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October

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 5

10.07.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC thoughts and opinions from Week 5.

Chicago Bears - Chicago entered the game with only six sacks on the season, a notable weakness on a defense that's heavily reliant on creating turnovers. They got a little bit of pressure on Drew Brees here, but not enough. The Bears played a lot of Cover-2 today and it gave the Saints fits for a while, forcing Brees into dink-and-dunk’ mode. But Sean Payton made play calling adjustments, and Chicago’s defense didn’t adjust back, leaving Jimmy Graham in store for a huge afternoon.

Marc Trestman was a pointspread monster during his tenure with the Montreal Alouettes in one role in particular: coming off a loss. In his first NFL try in that same role, that success did not translate.

For the second straight week, this rebuilt offensive line got eaten up for extended stretches. Jay Cutler was under constant pressure and Matt Forte had no room to run. Even Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Arizona Cardinals Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saiints Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




Ex-Cantor employee pleads guilty to conspiracy

10.03.2013     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
Former Cantor Gaming employee Mike Colbert pleaded guilty to felony conspiracy in federal court yesterday. What's even more interesting is that Cantor CEO Lee Amaitis is reportedly being investigated as to whether or not he was aware of Colbert's actions. Note that in an article by Betting Talk last month, Las Vegas bettor Billy Walters was quoted as saying he didn't think Cantor's issues extended beyond Colbert.








Dude who couldn't lose at blackjack busted for cheating

10.02.2013     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It turns out this dude who won a ton of money playing blackjack – reportedly turning $50 into $40 million – was actually marking cards. He got busted and now faces prison time if convicted.








Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 4

09.30.2013     07:05 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC Tidbits from Week 4.

Cincinnati Bengals – This offense should be very tough to get off the field on third downs. Andy Dalton has great chemistry with AJ Green, and the constant double teams that Green demands are supposed to open things up for Jermaine Gresham and Tyler Eifert down the seams along with Mohammed Sanu on the other side. All four guys are tall receivers, easy for Dalton to chuck the ball up to and let them make a play on it. But nobody was making plays here, a real lackluster effort in a divisional game. And Green was essentially shut down by Joe Haden, which, in turn, didn’t allow for the weapons around him to get opportunities in space.

Cinci has cluster injuries in the secondary without Leon Hall and Reggie Nelson; an attack of bad hamstrings. But defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer coached up his replacements – this loss cannot be blamed on the stop unit. James Harrison was a Read more


Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Buffalo Bills Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Recap: More ugly TNF as San Francisco rolls over St. Louis

09.27.2013     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

There was a lot of talk in cyberspace today about how lousy Thursday Night NFL games have been. Figured I’d spend some time during a lousy first half logging what’s been happening in recent years. How do you define a “good” game for TV purposes? Everybody loves high scoring thrillers…but that shouldn’t be the standard every game has to live up to. I settled on these:

*Decided by one score (final margin is 8 points or less)

*Goes Over the Las Vegas total

*Ignore season openers because those have extended preparation time

NY Jets/New England two weeks ago was a close game at 13-10. But, it was still a pretty horrible game in terms of offensive execution. Entertainment usually means points on the board. So, I was looking for a combination of drama and production in a Thursday Night NFL game where teams only had three days to prepare. General run-of-the-mill Thursday Night football games on the NFL Read more


Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers St. Louis Rams




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/24/2013

09.24.2013     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think most of you reading this know the drill by now. What you see below is my estimate of how “the market” has college football teams rated at this point in the season. And, by “the market,” I mean the combination of oddsmakers and sharps (leaving out the often-misguided public as best as possible). These are based on the current pointspreads at writing time, allotting 3 points for home field advantage.

This isn’t how I personally rate the teams. It’s my estimate of “market Power Ratings” if they existed in a tangible form.

An early number came up in Las Vegas last week for a hypothetical matchup between Alabama and Oregon. That line was Alabama -3, which represents how oddsmakers would rate the game. What would sharps do once big limits were available on a game like that? My scale estimates that sharps would take Oregon. They seem to be betting Oregon hand over fist this year…and Alabama is struggling to play Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 3

09.23.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week, Teddy took a long, hard look at five NFC teams that have been major disappointments to start the year.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Doug Martin had 144 yards on the ground last week and the Bucs still only scored a single offensive touchdown and lost the game. Today, with Martin largely contained (longest carry 11 yards), the offense only managed a single field goal and lost the game. After leading the league in penalties through the first two games, the Bucs were only flagged four times here, but that’s about the only bright spot from this performance.

Injuries are becoming a huge story with this team. They came into this game missing three starters from opening day in their secondary, forced to start a safety who was on their practice squad last week. Their lone playmaker, WR Vincent Jackson left the game with bruised ribs. His counterpart on the other side, Mike Williams had a clear limp all afternoon. Pro bowl Read more


Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers New York Giants San Francisco 49ers New York Giants St. Louis Rams Teddy Covers




Thursday Night Football Betting Recap: Six Turnovers doom Philadelphia Eagles

09.20.2013     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Three weeks into the Chip Kelly era with the Philadelphia Eagles…and we’ve seen one half of mostly scintillating stuff (coming against an opponent that may not have a pass defense), but then five halves that have reminded everyone why it’s so hard to win with fast break football at the professional level.

First Half of Game One: Philadelphia 26, Washington 7

Next 5 Halves Pro-Rated: Philadelphia 11, Opponents 16

That’s an extended run now that represents the equivalent of losing games 32-22 against 2.5 opponents that may not reach the postseason (though KC has a decent Wildcard shot after its 3-0 start).

The Eagles are 1-2, and apparently would be the fourth best team in the AFC West because they just lost home games to San Diego and Kansas City…and are way behind Denver in everyone’s Power Ratings. They do have moments where the Oregon-style attack is a thing of beauty. But, tonight saw:

*Michael Vick throw two Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Kansas City Chiefs Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Alabama 3-point chalk vs. Oregon for BCS Championship

09.19.2013     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to Twitter, Las Vegas' Golden Nugget sportsbook posted Alabama -3 (-120) vs. Oregon should the two teams meet in the BCS National Championship. The Crimson Tide was -10 vs. Notre Dame in last year's tile game (42-14 win). The year before that they were -2.5 vs. LSU (21-0 win). The Ducks were 1-point chalk in their 22-19 BCS title game loss to Auburn in 2010.



Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Oregon Ducks PAC-12




NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 3

09.19.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Wow…we really have a muddy middle this week…with a lot of question marks as to where teams really stack up in the 77-81 section of our scale…and arguably in the 74-82 section. I mean…you know about where they stand. But, trying to pin down 77’s and 78’s is really tough given the Wednesday afternoon lines because:

*A few teams who were supposed to be 78-81ish are off to poor starts

*A few teams who were supposed to be 71-74ish are off to strong starts against expectations

*Some teams who aren’t covering seem to be getting MORE respect (St. Louis)

*Some teams getting rocked aren’t dropping like rocks (Washington)

Let me run the numbers…then I’ll talk about many specific games where the couplet could arguably go a touch higher or lower depending on how you’ve evaluated performance so far. If you’re new to the site…

*These are an estimate of Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 31, 2014 12:35 AM.