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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 5

10.07.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC thoughts and opinions from Week 5.

Chicago Bears - Chicago entered the game with only six sacks on the season, a notable weakness on a defense that's heavily reliant on creating turnovers. They got a little bit of pressure on Drew Brees here, but not enough. The Bears played a lot of Cover-2 today and it gave the Saints fits for a while, forcing Brees into dink-and-dunk’ mode. But Sean Payton made play calling adjustments, and Chicago’s defense didn’t adjust back, leaving Jimmy Graham in store for a huge afternoon.

Marc Trestman was a pointspread monster during his tenure with the Montreal Alouettes in one role in particular: coming off a loss. In his first NFL try in that same role, that success did not translate.

For the second straight week, this rebuilt offensive line got eaten up for extended stretches. Jay Cutler was under constant pressure and Matt Forte had no room to run. Even Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Arizona Cardinals Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saiints Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

10.04.2013     12:59 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State vs. Notre Dame
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - NBC (Arlington, Texas)
CRIS Opener:
Arizona State -6.5 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Arizona State -6.5 O/U 62.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -2
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Arizona State

Notre Dame and Arizona State will collide Saturday night at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington. Most betting shops have tabbed the Sun Devils as 6-point favorites with a total of 62 for over/under wagers.

Gamblers can back the Fighting Irish on the money line for a +200 return (risk $100 to win $200). For first-half wagers, ASU is favored by three with a total of 31.

Arizona State (3-1 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) bounced back from a 42-28 loss at Stanford to blast USC by a 62-41 count as a 3.5-point home chalk. The 103 combined points soared over the 48.5-point total. Taylor Kelly threw for 351 yards and three TDs against the Read more


Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12 Brian Edwards




College Football Gambling Trends: Close games highlight Navy-Air Force series

10.04.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Air Force at Navy -11 O/U 55

No question Air Force is down this season, especially defensively where they’ve steadily declined since the departure of defensive coordinator Tim DeRuyter. But when it comes to rivalries among Military Academies, recent records and results are often irrelevant. The pointspread for Saturday's game is the highest it's been since 2003 and during that span only one contest was decided by double-digits.

2012: Navy (+9) 28 at Air Force 21 (OT)
2011: Air Force (+3) 35 at Navy 34 (OT)
2010: Air Force 14 vs. Navy (+10) 6
2009: Navy (-2.5) 16 vs. Air Force 13 (OT)
2008: Navy (+4.5) 33 at Air Force 27
2007: Navy (-2.5) 31 vs. Air Force 20 < biggest margin
2006: Navy (+2.5) 24 at Air Force 17
2005: Navy (+2) 27 vs. Air Force 24
2004: Navy (+1.5) 24 at Air Force 21
2003: Navy (+13.5) 25 vs. Air Force 25 < biggest pointspread



Tags: College Football Air Force Falcons Mountain West Navy Midshipmen




College Football Betting Preview: Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys

10.04.2013     07:41 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas State at Oklahoma State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN Game Plan
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma State -14 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -14 O/U 59
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma State -11.5
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Kansas State

Oklahoma State comes in off of a disappointing loss last week at West Virginia. The Cowboys dropped a 30-21 decision to a team that had struggled mightily and suddenly OSU does not appear to be the Big XII favorites any more. When you examine their results prior to the West Virginia loss, there was really nothing that showed why Oklahoma State was ranked 11th in the country. They were very sloppy in a 21-3 win over Mississippi State in Week 1 then beat up on cupcakes UTSA and Lamar in their next two games.

This year’s Oklahoma State team is definitely not as potent offensively as it has been in years past, which is understandable Read more


Tags: College Football Kansas State Wildcats Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII Brent Crow




College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes - Week 5

10.04.2013     07:24 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As expected, the best game of the week last week was the shootout between LSU and Georgia, with the Bulldogs coming out on top, 44-41. Aaron Murray picked apart the young LSU defense and Georgia’s defense was able to come up with the stop they needed on LSU’s final drive to preserve the win.

The other marquee game in the conference was lopsided as the Crimson Tide shut out Ole Miss 25-0. Bama’s defense looked much better than expected against the previously potent Ole Miss defense, shutting down Bo Wallace and the Rebels. It was the first time a Hugh Freeze coached team had ever been shutout.

I thought I would change things up in this week's column and look over the current national college football stats. In doing so, we find some interesting things going on in SEC land. Consider these numbers:

Arkansas is the highest ranked SEC rushing offense at 237 ypg, which is just 21st best in the nation.

Alabama is just 70th in the nation in rushing at 162.5 ypg, ahead of only Vanderbilt in the conference.

Texas A&M and Georgia are the only SEC teams ranked in the top 29 in the nation in passing offense, with the Aggies Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Brent Crow




College Football Betting: Nebraska goes with redshirt frosh quarterback

10.04.2013     07:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Illinois at Nebraska -9 O/U 60.5

Bo Pelini announced that quarterback Taylor Martinez (turf toe) will not play Saturday against Illinois. The Cornhuskers will instead start redshirt frosh Tommy Armstrong who completed 12-of-15 passes for 169 yards two weeks ago against South Dakota State.


“We’ll start Tommy, Ronnie will be ready to go and Taylor will not play,” Pelini said.

“I’m not telling him he can’t play,” Pelini said. “Like I said, to be able to play and function in our offense — do what you have to do — he’s got to able to put his foot in the ground and feel comfortable doing that.”





Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten




NFL Gambling Preview: New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals

10.03.2013     01:52 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Cincinnati
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati pk O/U 45
CRIS Current: Cincinnati pk O/U 45
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Cincinnati -2.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Under

The Cincinnati Bengals suffered their second defeat of the season after dropping an absolute dogfight (no pun intended) to the Browns last week. They return home to the friendly confines of Paul Brown Stadium to take on the Patriots, hoping to hand New England its first loss of the year.

Cincinnati was held to just six points last week on the road and they committed two turnovers. Sloppy offense has been a major factor for this team the past two seasons despite a trip to the playoffs. Right now they are averaging a little more than two turnovers per game and seeing Andy Dalton miss what should be easy throws must be frustrating to the Bengals’ coaching staff.

Coming into this contest the boys in Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals Otto Sports




College Football Betting Preview: TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma Sooners

10.03.2013     01:39 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
TCU at Oklahoma
Saturday, 4 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -10 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -9.5 O/U 46.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating:  TCU -11
Rob Veno's Recommendation: TCU

This would appear to be a difficult sandwich spot for Oklahoma. The Sooners are off of a convincing win and cover at Notre Dame and they have arch rival Texas on deck. Any letdown by OU against this TCU team figures to be harmful. Sooners quarterback Blake Bell has seemed to settle into the starting role quite comfortably over the last two games, directing the offense to 1,057 total yards and 79 points. Bell has sparked the passing attack by completing 73.1% of his passes (49-of-67) for 645 yards, six touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

On the ground, Oklahoma has averaged 203 yards per game on 4.72 per carry. The 86 rush attempts and 67 pass attempts show terrific play calling balance. The dual threat Bell had 22 Read more


Tags: College Football TCU Horned Frogs Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Rob Veno




NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 5

10.03.2013     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

An updated look at our estimated Power Ratings for the NFL based on how the market is pricing teams this week as of late Wednesday afternoon...

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

90: Denver

87: Seattle

84: New Orleans (at home), San Francisco, Green Bay

83: New Orleans (on the road)

82: New England

81: Houston, Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Detroit

80: Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas, Miami, Baltimore, Kansas City

79: Carolina, San Diego

78: Washington

77: Philadelphia

76: St. Louis, NY Giants, Pittsburgh

75: Minnesota, Arizona, Cleveland

74: NY Jets (at home), Buffalo, Tennessee (with Fitzpatrick), Tampa Bay (with Glennon)

73: NY Jets (on the road)

71: Oakland

68: Jacksonville

It looks to me like the market is “adding a point” in this week’s pointspreads to the teams who had a bye last week (Carolina and Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

10.02.2013     02:04 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at New York Giants
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
NY Giants -1 O/U 55
CRIS Current: NY Giants -2 O/U 53
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Philadelphia

The high flying Eagles offense has been shut down in each of the last two weeks.  First Kansas City’s elite stop unit forced six Philly turnovers while holding Chip Kelly’s offense to 16 points.  Then last week, at Denver, the Eagles were forced to settle for crucial early field goals, continuing a trend of red zone failures.  Philly’s trend of ‘lots of yards, not so many points’ continued.

But after facing the Chiefs and Broncos defenses in back-to-back weeks, this is a major step down in class for the Eagles offense against the struggling Giants stop unit.  The Giants yards-per-play numbers aren’t bad, holding foes to 5.3 ypp in contrast to the Eagles 6.0 ypp allowed (only five teams are Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles New York Giants Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 23, 2014 07:11 AM.