
TSU 2nd Half ATS
Tennessee Tech
TSU 28, TTU 27
Loss
TSU 68, TTU 53
Win
Murray State
MSU 40, TSU 33
Loss
TSU 72, MSU 29
Win
Southeast Missouri
SEMO 35, TSU 30
Loss
TSU 75, SEMO 72
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 20
Win
TSU 77, ASPU 57
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 38, TSU 32
Loss
TSU 91, EKU 85 OT
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 26, UTM 25
Loss
TSU 72, UTM 59
Win
Eastern Illinois
TSU 29, EIU 23
Win
TSU 55, EIU 46
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 28
Win
APSU 69, TSU 63
Loss
SIU-Edwardsville
SIUE 24, TSU 17
Loss
TSU 52, SIUE 49
Loss
Morehead State
TSU 34, MOR 32
Loss
TSU 77, MOR 72
Win
Jacksonville State
JSU 39, TSU 22
Loss
JSU 72, TSU 65
Win
Tennessee Tech
TTU 42, TSU 36
Loss
TTU 92, TSU 86
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 41, TSU 17
Loss
EKU 73, TSU 68
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 41, UTM 35
Loss
TSU 83, UTM 67
Win
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Andrew Lange
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Saturday College Basketball Free Play: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State
02.11.2012 08:20 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Tennessee Tech
+3.5 at
Tennessee State
O/U 145.5
Recommendation: Tennessee Tech
No one in college basketball is immune to letdowns and that includes the likes of Kentucky, Ohio State and on down to the little guys. Tennessee State just picked up the program's biggest win since...I don't have the time to research it but it was huge when they beat undefeated Murray State on the road. I knew Murray State was going to lose at some point and in reality, TSU isn't that far removed from the Racers talent wise, but to go up there on national TV and score a victory was an impressive feat – how often are Tennessee State kids highlighted on ESPN? The Tigers have now won six straight including back-to-back on the road and have just one day to prepare for any angry Tennessee Tech squad that just lost at home to bottom feeder Eastern Illinois. Head coach Steve Payne said after the game it wasn't a lack of effort, but instead just a really bad shooting
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Andrew Lange
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SEC Basketball Betting News and Notes 1-20-2012
01.20.2012 01:33 PM
Alatex Sports
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Submitted by Alatex Sports
The SEC race is shaping up as a two-team sprint after the first three weeks of conference play. Kentucky and Vanderbilt are the front runners with everyone else falling back into the pack. The Wildcats and Commodores could not be any more different, with Kentucky made up of all freshmen and sophomores while Vandy gets its production from upperclassmen. Vanderbilt also does not get the respect from bettors and oddsmakers that Kentucky does, although that may change after the Commodores dominated Alabama in Tuscaloosa last night. I doubt that we will see Vandy getting five points on the road anymore unless it is at Kentucky. On the other hand, Kentucky continues to struggle as road chalk in conference play, winning but failing to cover at Auburn and Tennessee.
I expect more of the same from Kentucky this season. Last year, they had a different group of freshmen, but they displayed the same characteristics on the road in SEC play. Everyone in the league gets up to play Kentucky, so they always get their opponents’ best effort. Freshmen are still freshmen, whether they are future first round picks or not, and I’ll be looking for chances to play against
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Brent Crow
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Independence Bowl Betting Preview: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Missouri Tigers
12.21.2011 01:49 PM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Independence Bowl
Missouri
vs.
North Carolina
Monday, 1 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Missouri -3.5 O/U 53.5
CRIS Current:
Missouri -5 O/U 53
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Missouri -3
Rob Veno's Betting Take:
This is a very intriguing matchup from many angles including motivational, fundamental, key personnel losses and recent bowl history. North Carolina would figure to play this game with great energy and emotion for well liked, interim head coach Everett Withers. But with Larry Fedora stepping in next season, Withers may be somewhat distracted having already landed a gig with Urban Meyer at Ohio State. Add to that the recent suspension of star wide receiver Dwight Jones (status up in the air now as UNC has asked the NCAA for re-instatement), and you have a pair of off-field disruptions less than a week before kickoff. Missouri meanwhile concluded
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College Basketball Betting News: Breaking down the SEC
12.13.2011 07:48 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
With finals exams upon us, the college basketball card is light so I'll be providing conference breakdowns throughout the week.
SEC
- I wrote yesterday about Kentucky's strong under trend. You can
read it here
. Last year, playing Florida over the total was one of the more frustrating bets on the board. Billy Donovan had his hand in every play and the Gators averaged about 65 possessions per game. This year has been completely different. Florida has already played seven games with 70 or more possessions whereas last season only four games topped that mark. And there is no reason for Donovan to ask for a more controlled environment as the Gators average 1.19 points per possession – the top mark in the nation. Alabama opened the year competitively lined against Maryland, Purdue and Wichita and won and covered all three contests. Then for whatever reason, the Crimson Tide was priced as an elite level
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Andrew Lange
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