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November

21

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NFL Betting: Detroit playing good football AND getting the favorable bounces

11.13.2014     11:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on Detroit's good fortunes this season. Last year was littered with close, coin flip type outcomes that went the way of the opposition. This year, the tide has turned and the Lions are winning those types of games. Case in point: three straight wins by margins of 1, 1, and 4. That's not to say the Lions aren't a good football team -- most notably a defense that is tied with Denver for the best yard per play (4.7) allowed mark in the league. That and they are +2 in turnover margin vs. -12 last season.

 

"It's the NFL. Every game is somewhat close," Quin said. "I think throughout the journey, you need these games. You need games of adversity, you need games where you have to try to come back, you need games where you've got to try to keep a lead. You need all of those type of games, because we're in a situation now where each week, every game gets bigger."





Tags: NFL Detroit Lions




NFL Gambling: Week 11 features the two highest totals of the season

11.11.2014     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We talking during the preseason that given the rules changes in the NFL bettors would likely witness totals reach this 60's this season. Amazingly, it has yet to happen with betting market resistance on anything in the mid- to high-50's. This week however we have the two highest totals of the season with Philadelphia-Green Bay at 57 and New England-Indianapolis at 57.5. Quick breakdown of some of the results from totals above 50 this year...

50 or higher
12 overs, 4 unders, 2 pushes

54 or higher
3 overs, 1 under, 1 push

Last season, the highest total was 58 with Denver beating Philadelphia 52-20. In 2012, New Orleans-Detroit had a total of 59.5 with the Saints winning 45-28. The last time an NFL game closed with a total above 60 was 2000 when the Rams and 49ers produced 58 points with a total of 62.



Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Philadelphia and Sanchez look good, pointspread vs. Green Bay shifts

11.11.2014     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another example of how week-to-week performances in the NFL impact pointspreads. In yesterday's Opening Line Report podcast with Teddy Covers we discussed the look-ahead lines for the Philadelphia-Green Bay matchup. The Westgate had Green Bay -6 while a few offshore sportsbooks were showing -6/-6.5. The Packers were obviously off an impressive showing as they destroyed the Bears 55-14. The thought was if the Eagles "looked good" on MNF vs. the Panthers, the line would likely come -6. If they struggled, perhaps as high as -7. Instead, Philly rolled and Mark Sanchez looked like the second coming of Peyton Manning. So instead of -6 the prevailing number is currently -4.5. Not a huge difference but significant enough to warrant mention and another example of the what-have-you-done-for-me-lately mentality of sports betting.



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers




NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Over 60% of bets placed on Eagles and OVER

11.10.2014     02:53 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles courtesy of Bookmaker. Public and market seem to be in agreement with Eagles bet up from -5.5 to -7 and total up to 48.5 after an opener of 48. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDE
62.9% - Philadelphia -7

TOTAL
63.5% - OVER 48.5

MONEYLINE
65.9% - Carolina +265



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Philadelphia Eagles




NFL Betting Podcast 11-10-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

11.10.2014     09:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper and Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange talked NFL openers and early line moves for Week 11.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 11

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC News and Notes

11.10.2014     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Cleveland Browns went into Thursday Night’s matchup at Cincinnati with a winning record, but without much respect from the betting markets.  Cleveland had spent the last month feasting on the weak, facing off against the likes of the Titans, Jaguars, Raiders and Bucs in their previous five games; arguably the four worst teams in the NFL.  The Browns didn’t blow out any of those squads; locked in tight, competitive games each time except their only loss during that span – a blowout defeat at Jacksonville.

Without pro bowl center Alex Mack in the lineup over their previous three games, the Browns offense became completely one-dimensional; a team that couldn’t run the football one iota.  Against Tampa’s shoddy rush D, it was 26 carries for 50 yards.  The week before, it was 25 rushes for 39 yards.  The week before that, it was 30 rushes for 69 yards.  That’s less than two yards per carry against weaklings.

So what did the Browns do in their step-up game on Thursday Night at Cincinnati?  Simple – they dominated on both sides of the football, start to finish, rushing for 170 yards and Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus plays now 30-21 ATS YTD

11.10.2014     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Four straight winning week for the NFL SuperContest with the YTD results up to an impressive 30-21 ATS YTD.

Weekly Results
Week 10: 4-1
Week 9: 3-2
Week 8: 3-2
Week 7: 3-2
Week 6: 2-3
Week 5: 2-3
Week 4: 3-2
Week 3: 5-1
Week 2: 3-2
Week 1: 2-3
Totals: 30-21 YTD





NFL Gambling: Lions and Packers top bets for SuperContest Week 10

11.09.2014     06:04 AM     View Original Blog


Below are the top consensus plays for Week 10 of the NFL SuperContest.


1. Detroit -2.5 vs. Miami
2. Green Bay -7 vs. Chicago
3. New Orleans -5 vs. San Francisco
4. Kansas Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling: Lions and Packers top bets for SuperContest Week 10

11.09.2014     06:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 10 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Detroit -2.5 vs. Miami
2. Green Bay -7 vs. Chicago
3. New Orleans -5 vs. San Francisco
4. Kansas City -2 at Buffalo
5. NY Jets +5 vs. Pittsburgh

Least picked Sunday side: Jacksonville +6.5 vs. Dallas



Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Elo Ratings vs. Market Prices Week 10

11.09.2014     06:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Link to FiveThirtyEight.com's Elo Ratings and spreads for NFL Week 10. Some of the biggest discrepancies include...

St. Louis at Arizona
Elo: Arizona -9.5
Market: Arizona -7

San Francisco at New Orleans
Elo: New Orleans -2.5
Market: New Orleans -5/-5.5/-6


Pittsburgh at NY Jets
Elo: Pittsburgh -6.5
Market: Pittsburgh -3.5/-4

Dallas vs. Jacksonville
Elo: Dallas -10.5
Market: Dallas -7



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling: Sportsbook offers prop bet on Oakland's potential winless season

11.08.2014     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas South Point Sportsbook posted a "yes" or "no" prop bet on whether or not the Oakland Raider would win or tie a regular season game. The "no" is a juicy +1000 whereas the "yes" is -1800. To no surprise 53 of the 54 bets taken were on the "no." Below is Oakland's remaining schedule; likely to be underdogs in eight games. Their best chance could be Week 17 if Denver is locked into a playoff spot and plays its fourth stringers.

vs. Denver
at San Diego
vs. Kansas City
at St. Louis
vs. San Francisco
at Kansas City
vs. Buffalo
at Denver



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Las Vegas



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November

20


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 21, 2014 08:24 AM.