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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Previewing the NBA Season O/U Wins market

10.27.2014     12:39 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s Halloween week and the brand spankin’ new NBA season is upon us.  Some things have changed dramatically, most notably Lebron leaving Miami for a return trip to Cleveland.  That sets the books up for a real beating if the Cavs win the title next June since the Cavs opened as high as 60:1 before their enormous talent upgrade. 

Other things remain exactly the same, like the fact that the West is much, much stronger than the East, just as it has been since the Bulls run of dominance with Michael Jordan and Scottie Pippen ended 17 years ago.  Let’s take a look at the upcoming NBA season from a betting perspective.

Other than the Cavs, many of the top contenders for the title remain the same.  The Spurs, Clippers, Thunder and Bulls are the only other teams besides Cleveland to be priced at less than 10:1 to win the title next June; all elite teams from last year. 

The top two teams in the East from 2013-24 – Miami and Indiana – both took major offseason hits, with the Heat losing LeBron and the Pacers losing Lance Stephenson to free agency and Paul George to a broken leg.  Oklahoma City, Read more

Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Utah Jazz Teddy Covers

College Football Betting: Michigan's Brady Hoke well aware of massive pointspread

10.24.2014     09:18 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
More good news. Brady Hoke doesn't gamble. The Wolverines opened +15 and are now +17 across the board.

“Look, the only people who really care about that are gamblers. I don’t gamble,” Hoke said Monday. “That being said, we’ve been the underdogs before, and for us, it’s just going out there and playing football.”

Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Big Ten

College Footbal Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils at Washington Huskies

10.24.2014     07:40 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Arizona State at Washington
Saturday, 7:45 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Arizona State -3.5 O/U 62.5
CRIS Current: Arizona Sate -3.5 O/U 62
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Arizona State -2
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Arizona State

As of this writing it is still unclear whether Washington QB Cyler Miles (concussion) will be available for this contest. Through Wednesday practice, backup redshirt freshman Troy Williams had taken all the first team snaps and this would be his first ever college start (he went 5-of-10, for 37 yards last week in relief of Miles). In addition, the Huskies’ offensive line and defensive backfield have struggled to date and they’ll face an Arizona State team which is 8-0 against them L8T and will have their starting QB Taylor Kelly back from injury. At 1-2 in Pac-12 play, these are the home games inside the conference that new head coach Chris Petersen was hired to Read more

Tags: College Football Arizona State Sun Devils Washington Huskies PAC-12 Rob Veno

NFL Handicapping: Elo Ratings vs. Market Prices Week 8

10.24.2014     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Link to's Elo Ratings and spreads for NFL Week 8. Some of the biggest discrepancies include...

Chicago at New England
Elo: New England -9
Market: New England -6

Seattle at Carolina
Elo: Seattle -1.5
Market: Seattle -5

Houston at Tennessee
Elo: Tennessee -3
Market: Houston -3

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh
Elo: Indianapolis -1
Market: Indianapolis -3


Tags: NFL

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans

10.23.2014     02:13 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Michigan at Michigan State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -17 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Michigan State -17 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan State -15.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Over

After years of having to rely on defense to win games, Michigan State is now being carried by its offense. The Spartans are averaging 47 ppg including 27+ points in each of their three Big Ten games behind a balanced attack of 260 ypg on the ground and 265 ypg passing. Michigan’s defense is a solid unit but have had very noticeable struggles against the better offensive teams. The Wolverines allowed 26 points to Rutgers, 26 points to Utah, 30 points to Minnesota and 31 points to Notre Dame. Michigan State’s offense is arguably better than all four of those offenses. MSU put up 29 points is last year’s meeting despite still being in the infant stages of Read more

Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Big Ten

NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

10.22.2014     01:16 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Baltimore at Cincinnati
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati -2.5 O/U 46
CRIS Current: Cincinnati pk O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Cincinnati -1.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Baltimore

My clients and I cashed a winning Big Ticket bet supporting the Bengals in Week 1 on the road at Baltimore.  Cinci dominated that game early, but settled for five first half field goals.  After halftime, the Ravens scored 17 unanswered to take the lead.  But a 77 yard bomb from Andy Dalton to AJ Green in the final minutes allowed the Bengals to escape with a victory on Baltimore’s home field; their first road win over the Ravens since 2009.

But the Bengals team that we saw on opening day is not the same Bengals team that Marvin Lewis is fielding right now.  AJ Green has a bad toe, unable to suit up in their last two ballgames.  TE Tyler Eifert is out as well.  That duo Read more

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Wisconsin stays with two-quarterback gameplan

10.22.2014     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Maryland at Wisconsin -11 O/U 57.5

Expect more quarterback shuffling from Wisconsin (1-5 ATS) this weekend as Tanner McEvoy and Joel Stave will split snaps. McEvoy played only one series in UW's most recent win over Illinois. The Badgers finished with 97 yards through the air. They need to thank whoever drew up this year's schedule. Penn State, Michigan, Michigan State all rank in the top ten nationally in rush defense and not one of them is on UW's regular season slate.

"You'll see both quarterbacks play in this football game and Tanner will play more," offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig said. "He'll play more often than he did in the last game."

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Maryland Terrapins Big Ten

College Footbal Betting Preview: Ohio State Buckeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions

10.22.2014     08:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Ohio State at Penn State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -13 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Ohio State -14 O/U 51.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Ohio State -11.5
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Over

Penn State comes in off of back-to-back losses and a bye week as it plays host to red-hot Ohio State. Behind a young offensive line, the Nittany Lions have struggled mightily to move the football with just 32 points scored in three games vs. mediocre power conference competition.

Penn State wants to run the football and says it won't quit trying to do so but through six games, the Nittany Lions are averaging only 2.84 ypc. You could argue that stubbornness cost them the game against Michigan. The Wolverines allowed 402 passing yards to Rutgers and Gary Nova the previous week. PSU meanwhile decided to run right into the teeth of Michigan's fourth-ranked rush defense and it obviously Read more

Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Penn State Nittany Big Ten Andrew Lange

College Football Betting: Penn State refuses to abandon poor run game

10.22.2014     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Ohio State -14 at Penn State O/U 51.5

Despite averaging only 2.84 ypc as a team, Penn State says it won't give up on the run game.

"We worked on it [balancing the offense] really hard all last week, and we're going to do that again this week, and that's not going to change," Franklin said. "We're going to stay positive.

"We're going to stick to that, stick to the running game and keep committing to that, finding creative ways to help our guys and put them in position to be successful."

Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC News and Notes

10.20.2014     11:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Atlanta Falcons
Since blowing out Tampa Bay on national TV in Week 3, the Atlanta Falcons have looked nothing short of awful.  A team that made it to the NFC Championship Game two years ago is now entrenched in a four game skid; picking up right where they left off last year when they went 4-12 and ranked among the most disappointing teams in football.

All four losses during this SU and ATS skid have come by double digit margins.  The Falcons certainly aren’t going to win many defensive struggles – their stop unit has allowed 24+ six times in seven ballgames this year, a mediocre defense on a good day.  But many pundits thought the Falcons would be good enough to trade points with most of their foes.  That simply hasn’t been the case, in large part, due to cluster injuries on the offensive line, with backup center Peter Konz the latest to go down.

Matt Ryan was sacked five times and hit nine times in Atlanta’s loss to Baltimore on Sunday, while throwing for a season low in yards. "When you go out there and get beat soundly, I think everybody knows we've got to play better across the board. Read more

Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Seattle Seahawks Chicago Bears Washington Redskins Teddy Covers


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