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NFL Handicapping: New England currently a consensus TD favorite over Pittsburgh

09.10.2015     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL regular season kicks off tonight with New England playing host to Pittsburgh. Since the summer this line has bounced around due to the unknown status of Tom Brady. With Brady cleared to play, the Patriots reopened -6.5/-7. Recent New England money now has the game -7 across the board both offshore and in Las Vegas. The total ranges from 51.5 to the 52.5. The public of course likes the home chalk (67% according to Sports Options) with even more love towards the over (83%).




Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings 1-32

09.07.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL regular season starts on Thursday.  Here’s how I have the 32 teams ranked heading into the campaign, with a quick blurb each squad.

1. New England Patriots - With Tom Brady set to open the season as the starting quarterback, the defending champs are the team to beat, worthy of my #1 ranking heading into the regular season.

2. Seattle Seahawks - Seattle enjoyed the best yards-per-rush differential between offense and defense last year, but they’ve got significant offensive line question marks as they head to St Louis for Week 1.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers passing game was second to none in the NFL last year, but the loss of Jordy Nelson leaves Aaron Rodgers without his top target for the entire season.

4. Indianapolis Colts - Most elite contenders face a tougher than average schedule because they’ve got to face other contending teams.  Indy, however, plays only four games against playoff teams from last year.

5. Denver Broncos - Peyton Manning is the oldest starting quarterback in the NFL by a wide margin, and he’s coming off a season where his arm strength noticeably declined down the Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Update: New England Patriots now favored to win AFC title

09.04.2015     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Update on New England's future odds courtesy of The Greek now that Tom Brady has been cleared to play.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 50: +550

Odds to Win AFC Championship: +285

Odds to Win AFC East: -285

Season Over/Under Wins: 10.5ov-145

NFL MVP: Tom Brady +2000





NFL Gambling Alert: Brady cleared to play; Pats -6.5/-7 vs. Steelers Week 1

09.03.2015     07:54 AM     View Original Blog


So this just happened. Tom Brady's suspension was officially lifted which means he'll suit up for Week 1's game Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Gambling Alert: Brady cleared to play; Pats -6.5/-7 vs. Steelers Week 1

09.03.2015     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So this just happened. Tom Brady's suspension was officially lifted which means he'll suit up for Week 1's game vs. Pittsburgh. It also means oddsmakers are scrambling to post an updated pointspread. CG Technology originally opened the game New England -6.5 back in April before Deflategate went public. Assuming Brady would be suspended, the Pats hovered around -2.5/-3. Now that Brady has been cleared to play CG reopened -6 and it was later bet up to -6.5. Pinnacle reopened -7 where it currently stands. Same deal for Heritage and BetOnline. Las Vegas' William Hill is -6.5.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Handicapping: Las Vegas oddsmakers react to Deflategate

08.05.2015     01:42 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas oddsmakers talk about Tom Brady's suspension and how it has impacted their lines as well as placing limits on New England's season over/under wins.


"Home team, capable backup [quarterback]," Rood said in explaining New England's favored status in the opener. "We've put some strong limits on it. If Brady plays, that number could jump to six."

"From what I'm hearing, Jimmy G is going to be more than a capable replacement and [Patriots Coach Bill] Belichick usually always gets his guys ready to go," Rood said about the 10 1/2 number.

"What I don't want to do is have a knee-jerk reaction."






Tags: NFL New England Patriots Las Vegas




NFL Gambling Update: Brady suspended first four games of regular season

07.28.2015     02:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Looks like the New England Patriots really won't have Tom Brady the first four games of the regular season (vs. Pittsburgh, at Buffalo, vs. Jacksonville, and at Dallas). The NFL announced today that the suspension was upheld. As a result, there isn't much in the way of betting options for New England's Week 1 game vs. the Steelers. CRIS never posted a line. Pinnacle, Heritage, and 5Dimes took it down in early July (New England -3). As of today, CG Technology looks to be the only sportsbooks offering a real pointspread with the Patriots dropped from -3-120 to -1.5 following the news.


"The Commissioner's decision is deeply disappointing, but not surprising because the appeal process was thoroughly lacking in procedural fairness," Brady's agent, Don Yee, said Tuesday. "Most importantly, neither Tom nor the Patriots did anything wrong. And the NFL has no evidence that anything inappropriate occurred. The appeal process was a sham, resulting in the Commissioner rubber-stamping his own decision."






Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Handicapping: No word on Brady's suspension; Patriots jump to -3 vs. Steelers

07.07.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The 4th of July holiday weekend came and went and still no word on Tom Brady's suspension. Most suspected the NFL would "dump" it last Friday when no one was looking. Instead, bettors remain left in the dark as to how many games Brady will be suspended. As of now, it's still four games which means he's out for Week 1's Thursday night affair against Pittsburgh. After sitting at -2.5 for a month and a half, the Patriots have seen enough action to push the line to -3 at nearly every offshore and Las Vegas sportsbook.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




College Football Gambling: 2015 Coaching Changes

06.29.2015     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at college football's head coaching changes for the upcoming 2015 season.

Buffalo
Out: Jeff Quinn
In: Lance Leipold
Quick Take: Leipold won six D3 titles in eight years at UW-Whitewater.

Central Michigan
Out: Dan Enos
In: John Bonamego
Quick Take: Bonamego is a CMU grad and spent the last 15 years serving as a special teams coordinator in the NFL.

Colorado State
Out: Jim McElwain
In: Mike Bobo
Quick Take: Bobo served as Georgia's OC since 2007.

Florida
Out: Will Muschamp
In: Jim McElwain
Quick Take: McElwain helped rebuild Colorado State where he went 22-16 during a three-year stint.

Houston
Out: Tony Levine
In: Tom Herman
Quick Take: Herman served as Ohio State's OC for three seasons.

Kansas
Out: Charlie Weis
In: David Beaty
Quick Take: Beaty marks the third head coach in six years for the Jayhawks. He most recently served as Texas A&M's wide receiver coach and previously coached at Read more



Tags: College Football




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Mini-Camp Betting News

06.22.2015     01:34 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
All 32 NFL teams have concluded their OTA’s (organized team activities) and mini-camps over the past few weeks.  There’s nothing else on the horizon for the NFL before the start of training camps in mid-July.  Therefore, it’s time for bettors and fans alike to fixate on the news trickling out of those mini-camps over the last few weeks.  Here are half a dozen such reports, with teams listed in alphabetical order and information coming from local sources.

Arizona Cardinals - Arizona was an elite team with Carson Palmer behind center last year.  When Palmer got hurt, they were still a pretty good team until Drew Stanton got hurt as well.  Once Arizona was down to a third stringer at quarterback, the back end of the season was ugly as they closed out with a 2-5 stretch, culminating in a blowout to Carolina in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs.

Both Palmer and Stanton fully participated in mini-camp, with Palmer entering the new season as the clear starter, even at 35 years old and coming off his second ACL surgery.  Palmer wowed observers at mini-camp, looking extremely sharp in 11-on-11 Read more



Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Atlanta Falcons Buffalo Bills Houston Texans San Diego Chargers Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: The Curious Case of the Philadelphia Eagles

06.15.2015     09:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s not hard to predict which NFL teams are going to be the betting favorites coming into the campaign.  Look no further than the NFL Season Win Totals markets.  Just about all of the top teams – teams lined at nine wins or higher – have one commonality.  In a quarterback’s league, they all have top tier quarterbacks.

Baltimore has Joe Flacco.  Dallas has Tony Romo.  Denver has Peyton Manning.  Green Bay has Aaron Rodgers.  Indianapolis has Andrew Luck.  New England has Tom Brady.  New Orleans has Drew Brees.  Seattle has Russell Wilson.  That’s eight of the ten teams that are lined at 9 wins or higher this year; all squad with elite level quarterbacks.  Miami, with the promising Ryan Tannehill firmly entrenched as the starting QB, is lined at nine wins in many locations as well (8.5 with juice to the over in others).

And then there’s Philadelphia, lined at 9.5 wins in most locations.  The Eagles have Sam Bradford and Mark Sanchez battling for the starting job.  With Bradford – their big offseason pickup and the former #1 overall draft choice from 2010 Read more



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Teddy Covers



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