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College Football Handicapping: North Carolina in the right frame of mind for Belk Bowl

12.17.2013     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati vs. North Carolina -3 O/U 56.5

North Carolina's season was far from smooth as the Tar Heels started 1-5 and barely slipped into the postseason at 6-6. But this is a program that has been through a lot – NCAA issues, postseason ban, coaching changes, etc. – and is viewing the nearby Belk Bowl as an opportunity to send their seniors off on a good note.


“Think about this senior class and what they’ve been through,” UNC coach Larry Fedora said at the close of practice Monday.

“They come in here and we start out with the investigation. They see it through. They have to be the one to bear the weight of the sanctions,” Fedora said. “And then they had three head coaches, they’ve had two staffs. I know (defensive end) Kareem Martin has had six position coaches. Read more



Tags: College Football Cincinnati Bearcats AAC North Carolina ACC




You can bet on Lee Corso's bowl picks for ESPN College Game Day

12.16.2013     01:34 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Speaking of bowl game prop bets, 5Dimes is offering some on Lee Corso's ESPN Game Day selections. And yes, there is a website that has somehow (we assume accurately) kept track of the Sunshine Scooter's record dating back to 1993 – as of a few weeks ago he was 66.59%...straight up, of course.

Corso's Picks
Michigan State +220
Stanford -300

Oklahoma +1000
Alabama -2000

Clemson +110
Ohio State -150

Auburn +500
Florida State -900



Tags: College Football




College Football Handicapping: Bowl Game Win Totals by Conference

12.16.2013     01:23 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Spotted on Twitter that Cantor Gaming has prop bets for conference bowl game win totals. They are as followed...

(F) = Favorite, (D) = Underdog

ACC O/U 4.5
Florida State (F), Clemson (D), Boston College (D), Maryland (D), Syracuse (D), Duke (D), Miami (D), Virginia Tech (D), Georgia Tech (D), North Carolina (F), Pittsburgh (D).

Big Ten O/U 3
Ohio State (F), Wisconsin (pk), Michigan State (D), Iowa (D), Minnesota (F), Nebraska (D), Michigan (D).

Big XII O/U 2.5un-130
Baylor (F), Oklahoma (D), Oklahoma State (D), Texas (D), Kansas State (F), Texas Tech (D).

PAC-12 O/U 6ov-130
Stanford (F), Oregon (F), Washington (F), Oregon State (F), Washington State (F), Arizona State (F), Arizona State (F), USC (F), Arizona (F).

SEC O/U 6.5un-130
Missouri (F), South Carolina (pk), Vanderbilt (F), Georgia (F), Auburn (D), Alabama (F), LSU (F), Texas A&M (F), Ole Miss (F), Mississippi State (F).



Tags: College Football




College Football Handicapping: Bowl Game Rushing Differentials

12.16.2013     09:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below is a chart of every college football bowl matchup's rushing differential. It's a simple formula of yards per carry and yards per carry allowed. For example, Alabama averages 5.97 ypc and 3.37 ypca which equal a +2.60 differential. While the dynamics of college football have changed over the last few years, accurately identifying teams that will win the rushing battle in a particular matchup can still put bettors in a favorable position. The handicap obviously goes well beyond the raw numbers. Houston has over a yard "advantage" over Vanderbilt but you must account for conference affiliation and/or strength of schedule. Against UCF, Louisville, and Cincinnati, the Cougars were -1.15 – a far better indicator of what to expect against the Commodores. Like our strength of schedule chart, these numbers are well accounted for in the lines, but when you include them with other factors – motivation, health, location, etc. – you begin to find opportunities.

2013 College Football Bowl Games - Rushing Differential
Bowl
Team
Rushing +/-
Team
Rushing +/-
New Mexico
Colorado State
+1.10
Washington State
-1.29
Las Vegas
USC
+0.71
Fresno State
+1.07
Idaho Potato
Buffalo
+0.03
San Diego State
+0.38
New Orleans
UL-Lafayette
+0.67
Tulane
+0.42
Beef O' Brady
Ohio
+0.26
East Carolina
+0.36
Hawaii
Oregon State
-1.99
Boise State
+0.99
Little Caesars
Pittsburgh
-0.99
Bowling Green
+0.63
Poinsettia
Utah State
+1.45
Northern Illinois
+2.71
Military
Marshall
+1.44
Maryland
+0.34
Texas
Syracuse
+0.70
Minnesota
-0.14
Fight Hunger
Washington
+0.98
BYU
+1.52
Pinstripe
Rutgers
+0.75
Notre Dame
+0.26
Belk
Cincinnati
+1.06
North Carolina
-0.18
Russell
Miami (FL)
+0.61
Louisville
+1.51
Buffalo Wild Wings
Michigan
-0.54
Kansas State
+0.62
Armed Forces
Middle Tennessee
+0.77
Navy
+0.84
Music City
Ole Miss
+0.68
Georgia Tech
+2.20
Alamo
Texas
+0.18
Oregon
+2.55
Holiday
Texas Tech
-0.68
Arizona State
+0.29
Independence
Boston College
+1.58
Arizona
+1.14
Sun
Virginia Tech
+0.10
UCLA
+0.49
Liberty
Mississippi State
+0.25
Rice
+0.63
Chick fil-A
Duke
+0.25
Texas A&M
-0.14
Gator
Nebraska
+1.01
Georgia
+1.03
Heart of Dallas
UNLV
-0.66
North Texas
+0.62
Capital One
Wisconsin
+3.41
South Carolina
+0.85
Outback
Iowa
+0.87
LSU
+1.02
Rose
Michigan State
+1.73
Stanford
+2.02
Fiesta
Central Florida
+0.41
Baylor
+2.13
Sugar
Oklahoma
+1.22
Alabama
+2.60
Cotton
Oklahoma State
+0.99
Missouri
+1.52
Orange
Clemson
+0.40
Ohio State
+3.93
Compass
Houston
+0.54
Vanderbilt
-0.57
GoDaddy.com
Arkansas State
-0.21
Ball State
-0.27
BCS
Auburn
+1.87
Florida State
+2.55




Tags: College Football




College Football Handicapping: Strength of Schedule for Bowl Game Matchups

12.13.2013     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
Strength of schedule has long been a handicapping tool for college football bowl games. Below is a chart of this year's matchups and their Sagarin SOS ranking. There are 12 games with a difference of "50 or more." They are as followed...

1. Washington State (1) vs. Colorado State (105)
2. USC (14) vs. Fresno State (111)
3. Mississippi State (8) vs. Rice (103)
4. Pittsburgh (33) vs. Bowling Green (123)
5. Oregon State (12) vs. Boise State (93)
6. Notre Dame (17) vs. Rutgers (90)
7. North Carolina (52) vs. Cincinnati (120)
8. Maryland (72) vs. Marshall (126)
9. Arizona State (2) vs. Texas Tech (54)
10. San Diego  State (77) vs. Buffalo (128)
11. Stanford (4) vs. Michigan State (56)
12. Georgia (9) vs. Nebraska (59)

Of those 12 matchups, the team with the weaker SOS if favored twice (Bowling Green -5.5 vs. Pitt and Buffalo -2 vs. San Diego State).

2013 College Football Bowl Games - Strength of Schedule
Bowl
Team
SOS Rank
Team
SOS Rank
New Mexico
Colorado State
105
Washington State
1
Las Vegas
USC
14
Fresno State
111
Idaho Potato
Buffalo
128
San Diego State
77
New Orleans
UL-Lafayette
133
Tulane
98
Beef O' Brady
Ohio
129
East Carolina
108
Hawaii
Oregon State
12
Boise State
93
Little Caesars
Pittsburgh
33
Bowling Green
123
Poinsettia
Utah State
82
Northern Illinois
113
Military
Marshall
126
Maryland
72
Texas
Syracuse
48
Minnesota
46
Fight Hunger
Washington
13
BYU
35
Pinstripe
Rutgers
90
Notre Dame
17
Belk
Cincinnati
120
North Carolina
52
Russell
Miami (FL)
58
Louisville
107
Buffalo Wild Wings
Michigan
39
Kansas State
43
Armed Forces
Middle Tennessee
119
Navy
70
Music City
Ole Miss
10
Georgia Tech
42
Alamo
Texas
25
Oregon
28
Holiday
Texas Tech
54
Arizona State
2
Independence
Boston College
47
Arizona
18
Sun
Virginia Tech
41
UCLA
6
Liberty
Mississippi State
8
Rice
103
Chick fil-A
Duke
62
Texas A&M
29
Gator
Nebraska
59
Georgia
9
Heart of Dallas
UNLV
97
North Texas
117
Capital One
Wisconsin
49
South Carolina
30
Outback
Iowa
40
LSU
27
Rose
Michigan State
56
Stanford
4
Fiesta
Central Florida
92
Baylor
60
Sugar
Oklahoma
44
Alabama
45
Cotton
Oklahoma State
38
Missouri
31
Orange
Clemson
55
Ohio State
57
Compass
Houston
78
Vanderbilt
53
GoDaddy.com
Arkansas State
124
Ball State
137
BCS
Auburn
20
Florida State
63




Tags: College Football




College Football Betting: Kansas State looks to snap bowl win drought

12.12.2013     11:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan vs. Kansas State -3.5 O/U 56

For all the pointspread success Kansas State has had during Bill Synder's second stint in Manhattan (a very quiet 7-5 ATS this year), the Wildcats haven't had much of it in the postseason. Since Snyder's return in 2009, KSU is 0-3 SU/ATS. And as a program, they haven't won a bowl game since 2002.

2012: 35-17 SU/ATS (+8) Loss vs. Oregon
2011: 29-16 SU/ATS (+9) Loss vs. Arkansas
2010: 36-34 SU/ATS (+1) Loss vs. Syracuse
2006: 37-10 SU/ATS (+8.5) Loss vs. Rutgers
2003: 35-28 SU/ATS (-7) vs. Loss vs. Ohio State


“Nobody on our whole team has won a bowl game, with the exception of coaches,” junior linebacker Jonathan Truman said. “We need it and we want it really bad.

“We’ve tried our best in preparation in the past, the Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas State Wildcats Big XII Michigan Wolverines Big Ten




Sports Betting Podcast 12-12-2013 with Handicapper Rob Veno

12.12.2013     10:34 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob talked college football bowl game power ratings.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Football Bowl Game Power Ratings

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Gambling: San Diego State doesn't have much cold weather experience

12.12.2013     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo -2.5 at San Diego State O/U 54

San Diego State talks about its preparation for the likelihood of cold weather at next Saturday's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. According to one article, SDSU's 27-20 win at Air Force earlier this season was its coldest (49 degrees) game since 2009. Temperatures at last year's Potato Bowl were fairly mild (low 40's/high 30's). The current 10-day forecast (which has little to no accuracy) has game day temps in the high 20's.




Tags: College Football San Diego State Aztecs Mountain West Buffalo Bulls MAC




College Football Handicapping: Wisconsin looking for better defense vs. South Carolina

12.12.2013     08:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin -1 vs. South Carolina O/U 51

Wisconsin is eager to atone for it defensive mishaps in the regular season finale loss to Penn State. The Badgers allowed 465 totals yards after not having surrendered more than 391 in a Big Ten contest. Head coach Gary Andersen pointed out that it was the big plays that cost UW the game. South Carolina has at times shown big play ability this season with 20 plays of 50 yards or more. Against its three toughest offensive opponents, Arizona State, Ohio State, and BYU, Wisky allowed 26 ppg and 409.3 ypg (5.07 ypp).


"A lot of us got kind of a sick feeling in our stomach Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten South Carolina SEC




College Football Gambling Update: Gambler wants to hedge on Auburn bet

12.11.2013     01:58 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Looks like one of the bettors with an Auburn BCS Championship futures ticket will be hedging some of his bet.





College Football Gambling: Sportsbook exposed on Auburn BCS title bets

12.11.2013     07:48 AM     View Original Blog


Seems like every time there is an unexpected participant in a championship game reports surface of bettors holding juicy futures tickets. According to LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay, if Auburn wins the BCS National Championship, his sportsbook will take around a Read more



Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC



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