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January

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NFL Gambling: Detroit-Seattle OVER biggest public play for Wild Card round

01.06.2017     08:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at what the "public" is betting for this weekend's four NFL Wild Card games. Percentages courtesy of Sports Options.

Oakland at Houston -3.5 O/U 37
Side: Houston 58%
TOtal: Under 53%

Detroit at Seattle -8 O/U 53
Side: Detroit 53%
Total: Over 62%

Miami at Pittsburgh -10 O/U 45.5
Side: Pittsburgh 59%
Total: Split action

New York at Green Bay
Side: Green Bay 56%
Total: Under 52%




Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling: Questionable quarterbacks highlight Wild Card matchups

01.05.2017     10:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This weekend's four Wild Card matchups feature four quarterbacks with Super Bowl rings. It also features a backup, a failed starter who may have lucked into getting his job back, and a third string rookie.

Miami's Matt Moore has looked semi-viable and will get the nod against Pittsburgh.


"Unless something changes drastically here in the next two days or three days, he's going into this thing as the starter," Gase said of Moore.



Houston's Brock Osweiler, who last time out got into a "heated exchange" with head coach Bill O'Brien, is slated to go against Oakland.


"What happens between Coach O'Brien and myself or whatever's said between Coach O'Brien and myself, it stays between us," Osweiler said. "That's where I'm going to leave that. My focus has moved toward Oakland."

Read more



Tags: NFL Houston Texans Oakland Raiders Miami Dolphins




NFL Gambling: Previewing all four Wild Card round matchups

01.03.2017     12:21 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Saturday’s Oakland-Houston matchup is likely to be decided by which team can produce adequate quarterback play. Derek Carr suffered a season-ending injury in Week 16 against Indianapolis and in Sunday’s loss to Denver, Matt McGloin left the game with a left shoulder injury and is highly doubtful. That means bettors are likely to see rookie Connor Cook under center for a Raiders team playing in their first playoff game since 2002. Things aren’t much clearer for Houston with Tom Savage experiencing concussion symptoms and currently questionable. Savage’s status essentially forced Bill O’Brien into going back to the well with Brock Osweiler. Oakland had a noticeable lack of spirit in the loss to Denver despite having a with a chance to win the AFC West and earn a first round bye. The Raiders were physically manhandled by a Broncos team that was already eliminated from the playoffs. The biggest handicapping factor for this game is whether or not Oakland has the belief it can win a playoff game after seeing its top two quarterbacks go down with injuries. It makes sense why the total in this game is the lowest of the four games this weekend with most Read more



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Houston Texans Detroit Lions Seattle Seahawks Miami Dolphins Pittsburgh Steelers New York Giants Green Bay Packers Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: SuperContest winner hit nearly 66% against the spread

01.03.2017     09:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This guy won this year's SuperContest. He did so hitting nearly 66% and took home $900K.




Tags: NFL SuperContest




NFL Wild Card Betting Podcast 1-2-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

01.02.2017     10:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report for the NFL's Wild Card round.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report - Wild Card

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange




Using Strength of Schedule to Handicap the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs

01.02.2017     09:24 AM     Printer Friendly
The theory is actually quite simple; since 2002, teams with a higher Strength of Schedule (using Sagarin’s Ratings) are a remarkable 40-16 straight up and 40-15-1 against the spread (73% winners) regardless of price and location. Even more amazing is that teams with a SOS differential of 10 or more went 23-4 SU, 22-4-1 ATS (85% winners). Taking it step further, teams with a better SOS that are underdogs went 16-12 SU, 21-6 ATS. Underdogs with a SOS rating of 10 or better went 10-4 SU and 11-3 ATS. This is not a perfect science when it comes to grading plays. For example, last year the Steelers were -2/-2.5 and won 18-16. That said, with 14 years of results, this is one of the strongest publically known NFL trends available.

NFL Wildcard Playoff Strength of Schedule Betting Trend 2002-15
Year
Away (SOS)
Home (SOS)
Score
SOS SU
SOS ATS
2015
Kansas City (14) -3
Houston (26)
KC 30, HOU 0
Win
Win
2015
Pittsburgh (10)
Cincinnati (15) +2.5
PIT 18, CIN 16
Win
Loss
2015
Seattle (13)
Minnesota (12) +5.5
SEA 10, MIN 9
Loss
Win
2015
Green Bay (9) +1
Washington (24)
GB 35, WAS 18
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2014
Arizona (10)
Carolina (22) -5.5
CAR 27, ARI 16
Loss
Loss
2014
Baltimore (29) +3
Pittsburgh (30)
BAL 30, PIT 17
Win
Win
2014
Detroit (23) +6
Dallas (31)
DAL 24, DET 20
Loss
Win
2014
Cincinnati (18)
Indianapolis (24) -3.5
IND 26, CIN 10
Loss
Loss
 
 
 
 
 
 
2013
Kansas City (26)
Indianapolis (11) +2
IND 45, KC 44
Win
Win
2013
New Orleans (8) +3
Philadelphia (28)
NO 26, PHI 24
Win
Win
2013
San Diego (19) +6
Cincinnati (27)
SD 27, CIN 10
Win
Win
2013
San Francisco (7) -3
Green Bay (30)
SF 23, GB 20
Win
Push
 
 
 
 
 
 
2012
Cincinnati (31)
Houston (27) -4.5
HOU 19, CIN 13
Win
Win
2012
Minnesota (6) +8
Green Bay (8)
GB 24, MIN 10
Loss
Loss
2012
Indianapolis (32)
Baltimore (18) -6.5
BAL 24, IND 9
Win
Win
2012
Seattle (5) -3
Washington (15)
SEA 24, WAS 14
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2011
Cincinnati (23) +3
Houston (32)
HOU 31, CIN 10
Loss
Loss
2011
Detroit (4) +10.5
New Orleans (31)
NO 45, DET 28
Loss
Loss
2011
NY Giants (6) -3
Atlanta (21)
NYG 24, ATL 2
Win
Win
2011
Denver (8) +8
Pittsburgh (26)
DEN 29, PIT 23
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2010
New Orleans (25)
Seattle (28) +14.5
SEA 41, NO 36
Loss
Loss
2010
NY Jets (8) +1
Indianapolis (21)
NYJ 17, IND 16
Win
Win
2010
Baltimore (12) -3
Kansas City (32)
BAL 30, KC 7
Win
Win
2010
Green Bay (9) +1
Philadelphia (16)
GB 21, PHI 16
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2009
Philadelphia (13) +3.5
Dallas (14)
DAL 34, PHI 13
Loss
Loss
2009
Green Bay (32)
Arizona (28) +2.5
ARI 51, GB 45
Win
Win
2009
NY Jets (4) +2.5
Cincinnati (17)
NYJ 24, CIN 14
Win
Win
2009
Baltimore (10)
New England (6) -3.5
BAL 33, NE 14
Loss
Loss
 
 
 
 
 
 
2008
Baltimore (3) -3.5
Miami (26)
BAL 27, MIA 9
Win
Win
2008
Indianapolis (10) -1.5
San Diego (17)
SD 23, IND 17
Loss
Loss
2008
Philadelphia (5) -3
Minnesota (14)
PHI 26, MIN 14
Win
Win
2008
Atlanta (24)
Arizona (16) -1.5
ARI 30, ATL 24
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
NY Giants (2) +3
Tampa Bay (24)
NYG 24, TB 14
Win
Win
2007
Washington (1) +3
Seattle (35)
SEA 35, WAS 14
Loss
Loss
2007
Tennessee (18)
San Diego (6) -10.5
SD 17, TEN 6
Win
Win
2007
Jacksonville (13) -2.5
Pittsburgh (27)
JAX 31, PIT 29
Win
Loss
 
 
 
 
 
 
2006
NY Jets (8)
New England (4) -9.5
NE 37, NYJ 16
Win
Win
2006
Kansas City (17)
Indianapolis (5) -7
IND 23, KC 8
Win
Win
2006
NY Giants (9) +6.5
Philadelphia (21)
PHI 23, NYG 20
Loss
Win
2006
Dallas (23) +2.5
Seattle (30)
SEA 21, DAL 20
Loss
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2005
Carolina (24)
NY Giants (17) -3
CAR 23, NYG 0
Loss
Loss
2005
Washington (3) +1
Tampa Bay (32)
WAS 17, TB 10
Win
Win
2005
Pittsburgh (4) -3
Cincinnati (13)
PIT 31, CIN 17
Win
Win
2005
Jacksonville (25)
New England (8) -7.5
NE 28, JAX 3
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2004
Denver (14)
Indianapolis (11) -10
IND 49, DEN 24
Win
Win
2004
NY Jets (4) +7
San Diego (18)
NYJ 20, SD 17
Win
Win
2004
St. Louis (22) +3.5
Seattle (29)
STL 27, SEA 20
Win
Win
2004
Minnesota (21) +6.5
Green Bay (26)
MIN 31, GB 17
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2003
Dallas (18)
Carolina (13) -3
CAR 29, DAL 10
Win
Win
2003
Seattle (27)
Green Bay (23) -7.5
GB 33, SEA 27
Win
Loss
2003
Denver (19)
Indianapolis (4) -3
IND 41, DEN 10
Win
Win
2003
Tennessee (6) -1
Baltimore (28)
TEN 20, BAL 17
Win
Win
 
 
 
 
 
 
2002
Cleveland (17) +8
Pittsburgh (20)
PIT 36, CLE 33
Loss
Win
2002
Indianapolis (28)
NY Jets (5) -6
NYJ 41, IND 0
Win
Win
2002
NY Giants (30)
San Francisco (11) -3
SF 39, NYG 38
Win
Loss
2002
Atlanta (6) +7
Green Bay (27)
ATL 27, GB 7
Win
Win
Results
 
 
 
40-16 SU
40-15-1 ATS
 

In 2002 the NFL expanded to its current format of 32 teams; eight divisions with four teams each. There wasn’t much upheaval as the league added the Houston Texans to the AFC and Seattle switched to the NFC. Two new divisions were created as the league kept the integrity of the established divisional rivalries pretty much intact. The playoff format was modified so that four division winners and two Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: All four Wild Card home teams favored by a field goal or more

01.02.2017     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This weekend's four NFL Wild Card matchups are set. Quick look at the opening numbers and early line movement at CRIS.

Oakland at Houston
CRIS Opener: Houston -3 O/U 37
CRIS Current: Houston -3-120 O/U 37

Detroit at Seattle
CRIS Opener: Seattle -7 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current: Seattle -7.5-115 O/U 42.5


Miami at Pittsburgh
CRIS Opener: Pittsburgh -10 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -10 O/U 47

NY Giants at Green Bay
CRIS Opener: Green Bay -4 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -4 O/U 44




Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus plays finish 38-43 ATS

01.02.2017     08:54 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

That wraps up another year of the Westgate's NFL SuperContest. Week 17 consensus plays went 2-3 ATS and 38-43-4 ATS year-to-date.

1. GREEN BAY -3.5 at Detroit - WIN
2. MIAMI +9.5 vs. New  - LOSS
3. DETROIT +3.5 vs. Green Bay - LOSS
4. BALTIMORE +2 at Cincinnati - LOSS
5. DENVER -1 vs. Oakland - WIN

Year-to-date results
Week 1: 3-2
Week 2: 0-5
Week 3: 0-5
Week 4: 1-4
Week 5: 3-2
Week 6: 1-3-1
Week 7: 3-2
Week 8: 3-2
Week 9: 1-3-1
Week 10: 0-5
Week 11: 3-2
Week 12: 5-0
Week 13: 3-2
Week 14: 4-0-1
Week 15: 2-2-1
Week 16: 4-1
Week 17: 2-3
Final: 38-43-4 ATS





NFL Gambling: Red hot Green Bay Packers top Week 17 SuperContest consensus

01.01.2017     08:23 AM     Read more



Tags: NFL SuperContest




NFL Gambling: Red hot Green Bay Packers top Week 17 SuperContest consensus

01.01.2017     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 16 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. GREEN BAY -3.5 at Detroit
2. MIAMI +9.5 vs. New England
3. DETROIT +3.5 vs. Green Bay
4. BALTIMORE +2 at Cincinnati
5. DENVER -1 vs. Oakland

Least Picked Sunday Side: LOS ANGELES +6 vs. Arizona




Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers




NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

01.01.2017     08:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Dallas -3.5 O/U 45
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -6.5 O/U 43.5
Recommendation: Philadelphia

I will be rooting against my free play this week because I have a large wager on Philadelphia Under 7 wins; a wager that I expect will push after the Eagles knock off the Cowboys on Sunday.  And with an 8-1 mark on my season win totals over the past two years, pushing with Philly is going to be frustrating.  So let’s at least make some $$ betting on the Eagles this week.

Make no mistake about it – this is a preseason game for the Dallas Cowboys.  Dallas is going to have their starters on the field early.  But by halftime, expect most of those starters to be on the bench, avoiding injury.  Tony Romo is expected to get his first playing time of the year behind center.  But we can also expect a Mark Sanchez sighting.

And every Cowboy with a hangnail is going to be sitting out as well. Don’t expect to see the likes of Ronald Leary or Tyson Smith on the offensive line.  CB Morris Claiborne Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Philadelphia Eagles Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jan 20, 2017 01:45 AM.