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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Dissecting the NFL's bottom feeders
11.19.2012 12:26 PM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Over the last few weeks, I’ve been watching the contenders from both conferences closely. This week, I turned my focus towards the bottom feeders; teams that some folks have been calling ‘dead’ in recent weeks.
With six games remaining on the slate for every NFL team, there’s still plenty of time to make money fading the teams that have quit on their coach and their season. And there’s most definitely an opportunity to make money with last place teams IF they play with passion and precision down the stretch.
Here’s my take on four teams that entered Sunday’s games in last place in their respective divisions.
Kansas City
- We're 11 weeks into the season, and this sorry Chiefs offense hasn't improved one iota. There's talent to work with – Jamal Charles and Peyton Hillis make a decent 'thunder and lightning' duo running the football. Dwayne Bowe, Tony Moeaki, Dexter McCluster and Steve Breaston have all enjoyed past success as playmaking pass catchers, although Bowe got hurt early and wasn’t a factor here.
But the same two issues that have plagued KC all year haven't gone
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Tags:
NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Jets
Teddy Covers
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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: AFC Contenders and Pretenders
11.12.2012 11:47 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
November is the time in the NFL where we separate contenders from pretenders. Last week, I focused on the NFC; this week, I’ll turn to the AFC. Unfortunately, the Colts and Steelers didn’t play on Sunday, and the Texans’ Sunday Night game was played in weather conditions that affected the game (and the game plan) significantly. Who among the rest can challenge for AFC supremacy? Read on to find out.
Denver Broncos
- Another slow start for a West Coast team traveling East; certainly not unusual. Slow starts have been a consistent problem for Denver all year. We saw them fall behind by three scores when they faced Atlanta, Houston and San Diego – three of the tougher foes they've faced. But slow starts are about the only fault I can find with this team right now.
We already know how good Denver’s offense can be, and they score touchdowns : 22 TDs in 32 red zone possessions. The Broncos have an elite quarterback, a strong running game and playmaking WR's - they can trade points with anybody. This team's postseason future rests on the strength (or weakness) of their stop unit; a unit that has stepped up at times and
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Tags:
NFL
New England Patriots
San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos
Miami Dolphins
Teddy Covers
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NFL Gambling Preview: New England Patriots vs. St. Louis Rams
10.25.2012 03:11 PM
Alf Musketa
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alf Musketa
New England
vs.
St. Louis
Alf Musekta's Recommendation:
New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS (London, England)
CRIS Opener:
New England -6.5 O/U 46.5
CRIS Current:
New England -7 O/U 46.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
New England -10
This game is being played at Wembley Stadium, in London, England and yes they have a retractable roof. St. Louis originally agreed to a three-year deal from 2012 -14 that they were going to compete in the NFL's U.K. series. The owner of the Rams is Stan Kroenke who also owns local soccer club Arsenal of the English Premier League and the agreement was a natural fit. However, the Rams administration staff and coaching staff convinced their owner that going across the pond every season was not a great idea physically and financially. Thus, the English fans and tabloids have run with this story that the Rams want no part in playing in their country. The Rams are technically the home team in
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New England Patriots
St. Louis Rams
Alf Musketa
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Handicapper Alf Musketa's NFL and NCAAF Line Moves Report 10/23/2012
10.23.2012 08:24 AM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
Clemson at Wake Forest
Clemson opened -14 now -12.5
Clemson made short work of Virginia Tech last week winning 38-17 and for some reason they were bet down from -9 to -7 – it seems that the sharp handicappers are wagering against the Tigers again here due to the home team advantages and I'll explain why. First, Thursday night home games are usually sold out; students do not miss this game on campus. I cannot recall when or if Wake Forest had a Thursday night contest, regardless, the work week after a Saturday game to prepare for a Thursday night game is basically two days, if you travel you might only get one good practice. Clemson is giving up 32 points per game so far in the ACC, while Wake Forest is not a high scoring team, they should put up some good numbers. I agree with the move.
Duke at Florida State
Florida State opened -25, now -27.5, -28
Not a huge move but a predictable one and going higher. Duke just became bowl eligible with a big win against arch rival North Carolina. The market players surely got a piece of this game. With Florida State, Clemson, Georgia Tech and Miami
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College Football
Alf Musketa
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NFL Gambling Preview: New York Jets at New England Patriots
10.18.2012 07:51 AM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
New York Jets
at
New England
Alf Musketa's Recommendation:
See analysis
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -11 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current:
New England -10.5 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
New England -12.5
The Patriots are clearly better than their 3-3 record. They have lost three games by a combined total of just four points and in their three wins they have won by a combined total of 55 points. They could easily be 6-0 and ranked as the best team in the NFL. However, turnovers, missed field goals and a weak secondary sometimes make New England look like an average team. What I am most impressed with this season is that they have a much improved running game with a new dynamic duo of running backs; Stephan Ridley and Brandon Bolden (questionable for Sunday). They also rely on Danny Woodhead to keep the chains moving. Last week the Patriots’ running game was virtually shut down by
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New York Jets
New England Patriots
Alf Musketa
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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: A look back at NFL Week 6 action
10.15.2012 12:00 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
This week, I focused on five NFL teams that can only be described as disappointments through the first six weeks of the season. Here are my notes from their respective performances.
Tampa Bay
- This pass defense spent the first month of the season getting torched. Now that secondary gets even weaker without their top playmaker, Aqib Talib, suspended for the next four games after violating the league's drug policy. The run defense, however, was stellar, lots of penetration up front, holding the NFL's leading rusher coming in to eight yards on seven carries in the first half and 40 yards for the game. It’s certainly helped that they were facing a bottom tier QB, allowing their defensive focus to be on stopping the ground game.
At times, it seems as is Josh Freeman is a weaker QB now than he was two years ago, when he inspired his teammates with a series of impressive, gutty, fourth quarter comebacks. This was the first game where Freeman really connected with his big play wideouts Mike Williams and Vincent Jackson, throwing a trio of touchdown passes. Love
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland Raiders
New York Jets
Dallas Cowboys
Teddy Covers
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NFL Betting Preview: New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks
10.11.2012 06:24 AM
ER Sports
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Submitted by ER Sports
New England
at
Seattle
Erin Rynning’s Recommendation:
Seattle
Sunday, 1 pm PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -4 O/U 44
CRIS Current:
New England -3 O/U 44.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating:
New England -6
The Seahawks and Patriots will present an intriguing clash of styles on Sunday afternoon. The 2012 Patriots offense is looking as good as ever, which is saying something considering how potent the unit has been over the years. Quarterback Tom Brady is still the straw that stirs the drink running the fast paced unit with immense precision. Importantly, the Patriots have found their running game averaging 165 yards per game on the ground. However, the Seattle defense, and especially on their loud home turf, will create disruption for the Patriots offense. Athletically the Seahawks defense can man-up not only up-front, but with their secondary as well. The Seahawks own
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Seattle Seahawks
Erin Rynning
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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Recapping NFL Week 4
10.01.2012 12:21 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Six NFL teams that made the playoffs last year entered Week 4 with a losing record. One of those squads – Pittsburgh – had a bye week. I watched the other five teams closely. Here are my notes from their respective performances.
Denver
- Denver spent their previous two games basically defining the term “defensive breakdown”, blowing coverages galore against both the Falcons and Texans. But the stop unit was much better against a lesser foe this week, forcing five three-and-outs on the Raiders’ 10 drives and keeping Oakland out of the end zone on both of their red zone chances.
There was legitimate week-to-week improvement in several areas. First, as a defense, the Broncos weren’t missing many tackles. Secondly, they had a pass rush, getting consistent pressure on Carson Palmer. And perhaps most importantly, the Denver secondary didn’t blow many coverages and assignments, although they still gave up a pair of 30+ yard completions.
I don't understand why this team huddles at all; the offense seems to work
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Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints
Detroit Lions
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Teddy Covers
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NFL Betting News and Notes Week 3
09.25.2012 02:00 PM
ICC
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Submitted by ICC
In this week's article, I examine the group of undefeated and winless teams heading into Week 4.
The 3-0 Club
Houston is the most complete of the remaining undefeated 3-0 squads. Quarterback Matt Schaub went on the road to Denver and outplayed Peyton Manning at his own game as he completed a pair of deep ball touchdown passes in the win. Their running game is strong with the Arian Foster and Ben Tate combo. The defense is good at all levels – DL, LB and in the secondary. J.J. Watt is making a strong case for being the best defensive player in the league. The Texans are simply getting things done on both sides of the football. They are a legitimate 3-0 team and a legitimate Super Bowl contender especially when they play at the level we saw from them on Sunday in Denver.
I do have some questions about the Arizona Cardinals and their 3-0 start but one thing can't be denied – their defense is flying around and making plays all over the field. We saw their ferocious pass rush make life miserable for Philadelphia quarterback Mike Vick. It's a defensive line with tons of playmakers including Calais Campbell, Darnell Dockett and
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Houston Texans
Arizona Cardinals
New Orleans Saints
Cleveland Browns
Ian Cameron
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NFL Betting Preview: New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens
09.19.2012 01:24 PM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
New England
at
Baltimore
Alf Musketa's Recommendation:
see analysis
Sunday, 5:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Baltimore -3 (-101) O/U 48.5
CRIS Current:
Baltimore -3 (+105) O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Baltimore -2.5
First of all do not buy into the scuttlebutt that wide reciever Wes Welker is going to be traded, that he is not targeted or getting snaps because the Patriots do not want to give him a long term contract, or that Bill Belichick is making him pay for his holdout. He is simply not in football shape due to the holdout and he will progress with better conditioning. Next, the Patriots came out flat versus Arizona. They were overconfident and the play calling was brutal. Belichick off a loss has been tough to beat. Belichick and Tom Brady are a dangerous combination 11-1 SU and ATS off a loss and getting points. A huge injury is tight end Aaron Hernandez who is out 3-6 weeks with ankle damage and now we
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New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens
Alf Musketa
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