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College Football Handicapping: CRIS vs. Power Ratings Week 6

09.30.2014     02:43 PM     Printer Friendly
Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno has been creating his own Power Ratings for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not include key injuries or situations but they also don't overreact as much as the betting markets do week to week. Below is a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob's College Football Power Ratings for Week 6.

2014 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 6
Away Team
Home Team
Veno Power
CRIS Current
Florida Atlantic
Florida International
Florida Atlantic -9.5
Florida Atlantic -6.5
Central Florida
Houston
Central Florida -1
Houston -3
Arizona
Oregon
Oregon -19.5
Oregon -23
Louisville
Syracuse
Louisville -6
Louisville -2.5
San Diego State
Fresno State
San Diego State -0.5
Fresno State -3
Utah State
BYU
BYU -16.5
BYU -21
Vanderbilt
Georgia
Georgia -31
Georgia -33.5
Wake Forest
Florida State
Florida State -37
Florida State -38.5
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech
Miami (FL) -0.5
Miami (FL) -2
North Texas
Indiana
Indiana -8
Indiana -13.5
Purdue
Illinois
Illinois -10
Illinois -10
Ohio State
Maryland
Ohio State -10
Ohio State N/L
SMU
East Carolina
East Carolina -27
East Carolina -41
Memphis
Cincinnati
Cincinnati -8
Cincinnati -4
Pittsburgh
Virginia
Virginia -4
Virginia -6.5
Ohio
Central Michigan
Central Michigan -3.5
Central Michigan -4
Kansas
West Virginia
West Virginia -20
West Virginia -26
Toledo
Western Michigan
Toledo -10
Toledo -5
Marshall
Old Dominion
Marshall -16
Marshall -17.5
Virginia Tech
North Carolina
North Carolina -0.5
Virginia Tech -1.5
Kent State
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois -20
Northern Illinois -24
Wisconsin
Northwestern
Wisconsin -11
Wisconsin -8
Massachusetts
Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) -6
Miami (OH) -3.5
South Alabama
Appalachian State
South Alabama -7.5
South Alabama -4.5
South Carolina
Kentucky
South Carolina -11
South Carolina -5
Ball State
Army
Ball State -1
Army -2.5
Buffalo
Bowling Green
Bowling Green -13
Bowling Green -5
Eastern Michigan
Akron
Akron -22
Akron -22.5
Texas Tech
Kansas State
Kansas State -10
Kansas State N/L
Hawaii
Rice
Rice -5
Rice -6.5
Tulsa
Colorado State
Colorado State -15
Colorado State -15
Georgia State
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette -19
Louisiana-Lafayette -16.5
Stanford
Notre Dame
Stanford -1.5
Stanford -1
Arizona State
USC
USC -8
USC -11.5
LSU
Auburn
Auburn -8
Auburn -7.5
Navy
Air Force
Navy -6.5
Navy -4
Oklahoma
TCU
Oklahoma -6.5
Oklahoma -4
Florida
Tennessee
Florida -2
Tennessee -2.5
Baylor
Texas
Baylor -12
Baylor -16.5
Iowa State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -17
Oklahoma State -17
Alabama
Mississippi
Alabama -6.5
Alabama -6
Texas A&M
Mississippi State
Texas A&M -4
Mississippi State -1.5
Utah
UCLA
UCLA -11.5
UCLA -13
UTEP
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech -12
Louisiana Tech -12
Southern Miss
Middle Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee State -17.5
Middle Tennessee State -18
Oregon State
Colorado
Oregon State -8.5
Oregon State -7
California
Washington State
Washington State -4
Washington State -3
Idaho
Texas State
Texas State -15.5
Texas State -17
Michigan
Rutgers
Rutgers -0.5
Rutgers -3
New Mexico
UTSA
UTSA -19
UTSA -17
Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas State
Arkansas State -10
Arkansas State -11
NC State
Clemson
Clemson -15
Clemson -14
UAB
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky -11
Western Kentucky -9
Nebraska
Michigan State
Michigan State -10
Michigan State -7
Georgia Southern
New Mexico State
Georgia Southern -14.5
Georgia Southern -17.5
UNLV
San Jose State
San Jose State -11.5
San Jose State -10
Boise State
Nevada
Boise State -2.5
Boise State -3.5




Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Betting Podcast 9-30-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno

09.30.2014     10:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno. Ian covered the Big XII while Rob discussed early Week 6 line moves.

Today's segments
Ian Cameron - Big XII Report

Rob Veno - College Football Week 6 Line Moves

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Big XII Ian Cameron Rob Veno Andrew Lange




College Footbal Gambling: Oregon struggling to cover big numbers

09.30.2014     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on Arizona's prep for Thursday's game vs. Oregon. The Wildcats embarrassed the Ducks last year in Tucson, 42-16. It smells of a revenge spot but Sportsmemo Handicapper Paul Stone pointed out that the Ducks are on an 0-6 ATS run at favorites of 18.5 or more dating back to last season. They are currently -23.5 vs. the Wildcats.

Oregon -23 vs. Washington State = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -42 vs. Wyoming = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -52 vs. South Dakota = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -24 vs. Oregon State = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -20.5 vs. Arizona = SU Loss, ATS Loss
Oregon -28.5 vs. Utah = SU Win, ATS Loss



Tags: College Football Arizona Wildcats Oregon Ducks PAC-12




College Football Betting: Texas well aware of big underdog status vs. Baylor

09.30.2014     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baylor -16.5 at Texas

Texas head coach Charlie Strong needs to refresh his odds screen. You were 14-point dogs for all of a few hours, Chuck.


On being the underdog: “Well, I don’t have a choice. I’m a 14 point underdog, 14 point spread right now. We’re going to have to play really well. We’re going to have to play really well to be in the ballgame.”





Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Big XII




College Football Handicapping: Early line moves for Week 6

09.30.2014     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at some of the early moves in the Week 6 college football betting markets.

Louisville at Syracuse
CRIS Opener: Louisville -4.5
CRIS Current: Louisville -2.5
Comment: Louisville quarterback Will Gardner (knee) didn't play vs. Wake Forest and is questionable vs. Syracuse.

Miami (FL) at Georgia Tech
CRIS Opener: Georgia Tech -1.5
CRIS Current: Miami (FL) -2
Comment: GT off huge win at Virginia Tech. Canes have somehow won five straight in the series including last year's 45-30 blowout.

SMU at East Carolina
CRIS Opener: East Carolina -34.5
CRIS Current: East Carolina -41
Comment: ECU with an extra week to digest blowout of UNC. SMU with 12 points YTD.

Kansas at West Virginia
CRIS Opener: West Virginia -22
CRIS Current: West Virginia -26.5
Comment: Mountaineers off of a bye week. Kansas finally rid itself of Charlie Weis.

South Carolina at Kentucky
CRIS Opener: South Carolina -7.5
CRIS Current: South Carolina -5.5
Comment: Following last second loss to Missouri, markets Read more


Tags: College Football




College Football Gambling: Florida State still winless on the year against the spread

09.30.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The BCS Championship hangover continues for Florida State as the Seminoles are 0-4 ATS on the year. After allowing 12.1 ppg in 2013, the defense ranks 64th nationally in yards per play (5.6) vs. FBS foes. In last week's come-from-behind win over NC State, the Seminoles missed 33 tackles. FSU will try to notch its first spread cover of the year laying -38.5 vs. Wake Forest on Saturday.


"Yes, it is," Fisher said Monday when asked if Saturday's game resulted in the most missed tackles since he's been at FSU. "And the bad part [is] we were in position to make a lot of plays. I mean, it wasn't like you were out of position. I mean, the calls were there. We're there. We've gotta tackle better."





Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Wake Forest Demon Deacons ACC




College Football Betting: Ugly teams deliver pointspread wins

09.29.2014     07:43 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This past weekend was a great one for "ugly" teams in college football. And by "ugly" we mean teams that had vastly underachieved the first month of the season leaving bettors little reason to offer their support. But "ugliness" can be overcompensated for in the betting markets and these teams not only had value but came through with their best efforts of the season. Let's take a look...

Northwestern - The Wildcats had looked horrible during their 1-2 SU/0-3 start. Questions loomed whether or not Pat Fitzgerald was losing the team and with Penn State and Wisconsin on deck, a 1-4 start seemed likely. But bettors witnessed a reborn NU squad that was dynamic offensively and stout defensively in Saturday's 29-6 drubbing of Penn State. The Nittany Lions were no doubt flat but it was the first time all season that Northwestern played up to its capabilities and some. NW is catching +9.5 at home vs. the Badgers on Saturday.

Florida International - Make no mistake, Ron Turner isn't a good coach and the Panthers are still one of the worst teams in the country. But pointspreads have a way of offsetting Read more


Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Florida International Panthers Vanderbilt Commodores Andrew Lange




College Football Gambling: Texas Tech trending in wrong direction

09.29.2014     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Despite a slew of issues and injuries, Texas Tech managed to escape Stillwater with a pointspread cover (+14) in last Thursday’s 45-35 loss. But with quarterback Davis Webb's status for Saturday at Kansas State in doubt and the team's inability to correct correctable issues (turnovers, penalties) the Red Raiders could be headed towards a losing season. TTU has lost the turnover battle with a negative margin in all four games. In terms of penalty yardage, they have nearly double (442) their opposition (221). And since starting 7-0, Kliff Kingsbury is on a 2-7 run vs. FBS competition.


“We would play to Pat’s strengths. He does some things really well. We’d make sure we’re calling plays that he likes,” coach Kliff Kingsbury said.

“There’s no magical thing we can do to stop this,” Tech senior wide receiver Marquez said. “It’s just got to be as a player you’ve got to know when you can do certain things and when you cannot. Rules are rules. You can’t hold. Read more



Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII




College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6

09.29.2014     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Week 6's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets. A lot of opinions have obviously changed since the summer, most notably with Baylor and TCU. Most projected the Bears to take a step back this season but oddsmakers continue to struggle with pricing this team. Note than the current -14.5 was bet up from an opener of -12.5. Oklahoma is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS and has looked the part of a playoff contender. But in the eyes of most TCU (3-0 SU/ATS) is much improved with blowout wins over Samford, Minnesota, and SMU. This week's outcome will likely have a big impact on how the Horned Frogs are priced in October with games at Baylor, vs. Oklahoma State, vs. Texas Tech, and at West Virginia.

2014 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6
Away
Home
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Arizona
Oregon
Oregon -25
Oregon -22.5
Louisville
Syracuse
Louisville -1
Louisville -3.5
LSU
Auburn
Auburn -6.5
Auburn -9
Arizona State
USC
USC -11
USC -10
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech
Miami (FL) -4
Georgia Tech pk
Vanderbilt
Georgia
Georgia -24
Georgia -32
Wisconsin
Northwestern
Wisconsin -7
Wisconsin -10
Alabama
Ole Miss
Alabama -9
Alabama -5
Virginia Tech
North Carolina
North Carolina -10
North Carolina pk
NC State
Clemson
Clemson -23
Clemson -14
Baylor
Texas
Baylor -3
Baylor -14.5
Texas A&M
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -3
Mississippi State -1
Texas Tech
Kansas State
Kansas State -7
Kansas State N/L
Boise State
Nevada
Boise State -6
Boise State -2.5
Oklahoma
TCU
Oklahoma -14
Oklahoma -5
Florida
Tennessee
Florida -4.5
Florida -1
Stanford
Notre Dame
Stanford -6
Stanford -1
Nebraska
Michigan State
Michigan State -8
Michigan State -9.5




Tags: College Football Baylor Bears TCU Horned Frogs Big XII




College Football Betting Consensus: Public sees no reason not to continue fade of woeful SMU

09.27.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top five consensus bets (sides and totals) for Saturday's college football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
89.5% - TCU -31.5 at SMU
84.7% - NEVADA -5.5 at San Jose State
82.9% - LOUISVILLE -21 vs. Wake Forest
80.7% - PITTSBURGH -21 vs. Akron
80.1% - TEXAS STATE +3 at Tulsa

TOTALS
92.5% - OVER 57 Tennessee-Georgia
89.5% - OVER 56.5 New Mexico State-LSU
88.6% - OVER 59 Memphis-Ole Miss
88.0% - OVER 60 Florida State-NC State
87.4% - OVER 70 Maryland-Indiana



Tags: College Football



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Mar 28, 2015 09:01 AM.